¨
|
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
|
¨
|
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
|
¨
|
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
|
¨
|
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13a-4(c))
|
¨
|
Emerging growth company
|
¨
|
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
|
|
CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Date: February 6, 2019
|
/S/Michael J. Sewell
|
|
Michael J. Sewell, CPA
|
|
Chief Financial Officer, Senior Vice President and Treasurer
(Principal Accounting Officer)
|
|
|
(a)
|
in relation to an EEA Member Country which has implemented, or which at any time implements, Article 55 of Directive 2014/59/EU establishing a framework for the recovery and resolution of credit institutions and
|
(b)
|
in relation to any other state, any analogous law or regulation from time to time which requires contractual recognition of any Write-down and Conversion Powers contained in that law or regulation.”
|
(a)
|
in relation to any Bail-In Legislation described in the EU Bail-In Legislation Schedule from time to time, the powers described as such in relation to that Bail-In Legislation in the EU Bail-In Legislation Schedule; and
|
(b)
|
in relation to any other applicable Bail-In Legislation:
|
i.
|
any powers under that Bail-In Legislation to cancel, transfer or dilute shares issued by a person that is a bank or investment firm or other financial institution or affiliate of a bank, investment firm or other financial institution, to cancel, reduce, modify or change the form of a liability of such a person or any contract or instrument under which that liability arises, to convert all or part of that liability into shares, securities or obligations of that person or any other person, to provide that any such contract or instrument is to have effect as if a right had been exercised under it or to suspend any obligation in respect of that liability or any of the powers under that Bail-In Legislation that are related to or ancillary to any of those powers; and
|
ii.
|
any similar or analogous powers under that Bail-In Legislation.”
|
(a)
|
any Bail-In Action in relation to any such liability, including (without limitation):
|
i.
|
a reduction, in full or in part, in the principal amount, or outstanding amount due (including any accrued but unpaid interest) in respect of any such liability;
|
ii.
|
a conversion of all, or part of, any such liability into shares or other instruments of ownership that may be issued to, or conferred on, it; and
|
iii.
|
a cancellation of any such liability; and
|
(b)
|
a variation of any term of any Loan Document to the extent necessary to give effect to any Bail-In Action in relation to any such liability.”
|
Level
|
Debt Rating |
Commitment Fee
(bps)
|
Revolving Credit Base
Rate Spread
(bps)
|
Revolving Credit LIBOR Rate Spread and
Letter of Credit Fee
(bps)
|
I |
A+ / A1 or better
|
6.0
|
0.0
|
69.0
|
II |
A / A2
|
8.0
|
0.0
|
75.0
|
III |
A- / A3
|
10.0
|
0.0
|
87.5
|
IV |
BBB+ / Baa1
|
12.5
|
0.0
|
100.0
|
V |
Less than or equal to BBB / Baa2
|
15.0
|
12.5
|
112.5
|
Lender
|
Commitment |
Ratable Share |
PNC BANK, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION
Address:
155 E. Broad Street
Columbus, OH 43215 Attention: Mary Auch Telephone: (614) 463-8034 Telecopy: (614) 463-6770 |
$85,000,000
|
28.333333330%
|
|
|
|
FIFTH THIRD BANK
Address:
38 Fountain Square Plaza
Cincinnati, OH 45263
Attention: Megan Szewc
Telephone: (513) 358-3097
Telecopy: (513) 358-3480 |
$85,000,000
|
28.333333330%
|
|
|
|
THE HUNTINGTON NATIONAL BANK
Address:
41 South High Street-HC0845
Columbus, OH 43215
Attention: Josh Elsea
Telephone: (614) 480-5429
Telecopy: (877) 274-8593 |
$50,000,000
|
16.666666670%
|
|
|
|
U.S. BANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATION
Address: 777 E. Wisconsin Avenue Milwaukee, WI 53202 Attention: Bonnie Wiskowski
Telephone: (414) 756-6761
Telecopy: (414) 765-4632 |
$50,000,000
|
16.666666670%
|
|
|
|
BRANCH BANKING AND TRUST COMPANY
Address:
2600 Eastpoint Pkwy
Louisville, KY 40223
Attention: Greg Branstetter
Telephone: (502) 614-4246
Telecopy: (502) 253-2809 |
$30,000,000
|
10.000000000%
|
Total
|
$300,000,000
|
100.000000000%
|
1)
|
The Cincinnati Insurance Company, an Ohio corporation, which owns 100 percent of the equity of:
|
a.
|
The Cincinnati Casualty Company, an Ohio corporation
|
b.
|
The Cincinnati Indemnity Company, an Ohio corporation
|
c.
|
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company, an Ohio corporation
|
d.
|
The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company, a Delaware corporation
|
2)
|
CFC Investment Company, an Ohio corporation
|
3)
|
CSU Producer Resources, Inc., an Ohio corporation
|
A. Consolidated Debt
|
$
|
B. Consolidated Net Worth
|
$
|
C. Item A ÷ (Item A + Item B)
|
__________ to 1.00
|
|
|
The Cincinnati Insurance Company
n
The Cincinnati Indemnity Company
The Cincinnati Casualty Company
n
The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
n
CFC Investment Company
n
CSU Producer Resources Inc.
|
•
|
Fourth-quarter 2018 net loss of $452 million, or $2.78 per share, compared with $642 million of net income, or $3.88 per share, in the fourth quarter of 2017, after recognizing a $599 million reduction in the fair value of equity securities still held that prior to 2018 would have been reported in other comprehensive income instead of net income.
|
•
|
Full-year 2018 net income of $287 million, or $1.75 per share, compared with $1.045 billion, or $6.29 per share, in 2017.
|
•
|
$94 million or 21 percent increase in full-year 2018 non-GAAP operating income of $549 million, or $3.35 per share, up from $455 million, or $2.74 per share, with property casualty underwriting profit up 45 percent.
|
•
|
Decrease in fourth-quarter 2018 net income reflected the after-tax net effect of a $605 million decrease in net investment gains and a $495 million benefit in 2017 from net deferred income tax liability revaluation due to U.S. tax reform.
|
•
|
$48.10 book value per share at December 31, 2018, down $2.19 or 4.4 percent since December 31, 2017.
|
•
|
Negative 0.1 percent value creation ratio for full-year 2018, compared with 22.9 percent for 2017.
|
(Dollars in millions except per share data)
|
Three months ended December 31,
|
Twelve months ended December 31,
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
% Change
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
% Change
|
|||||||||
Revenue Data
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Earned premiums
|
|
$
|
1,318
|
|
|
$
|
1,258
|
|
|
5
|
|
$
|
5,170
|
|
|
$
|
4,954
|
|
|
4
|
Investment income, net of expenses
|
|
161
|
|
|
156
|
|
|
3
|
|
619
|
|
|
609
|
|
|
2
|
||||
Total revenues
|
|
710
|
|
|
1,411
|
|
|
(50)
|
|
5,407
|
|
|
5,732
|
|
|
(6)
|
||||
Income Statement Data
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Net income (loss)
|
|
$
|
(452
|
)
|
|
$
|
642
|
|
|
nm
|
|
$
|
287
|
|
|
$
|
1,045
|
|
|
(73)
|
Investment gains and losses, net
|
|
(611
|
)
|
|
(6
|
)
|
|
nm
|
|
(318
|
)
|
|
95
|
|
|
nm
|
||||
Other non-recurring items
|
|
—
|
|
|
495
|
|
|
nm
|
|
56
|
|
|
495
|
|
|
(89)
|
||||
Non-GAAP operating income*
|
|
$
|
159
|
|
|
$
|
153
|
|
|
4
|
|
$
|
549
|
|
|
$
|
455
|
|
|
21
|
Per Share Data (diluted)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Net income (loss)
|
|
$
|
(2.78
|
)
|
|
$
|
3.88
|
|
|
nm
|
|
$
|
1.75
|
|
|
$
|
6.29
|
|
|
(72)
|
Investment gains and losses, net
|
|
(3.76
|
)
|
|
(0.04
|
)
|
|
nm
|
|
(1.94
|
)
|
|
0.57
|
|
|
nm
|
||||
Other non-recurring items
|
|
—
|
|
|
2.99
|
|
|
nm
|
|
$
|
0.34
|
|
|
2.98
|
|
|
(89)
|
|||
Non-GAAP operating income*
|
|
$
|
0.98
|
|
|
$
|
0.93
|
|
|
5
|
|
$
|
3.35
|
|
|
$
|
2.74
|
|
|
22
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Book value
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
48.10
|
|
|
$
|
50.29
|
|
|
(4)
|
||||
Cash dividend declared
|
|
$
|
0.53
|
|
|
$
|
1.00
|
|
|
(47)
|
|
$
|
2.12
|
|
|
$
|
2.50
|
|
|
(15)
|
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding
|
|
162.8
|
|
|
165.6
|
|
|
(2)
|
|
164.5
|
|
|
166.0
|
|
|
(1)
|
*
|
The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles.
|
**
|
Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company’s safe harbor statement.
|
•
|
93.9 percent fourth-quarter 2018 property casualty combined ratio, up from 92.9 percent for the fourth quarter of 2017. Full-year 2018 property casualty combined ratio at 96.4 percent, with net written premiums up 4 percent.
|
•
|
4 percent increase in fourth-quarter 2018 net written premiums, reflecting price increases and premium growth initiatives.
|
•
|
$158 million fourth-quarter 2018 property casualty new business written premiums. Agencies appointed since the beginning of 2017 contributed $21 million or 13 percent of total fourth-quarter new business written premiums.
|
•
|
13 percent growth in term life insurance earned premiums, with $3 million of fourth-quarter 2018 life insurance subsidiary net income.
|
•
|
3 percent or $5 million rise in fourth-quarter 2018 pretax investment income, including 9 percent growth for stock portfolio dividends and 1 percent growth for bond interest income.
|
•
|
2 percent full-year decrease in fair value of total investments at December 31, 2018, including decreases of 5 percent for the stock portfolio and less than 1 percent for the bond portfolio.
|
•
|
$2.478 billion parent company cash and marketable securities at year-end 2018, down 1 percent from a year ago.
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
Three months ended December 31,
|
|
Twelve months ended December 31,
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
% Change
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
% Change
|
||||||||
Earned premiums
|
|
$
|
1,253
|
|
|
$
|
1,199
|
|
|
5
|
|
$
|
4,920
|
|
|
$
|
4,722
|
|
|
4
|
Fee revenues
|
|
3
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
0
|
|
11
|
|
|
11
|
|
|
0
|
||||
Total revenues
|
|
1,256
|
|
|
1,202
|
|
|
4
|
|
4,931
|
|
|
4,733
|
|
|
4
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Loss and loss expenses
|
|
798
|
|
|
741
|
|
|
8
|
|
3,223
|
|
|
3,138
|
|
|
3
|
||||
Underwriting expenses
|
|
379
|
|
|
373
|
|
|
2
|
|
1,522
|
|
|
1,467
|
|
|
4
|
||||
Underwriting profit
|
|
$
|
79
|
|
|
$
|
88
|
|
|
(10)
|
|
$
|
186
|
|
|
$
|
128
|
|
|
45
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
||||||||
Loss and loss expenses
|
|
63.7
|
%
|
|
61.8
|
%
|
|
1.9
|
|
65.5
|
%
|
|
66.4
|
%
|
|
(0.9)
|
||||
Underwriting expenses
|
|
30.2
|
|
|
31.1
|
|
|
(0.9)
|
|
30.9
|
|
|
31.1
|
|
|
(0.2)
|
||||
Combined ratio
|
|
93.9
|
%
|
|
92.9
|
%
|
|
1.0
|
|
96.4
|
%
|
|
97.5
|
%
|
|
(1.1)
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
% Change
|
|
|
|
|
|
% Change
|
||||||||
Agency renewal written premiums
|
|
$
|
1,037
|
|
|
$
|
987
|
|
|
5
|
|
$
|
4,358
|
|
|
$
|
4,198
|
|
|
4
|
Agency new business written premiums
|
|
158
|
|
|
151
|
|
|
5
|
|
652
|
|
|
626
|
|
|
4
|
||||
Cincinnati Re net written premiums
|
|
28
|
|
|
21
|
|
|
33
|
|
158
|
|
|
125
|
|
|
26
|
||||
Other written premiums
|
|
(46
|
)
|
|
(29
|
)
|
|
(59)
|
|
(138
|
)
|
|
(109
|
)
|
|
(27)
|
||||
Net written premiums
|
|
$
|
1,177
|
|
|
$
|
1,130
|
|
|
4
|
|
$
|
5,030
|
|
|
$
|
4,840
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
||||||||
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
|
|
59.9
|
%
|
|
62.2
|
%
|
|
(2.3)
|
|
61.5
|
%
|
|
61.1
|
%
|
|
0.4
|
||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses
|
|
7.4
|
|
|
1.5
|
|
|
5.9
|
|
7.4
|
|
|
7.8
|
|
|
(0.4)
|
||||
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
|
|
(3.2
|
)
|
|
(1.3
|
)
|
|
(1.9)
|
|
(3.1
|
)
|
|
(1.9
|
)
|
|
(1.2)
|
||||
Prior accident years catastrophe losses
|
|
(0.4
|
)
|
|
(0.6
|
)
|
|
0.2
|
|
(0.3
|
)
|
|
(0.6
|
)
|
|
0.3
|
||||
Loss and loss expense ratio
|
|
63.7
|
%
|
|
61.8
|
%
|
|
1.9
|
|
65.5
|
%
|
|
66.4
|
%
|
|
(0.9)
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Current accident year combined ratio before
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
catastrophe losses
|
|
90.1
|
%
|
|
93.3
|
%
|
|
(3.2)
|
|
92.4
|
%
|
|
92.2
|
%
|
|
0.2
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
•
|
4 percent growth in both fourth-quarter and full-year 2018 property casualty net written premiums, with Cincinnati Re contributing 1 percent to growth in both periods. The increase in premiums also reflects other growth initiatives, price increases and a higher level of insured exposures.
|
•
|
5 percent and 4 percent increase in fourth-quarter and full-year 2018 new business premiums written by agencies, compared with a year ago. The full-year increase included a $44 million increase in standard market property casualty production from agencies appointed since the beginning of 2017.
|
•
|
167 new agency appointments in full-year 2018, including 69 that market only our personal lines products.
|
•
|
1.0 percentage-point fourth-quarter 2018 combined ratio increase, including an increase of 6.1 points from higher losses from natural catastrophes, partially offset by a decrease of 2.3 points for current accident year loss and loss expense experience before catastrophe losses.
|
•
|
1.1 percentage-point improvement in full-year 2018 combined ratio, compared with 2017, including a decrease of 0.1 points for losses from natural catastrophes.
|
•
|
3.6 and 3.4 percentage-point fourth-quarter and full-year 2018 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $44 million and $167 million, compared with 1.9 points or $23 million for fourth-quarter 2017 and 2.5 points or $119 million of favorable development for full-year 2017.
|
•
|
0.4 percentage-point increase, to 61.5 percent, for the full-year 2018 ratio of current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, including a decrease of 0.2 points in the ratio for current accident year losses of $1 million or more per claim.
|
•
|
0.2 percentage-point decrease in the full-year 2018 underwriting expense ratio, reflecting higher earned premiums and ongoing expense management efforts.
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
Three months ended December 31,
|
|
Twelve months ended December 31,
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
% Change
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
% Change
|
||||||||
Earned premiums
|
|
$
|
811
|
|
|
$
|
796
|
|
|
2
|
|
$
|
3,218
|
|
|
$
|
3,165
|
|
|
2
|
Fee revenues
|
|
2
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
0
|
|
5
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
0
|
||||
Total revenues
|
|
813
|
|
|
798
|
|
|
2
|
|
3,223
|
|
|
3,170
|
|
|
2
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Loss and loss expenses
|
|
505
|
|
|
487
|
|
|
4
|
|
2,049
|
|
|
2,042
|
|
|
0
|
||||
Underwriting expenses
|
|
253
|
|
|
253
|
|
|
0
|
|
1,023
|
|
|
1,009
|
|
|
1
|
||||
Underwriting profit
|
|
$
|
55
|
|
|
$
|
58
|
|
|
(5)
|
|
$
|
151
|
|
|
$
|
119
|
|
|
27
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
||||||||
Loss and loss expenses
|
|
62.3
|
%
|
|
61.1
|
%
|
|
1.2
|
|
63.7
|
%
|
|
64.5
|
%
|
|
(0.8)
|
||||
Underwriting expenses
|
|
31.1
|
|
|
31.8
|
|
|
(0.7)
|
|
31.7
|
|
|
31.9
|
|
|
(0.2)
|
||||
Combined ratio
|
|
93.4
|
%
|
|
92.9
|
%
|
|
0.5
|
|
95.4
|
%
|
|
96.4
|
%
|
|
(1.0)
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
% Change
|
|
|
|
|
|
% Change
|
||||||||
Agency renewal written premiums
|
|
$
|
694
|
|
|
$
|
672
|
|
|
3
|
|
$
|
2,925
|
|
|
$
|
2,880
|
|
|
2
|
Agency new business written premiums
|
|
101
|
|
|
96
|
|
|
5
|
|
417
|
|
|
397
|
|
|
5
|
||||
Other written premiums
|
|
(34
|
)
|
|
(22
|
)
|
|
(55)
|
|
(97
|
)
|
|
(75
|
)
|
|
(29)
|
||||
Net written premiums
|
|
$
|
761
|
|
|
$
|
746
|
|
|
2
|
|
$
|
3,245
|
|
|
$
|
3,202
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
||||||||
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
|
|
62.8
|
%
|
|
62.0
|
%
|
|
0.8
|
|
62.1
|
%
|
|
61.1
|
%
|
|
1.0
|
||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses
|
|
4.9
|
|
|
1.3
|
|
|
3.6
|
|
6.5
|
|
|
5.7
|
|
|
0.8
|
||||
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
|
|
(4.7
|
)
|
|
(1.2
|
)
|
|
(3.5)
|
|
(4.2
|
)
|
|
(1.6
|
)
|
|
(2.6)
|
||||
Prior accident years catastrophe losses
|
|
(0.7
|
)
|
|
(1.0
|
)
|
|
0.3
|
|
(0.7
|
)
|
|
(0.7
|
)
|
|
0.0
|
||||
Loss and loss expense ratio
|
|
62.3
|
%
|
|
61.1
|
%
|
|
1.2
|
|
63.7
|
%
|
|
64.5
|
%
|
|
(0.8)
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Current accident year combined ratio before
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
catastrophe losses
|
|
93.9
|
%
|
|
93.8
|
%
|
|
0.1
|
|
93.8
|
%
|
|
93.0
|
%
|
|
0.8
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
•
|
2 percent and 1 percent growth in fourth-quarter and full-year 2018 commercial lines net written premiums, including price increases and growth initiatives that were partially offset by targeted underwriting actions.
|
•
|
$20 million or 5 percent rise in full-year 2018 new business written by agencies, driven by production from agencies appointed since the beginning of 2017.
|
•
|
0.5 percentage-point fourth-quarter 2018 combined ratio increase, including an increase of 3.9 points for losses from natural catastrophes.
|
•
|
1.0 percentage-point improvement in the full-year 2018 combined ratio, partially offset by an increase of 0.8 points from natural catastrophe losses.
|
•
|
5.4 and 4.9 percentage-point fourth-quarter and full-year 2018 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $43 million and $157 million, compared with 2.2 points or $18 million for fourth-quarter 2017 and 2.3 points or $73 million of favorable development for full-year 2017.
|
•
|
1.0 percentage-point increase, to 62.1 percent, for the full-year 2018 ratio of current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, including an increase of 0.3 points in the ratio for current accident year losses of $1 million or more per claim.
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
Three months ended December 31,
|
|
Twelve months ended December 31,
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
% Change
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
% Change
|
||||||||
Earned premiums
|
|
$
|
342
|
|
|
$
|
320
|
|
|
7
|
|
$
|
1,336
|
|
|
$
|
1,241
|
|
|
8
|
Fee revenues
|
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
0
|
|
5
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
0
|
||||
Total revenues
|
|
343
|
|
|
321
|
|
|
7
|
|
1,341
|
|
|
1,246
|
|
|
8
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Loss and loss expenses
|
|
216
|
|
|
212
|
|
|
2
|
|
972
|
|
|
918
|
|
|
6
|
||||
Underwriting expenses
|
|
97
|
|
|
93
|
|
|
4
|
|
389
|
|
|
360
|
|
|
8
|
||||
Underwriting profit (loss)
|
|
$
|
30
|
|
|
$
|
16
|
|
|
88
|
|
$
|
(20
|
)
|
|
$
|
(32
|
)
|
|
38
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
||||||||
Loss and loss expenses
|
|
63.3
|
%
|
|
66.3
|
%
|
|
(3.0)
|
|
72.8
|
%
|
|
74.0
|
%
|
|
(1.2)
|
||||
Underwriting expenses
|
|
28.4
|
|
|
29.2
|
|
|
(0.8)
|
|
29.1
|
|
|
29.0
|
|
|
0.1
|
||||
Combined ratio
|
|
91.7
|
%
|
|
95.5
|
%
|
|
(3.8)
|
|
101.9
|
%
|
|
103.0
|
%
|
|
(1.1)
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
% Change
|
|
|
|
|
|
% Change
|
||||||||
Agency renewal written premiums
|
|
$
|
293
|
|
|
$
|
275
|
|
|
7
|
|
$
|
1,241
|
|
|
$
|
1,156
|
|
|
7
|
Agency new business written premiums
|
|
38
|
|
|
39
|
|
|
(3)
|
|
165
|
|
|
161
|
|
|
2
|
||||
Other written premiums
|
|
(8
|
)
|
|
(5
|
)
|
|
(60)
|
|
(28
|
)
|
|
(23
|
)
|
|
(22)
|
||||
Net written premiums
|
|
$
|
323
|
|
|
$
|
309
|
|
|
5
|
|
$
|
1,378
|
|
|
$
|
1,294
|
|
|
6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
||||||||
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
|
|
56.2
|
%
|
|
64.9
|
%
|
|
(8.7)
|
|
62.8
|
%
|
|
64.0
|
%
|
|
(1.2)
|
||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses
|
|
8.0
|
|
|
1.8
|
|
|
6.2
|
|
9.1
|
|
|
11.2
|
|
|
(2.1)
|
||||
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
|
|
(1.1
|
)
|
|
(0.5
|
)
|
|
(0.6)
|
|
0.6
|
|
|
(0.9
|
)
|
|
1.5
|
||||
Prior accident years catastrophe losses
|
|
0.2
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
0.3
|
|
|
(0.3
|
)
|
|
0.6
|
||||
Loss and loss expense ratio
|
|
63.3
|
%
|
|
66.3
|
%
|
|
(3.0)
|
|
72.8
|
%
|
|
74.0
|
%
|
|
(1.2)
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Current accident year combined ratio before
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
catastrophe losses
|
|
84.6
|
%
|
|
94.1
|
%
|
|
(9.5)
|
|
91.9
|
%
|
|
93.0
|
%
|
|
(1.1)
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
•
|
5 percent and 6 percent growth in fourth-quarter and full-year 2018 personal lines net written premiums, primarily due to higher renewal written premiums that benefited from rate increases.
|
•
|
1 percent increase in full-year 2018 earned premiums in aggregate from our five highest volume states where we offer personal lines policies and that represent approximately half of our personal lines premiums, while rising 14 percent for all other states in aggregate as we progress toward geographic diversification.
|
•
|
2 percent increase in full-year 2018 new business written premium, driven by an increase of approximately $13 million from agencies’ high net worth clients and reflecting underwriting discipline, while fourth-quarter 2018 total new business written premiums decreased by 3 percent.
|
•
|
3.8 percentage-point improvement in fourth-quarter 2018 combined ratio, partially offset by an increase of 6.3 points from natural catastrophe losses.
|
•
|
1.1 percentage-point improvement in the full-year 2018 combined ratio, including 1.5 points from a decrease in losses from natural catastrophes.
|
•
|
0.9 percentage-point or $3 million fourth-quarter 2018 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development and unfavorable development of 0.9 points or $13 million for full-year 2018, compared with favorable prior reserve development of 0.4 points or $1 million for fourth-quarter 2017 and 1.2 points or $14 million for full-year 2017.
|
•
|
1.2 percentage-point decrease, to 62.8 percent, for the full-year 2018 ratio of current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, including a decrease of 1.1 points in the ratio for current accident year losses of $1 million or more per claim.
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
Three months ended December 31,
|
|
Twelve months ended December 31,
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
% Change
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
% Change
|
||||||||
Earned premiums
|
|
$
|
61
|
|
|
$
|
56
|
|
|
9
|
|
$
|
234
|
|
|
$
|
209
|
|
|
12
|
Fee revenues
|
|
—
|
|
|
—
|
|
|
0
|
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
0
|
||||
Total revenues
|
|
61
|
|
|
56
|
|
|
9
|
|
235
|
|
|
210
|
|
|
12
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Loss and loss expenses
|
|
29
|
|
|
28
|
|
|
4
|
|
104
|
|
|
86
|
|
|
21
|
||||
Underwriting expenses
|
|
17
|
|
|
17
|
|
|
0
|
|
68
|
|
|
63
|
|
|
8
|
||||
Underwriting profit
|
|
$
|
15
|
|
|
$
|
11
|
|
|
36
|
|
$
|
63
|
|
|
$
|
61
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
||||||||
Loss and loss expenses
|
|
46.8
|
%
|
|
50.7
|
%
|
|
(3.9)
|
|
44.4
|
%
|
|
41.4
|
%
|
|
3.0
|
||||
Underwriting expenses
|
|
28.6
|
|
|
29.1
|
|
|
(0.5)
|
|
29.1
|
|
|
29.7
|
|
|
(0.6)
|
||||
Combined ratio
|
|
75.4
|
%
|
|
79.8
|
%
|
|
(4.4)
|
|
73.5
|
%
|
|
71.1
|
%
|
|
2.4
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
% Change
|
|
|
|
|
|
% Change
|
||||||||
Agency renewal written premiums
|
|
$
|
50
|
|
|
$
|
40
|
|
|
25
|
|
$
|
192
|
|
|
$
|
162
|
|
|
19
|
Agency new business written premiums
|
|
19
|
|
|
16
|
|
|
19
|
|
70
|
|
|
68
|
|
|
3
|
||||
Other written premiums
|
|
(4
|
)
|
|
(2
|
)
|
|
(100)
|
|
(13
|
)
|
|
(11
|
)
|
|
(18)
|
||||
Net written premiums
|
|
$
|
65
|
|
|
$
|
54
|
|
|
20
|
|
$
|
249
|
|
|
$
|
219
|
|
|
14
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pt. Change
|
||||||||
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
|
|
50.9
|
%
|
|
57.6
|
%
|
|
(6.7)
|
|
53.9
|
%
|
|
54.0
|
%
|
|
(0.1)
|
||||
Current accident year catastrophe losses
|
|
0.8
|
|
|
0.3
|
|
|
0.5
|
|
1.1
|
|
|
1.1
|
|
|
0.0
|
||||
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
|
|
(4.9
|
)
|
|
(7.1
|
)
|
|
2.2
|
|
(10.6
|
)
|
|
(13.6
|
)
|
|
3.0
|
||||
Prior accident years catastrophe losses
|
|
0.0
|
|
|
(0.1
|
)
|
|
0.1
|
|
0.0
|
|
|
(0.1
|
)
|
|
0.1
|
||||
Loss and loss expense ratio
|
|
46.8
|
%
|
|
50.7
|
%
|
|
(3.9)
|
|
44.4
|
%
|
|
41.4
|
%
|
|
3.0
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Current accident year combined ratio before
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
catastrophe losses
|
|
79.5
|
%
|
|
86.7
|
%
|
|
(7.2)
|
|
83.0
|
%
|
|
83.7
|
%
|
|
(0.7)
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
•
|
20 percent and 14 percent growth in fourth-quarter and full-year 2018 excess and surplus lines net written premiums, including renewal price increases averaging in the low-single-digit percent range.
|
•
|
3 percent increase in full-year 2018 new business written premiums, reflecting a highly competitive market particularly for larger policies and increased marketing efforts while continuing to carefully underwrite each policy.
|
•
|
4.4 percentage-point improvement in fourth-quarter 2018 combined ratio, primarily due to a decrease of 6.7 points in the ratio for current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophe losses.
|
•
|
2.4 percentage-point increase in the full-year 2018 combined ratio, primarily due to less favorable prior accident year reserve development.
|
•
|
4.9 and 10.6 percentage-point fourth-quarter and full-year 2018 benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $2 million and $24 million, compared with 7.2 points or $4 million for fourth-quarter 2017 and 13.7 points or $29 million of favorable development for full-year 2017.
|
•
|
0.1 percentage-point improvement, to 53.9 percent, for the full-year 2018 ratio of current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes, including an increase of 0.3 points in the ratio for current accident year losses of $1 million or more per claim.
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
Three months ended December 31,
|
|
Twelve months ended December 31,
|
|||||||||||||||||
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
% Change
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
% Change
|
|||||||||
Term life insurance
|
|
$
|
45
|
|
|
$
|
40
|
|
|
13
|
|
$
|
172
|
|
|
$
|
158
|
|
|
9
|
Universal life insurance
|
|
10
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
0
|
|
37
|
|
|
38
|
|
|
(3)
|
||||
Other life insurance, annuity, and disability income
products
|
|
10
|
|
|
9
|
|
|
11
|
|
41
|
|
|
36
|
|
|
14
|
||||
Earned premiums
|
|
65
|
|
|
59
|
|
|
10
|
|
250
|
|
|
232
|
|
|
8
|
||||
Investment income, net of expenses
|
|
38
|
|
|
38
|
|
|
0
|
|
153
|
|
|
155
|
|
|
(1)
|
||||
Investment gains and losses, net
|
|
(4
|
)
|
|
2
|
|
|
nm
|
|
(4
|
)
|
|
6
|
|
|
nm
|
||||
Fee revenues
|
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
0
|
|
4
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
(20)
|
||||
Total revenues
|
|
100
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
0
|
|
403
|
|
|
398
|
|
|
1
|
||||
Contract holders’ benefits incurred
|
|
76
|
|
|
68
|
|
|
12
|
|
267
|
|
|
252
|
|
|
6
|
||||
Underwriting expenses incurred
|
|
19
|
|
|
16
|
|
|
19
|
|
75
|
|
|
79
|
|
|
(5)
|
||||
Total benefits and expenses
|
|
95
|
|
|
84
|
|
|
13
|
|
342
|
|
|
331
|
|
|
3
|
||||
Net income before income tax
|
|
5
|
|
|
16
|
|
|
(69)
|
|
61
|
|
|
67
|
|
|
(9)
|
||||
Income (benefit) tax
|
|
2
|
|
|
(106
|
)
|
|
nm
|
|
13
|
|
|
(88
|
)
|
|
nm
|
||||
Net income of the life insurance subsidiary
|
|
$
|
3
|
|
|
$
|
122
|
|
|
(98)
|
|
$
|
48
|
|
|
$
|
155
|
|
|
(69)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
•
|
$18 million or 8 percent increase in full-year 2018 earned premiums, including a 9 percent increase for term life insurance, our largest life insurance product line.
|
•
|
$4 million improvement in full-year 2018 life insurance subsidiary net income, largely due to decreased income taxes as a result of tax reform, after factoring out the 2017 $111 million benefit from revaluation of deferred income taxes due to tax reform.
|
•
|
$47 million or 4 percent full-year 2018 decrease to $1.057 billion in GAAP shareholders’ equity for The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company, primarily from a decrease in unrealized investment gains.
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
Three months ended December 31,
|
|
Twelve months ended December 31,
|
||||||||||||||||
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
% Change
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
% Change
|
|||||||||
Investment income, net of expenses
|
|
$
|
161
|
|
|
$
|
156
|
|
|
3
|
|
$
|
619
|
|
|
$
|
609
|
|
|
2
|
Investment interest credited to contract holders’
|
|
(24
|
)
|
|
(23
|
)
|
|
(4)
|
|
(96
|
)
|
|
(93
|
)
|
|
(3)
|
||||
Investment gains and losses, net
|
|
(774
|
)
|
|
(8
|
)
|
|
nm
|
|
(402
|
)
|
|
148
|
|
|
(372)
|
||||
Investment profit
|
|
$
|
(637
|
)
|
|
$
|
125
|
|
|
nm
|
|
$
|
121
|
|
|
$
|
664
|
|
|
(82)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Investment income:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Interest
|
|
$
|
112
|
|
|
$
|
111
|
|
|
1
|
|
$
|
445
|
|
|
$
|
445
|
|
|
—
|
Dividends
|
|
50
|
|
|
46
|
|
|
9
|
|
181
|
|
|
170
|
|
|
6
|
||||
Other
|
|
2
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
100
|
|
5
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
25
|
||||
Less investment expenses
|
|
3
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
50
|
|
12
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
20
|
||||
Investment income, pretax
|
|
161
|
|
|
156
|
|
|
3
|
|
619
|
|
|
609
|
|
|
2
|
||||
Less income taxes
|
|
25
|
|
|
36
|
|
|
(31)
|
|
95
|
|
|
142
|
|
|
(33)
|
||||
Total investment income, after-tax
|
|
$
|
136
|
|
|
$
|
120
|
|
|
13
|
|
$
|
524
|
|
|
$
|
467
|
|
|
12
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Investment returns:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Average invested assets plus cash and cash
equivalents |
|
$
|
17,756
|
|
|
$
|
17,128
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
17,397
|
|
|
$
|
16,657
|
|
|
|
Average yield pretax
|
|
3.63
|
%
|
|
3.64
|
%
|
|
|
|
3.56
|
%
|
|
3.66
|
%
|
|
|
||||
Average yield after-tax
|
|
3.06
|
|
|
2.80
|
|
|
|
|
3.01
|
|
|
2.80
|
|
|
|
||||
Effective tax rate
|
|
15.5
|
%
|
|
22.9
|
%
|
|
|
|
15.4
|
%
|
|
23.4
|
%
|
|
|
||||
Fixed-maturity returns:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Average amortized cost
|
|
$
|
10,648
|
|
|
$
|
10,225
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
10,479
|
|
|
$
|
10,057
|
|
|
|
Average yield pretax
|
|
4.21
|
%
|
|
4.34
|
%
|
|
|
|
4.25
|
%
|
|
4.42
|
%
|
|
|
||||
Average yield after-tax
|
|
3.51
|
|
|
3.20
|
|
|
|
|
3.55
|
|
|
3.24
|
|
|
|
||||
Effective tax rate
|
|
16.6
|
%
|
|
26.3
|
%
|
|
|
|
16.4
|
%
|
|
26.7
|
%
|
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
•
|
$5 million or 3 percent rise in fourth-quarter 2018 pretax investment income, including 9 percent growth in equity portfolio dividends and 1 percent growth in interest income.
|
•
|
$735 million fourth-quarter and $741 million full-year 2018 total investment losses, summarized on the table below. Changes in unrealized gains or losses reported in other comprehensive income, in addition to investment gains and losses reported in net income, are useful for evaluating total investment performance over time and are major components of changes in book value and the value creation ratio.
|
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
Three months ended December 31,
|
|
Twelve months ended December 31,
|
||||||||||||
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|||||||||
Investment gains and losses on equity securities, net
|
|
$
|
(5
|
)
|
|
$
|
(23
|
)
|
|
$
|
9
|
|
|
$
|
120
|
|
Unrealized gains and losses on equity securities still
held, net
|
|
(758
|
)
|
|
—
|
|
|
(404
|
)
|
|
—
|
|
||||
Investment gains and losses on fixed-maturity securities,
net
|
|
(2
|
)
|
|
9
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
19
|
|
||||
Other
|
|
(9
|
)
|
|
6
|
|
|
(12
|
)
|
|
9
|
|
||||
Subtotal - investment gains and losses reported in net
income
|
|
(774
|
)
|
|
(8
|
)
|
|
(402
|
)
|
|
148
|
|
||||
Change in unrealized investment gains and losses -
equity securities
|
|
—
|
|
|
697
|
|
|
—
|
|
|
816
|
|
||||
Change in unrealized investment gains and losses - fixed
maturities
|
|
39
|
|
|
(323
|
)
|
|
(339
|
)
|
|
99
|
|
||||
Total
|
|
$
|
(735
|
)
|
|
$
|
366
|
|
|
$
|
(741
|
)
|
|
$
|
1,063
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions except share data)
|
|
At December 31,
|
|
At December 31,
|
||||
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|||||
Total investments
|
|
$
|
16,732
|
|
|
$
|
17,051
|
|
Total assets
|
|
21,935
|
|
|
21,843
|
|
||
Short-term debt
|
|
32
|
|
|
24
|
|
||
Long-term debt
|
|
788
|
|
|
787
|
|
||
Shareholders’ equity
|
|
7,833
|
|
|
8,243
|
|
||
Book value per share
|
|
48.10
|
|
|
50.29
|
|
||
Debt-to-total-capital ratio
|
|
9.5
|
%
|
|
9.0
|
%
|
•
|
$17.516 billion in consolidated cash and invested assets at December 31, 2018, down 1 percent from $17.708 billion at year-end 2017.
|
•
|
$10.689 billion bond portfolio at December 31, 2018, with an average rating of A2/A. Fair value increased $29 million or less than 1 percent during the fourth quarter of 2018.
|
•
|
$5.920 billion equity portfolio was 35.4 percent of total investments, including $2.552 billion in appreciated value before taxes at December 31, 2018. Fourth-quarter 2018 decrease in fair value of $743 million or 11 percent.
|
•
|
$4.919 billion of statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at December 31, 2018, down $175 million from $5.094 billion at year-end 2017, after declaring $500 million in dividends to the parent company. The ratio of net written premiums to property casualty statutory surplus for the 12 months ended December 31, 2018, was 1.0-to-1, matching year-end 2017.
|
•
|
$300 million five-year term line of credit effective February 4, 2019, with generally more flexible terms and conditions than the prior version at $225 million.
|
•
|
$3.12 fourth-quarter 2018 decrease in book value per share, including an addition of $0.98 from net income before investment gains that was offset by deductions of $3.53 from investment portfolio net investment losses or changes in unrealized gains for fixed-maturity securities, $0.04 for other items and $0.53 from dividends declared to shareholders.
|
•
|
Value creation ratio of negative 0.1 percent for full-year 2018, including 7.4 percentage points from net income before investment gains, which includes underwriting and investment income plus a 0.7 percent benefit from certain non-recurring items that include the impact of various tax accounting method changes, and negative 7.0 points from investment portfolio net investment losses or changes in unrealized gains for fixed-maturity securities, including 3.8 points from our stock portfolio and 3.2 points from our bond portfolio, in addition to negative 0.5 percent from other items.
|
•
|
The fact that the consummation of the transaction to acquire MSP Underwriting Ltd. and its subsidiaries is subject to closing conditions, one or more of which may not be satisfied, or that the transaction is not consummated for any other reason
|
•
|
Our inability to integrate MSP and its subsidiaries into our on-going operations, or disruptions to our on-going operations due to such integration
|
•
|
Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes
|
•
|
Increased frequency and/or severity of claims or development of claims that are unforeseen at the time of policy issuance
|
•
|
Inadequate estimates, assumptions or reliance on third-party data used for critical accounting estimates
|
•
|
Declines in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company’s equity portfolio and book value
|
•
|
Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company’s ability to generate growth in investment income or interest rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments, including declines in accounts in which we hold bank-owned life insurance contract assets
|
•
|
Domestic and global events resulting in capital market or credit market uncertainty, followed by prolonged periods of economic instability or recession, that lead to:
|
◦
|
Significant or prolonged decline in the fair value of a particular security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
|
◦
|
Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of securities
|
◦
|
Significant rise in losses from surety and director and officer policies written for financial institutions or other insured entities
|
•
|
Recession or other economic conditions resulting in lower demand for insurance products or increased payment delinquencies
|
•
|
Difficulties with technology or data security breaches, including cyberattacks, that could negatively affect our ability to conduct business; disrupt our relationships with agents, policyholders and others; cause reputational damage, mitigation expenses and data loss and expose us to liability under federal and state laws
|
•
|
Disruption of the insurance market caused by technology innovations such as driverless cars that could decrease consumer demand for insurance products
|
•
|
Delays, inadequate data developed internally or from third parties, or performance inadequacies from ongoing development and implementation of underwriting and pricing methods, including telematics and other usage-based insurance methods, or technology projects and enhancements expected to increase our pricing accuracy, underwriting profit and competitiveness
|
•
|
Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company’s premium volume
|
•
|
Changing consumer insurance-buying habits and consolidation of independent insurance agencies that could alter our competitive advantages
|
•
|
Inability to obtain adequate ceded reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance coverage purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for nonpayment or delay in payment by reinsurers
|
•
|
Inability to defer policy acquisition costs for any business segment if pricing and loss trends would lead management to conclude that segment could not achieve sustainable profitability
|
•
|
Inability of our subsidiaries to pay dividends consistent with current or past levels
|
•
|
Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company’s relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company’s opportunities for growth, such as:
|
◦
|
Downgrades of the company’s financial strength ratings
|
◦
|
Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult
|
◦
|
Perceptions that the company’s level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace
|
◦
|
Inability or unwillingness to nimbly develop and introduce coverage product updates and innovations that our competitors offer and consumers expect to find in the marketplace
|
•
|
Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies, including a change to a federal system of regulation from a state-based system, that:
|
◦
|
Impose new obligations on us that increase our expenses or change the assumptions underlying our critical accounting estimates
|
◦
|
Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations
|
◦
|
Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business
|
◦
|
Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance‑related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes
|
◦
|
Increase our provision for federal income taxes due to changes in tax law
|
◦
|
Increase our other expenses
|
◦
|
Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
|
◦
|
Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
|
◦
|
Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents
|
•
|
Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
|
•
|
Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company’s future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
|
•
|
Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
|
•
|
Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location
|
(Dollars in millions except per share data)
|
|
December 31,
|
|
December 31,
|
||||
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
||||
Assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Investments
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2018—$10,643; 2017—$10,314)
|
|
$
|
10,689
|
|
|
$
|
10,699
|
|
Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2018—$3,368; 2017—$3,094)
|
|
5,920
|
|
|
6,249
|
|
||
Other invested assets
|
|
123
|
|
|
103
|
|
||
Total investments
|
|
16,732
|
|
|
17,051
|
|
||
Cash and cash equivalents
|
|
784
|
|
|
657
|
|
||
Investment income receivable
|
|
132
|
|
|
134
|
|
||
Finance receivable
|
|
71
|
|
|
61
|
|
||
Premiums receivable
|
|
1,644
|
|
|
1,589
|
|
||
Reinsurance recoverable
|
|
484
|
|
|
432
|
|
||
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
|
|
44
|
|
|
42
|
|
||
Deferred policy acquisition costs
|
|
738
|
|
|
670
|
|
||
Land, building and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation:
2018—$265; 2017—$253)
|
|
195
|
|
|
185
|
|
||
Other assets
|
|
308
|
|
|
216
|
|
||
Separate accounts
|
|
803
|
|
|
806
|
|
||
Total assets
|
|
$
|
21,935
|
|
|
$
|
21,843
|
|
Liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Insurance reserves
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Loss and loss expense reserves
|
|
$
|
5,707
|
|
|
$
|
5,273
|
|
Life policy and investment contract reserves
|
|
2,779
|
|
|
2,729
|
|
||
Unearned premiums
|
|
2,516
|
|
|
2,404
|
|
||
Other liabilities
|
|
804
|
|
|
792
|
|
||
Deferred income tax
|
|
627
|
|
|
745
|
|
||
Note payable
|
|
32
|
|
|
24
|
|
||
Long-term debt and capital lease obligations
|
|
834
|
|
|
827
|
|
||
Separate accounts
|
|
803
|
|
|
806
|
|
||
Total liabilities
|
|
14,102
|
|
|
13,600
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Shareholders' Equity
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Common stock, par value—$2 per share; (authorized: 2018 and 2017—500 million shares;
issued: 2018 and 2017—198.3 million shares)
|
|
397
|
|
|
397
|
|
||
Paid-in capital
|
|
1,281
|
|
|
1,265
|
|
||
Retained earnings
|
|
7,625
|
|
|
5,180
|
|
||
Accumulated other comprehensive income
|
|
22
|
|
|
2,788
|
|
||
Treasury stock at cost (2018—35.5 million shares and 2017—34.4 million shares)
|
|
(1,492
|
)
|
|
(1,387
|
)
|
||
Total shareholders' equity
|
|
$
|
7,833
|
|
|
$
|
8,243
|
|
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity
|
|
$
|
21,935
|
|
|
$
|
21,843
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
(Dollars in millions except per share data)
|
Three months ended December 31,
|
|
Twelve months ended December 31,
|
||||||||||||
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
||||||||
Revenues
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Earned premiums
|
$
|
1,318
|
|
|
$
|
1,258
|
|
|
$
|
5,170
|
|
|
$
|
4,954
|
|
Investment income, net of expenses
|
161
|
|
|
156
|
|
|
619
|
|
|
609
|
|
||||
Investment gains and losses, net
|
(774
|
)
|
|
(8
|
)
|
|
(402
|
)
|
|
148
|
|
||||
Fee revenues
|
4
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
15
|
|
|
16
|
|
||||
Other revenues
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
5
|
|
||||
Total revenues
|
710
|
|
|
1,411
|
|
|
5,407
|
|
|
5,732
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Benefits and Expenses
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Insurance losses and contract holders’ benefits
|
874
|
|
|
809
|
|
|
3,490
|
|
|
3,390
|
|
||||
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
|
398
|
|
|
389
|
|
|
1,597
|
|
|
1,546
|
|
||||
Interest expense
|
13
|
|
|
14
|
|
|
53
|
|
|
53
|
|
||||
Other operating expenses
|
6
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
16
|
|
|
13
|
|
||||
Total benefits and expenses
|
1,291
|
|
|
1,214
|
|
|
5,156
|
|
|
5,002
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Income (Loss) Before Income Taxes
|
(581
|
)
|
|
197
|
|
|
251
|
|
|
730
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Provision (Benefit) for Income Taxes
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Current
|
48
|
|
|
31
|
|
|
11
|
|
|
129
|
|
||||
Deferred
|
(177
|
)
|
|
(476
|
)
|
|
(47
|
)
|
|
(444
|
)
|
||||
Total provision (benefit) for income taxes
|
(129
|
)
|
|
(445
|
)
|
|
(36
|
)
|
|
(315
|
)
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Net Income (loss)
|
$
|
(452
|
)
|
|
$
|
642
|
|
|
$
|
287
|
|
|
$
|
1,045
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Per Common Share
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Net income (loss)—basic
|
$
|
(2.78
|
)
|
|
$
|
3.92
|
|
|
$
|
1.76
|
|
|
$
|
6.36
|
|
Net income (loss)—diluted
|
(2.78
|
)
|
|
3.88
|
|
|
1.75
|
|
|
6.29
|
|
•
|
Non-GAAP operating income: Non-GAAP operating income is calculated by excluding investment gains and losses (defined as investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) and other significant non-recurring items from net income. Management evaluates non-GAAP operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses on fixed-maturity securities sold in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses are recognized from certain changes in
|
•
|
Consolidated property casualty insurance results: To supplement reporting segment disclosures related to our property casualty insurance operations, we also evaluate results for those operations on a basis that includes results for our property casualty insurance and brokerage services subsidiaries. That is the total of our commercial lines, personal lines and our excess and surplus lines segment plus our reinsurance assumed operations.
|
•
|
Life insurance subsidiary results: To supplement life insurance reporting segment disclosures related to our life insurance operation, we also evaluate results for that operation on a basis that includes life insurance subsidiary investment income, or investment income plus investment gains and losses, that are also included in our investments reporting segment. We recognize that assets under management, capital appreciation and investment income are integral to evaluating the success of the life insurance segment because of the long duration of life products.
|
Net Income Reconciliation
|
||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions except per share data)
|
|
Three months ended December 31,
|
|
Twelve months ended December 31,
|
||||||||||||
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
||||||||
Net income (loss)
|
|
$
|
(452
|
)
|
|
$
|
642
|
|
|
$
|
287
|
|
|
$
|
1,045
|
|
Less:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Investment gains and losses, net
|
|
(774
|
)
|
|
(8
|
)
|
|
(402
|
)
|
|
148
|
|
||||
Income tax on investment gains and losses
|
|
163
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
84
|
|
|
(53
|
)
|
||||
Investment gains and losses, after-tax
|
|
(611
|
)
|
|
(6
|
)
|
|
(318
|
)
|
|
95
|
|
||||
Other non-recurring items
|
|
—
|
|
|
495
|
|
|
56
|
|
|
495
|
|
||||
Non-GAAP operating income
|
|
$
|
159
|
|
|
$
|
153
|
|
|
$
|
549
|
|
|
$
|
455
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Diluted per share data:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Net income (loss)
|
|
$
|
(2.78
|
)
|
|
$
|
3.88
|
|
|
$
|
1.75
|
|
|
$
|
6.29
|
|
Less:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Investment gains and losses, net
|
|
(4.75
|
)
|
|
(0.05
|
)
|
|
(2.44
|
)
|
|
0.89
|
|
||||
Income tax on investment gains and losses
|
|
0.99
|
|
|
0.01
|
|
|
0.50
|
|
|
(0.32
|
)
|
||||
Investment gains and losses, after-tax
|
|
(3.76
|
)
|
|
(0.04
|
)
|
|
(1.94
|
)
|
|
0.57
|
|
||||
Other non-recurring items
|
|
—
|
|
|
2.99
|
|
|
0.34
|
|
|
2.98
|
|
||||
Non-GAAP operating income
|
|
$
|
0.98
|
|
|
$
|
0.93
|
|
|
$
|
3.35
|
|
|
$
|
2.74
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Life Insurance Reconciliation
|
||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions)
|
|
Three months ended December 31,
|
|
Twelve months ended December 31,
|
||||||||||||
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
||||||||
Net income of life insurance subsidiary
|
|
$
|
3
|
|
|
$
|
122
|
|
|
$
|
48
|
|
|
$
|
155
|
|
Investment gains, net
|
|
(4
|
)
|
|
2
|
|
|
(4
|
)
|
|
6
|
|
||||
Income tax on investment gains
|
|
—
|
|
|
—
|
|
|
—
|
|
|
2
|
|
||||
Effects of U.S. tax reform legislation
|
|
—
|
|
|
111
|
|
|
—
|
|
|
111
|
|
||||
Non-GAAP operating income
|
|
7
|
|
|
9
|
|
|
52
|
|
|
40
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Investment income, net of expenses
|
|
(38
|
)
|
|
(38
|
)
|
|
(153
|
)
|
|
(155
|
)
|
||||
Investment income credited to contract holders'
|
|
24
|
|
|
23
|
|
|
96
|
|
|
93
|
|
||||
Income tax excluding tax on investment gains and effects of U.S. tax reform legislation
|
|
2
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
13
|
|
|
21
|
|
||||
Life insurance segment profit (loss)
|
|
$
|
(5
|
)
|
|
$
|
(1
|
)
|
|
$
|
8
|
|
|
$
|
(1
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
•
|
Value creation ratio: This is a measure of shareholder value creation that management believes captures the contribution of the company’s insurance operations, the success of its investment strategy and the importance placed on paying cash dividends to shareholders. The value creation ratio measure is made up of two primary components: (1) rate of growth in book value per share plus (2) the ratio of dividends declared per share to beginning book value per share. Management believes this measure is useful, providing a meaningful measure of long-term progress in creating shareholder value. It is intended to be all-inclusive regarding changes in book value per share, and uses originally reported book value per share in cases where book value per share has been adjusted, such as adoption of Accounting Standards Updates with a cumulative effect of a change in accounting.
|
•
|
Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments and differ from GAAP. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
|
•
|
Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.
|
Property Casualty Operations Reconciliation
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
(Dollars in millions)
|
Three months ended December 31, 2018
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Consolidated
|
Commercial
|
Personal
|
|
E&S
|
|
Cincinnati Re
|
||||||||||||||||||
Premiums:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
Written premiums
|
|
$
|
1,177
|
|
|
|
$
|
761
|
|
|
|
$
|
323
|
|
|
|
$
|
65
|
|
|
|
$
|
28
|
|
|
Unearned premiums change
|
|
76
|
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
19
|
|
|
|
(4
|
)
|
|
|
11
|
|
|
|||||
Earned premiums
|
|
$
|
1,253
|
|
|
|
$
|
811
|
|
|
|
$
|
342
|
|
|
|
$
|
61
|
|
|
|
$
|
39
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
Statutory ratios:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
Combined ratio
|
|
95.5
|
%
|
|
|
95.0
|
%
|
|
|
93.1
|
%
|
|
|
76.1
|
%
|
|
|
158.1
|
%
|
|
|||||
Contribution from catastrophe losses
|
|
7.0
|
|
|
|
4.2
|
|
|
|
8.2
|
|
|
|
0.8
|
|
|
|
63.3
|
|
|
|||||
Combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
|
|
88.5
|
%
|
|
|
90.8
|
%
|
|
|
84.9
|
%
|
|
|
75.3
|
%
|
|
|
94.8
|
%
|
|
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
Commission expense ratio
|
|
19.8
|
%
|
|
|
19.5
|
%
|
|
|
18.9
|
%
|
|
|
26.4
|
%
|
|
|
25.3
|
%
|
|
|||||
Other underwriting expense ratio
|
|
12.0
|
|
|
|
13.2
|
|
|
|
10.9
|
|
|
|
2.9
|
|
|
|
8.9
|
|
|
|||||
Total expense ratio
|
|
31.8
|
%
|
|
|
32.7
|
%
|
|
|
29.8
|
%
|
|
|
29.3
|
%
|
|
|
34.2
|
%
|
|
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
GAAP ratios:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
Combined ratio
|
|
93.9
|
%
|
|
|
93.4
|
%
|
|
|
91.7
|
%
|
|
|
75.4
|
%
|
|
|
153.0
|
%
|
|
|||||
Contribution from catastrophe losses
|
|
7.0
|
|
|
|
4.2
|
|
|
|
8.2
|
|
|
|
0.8
|
|
|
|
63.3
|
|
|
|||||
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
|
|
(3.2
|
)
|
|
|
(4.7
|
)
|
|
|
(1.1
|
)
|
|
|
(4.9
|
)
|
|
|
13.2
|
|
|
|||||
Current accident year combined ratio before
catastrophe losses
|
|
90.1
|
%
|
|
|
93.9
|
%
|
|
|
84.6
|
%
|
|
|
79.5
|
%
|
|
|
76.5
|
%
|
|
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
(Dollars in millions)
|
Twelve months ended December 31, 2018
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Consolidated
|
Commercial
|
Personal
|
|
E&S
|
|
Cincinnati Re
|
||||||||||||||||||
Premiums:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
Written premiums
|
|
$
|
5,030
|
|
|
|
$
|
3,245
|
|
|
|
$
|
1,378
|
|
|
|
$
|
249
|
|
|
|
$
|
158
|
|
|
Unearned premiums change
|
|
(110
|
)
|
|
|
(27
|
)
|
|
|
(42
|
)
|
|
|
(15
|
)
|
|
|
(26
|
)
|
|
|||||
Earned premiums
|
|
$
|
4,920
|
|
|
|
$
|
3,218
|
|
|
|
$
|
1,336
|
|
|
|
$
|
234
|
|
|
|
$
|
132
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
Statutory ratios:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
Combined ratio
|
|
96.0
|
%
|
|
|
95.1
|
%
|
|
|
101.2
|
%
|
|
|
73.5
|
%
|
|
|
106.8
|
%
|
|
|||||
Contribution from catastrophe losses
|
|
7.1
|
|
|
|
5.8
|
|
|
|
9.4
|
|
|
|
1.1
|
|
|
|
24.9
|
|
|
|||||
Combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
|
|
88.9
|
%
|
|
|
89.3
|
%
|
|
|
91.8
|
%
|
|
|
72.4
|
%
|
|
|
81.9
|
%
|
|
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
Commission expense ratio
|
|
18.8
|
%
|
|
|
18.3
|
%
|
|
|
17.8
|
%
|
|
|
25.9
|
%
|
|
|
26.2
|
%
|
|
|||||
Other underwriting expense ratio
|
|
11.7
|
|
|
|
13.1
|
|
|
|
10.6
|
|
|
|
3.2
|
|
|
|
6.6
|
|
|
|||||
Total expense ratio
|
|
30.5
|
%
|
|
|
31.4
|
%
|
|
|
28.4
|
%
|
|
|
29.1
|
%
|
|
|
32.8
|
%
|
|
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
GAAP ratios:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
Combined ratio
|
|
96.4
|
%
|
|
|
95.4
|
%
|
|
|
101.9
|
%
|
|
|
73.5
|
%
|
|
|
105.8
|
%
|
|
|||||
Contribution from catastrophe losses
|
|
7.1
|
|
|
|
5.8
|
|
|
|
9.4
|
|
|
|
1.1
|
|
|
|
24.9
|
|
|
|||||
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
|
|
(3.1
|
)
|
|
|
(4.2
|
)
|
|
|
0.6
|
|
|
|
(10.6
|
)
|
|
|
1.1
|
|
|
|||||
Current accident year combined ratio before
catastrophe losses
|
|
92.4
|
%
|
|
|
93.8
|
%
|
|
|
91.9
|
%
|
|
|
83.0
|
%
|
|
|
79.8
|
%
|
|
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on dollar amounts in thousands.
|
Investor Contact:
|
Media Contact:
|
Shareholder Contact:
|
Dennis E. McDaniel
|
Betsy E. Ertel
|
Brandon McIntosh
|
513-870-2768
|
513-603-5323
|
513-870-2696
|
|
A.M. Best Company
|
Fitch Ratings
|
Moody's Investors Service
|
S&P Global Ratings
|
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
|
|
|
|
|
Corporate Debt
|
a-
|
A-
|
A3
|
BBB+
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Cincinnati Insurance Companies
|
|
|
|
|
Insurer Financial Strength
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Casualty Group
|
|
|
|
|
Standard Market Subsidiaries:
|
A+
|
—
|
A1
|
A+
|
The Cincinnati Insurance Company
|
A+
|
A+
|
A1
|
A+
|
The Cincinnati Indemnity Company
|
A+
|
A+
|
A1
|
A+
|
The Cincinnati Casualty Company
|
A+
|
A+
|
A1
|
A+
|
Surplus Lines Subsidiary:
|
|
|
|
|
The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company
|
A+
|
—
|
—
|
—
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
|
A
|
A+
|
—
|
A+
|
|
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
|
|
|
Supplemental Financial Data
|
|
|
Fourth Quarter 2018
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page
|
|
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
|
3
|
|
|
|
Consolidated
|
|
|
|
CFC and Subsidiaries Consolidation – Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2018
|
4
|
|
CFC and Subsidiaries Consolidation – Three Months Ended December 31, 2018
|
5
|
|
5-Year Net Income Reconciliation
|
6
|
|
|
|
Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations
|
|
|
|
Statutory Statements of Income
|
7
|
|
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies – Losses Incurred Detail
|
8
|
|
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies – Loss Ratio Detail
|
9
|
|
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies – Loss Claim Count Detail
|
10
|
|
Direct Written Premiums by Risk State by Line of Business
|
11
|
|
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines
|
12
|
|
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines and Excess & Surplus Lines
|
13
|
|
Loss and Loss Expense Analysis – Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2018
|
14
|
|
Loss and Loss Expense Analysis – Three Months Ended December 31, 2018
|
15
|
|
|
|
Reconciliation Data
|
|
|
|
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Consolidated
|
16
|
|
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines
|
17
|
|
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines
|
18
|
|
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Excess & Surplus Lines
|
19
|
|
|
|
Life Insurance Operations
|
|
|
|
Statutory Statements of Income
|
20
|
|
|
|
Noninsurance Operations and Cincinnati Re
|
|
|
|
Quarterly Data – Other
|
21
|
•
|
Non-GAAP operating income: Non-GAAP operating income is calculated by excluding investment gains and losses (defined as investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) and other significant non-recurring items from net income. Management evaluates non-GAAP operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses on fixed-maturity securities sold in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses are recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.
|
•
|
Consolidated property casualty insurance results: To supplement reporting segment disclosures related to our property casualty insurance operations, we also evaluate results for those operations on a basis that includes results for our property casualty insurance and brokerage services subsidiaries. That is the total of our commercial lines, personal lines and our excess and surplus lines segment plus our reinsurance assumed operations.
|
•
|
Life insurance subsidiary results: To supplement life insurance reporting segment disclosures related to our life insurance operation, we also evaluate results for that operation on a basis that includes life insurance subsidiary investment income, or investment income plus investment gains and losses, that are also included in our investments reporting segment. We recognize that assets under management, capital appreciation and investment income are integral to evaluating the success of the life insurance segment because of the long duration of life products.
|
•
|
Value creation ratio: This is a measure of shareholder value creation that management believes captures the contribution of the company’s insurance operations, the success of its investment strategy and the importance placed on paying cash dividends to shareholders. The value creation ratio measure is made up of two primary components: (1) rate of growth in book value per share plus (2) the ratio of dividends declared per share to beginning book value per share. Management believes this measure is useful, providing a meaningful measure of long-term progress in creating shareholder value. It is intended to be all-inclusive regarding changes in book value per share, and uses originally reported book value per share in cases where book value per share has been adjusted, such as adoption of Accounting Standards Updates with a cumulative effect of a change in accounting.
|
•
|
Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments and differ from GAAP. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
|
•
|
Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.
|
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Losses Incurred Detail
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions)
|
Three months ended
|
Six months ended
|
Nine months ended
|
Twelve months ended
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
12/31/18
|
9/30/18
|
6/30/18
|
3/31/18
|
12/31/17
|
9/30/17
|
6/30/17
|
3/31/17
|
6/30/18
|
6/30/17
|
9/30/18
|
9/30/17
|
12/31/18
|
12/31/17
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Consolidated
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year losses greater than $5,000,000
|
$
|
14
|
|
$
|
8
|
|
$
|
6
|
|
$
|
15
|
|
$
|
11
|
|
$
|
6
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
28
|
|
$
|
21
|
|
$
|
28
|
|
$
|
29
|
|
$
|
34
|
|
$
|
43
|
|
$
|
45
|
|
Current accident year losses $1,000,000-$5,000,000
|
54
|
|
70
|
|
62
|
|
32
|
|
60
|
|
75
|
|
48
|
|
29
|
|
94
|
|
77
|
|
164
|
|
152
|
|
218
|
|
212
|
|
||||||||||||||
Large loss prior accident year reserve development
|
21
|
|
10
|
|
4
|
|
34
|
|
9
|
|
4
|
|
21
|
|
17
|
|
38
|
|
38
|
|
48
|
|
42
|
|
69
|
|
51
|
|
||||||||||||||
Total large losses incurred
|
$
|
89
|
|
$
|
88
|
|
$
|
72
|
|
$
|
81
|
|
$
|
80
|
|
$
|
85
|
|
$
|
69
|
|
$
|
74
|
|
$
|
153
|
|
$
|
143
|
|
$
|
241
|
|
$
|
228
|
|
$
|
330
|
|
$
|
308
|
|
Losses incurred but not reported
|
23
|
|
(10
|
)
|
87
|
|
10
|
|
60
|
|
(9
|
)
|
(1
|
)
|
4
|
|
97
|
|
3
|
|
87
|
|
(6
|
)
|
110
|
|
54
|
|
||||||||||||||
Other losses excluding catastrophe losses
|
451
|
|
482
|
|
433
|
|
520
|
|
450
|
|
499
|
|
487
|
|
467
|
|
953
|
|
954
|
|
1,435
|
|
1,453
|
|
1,886
|
|
1,903
|
|
||||||||||||||
Catastrophe losses
|
83
|
|
117
|
|
83
|
|
51
|
|
8
|
|
104
|
|
112
|
|
103
|
|
134
|
|
215
|
|
251
|
|
319
|
|
334
|
|
327
|
|
||||||||||||||
Total losses incurred
|
$
|
646
|
|
$
|
677
|
|
$
|
675
|
|
$
|
662
|
|
$
|
598
|
|
$
|
679
|
|
$
|
667
|
|
$
|
648
|
|
$
|
1,337
|
|
$
|
1,315
|
|
$
|
2,014
|
|
$
|
1,994
|
|
$
|
2,660
|
|
$
|
2,592
|
|
Commercial Lines
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year losses greater than $5,000,000
|
$
|
8
|
|
$
|
8
|
|
$
|
6
|
|
$
|
15
|
|
$
|
5
|
|
$
|
6
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
28
|
|
$
|
21
|
|
$
|
28
|
|
$
|
29
|
|
$
|
34
|
|
$
|
37
|
|
$
|
39
|
|
Current accident year losses $1,000,000-$5,000,000
|
47
|
|
62
|
|
51
|
|
22
|
|
51
|
|
56
|
|
33
|
|
26
|
|
73
|
|
59
|
|
135
|
|
115
|
|
182
|
|
166
|
|
||||||||||||||
Large loss prior accident year reserve development
|
24
|
|
11
|
|
1
|
|
29
|
|
10
|
|
1
|
|
19
|
|
17
|
|
30
|
|
36
|
|
41
|
|
37
|
|
65
|
|
47
|
|
||||||||||||||
Total large losses incurred
|
$
|
79
|
|
$
|
81
|
|
$
|
58
|
|
$
|
66
|
|
$
|
66
|
|
$
|
63
|
|
$
|
52
|
|
$
|
71
|
|
$
|
124
|
|
$
|
123
|
|
$
|
205
|
|
$
|
186
|
|
$
|
284
|
|
$
|
252
|
|
Losses incurred but not reported
|
18
|
|
(23
|
)
|
53
|
|
16
|
|
44
|
|
1
|
|
21
|
|
(5
|
)
|
69
|
|
16
|
|
46
|
|
17
|
|
64
|
|
61
|
|
||||||||||||||
Other losses excluding catastrophe losses
|
266
|
|
284
|
|
247
|
|
325
|
|
273
|
|
313
|
|
292
|
|
306
|
|
572
|
|
598
|
|
856
|
|
911
|
|
1,122
|
|
1,184
|
|
||||||||||||||
Catastrophe losses
|
32
|
|
75
|
|
51
|
|
22
|
|
1
|
|
27
|
|
64
|
|
58
|
|
73
|
|
122
|
|
148
|
|
149
|
|
180
|
|
150
|
|
||||||||||||||
Total losses incurred
|
$
|
395
|
|
$
|
417
|
|
$
|
409
|
|
$
|
429
|
|
$
|
384
|
|
$
|
404
|
|
$
|
429
|
|
$
|
430
|
|
$
|
838
|
|
$
|
859
|
|
$
|
1,255
|
|
$
|
1,263
|
|
$
|
1,650
|
|
$
|
1,647
|
|
Personal Lines
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year losses greater than $5,000,000
|
$
|
6
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
6
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
6
|
|
$
|
6
|
|
Current accident year losses $1,000,000-$5,000,000
|
4
|
|
7
|
|
11
|
|
10
|
|
6
|
|
19
|
|
15
|
|
3
|
|
21
|
|
18
|
|
28
|
|
37
|
|
32
|
|
43
|
|
||||||||||||||
Large loss prior accident year reserve development
|
(3
|
)
|
(1
|
)
|
3
|
|
5
|
|
(1
|
)
|
3
|
|
1
|
|
—
|
|
8
|
|
1
|
|
7
|
|
4
|
|
4
|
|
3
|
|
||||||||||||||
Total large losses incurred
|
$
|
7
|
|
$
|
6
|
|
$
|
14
|
|
$
|
15
|
|
$
|
11
|
|
$
|
22
|
|
$
|
16
|
|
$
|
3
|
|
$
|
29
|
|
$
|
19
|
|
$
|
35
|
|
$
|
41
|
|
$
|
42
|
|
$
|
52
|
|
Losses incurred but not reported
|
(3
|
)
|
11
|
|
31
|
|
(1
|
)
|
10
|
|
(17
|
)
|
(12
|
)
|
10
|
|
30
|
|
(2
|
)
|
41
|
|
(19
|
)
|
38
|
|
(9
|
)
|
||||||||||||||
Other losses excluding catastrophe losses
|
154
|
|
172
|
|
157
|
|
167
|
|
157
|
|
164
|
|
164
|
|
144
|
|
324
|
|
308
|
|
496
|
|
472
|
|
650
|
|
629
|
|
||||||||||||||
Catastrophe losses
|
27
|
|
33
|
|
33
|
|
29
|
|
5
|
|
34
|
|
47
|
|
46
|
|
62
|
|
93
|
|
95
|
|
127
|
|
122
|
|
132
|
|
||||||||||||||
Total losses incurred
|
$
|
185
|
|
$
|
222
|
|
$
|
235
|
|
$
|
210
|
|
$
|
183
|
|
$
|
203
|
|
$
|
215
|
|
$
|
203
|
|
$
|
445
|
|
$
|
418
|
|
$
|
667
|
|
$
|
621
|
|
$
|
852
|
|
$
|
804
|
|
Excess & Surplus Lines
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current accident year losses greater than $5,000,000
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
Current accident year losses $1,000,000-$5,000,000
|
3
|
|
1
|
|
—
|
|
—
|
|
3
|
|
—
|
|
—
|
|
—
|
|
—
|
|
—
|
|
1
|
|
—
|
|
4
|
|
3
|
|
||||||||||||||
Large loss prior accident year reserve development
|
—
|
|
—
|
|
—
|
|
—
|
|
—
|
|
—
|
|
1
|
|
—
|
|
—
|
|
1
|
|
—
|
|
1
|
|
—
|
|
1
|
|
||||||||||||||
Total large losses incurred
|
$
|
3
|
|
$
|
1
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
3
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
1
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
—
|
|
$
|
1
|
|
$
|
1
|
|
$
|
1
|
|
$
|
4
|
|
$
|
4
|
|
Losses incurred but not reported
|
8
|
|
2
|
|
3
|
|
(5
|
)
|
6
|
|
7
|
|
(10
|
)
|
(1
|
)
|
(2
|
)
|
(11
|
)
|
—
|
|
(4
|
)
|
8
|
|
2
|
|
||||||||||||||
Other losses excluding catastrophe losses
|
8
|
|
11
|
|
17
|
|
14
|
|
9
|
|
8
|
|
19
|
|
8
|
|
31
|
|
27
|
|
42
|
|
35
|
|
50
|
|
44
|
|
||||||||||||||
Catastrophe losses
|
—
|
|
1
|
|
—
|
|
1
|
|
—
|
|
1
|
|
1
|
|
—
|
|
1
|
|
1
|
|
2
|
|
2
|
|
2
|
|
2
|
|
||||||||||||||
Total losses incurred
|
$
|
19
|
|
$
|
15
|
|
$
|
20
|
|
$
|
10
|
|
$
|
18
|
|
$
|
16
|
|
$
|
11
|
|
$
|
7
|
|
$
|
30
|
|
$
|
18
|
|
$
|
45
|
|
$
|
34
|
|
$
|
64
|
|
$
|
52
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
|