Consolidated Results of Operations
This section discusses our condensed consolidated results of operations and should be read together with our condensed consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes.
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Summary of Condensed Consolidated Results of Operations | |
| | | | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | | | |
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| | | | | | | | 2022 | | 2021 | | Variance | |
| | | | | | | (Dollars in millions) | |
Net interest income | | | | | | | | $ | 7,399 | | | $ | 6,742 | | | $ | 657 | | |
Fee and other income | | | | | | | | 83 | | | 87 | | | (4) | | |
Net revenues | | | | | | | | 7,482 | | | 6,829 | | | 653 | | |
Investment gains (losses), net | | | | | | | | (102) | | | 45 | | | (147) | | |
Fair value gains, net | | | | | | | | 480 | | | 784 | | | (304) | | |
Administrative expenses | | | | | | | | (808) | | | (748) | | | (60) | | |
Credit-related income (expense): | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Benefit (provision) for credit losses | | | | | | | | (240) | | | 765 | | | (1,005) | | |
Foreclosed property income | | | | | | | | 39 | | | 5 | | | 34 | | |
Total credit-related income (expense) | | | | | | | | (201) | | | 770 | | | (971) | | |
TCCA fees(1) | | | | | | | | (824) | | | (731) | | | (93) | | |
Credit enhancement expense(2) | | | | | | | | (278) | | | (284) | | | 6 | | |
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries(3) | | | | | | | | 60 | | | (31) | | | 91 | | |
Other expenses, net(4) | | | | | | | | (236) | | | (319) | | | 83 | | |
Income before federal income taxes | | | | | | | | 5,573 | | | 6,315 | | | (742) | | |
Provision for federal income taxes | | | | | | | | (1,165) | | | (1,322) | | | 157 | | |
Net income | | | | | | | | $ | 4,408 | | | $ | 4,993 | | | $ | (585) | | |
Total comprehensive income | | | | | | | | $ | 4,401 | | | $ | 4,966 | | | $ | (565) | | |
(1)TCCA fees refers to the expense recognized as a result of the 10 basis point increase in guaranty fees on all single-family residential mortgages delivered to us on or after April 1, 2012 pursuant to the Temporary Payroll Tax Cut Continuation Act of 2011 and as extended by the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, which we remit to Treasury. For more information on TCCA fees, see "Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies—Related Parties—Transactions with Treasury."
(2)Consists of costs associated with our freestanding credit enhancements, which primarily include our Connecticut Avenue Securities® (“CAS”) and Credit Insurance Risk TransferTM (“CIRTTM”) programs, enterprise-paid mortgage insurance (“EPMI”) and certain lender risk-sharing programs.
(3)Includes estimated changes in benefits from our freestanding credit enhancements as well as any realized amounts.
(4)Consists of debt extinguishment gains and losses, housing trust fund expenses, loan subservicing costs, servicer fees paid in connection with certain loss mitigation activities, and gains and losses from partnership investments.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 9 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Net Interest Income
Our primary source of net interest income is guaranty fees we receive for managing the credit risk on loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS held by third parties.
Guaranty fees consist of two primary components:
•base guaranty fees that we receive over the life of the loan; and
•upfront fees that we receive at the time of loan acquisition primarily related to single-family loan-level price adjustments and other fees we receive from lenders, which are amortized into net interest income as cost basis adjustments over the contractual life of the loan. We refer to this as amortization income.
We recognize almost all of our guaranty fee revenue in net interest income because we consolidate the substantial majority of loans underlying our Fannie Mae MBS in consolidated trusts in our condensed consolidated balance sheets. Guaranty fees from these loans account for the difference between the interest income on loans in consolidated trusts and the interest expense on the debt of consolidated trusts.
The timing of when we recognize amortization income can vary based on a number of factors, the most significant of which is a change in mortgage interest rates. In a rising interest-rate environment, our mortgage loans tend to prepay more slowly, which typically results in lower net amortization income. Conversely, in a declining interest-rate environment, our mortgage loans tend to prepay faster, typically resulting in higher net amortization income.
We also recognize net interest income on the difference between interest income earned on the assets in our retained mortgage portfolio and our other investments portfolio (collectively, our “portfolios”) and the interest expense associated with the debt that funds those assets. See “Retained Mortgage Portfolio” and “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Other Investments Portfolio” for more information about our portfolios.
We recognize fair value changes attributable to movements in benchmark interest rates for mortgage loans and funding debt, and for related interest-rate swaps in hedging relationships, as a component of net interest income, including the amortization of hedge-related basis adjustments on mortgage loans or funding debt and any related interest accrual on the swaps. The income or expense associated with this activity is presented in the “Income from hedge accounting” line item in the table below. See “MD&A—Consolidated Results of Operations—Hedge Accounting Impact” and “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in our 2021 Form 10-K for more information about our hedge accounting program.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 10 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
The table below displays the components of our net interest income from our guaranty book of business, which we discuss in “Guaranty Book of Business,” and from our portfolios, as well as from hedge accounting.
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Components of Net Interest Income |
| | | | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | | |
| | | | | | | | 2022 | | 2021 | | Variance |
| | | | | | | (Dollars in millions) |
Net interest income from guaranty book of business: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Base guaranty fee income(1) | | | | | | | | $ | 3,897 | | | $ | 3,197 | | | $ | 700 | |
Base guaranty fee income related to TCCA fees(2) | | | | | | | | 824 | | | 731 | | | 93 | |
Net amortization income(3) | | | | | | | | 2,374 | | | 2,526 | | | (152) | |
Total net interest income from guaranty book of business | | | | | | | | 7,095 | | | 6,454 | | | 641 | |
Net interest income from portfolios(4) | | | | | | | | 242 | | | 266 | | | (24) | |
Income from hedge accounting | | | | | | | | 62 | | | 22 | | | 40 | |
Total net interest income | | | | | | | | $ | 7,399 | | | $ | 6,742 | | | $ | 657 | |
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Income from hedge accounting included in net interest income: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Fair value losses on designated risk management derivatives in fair value hedges | | | | | | | | $ | (1,297) | | | $ | (1,178) | | | $ | (119) | |
Fair value gains on hedged mortgage loans held for investment and debt of Fannie Mae(5) | | | | | | | | 1,385 | | | 1,159 | | | 226 | |
Contractual interest income accruals related to interest-rate swaps designated as hedging instruments | | | | | | | | 39 | | | 54 | | | (15) | |
Discontinued hedge-related basis adjustment amortization | | | | | | | | (65) | | | (13) | | | (52) | |
Total income from hedge accounting in net interest income | | | | | | | | $ | 62 | | | $ | 22 | | | $ | 40 | |
(1)Excludes revenues generated by the 10 basis point guaranty fee increase we implemented pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from which is remitted to Treasury and not retained by us.
(2)Represents revenues generated by the 10 basis point guaranty fee increase we implemented pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from which is remitted to Treasury and not retained by us.
(3)Net amortization income refers to the amortization of premiums and discounts on mortgage loans and debt of consolidated trusts. These cost basis adjustments represent the difference between the initial fair value and the carrying value of these instruments as well as upfront fees we receive at the time of loan acquisition. It does not include the amortization of cost basis adjustments resulting from hedge accounting, which is included in income from hedge accounting.
(4)Includes interest income from assets held in our retained mortgage portfolio and our other investments portfolio, as well as other assets used to support lender liquidity. Also includes interest expense on our outstanding Connecticut Avenue Securities debt.
(5)Amounts are recorded as cost basis adjustments on the hedged loans or debt and amortized over the hedged item’s remaining contractual life beginning at the termination of the hedging relationship. See “Note 8, Derivative Instruments” for additional information on the effect of our fair value hedge accounting program and related disclosures.
Net interest income increased in the first quarter of 2022 compared with the first quarter of 2021, driven by higher base guaranty fee income, partially offset by lower net amortization income.
•Higher base guaranty fee income. An increase in the size of our guaranty book of business was the primary driver of the increase in base guaranty fee income for the first quarter of 2022 compared to the first quarter of 2021.
•Lower net amortization income. Throughout the first quarter of 2022 we were in a higher interest-rate environment and observed lower volumes of refinancing activity compared with the first quarter of 2021. Lower prepayment volumes result in a slower turnover of our book of business. As a result, we had lower amortization income in the first quarter of 2022 compared with the first quarter of 2021.
We expect refinancing activity to be significantly lower throughout 2022 compared with 2021 levels as we expect interest rates to remain elevated throughout 2022, resulting in fewer borrowers who may benefit from refinancing. As a result, we expect lower amortization income in 2022 compared with 2021.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 11 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Analysis of Net Interest Income
The table below displays an analysis of our net interest income, average balances and related yields earned on assets and incurred on liabilities. For most components of the average balances, we use a daily weighted average of unpaid principal balance net of unamortized cost basis adjustments. When daily average balance information is not available, such as for mortgage loans, we use monthly averages.
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Analysis of Net Interest Income and Yield(1) |
| | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| | 2022 | | 2021 |
| | Average Balance | | Interest Income/ (Expense) | | Average Rates Earned/Paid | | Average Balance | | Interest Income/ (Expense) | | Average Rates Earned/Paid |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Interest-earning assets: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Mortgage loans of Fannie Mae | | $ | 65,984 | | | $ | 629 | | | 3.81 | % | | $ | 109,537 | | | $ | 825 | | | 3.01 | % |
Mortgage loans of consolidated trusts | | 3,955,055 | | | 26,513 | | | 2.68 | | | 3,600,116 | | | 22,528 | | | 2.50 | |
Total mortgage loans(2) | | 4,021,039 | | | 27,142 | | | 2.70 | | | 3,709,653 | | | 23,353 | | | 2.52 | |
Mortgage-related securities | | 5,476 | | | 23 | | | 1.68 | | | 7,403 | | | 42 | | | 2.27 | |
Non-mortgage-related securities(3) | | 151,841 | | | 143 | | | 0.38 | | | 164,404 | | | 117 | | | 0.28 | |
Securities purchased under agreements to resell or similar arrangements | | 20,372 | | | 6 | | | 0.12 | | | 60,103 | | | 8 | | | 0.05 | |
Advances to lenders | | 6,957 | | | 26 | | | 1.49 | | | 10,965 | | | 42 | | | 1.53 | |
Total interest-earning assets | | $ | 4,205,685 | | | $ | 27,340 | | | 2.60 | % | | $ | 3,952,528 | | | $ | 23,562 | | | 2.38 | % |
Interest-bearing liabilities: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Short-term funding debt | | $ | 4,922 | | | $ | (1) | | | 0.08 | % | | $ | 9,779 | | | $ | (3) | | | 0.12 | % |
Long-term funding debt | | 173,420 | | | (550) | | | 1.27 | | | 259,737 | | | (760) | | | 1.17 | |
CAS debt | | 10,846 | | | (119) | | | 4.39 | | | 14,804 | | | (153) | | | 4.13 | |
Total debt of Fannie Mae | | 189,188 | | | (670) | | | 1.42 | | | 284,320 | | | (916) | | | 1.29 | |
Debt securities of consolidated trusts held by third parties | | 3,966,445 | | | (19,271) | | | 1.94 | | | 3,643,848 | | | (15,904) | | | 1.75 | |
Total interest-bearing liabilities | | $ | 4,155,633 | | | $ | (19,941) | | | 1.92 | % | | $ | 3,928,168 | | | $ | (16,820) | | | 1.71 | % |
Net interest income/net interest yield | | | | $ | 7,399 | | | 0.70 | % | | | | $ | 6,742 | | | 0.68 | % |
(1)Includes the effects of discounts, premiums and other cost basis adjustments.
(2)Average balance includes mortgage loans on nonaccrual status. Interest income from yield maintenance revenue and the amortization of loan fees, primarily consisting of upfront cash fees, was $1.8 billion for the first quarter of 2022, compared to $2.5 billion for the first quarter of 2021.
(3)Consists of cash, cash equivalents and U.S. Treasury securities.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 12 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Analysis of Deferred Amortization Income
We initially recognize mortgage loans and debt of consolidated trusts in our condensed consolidated balance sheets at fair value. The difference between the initial fair value and the carrying value of these instruments is recorded as a cost basis adjustment, either as a premium or a discount, in our condensed consolidated balance sheets. We amortize these cost basis adjustments over the contractual lives of the loans or debt. On a net basis, for mortgage loans and debt of consolidated trusts, we are in a premium position with respect to debt of consolidated trusts, which represents deferred income we will recognize in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income as amortization income in future periods.
Deferred Amortization Income Represented by Net Premium Position
on Debt of Consolidated Trusts
(Dollars in billions)
Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net
The estimated fair value of our derivatives, trading securities and other financial instruments carried at fair value may fluctuate substantially from period to period because of changes in interest rates, the yield curve, mortgage and credit spreads and implied volatility, as well as activity related to these financial instruments.
As discussed below in “Impact of Hedge Accounting on Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net,” we apply fair value hedge accounting to reduce earnings volatility in our financial statements driven by changes in interest rates. Accordingly, we recognize the fair value gains and losses and the contractual interest income and expense associated with risk management derivatives designated in qualifying hedging relationships in net interest income.
The table below displays the components of our fair value gains and losses, which includes the impact of hedge accounting.
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Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net |
| | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| | 2022 | | | | | | 2021 |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Risk management derivatives fair value gains (losses) attributable to: | | | | | | | | |
Net contractual interest income on interest-rate swaps | | $ | 28 | | | | | | | $ | 43 | |
Net change in fair value during the period | | (1,483) | | | | | | | (1,011) | |
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Impact of hedge accounting | | 1,258 | | | | | | | 1,124 | |
Risk management derivatives fair value gains (losses), net | | (197) | | | | | | | 156 | |
Mortgage commitment derivatives fair value gains, net | | 1,572 | | | | | | | 1,082 | |
Credit enhancement derivatives fair value losses, net | | (22) | | | | | | | (90) | |
Total derivatives fair value gains, net | | 1,353 | | | | | | | 1,148 | |
Trading securities losses, net | | (1,770) | | | | | | | (758) | |
Long-term debt fair value gains, net(1) | | 1,079 | | | | | | | 373 | |
Other, net(2) | | (182) | | | | | | | 21 | |
Fair value gains, net | | $ | 480 | | | | | | | $ | 784 | |
(1)Consists of fair value gains and losses on CAS and non-CAS debt held at fair value.
(2)Consists of fair value gains and losses on foreign exchange debt and mortgage loans held at fair value.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 13 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Fair value gains, net in the first quarter of 2022 were primarily driven by:
•increases in the fair value of mortgage commitment derivatives due to gains on commitments to sell mortgage-related securities as prices decreased during the commitment period due to rising interest rates and widening of the secondary spread, which is the spread between the 30-year MBS current coupon yield and 10-year U.S. Treasury rate; and
•gains on the fair value of long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value, also due to rising interest rates and widening of the secondary spread.
These gains were partially offset by fair value losses in the first quarter of 2022 on trading securities, primarily driven by increases in U.S. Treasury yields during the period, which resulted in losses on fixed-rate securities held in our other investments portfolio.
Fair value gains, net in the first quarter of 2021 were primarily driven by:
•increases in the fair value of mortgage commitment derivatives due to gains on commitments to sell mortgage-related securities as prices decreased during the commitment period as interest rates increased; and
•gains on the fair value of long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value, due to increases in interest rates.
These gains were partially offset by fair value losses in the first quarter of 2021 on trading securities, primarily driven by increases in U.S. Treasury yields during the period, which resulted in losses on fixed-rate securities held in our other investments portfolio.
Impact of Hedge Accounting on Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net
Our earnings can experience volatility due to interest-rate changes and differing accounting treatments that apply to certain financial instruments on our balance sheet. To help address this volatility, we began applying fair value hedge accounting in January 2021 to reduce the current-period impact on our earnings related to changes in specified benchmark interest rates. Hedge accounting aligns the timing of when we recognize fair value changes in hedged items attributable to these benchmark interest-rate movements with fair value changes in the hedging instrument. For additional discussion on the purpose and structure of our hedge accounting program, see “Risk Management—Market Risk Management, including Interest-Rate Risk Management—Earnings Exposure to Interest-Rate Risk.”
The table below displays the amount of contractual interest accruals and fair value losses related to designated interest-rate swaps in qualifying hedging relationships that are recognized in “Net interest income” rather than “Fair value gains (losses), net” as a result of hedge accounting. Derivatives not in hedging relationships are not affected.
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Impact of Hedge Accounting on Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net |
| | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Net contractual interest income accruals related to interest-rate swaps designated as hedging instruments recognized in net interest income | | $ | 39 | | | $ | 54 | | | |
Fair value losses on derivatives designated as hedging instruments recognized in net interest income | | (1,297) | | | (1,178) | | | |
Fair value losses, net recognized in net interest income from hedge accounting | | $ | (1,258) | | | $ | (1,124) | | | |
Credit-Related Income (Expense)
Our credit-related income or expense can vary substantially from period to period based on a number of factors, such as changes in actual and forecasted home prices or property valuations, fluctuations in actual and forecasted interest rates, borrower payment behavior, events such as natural disasters or pandemics, the types, volume and effectiveness of our loss mitigation activities, including forbearances and loan modifications, the volume of foreclosures completed and the redesignation of loans from held for investment (“HFI”) to held for sale (“HFS”).
In recent periods, changes in actual and projected interest rates have been a significant driver of our credit-related income (expense) as these changes drive prepayment speeds, which impacts the measurement of the economic concessions granted to borrowers on modified loans. However, pursuant to our adoption of Accounting Standards Update (“ASU”) 2022-02 on January 1, 2022, we prospectively discontinued troubled debt restructuring (“TDR”) accounting and no longer measure the economic concession for restructurings occurring on or after the adoption date. This accounting will also result in the elimination of any existing economic concession related to a loan that was previously designated as a TDR if such loan is restructured on or after January 1, 2022. As a result, we expect that
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 14 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
changes in actual and projected interest rates will have less impact on our credit related income (expense) in future periods. See “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies—New Accounting Guidance” and “Note 3, Mortgage Loans” for more information about our adoption of ASU 2022-02.
Our credit-related income or expense and our related loss reserves can also be impacted by updates to the models, assumptions and data used in determining our allowance for loan losses. Although we believe the estimates underlying our allowance are reasonable, we may observe future volatility in these estimates as we continue to observe actual loan performance data and update our models and assumptions. See “Critical Accounting Estimates” for additional information about how our estimate of credit losses is subject to uncertainty.
Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses
The table below provides a quantitative analysis of the drivers of our single-family and multifamily benefit or provision for credit losses and the change in expected credit enhancement recoveries. The benefit or provision for credit losses includes our benefit or provision for loan losses, accrued interest receivable losses and our guaranty loss reserves, and excludes credit losses on our available for sale (“AFS”) securities. Many of the drivers that contribute to our benefit or provision for credit losses overlap or are interdependent. The attribution shown below is based on internal allocation estimates.
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Components of Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses and Change in Expected Credit Enhancement Recoveries |
| | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| | | | | | 2022 | | 2021 |
| | | | | (Dollars in millions) |
Single-family benefit (provision) for credit losses: | | | | | | | | |
Changes in loan activity(1)(2) | | | | | | $ | (339) | | | $ | (63) | |
Redesignation of loans from HFI to HFS | | | | | | 50 | | | 307 | |
Actual and forecasted home prices | | | | | | 266 | | | 1,179 | |
Actual and projected interest rates | | | | | | (603) | | | (892) | |
Release of economic concessions(3) | | | | | | 400 | | | — | |
Changes in assumptions regarding COVID-19 forbearance and loan delinquencies(2) | | | | | | — | | | 127 | |
Other(4) | | | | | | (44) | | | 4 | |
Single-family benefit (provision) for credit losses | | | | | | (270) | | | 662 | |
Multifamily benefit for credit losses: | | | | | | | | |
Changes in loan activity(1)(2) | | | | | | (10) | | | (119) | |
Actual and projected interest rates | | | | | | (49) | | | (19) | |
Actual and projected economic data | | | | | | 6 | | | 315 | |
Estimated impact of the COVID-19 pandemic(2) | | | | | | — | | | 54 | |
Other(4) | | | | | | 83 | | | (128) | |
Multifamily benefit for credit losses | | | | | | 30 | | | 103 | |
Total benefit (provision) for credit losses | | | | | | $ | (240) | | | $ | 765 | |
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Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries:(5) | | | | | | | | |
Single-family | | | | | | $ | 69 | | | $ | (16) | |
Multifamily | | | | | | (9) | | | (22) | |
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries for active loans | | | | | | $ | 60 | | | $ | (38) | |
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(1)Primarily consists of loan acquisitions, liquidations and amortization of modification concessions granted to borrowers and write-offs of amounts determined to be uncollectible. For multifamily, changes in loan activity also includes changes in the allowance due to loan delinquencies and the impact of changes in debt service coverage ratios (“DSCRs”) based on updated property financial information, which is used to assess loan credit quality.
(2)Beginning January 1, 2022, changes in assumptions regarding COVID-19 forbearance and loan delinquencies are included in “Changes in loan activity.”
(3)Represents the benefit from the release of economic concessions related to loans previously designated as TDRs that received loss mitigation arrangements during the quarter due to the adoption of ASU 2022-02.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 15 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
(4)Includes provision for allowance on accrued interest receivable. For single-family, also includes the impact of changes in assumptions as well as changes in the reserve for guaranty losses that are not separately included in the other components. For multifamily, also includes the impact of model enhancements implemented in the first quarter of 2021.
(5)Includes increase (decrease) in expected credit enhancement recoveries only for active loans. Recoveries received after foreclosure, which are included in “Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries” in “Summary of Condensed Consolidated Results of Operations,” are not included.
Single-Family Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses
The primary factors that contributed to our single-family provision for credit losses in the first quarter of 2022 were a provision for higher actual and projected interest rates partially offset by a benefit from the release of economic concessions.
•Actual and projected interest rates were higher as of March 31, 2022 compared with December 31, 2021. As mortgage rates increase, we expect a decrease in future prepayments on single-family loans, including modified loans accounted for as TDRs. Lower expected prepayments extend the expected lives of these TDR loans, which increases the expected impairment relating to economic concessions provided on them, resulting in a provision for credit losses.
•This was partially offset by a benefit from the release of economic concessions on loans previously designated as TDRs that received loss mitigation arrangements during the quarter. As described above, pursuant to our adoption of accounting guidance ASU 2022-02, we remove from our allowance the prior economic concession recorded on a loan previously designated as a TDR when the loan is modified or receives or extends a loss mitigation arrangement such as a forbearance plan, repayment plan or other loan workout during the period.
The primary factors that contributed to our single-family benefit for credit losses in the first quarter of 2021 were:
•Benefit from actual and expected home price growth. During the first quarter of 2021, home price growth was unseasonably strong. We also increased our expectations for home price growth on a national basis for full-year 2021. Higher home prices decrease the likelihood that loans will default and reduce the amount of credit loss on loans that do default, which impacts our estimate of losses and ultimately reduces our loss reserves and provision for credit losses.
•Benefit from the redesignation of certain reperforming single-family loans from HFI to HFS. We redesignated certain reperforming single-family loans from HFI to HFS, as we no longer intended to hold them for the foreseeable future or to maturity. Upon redesignation of these loans, we recorded the loans at the lower of cost or fair value with a write-off against the allowance for loan losses. Amounts recorded in the allowance related to these loans exceeded the amounts written off, resulting in a benefit for credit losses.
•Benefit from changes in assumptions regarding COVID-19 forbearance and change in actual and expected loan delinquencies. Management continued to apply its judgment and supplemented model results as of March 31, 2021, due to continued uncertainty regarding the loss mitigation outcomes of borrowers in forbearance, and uncertainty regarding the future impact of the pandemic, including the efficacy of the COVID-19 vaccines on new strains of the virus and its effect on the economy. Although uncertainty remained, our expected credit losses as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic decreased in the first quarter of 2021, driven by the passage of the American Rescue Plan, which provided additional economic stimulus and helped support the continued economic recovery. In addition, decreased political uncertainty compared with the end of 2020 combined with the increased progression of the COVID-19 vaccines rollout lessened expectations of credit losses. Based on these factors in the first quarter of 2021, management used its judgment to reduce the non-modeled adjustment that was previously applied to the loss projections developed by our credit loss model.
The impact of these factors was partially offset by the impact of the following factor, which reduced our single-family benefit for credit losses recognized in the first quarter of 2021:
•Provision from higher actual and projected interest rates as mortgage interest rates increased in the first quarter of 2021.
Multifamily Benefit for Credit Losses
In the first quarter of 2022, the multifamily benefit for credit losses was the result of a reduction in our credit loss reserves primarily due to strong multifamily market fundamentals.
The primary factors that impacted our multifamily benefit for credit losses in the first quarter of 2021 were:
•Benefit from actual and projected economic data. In the first quarter of 2021, property value forecasts increased due to continued demand for multifamily housing. In addition, improved job growth led to an increase in
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 16 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
projected average property net operating income, which reduced the probability of loan default, resulting in a benefit for credit losses for the quarter.
•Benefit from changes in expected credit losses as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Similar to our single-family provision for credit losses described above, management continued to apply its judgment and supplemented model results as of March 31, 2021, due to continued uncertainty regarding the future impact of the pandemic, including the efficacy of the COVID-19 vaccines on new strains of the virus and its effect on the economy. Although uncertainty remained, our expected credit losses as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic decreased in the first quarter of 2021 driven by positive economic growth and the passage of the American Rescue Plan, which provided additional economic stimulus. Based on these factors in the first quarter of 2021, management used its judgment to reduce the non-modeled adjustment that was previously applied to the loss projections developed by our credit loss model.
Consolidated Balance Sheet Analysis
This section discusses our condensed consolidated balance sheets and should be read together with our condensed consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Summary of Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets |
| | As of | | |
| | March 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 | | Variance |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Assets | | | | | | |
Cash and cash equivalents and securities purchased under agreements to resell or similar arrangements | | $ | 54,237 | | | $ | 63,191 | | | $ | (8,954) | |
Restricted cash and cash equivalents | | 52,651 | | | 66,183 | | | (13,532) | |
Investments in securities | | 85,435 | | | 89,043 | | | (3,608) | |
Mortgage loans: | | | | | | |
Of Fannie Mae | | 66,189 | | | 66,127 | | | 62 | |
Of consolidated trusts | | 3,990,248 | | | 3,907,744 | | | 82,504 | |
Allowance for loan losses | | (5,899) | | | (5,629) | | | (270) | |
Mortgage loans, net of allowance for loan losses | | 4,050,538 | | | 3,968,242 | | | 82,296 | |
Deferred tax assets, net | | 13,075 | | | 12,715 | | | 360 | |
Other assets | | 29,093 | | | 29,792 | | | (699) | |
Total assets | | $ | 4,285,029 | | | $ | 4,229,166 | | | $ | 55,863 | |
Liabilities and equity | | | | | | |
Debt: | | | | | | |
Of Fannie Mae | | $ | 180,169 | | | $ | 200,892 | | | $ | (20,723) | |
Of consolidated trusts | | 4,028,628 | | | 3,957,299 | | | 71,329 | |
Other liabilities | | 24,474 | | | 23,618 | | | 856 | |
Total liabilities | | 4,233,271 | | | 4,181,809 | | | 51,462 | |
Fannie Mae stockholders’ equity: | | | | | | |
Senior preferred stock | | 120,836 | | | 120,836 | | | — | |
Other net deficit | | (69,078) | | | (73,479) | | | 4,401 | |
Total equity | | 51,758 | | | 47,357 | | | 4,401 | |
Total liabilities and equity | | $ | 4,285,029 | | | $ | 4,229,166 | | | $ | 55,863 | |
Cash and Cash Equivalents
Cash and cash equivalents declined from December 31, 2021 to March 31, 2022 as we used cash and other short-term liquid assets that accumulated in prior periods, as well as our earnings, to fund our operations and to pay off maturing debt during the first quarter of 2022. For further discussion, see “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management.”
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 17 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Consolidated Balance Sheet Analysis |
Restricted Cash and Cash Equivalents
Restricted cash and cash equivalents declined from December 31, 2021 to March 31, 2022 primarily driven by a decrease in prepayments due to lower refinance volumes for loans of consolidated trusts, resulting in lower cash balances held in trust at period end. For information on our accounting policy for restricted cash and cash equivalents, see “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in our 2021 Form 10-K.
Mortgage Loans, Net of Allowance
The mortgage loans reported in our condensed consolidated balance sheets are classified as either HFS or HFI and include loans owned by Fannie Mae and loans held in consolidated trusts.
Mortgage loans, net of allowance for loan losses increased as of March 31, 2022 compared with December 31, 2021, driven by an increase in loan acquisitions outpacing liquidations and sales.
For additional information on our mortgage loans, see “Note 3, Mortgage Loans,” and for additional information on changes in our allowance for loan losses, see “Note 4, Allowance for Loan Losses.”
Debt
The decrease in debt of Fannie Mae from December 31, 2021 to March 31, 2022 was primarily due to the maturity of long-term debt, which was not replaced with new issuances as our funding needs remained low. The increase in debt of consolidated trusts from December 31, 2021 to March 31, 2022 was primarily driven by sales of Fannie Mae MBS, which are accounted for as issuances of debt of consolidated trusts in our condensed consolidated balance sheets, since the MBS certificate ownership is transferred from us to a third party. See “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Debt Funding” for a summary of activity in short-term and long-term debt of Fannie Mae. Also see “Note 7, Short-Term and Long-Term Debt” for additional information on our total outstanding debt.
Stockholders’ Equity
Our stockholders’ equity (also referred to as our net worth) increased to $51.8 billion as of March 31, 2022, compared with $47.4 billion as of December 31, 2021, due to the $4.4 billion in comprehensive income recognized during the first quarter of 2022.
The aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock increased to $168.9 billion as of March 31, 2022 and will further increase to $173.3 billion as of June 30, 2022 due to the $4.4 billion increase in our net worth during the first quarter of 2022. For more information about how this liquidation preference is determined, see “Business—Conservatorship, Treasury Agreements and Housing Finance Reform—Treasury Agreements—Senior Preferred Stock” in our 2021 Form 10-K and “Liquidity and Capital Management—Capital Management—Capital Activity” in this report.
Retained Mortgage Portfolio
We use our retained mortgage portfolio primarily to provide liquidity to the mortgage market through our whole loan conduit and to support our loss mitigation activities, particularly in times of economic stress when other sources of liquidity to the mortgage market may decrease or withdraw. Previously, we also used our retained mortgage portfolio for investment purposes.
Our retained mortgage portfolio consists of mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities that we own, including Fannie Mae MBS and non-Fannie Mae mortgage-related securities. Assets held by consolidated MBS trusts that back mortgage-related securities owned by third parties are not included in our retained mortgage portfolio.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 18 |
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| MD&A | Retained Mortgage Portfolio |
The chart below separates the instruments within our retained mortgage portfolio, measured by unpaid principal balance, into three categories based on each instrument’s use:
•Lender liquidity, which includes balances related to our whole loan conduit activity, supports our efforts to provide liquidity to the single-family and multifamily mortgage markets.
•Loss mitigation supports our loss mitigation efforts through the purchase of delinquent loans from our MBS trusts.
•Other represents assets that were previously purchased for investment purposes. The majority of the balance of “Other” as of March 31, 2022 consisted of Fannie Mae reverse mortgage securities and reverse mortgage loans. We expect the amount of assets in “Other” will continue to decline over time as they liquidate, mature or are sold.
Retained Mortgage Portfolio
(Dollars in billions)
The decrease in our retained mortgage portfolio as of March 31, 2022 compared with December 31, 2021 was primarily due to a decrease in our lender liquidity portfolio driven by sales of Fannie Mae securities and a decline in mortgage refinance activity leading to lower acquisition volumes through the whole loan conduit. This was partially offset by an increase in our loss mitigation portfolio driven by an increase in our purchase of delinquent loans from MBS trusts as they exit COVID-19-related forbearance.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 19 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Retained Mortgage Portfolio |
The table below displays the components of our retained mortgage portfolio, measured by unpaid principal balance. Based on the nature of the asset, these balances are included in either “Investments in securities” or “Mortgage loans of Fannie Mae” in our Summary of Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets shown above.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Retained Mortgage Portfolio |
| As of |
| March 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 |
| (Dollars in millions) |
Lender liquidity: | | | | | |
Agency securities(1) | | $ | 27,717 | | | | $ | 34,509 | |
Mortgage loans | | 13,340 | | | | 16,174 | |
Total lender liquidity | | 41,057 | | | | 50,683 | |
Loss mitigation mortgage loans(2) | | 41,730 | | | | 37,601 | |
Other: | | | | | |
Reverse mortgage loans | | 9,420 | | | | 9,908 | |
Mortgage loans | | 3,780 | | | | 3,954 | |
Reverse mortgage securities(3) | | 5,863 | | | | 6,146 | |
Other(4) | | 900 | | | | 929 | |
| | | | | |
| | | | | |
Total other | | 19,963 | | | | 20,937 | |
Total retained mortgage portfolio | | $ | 102,750 | | | | $ | 109,221 | |
| | | | | |
Retained mortgage portfolio by segment: | | | | | |
Single-family mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities | | $ | 95,704 | | | | $ | 101,518 | |
Multifamily mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities | | $ | 7,046 | | | | $ | 7,703 | |
(1)Consists of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae mortgage-related securities, including Freddie Mac securities guaranteed by Fannie Mae. Excludes Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae reverse mortgage securities and Fannie Mae-wrapped private-label securities.
(2)Includes single-family loans on nonaccrual status of $10.1 billion and $11.0 billion, and multifamily loans on nonaccrual status of $261 million and $340 million as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.
(3)Consists of Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae reverse mortgage securities.
(4)Consists of private-label and other securities, Fannie Mae-wrapped private-label securities and mortgage revenue bonds.
The amount of mortgage assets that we may own is capped at $250 billion and will decrease to $225 billion on December 31, 2022 under the terms of our senior preferred stock purchase agreement with Treasury. In addition, we are currently required to cap our mortgage assets at $225 billion per instruction from FHFA. See “Business—Conservatorship, Treasury Agreements and Housing Finance Reform” in our 2021 Form 10-K for additional information on our portfolio cap.
We include 10% of the notional value of interest-only securities in calculating the size of the retained portfolio for the purpose of determining compliance with the senior preferred stock purchase agreement retained portfolio limits and associated FHFA guidance. As of March 31, 2022, 10% of the notional value of our interest-only securities was $1.9 billion, which is not included in the table above.
Under the terms of our MBS trust documents, we have the option or, in some instances, the obligation, to purchase mortgage loans that meet specific criteria from an MBS trust. The purchase price for these loans is the unpaid principal balance of the loan plus accrued interest. If a delinquent loan remains in a single-family MBS trust, the servicer is responsible for advancing the borrower’s missed scheduled principal and interest payments to the MBS holders for up to four months, after which time we must make these missed payments. In addition, we must reimburse servicers for advanced principal and interest payments. The cost of purchasing most delinquent loans from a single-family Fannie Mae MBS trust and holding them in our retained mortgage portfolio is currently less than the cost of advancing delinquent payments to security holders.
In support of our loss mitigation strategies, we purchased $6.5 billion of loans from our single-family MBS trusts in the first quarter of 2022, the substantial majority of which were delinquent, compared with $1.5 billion of loans purchased from single-family MBS trusts in the first quarter of 2021. We expect the amount of loans we buy out of trusts will increase in 2022 relative to the prior year as loans exiting COVID-19-related forbearance will lead to an increase in the number of loan modifications. The size of our retained mortgage portfolio will be impacted by the volume of loans we ultimately buy, the timing of those purchases, and the length of time those loans remain in our retained mortgage
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 20 |
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| MD&A | Retained Mortgage Portfolio |
portfolio. See “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Problem Loan Management—Single-Family Loans in Forbearance” and “Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Multifamily Problem Loan Management and Foreclosure Prevention—Multifamily Loan Forbearance” for information on our loans in forbearance.
Guaranty Book of Business
Our “guaranty book of business” consists of:
•Fannie Mae MBS outstanding, excluding the portions of any structured securities we issue that are backed by Freddie Mac securities;
•mortgage loans of Fannie Mae held in our retained mortgage portfolio; and
•other credit enhancements that we provide on mortgage assets.
“Total Fannie Mae guarantees” consists of:
•our guaranty book of business; and
•the portions of any structured securities we issue that are backed by Freddie Mac securities.
We and Freddie Mac issue single-family uniform mortgage-backed securities, or “UMBS®.” In this report, we use the term “Fannie Mae-issued UMBS” to refer to single-family Fannie Mae MBS that are directly backed by fixed-rate mortgage loans and generally eligible for trading in the to-be-announced (“TBA”) market. We use the term “Fannie Mae MBS” or “our MBS” to refer to any type of mortgage-backed security that we issue, including UMBS, Supers®, Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduit securities (“REMICs”) and other types of single-family or multifamily mortgage-backed securities.
Some Fannie Mae MBS that we issue are backed in whole or in part by Freddie Mac securities. When we resecuritize Freddie Mac securities into Fannie Mae-issued structured securities, such as Supers and REMICs, our guaranty of principal and interest extends to the underlying Freddie Mac securities. However, Freddie Mac continues to guarantee the payment of principal and interest on the underlying Freddie Mac securities that we have resecuritized. We do not charge an incremental guaranty fee to include Freddie Mac securities in the structured securities that we issue. References to our single-family guaranty book of business exclude Freddie Mac-acquired mortgage loans underlying Freddie Mac securities that we have resecuritized.
Our issuance of structured securities backed in whole or in part by Freddie Mac securities creates additional off-balance sheet exposure. Our guaranty extends to the underlying Freddie Mac security included in the structured security, but we do not have control over the Freddie Mac mortgage loan securitizations. Because we do not have the power to direct matters (primarily the servicing of mortgage loans) that impact the credit risk to which we are exposed, which constitute control of these securitization trusts, we do not consolidate these trusts in our condensed consolidated balance sheet, giving rise to off-balance sheet exposure. We expect our off-balance sheet exposure to Freddie Mac securities to increase as we issue more structured securities backed by Freddie Mac securities in the future. See “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements” and “Note 6, Financial Guarantees” for information regarding our maximum exposure to loss on unconsolidated Fannie Mae MBS and Freddie Mac securities.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 21 |
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| MD&A | Guaranty Book of Business |
The table below displays the composition of our guaranty book of business based on unpaid principal balance. Our single-family guaranty book of business accounted for 90% and 89% of our guaranty book of business as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.
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Composition of Fannie Mae Guaranty Book of Business |
| | As of |
| | March 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 |
| | Single-Family | | Multifamily | | Total | | Single-Family | | Multifamily | | Total |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Conventional guaranty book of business(1) | | $ | 3,607,454 | | | $ | 423,261 | | | $ | 4,030,715 | | | $ | 3,536,613 | | | $ | 419,463 | | | $ | 3,956,076 | |
Government guaranty book of business(2) | | 16,080 | | | 684 | | | 16,764 | | | 16,777 | | | 718 | | | 17,495 | |
Guaranty book of business | | 3,623,534 | | | 423,945 | | | 4,047,479 | | | 3,553,390 | | | 420,181 | | | 3,973,571 | |
Freddie Mac securities guaranteed by Fannie Mae(3) | | 236,067 | | | — | | | 236,067 | | | 212,259 | | | — | | | 212,259 | |
Total Fannie Mae guarantees | | $ | 3,859,601 | | | $ | 423,945 | | | $ | 4,283,546 | | | $ | 3,765,649 | | | $ | 420,181 | | | $ | 4,185,830 | |
(1)Refers to mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities that are not guaranteed or insured, in whole or in part, by the U.S. government.
(2)Refers to mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities guaranteed or insured, in whole or in part, by the U.S. government.
(3)Consists of off-balance sheet arrangements of approximately (i) $196.0 billion and $177.8 billion in unpaid principal balance of Freddie Mac-issued UMBS backing Fannie Mae-issued Supers as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively; and (ii) $40.1 billion and $34.5 billion in unpaid principal balance of Freddie Mac securities backing Fannie Mae-issued REMICs as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.
The Federal Housing Enterprises Financial Safety and Soundness Act of 1992, as amended, including by the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 (together, the “GSE Act”) requires us to set aside each year an amount equal to 4.2 basis points of the unpaid principal balance of our new business purchases and to pay this amount to specified HUD and Treasury funds in support of affordable housing. In March 2022, we paid $598 million to the funds based on our new business purchases in 2021. For the first quarter of 2022, we recognized an expense of $107 million related to this obligation based on $255.6 billion in new business purchases during the period. We expect to pay this amount to the funds in 2023, plus additional amounts to be accrued based on our new business purchases in the remaining nine months of 2022. See “Business—Legislation and Regulation—GSE-Focused Matters—Affordable Housing Allocations” in our 2021 Form 10-K for more information regarding this obligation.
Business Segments
We have two reportable business segments: Single-Family and Multifamily. The Single-Family business operates in the secondary mortgage market relating to single-family mortgage loans, which are secured by properties containing four or fewer residential dwelling units. The Multifamily business operates in the secondary mortgage market relating primarily to multifamily mortgage loans, which are secured by properties containing five or more residential units.
The chart below displays net revenues and net income for each of our business segments for the first quarter of 2021 compared with the first quarter of 2022. Net revenues consist of net interest income and fee and other income.
Business Segment Net Revenues and Net Income
(Dollars in billions)
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 22 |
In the following sections, we describe each segment’s business metrics, financial results and credit performance. For an overview of how we are compensated for and manage the risk of credit losses through the life cycle of our loans and how we measure our credit risk, see “Business—Managing Mortgage Credit Risk” in our 2021 Form 10-K.
Single-Family Business
This section supplements and updates information regarding our Single-Family business segment in our 2021 Form 10-K. See “MD&A—Single-Family Business” in our 2021 Form 10-K for additional information regarding the primary business activities, lenders, investors and competition of our Single-Family business.
Single-Family Mortgage Market
Housing activity was relatively flat in the first quarter of 2022 compared with the fourth quarter of 2021. Total existing home sales averaged 6.1 million units annualized in the first quarter of 2022, compared with 6.2 million units in the fourth quarter of 2021, according to data from the National Association of REALTORS®. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, new single-family home sales averaged an annualized rate of approximately 814,000 units in the first quarter of 2022, compared with approximately 764,000 units in the fourth quarter of 2021.
The 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaged 4.17% in March 2022, compared with 3.10% in December 2021, according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey®.
We forecast that total originations in the U.S. single-family mortgage market in 2022 will decrease from 2021 levels by approximately 37%, from an estimated $4.48 trillion in 2021 to $2.82 trillion in 2022, and that the amount of refinance originations in the U.S. single-family mortgage market will decrease from an estimated $2.61 trillion in 2021 to $889 billion in 2022. See “Key Market Economic Indicators” for additional discussion of how housing activity can affect our financial results and the uncertainties that may affect our forecasts and expectations.
Single-Family Market Activity
Single-Family Mortgage-Related Securities Issuances Share
Our single-family Fannie Mae MBS issuances were $243.1 billion for the first quarter of 2022, compared with $403.7 billion for the first quarter of 2021. This decrease was driven by a lower volume of refinance activity in the first quarter of 2022 due to increasing mortgage rates. Based on the latest data available, the chart below displays our estimated share of single-family mortgage-related securities issuances in the first quarter of 2022 as compared with that of our primary competitors for the issuance of single-family mortgage-related securities.
Single-Family Mortgage-Related Securities Issuances Share
First Quarter 2022
We estimate our share of single-family mortgage-related securities issuances was 37% in the fourth quarter of 2021 and 41% in the first quarter of 2021.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 23 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Business Metrics |
Presentation of Our Single-Family Guaranty Book of Business
For purposes of the information reported in this “Single-Family Business” section, we measure the single-family guaranty book of business using the unpaid principal balance of our mortgage loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS outstanding. By contrast, the single-family guaranty book of business presented in the “Composition of Fannie Mae Guaranty Book of Business” table in the “Guaranty Book of Business” section is based on the unpaid principal balance of the Fannie Mae MBS outstanding, rather than the unpaid principal balance of the underlying mortgage loans. These amounts differ primarily as a result of payments we receive on underlying loans that have not yet been remitted to the MBS holders or instances where we have advanced missed borrower payments on mortgage loans to make required distributions to related MBS holders. As measured for purposes of the information reported below, our single-family conventional guaranty book of business was $3,567.4 billion as of March 31, 2022 and $3,483.1 billion as of December 31, 2021.
Single-Family Business Metrics
Net interest income for our Single-Family business is driven by the guaranty fees we charge and the size of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business. The guaranty fees we charge are based on the characteristics of the loans we acquire. We may adjust our guaranty fees in light of market conditions and to achieve return targets. As a result, the average charged guaranty fee on new acquisitions may fluctuate based on the credit quality and product mix of loans acquired, as well as market conditions and other factors.
The charts below display our average charged guaranty fees, net of TCCA fees, on our single-family conventional guaranty book of business and on new single-family conventional loan acquisitions, along with our average single-family conventional guaranty book of business and our single-family conventional loan acquisitions for the periods presented.
Select Single-Family Business Metrics
(Dollars in billions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Average charged guaranty fee on single-family conventional guaranty book of business, net of TCCA fees(1) | | | | Average single-family conventional guaranty book of business(2) |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | Average charged guaranty fee on new single-family conventional acquisitions, net of TCCA fees(1) | | | | Single-family conventional acquisitions |
| | | | |
(1) Excludes the impact of a 10 basis point guaranty fee increase implemented pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from which is remitted to Treasury and not retained by us.
(2) Our single-family conventional guaranty book of business primarily consists of single-family conventional mortgage loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS outstanding. It also includes single-family conventional mortgage loans of Fannie Mae held in our retained mortgage portfolio, and other credit enhancements that we provide on single-family conventional mortgage assets. Our single-family conventional guaranty book of business does not include: (a) mortgage loans guaranteed or insured, in whole or in part, by the U.S. government; or (b) Freddie Mac-acquired mortgage loans underlying Freddie Mac-issued UMBS that we have resecuritized. Our average single-family conventional guaranty book of business is based on quarter-end balances.
Average charged guaranty fee on newly acquired conventional single-family loans is a metric management uses to measure the price we earn as compensation for the credit risk we manage and to assess our return. Average charged guaranty fee represents, on an annualized basis, the average of the base guaranty fees charged during the period for our single-family conventional guaranty arrangements, which we receive monthly over the life of the loan, plus the recognition of any upfront cash payments, including loan-level price adjustments, based on an estimated average life at the time of acquisition. We use loan-level price adjustments, including various upfront risk-based fees, to price for the
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 24 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Business Metrics |
credit risk we assume in providing our guaranty. FHFA must approve changes to the national loan-level price adjustments we charge and can direct us to make other changes to our single-family guaranty fee pricing.
Our average charged guaranty fee on newly acquired conventional single-family loans, net of TCCA fees, increased in the first quarter of 2022 compared with the first quarter of 2021, reflecting the overall weaker credit risk profile of our first quarter 2022 acquisitions driven by a shift to a higher percentage of purchase loans than the prior year. We generally charge higher guaranty fees on loans with weaker credit risk characteristics. See “Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Portfolio Diversification and Monitoring” below for a description of key risk characteristics of our single-family acquisitions in the first quarter of 2022 and first quarter of 2021.
In January 2022, FHFA announced targeted increases to the upfront fees we charge for certain high-balance loans and second home loans. High-balance loans are mortgages originated in certain designated areas above the baseline conforming loan limit. The new fees are effective for loans purchased on or after April 1, 2022, and for loans delivered into an MBS trust with an issue date on or after April 1, 2022. High-balance loans will continue to be eligible for our existing affordable loan products, HomeReady® and HFA PreferredTM, which offer caps on loan-level price adjustments for eligible borrowers. In addition, the high-balance upfront fees will not be charged on loans to first time homebuyers in high-cost areas with incomes at or below 100% of area median income. The new fees may decrease the volume of high-balance and second home loans we acquire.
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Single-Family Business Financial Results(1) |
| | | | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | | |
| | | | | | | | 2022 | | 2021 | | Variance |
| | | | | | | | (Dollars in millions) |
Net interest income(2) | | | | | | | | $ | 6,255 | | | $ | 5,894 | | | $ | 361 | |
Fee and other income | | | | | | | | 61 | | | 62 | | | (1) | |
Net revenues | | | | | | | | 6,316 | | | 5,956 | | | 360 | |
Investment gains (losses), net | | | | | | | | (66) | | | 64 | | | (130) | |
Fair value gains, net | | | | | | | | 527 | | | 740 | | | (213) | |
Administrative expenses | | | | | | | | (683) | | | (623) | | | (60) | |
Credit-related income (expense)(3) | | | | | | | | (236) | | | 679 | | | (915) | |
TCCA fees(2) | | | | | | | | (824) | | | (731) | | | (93) | |
Credit enhancement expense | | | | | | | | (210) | | | (226) | | | 16 | |
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries(4) | | | | | | | | 69 | | | (16) | | | 85 | |
Other expenses, net(5) | | | | | | | | (198) | | | (287) | | | 89 | |
Income before federal income taxes | | | | | | | | 4,695 | | | 5,556 | | | (861) | |
Provision for federal income taxes | | | | | | | | (986) | | | (1,162) | | | 176 | |
Net income | | | | | | | | $ | 3,709 | | | $ | 4,394 | | | $ | (685) | |
(1)See “Note 9, Segment Reporting” for information about our segment allocation methodology.
(2)Reflects the impact of a 10 basis point guaranty fee increase implemented pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from which is remitted to Treasury. The resulting revenue is included in “Net interest income” and the expense is recognized as “TCCA fees.”
(3)Consists of the benefit or provision for credit losses and foreclosed property income or expense.
(4)Consists of increase (decrease) in benefits recognized from our single-family freestanding credit enhancements, which primarily relate to our CAS and CIRT programs.
(5)Consists primarily of debt extinguishment gains and losses, housing trust fund expenses, servicer fees paid in connection with certain loss mitigation activities, and loan subservicing costs.
Net Interest Income
The increase in single-family net interest income for the first quarter of 2022 compared with the first quarter of 2021 was primarily driven by higher base guaranty fee income, partially offset by lower net amortization income.
The drivers of net interest income for the Single-Family segment are consistent with the drivers of net interest income in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income, which we discuss in “Consolidated Results of Operations—Net Interest Income.”
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 25 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Business Financial Results |
Fair Value Gains, Net
Fair value gains, net in the first quarter of 2022 were primarily driven by increases in the fair value of mortgage commitments and gains in the fair value of long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value, partially offset by fair value losses on trading securities.
Consistent with the drivers in the first quarter of 2022, fair value gains, net in the first quarter of 2021 were also primarily driven by increases in the fair value of mortgage commitments and gains in the fair value of long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value, partially offset by fair value losses on trading securities.
The drivers of fair value gains, net for the Single-Family segment are consistent with the drivers of fair value gains, net in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income, which we discuss in “Consolidated Results of Operations—Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net.”
For information on the implementation of our hedge accounting program and its impact on our financial statements, see “Consolidated Results of Operations—Hedge Accounting Impact” in our 2021 Form 10-K and “Consolidated Results of Operations—Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net” in this report.
Credit-Related Income (Expense)
Credit-related expense for the first quarter of 2022 was primarily driven by a provision for higher actual and projected mortgage interest rates. This expense was partially offset by a benefit from the release of economic concessions on loans previously designated as TDRs that received loss mitigation arrangements during the quarter, pursuant to our adoption of accounting guidance ASU 2022-02.
Credit-related income for the first quarter of 2021 was driven by a benefit for credit losses due primarily to higher actual and forecasted home prices, partially offset by higher actual and projected interest rates.
See “Consolidated Results of Operations—Credit-Related Income (Expense)” for more information on the primary factors that contributed to our single-family credit-related income or expense. See “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” and “Note 3, Mortgage Loans” for additional information on our adoption of ASU 2022-02 on January 1, 2022 and the prospective discontinuation of TDR accounting.
Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management
This section updates our discussion of single-family mortgage credit risk management in our 2021 Form 10-K. For an overview of key elements of our mortgage credit risk management, see “Business—Managing Mortgage Credit Risk” in our 2021 Form 10-K. For additional information on our acquisition and servicing policies, underwriting and servicing standards, quality control process, repurchase requests, and representation and warranty framework, see “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management” in our 2021 Form 10-K.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 26 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Single-Family Portfolio Diversification and Monitoring
The following table displays our single-family conventional business volumes and our single-family conventional guaranty book of business, based on certain key risk characteristics that we use to evaluate the risk profile and credit quality of our single-family loans.
We provide additional information on the credit characteristics of our single-family loans in quarterly financial supplements, which we furnish to the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) with current reports on Form 8-K and make available on our website. Information in our quarterly financial supplements is not incorporated by reference into this report.
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Key Risk Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Business Volume and Guaranty Book of Business(1) |
| | | | | | Percent of Single-Family Conventional Business Volume at Acquisition(2) | | Percent of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business(3) As of |
| | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | |
| | | | | | 2022 | | 2021 | | | March 31, 2022 | | | December 31, 2021 | |
Original loan-to-value (“LTV”) ratio:(4) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<= 60% | | | | | | 28 | | % | 34 | | % | | 27 | | % | | 27 | | % |
60.01% to 70% | | | | | | 15 | | | 17 | | | | 15 | | | | 15 | | |
70.01% to 80% | | | | | | 33 | | | 30 | | | | 33 | | | | 33 | | |
80.01% to 90% | | | | | | 9 | | | 9 | | | | 10 | | | | 10 | | |
90.01% to 95% | | | | | | 11 | | | 8 | | | | 10 | | | | 10 | | |
95.01% to 100% | | | | | | 4 | | | 2 | | | | 4 | | | | 4 | | |
Greater than 100% | | | | | | — | | | * | | | 1 | | | | 1 | | |
Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Weighted average | | | | | | 71 | | % | 68 | | % | | 72 | | % | | 72 | | % |
Average loan amount | | | | | | $ | 299,395 | | | $ | 282,561 | | | | $ | 202,076 | | | | $ | 198,865 | | |
Loan count (in thousands) | | | | | | 800 | | | 1,417 | | | 17,654 | | | | 17,515 | | |
Estimated mark-to-market LTV ratio:(5) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<= 60% | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | | % | | 61 | | % |
60.01% to 70% | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | | | 19 | | |
70.01% to 80% | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | | | 13 | | |
80.01% to 90% | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | | | | 5 | | |
90.01% to 100% | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | | | 2 | | |
Greater than 100% | | | | | | | | | | | * | | | * | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Weighted average | | | | | | | | | | | 53 | | % | | 54 | | % |
FICO credit score at origination: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
< 620 | | | | | | * | % | — | | % | | 1 | | % | | 1 | | % |
620 to < 660 | | | | | | 4 | | | 2 | | | | 4 | | | | 4 | | |
660 to < 680 | | | | | | 5 | | | 2 | | | | 3 | | | | 3 | | |
680 to < 700 | | | | | | 8 | | | 5 | | | | 7 | | | | 7 | | |
700 to < 740 | | | | | | 21 | | | 17 | | | | 19 | | | | 19 | | |
>= 740 | | | | | | 62 | | | 74 | | | | 66 | | | | 66 | | |
Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Weighted average | | | | | | 748 | | | 761 | | | | 753 | | | | 753 | | |
Debt-to-income (“DTI”) ratio at origination:(6) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<= 43% | | | | | | 71 | | % | 80 | | % | | 77 | | % | | 77 | | % |
43.01% to 45% | | | | | | 10 | | | 8 | | | | 8 | | | | 9 | | |
Greater than 45% | | | | | | 19 | | | 12 | | | | 15 | | | | 14 | | |
Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Weighted average | | | | | | 36 | | % | 33 | | % | | 34 | | % | | 34 | | % |
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 27 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | Percent of Single-Family Conventional Business Volume at Acquisition(2) | | Percent of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business(3) As of |
| | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | |
| | | | | | 2022 | | 2021 | | | March 31, 2022 | | | December 31, 2021 | |
Product type: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Fixed-rate:(7) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Long-term | | | | | | 86 | | % | 84 | | % | | 84 | | % | | 84 | | % |
Intermediate-term | | | | | | 13 | | | 16 | | | | 15 | | | | 15 | | |
Total fixed-rate | | | | | | 99 | | | 100 | | | | 99 | | | | 99 | | |
Adjustable-rate | | | | | | 1 | | | * | | | 1 | | | | 1 | | |
Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Number of property units: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1 unit | | | | | | 98 | | % | 98 | | % | | 97 | | % | | 97 | | % |
2-4 units | | | | | | 2 | | | 2 | | | | 3 | | | | 3 | | |
Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Property type: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Single-family homes | | | | | | 91 | | % | 91 | | % | | 91 | | % | | 91 | | % |
Condo/Co-op | | | | | | 9 | | | 9 | | | | 9 | | | | 9 | | |
Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Occupancy type: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary residence | | | | | | 90 | | % | 91 | | % | | 90 | | % | | 90 | | % |
Second/vacation home | | | | | | 4 | | | 3 | | | | 4 | | | | 4 | | |
Investor | | | | | | 6 | | | 6 | | | | 6 | | | | 6 | | |
Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Loan purpose: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Purchase | | | | | | 43 | | % | 25 | | % | | 36 | | % | | 36 | | % |
Cash-out refinance | | | | | | 34 | | | 20 | | | | 22 | | | | 21 | | |
Other refinance | | | | | | 23 | | | 55 | | | | 42 | | | | 43 | | |
Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Geographic concentration:(8) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Midwest | | | | | | 12 | | % | 12 | | % | | 14 | | % | | 14 | | % |
Northeast | | | | | | 13 | | | 14 | | | | 16 | | | | 16 | | |
Southeast | | | | | | 25 | | | 21 | | | | 22 | | | | 23 | | |
Southwest | | | | | | 21 | | | 18 | | | | 19 | | | | 18 | | |
West | | | | | | 29 | | | 35 | | | | 29 | | | | 29 | | |
Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Origination year: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2016 and prior | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | | % | | 23 | | % |
2017 | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | | | | 4 | | |
2018 | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | | | | 3 | | |
2019 | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | | | | 6 | | |
2020 | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | | | | 30 | | |
2021 | | | | | | | | | | | 35 | | | | 34 | | |
2022 | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | | | | — | | |
Total | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
* Represents less than 0.5% of single-family conventional business volume or guaranty book of business.
(1)Second-lien mortgage loans held by third parties are not reflected in the original LTV or the estimated mark-to-market LTV ratios in this table.
(2)Calculated based on the unpaid principal balance of single-family loans for each category at time of acquisition.
(3)Calculated based on the aggregate unpaid principal balance of single-family loans for each category divided by the aggregate unpaid principal balance of loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business as of the end of each period.
(4)The original LTV ratio generally is based on the original unpaid principal balance of the loan divided by the appraised property value reported to us at the time of acquisition of the loan. Excludes loans for which this information is not readily available.
(5)The aggregate estimated mark-to-market LTV ratio is based on the unpaid principal balance of the loan as of the end of each reported period divided by the estimated current value of the property, which we calculate using an internal valuation model that estimates periodic changes in home value. Excludes loans for which this information is not readily available.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 28 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
(6)Excludes loans for which this information is not readily available.
(7)Long-term fixed-rate consists of mortgage loans with maturities greater than 15 years, while intermediate-term fixed-rate loans have maturities equal to or less than 15 years.
(8)Midwest consists of IL, IN, IA, MI, MN, NE, ND, OH, SD and WI. Northeast consists of CT, DE, ME, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, PR, RI, VT and VI. Southeast consists of AL, DC, FL, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, SC, TN, VA and WV. Southwest consists of AZ, AR, CO, KS, LA, MO, NM, OK, TX and UT. West consists of AK, CA, GU, HI, ID, MT, NV, OR, WA and WY.
Characteristics of our New Single-Family Loan Acquisitions
Refinancing activity began to taper beginning in the second half of 2021, as a large portion of our single-family guaranty book of business had already recently refinanced and interest rates increased. Accordingly, the share of our single-family loan acquisitions consisting of refinance loans (versus home purchase loans) decreased to 57% in the first quarter of 2022 compared with 75% in the first quarter of 2021. Typically, home purchase loans have higher LTV ratios than refinance loans. This trend contributed to an increase in the percentage of our single-family loan acquisitions with LTV ratios over 80%, from 19% in the first quarter of 2021 to 24% in the first quarter of 2022. The decline in refinance share also contributed to a decline in the percentage of loans we acquired with a FICO credit score of 740 or greater, from 74% in the first quarter of 2021 to 62% in the first quarter of 2022, as well as an increase in the percentage of loans we acquired with a FICO credit score less than 680, from 4% in the first quarter of 2021 to 9% in the first quarter of 2022.
Our share of acquisitions of loans with DTI ratios above 45% increased to 19% in the first quarter of 2022 compared with 12% in the first quarter of 2021. This increase was also driven by the higher share of home purchase acquisitions, which tend to have higher DTI ratios than refinance loan acquisitions.
For a discussion of factors that may impact the volume and credit characteristics of loans we acquire in the future, see “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Portfolio Diversification and Monitoring” in our 2021 Form 10-K. In this section of our 2021 Form 10-K, we also provide more information on the credit characteristics of loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business, including high-balance loans, reverse mortgages and mortgage products with rate resets.
Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk
Our charter generally requires credit enhancement on any single-family conventional mortgage loan that we purchase or securitize if it has an LTV ratio over 80% at the time of purchase. We generally achieve this through primary mortgage insurance. We also enter into various other types of transactions in which we transfer mortgage credit risk to third parties.
Our approved monoline mortgage insurers’ financial ability and willingness to pay claims is an important determinant of our overall credit risk exposure. For a discussion of our exposure to and management of the institutional counterparty credit risk associated with the providers of these credit enhancements, see “MD&A—Risk Management—Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management” and “Note 13, Concentrations of Credit Risk” in our 2021 Form 10-K and “Risk Management—Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management” and “Note 10, Concentrations of Credit Risk” in this report. Also see “Risk Factors” in our 2021 Form 10-K.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 29 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The table below displays information about loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business covered by one or more forms of credit enhancement, including mortgage insurance or a credit risk transfer transaction. For a description of primary mortgage insurance and the other types of credit enhancements specified in the table, see “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk” in our 2021 Form 10-K.
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Single-Family Loans with Credit Enhancement |
| As of |
| | March 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 |
| | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business | | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business |
| (Dollars in billions) |
Primary mortgage insurance and other | | $ | 712 | | | 20 | % | | $ | 697 | | | 20 | % |
Connecticut Avenue Securities | | 615 | | | 17 | | | 512 | | | 14 | |
Credit Insurance Risk Transfer | | 227 | | | 6 | | | 168 | | | 5 | |
Lender risk-sharing | | 64 | | | 2 | | | 70 | | | 2 | |
Less: Loans covered by multiple credit enhancements | | (295) | | | (8) | | | (253) | | | (7) | |
Total single-family loans with credit enhancement | | $ | 1,323 | | | 37 | % | | $ | 1,194 | | | 34 | % |
Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk
In addition to primary mortgage insurance, our Single-Family business has developed other risk-sharing capabilities to transfer portions of our single-family mortgage credit risk to the private market. Our credit risk transfer transactions have been designed to transfer a portion of the losses we expect would be incurred in an economic downturn or a stressed credit environment. Generally, benefits are received after the underlying property has been liquidated and all applicable proceeds, including private mortgage insurance benefits, have been applied to reduce the loss. As described in “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk—Credit Risk Transfer Transactions” in our 2021 Form 10-K, we have used primarily three single-family credit risk transfer programs: Connecticut Avenue Securities® (“CAS”), Credit Insurance Risk TransferTM (“CIRTTM”), and lender risk-sharing.
In the first quarter of 2022, we transferred a portion of the mortgage credit risk on single-family mortgage loans with an unpaid principal balance of $218.4 billion at the time of the transactions; substantially all of the loans in these credit risk transfer transactions were acquired in 2021. In the first quarter of 2022, we also exercised early termination options to cancel certain CIRT transactions.
We expect to engage in a higher volume of credit risk transfer transactions in 2022 compared to our 2021 issuances. The factors we expect will affect the extent to which we engage in single-family credit risk transfer transactions in the future and the structure of those transactions include our risk appetite, future market conditions, the cost of the transactions, FHFA guidance or requirements (including FHFA’s scorecard), the capital relief provided by the transactions, and our overall business and capital plans.
As described in “Legislation and Regulation—Final Rule Amending the Enterprise Regulatory Capital Framework,” in March 2022, FHFA published a final rule amending the enterprise regulatory capital framework. Among other changes, the amendment refined the risk-based capital treatment of credit risk transfer transactions. These changes to the enterprise regulatory capital framework increase the capital relief afforded by credit risk transfer transactions.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 30 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The table below displays the aggregate mortgage credit risk transferred to third parties and retained by Fannie Mae pursuant to our single-family credit risk transfer transactions. The table does not include the credit risk transferred on single-family transactions that were cancelled or terminated as of March 31, 2022. The table below also excludes coverage obtained through primary mortgage insurance. The risk in force of these transactions, which refers to the maximum amount of losses that could be absorbed by credit risk transfer investors, was approximately $41 billion as of March 31, 2022, compared with approximately $39 billion as of March 31, 2021. Because of the large number of mortgage prepayments in recent periods, the first loss retention layer on each credit risk transfer transaction has increased as a percentage of the outstanding reference pool. As a result, to the extent that these deals were impacted by refinancing activity, the losses on the remaining covered reference pools must generally reach a higher percentage of the remaining outstanding balance before those credit risk transfer transactions will pay any benefits to us. In addition, home price appreciation since we entered into the transactions reduces the likelihood that we will incur losses on the covered loans large enough to receive a benefit from these transactions.
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|
Outstanding as of March 31, 2022 |
(Dollars in billions) |
| Senior | | Fannie Mae(1) $878 | | Outstanding Reference Pool(4)(6) $931
|
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Mezzanine | | Fannie Mae(1) $3
| | CIRT(2)(3) $13
| | CAS(2) $13
| | Lender Risk-Sharing(2) $4
| |
| | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
First Loss | | Fannie Mae(1) $9
| | CAS(2)(5) $9
| | Lender Risk-Sharing(2) $2
| |
| | |
(1)Credit risk retained by Fannie Mae in CAS, CIRT and lender risk-sharing transactions. Tranche sizes vary across programs.
(2)Credit risk transferred to third parties. Tranche sizes vary across programs.
(3)Includes mortgage pool insurance transactions covering loans with an unpaid principal balance of approximately $1.4 billion outstanding as of March 31, 2022.
(4)For CIRT and some lender risk-sharing transactions, “Reference Pool” reflects a pool of covered loans.
(5)For CAS transactions, “First Loss” represents all B tranche balances.
(6)For CAS and some lender risk-sharing transactions, represents outstanding reference pools, not the outstanding unpaid principal balance of the underlying loans. The outstanding unpaid principal balance for all loans covered by credit risk transfer programs, including all loans on which risk has been transferred in lender risk-sharing transactions, was approximately $906 billion as of March 31, 2022.
The following table displays information about the credit enhancement recovery receivables we have recognized within “Other assets” in our condensed consolidated balance sheets.
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Single-Family Credit Enhancement Receivables |
| | As Of |
| | March 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Freestanding credit enhancement receivables | | $ | 167 | | | $ | 99 | |
Primary mortgage insurance receivables, net of allowance | | 52 | | | 54 | |
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 31 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The following table displays the approximate cash paid or transferred to investors for credit risk transfer transactions outstanding. The cash represents the portion of the guaranty fee paid to investors as compensation for taking on a share of the credit risk.
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Credit Risk Transfer Transactions |
| | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| | 2022 | | 2021 |
Cash paid or transferred for: | | (Dollars in millions) |
CAS transactions(1) | | $ | 184 | | | $ | 206 | |
CIRT transactions | | 59 | | | 72 | |
Lender risk-sharing transactions | | 42 | | | 74 | |
(1)Consists of cash paid for interest expense net of LIBOR or SOFR, as applicable, on outstanding CAS debt and amounts paid for both CAS REMIC® and CAS Credit-linked notes (“CLN”) transactions.
Cash paid or transferred to investors for CIRT transactions includes cancellation fees paid on certain CIRT transactions where we determined that the cost of these deals exceeded the expected remaining benefit. We expect expenses relating to cash paid or transferred to investors for credit risk transfer transactions will be higher in 2022 compared with 2021 as we expect to engage in a greater volume of credit risk transfer transactions in 2022.
The table below displays the primary characteristics of loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business without credit enhancement as of the specified dates.
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Single-Family Loans without Credit Enhancement |
| | As of |
| | March 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 |
| | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business | | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business |
| | (Dollars in billions) |
Low LTV ratio or short-term(1) | | $ | 1,198 | | | 34 | % | | $ | 1,167 | | | 34 | % |
Pre-credit risk transfer program inception(2) | | 305 | | | 9 | | | 324 | | | 9 | |
Recently acquired(3) | | 836 | | | 23 | | | 983 | | | 28 | |
Other(4) | | 569 | | | 16 | | | 565 | | | 16 | |
Less: Loans in multiple categories | | (664) | | | (19) | | | (750) | | | (21) | |
Total single-family loans without credit enhancement | | $ | 2,244 | | | 63 | % | | $ | 2,289 | | | 66 | % |
(1)Represents loans with an LTV ratio less than or equal to 60% or loans with an original maturity of 20 years or less.
(2)Represents loans that were acquired before the inception of our credit risk transfer programs. Also includes Refi PlusTM loans.
(3)Represents loans that were recently acquired and have not been included in a reference pool.
(4)Includes adjustable-rate mortgage loans, loans with a combined LTV ratio greater than 97%, non-Refi Plus loans acquired after the inception of our credit risk transfer programs that became 30 or more days delinquent prior to inclusion in a credit risk transfer transaction and loans that were delinquent as of March 31, 2022 or December 31, 2021.
Single-Family Problem Loan Management
Our problem loan management strategies focus primarily on reducing defaults to avoid losses that would otherwise occur and pursuing foreclosure alternatives to mitigate the severity of the losses we incur. See “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Problem Loan Management” in our 2021 Form 10-K for a discussion of delinquency statistics on our problem loans, efforts undertaken to manage our problem loans, metrics regarding our loan workout activities, real estate owned (“REO”) management and other single-family credit-related information. The discussion below updates some of that information. We also provide ongoing credit performance information on loans underlying single-family Fannie Mae MBS and loans covered by single-family credit risk transfer transactions. For loans backing Fannie Mae MBS, see the “Forbearance and Delinquency Dashboard” available in the MBS section of our Data Dynamics® tool, which is available at www.fanniemae.com/datadynamics. For loans covered by credit risk transfer transactions, see the “Deal Performance Data” report available in the CAS and CIRT sections of the tool. Information on our website is not incorporated into this report. Information in Data Dynamics may differ from similar measures presented in our financial statements and other public disclosures for a variety of
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 32 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
reasons, including as a result of variations in the loan population covered, timing differences in reporting and other factors.
Single-Family Serious Delinquency Rates
The tables below display the delinquency status of loans and changes in the volume of seriously delinquent loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business based on the number of loans. Single-family seriously delinquent loans are loans that are 90 days or more past due or in the foreclosure process, expressed as a percentage of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business based on loan count. Management monitors the single-family serious delinquency rate as an indicator of potential future credit losses and loss mitigation activities. Serious delinquency rates are reflective of our performance in assessing and managing credit risk associated with single-family loans in our guaranty book of business. Typically, higher serious delinquency rates result in a higher allowance for loan losses.
For purposes of our disclosures regarding delinquency status, we report loans receiving COVID-19-related payment forbearance as delinquent according to the contractual terms of the loan. Pursuant to the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (“CARES Act”), for purposes of reporting to the credit bureaus, servicers must report a borrower receiving a COVID-19-related payment accommodation during the covered period, such as a forbearance plan or loan modification, as current if the borrower was current prior to receiving the accommodation and the borrower makes all required payments in accordance with the accommodation. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Delinquency Status and Activity of Single-Family Conventional Loans |
| | As of |
| | March 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 | | March 31, 2021 |
Delinquency status: | | | | | | |
30 to 59 days delinquent | | 0.72 | % | | 0.86 | % | | 0.71 | % |
60 to 89 days delinquent | | 0.19 | | | 0.20 | | | 0.26 | |
Seriously delinquent (“SDQ”): | | 1.01 | | | 1.25 | | | 2.58 | |
Percentage of SDQ loans that have been delinquent for more than 180 days | | 71 | | | 75 | | | 74 | |
Percentage of SDQ loans that have been delinquent for more than two years | | 12 | | | 9 | | | 4 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| | 2022 | | 2021 |
Single-family SDQ loans (number of loans): | | | | |
Beginning balance | | 218,329 | | | 495,806 | |
Additions | | 44,925 | | | 84,685 | |
Removals: | | | | |
Modifications and other loan workouts | | (57,370) | | | (80,967) | |
Liquidations and sales | | (10,375) | | | (16,179) | |
Cured or less than 90 days delinquent | | (16,638) | | | (35,316) | |
Total removals | | (84,383) | | | (132,462) | |
Ending balance | | 178,871 | | | 448,029 | |
Our single-family serious delinquency rate decreased as of March 31, 2022 compared with December 31, 2021 and March 31, 2021 driven by single-family loans exiting forbearance through a loan workout or by otherwise reinstating their loan. As of March 31, 2022, single-family loans in forbearance comprised 30% of our single-family seriously delinquent loans.
The table below displays the serious delinquency rates for, and the percentage of our seriously delinquent single-family conventional loans represented by, the specified loan categories. Percentage of book amounts represent the unpaid principal balance of loans for each category divided by the unpaid principal balance of our total single-family conventional guaranty book of business. The reported categories are not mutually exclusive.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 33 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
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Single-Family Conventional Seriously Delinquent Loan Concentration Analysis |
| As of |
| March 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | March 31, 2021 |
| | Percentage of Book Outstanding | | Percentage of Seriously Delinquent Loans(1) | | Serious Delinquency Rate | | Percentage of Book Outstanding | | Percentage of Seriously Delinquent Loans(1) | | Serious Delinquency Rate | | Percentage of Book Outstanding | | Percentage of Seriously Delinquent Loans(1) | | Serious Delinquency Rate |
States: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
California | | 19 | % | | 10 | % | | 0.79 | % | | 19 | % | | 11 | % | | 1.01 | % | | 19 | % | | 12 | % | | 2.31 | % |
Florida | | 6 | | | 8 | | | 1.21 | | | 6 | | | 8 | | | 1.59 | | | 6 | | | 9 | | | 3.60 | |
Illinois | | 3 | | | 5 | | | 1.28 | | | 3 | | | 5 | | | 1.55 | | | 3 | | | 5 | | | 3.02 | |
New Jersey | | 3 | | | 4 | | | 1.49 | | | 3 | | | 5 | | | 1.90 | | | 4 | | | 5 | | | 4.04 | |
New York | | 5 | | | 8 | | | 1.87 | | | 5 | | | 7 | | | 2.24 | | | 5 | | | 7 | | | 4.34 | |
All other states | | 64 | | | 65 | | | 0.95 | | | 64 | | | 64 | | | 1.16 | | | 63 | | | 62 | | | 2.34 | |
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| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Vintages: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2004 and prior | | 1 | | | 10 | | | 3.12 | | | 1 | | | 10 | | | 3.48 | | | 2 | | | 9 | | | 5.66 | |
2005-2008 | | 2 | | | 15 | | | 5.14 | | | 2 | | | 14 | | | 5.87 | | | 2 | | | 15 | | | 9.65 | |
2009-2022 | | 97 | | | 75 | | | 0.81 | | | 97 | | | 76 | | | 1.01 | | | 96 | | | 76 | | | 2.13 | |
Estimated mark-to-market LTV ratio: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<= 60% | | 63 | | | 75 | | | 1.04 | | | 61 | | | 73 | | | 1.27 | | | 53 | | | 59 | | | 2.36 | |
60.01% to 70% | | 18 | | | 15 | | | 1.09 | | | 19 | | | 16 | | | 1.37 | | | 18 | | | 18 | | | 3.27 | |
70.01% to 80% | | 12 | | | 7 | | | 0.84 | | | 13 | | | 8 | | | 1.08 | | | 18 | | | 13 | | | 2.67 | |
80.01% to 90% | | 5 | | | 2 | | | 0.72 | | | 5 | | | 2 | | | 0.88 | | | 8 | | | 8 | | | 3.23 | |
90.01% to 100% | | 2 | | | 1 | | | 0.47 | | | 2 | | | 1 | | | 0.51 | | | 3 | | | 1 | | | 1.49 | |
Greater than 100% | | * | | * | | 10.86 | | | * | | * | | 12.41 | | | * | | 1 | | | 21.81 | |
Credit enhanced:(2) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary MI & other(3) | | 20 | | | 29 | | | 1.77 | | | 20 | | | 29 | | | 2.14 | | | 21 | | | 27 | | | 4.06 | |
Credit risk transfer(4) | | 25 | | | 30 | | | 1.23 | | | 21 | | | 32 | | | 1.80 | | | 25 | | | 36 | | | 3.65 | |
Non-credit enhanced | | 63 | | | 54 | | | 0.83 | | | 66 | | | 53 | | | 0.98 | | | 62 | | | 51 | | | 2.06 | |
*Represents less than 0.5% of single-family conventional guaranty book of business.
(1)Calculated based on the number of single-family loans that were seriously delinquent for each category divided by the total number of single-family conventional loans that were seriously delinquent.
(2)The credit-enhanced categories are not mutually exclusive. A loan with primary mortgage insurance that is also covered by a credit risk transfer transaction will be included in both the “Primary MI & other” category and the “Credit risk transfer” category. As a result, the “Credit enhanced” and “Non-credit enhanced” categories do not sum to 100%. The total percentage of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business with some form of credit enhancement as of March 31, 2022 was 37%.
(3)Refers to loans included in an agreement used to reduce credit risk by requiring primary mortgage insurance, collateral, letters of credit, corporate guarantees, or other agreements to provide an entity with some assurance that it will be compensated to some degree in the event of a financial loss. Excludes loans covered by credit risk transfer transactions unless such loans are also covered by primary mortgage insurance.
(4)Refers to loans included in reference pools for credit risk transfer transactions, including loans in these transactions that are also covered by primary mortgage insurance. For CAS and some lender risk-sharing transactions, this represents the outstanding unpaid principal balance of the underlying loans on the single-family mortgage credit book, not the outstanding reference pool, as of the specified date. Loans included in our credit risk transfer transactions have all been acquired since 2009.
Single-Family Loans in Forbearance
As a part of our relief programs, we have authorized our servicers to permit payment forbearance to borrowers experiencing a COVID-19-related financial hardship for up to 12 months without regard to the delinquency status of the loan, and for borrowers already in forbearance as of February 28, 2021, for a total of up to 18 months, provided that the forbearance does not result in the loan becoming greater than 18 months delinquent. We believe that the substantial majority of borrowers who will ultimately request COVID-19-related relief have already done so.
As of March 31, 2022, the unpaid principal balance of single-family loans in forbearance was $16.6 billion compared with $23.6 billion as of December 31, 2021. The percentage of loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business in forbearance has declined to 0.5% as of March 31, 2022 compared with 0.7% as of December 31, 2021. As of March 31, 2022, 67% of the single-family loans in forbearance were seriously delinquent compared with 66% as of December 31, 2021. We expect many of the loans in forbearance will resolve their delinquency through a payment deferral, loan modification, or other form of loan workout.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 34 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The table below displays the status as of March 31, 2022 of the single-family loans in our guaranty book of business that received a forbearance in 2020, 2021 or 2022. The vast majority of these forbearance arrangements were offered to borrowers who experienced a COVID-19-related financial hardship. Many of these borrowers have successfully resolved their forbearance arrangement, primarily through payment deferral or reinstatement. In addition, many of the loans that received a forbearance arrangement have subsequently liquidated, primarily as a result of refinancing, through the first quarter of 2022. By contrast, we expect that a higher percentage of loans that have yet to resolve their forbearance will receive a modification.
As of March 31, 2022, 92% of single-family loans that received a forbearance and subsequently received a payment deferral were current, and 89% of single-family loans that received a forbearance and subsequently received a completed modification were current. See “Loan Workout Metrics” for additional information about actions we have taken to help reinstate loans to current status.
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Status of Single-Family Forbearance Loans |
| | As of March 31, 2022 | | |
| | Number of Loans | | Percentage of Loans with Forbearance by Category | | | | |
| | | | |
Loans that received a forbearance, by status:(1) | | | | | | | | |
Active forbearance | | 81,155 | | | 6 | % | | | | |
Payment deferral | | 388,034 | | | 27 | | | | | |
Modification(2) | | 82,929 | | | 6 | | | | | |
Reinstated(3) | | 283,537 | | | 20 | | | | | |
Delinquent at time of exit or repayment plan(4) | | 49,572 | | | 3 | | | | | |
Total loans that received a forbearance in our single-family guaranty book of business | | 885,227 | | | 62 | | | | | |
Loans that have received a forbearance, but paid off | | 548,920 | | | 38 | | | | | |
Total loans that have received a forbearance(5) | | 1,434,147 | | | 100 | % | | | | |
(1)Loans are classified based on their status as of period end; therefore, loans may move from one category to another.
(2)Includes 27,536 loans that are in trial modifications.
(3)Represents loans that are no longer in forbearance but are current according to the original terms of the loan. Also includes loans that remained current throughout the forbearance arrangement and continue to perform.
(4)Consists of 48,642 loans that were delinquent upon the expiration of the forbearance arrangement and 930 delinquent loans that exited forbearance through a repayment plan.
(5)Includes 5,415 loans that were in forbearance as of January 1, 2020.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 35 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The table below displays the status as of December 31, 2021 for single-family loans in our guaranty book of business that received a forbearance in 2020 or 2021. As of December 31, 2021, 93% of loans that received a forbearance and subsequently received a payment deferral were current, and 86% of loans that received a forbearance and subsequently received a completed modification were current.
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Status of Single-Family Forbearance Loans |
| | | | As of December 31, 2021 |
| | | | | | Number of Loans | | Percentage of Loans with Forbearance by Category |
| | | | |
Loans that received a forbearance, by status:(1) | | | | | | | | |
Active forbearance | | | | | | 117,440 | | | 8 | % |
Payment deferral | | | | | | 380,070 | | | 27 | |
Modification(2) | | | | | | 65,383 | | | 5 | |
Reinstated(3) | | | | | | 291,039 | | | 21 | |
Delinquent at time of exit or repayment plan(4) | | | | | | 63,069 | | | 4 | |
Total loans that received a forbearance in our single-family guaranty book of business | | | | | | 917,001 | | | 65 | |
Loans that have received a forbearance, but paid off | | | | | | 497,288 | | | 35 | |
Total loans that have received a forbearance(5) | | | | | | 1,414,289 | | | 100 | % |
(1)Loans are classified based on their status as of period end; therefore, loans may move from one category to another.
(2)Includes 33,444 loans that are in trial modifications.
(3)Represents loans that are no longer in forbearance but are current according to the original terms of the loan. Also includes loans that remained current throughout the forbearance arrangement and continue to perform.
(4)Consists of 60,638 loans that were delinquent upon the expiration of the forbearance arrangement and 2,431 delinquent loans that exited forbearance through a repayment plan.
(5)Includes 5,415 loans that were in forbearance as of January 1, 2020.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 36 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Loan Workout Metrics
As a part of our credit risk management efforts, loan workouts represent actions we take to help reinstate loans to current status and help homeowners stay in their home or to otherwise avoid foreclosure. Our loan workouts reflect various types of home retention solutions, including repayment plans, payment deferrals, and loan modifications. Our loan workouts also include foreclosure alternatives, such as short sales and deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure.
The chart below displays the unpaid principal balance of our completed single-family loan workouts by type, as well as the number of loan workouts, for the first quarter of 2021 compared with the first quarter of 2022. This table does not include loans in an active forbearance arrangement, trial modifications, loans to certain borrowers who have received bankruptcy relief and repayment plans that have been initiated but not completed.
(1)There were approximately 35,600 loans and 16,700 loans in a trial modification period that was not yet complete as of March 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
(2)Includes repayment plans and foreclosure alternatives. Repayment plans reflect only those plans associated with loans that were 60 days or more delinquent.
The overall decline in loan workout activity was driven by fewer outstanding COVID-19-related forbearances in the first quarter of 2022 compared with the first quarter of 2021. While payment deferral has been the primary loan workout solution for borrowers exiting forbearance to date, modifications have become an increasing proportion of our home retention solutions.
As we discussed in “Single-Family Loans in Forbearance”, we believe that the substantial majority of borrowers who will ultimately request COVID-19-related relief have already done so. The total amount of principal and interest deferred to the end of the loan term for single-family loans that received a payment deferral was $427 million for the first quarter of 2022, of which $261 million was deferred interest. For the first quarter of 2021, the total amount of principal and interest deferred was $783 million, of which $457 million was deferred interest.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 37 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Single-Family REO Management
If a loan defaults, we may acquire the property through foreclosure or a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure. The table below displays our REO activity by region. Regional REO acquisition trends generally follow a pattern that is similar to, but lags, that of regional delinquency trends.
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Single-Family REO Properties |
| | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| | 2022 | | 2021 |
Single-family REO properties (number of properties): | | | | | | |
Beginning of period inventory of single-family REO properties(1) | | 7,166 | | | | 7,973 | | |
Acquisitions by geographic area:(2) | | | | | | |
Midwest | | 392 | | | | 250 | | |
Northeast | | 274 | | | | 232 | | |
Southeast | | 263 | | | | 292 | | |
Southwest | | 165 | | | | 115 | | |
West | | 69 | | | | 51 | | |
Total REO acquisitions(1) | | 1,163 | | | | 940 | | |
Dispositions of REO | | (899) | | | | (1,995) | | |
End of period inventory of single-family REO properties(1) | | 7,430 | | | | 6,918 | | |
Carrying value of single-family REO properties (dollars in millions) | | $ | 1,090 | | | | $ | 995 | | |
Single-family foreclosure rate(3) | | 0.03 | | % | | 0.02 | | % |
REO net sales price to unpaid principal balance(4) | | 116 | | % | | 107 | | % |
Short sales net sales price to unpaid principal balance(5) | | 86 | | % | | 82 | | % |
(1)Includes held-for-use properties, which are reported in our condensed consolidated balance sheets as a component of “Other assets.”
(2)See footnote 8 to the “Key Risk Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Business Volume and Guaranty Book of Business” table for states included in each geographic region.
(3)Estimated based on the annualized total number of properties acquired through foreclosure or deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure as a percentage of the total number of loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business as of the end of each period.
(4)Calculated as the amount of sale proceeds received on disposition of REO properties during the respective periods, excluding those subject to repurchase requests made to our sellers or servicers, divided by the aggregate unpaid principal balance of the related loans at the time of foreclosure. Net sales price represents the contract sales price less selling costs for the property and other charges paid by the seller at closing.
(5)Calculated as the amount of sale proceeds received on properties sold in short sale transactions during the respective periods divided by the aggregate unpaid principal balance of the related loans. Net sales price includes borrower relocation incentive payments and subordinate lien(s) negotiated payoffs.
In response to the pandemic and with instruction from FHFA, we prohibited our servicers from completing foreclosures on our single-family loans through July 31, 2021, except in the case of vacant or abandoned properties. In addition, our servicers were required to comply with a Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (the “CFPB”) rule that prohibited certain new single-family foreclosures on mortgage loans secured by the borrower’s principal residence until after December 31, 2021. As a result, our foreclosure volumes were slightly higher in the first quarter of 2022 compared with the first quarter of 2021. We expect foreclosure volumes to gradually increase throughout 2022.
In April 2022, FHFA announced a suspension of foreclosure activities for up to 60 days for borrowers who apply for assistance under Treasury’s Homeowner Assistance Fund.
Other Single-Family Credit Information
Single-Family Credit Loss Metrics and Loan Sale Performance
The single-family credit loss metrics and loan sale performance measures below present information about losses or gains we realized on our single-family loans during the periods presented. The amount of these losses or gains in a given period is driven by foreclosures, pre-foreclosure sales, post-foreclosure REO activity, mortgage loan redesignations, and other events that trigger write-offs and recoveries. The single-family credit loss metrics we present are not defined terms and may not be calculated in the same manner as similarly titled measures reported by other companies. Management uses these measures to evaluate the effectiveness of our single-family credit risk management strategies in conjunction with leading indicators such as serious delinquency and forbearance rates, which
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 38 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
are potential indicators of future realized single-family credit losses. We believe these measures provide useful information about our single-family credit performance and the factors that impact it.
The table below displays the components of our single-family credit loss metrics and loan sale performance.
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Single-Family Credit Loss Metrics and Loan Sale Performance |
| | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | |
| | | | | | 2022 | | 2021 | |
| | | | | (Dollars in millions) | |
Write-offs | | | | | | $ | (16) | | | $ | (19) | | |
Recoveries | | | | | | 36 | | | 5 | | |
Foreclosed property income | | | | | | 34 | | | 17 | | |
Credit gains | | | | | | 54 | | | 3 | | |
Write-offs on the redesignation of mortgage loans from HFI to HFS(1) | | | | | | (13) | | | (54) | | |
Net credit gains and write-offs on the redesignations | | | | | | 41 | | | (51) | | |
Gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments(2) | | | | | | (67) | | | 31 | | |
Net credit gains, write-offs on the redesignations and gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments | | | | | | $ | (26) | | | $ | (20) | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Credit gain ratio (in bps)(3) | | | | | | 0.6 | | | * | |
Net credit gains, write-offs on the redesignations and gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments ratio (in bps)(3) | | | | | | (0.3) | | | (0.2) | | |
* Represents credit gain ratio of less than 0.05 basis points.
(1)Consists of the lower of cost or fair value adjustment at time of redesignation.
(2)Consists of gains or losses realized on the sales of nonperforming and reperforming mortgage loans during the period and temporary lower-of-cost-or-market adjustments on HFS loans, which are recognized in “Investment gains (losses), net” in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income.
(3)Calculated based on the annualized amount of “Credit gains” and “Net credit gains, write-offs on redesignations and gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments” divided by the average single-family conventional guaranty book of business during the period.
We had higher single-family credit gains in the first quarter of 2022 compared with the first quarter of 2021, primarily due to higher foreclosed property income as well as higher loss recoveries.
Our single-family write-offs on redesignations decreased in the first quarter of 2022 compared with the first quarter of 2021 primarily due to a decrease in the volume of nonperforming and reperforming loans redesignated from HFI to HFS in the first quarter of 2022.
We had losses on other valuation adjustments in the first quarter of 2022 primarily due to losses on lower-of-cost-or-market adjustments driven by price declines on our HFS loans as rates rose. By contrast, we had gains on sales and other valuation adjustments in the first quarter of 2021 due to gains on lower-of-cost-or-market adjustments driven by price increases on our HFS loans as a result of the market recovery following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.
We expect a gradual increase in our single-family write-offs in 2022 as a result of an increase in foreclosure activity, due in part to the expiration of the CFPB rule that prohibited certain new single-family foreclosures on mortgage loans secured by the borrower’s principal residence until after December 31, 2021. See “Risk Factors” in our 2021 Form 10-K for additional information on the potential credit risk impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
For information on our credit-related income or expense, which includes changes in our allowance, see “Consolidated Results of Operations—Credit-Related Income (Expense)” and “Single-Family Business Financial Results.”
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 39 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business |
Multifamily Business
This section supplements and updates information regarding our Multifamily business segment in our 2021 Form 10-K. See “MD&A—Multifamily Business” in our 2021 Form 10-K for additional information regarding the primary business activities, lenders, competition and market share of our Multifamily business.
Multifamily Mortgage Market
Multifamily market fundamentals, which include factors such as vacancy rates and rents, remained positive during the first quarter of 2022, due to pent up demand for multifamily housing stemming from a rebounding economy, including increasing job growth, higher wages and an elevated level of household savings.
•Vacancy rates. Based on preliminary third-party data, we estimate that the national multifamily vacancy rate for institutional investment-type apartment properties was 4.8% as of March 31, 2022, compared with 5.0% as of December 31, 2021, and 6.0% as of March 31, 2021. The national multifamily vacancy rate remains below its average rate of about 6% over the last 10 years.
•Rents. Based on preliminary third-party data, we estimate that effective rents increased by 2.0% during the first quarter of 2022 compared with an increase of 3.0% during the fourth quarter of 2021 and an increase of 0.5% during the first quarter of 2021. We expect annualized rent growth for 2022 will be between 4.0% and 5.0%.
Vacancy rates and rents are important to loan performance because multifamily loans are generally repaid from the cash flows generated by the underlying property. Several years of improvement in these fundamentals helped to increase property values in most metropolitan areas. Based on preliminary multifamily property sales data, transaction volumes for early 2022 remained elevated with capitalization rates holding steady; however, annual sales volume is not expected to reach the level achieved in 2021. Nevertheless, we believe commercial real estate investors will remain interested in the multifamily sector this year, despite rising interest rates, due to continued strong fundamentals.
We estimate more than 386,000 multifamily units were delivered in 2021. Multifamily construction underway remains elevated. We estimate that approximately 450,000 multifamily units will be delivered in 2022.
We expect the multifamily sector to continue benefiting from current economic conditions and continued job growth, with rent growth moderating but remaining above normalized levels over the remainder of the year.
Multifamily Business Metrics
Through the secondary mortgage market, we support rental housing for the workforce population, for senior citizens and students, and for families with the greatest economic need. Almost 95% of the multifamily units we financed that were potentially eligible for housing goals credit in the first quarter of 2022 were affordable to families earning at or below 120% of the median income in their area, providing support for both workforce housing and affordable housing.
Multifamily New Business Volume
(Dollars in billions)
(1)Reflects unpaid principal balance of multifamily Fannie Mae MBS issued, multifamily loans purchased, and credit enhancements provided on multifamily mortgage assets during the period.
(2)Reflects new units financed by first liens; excludes second liens on units for which we had financed the first lien, as well as manufactured housing rentals. Units financed reported for prior periods have been updated in this report to exclude previously included second liens and manufactured housing rentals. Second liens and manufactured housing rentals are included in unpaid principal balance financed.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 40 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Business Metrics |
In October 2021, FHFA announced that the multifamily loan purchase cap for 2022 will be $78 billion. A minimum of 50% of loan purchases must be mission-driven, focused on specified affordable and underserved market segments. In addition, 25% of loan purchases must be affordable to residents earning 60% or less of area median income, up from the 20% requirement in 2021.
For information on how conservatorship may affect our business activities, see “Risk Factors—GSE and Conservatorship Risk” in our 2021 Form 10-K.
Presentation of Our Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business
For purposes of the information reported in this “Multifamily Business” section, we measure our multifamily guaranty book of business using the unpaid principal balance of mortgage loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS. By contrast, the multifamily guaranty book of business presented in the “Composition of Fannie Mae Guaranty Book of Business” table in the “Guaranty Book of Business” section is based on the unpaid principal balance of Fannie Mae MBS outstanding. These amounts differ primarily as a result of payments we receive on underlying loans that have not yet been remitted to the MBS holders.
Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business
(Dollars in billions)
(1)Our multifamily guaranty book of business primarily consists of multifamily mortgage loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS outstanding, multifamily mortgage loans of Fannie Mae held in our retained mortgage portfolio, and other credit enhancements that we provide on multifamily mortgage assets. It does not include non-Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage-related securities held in our retained mortgage portfolio for which we do not provide a guaranty.
Average charged guaranty fee represents our effective revenue rate relative to the size of our multifamily guaranty book of business. Management uses this metric to assess the return we earn as compensation for the multifamily credit risk we manage. Average charged guaranty fee increased in the first quarter of 2022 compared with the first quarter of 2021 due to increased pricing on new multifamily business. Our multifamily guaranty fee pricing is primarily based on the individual credit risk characteristics of the loans we acquire and the aggregate credit risk characteristics of our multifamily guaranty book of business. Our multifamily guaranty fee pricing is also influenced by market forces such as the availability of other sources of liquidity, our mission-related goals, the FHFA volume cap, interest rates, MBS spreads, and the management of the overall composition of our multifamily guaranty book of business. Interest rates have increased significantly since the beginning of the year and may increase further, which combined with increased market competition, could result in lower guaranty fees for new acquisitions in future periods to offset the borrowers’ higher borrowing costs.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 41 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Business Financial Results |
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Multifamily Business Financial Results(1) |
| | | | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | | |
| | | | | | | | 2022 | | 2021 | | Variance |
| | | | | | | | (Dollars in millions) |
Net interest income | | | | | | | | $ | 1,144 | | | $ | 848 | | | $ | 296 | |
Fee and other income | | | | | | | | 22 | | | 25 | | | (3) | |
Net revenues | | | | | | | | 1,166 | | | 873 | | | 293 | |
Fair value gains (losses), net | | | | | | | | (47) | | | 44 | | | (91) | |
Administrative expenses | | | | | | | | (125) | | | (125) | | | — | |
Credit-related income(2) | | | | | | | | 35 | | | 91 | | | (56) | |
Credit enhancement expense(3) | | | | | | | | (68) | | | (58) | | | (10) | |
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries(4) | | | | | | | | (9) | | | (15) | | | 6 | |
Other expenses, net(5) | | | | | | | | (74) | | | (51) | | | (23) | |
Income before federal income taxes | | | | | | | | 878 | | | 759 | | | 119 | |
Provision for federal income taxes | | | | | | | | (179) | | | (160) | | | (19) | |
Net income | | | | | | | | $ | 699 | | | $ | 599 | | | $ | 100 | |
(1)See “Note 9, Segment Reporting” for information about our segment allocation methodology.
(2)Consists of the benefit or provision for credit losses and foreclosed property income or expense.
(3)Primarily consists of costs associated with our Multifamily CIRTTM (“MCIRTTM”) and Multifamily Connecticut Avenue SecuritiesTM (“MCASTM”) programs as well as amortization expense for certain lender risk-sharing programs.
(4)Consists of change in benefits recognized from our freestanding credit enhancements that primarily relate to our Delegated Underwriting and Servicing (“DUS®”) lender risk-sharing.
(5)Consists of investment gains or losses, gains or losses from partnership investments, debt extinguishment gains or losses, and other income or expenses.
Net Interest Income
Multifamily net interest income increased in the first quarter of 2022 compared with the first quarter of 2021 primarily due to higher guaranty fee income as a result of an increase in the size of our multifamily guaranty book of business combined with an increase in average charged guaranty fees and higher yield maintenance revenue related to the prepayment of multifamily loans.
Credit-Related Income
Credit-related income for the first quarter of 2022 was the result of a reduction in our credit loss reserves primarily due to strong multifamily market fundamentals.
Credit-related income for the first quarter of 2021 was primarily driven by a benefit from actual and projected economic data and lower expected losses resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic.
See “Consolidated Results of Operations—Credit-Related Income (Expense)” for more information on our multifamily benefit or provision for credit losses.
Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management
This section supplements and updates our discussion of multifamily mortgage credit risk management in our 2021 Form 10-K in “MD&A—Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management.” For an overview of key elements of our mortgage credit risk management, see “Business—Managing Mortgage Credit Risk” in our 2021 Form 10-K.
Multifamily Acquisition Policy and Underwriting Standards
Our Multifamily business is responsible for pricing and managing the credit risk on our multifamily guaranty book of business, with oversight from our Enterprise Risk Management division. Multifamily loans that we purchase or that back Fannie Mae MBS are underwritten by a Fannie Mae-approved lender and may be subject to our underwriting review prior to closing, depending on the product type, loan size, market and/or other factors. Our underwriting standards generally include, among other things, property cash flow analysis and third-party appraisals.
Additionally, our standards for multifamily loans specify maximum original LTV ratio and minimum original debt service coverage ratio (“DSCR”) values that vary based on loan characteristics. Our experience has been that original LTV ratio
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 42 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
and DSCR values have been reliable indicators of future credit performance. At underwriting, we evaluate the DSCR based on both actual and underwritten debt service payments. The original DSCR is calculated using the underwritten debt service payments for the loan, which assumes both principal and interest payments, including stressed assumptions in certain cases, rather than the actual debt service payments. Depending on the loan’s interest rate and structure, using the underwritten debt service payments will often result in a more conservative estimate of the debt service payments (for example, loans with an interest-only period). This approach is used for all loans, including those with full and partial interest-only terms.
The following table displays certain key risk characteristics of our multifamily guaranty book of business that we use to evaluate the risk profile and credit quality of our multifamily loans.
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Key Risk Characteristics of Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business |
| As of |
| March 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 | | March 31, 2021 |
Weighted-average original LTV ratio | | 65 | | % | | | 65 | | % | | | 66 | | % |
Original LTV ratio greater than 80% | | 1 | | | | | 1 | | | | | 1 | | |
Original DSCR less than or equal to 1.10 | | 12 | | | | | 11 | | | | | 10 | | |
Full term interest-only loans | | 34 | | | | | 33 | | | | | 31 | | |
Partial term interest-only loans(1) | | 51 | | | | | 51 | | | | | 52 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
(1)Consists of mortgage loans that were underwritten with an interest-only term, regardless of whether the loan is currently in its interest-only period.
We provide additional information on the credit characteristics of our multifamily loans in quarterly financial supplements, which we furnish to the SEC with current reports on Form 8-K. Information in our quarterly financial supplements is not incorporated by reference into this report.
Transfer of Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk
We primarily transfer risk through our Delegated Underwriting and Servicing (“DUS®”) program, which delegates to DUS lenders the ability to underwrite and service multifamily loans, in accordance with our standards and requirements. See “MD&A—Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Transfer of Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk” in our 2021 Form 10-K for a description of our DUS program.
Our DUS model typically results in our lenders sharing approximately one-third of the credit risk on our multifamily loans, either on a pro-rata or tiered basis. Loans serviced by DUS lenders and their affiliates represented substantially all of our multifamily guaranty book of business as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021. In certain situations, to effectively manage our counterparty risk, we do not allow the lender to fully share in one-third of the credit risk, but have them share in a smaller portion.
While not a large portion of our multifamily guaranty book of business, our non-DUS lenders typically also have lender risk-sharing, where the lenders typically share or absorb losses based on a negotiated percentage of the loan or the pool balance.
To complement our front-end lender-risk sharing program, we engage in back-end credit risk transfer transactions through our Multifamily CIRTTM (“MCIRTTM”) and Multifamily Connecticut Avenue SecuritiesTM (“MCASTM”) transactions. Through these transactions, we transfer a portion of the credit risk associated with a reference pool of multifamily mortgage loans to insurers, reinsurers, or investors.
We transfer multifamily credit risk through lender risk-sharing at the time of acquisition, but our multifamily back-end credit risk transfer activity occurs later, typically up to a year or more after acquisition. We did not enter into any new back-end credit risk transfer transactions in the first quarter of 2022. The factors that we expect will affect the extent to which we engage in multifamily credit risk transfer transactions in the future and the structure of those transactions include our risk appetite, future market conditions, the cost of the transactions, FHFA guidance or requirements (including FHFA’s scorecard), the capital relief provided by the transactions, and our overall business and capital plans.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 43 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The table below displays the total unpaid principal balance of multifamily loans and the percentage of our multifamily guaranty book of business, based on unpaid principal balance, that is covered by a back-end credit risk transfer transaction. The table does not reflect front-end lender risk-sharing arrangements, as only a small portion of our multifamily guaranty book of business is not covered by these arrangements.
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Multifamily Loans in Back-End Credit Risk Transfer Transactions |
| | As of |
| | March 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 |
| | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business | | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
MCIRT | | $ | 82,379 | | | 20 | % | | $ | 84,894 | | | 20 | % |
MCAS | | 26,569 | | | 6 | | | 27,088 | | | 7 | |
Total | | $ | 108,948 | | | 26 | % | | $ | 111,982 | | | 27 | % |
Multifamily Portfolio Diversification and Monitoring
As part of our ongoing credit risk management process, we and our lenders monitor the performance and risk characteristics of our multifamily loans and the underlying properties on an ongoing basis throughout the loan term at the asset and portfolio level. We closely monitor loans with an estimated current DSCR below 1.0, as that is an indicator of heightened default risk. The percentage of loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business, calculated based on unpaid principal balance, with a current DSCR less than 1.0 was approximately 2% as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021.
We also manage our exposure to refinancing risk for multifamily loans maturing in the next several years. Interest rates have increased significantly since the beginning of the year and may increase further. Rising interest rates may reduce the ability of multifamily borrowers to refinance their loans, which often have balloon balances at maturity. We provide additional information on the maturity schedule of our multifamily loans in quarterly financial supplements, which we furnish to the SEC with current reports on Form 8-K and make available on our website. Information in our quarterly financial supplements is not incorporated by reference into this report.
For additional information on credit risk characteristics of our multifamily loans and other factors that we monitor to assess the performance of our Multifamily business, see “MD&A—Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Multifamily Portfolio Diversification and Monitoring” in our 2021 Form 10-K. See “Note 3, Mortgage Loans” for the internal risk categories we use to determine our loan credit quality.
Multifamily Problem Loan Management and Foreclosure Prevention
In addition to the credit performance information on our multifamily loans provided below, we provide information about multifamily loans in a COVID-19-related forbearance that back MBS and whole loan REMICs in a “Multifamily MBS COVID-19 Forbearance List” in the “Data Collections” section of our DUS Disclose® tool, available at www.fanniemae.com/dusdisclose. Information on our website is not incorporated into this report.
Delinquency Statistics on our Multifamily Problem Loans
The percentage of our multifamily loans classified as substandard in our guaranty book of business increased as of March 31, 2022 compared with December 31, 2021, due to the continued impact of COVID-19. Substandard loans are loans that have a well-defined weakness that could impact their timely full repayment. While the majority of the substandard loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business are currently making timely payments or are in forbearance, we continue to monitor the performance of our substandard loan population. For more information on our credit quality indicators, including our population of substandard loans, see “Note 3, Mortgage Loans.”
Our multifamily serious delinquency rate decreased to 0.38% as of March 31, 2022 compared with 0.42% as of December 31, 2021 and 0.66% as of March 31, 2021, primarily as a result of loans that received forbearance resolving their delinquency through completion of their repayment plans or otherwise reinstating. Our multifamily serious delinquency rate consists of multifamily loans that were 60 days or more past due based on unpaid principal balance, expressed as a percentage of our multifamily guaranty book of business. The percentage of loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business that were 180 days or more delinquent was 0.21% as of March 31, 2022, compared with 0.23% as of December 31, 2021.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 44 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Management monitors the multifamily serious delinquency rate as an indicator of potential future credit losses and loss mitigation activities. Serious delinquency rates are reflective of our performance in assessing and managing credit risk associated with multifamily loans in our guaranty book of business. Typically, higher serious delinquency rates result in a higher allowance for loan losses.
Our multifamily serious delinquency rate, excluding loans that received a forbearance, was 0.03% as of March 31, 2022, compared with 0.04% as of December 31, 2021. We monitor the multifamily serious delinquency rate excluding loans that received a forbearance to better understand the impact that forbearance activity has had on the rate and to monitor loans that are seriously delinquent not as a result of COVID-19 or natural disasters.
Multifamily Loan Forbearance
As of March 31, 2022, nearly all of our multifamily loans that have received forbearance were associated with a COVID-19-related financial hardship, but only a small portion of these loans remained in forbearance. As of March 31, 2022, there were 18 multifamily loans with an unpaid principal balance of $246 million in active forbearance, compared with 22 loans with an unpaid principal balance of $363 million as of December 31, 2021.
For additional information on our response to the COVID-19 pandemic, see “MD&A—Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Multifamily Problem Loan Management and Foreclosure Prevention” in our 2021 Form 10-K. We also provide additional information on multifamily forbearances in our quarterly financial supplements, which we furnish to the SEC with current reports on Form 8-K and make available on our website. Information in our quarterly financial supplements is not incorporated by reference into this report.
Multifamily REO Management
The number of multifamily foreclosed properties held for sale was 32 properties with a carrying value of $368 million as of March 31, 2022, compared with 31 properties with a carrying value of $302 million as of December 31, 2021. We expect additional foreclosures on loans that received a COVID-19 forbearance that are unable to successfully cure their delinquency through a repayment plan or other modification.
Other Multifamily Credit Information
Multifamily Credit Loss Performance Metrics
The amount of multifamily credit loss or income we realize in a given period is driven by foreclosures, pre-foreclosure sales, REO activity and write-offs, net of recoveries. Our multifamily credit loss performance metrics are not defined terms and may not be calculated in the same manner as similarly titled measures reported by other companies. We believe our multifamily credit losses, and our multifamily credit losses net of freestanding loss-sharing benefit, may be useful to stakeholders because they display our credit losses in the context of our multifamily guaranty book of business, including the benefit we receive from loss-sharing arrangements. Management views multifamily credit losses, net of freestanding loss-sharing benefit, as a key metric related to our multifamily business model and our strategy to share multifamily credit risk.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 45 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The table below displays the components of our multifamily credit loss performance metrics, as well as our multifamily initial write-off severity rate and write-off loan count.
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Multifamily Credit Loss Performance Metrics |
| | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | |
| | | | | | | 2022 | | | 2021 |
| | | | | | | | | (Dollars in millions) | |
Write-offs(1) | | | | | | | | | $ | — | | | | $ | (34) | | |
Recoveries | | | | | | | | | 7 | | | | 1 | | |
Foreclosed property income (expense) | | | | | | | | | 5 | | | | (12) | | |
Credit gains (losses) | | | | | | | | | 12 | | | | (45) | | |
Freestanding loss-sharing benefit (reduction in benefit)(2) | | | | | | | | | (7) | | | | 15 | | |
Credit gains (losses), net of freestanding loss-sharing benefit | | | | | | | | | $ | 5 | | | | $ | (30) | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Credit gain (loss) ratio (in bps)(3) | | | | | | | | | 1.2 | | | | (4.6) | | |
Credit gain (loss) ratio, net of freestanding loss-sharing benefit (in bps)(2)(3) | | | | | | | | | 0.5 | | | | (3.1) | | |
Multifamily initial write-off severity rate(4) | | | | | | | | | 5.5 | | % | | 13.8 | | % |
Multifamily write-off loan count | | | | | | | | | 4 | | | | 9 | | |
(1)Write-offs associated with non-REO sales are net of loss sharing.
(2)Represents expected benefits that we receive from write-offs as a result of certain freestanding credit enhancements, primarily multifamily DUS lender risk-sharing transactions. These benefits are recorded in “Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries” in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income.
(3)Calculated based on the annualized amount of “Credit gains (losses)” and “Credit gains (losses), net of freestanding loss-sharing benefit,” divided by the average multifamily guaranty book of business during the period.
(4)Rate is calculated as the initial write-off amount divided by the average defaulted unpaid principal balance. The rate excludes write-offs not associated with foreclosures or other liquidation events (such as a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure or a short-sale) and any costs, gains or losses associated with REO after initial acquisition through final disposition. Write-offs are net of lender loss-sharing agreements.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 46 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Credit Ratios and Select Credit Information |
Consolidated Credit Ratios and Select Credit Information
The table below displays select credit ratios on our single-family conventional guaranty book of business and our multifamily guaranty book of business, as well as the inputs used in calculating these ratios.
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Consolidated Credit Ratios and Select Credit Information | | | |
| | As of | | | |
| | March 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 | | | |
| | Single-family | | Multifamily | | Total | | Single-family | | Multifamily | | Total | | | |
| | (Dollars in millions) | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Credit loss reserves as a percentage of: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Guaranty book of business | | 0.15 | | % | | 0.16 | | % | | 0.15 | | % | | 0.15 | | % | | 0.17 | | % | | 0.15 | | % | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Nonaccrual loans at amortized cost | | 34.25 | | | | 52.70 | | | | 35.62 | | | | 25.63 | | | | 54.49 | | | | 27.35 | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Nonaccrual loans as a percentage of: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Guaranty book of business | | 0.44 | | % | | 0.30 | | % | | 0.42 | | % | | 0.57 | | % | | 0.30 | | % | | 0.54 | | % | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Select financial information used in calculating credit ratios: | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Credit loss reserves(1) | | $ | (5,368) | | | | $ | (663) | | | | $ | (6,031) | | | | $ | (5,088) | | | | $ | (686) | | | | $ | (5,774) | | | | | |
Guaranty book of business(2) | | 3,567,383 | | | | 419,791 | | | | 3,987,174 | | | | 3,483,054 | | | | 413,090 | | | | 3,896,144 | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Nonaccrual loans at amortized cost | | 15,675 | | | | 1,258 | | | | 16,933 | | | | 19,851 | | | | 1,259 | | | | 21,110 | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Components of credit loss reserves: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Allowance for loan losses | | $ | (5,241) | | | | $ | (658) | | | | $ | (5,899) | | | | $ | (4,950) | | | | $ | (679) | | | | $ | (5,629) | | | | | |
Allowance for accrued interest receivable | | (127) | | | | (1) | | | | (128) | | | | (138) | | | | (2) | | | | (140) | | | | | |
Reserve for guaranty losses(3) | | — | | | | (4) | | | | (4) | | | | — | | | | (5) | | | | (5) | | | | | |
Total credit loss reserves(1) | | $ | (5,368) | | | | $ | (663) | | | | $ | (6,031) | | | | $ | (5,088) | | | | $ | (686) | | | | $ | (5,774) | | | | | |
(1)Our multifamily credit loss reserves exclude the expected benefit of freestanding credit enhancements on multifamily loans of $226 million as of March 31, 2022 and $235 million as of December 31, 2021, which are recorded in “Other assets” in our condensed consolidated balance sheets.
(2)Represents conventional guaranty book of business for single-family.
(3)Reserve for guaranty losses is recorded in “Other liabilities” in our condensed consolidated balance sheets.
Our credit loss reserves increased as of March 31, 2022 compared with December 31, 2021 primarily as a result of a provision for credit losses, which we describe in “Consolidated Results of Operations—Credit-Related Income (Expense).”
Our nonaccrual loans decreased as of March 31, 2022 compared with December 31, 2021 primarily as a result of loan modifications, which bring a loan current, and loans which were able to otherwise return to accrual status.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 47 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Credit Ratios and Select Credit Information |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Consolidated Write-off Ratio and Select Credit Information | | | |
| | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | | | |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | | |
| | Single-family | | Multifamily | | Total | | Single-family | | Multifamily | | Total | | | |
| | (Dollars in millions) | | | |
Select credit ratio: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Write-offs, net of recoveries annualized, as a percentage of the average guaranty book of business (in bps) | | (0.1) | | | | (0.7) | | | | (0.1) | | | | 0.8 | | | | 3.4 | | | 1.1 | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Select financial information used in calculating credit ratio: | | |
Write-offs, net of recoveries | | $ | (7) | | | | $ | (7) | | | | $ | (14) | | | | $ | 68 | | | | $ | 33 | | | | $ | 101 | | | | | |
Average guaranty book of business(1) | | 3,525,219 | | | | 416,441 | | | | 3,941,660 | | | | 3,236,473 | | | | 391,820 | | | | 3,628,293 | | | | | |
(1)Average guaranty book of business is based on quarter-end balances.
Liquidity and Capital Management
Liquidity Management
This section supplements and updates information regarding liquidity management in our 2021 Form 10-K. See “MD&A—Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management” in our 2021 Form 10-K for additional information, including discussions of our primary sources and uses of funds, our liquidity and funding risk management practices and contingency planning, factors that influence our debt funding activity, factors that may impact our access to or the cost of our debt funding and factors that could adversely affect our liquidity and funding. Also see “Risk Factors—Liquidity and Funding Risk” in our 2021 Form 10-K for a discussion of liquidity and funding risks.
Debt Funding
We are currently subject to a $300 billion debt limit under our senior preferred stock purchase agreement with Treasury, which will decrease to $270 billion as of December 31, 2022. The unpaid principal balance of our aggregate indebtedness was $183.4 billion as of March 31, 2022. Pursuant to the terms of the senior preferred stock purchase agreement, we are prohibited from issuing debt without the prior consent of Treasury if it would result in our aggregate indebtedness exceeding our outstanding debt limit. The calculation of our indebtedness for purposes of complying with our debt limit reflects the unpaid principal balance and excludes debt basis adjustments and debt of consolidated trusts.
Outstanding Debt
Total outstanding debt of Fannie Mae includes short-term and long-term debt and excludes debt of consolidated trusts. Short-term debt of Fannie Mae consists of borrowings with an original contractual maturity of one year or less and, therefore, does not include the current portion of long-term debt. Long-term debt of Fannie Mae consists of borrowings with an original contractual maturity of greater than one year.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 48 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
The following chart and table display information on our outstanding short-term and long-term debt based on original contractual maturity. Our long-term debt continued to decrease in the first quarter of 2022 as our funding needs remained low and were primarily satisfied through cash and other liquid assets that accumulated in prior periods, as well as our earnings.
Debt of Fannie Mae(1)
(Dollars in billions)
(1)Outstanding debt balance consists of the unpaid principal balance, premiums and discounts, fair value adjustments, hedge-related basis adjustments and other cost basis adjustments. Reported amounts include net discount unamortized cost basis adjustments and fair value adjustments of $3.2 billion and $1.6 billion as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.
(2)Short-term debt was $4.0 billion and $2.8 billion as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Selected Debt Information |
| | | As of |
| | | March 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 |
| | | (Dollars in billions) |
Selected Weighted-Average Interest Rates(1) | | | | | |
Interest rate on short-term debt | | | 0.15 | % | | 0.03 | % |
Interest rate on long-term debt, including portion maturing within one year | | | 1.68 | % | | 1.55 | % |
Interest rate on callable long-term debt | | | 1.45 | % | | 1.44 | % |
Selected Maturity Data | | | | | |
Weighted-average maturity of debt maturing within one year (in days) | | | 62 | | | 109 | |
Weighted-average maturity of debt maturing in more than one year (in months) | | | 55 | | | 57 | |
Other Data | | | | | |
Outstanding callable long-term debt | | | $ | 46.2 | | | $ | 47.0 | |
Connecticut Avenue Securities debt(2) | | | 10.4 | | | 11.2 | |
(1)Excludes the effects of fair value adjustments and hedge-related basis adjustments.
(2)Represents CAS debt issued prior to November 2018. See “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk—Credit Risk Transfer Transactions” in our 2021 Form 10-K for information regarding our Connecticut Avenue Securities.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 49 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
We intend to repay our short-term and long-term debt obligations as they become due primarily through cash from business operations and proceeds from the issuance of additional debt securities.
For information on the maturity profile of our outstanding long-term debt, see “Note 7, Short-Term and Long-Term Debt.”
Debt Funding Activity
The table below displays activity in debt of Fannie Mae. This activity excludes the debt of consolidated trusts and intraday borrowing. The reported amounts of debt issued and paid off during each period represent the face amount of the debt at issuance and redemption.
Although we had a substantial increase in short-term debt issued during the first quarter of 2022 compared with the first quarter of 2021, most of the short-term debt issued was paid off during the quarter and we ended the quarter with $4.0 billion in outstanding short-term debt. As our funding needs remained low, we did not issue new long-term debt in the first quarter of 2022. The increase in long-term debt paid off during the first quarter of 2022 compared with the first quarter of 2021 was primarily due to an increase in the amount of maturities for shorter duration long-term debt in the first quarter of 2022.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Activity in Debt of Fannie Mae |
| | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| |
| | | | | 2022 | | 2021 |
| | | | (Dollars in millions) |
Issued during the period: | | | | | | | |
Short-term: | | | | | | | |
Amount | | | | | $ | 48,477 | | | $ | 5,142 | |
Weighted-average interest rate(1) | | | | | 0.06 | % | | * |
Long-term:(2) | | | | | | | |
Amount | | | | | $ | — | | | $ | 2,815 | |
Weighted-average interest rate | | | | | — | % | | 0.59 | % |
Total issued: | | | | | | | |
Amount | | | | | $ | 48,477 | | | $ | 7,957 | |
Weighted-average interest rate | | | | | 0.06 | % | | 0.21 | % |
Paid off during the period:(3) | | | | | | | |
Short-term: | | | | | | | |
Amount | | | | | $ | 47,227 | | | $ | 14,459 | |
Weighted-average interest rate(1) | | | | | 0.05 | % | | 0.10 | % |
Long-term:(2) | | | | | | | |
Amount | | | | | $ | 20,353 | | | $ | 8,450 | |
Weighted-average interest rate | | | | | 1.01 | % | | 1.04 | % |
Total paid off: | | | | | | | |
Amount | | | | | $ | 67,580 | | | $ | 22,909 | |
Weighted-average interest rate | | | | | 0.34 | % | | 0.45 | % |
* Represents a weighted-average interest rate of less than 0.005%.
(1)Includes interest generated from negative interest rates on certain repurchase agreements, which offset our short-term funding costs.
(2)Includes credit risk-sharing securities issued as CAS debt prior to November 2018. For information on our credit risk transfer transactions, see “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk—Credit Risk Transfer Transactions” in our 2021 Form 10-K.
(3)Consists of all payments on debt, including regularly scheduled principal payments, payments at maturity, payments resulting from calls and payments for any other repurchases. Repurchases of debt and early retirements of zero-coupon debt are reported at original face value, which does not equal the amount of actual cash payment.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 50 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
We enter into certain business arrangements to facilitate our statutory purpose of providing liquidity to the secondary mortgage market and to reduce our exposure to interest rate fluctuations. Some of these arrangements are not recorded in our condensed consolidated balance sheets or may be recorded in amounts different from the full contract or notional amount of the transaction, depending on the nature or structure of, and the accounting required to be applied to, the arrangement. These arrangements are commonly referred to as “off-balance sheet arrangements” and expose us to potential losses in excess of the amounts recorded in our condensed consolidated balance sheets.
Our off-balance sheet arrangements result primarily from the following:
•our guaranty of mortgage loan securitization and resecuritization transactions over which we have no control, which are reflected in our unconsolidated Fannie Mae MBS net of any beneficial ownership interest we retain, and other financial guarantees that we do not control;
•liquidity support transactions; and
•partnership interests.
The total amount of our off-balance sheet exposure related to unconsolidated Fannie Mae MBS net of any beneficial interest that we retain, and other financial guarantees was $250.0 billion as of March 31, 2022 and $226.4 billion as of December 31, 2021. The majority of the other financial guarantees consists of Freddie Mac securities backing Fannie Mae structured securities. See “Guaranty Book of Business” and “Note 6, Financial Guarantees” for more information regarding our maximum exposure to loss on unconsolidated Fannie Mae MBS and Freddie Mac securities.
Our total outstanding liquidity commitments to advance funds for securities backed by multifamily housing revenue bonds totaled $5.4 billion as of March 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021. These commitments require us to advance funds to third parties that enable them to repurchase tendered bonds or securities that are unable to be remarketed. We hold cash and cash equivalents in our other investments portfolio in excess of these commitments to advance funds.
We make investments in various limited partnerships and similar legal entities, which consist of low-income housing tax credit investments, community investments and other entities. When we do not have a controlling financial interest in those entities, our condensed consolidated balance sheets reflect only our investment rather than the full amount of the partnership’s assets and liabilities. See “Note 2, Consolidations and Transfers of Financial Assets—Unconsolidated VIEs” for information regarding our limited partnerships and similar legal entities.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 51 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
Other Investments Portfolio
The chart below displays information on the composition of our other investments portfolio. The balance of our other investments portfolio fluctuates as a result of changes in our cash flows, liquidity in the fixed-income markets, and our liquidity risk management framework and practices.
Our other investments portfolio decreased during the first quarter of 2022 primarily due to a decrease in our holdings of U.S. Treasury securities, including those classified as cash and cash equivalents. We used cash and other liquid assets that accumulated in prior periods, as well as our earnings, to fund our operations and to pay off maturing debt during the first quarter of 2022.
| | | | | | | | |
| | Cash and cash equivalents(1) |
| | |
| | Securities purchased under agreements to resell or similar arrangements |
| | |
| | U.S. Treasury securities |
(1) Cash equivalents are composed of overnight repurchase agreements and U.S. Treasuries that have a maturity at the date of acquisition of three months or less.
Cash Flows
Three Months Ended March 31, 2022. Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents decreased from $108.6 billion as of December 31, 2021 to $89.0 billion as of March 31, 2022. The decrease was primarily driven by cash outflows primarily from (1) payments on outstanding debt of consolidated trusts, (2) purchases of loans held for investment, and (3) the redemption of funding debt, which outpaced issuances, primarily for the reasons described above.
Partially offsetting these cash outflows were cash inflows from (1) the sale of Fannie Mae MBS to third parties and (2) proceeds from repayments of loans.
Three Months Ended March 31, 2021. Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents decreased from $115.6 billion as of December 31, 2020 to $114.3 billion as of March 31, 2021. The decrease was primarily driven by cash outflows from (1) payments on outstanding debt of consolidated trusts, (2) purchases of loans held for investment, and (3) the redemption of funding debt, which outpaced issuances.
Partially offsetting these cash outflows were cash inflows primarily from (1) the sale of Fannie Mae MBS to third parties and (2) proceeds from repayments and sales of loans.
Credit Ratings
As of March 31, 2022, our credit ratings have not changed since we filed our 2021 Form 10-K. For information on our credit ratings, see “MD&A—Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Credit Ratings” in our 2021 Form 10-K.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 52 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
Capital Management
Capital Requirements
FHFA published a final rule establishing a new enterprise regulatory capital framework for the GSEs in December 2020. FHFA published a final rule amending the enterprise regulatory capital framework in March 2022. We refer to the rule’s requirements, as amended, as the “enterprise regulatory capital framework.” The enterprise regulatory capital framework establishes new supplemental leverage and risk-based capital requirements for the GSEs. Under the leverage capital requirements, we must maintain a tier 1 capital ratio of 2.5% of adjusted total assets. Under the risk-based capital requirements, we must maintain minimum common equity tier 1 capital, tier 1 capital, and adjusted total capital ratios of 4.5%, 6%, and 8%, respectively, of risk-weighted assets. For more information on the enterprise regulatory capital framework, see “Business—Legislation and Regulation—GSE-Focused Matters—Capital” in our 2021 Form 10-K and “Legislation and Regulation—Final Rule Amending the Enterprise Regulatory Capital Framework” in this report. The enterprise regulatory capital framework requires substantially higher levels of capital than the previously applicable statutory minimum capital requirement.
Although the enterprise regulatory capital framework went into effect in February 2021, we are not required to hold capital according to the framework’s requirements until the date of termination of our conservatorship, or such later date as may be ordered by FHFA.
Beginning in 2022, on a quarterly basis, we are required to report to FHFA and disclose in an appropriate publicly available filing or other document our regulatory capital levels, buffers, adjusted total assets, and total risk-weighted assets under the standardized approach of the enterprise regulatory capital framework.
The enterprise regulatory capital framework provides a granular assessment of credit risk specific to different mortgage loan categories, as well as components for market risk and operational risk. The enterprise regulatory capital framework includes the following requirements:
•Supplemental capital requirements relating to the amount and form of the capital we hold, based largely on definitions of capital used in U.S. banking regulators’ regulatory capital framework. The enterprise regulatory capital framework specifies complementary leverage and risk-based requirements, which together determine the requirements for each tier of capital;
•A requirement that we hold prescribed capital buffers that can be drawn down in periods of financial stress and then rebuilt over time as economic conditions improve. If we fall below the prescribed buffer amounts, we must restrict capital distributions such as stock repurchases and dividends, as well as discretionary bonus payments to executives, until the buffer amounts are restored. The prescribed capital buffers represent the amount of capital we are required to hold above the minimum leverage and risk-based capital requirements.
◦The prescribed leverage buffer amount (“PLBA”) represents the amount of tier 1 capital we are required to hold above the minimum tier 1 leverage capital requirement;
◦The risk-based capital buffers consist of three separate components: a stability capital buffer, a stress capital buffer, and a countercyclical capital buffer. Taken together, these risk-based buffers comprise the prescribed capital conservation buffer amount (“PCCBA”). The PCCBA must be comprised entirely of common equity tier 1 capital; and
•Specific minimum percentages, or “floors,” on the risk-weights applicable to single-family and multifamily exposures, as well as retained portions of credit risk transfer transactions.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 53 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
The table below sets forth information about our capital requirements under the standardized approach of the enterprise regulatory capital framework. Available capital for purposes of the enterprise regulatory capital framework excludes the stated value of the senior preferred stock ($120.8 billion) and other amounts specified in footnote 3 to the table. Because of these exclusions, we had a deficit in available capital as of March 31, 2022, even though we had positive net worth under GAAP of $51.8 billion as of March 31, 2022.
As shown in the table below, as of March 31, 2022, we had a $272 billion shortfall of our available capital (deficit) to the adjusted total capital requirement (including buffers) of $190 billion under the standardized approach of the rule. As of March 31, 2022, our risk-based adjusted total capital requirement (including buffers) represented the amount of capital needed to be fully capitalized under the standardized approach to the rule.
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Capital Metrics under the Enterprise Regulatory Capital Framework as of March 31, 2022(1) |
(Dollars in billions) |
| | | | | | Stress capital buffer | | $ | 34 | |
| | | | | | Stability capital buffer | | 45 | |
Adjusted total assets | $ | 4,529 | | | | | Countercyclical capital buffer | | — | |
Risk-weighted assets | 1,391 | | | | | Prescribed capital conservation buffer amount | | $ | 79 | |
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| | Minimum Capital Ratio Requirement | | Minimum Capital Requirement | | Applicable Buffers(2) | | Total Capital Requirement (including Buffers) | | Available Capital (Deficit)(3) | | Capital Shortfall(4) |
Risk-based capital: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total capital(5) | 8.0 | % | | $ | 111 | | | N/A | | $ | 111 | | | $ | (63) | | | $ | (174) | |
| Common equity tier 1 capital | 4.5 | | | 63 | | $ | 79 | | | 142 | | (101) | | | (243) | |
| Tier 1 capital | 6.0 | | | 83 | | 79 | | | 162 | | (82) | | | (244) | |
| Adjusted total capital | 8.0 | | | 111 | | 79 | | | 190 | | (82) | | | (272) | |
Leverage capital: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Core capital(6) | 2.5 | | | 113 | | N/A | | 113 | | (69) | | | (182) | |
| Tier 1 capital | 2.5 | | | 113 | | 23 | | | 136 | | (82) | | | (218) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
(1)Ratios are calculated as a percentage of risk-weighted assets for risk-based capital metrics and as a percentage of adjusted total assets for leverage capital metrics.
(2)The applicable buffer for common equity tier 1 capital, tier 1 capital, and adjusted total capital is the PCCBA, which is composed of a stress capital buffer, a stability capital buffer, and a countercyclical capital buffer. The applicable buffer for tier 1 capital (leverage based) is the PLBA. The stress capital buffer and countercyclical capital buffer are each calculated by multiplying prescribed factors by adjusted total assets as of the last day of the previous calendar quarter. The 2022 stability capital buffer is calculated by multiplying a factor determined based on our share of mortgage debt outstanding by adjusted total assets as of December 31, 2020. The prescribed leverage buffer for 2022 is set at 50% of the 2022 stability buffer. Going forward the stability buffer and the prescribed leverage buffer will be updated with an effective date that depends on whether the stability capital buffer increases or decreases relative to the previously calculated value.
(3)Available capital (deficit) for all line items excludes the stated value of the senior preferred stock ($120.8 billion). Available capital (deficit) for all line items except total capital and core capital also deducts a portion of deferred tax assets. Deferred tax assets arising from temporary differences between GAAP and tax requirements are deducted from capital to the extent they exceed 10% of common equity. As of March 31, 2022, this resulted in the full deduction of deferred tax assets ($13.1 billion) from our available capital (deficit). Available capital (deficit) for common equity tier 1 capital also excludes the value of the non-cumulative perpetual preferred stock ($19.1 billion).
(4)Our capital shortfall consists of the difference between the applicable capital requirement (including buffers) and the applicable available capital (deficit).
(5)The sum of (a) core capital (see definition in footnote 6 below); and (b) a general allowance for foreclosure losses, which (i) shall include an allowance for portfolio mortgage losses, an allowance for non-reimbursable foreclosure costs on government claims, and an allowance for liabilities reflected on the balance sheet for estimated foreclosure losses on mortgage-backed securities; and (ii) shall not include any reserves made or held against specific assets; and (c) any other amounts from sources of funds available to absorb losses that the Director of FHFA by regulation determines are appropriate to include in determining total capital.
(6)The sum of (a) the stated value of our outstanding common stock (common stock less treasury stock); (b) the stated value of our outstanding non-cumulative perpetual preferred stock; (c) our paid-in capital; and (d) our retained earnings (accumulated deficit). Core capital does not include: (a) accumulated other comprehensive income or (b) senior preferred stock.
As a result of our capital shortfall, our maximum payout ratio under the enterprise regulatory capital framework as of March 31, 2022 was 0%. While it is not applicable until we are required to comply with the capital requirements under the enterprise regulatory capital framework, our maximum payout ratio represents the percentage of eligible retained income that we are permitted to pay out in the form of distributions or discretionary bonus payments under the
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 54 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
enterprise regulatory capital framework. The maximum payout ratio for a given quarter is the lowest of the payout ratios determined by our capital conservation buffer and our leverage buffer. See “Note 14—Regulatory Capital Requirements” in this report for information on our capital ratios as of March 31, 2022 under the enterprise regulatory capital framework.
Capital Activity
Under the terms governing the senior preferred stock, no dividends were payable to Treasury for the first quarter of 2022 and none are payable for the second quarter of 2022.
Under the terms governing the senior preferred stock, through and including the capital reserve end date, any increase in our net worth during a fiscal quarter results in an increase in the same amount of the aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock in the following quarter. The capital reserve end date is defined as the last day of the second consecutive fiscal quarter during which we have had and maintained capital equal to, or in excess of, all of the capital requirements and buffers under the enterprise regulatory capital framework.
As a result of these terms governing the senior preferred stock, the aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock increased by $5.2 billion to $168.9 billion as of March 31, 2022, due to the $5.2 billion increase in our net worth in the fourth quarter of 2021. The aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock will further increase to $173.3 billion as of June 30, 2022, due to the $4.4 billion increase in our net worth in the first quarter of 2022. See “Business—Conservatorship, Treasury Agreements and Housing Finance Reform—Treasury Agreements” in our 2021 Form 10-K for more information on the terms of our senior preferred stock, including how the aggregate liquidation preference is determined.
Increases in our net worth improve our capital position and our ability to absorb losses; however, increases in our net worth also increase the aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock by the same amount until the capital reserve end date as discussed above.
Treasury Funding Commitment
Treasury made a commitment under the senior preferred stock purchase agreement to provide funding to us under certain circumstances if we have a net worth deficit. As of March 31, 2022, the remaining amount of Treasury’s funding commitment to us was $113.9 billion. See “Note 11, Equity” in our 2021 Form 10-K for more information on the funding commitment provided by Treasury under the senior preferred stock purchase agreement.
Risk Management
Our business activities expose us to the following major categories of risk: credit risk (including mortgage credit risk and institutional counterparty credit risk), market risk (including interest-rate risk), liquidity and funding risk, and operational risk (including cyber/information security risk, third-party risk and model risk), as well as strategic risk, compliance risk and reputational risk. See “MD&A—Risk Management” in our 2021 Form 10-K for a discussion of our management of these risks. This section supplements and updates that discussion but does not address all of the risk management categories described in our 2021 Form 10-K.
Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management
This section supplements and updates our discussion of institutional counterparty credit risk management in our 2021 Form 10-K. See “MD&A—Risk Management—Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management” and “Risk Factors—Credit Risk” in our 2021 Form 10-K for a discussion of our exposure to institutional counterparty credit risk and our strategy for managing this risk. Also see “Note 10, Concentrations of Credit Risk” in this report for an update on our counterparty credit risk exposure.
Change in Non-Depository Seller and Servicer Liquidity Requirements
A large portion of the loans in our single-family guaranty book, including a large portion of our seriously delinquent loans, are serviced by non-depository servicers. Compared with depository financial institutions, these institutions pose additional risks to us because they may not have the same financial strength or operational capacity, or be subject to the same level of regulatory oversight, as our largest depository mortgage servicer counterparties. Unlike for depository servicers, much of the capital of non-depository servicers is represented by the value of mortgage servicing rights, which is subject to variability based on market conditions and therefore is an important factor in determining capital adequacy. We require single-family non-depository servicers to meet minimum liquidity requirements to maintain eligibility with Fannie Mae. We actively monitor the financial condition and capital adequacy of these non-depository servicers, including their compliance with our requirements.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 55 |
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| MD&A | Risk Management | Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management |
In February 2022, FHFA re-proposed the minimum financial eligibility requirements for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac sellers and servicers. If adopted as proposed, the requirements will increase capital and liquidity requirements for our single-family non-depository sellers and servicers.
Market Risk Management, including Interest-Rate Risk Management
We are subject to market risk, which includes interest-rate risk and spread risk. These risks arise from our mortgage asset investments. Interest-rate risk is the risk that movements in benchmark interest rates could adversely affect the fair value of our assets or liabilities or our future earnings. Spread risk represents the change in an instrument’s fair value that relates to factors other than changes in the benchmark interest rate.
We are exposed to interest rate risk through our “net portfolio,” which we define as our retained mortgage portfolio assets; other investments portfolio; outstanding debt of Fannie Mae used to fund the retained mortgage portfolio assets and other investments portfolio; and mortgage commitments and risk management derivatives. Our goal is to manage interest-rate risk from our net portfolio to be neutral to movements in interest rates and volatility on an economic basis, subject to model constraints and prevailing market conditions. We actively manage the interest-rate risk of our net portfolio through the use of interest-rate derivatives and by issuing a broad range of both callable and non-callable debt instruments.
We are also exposed to interest-rate risk in connection with mortgage assets held by our consolidated MBS trusts. One exposure is cost basis adjustments that often result from upfront cash fees exchanged at the time of loan acquisition, which include buy-ups, buy-downs, and loan-level risk-based price adjustments. Another exposure is the float income earned by MBS trusts on the short-term reinvestment of loan payments received from borrowers in highly liquid investments with short maturities, such as U.S. Treasury securities. This float income is paid to us as trust management income and recorded within “Net interest income” in our condensed consolidated financial statements.
Changes in interest rates can influence mortgage prepayment rates and float reinvestment yields. Therefore, they impact the timing of when we recognize amortization income related to cost basis amounts as well as the amount of float income generated by MBS trusts, thereby impacting our earnings. Typically, interest-rate driven changes in the timing of income recognition related to cost basis amortization are partially offset by interest-rate driven changes in the amount of float income earned. See “Consolidated Results of Operations—Net Interest Income—Analysis of Deferred Amortization Income” for more information on our outstanding net cost basis adjustments related to consolidated MBS trusts.
We do not currently actively manage or hedge, on an economic basis, our spread risk or the interest-rate risk arising from cost basis adjustments and float income associated with mortgage assets held by our consolidated MBS trusts.
For additional information on the impact of interest-rate risk on our earnings, see “Earnings Exposure to Interest-Rate Risk” below.
This section supplements and updates information regarding market risk management in our 2021 Form 10-K. See “MD&A—Risk Management—Market Risk Management, including Interest-Rate Risk Management” and “Risk Factors—Market and Industry Risk ” in our 2021 Form 10-K for additional information, including our sources of interest-rate risk exposure, business risks posed by changes in interest rates, and our strategy for managing interest-rate risk.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 56 |
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MD&A | Risk Management | Market Risk Management, including Interest-Rate Risk Management |
Measurement of Interest-Rate Risk
The table below displays the pre-tax market value sensitivity of our net portfolio to changes in the level of interest rates and the slope of the yield curve as measured on the last day of each period presented.
The table below also provides the daily average, minimum, maximum and standard deviation values for duration gap and for the most adverse market value impact on the net portfolio to changes in the level of interest rates and the slope of the yield curve for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021. Our practice is to allow interest rates to go below zero in the downward shock models unless otherwise prevented through contractual floors.
For information on how we measure our interest-rate risk, see our 2021 Form 10-K in “MD&A—Risk Management—Market Risk Management, including Interest-Rate Risk Management.”
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Interest-Rate Sensitivity of Net Portfolio to Changes in Interest-Rate Level and Slope of Yield Curve |
| As of (1)(2) |
| March 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 |
| (Dollars in millions) |
Rate level shock: | | | | | | | |
-100 basis points | | $ | (128) | | | | | $ | (184) | | |
-50 basis points | | (45) | | | | | (69) | | |
+50 basis points | | 14 | | | | | 54 | | |
+100 basis points | | 5 | | | | | 75 | | |
Rate slope shock: | | | | | | | |
-25 basis points (flattening) | | (7) | | | | | (8) | | |
+25 basis points (steepening) | | 5 | | | | | 8 | | |
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| | For the Three Months Ended March 31, (1)(3) |
| | 2022 | | 2021 |
| | Duration Gap | | Rate Slope Shock 25 bps | | Rate Level Shock 50 bps | | Duration Gap | | Rate Slope Shock 25 bps | | Rate Level Shock 50 bps |
| | | | Market Value Sensitivity | | | | Market Value Sensitivity |
| | (In years) | | (Dollars in millions) | | (In years) | | (Dollars in millions) |
Average | | (0.04) | | | $ | (8) | | | | | $ | (62) | | | | 0.02 | | | $ | (13) | | | | | $ | (70) | | |
Minimum | | (0.10) | | | (31) | | | | | (133) | | | | (0.04) | | | (23) | | | | | (140) | | |
Maximum | | 0.02 | | | (3) | | | | | (15) | | | | 0.10 | | | (5) | | | | | (36) | | |
Standard deviation | | 0.03 | | | 4 | | | | | 27 | | | | 0.02 | | | 5 | | | | | 23 | | |
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(1)Computed based on changes in U.S. LIBOR interest-rates swap curve. Changes in the level of interest rates assume a parallel shift in all maturities of the U.S. LIBOR interest-rate swap curve. Changes in the slope of the yield curve assume a constant 7-year rate, a shift of 16.7 basis points for the 1-year rate (and shorter tenors) and an opposite shift of 8.3 basis points for the 30-year rate. Rate shocks for remaining maturity points are interpolated.
(2)Measured on the last business day of each period presented.
(3)Computed based on daily values during the period presented.
The market value sensitivity of our net portfolio varies across a range of interest-rate shocks depending upon the duration and convexity profile of our net portfolio. The market value sensitivity of the net portfolio is measured by quantifying the change in the present value of the cash flows of our financial assets and liabilities that would result from an instantaneous shock to interest rates, assuming spreads are held constant. For the subset of floating-rate liabilities and assets that are indexed to LIBOR or SOFR, the interest component of their future cash flows is calculated using the projection of the corresponding index rate. For all assets and liabilities, the discount factor used to calculate the present value of the future cash flows is constructed using the LIBOR yield curve.
LIBOR rate quotes will cease on June 30, 2023, and after that date the interest accrued on floating-rate instruments that are contractually indexed to LIBOR will reset based on SOFR. Before that LIBOR cessation date, the portfolio interest-rate risk measurement process will transition from using LIBOR to using SOFR as the benchmark interest rate. This change is not expected to have a significant impact on measurement of our interest-rate risk on our financial results.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 57 |
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MD&A | Risk Management | Market Risk Management, including Interest-Rate Risk Management |
We use derivatives to help manage the residual interest-rate risk exposure between the assets and liabilities in our net portfolio. Derivatives have enabled us to keep our economic interest-rate risk exposure at consistently low levels in a wide range of interest-rate environments. The table below displays an example of how derivatives impacted the net market value exposure for a 50 basis point parallel interest-rate shock.
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Derivative Impact on Interest-Rate Risk (50 Basis Points) |
| As of (1) |
| March 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 |
| (Dollars in millions) |
Before derivatives | | $ | (349) | | | | | $ | (539) | | |
After derivatives | | (45) | | | | | (69) | | |
Effect of derivatives | | 304 | | | | | 470 | | |
(1)Measured on the last business day of each period presented.
Earnings Exposure to Interest-Rate Risk
While we manage the interest-rate risk of our net portfolio with the objective of remaining neutral to movements in interest rates and volatility on an economic basis, our earnings can experience volatility due to interest-rate changes and differing accounting treatments that apply to certain financial instruments on our balance sheet. Specifically, we have exposure to earnings volatility that is driven by changes in interest rates in two primary areas: our net portfolio and our consolidated MBS trusts. The exposure in the net portfolio is primarily driven by changes in the fair value of risk management derivatives, mortgage commitments, and certain assets, primarily securities, that are carried at fair value. The exposure related to our consolidated MBS trusts relates to changes in our credit loss reserves and to the amortization of cost basis adjustments resulting from changes in interest rates.
We apply fair value hedge accounting to address some of the exposure to interest rates, particularly the earnings volatility related to changes in benchmark interest rates, including LIBOR and SOFR. Although our hedge accounting program is designed to address the volatility of our financial results associated with changes in fair value related to changes in the benchmark interest rates, earnings variability driven by other factors, such as spreads or changes in cost basis amortization recognized in net interest income, remains. In addition, our ability to effectively reduce earnings volatility is dependent upon the volume and type of interest-rate swaps available, which is driven by our interest-rate risk management strategy discussed above. As our range of available interest-rate swaps varies over time, our ability to reduce earnings volatility through hedge accounting may vary as well. When the shape of the yield curve shifts significantly from period to period, hedge accounting may be less effective. In our current program, we establish new hedging relationships daily to provide flexibility in our overall risk management strategy.
See “MD&A—Consolidated Results of Operations— Hedge Accounting Impact” and “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in our 2021 Form 10-K and “Note 8, Derivative Instruments” in this report for additional information on our fair value hedge accounting policy and related disclosures.
Critical Accounting Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America (“GAAP”) requires management to make a number of judgments, estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amount of assets, liabilities, income and expenses in our condensed consolidated financial statements. Understanding our accounting policies and the extent to which we use management judgment and estimates in applying these policies is integral to understanding our financial statements. We describe our most significant accounting policies in “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in this report and in our 2021 Form 10-K.
We evaluate our critical accounting estimates and judgments required by our policies on an ongoing basis and update them as necessary based on changing conditions. Management has discussed any significant changes in judgments and assumptions in applying our critical accounting estimates with the Audit Committee of our Board of Directors. See “Risk Factors” in our 2021 Form 10-K for a discussion of the risks associated with the need for management to make judgments and estimates in applying our accounting policies and methods. We have identified one of our accounting estimates, allowance for loan losses, as critical because it involves significant judgments and assumptions about highly complex and inherently uncertain matters, and the use of reasonably different judgments and assumptions could have a material impact on our reported results of operations or financial condition.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q | 58 |
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| MD&A | Critical Accounting Estimates |
Allowance for Loan Losses
The allowance for loan losses is an estimate of single-family and multifamily HFI loan receivables that we expect will not be collected related to loans held by Fannie Mae or by consolidated Fannie Mae MBS trusts. The expected credit losses are deducted from the amortized cost basis of HFI loans to present the net amount expected to be received.
The allowance for loan losses involves substantial judgment on a number of matters including the development and weighting of macroeconomic forecasts, the reversion period applied, the assessment of similar risk characteristics, which determines the historic loss experience used to derive probability of loan default, the valuation of collateral, and the determination of a loan’s remaining expected life. Our most significant judgments involved in estimating our allowance for loan losses relate to the macroeconomic data used to develop reasonable and supportable forecasts for key economic drivers, which are subject to significant inherent uncertainty. Most notably, for single-family, the model uses forecasted single-family home prices as well as a range of possible future interest rate environments, which drive prepayment speeds and impact the measurement of the economic concession provided on loans modified in a restructuring which are accounted for as a TDR. For multifamily, the model uses forecasted rental income and property valuations. For purposes of the macroeconomic sensitivities disclosed below, we have determined that our single-family home price forecast and interest rate forecast are the most significant judgments used in our estimation of credit losses for the periods presented below.
In future periods, changes in projected interest rates may not be as significant to our measurement of expected credit losses. Pursuant to our adoption of ASU 2022-02 on January 1, 2022, we prospectively discontinued TDR accounting and no longer measure the economic concession for loan modifications occurring on or after the adoption date. In addition, modifications to loans previously designated as TDRs that occur on or after January 1, 2022, will also be accounted for under the newly adopted ASU and will result in the elimination of any prior economic concession recorded in the allowance related to such loans. As a result, we expect that changes in projected interest rates will have less impact on our estimate of credit losses in future periods. See "Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies—New Accounting Guidance" for more information about our adoption of ASU 2022-02.
Quantitative Component
We use a discounted cash flow method to measure expected credit losses on our single-family mortgage loans and an undiscounted loss method to measure expected credit losses on our multifamily mortgage loans. The models use reasonable and supportable forecasts for key macroeconomic drivers.
Our modeled loan performance is based on our historical experience of loans with similar risk characteristics adjusted to reflect current conditions and reasonable and supportable forecasts. Our historical loss experience and our loan loss estimates capture the possibility of a multitude of events, including remote events that could result in credit losses on loans that are considered low risk. Our credit loss models, including the macroeconomic forecast data used as key inputs, are subject to our model oversight and review processes as well as other established governance and controls.
Qualitative Component, including Management Adjustments
Our process for measuring expected credit losses is complex and involves significant management judgment, including a reliance on historical loss information and current economic forecasts that may not be representative of credit losses we ultimately realize. Management adjustments may be necessary to take into consideration external factors and current macroeconomic events that have occurred but are not yet reflected in the data used to derive the model outputs. Qualitative factors and events not previously observed by the models through historical loss experience are also considered, as well as the uncertainty of their impact on credit loss estimates.
Macroeconomic Variables and Sensitivities
Our credit-related income or expense can vary substantially from period to period based on forecasted macroeconomic drivers; primarily home prices and interest rates related to our single-family book of business. We develop regional forecasts for single-family home prices using a multi-path simulation that captures home price projections over a five-year period, which is the period for which we can develop reasonable and supportable forecasts. After the five-year period, the home price forecast reverts to a historical long-term growth rate. Our model projects the range of possible interest rate scenarios over the life of the loan. This process captures multiple possible outcomes of what could be more or less favorable economic environments for the borrower, and therefore will increase or decrease the likelihood of default or prepayment depending on the environment in each path of the simulation.
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| MD&A | Critical Accounting Estimates |
The table below provides information about our most significant key macroeconomic inputs used in determining our single-family allowance for loan losses: forecasted home price growth rates and interest rates. Although the model consumes a wide range of possible regional home price forecasts and interest rate scenarios that take into account inherent uncertainty, the forecasts below represent the mean path of those simulations used in determining the allowance for the quarter ended March 31, 2022 and for each quarter during the year ended December 31, 2021, and how those forecasts have changed between periods of estimate. Below we present the two succeeding periods used in our estimate of expected credit losses. The forecasts consider periods beyond those presented below.
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Select Single-Family Macroeconomic Model Inputs(1) | | | | | | | |
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Forecasted home price growth rate by period of estimate:(2) | | | | | | |
| For the Full Year ending December 31, | | |
| 2022 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | |
First Quarter 2022 | 10.8 | % | | 3.2 | % | | 1.3 | % | | |
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| For the Full Year ending December 31, | | |
| 2021 | | 2022 | | 2023 | | |
Fourth Quarter 2021 | 18.8 | % | | 8.2 | % | | 2.9 | % | | |
Third Quarter 2021 | 18.4 | | | 7.9 | | | 2.4 | | | |
Second Quarter 2021 | 14.8 | | | 5.4 | | | 2.5 | | | |
First Quarter 2021 | 8.8 | | | 2.5 | | | 1.7 | | | |
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Forecasted 30-year interest rates by period of estimate:(3) | | | | | | |
| Through the end of December 31, | | For the Full Year ending December 31, | | |
| 2022 | | 2023 | | 2024 | | |
First Quarter 2022 | 4.7 | % | | 4.8 | % | | 4.7 | % | | |
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| Through the end of December 31, | | For the Full Year ending December 31, | | |
| 2021 | | 2022 | | 2023 | | |
Fourth Quarter 2021 | 3.2 | % | | 3.5 | % | | 3.7 | % | | |
Third Quarter 2021 | 3.1 | | | 3.4 | | | 3.7 | | | |
Second Quarter 2021 | 3.1 | | | 3.4 | | | 3.6 | | | |
First Quarter 2021 | 3.1 | | | 3.3 | | | 3.6 | | | |
(1) These forecasts are provided here solely for the purpose of providing insight into our credit loss model. Forecasts for future periods are subject to significant uncertainty, which increases for periods that are further in the future. We provide our most recent forecasts for certain macroeconomic and housing market conditions in “Key Market Economic Indicators.” In addition, each month our Economic & Strategic Research group provides its forecast of economic and housing market conditions, which are available in the “Research and Insights” section of our website, www.fanniemae.com.
(2) These estimates are based on our national home price index, which is calculated differently from the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index and therefore results in different percentages for comparable growth. We continually update our home price growth estimates and forecasts as new data become available. As a result, the forecast data in this table may also differ from the forecasted home price growth rate presented in “Key Market Economic Indicators,” because that section reflects our most recent forecast as of the filing date of this report, while this table reflects the forecast data we used in estimating credit losses for the periods shown. Management continues to monitor macroeconomic updates to our inputs in our credit loss model from the time they are approved as part of our established governance process, through the date of filing, to ensure the reasonableness of the inputs used to calculate estimated credit losses.
(3) Forecasted 30-year interest rates represent the mean of possible future interest rate environments that are simulated by our interest rate model and used in the estimation of credit losses. Through the year ended 2021, forecasts represent the average forecasted rate from the quarter-end through the end of December 31, 2021. The fourth quarter of 2021 interest rate represents the 30-year interest rate as of December 31, 2021. This table reflects the forecasted interest rate data we used in estimating credit losses for the periods shown and does not reflect changes in interest rates that occurred after the forecast date. See “Key Market Economic Indicators” for information on increases in actual interest rates that occurred after the forecast date.
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| MD&A | Critical Accounting Estimates |
It is difficult to estimate how potential changes in any one factor or input might affect the overall credit loss estimates, because management considers a wide variety of factors and inputs in estimating the allowance for loan losses. Changes in the factors and inputs considered may not occur at the same rate and may not be consistent across all geographies or loan types, and changes in factors and inputs may be directionally inconsistent, such that improvement in one factor or input may offset deterioration in others. Changes in our assumptions and forecasts of economic conditions could significantly affect our estimate of expected credit losses and lead to significant changes in the estimate from one reporting period to the next.
As noted above, our allowance for loan losses is sensitive to changes in home prices and interest rate changes. To consider the impact of a hypothetical change in home price appreciation, assuming a one-percent increase in the home price growth rate for the first twelve months of the forecast, on a normalized basis, with all other factors held constant, the single-family allowance for loan losses as of March 31, 2022 would decrease by approximately 3%. Conversely, assuming a one-percent decrease in the home price growth rate for the first twelve months of the forecast, on a normalized basis, the single-family allowance for loan losses would increase by approximately 3%.
To consider the impact of a hypothetical change in 30-year interest rates, assuming a 50-basis point increase in estimated 30-year interest rates, with all other factors held constant, the single-family allowance for loan losses as of March 31, 2022 would increase by approximately 4%. Conversely, assuming a 50-basis point decrease in 30-year interest rates, the single-family allowance for loan losses would decrease by approximately 5%.
These sensitivity analyses are hypothetical and are provided solely for the purpose of providing insight into our credit loss model inputs. In addition, sensitivities for home price and interest rate changes are non-linear. As a result, changes in these estimates are not incrementally proportional. The purpose of this analysis is to provide an indication of the impact of home price appreciation and 30-year interest rates on the estimate of the allowance for credit losses. For example, it is not intended to imply management’s expectation of future changes in our forecasts or any other variables that may change as a result. We provide our most recent forecasts for certain macroeconomic and housing market conditions in “Key Market Economic Indicators.” In addition, each month our Economic & Strategic Research group provides its forecast of economic and housing market conditions, which are available in the “Research and Insights” section of our website, www.fanniemae.com. See “Key Market Economic Indicators” for information on increases in actual interest rates that occurred after the forecast date.
We provide more detailed information on our accounting for the allowance for loan losses in “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in our 2021 Form 10-K. See “Note 4, Allowance for Loan Losses” for additional information about our current period benefit (provision) for loan losses.
See “Key Market Economic Indicators” for additional information about how home prices can affect our credit loss estimates, including a discussion of home price appreciation and our home price forecast. Also see “Consolidated Results of Operations—Credit-Related Income (Expense)” for information on how our home price forecast impacted our single-family benefit (provision) for credit losses.
Impact of Future Adoption of New Accounting Guidance
We identify and discuss the expected impact on our condensed consolidated financial statements of recently issued accounting guidance in “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies.”
Forward-Looking Statements
This report includes statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”). In addition, we and our senior management may from time to time make forward-looking statements in our other filings with the SEC, our other publicly available written statements, and orally to analysts, investors, the news media and others. Forward-looking statements often include words such as “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “seek,” “estimate,” “forecast,” “project,” “would,” “should,” “could,” “likely,” “may,” “will” or similar words. Examples of forward-looking statements in this report include, among others, statements relating to our expectations regarding the following matters:
•our future financial performance and the factors that will affect such performance;
•economic, mortgage market and housing market conditions (including expectations regarding economic growth, home price growth, refinance volumes and interest rates), the factors that will affect those conditions, and the impact of those conditions on our business and financial results;
•our business plans and their impact;
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| MD&A | Forward-Looking Statements |
•our plans relating to and the effects of our credit risk transfer transactions, as well as the factors that will affect our engagement in future transactions;
•volatility in our financial results and the impact of our adoption of hedge accounting on such volatility;
•the size and composition of our retained mortgage portfolio;
•the amount of our purchases of loans from MBS trusts;
•the impact of the adoption of new accounting guidance;
•our payments to HUD and Treasury funds under the GSE Act;
•our future off-balance sheet exposure to Freddie Mac-issued securities;
•the risks to our business;
•future forbearances, modifications, foreclosures, and write-offs relating to the loans in our guaranty book of business and the factors that will affect them, including the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic;
•the performance of loans in our book of business, including loans in forbearance, and the factors that will affect such performance;
•how we intend to meet our debt obligations; and
•our response to legal and regulatory proceedings and their impact on our business or financial condition.
Forward-looking statements reflect our management’s current expectations, forecasts or predictions of future conditions, events or results based on various assumptions and management’s estimates of trends and economic factors in the markets in which we are active and that otherwise impact our business plans. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to significant risks and uncertainties and changes in circumstances. Our actual results and financial condition may differ, possibly materially, from the anticipated results and financial condition indicated in these forward-looking statements.
There are a number of factors that could cause actual conditions, events or results to differ materially from those described in our forward-looking statements, including, among others, the following:
•uncertainty regarding our future, our exit from conservatorship and our ability to raise or earn the capital needed to meet our capital requirements;
•significant challenges we face in retaining and hiring qualified executives and other employees;
•the duration, spread and severity of the COVID-19 pandemic; the actions taken to contain the virus or treat its impact, including government actions to mitigate the economic impact of the pandemic and COVID-19 vaccination rates; the effectiveness of available COVID-19 vaccines over time and against variants of the coronavirus; the nature, extent and success of the forbearance, payment deferrals, modifications and other loss mitigation options we provide to borrowers affected by the pandemic; accounting elections and estimates relating to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic; borrower and renter behavior in response to the pandemic and its economic impact; the extent to which any future outbreaks or increases in new COVID-19 cases affect economic growth; and how quickly and to what extent affected borrowers, renters and counterparties recover from the negative economic impact of the pandemic;
•the impact of the senior preferred stock purchase agreement and the enterprise regulatory capital framework, as well as future legislative and regulatory requirements or changes, governmental initiatives, or executive orders affecting us, such as the enactment of housing finance reform legislation, including changes that limit our business activities or our footprint or impose new mandates on us;
•actions by FHFA, Treasury, HUD, the CFPB or other regulators, Congress, the Executive Branch, or state or local governments that affect our business;
•changes in the structure and regulation of the financial services industry;
•the potential impact of a change in the corporate income tax rate, which we expect would affect our net income in the quarter of enactment as a result of a change in our measurement of our deferred tax assets and our net income in subsequent quarters as a result of the change in our effective federal income tax rate;
•the timing and level of, as well as regional variation in, home price changes;
•future interest rates and credit spreads;
•developments that may be difficult to predict, including: market conditions that result in changes in our net amortization income from our guaranty book of business, fluctuations in the estimated fair value of our derivatives and other financial instruments that we mark to market through our earnings; and developments that
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| MD&A | Forward-Looking Statements |
affect our loss reserves, such as changes in interest rates, home prices or accounting standards, or events such as natural or other disasters, the emergence of widespread health emergencies or pandemics, or other disruptive or catastrophic events;
•uncertainties relating to the discontinuance of LIBOR, or other market changes that could impact the loans we own or guarantee or our MBS;
•disruptions or instability in the housing and credit markets;
•the size and our share of the U.S. mortgage market and the factors that affect them, including population growth and household formation;
•growth, deterioration and the overall health and stability of the U.S. economy, including U.S. GDP, unemployment rates, personal income, inflation and other indicators thereof;
•changes in fiscal or monetary policy;
•our and our competitors’ future guaranty fee pricing and the impact of that pricing on our competitive environment and guaranty fee revenues;
•the volume of mortgage originations;
•the size, composition, quality and performance of our guaranty book of business and retained mortgage portfolio;
•the competitive environment in which we operate, including the impact of legislative, regulatory or other developments on levels of competition in our industry and other factors affecting our market share;
•how long loans in our guaranty book of business remain outstanding;
•the effectiveness of our business resiliency plans and systems;
•changes in the demand for Fannie Mae MBS, in general or from one or more major groups of investors;
•our conservatorship, including any changes to or termination (by receivership or otherwise) of the conservatorship and its effect on our business;
•the investment by Treasury, including the impact of past or potential future changes to the terms of the senior preferred stock purchase agreement, and their effect on our business, including restrictions imposed on us by the terms of the senior preferred stock purchase agreement, the senior preferred stock, and the warrant, as well as the extent that these or other restrictions on our business and activities are applied to us through other mechanisms even if we cease to be subject to these agreements and instruments;
•adverse effects from activities we undertake to support the mortgage market and help borrowers, renters, lenders and servicers;
•actions we may be required to take by FHFA, in its role as our conservator or as our regulator, such as actions in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, changes in the type of business we do, or actions relating to UMBS or our resecuritization of Freddie Mac-issued securities;
•limitations on our business imposed by FHFA, in its role as our conservator or as our regulator;
•our current and future objectives and activities in support of those objectives, including actions we may take to reach additional underserved borrowers or address barriers to sustainable housing opportunities and advance equity in housing finance;
•the possibility that changes in leadership at FHFA or the Administration may result in changes that affect our company or our business;
•our reliance on Common Securitization Solutions, LLC (“CSS”) and the common securitization platform for a majority of our single-family securitization activities, our reduced influence over CSS as a result of changes made in 2020 to the CSS limited liability company agreement, and any additional changes FHFA may require in our relationship with or in our support of CSS;
•a decrease in our credit ratings;
•limitations on our ability to access the debt capital markets;
•constraints on our entry into new credit risk transfer transactions;
•significant changes in forbearance, modification and foreclosure activity;
•the volume and pace of future nonperforming and reperforming loan sales and their impact on our results and serious delinquency rates;
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| MD&A | Forward-Looking Statements |
•changes in borrower behavior;
•actions we may take to mitigate losses, and the effectiveness of our loss mitigation strategies, management of our REO inventory and pursuit of contractual remedies;
•defaults by one or more institutional counterparties;
•resolution or settlement agreements we may enter into with our counterparties;
•our need to rely on third parties to fully achieve some of our corporate objectives;
•our reliance on mortgage servicers;
•changes in GAAP, guidance by the Financial Accounting Standards Board and changes to our accounting policies;
•changes in the fair value of our assets and liabilities;
•the stability and adequacy of the systems and infrastructure that impact our operations, including ours and those of CSS, our other counterparties and other third parties;
•the impact of increasing interdependence between the single-family mortgage securitization programs of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in connection with UMBS;
•operational control weaknesses;
•our reliance on models and future updates we make to our models, including the assumptions used by these models;
•domestic and global political risks and uncertainties, including the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the potential expansion of military hostilities;
•natural disasters, environmental disasters, terrorist attacks, widespread health emergencies or pandemics, infrastructure failures, or other disruptive or catastrophic events;
•severe weather events, fires, floods or other climate change events or impacts, including those for which we may be uninsured or under-insured or that may affect our counterparties, and other risks resulting from climate change and efforts to address climate change and related risks;
•cyber attacks or other information security breaches or threats; and
•the other factors described in “Risk Factors” in this report and in our 2021 Form 10-K.
Readers are cautioned not to unduly rely on the forward-looking statements we make and to place these forward-looking statements into proper context by carefully considering the factors discussed in “Risk Factors” in our 2021 Form 10-K and in this report. These forward-looking statements are representative only as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required under the federal securities laws.
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| Financial Statements | Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets |