Consolidated Results of Operations This section discusses our consolidated results of operations and should be read together with our consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes.
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Summary of Consolidated Results of Operations |
| | For the Year Ended December 31, | | Variance |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 | | 2022 vs. 2021 | | 2021 vs. 2020 |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Net interest income(1) | | $ | 29,423 | | | $ | 29,587 | | | $ | 24,866 | | | | $ | (164) | | | | | $ | 4,721 | | |
Fee and other income | | 312 | | | 361 | | | 462 | | | | (49) | | | | | (101) | | |
Net revenues | | 29,735 | | | 29,948 | | | 25,328 | | | | (213) | | | | | 4,620 | | |
Investment gains (losses), net | | (297) | | | 1,352 | | | 907 | | | | (1,649) | | | | | 445 | | |
Fair value gains (losses), net(1) | | 1,284 | | | 155 | | | (2,501) | | | | 1,129 | | | | | 2,656 | | |
Administrative expenses | | (3,329) | | | (3,065) | | | (3,068) | | | | (264) | | | | | 3 | | |
Benefit (provision) for credit losses | | (6,277) | | | 5,130 | | | (678) | | | | (11,407) | | | | | 5,808 | | |
TCCA fees | | (3,369) | | | (3,071) | | | (2,673) | | | | (298) | | | | | (398) | | |
Credit enhancement expense(2) | | (1,323) | | | (1,051) | | | (1,361) | | | | (272) | | | | | 310 | | |
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries(3) | | 727 | | | (194) | | | 233 | | | | 921 | | | | | (427) | | |
Other expenses, net(4) | | (918) | | | (1,255) | | | (1,308) | | | | 337 | | | | | 53 | | |
Income before federal income taxes | | 16,233 | | | 27,949 | | | 14,879 | | | | (11,716) | | | | | 13,070 | | |
Provision for federal income taxes | | (3,310) | | | (5,773) | | | (3,074) | | | | 2,463 | | | | | (2,699) | | |
Net income | | $ | 12,923 | | | $ | 22,176 | | | $ | 11,805 | | | | $ | (9,253) | | | | | $ | 10,371 | | |
Total comprehensive income | | $ | 12,920 | | | $ | 22,098 | | | $ | 11,790 | | | | $ | (9,178) | | | | | $ | 10,308 | | |
(1)In January 2021, we began applying fair value hedge accounting. For qualifying hedging relationships, fair value changes attributable to movements in the designated benchmark interest rates for hedged mortgage loans and funding debt and the fair value change of the designated portion of the paired interest-rate swaps are recognized in “Net interest income.” In 2020, all fair value changes for interest-rate swaps were recognized in “Fair value gains (losses), net.” See “Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net” and “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” for more information about our hedge accounting program.
(2)Consists of costs associated with our freestanding credit enhancements, which primarily include our Connecticut Avenue Securities® (“CAS”) and CIRT programs, enterprise-paid mortgage insurance (“EPMI”) and certain lender risk-sharing programs.
(3)Includes estimated changes in benefits, as well as any realized amounts, from our freestanding credit enhancements.
(4)Consists of debt extinguishment gains and losses, foreclosed property income (expense), gains and losses from partnership investments, housing trust fund expenses, loan subservicing costs, and servicer fees paid in connection with certain loss mitigation activities.
Net Interest Income
Our primary source of net interest income is guaranty fees we receive for managing the credit risk on loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS held by third parties.
Guaranty fees consist of two primary components:
•base guaranty fees that we receive over the life of the loan; and
•upfront fees that we receive at the time of loan acquisition primarily related to single-family loan-level price adjustments and other fees we receive from lenders, which are amortized into net interest income as cost basis adjustments over the contractual life of the loan. We refer to this as amortization income.
We recognize almost all of our guaranty fee revenue in net interest income because we consolidate the substantial majority of loans underlying our Fannie Mae MBS in consolidated trusts in our consolidated balance sheets. Guaranty fees from these loans account for the difference between the interest income on loans in consolidated trusts and the interest expense on the debt of consolidated trusts.
The timing of when we recognize amortization income can vary based on a number of factors, the most significant of which is a change in mortgage interest rates. In a rising interest-rate environment, our mortgage loans tend to prepay more slowly, which typically results in lower amortization income. Conversely, in a declining interest-rate environment, our mortgage loans tend to prepay faster, typically resulting in higher amortization income.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 65 |
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| | MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
We also recognize net interest income on the difference between interest income earned on the assets in our retained mortgage portfolio and our other investments portfolio (collectively, our “portfolios”) and the interest expense associated with the debt that funds those assets. See “Retained Mortgage Portfolio” and “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Other Investments Portfolio” for more information about our portfolios.
Since January 2021, we have recognized fair value changes attributable to movements in benchmark interest rates for mortgage loans and funding debt, and for related interest-rate swaps in hedging relationships, as a component of net interest income, including the amortization of hedge-related basis adjustments on mortgage loans or funding debt and any related interest accrual on the swaps. The net income or expense associated with this activity is presented in the “Income (expense) from hedge accounting” line item in the table below.
For the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, we recognized $3.2 billion and $1.5 billion, respectively, in net fair value gains on our hedged loans and funding debt as cost basis adjustments, which substantially offset net fair value losses on designated interest-rate swaps. These cost basis adjustments on our hedged loans and funding debt will be amortized as net expenses over the remaining contractual life of the respective hedged items as a component of “Net interest income.” See “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” and “Note 8, Derivative Instruments” for more information about our hedge accounting program, as well as “Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net” below.
The table below displays the components of our net interest income from our guaranty book of business, which we discuss in “Guaranty Book of Business,” and from our portfolios, as well as from hedge accounting.
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Components of Net Interest Income |
| | For the Year Ended December 31, | | Variance |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 | | 2022 vs. 2021 | | 2021 vs. 2020 |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Net interest income from guaranty book of business: | | | | | | | | | | |
Base guaranty fee income(1) | | $ | 16,072 | | | $ | 14,159 | | | $ | 11,157 | | | $ | 1,913 | | | $ | 3,002 | |
Base guaranty fee income related to TCCA(2) | | 3,369 | | | 3,071 | | | 2,673 | | | 298 | | | 398 | |
Net amortization income(3) | | 7,099 | | | 11,243 | | | 9,121 | | | (4,144) | | | 2,122 | |
Total net interest income from guaranty book of business | | 26,540 | | | 28,473 | | | 22,951 | | | (1,933) | | | 5,522 | |
Net interest income from portfolios(4) | | 2,954 | | | 941 | | | 1,915 | | | 2,013 | | | (974) | |
Income (expense) from hedge accounting(5) | | (71) | | | 173 | | | — | | | (244) | | | 173 | |
Total net interest income | | $ | 29,423 | | | $ | 29,587 | | | $ | 24,866 | | | $ | (164) | | | $ | 4,721 | |
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Income (expense) from hedge accounting included in net interest income: | | | | | | | | | | |
Fair value gains (losses) on designated risk management derivatives in fair value hedges(5) | | $ | (2,536) | | | $ | (1,453) | | | $ | — | | | $ | (1,083) | | | $ | (1,453) | |
Fair value gains (losses) on hedged mortgage loans held for investment and debt of Fannie Mae(6) | | 3,188 | | | 1,510 | | | — | | | 1,678 | | | 1,510 | |
Contractual interest income (expense) accruals related to interest-rate swaps designated as hedging instruments(5) | | (227) | | | 211 | | | — | | | (438) | | | 211 | |
Discontinued hedge-related basis adjustment amortization | | (496) | | | (95) | | | — | | | (401) | | | (95) | |
Total income (expense) from hedge accounting in net interest income | | $ | (71) | | | $ | 173 | | | $ | — | | | $ | (244) | | | $ | 173 | |
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(1)Excludes revenues generated by the 10 basis point guaranty fee increase we implemented pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from which is remitted to Treasury and not retained by us.
(2)Represents revenues generated by the 10 basis point guaranty fee increase we implemented pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from which is remitted to Treasury and not retained by us.
(3)Net amortization income refers primarily to the amortization of premiums and discounts on mortgage loans and debt of consolidated trusts. These cost basis adjustments represent the difference between the initial fair value and the carrying value of these instruments as well as upfront fees we receive at the time of loan acquisition. It does not include the amortization of cost basis adjustments resulting from hedge accounting, which is included in income (expense) from hedge accounting.
(4)Includes interest income from assets held in our retained mortgage portfolio and our other investments portfolio, as well as other assets used to support lender liquidity. Also includes interest expense on our funding debt, including outstanding Connecticut Avenue Securities debt.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 66 |
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| | MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
(5)Prior to the adoption of hedge accounting in 2021, the corresponding activity was included in “Fair value gains (losses), net.” Upon application of hedge accounting in January 2021, these items are presented in “Net interest income.”
(6)Amounts are recorded as cost basis adjustments on the hedged loans or debt and amortized over the hedged item’s remaining contractual life beginning at the termination of the hedging relationship.
Net interest income remained relatively flat in 2022 compared with 2021. The primary offsetting drivers of net interest income were lower amortization income offset by higher income from portfolios and higher base guaranty fee income. More specifically, our net interest income was impacted in the periods by:
•Lower net amortization income. Lower amortization income was driven by a higher interest rate environment in 2022, which slowed refinancing activity driving lower prepayment volumes compared with 2021. For a description of how fewer loan prepayments results in lower amortization income, refer to “Key Market Economic Indicators—How Interest Rates Can Affect Our Financial Results—Net Interest Income.”
•Higher income from portfolios. Higher income from portfolios in 2022 compared with 2021 was primarily driven by higher yields on assets in our other investments portfolio as a result of increases in interest rates, as well as a decrease in interest expense on our long-term funding debt due to a decrease in the average outstanding balance compared with 2021.
•Higher base guaranty fee income. An increase in the size of our guaranty book of business combined with higher average charged guaranty fees were the primary drivers of the increase in base guaranty fee income in 2022 compared with 2021.
Net interest income increased in 2021 compared with 2020, driven by higher base guaranty fee income and higher net amortization income, partially offset by lower income from portfolios.
•Higher base guaranty fee income. An increase in the size of our single-family and multifamily guaranty book of business combined with higher average base guaranty fees on loans that now comprise a larger portion of our book contributed to the increases in base guaranty fee income in 2021 and 2020.
For single-family, higher base guaranty fee income was primarily due to the increase in the size of our guaranty book of business, driven by record home price appreciation in 2020 and 2021 having led to higher average loan balances. In addition, our average charged fees increased as a result of better pricing in the low-interest rate environment.
For multifamily, higher base guaranty fee income in 2021 compared with 2020 was similarly the result of an increase in our multifamily guaranty book of business combined with an increase in average charged guaranty fees. In addition, we realized higher multifamily yield maintenance revenue related to the prepayment of multifamily loans in 2021 compared with 2020.
•Higher net amortization income. Throughout all of 2021 and much of 2020 we were in a low interest rate environment, which led to significant prepayment volumes as loans refinanced, resulting in nearly two-thirds of our single-family book of business being originated since the beginning of 2020. As loans refinance, we accelerate the amortization of cost basis adjustments on the mortgage loans and any related debt of consolidated trusts, resulting in elevated amortization income for the periods.
Amortization income was greater in 2021 than in 2020 primarily because the loans that prepaid in 2021, and the related debt of consolidated trusts that liquidated, had a greater amount of net unamortized deferred income associated with them. Generally, the loans that prepaid in 2021 had been outstanding for less time than those that prepaid in 2020, and a greater portion of loans that prepaid in 2021 were issued in a low-interest-rate environment, which resulted in a greater amount of net deferred income associated with them.
•Lower income from portfolios. Lower income from portfolios in 2021 was primarily due to the reduced average balance and lower yields on our retained mortgage portfolio, combined with lower yields on assets in our other investments portfolio as a result of the low interest rate environment. This reduction in income was partially offset by a decrease in interest expense on our funding debt due to a decrease in average borrowing costs, primarily as a result of lower average interest rates on our long-term debt.
The decrease in the average balance of our retained mortgage portfolio for 2021 compared with 2020 was primarily due to a decrease in our lender liquidity portfolio, which was driven by lower acquisitions through our whole loan conduit in the second half of 2021 as mortgage refinance activity slowed. In addition, sales of reperforming and nonperforming mortgage loans drove a decrease in our loss mitigation portfolio.
Refinancing activity was significantly lower in 2022 compared with 2021 levels as the rise in interest rates resulted in fewer borrowers who could benefit from refinancing. We expect refinancing activity to remain low in 2023 compared with the levels in 2020 and 2021, as we expect average 30-year fixed rate mortgage interest rates to remain significantly higher than the interest rates of most outstanding single-family loans. As of December 29, 2022, the U.S. weekly
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 67 |
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| | MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
average interest rate for a single-family 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 6.42%, according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey®. Nearly 95% of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business as of December 31, 2022 had an interest rate below 5.50%, resulting in a low likelihood these loans would refinance at current rates. In addition, approximately 75% of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business as of December 31, 2022 had an interest rate below 4.00%. Accordingly, even if interest rates decline meaningfully from current levels, most of the loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business still would not be incentivized to refinance.
We expect significantly lower amortization income in 2023 compared with 2022, driven by our expectation that refinancing activity will remain low as we expect most single-family loans in our guaranty book of business will continue to have interest rates significantly lower than current market rates. However, we expect the decline in our amortization income in 2023 to be partially offset by higher interest income on our other investments portfolio.
Analysis of Net Interest Income
The table below displays an analysis of our net interest income, average balances and related yields earned on assets and incurred on liabilities. For most components of the average balances, we use a daily weighted average of unpaid principal balance net of unamortized cost basis adjustments. When daily average balance information is not available, such as for mortgage loans, we use monthly averages. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Analysis of Net Interest Income and Yield(1) |
| | For the Year Ended December 31, |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 |
| | Average Balance | | Interest Income/ (Expense) | | Average Rates Earned/Paid | | Average Balance | | Interest Income/ (Expense) | | Average Rates Earned/Paid | | Average Balance | | Interest Income/ (Expense) | | Average Rates Earned/Paid |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Interest-earning assets: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Mortgage loans of Fannie Mae | | $ | 60,587 | | | $ | 2,835 | | | 4.68 | % | | $ | 89,603 | | | $ | 2,953 | | | 3.30 | % | | $ | 114,132 | | | $ | 3,917 | | | 3.43 | % |
Mortgage loans of consolidated trusts | | 4,019,332 | | | 114,978 | | | 2.86 | | | 3,746,113 | | | 95,977 | | | 2.56 | | | 3,369,573 | | | 102,399 | | | 3.04 | |
Total mortgage loans(2) | | 4,079,919 | | | 117,813 | | | 2.89 | | | 3,835,716 | | | 98,930 | | | 2.58 | | | 3,483,705 | | | 106,316 | | | 3.05 | |
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Investments in securities(3) | | 128,245 | | | 1,828 | | | 1.41 | | | 168,702 | | | 582 | | | 0.34 | | | 133,011 | | | 972 | | | 0.72 | |
Securities purchased under agreements to resell | | 25,374 | | | 524 | | | 2.04 | | | 46,165 | | | 21 | | | 0.04 | | | 41,807 | | | 146 | | | 0.34 | |
Advances to lenders | | 5,170 | | | 132 | | | 2.52 | | | 9,086 | | | 142 | | | 1.54 | | | 8,551 | | | 135 | | | 1.55 | |
Total interest-earning assets | | $ | 4,238,708 | | | $ | 120,297 | | | 2.84 | % | | $ | 4,059,669 | | | $ | 99,675 | | | 2.46 | % | | $ | 3,667,074 | | | $ | 107,569 | | | 2.93 | % |
Interest-bearing liabilities: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Short-term funding debt | | $ | 4,429 | | | $ | (76) | | | 1.69 | | | $ | 5,748 | | | $ | (4) | | | 0.07 | | | $ | 33,068 | | | $ | (182) | | | 0.54 | |
Long-term funding debt | | 139,098 | | | (2,481) | | | 1.78 | | | 231,344 | | | (2,707) | | | 1.17 | | | 204,832 | | | (3,181) | | | 1.55 | |
CAS debt | | 8,658 | | | (511) | | | 5.90 | | | 13,896 | | | (581) | | | 4.18 | | | 17,915 | | | (857) | | | 4.78 | |
Total debt of Fannie Mae | | 152,185 | | | (3,068) | | | 2.02 | | | 250,988 | | | (3,292) | | | 1.31 | | | 255,815 | | | (4,220) | | | 1.65 | |
Debt securities of consolidated trusts held by third parties | | 4,030,467 | | | (87,806) | | | 2.18 | | | 3,778,755 | | | (66,796) | | | 1.77 | | | 3,403,052 | | | (78,483) | | | 2.31 | |
Total interest-bearing liabilities | | $ | 4,182,652 | | | $ | (90,874) | | | 2.17 | % | | $ | 4,029,743 | | | $ | (70,088) | | | 1.74 | % | | $ | 3,658,867 | | | $ | (82,703) | | | 2.26 | % |
Net interest income/net interest yield | | | | $ | 29,423 | | | 0.69 | % | | | | $ | 29,587 | | | 0.73 | % | | | | $ | 24,866 | | | 0.68 | % |
(1)Includes the effects of discounts, premiums and other cost basis adjustments. For the year ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, includes cost basis adjustments related to hedge accounting.
(2)Average balance includes mortgage loans on nonaccrual status. Interest income from yield maintenance revenue and the amortization of loan fees, primarily consisting of upfront cash fees, was $5.1 billion, $10.1 billion and $9.3 billion for the years ended 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
(3)Consists of cash, cash equivalents, U.S. Treasury securities and mortgage-related securities.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 68 |
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| | MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
The table below displays the change in our net interest income between periods and the extent to which that variance is attributable to: (1) changes in the volume of our interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities or (2) changes in the interest rates of these assets and liabilities. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Rate/Volume Analysis of Changes in Net Interest Income |
| | 2022 vs. 2021 | | 2021 vs. 2020 |
| | Total Variance | | Variance Due to:(1) | | Total Variance | | Variance Due to:(1) |
| | | Volume | | Rate | | | Volume | | Rate |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Interest income: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Mortgage loans of Fannie Mae | | $ | (118) | | | $ | (1,131) | | | $ | 1,013 | | | $ | (964) | | | $ | (814) | | | $ | (150) | |
Mortgage loans of consolidated trusts | | 19,001 | | | 7,314 | | | 11,687 | | | (6,422) | | | 10,696 | | | (17,118) | |
Total mortgage loans | | 18,883 | | | 6,183 | | | 12,700 | | | (7,386) | | | 9,882 | | | (17,268) | |
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Investments in securities(2) | | 1,246 | | | (170) | | | 1,416 | | | (390) | | | 214 | | | (604) | |
Securities purchased under agreements to resell | | 503 | | | (14) | | | 517 | | | (125) | | | 14 | | | (139) | |
Advances to lenders | | (10) | | | (77) | | | 67 | | | 7 | | | 8 | | | (1) | |
Total interest income | | 20,622 | | | 5,922 | | | 14,700 | | | (7,894) | | | 10,118 | | | (18,012) | |
Interest expense: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Short-term funding debt | | (72) | | | 1 | | | (73) | | | 178 | | | 86 | | | 92 | |
Long-term funding debt | | 226 | | | 1,324 | | | (1,098) | | | 474 | | | (377) | | | 851 | |
CAS debt | | 70 | | | 262 | | | (192) | | | 276 | | | 177 | | | 99 | |
Total debt of Fannie Mae | | 224 | | | 1,587 | | | (1,363) | | | 928 | | | (114) | | | 1,042 | |
Debt securities of consolidated trusts held by third parties | | (21,010) | | | (4,680) | | | (16,330) | | | 11,687 | | | (8,069) | | | 19,756 | |
Total interest expense | | (20,786) | | | (3,093) | | | (17,693) | | | 12,615 | | | (8,183) | | | 20,798 | |
Net interest income | | $ | (164) | | | $ | 2,829 | | | $ | (2,993) | | | $ | 4,721 | | | $ | 1,935 | | | $ | 2,786 | |
(1)Combined rate/volume variances are allocated between rate and volume based on the relative size of each variance.
(2)Consists of cash, cash equivalents, U.S. Treasury securities and mortgage-related securities.
Analysis of Deferred Amortization Income
We initially recognize mortgage loans and debt of consolidated trusts in our consolidated balance sheets at fair value. The difference between the initial fair value and the carrying value of these instruments is recorded as a cost basis adjustment, either as a premium or a discount, in our consolidated balance sheets. We amortize these cost basis adjustments over the contractual lives of the loans or debt. On a net basis, for mortgage loans and debt of consolidated trusts, we are in a premium position with respect to debt of consolidated trusts, which represents deferred income we will recognize in our consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income as amortization income in future periods. Our net premium position on debt of consolidated MBS trusts decreased as of December 31, 2022, compared with December 31, 2021, primarily as a result of increasing interest rates throughout much of 2022, which resulted in recognizing primarily net discounts on newly issued MBS debt as prices declined.
Deferred Amortization Income Represented by Net Premium Position
on Debt of Consolidated Trusts
(Dollars in billions)
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 69 |
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| | MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Investment Gains (Losses), Net
Investment gains (losses), net primarily consists of the sale of single-family held for sale (“HFS”) loans, lower of cost or fair value adjustments on HFS loans, gains and losses recognized on the consolidation and deconsolidation of securities, and gains and losses recognized from the sale of available-for-sale (“AFS”) securities.
Net investment losses in 2022 were primarily driven by a significant decrease in the market value of single-family loans, which resulted in valuation losses on loans held-for-sale as of December 31, 2022, as well as lower prices on loans sold during the year. Net investment gains in 2021 were driven by strong loan pricing coupled with a high volume of single-family loan sales during the year.
Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net
The estimated fair value of our derivatives, trading securities and other financial instruments carried at fair value may fluctuate substantially from period to period because of changes in interest rates, the yield curve, mortgage and credit spreads and implied volatility, as well as activity related to these financial instruments.
In January 2021, we began applying fair value hedge accounting to reduce earnings volatility in our financial statements driven by changes in benchmark interest rates as discussed below in “Impact of Hedge Accounting on Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net.” Accordingly, since then, we have recognized the fair value gains and losses and the contractual interest income and expense associated with risk management derivatives designated in qualifying hedging relationships in net interest income.
As discussed in more detail below, we had fair value gains in 2022, primarily driven by the impact of rising interest rates and widening of the secondary spread, which led to price declines. As a result of the price declines, we recognized gains on our mortgage commitment derivatives and long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value, partially offset by fair value losses on fixed-rate trading securities. We had fair value gains in 2021 primarily driven by the impact of rising interest rates on the fair value of our mortgage commitment derivatives and long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value, partially offset by fair value losses on fixed-rate trading securities.
The table below displays the components of our fair value gains and losses.
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Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net |
| | For the Year Ended December 31, |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Risk management derivatives fair value gains (losses) attributable to: | | | | | | |
Net contractual interest income (expense) on interest-rate swaps | | $ | (492) | | | $ | 227 | | | $ | (261) | |
Net change in fair value during the period | | (1,891) | | | (1,284) | | | (99) | |
Impact of hedge accounting | | 2,763 | | | 1,242 | | | — | |
Risk management derivatives fair value gains (losses), net | | 380 | | | 185 | | | (360) | |
Mortgage commitment derivatives fair value gains (losses), net | | 2,708 | | | 551 | | | (2,654) | |
Credit enhancement derivatives fair value gains (losses), net | | (97) | | | (178) | | | 182 | |
Total derivatives fair value gains (losses), net | | 2,991 | | | 558 | | | (2,832) | |
Trading securities gains (losses), net | | (3,504) | | | (1,060) | | | 513 | |
Long-term debt fair value gains (losses), net | | 2,265 | | | 631 | | | (432) | |
Other, net(1) | | (468) | | | 26 | | | 250 | |
Fair value gains (losses), net | | $ | 1,284 | | | $ | 155 | | | $ | (2,501) | |
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(1)Consists primarily of fair value gains and losses on mortgage loans held at fair value.
Impact of Hedge Accounting on Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net
Our earnings can experience volatility due to interest-rate changes and differing accounting treatments that apply to certain financial instruments on our balance sheet. To help address this volatility, we began applying fair value hedge accounting in January 2021 to reduce the current-period impact on our earnings related to changes in specified benchmark interest rates. Hedge accounting aligns the timing of when we recognize fair value changes in hedged items attributable to these benchmark interest-rate movements with fair value changes in the hedging instrument. For additional discussion on the purpose and structure of our hedge accounting program, see “Risk Management—Market Risk Management, including Interest-Rate Risk Management—Earnings Exposure to Interest-Rate Risk.” For additional
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 70 |
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| | MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
discussion of our fair value hedge accounting policy and related disclosures, see “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” and “Note 8, Derivative Instruments.”
The table below displays the amount of contractual interest accruals and fair value losses related to designated interest-rate swaps in qualifying hedging relationships that are recognized in “Net interest income” rather than “Fair value gains (losses), net” as a result of hedge accounting. Derivatives not in hedging relationships are not affected.
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Impact of Hedge Accounting on Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net |
| | For the Year Ended December 31, |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Net contractual interest (expense) income accruals related to interest-rate swaps designated as hedging instruments recognized in net interest income | | $ | (227) | | | $ | 211 | | | $ | — | |
Fair value losses on derivatives designated as hedging instruments recognized in net interest income | | (2,536) | | | (1,453) | | | — | |
Fair value losses, net recognized in net interest income from hedge accounting | | $ | (2,763) | | | $ | (1,242) | | | $ | — | |
Risk Management Derivatives Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net
Risk management derivative instruments are an integral part of our interest-rate risk management strategy. We supplement our issuance of debt securities with derivative instruments to further reduce duration risk, which includes prepayment risk. We purchase option-based risk management derivatives to economically hedge prepayment risk. In cases where options obtained through callable debt issuances are not needed for risk management derivative purposes, we may sell options in the over-the-counter (“OTC”) derivatives market in order to offset the options obtained in the callable debt. Our principal purpose in using derivatives is to manage our aggregate interest-rate risk profile within prescribed risk parameters. We generally use only derivatives that are relatively liquid and straightforward to value. We consider the cost of derivatives used in our management of interest-rate risk to be an inherent part of the cost of funding and hedging our mortgage investments and economically similar to the interest expense that we recognize on the debt we issue to fund our mortgage investments.
We present, by derivative instrument type, the fair value gains and losses on our derivatives in “Note 8, Derivative Instruments.” The primary factors that may affect the fair value of our risk management derivatives include the following:
•Changes in interest rates. Our primary derivative instruments are interest-rate swaps, including pay-fixed and receive-fixed interest-rate swaps. Pay-fixed swaps decrease in value and receive-fixed swaps increase in value as swap rates decrease (with the opposite being true when swap rates increase). Because the composition of our pay-fixed and receive-fixed derivatives varies across the yield curve, different yield curve changes (that is, parallel, steepening or flattening) will generate different gains and losses. Changes in the fair value of derivatives in hedging relationships are recorded in “Net interest income.”
•Changes in our derivative activity. The mix and balance of our derivative portfolio changes from period to period as we enter into or terminate derivative instruments to respond to changes in interest rates and changes in the balances and modeled characteristics of our assets and liabilities. Changes in the composition of our derivative portfolio affect the derivative fair value gains and losses we recognize in a given period.
Additional factors that affect the fair value of our risk management derivatives include implied interest-rate volatility and the time value of purchased or sold options.
We recognized net fair value gains on risk management derivatives in 2022 and 2021 primarily as a result of increases in the fair value of our pay-fixed interest-rate swaps, partially offset by decreases in the fair value of receive-fixed interest-rate swaps driven by increasing interest rates in both years.
For additional information on our use of derivatives to manage interest-rate risk, see “Risk Management—Market Risk Management, including Interest-Rate Risk Management—Interest-Rate Risk Management.”
Mortgage Commitment Derivatives Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net
We account for certain commitments to purchase or sell mortgage-related securities and to purchase single-family mortgage loans as derivatives. For open mortgage commitment derivatives, we include changes in their fair value in our consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income. When derivative purchase commitments settle, we include the fair value of the commitment on the settlement date in the cost basis of the loan or security we purchase. When derivative commitments to sell securities settle, we include the fair value of the commitment on the settlement date in the cost basis of the security we sell. Purchases of securities issued by our consolidated MBS trusts are treated as extinguishments of debt; we recognize the fair value of the commitment on the settlement date as a component of
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 71 |
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| | MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
debt extinguishment gains and losses in “Other expenses, net.” Sales of securities issued by our consolidated MBS trusts are treated as issuances of consolidated debt; we recognize the fair value of the commitment on the settlement date as a component of debt in the cost basis of the debt issued.
We recognized fair value gains on our mortgage commitments in 2022 primarily due to gains on commitments to sell mortgage-related securities as prices decreased during the commitment period due to rising interest rates and widening of the secondary spread, which is the spread between the 30-year MBS current coupon yield and 10-year U.S. Treasury rate.
We recognized fair value gains on our mortgage commitments in 2021 primarily due to gains on commitments to sell mortgage-related securities as prices decreased during the commitment period due to rising interest rates.
Trading Securities Gains (Losses), Net
Losses on trading securities in 2022 were primarily driven by increases in U.S. Treasury yields, which resulted in losses on fixed-rate securities held in our other investments portfolio.
Losses on trading securities in 2021 were primarily driven by increases in interest rates, which resulted in losses on fixed-rate securities held in our other investments portfolio.
Long-Term Debt Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net
We elect the fair value option for our long-term debt of consolidated trusts that contain embedded derivatives that would otherwise require bifurcation. The fair value of our long-term consolidated trust debt held at fair value is reported in “Debt of consolidated trusts” in our consolidated balance sheets. The changes in the fair value of our long-term consolidated trust debt held at fair value are included in “Long-term debt fair value gains (losses), net” in the table above.
We recognized fair value gains in 2022 due to decreases in the fair value of long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value driven by rising interest rates and widening of the secondary spread.
We recognized fair value gains in 2021 due to decreases in the fair value of long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value driven by rising interest rates.
Other, Net
We elect the fair value option for mortgage loans that contain embedded derivatives that would otherwise require bifurcation. The fair value of our mortgage loans held at fair value is reported as “Mortgage loans” in our consolidated balance sheets. The changes in fair value of our mortgage loans held at fair value are included in “Other, net” in the table above.
We recognized fair value losses on our mortgage loans held at fair value in 2022 due to increases in interest rates, which led to lower prices.
Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses
Our benefit or provision for credit losses can vary substantially from period to period based on a number of factors, such as changes in actual and forecasted home prices or property valuations, fluctuations in actual and forecasted interest rates, borrower payment behavior, events such as natural disasters or pandemics, the types, volume and effectiveness of our loss mitigation activities, including forbearances and loan modifications, the volume of foreclosures completed and the volume and pricing of loans redesignated from held for investment (“HFI”) to HFS.
In recent periods, changes in actual and projected interest rates have been a significant driver of our benefit or provision for credit losses as these changes drive prepayment speeds, which impacts the measurement of the economic concessions granted to borrowers on modified loans. Pursuant to our adoption of Accounting Standards Update (“ASU”) 2022-02 effective January 1, 2022, we prospectively discontinued TDR accounting and no longer measure the economic concession for restructurings occurring on or after the adoption date. This accounting also results in the elimination of any existing economic concession related to a loan that was previously designated as a TDR if such loan is restructured on or after January 1, 2022. Although increases in interest rates were a meaningful driver of our benefit or provision for credit losses in recent years, we expect the decrease in the balance of loans that were previously designated as TDRs will reduce the sensitivity of our benefit or provision for credit losses to interest rate volatility over time. See “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies—New Accounting Guidance” and “Note 3, Mortgage Loans” for more information about our adoption of ASU 2022-02.
Our benefit or provision for credit losses and our related loss reserves can also be impacted by updates to the models, assumptions and data used in determining our allowance for loan losses. Although we believe the estimates underlying our allowance as of December 31, 2022 are reasonable, they are subject to uncertainty. Changes in future economic
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 72 |
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| | MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
conditions and loan performance from our current expectations may result in volatility in our allowance for loan losses and, as a result, our benefit or provision for credit losses. See “Critical Accounting Estimates” for additional information about how our estimate of credit losses is subject to uncertainty. See “Risk Factors—Credit Risk” for a discussion of factors that could result in significant provisions for credit losses on the loans in our book of business.
The table below provides a quantitative analysis of the drivers of our single-family and multifamily benefit or provision for credit losses and the change in expected credit enhancement recoveries. The benefit or provision for credit losses includes our benefit or provision for loan losses, accrued interest receivable losses and our guaranty loss reserves, and excludes credit losses on our AFS securities. It also excludes the transition impact of adopting the CECL standard, which was recorded as an adjustment to retained earnings as of January 1, 2020. Many of the drivers that contribute to our benefit or provision for credit losses overlap or are interdependent. The attribution shown below is based on internal allocation estimates. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Components of Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses and Change in Expected Credit Enhancement Recoveries |
| | | | For the Year Ended December 31, |
| | | | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 |
| | | (Dollars in millions) |
Single-family benefit (provision) for credit losses: | | | | | | | | |
Changes in loan activity(1)(2) | | | | $ | (1,347) | | | $ | 201 | | | $ | (31) | |
Redesignation of loans from HFI to HFS | | | | (306) | | | 1,233 | | | 672 | |
Actual and forecasted home prices | | | | (2,867) | | | 3,026 | | | 1,536 | |
Actual and projected interest rates | | | | (1,072) | | | (639) | | | 1,085 | |
Release of economic concessions(3) | | | | 793 | | | — | | | — | |
Changes in assumptions regarding COVID-19 forbearance and loan delinquencies(2) | | | | — | | | 713 | | | (3,021) | |
Other(4) | | | | (230) | | | 64 | | | (314) | |
Single-family benefit (provision) for credit losses | | | | (5,029) | | | 4,598 | | | (73) | |
Multifamily benefit (provision) for credit losses: | | | | | | | | |
Changes in loan activity(1)(2) | | | | (150) | | | (202) | | | (234) | |
Actual and projected interest rates | | | | (279) | | | 9 | | | 210 | |
Actual and projected economic data | | | | 105 | | | 571 | | | — | |
Estimated impact of the COVID-19 pandemic(2) | | | | — | | | 119 | | | (648) | |
Other(4) | | | | (924) | | | 33 | | | 70 | |
Multifamily benefit (provision) for credit losses | | | | (1,248) | | | 530 | | | (602) | |
Total benefit (provision) for credit losses | | | | $ | (6,277) | | | $ | 5,128 | | | $ | (675) | |
| | | | | | | | |
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries for active loans: | | | | | | | | |
Single-family | | | | $ | 470 | | | $ | (86) | | | $ | 89 | |
Multifamily | | | | 257 | | | (123) | | | 137 | |
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries for active loans | | | | $ | 727 | | | $ | (209) | | | $ | 226 | |
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(1)Primarily consists of loan acquisitions, liquidations, amortization of modification concessions granted to borrowers and write-offs of amounts determined to be uncollectible. For multifamily, “changes in loan activity” also includes changes in the allowance due to loan delinquencies and the impact of changes in DSCRs based on updated property financial information, which is used to assess loan credit quality.
(2)Beginning January 1, 2022, changes in assumptions regarding COVID-19 forbearance and loan delinquencies are included in “Changes in loan activity.”
(3)Represents the benefit from the release of economic concessions related to loans previously designated as TDRs that received loss mitigation arrangements during the period due to the adoption of ASU 2022-02 effective January 1, 2022.
(4)Includes provision for allowance on accrued interest receivable. For single-family, also includes changes in the reserve for guaranty losses that are not separately included in the other components. For multifamily, 2022 primarily consists of provision for our seniors housing portfolio and 2021 includes the impact of model enhancements.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 73 |
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| | MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Single-Family Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses
The primary factors that contributed to our single-family provision for credit losses in 2022 were:
•Net provision from actual and forecasted home prices. Provision from home price changes was primarily driven by our home price forecast, which estimates home price declines in 2023 and 2024. Lower forecasted home prices increase the likelihood that loans will default and increase the amount of credit loss on loans that do default, which increases our estimate of loss reserves and provision for credit losses. See “Key Market Economic Indicators” for additional information about how home prices affect our credit loss estimates, including a discussion of home price growth and declines, and our home price forecast. Also see “Critical Accounting Estimates” for more information about our home price forecast.
•Provision from changes in loan activity, which includes provision on newly acquired loans. The portion of our single-family acquisitions consisting of purchase loans increased in 2022 compared with 2021. As we shift to more purchase loans, the credit profile of our acquisitions weakens as purchase loans generally have higher origination LTV ratios than refinance loans. This drove a higher estimated risk of default and loss severity in the allowance and therefore a higher credit loss provision for those loans at the time of acquisition. In addition, in 2022, our credit loss provision also increased as our more negative home price forecast increased our estimate of losses on newly acquired loans. See “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management” for more information on our loan acquisitions in 2022.
•Provision from higher actual and projected interest rates. As mortgage rates increase, we expect a decrease in future prepayments on single-family loans, including modified loans accounted for as TDRs. Lower expected prepayments extend the expected lives of these loans resulting in an increase in expected losses. For TDR loans, longer expected lives also increase the expected impairment relating to economic concessions provided on them, resulting in a provision for credit losses.
The primary factors that contributed to our single-family benefit for credit losses in 2021 were:
•Benefit from actual and forecasted home prices. In 2021, actual home price growth was at record levels. Higher home prices decrease the likelihood that loans will default and reduce the amount of credit loss on loans that do default, which impacts our estimate of losses and ultimately reduces our loss reserves and provision for credit losses.
•Benefit from the redesignation of loans from HFI to HFS. We redesignated certain nonperforming and reperforming single-family loans from HFI to HFS, as we no longer intended to hold them for the foreseeable future or to maturity. Upon redesignation of these loans, we recorded the loans at the lower of cost or fair value with a write-off against the allowance for loan losses. Amounts recorded in the allowance related to these loans exceeded the amounts written off, resulting in a net benefit for credit losses.
•Benefit from changes in assumptions regarding COVID-19 forbearance and loan delinquencies. During the first half of 2021, management used its judgment to supplement the loss projections developed by our credit loss model to account for uncertainty arising from the COVID-19 pandemic that was not represented in historical data or otherwise captured by our credit model. For the second half of 2021, management removed the remaining non-modeled adjustment as the effects of the government’s economic stimulus, the vaccine rollout, and the effectiveness of COVID-19-related loss mitigation strategies were much less uncertain.
The impact of these factors was partially offset by provision for higher actual and projected interest rates, which reduced our single-family benefit for credit losses recognized in 2021.
Multifamily Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses
The primary factors that contributed to our multifamily provision for credit losses in 2022 were:
•Approximately $900 million in provision relating to our multifamily seniors housing portfolio, which is included in “Other” in the table above. As of December 31, 2022, our estimate of credit losses reflected an increased probability of default and greater expected severity of loss on our seniors housing portfolio. As of December 31, 2022, nearly all of the seniors housing loans in our guaranty book of business were current on their payments. However, our seniors housing portfolio has been disproportionately impacted by recent market conditions, which has resulted in higher expected losses on this portfolio.
Seniors housing has been negatively impacted by elevated vacancy rates and higher operating costs, which have been exacerbated by recent inflation pressures. This has reduced the net operating income on many seniors housing properties, which in turn has led to lower estimated property values. These factors, combined with increased costs associated with adjustable-rate mortgages due to a sharp rise in short-term interest rates during the latter half of 2022, have put additional stress on our seniors housing portfolio and increased our
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 74 |
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| | MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
estimate of credit losses on these loans. As of December 31, 2022, our seniors housing portfolio had an unpaid principal balance of $16.6 billion, of which 39% were adjustable-rate mortgages. See “Multifamily Business—Multifamily Portfolio Diversification and Monitoring” for more information about our seniors housing portfolio.
•Provision for higher actual and projected interest rates. Rising interest rates may reduce the ability of multifamily borrowers to refinance their loans, which often have balloon balances at maturity, increasing our provision for credit losses. Additionally, rising interest rates increase the chance that multifamily borrowers with adjustable-rate mortgages may default due to higher payments if the property net operating income is not increasing at a similar pace.
The primary factors that contributed to our multifamily benefit for credit losses in 2021 were:
•Benefit from actual and projected economic data. In 2021, property value forecasts increased due to continued demand for multifamily housing. In addition, improved job growth led to an increase in projected average property net operating income, which reduced the probability of loan defaults, resulting in a benefit for credit losses.
•Benefit from lower expected credit losses as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Similar to our single-family benefit for credit losses described above, for the first half of 2021 management used its judgment to supplement the loss projections developed by our credit loss model to account for uncertainty arising from the COVID-19 pandemic. For the second half of 2021, management removed the remaining non-modeled adjustment as the effects of the economic stimulus, the vaccine rollout, and the effectiveness of COVID-19-related loss mitigation strategies were much less uncertain.
TCCA Fees
Pursuant to the TCCA, in 2012 FHFA directed us to increase our single-family guaranty fees by 10 basis points and remit this increase to Treasury. This TCCA-related revenue is included in “Net interest income” and the expense is recognized as “TCCA fees” in our consolidated financial statements.
TCCA fees increased in 2022 compared with 2021 as our book of business subject to the TCCA increased over the prior year. See “Business—Legislation and Regulation—GSE-Focused Matters—Guaranty Fees and Pricing” for further discussion of the TCCA.
Credit Enhancement Expense
Credit enhancement expense consists of costs associated with our freestanding credit enhancements, which primarily include our CAS and CIRT programs, enterprise-paid mortgage insurance (“EPMI”), and amortization expense for certain lender risk-sharing programs. For our CAS and CIRT programs, this expense is generally based on the average balance of the covered reference pool. Therefore, the periodic expense at the transaction or security level generally increases or decreases as the covered balance increases or decreases. We exclude from this expense costs related to our CAS transactions accounted for as debt instruments and credit risk transfer programs accounted for as derivative instruments.
Credit enhancement expense increased in 2022 compared with 2021 as the average balance of loans covered by CAS and CIRT transactions increased in 2022. We discuss the transfer of mortgage credit risk in “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk” and “Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Transfer of Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk.”
Change in Expected Credit Enhancement Recoveries
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries consists of the change in benefits recognized from our freestanding credit enhancements, including any realized amounts. Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries switched from expense in 2021 to income in 2022 driven by an increase in provision for credit losses in 2022 as our allowance for loan losses increased, which drove an increase in our expected recoveries.
Other Expenses, Net
We recognized other expenses, net of $918 million in 2022 compared with $1.3 billion in 2021. The decrease in other expenses, net in 2022 was primarily due to the decrease in our housing trust fund expenses, which are based upon new business purchases volumes. Purchase volumes, particularly in our single-family business, declined significantly in 2022 compared with 2021. See “Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director Independence—Transactions with Related Persons—Treasury Interest in Affordable Housing Allocations” for more information on these expenses.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 75 |
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| | MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Federal Income Taxes
We recognized provisions for federal income taxes of $3.3 billion in 2022, $5.8 billion in 2021 and $3.1 billion in 2020. Our provision for federal income taxes decreased in 2022 compared with 2021 primarily because of the decrease in our pre-tax income. Similarly, our provision for federal income taxes increased in 2021 compared with 2020 because of the increase in our pre-tax income.
Our effective tax rates were 20.4% in 2022, and 20.7% in 2021 and 2020. See “Note 9, Income Taxes” for additional information on our income taxes.
Consolidated Balance Sheet Analysis This section discusses our consolidated balance sheets and should be read together with our consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes.
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Summary of Consolidated Balance Sheets |
| | As of December 31, | | |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | Variance |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Assets | | | | | | | | |
Cash and cash equivalents and securities purchased under agreements to resell | | $ | 72,552 | | | | $ | 63,191 | | | | $ | 9,361 | |
Restricted cash and cash equivalents | | 29,854 | | | | 66,183 | | | | (36,329) | |
Investments in securities, at fair value | | 50,825 | | | | 89,043 | | | | (38,218) | |
Mortgage loans: | | | | | | | | |
Of Fannie Mae | | 54,085 | | | | 66,127 | | | | (12,042) | |
Of consolidated trusts | | 4,071,698 | | | | 3,907,744 | | | | 163,954 | |
Allowance for loan losses | | (11,347) | | | | (5,629) | | | | (5,718) | |
Mortgage loans, net of allowance for loan losses | | 4,114,436 | | | | 3,968,242 | | | | 146,194 | |
Deferred tax assets, net | | 12,911 | | | | 12,715 | | | | 196 | |
Other assets | | 24,710 | | | | 29,792 | | | | (5,082) | |
Total assets | | $ | 4,305,288 | | | | $ | 4,229,166 | | | | $ | 76,122 | |
Liabilities and equity | | | | | | | | |
Debt: | | | | | | | | |
Of Fannie Mae | | $ | 134,168 | | | | $ | 200,892 | | | | $ | (66,724) | |
Of consolidated trusts | | 4,087,720 | | | | 3,957,299 | | | | 130,421 | |
Other liabilities | | 23,123 | | | | 23,618 | | | | (495) | |
Total liabilities | | 4,245,011 | | | | 4,181,809 | | | | 63,202 | |
Fannie Mae stockholders’ equity: | | | | | | | | |
Senior preferred stock | | 120,836 | | | | 120,836 | | | | — | |
Other net deficit | | (60,559) | | | | (73,479) | | | | 12,920 | |
Total equity | | 60,277 | | | | 47,357 | | | | 12,920 | |
Total liabilities and equity | | $ | 4,305,288 | | | | $ | 4,229,166 | | | | $ | 76,122 | |
Restricted Cash and Cash Equivalents
The decrease in restricted cash and cash equivalents from December 31, 2021 to December 31, 2022 was primarily driven by a decrease in prepayments due to lower refinance volumes for loans of consolidated trusts, resulting in lower cash balances held in trust at period-end. For information on our accounting policy for restricted cash and cash equivalents, see “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies.”
Investments in Securities, at Fair Value
Investments in securities, at fair value decreased from December 31, 2021 to December 31, 2022 as we primarily used short-term liquid assets that accumulated in prior periods to fund our operations and to pay off maturing debt. For further discussion, see “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management.”
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 76 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Balance Sheet Analysis |
Mortgage Loans, Net of Allowance
The mortgage loans reported in our consolidated balance sheets are classified as either HFS or HFI and include loans owned by Fannie Mae and loans held in consolidated trusts.
Mortgage loans, net of allowance for loan losses increased from December 31, 2021 to December 31, 2022 driven by loan acquisitions outpacing liquidations and sales.
For additional information on our mortgage loans, see “Note 3, Mortgage Loans,” and for information on changes in our allowance for loan losses, see “Note 4, Allowance for Loan Losses.”
Debt
Debt of consolidated trusts represents the amount of Fannie Mae MBS issued from consolidated trusts and held by third-party certificateholders. Debt of Fannie Mae is the primary means of funding our mortgage purchases. Debt of Fannie Mae also includes CAS debt, which we issued in connection with our transfer of mortgage credit risk.
The decrease in debt of Fannie Mae from December 31, 2021 to December 31, 2022 was primarily due to the maturity of long-term debt, which outpaced new issuances as our funding needs remained low. The increase in debt of consolidated trusts from December 31, 2021 to December 31, 2022 was primarily driven by sales of Fannie Mae MBS, which are accounted for as issuances of debt of consolidated trusts in our consolidated balance sheets, since the MBS certificate ownership is transferred from us to a third party. See “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Debt Funding” for a summary of activity in debt of Fannie Mae and a comparison of the mix between our outstanding short-term and long-term debt. Also see “Note 7, Short-Term and Long-Term Debt” for additional information on our total outstanding debt.
Stockholders’ Equity
Our stockholders’ equity (also referred to as our net worth) increased to $60.3 billion as of December 31, 2022, compared with $47.4 billion as of December 31, 2021, due to the $12.9 billion in comprehensive income recognized during 2022.
The aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock increased to $180.3 billion as of December 31, 2022 from $163.7 billion as of December 31, 2021. The aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock will further increase to $181.8 billion as of March 31, 2023, due to the $1.4 billion increase in our net worth in the fourth quarter of 2022. For more information about how this liquidation preference is determined see “Business—Conservatorship and Treasury Agreements—Treasury Agreements—Senior Preferred Stock.”
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 77 |
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| | MD&A | Retained Mortgage Portfolio |
Retained Mortgage Portfolio We use our retained mortgage portfolio primarily to provide liquidity to the mortgage market through our whole loan conduit and to support our loss mitigation activities, particularly in times of economic stress when other sources of liquidity to the mortgage market may decrease or withdraw. Previously, we also used our retained mortgage portfolio for investment purposes.
Our retained mortgage portfolio consists of mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities that we own, including Fannie Mae MBS and non-Fannie Mae mortgage-related securities. Assets held by consolidated MBS trusts that back mortgage-related securities owned by third parties are not included in our retained mortgage portfolio.
The chart below separates the instruments within our retained mortgage portfolio, measured by unpaid principal balance, into three categories based on each instrument’s use:
•Lender liquidity, which includes balances related to our whole loan conduit activity, supports our efforts to provide liquidity to the single-family and multifamily mortgage markets.
•Loss mitigation supports our loss mitigation efforts through the purchase of delinquent loans from our MBS trusts.
•Other represents assets that were previously purchased for investment purposes. The majority of the balance of “Other” as of December 31, 2022 and 2021 consisted of Fannie Mae reverse mortgage securities and reverse mortgage loans. We expect the amount of assets in “Other” will continue to decline over time as they liquidate, mature or are sold.
Retained Mortgage Portfolio
(Dollars in billions)
The decrease in our retained mortgage portfolio as of December 31, 2022 compared with December 31, 2021 was primarily due to a decrease in our lender liquidity portfolio driven by a decline in mortgage refinance activity, leading to lower acquisition volumes through the whole loan conduit.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 78 |
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| | MD&A | Retained Mortgage Portfolio |
The table below displays the components of our retained mortgage portfolio, measured by unpaid principal balance. Based on the nature of the asset, these balances are included in either “Investments in securities, at fair value” or “Mortgage loans of Fannie Mae” in our “Summary of Consolidated Balance Sheets” table shown above. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Retained Mortgage Portfolio |
| As of December 31, |
| 2022 | | 2021 |
| (Dollars in millions) |
Lender liquidity: | | | | | | | |
Agency securities(1) | | $ | 16,410 | | | | | $ | 34,509 | | |
Mortgage loans | | 7,329 | | | | | 16,174 | | |
Total lender liquidity | | 23,739 | | | | | 50,683 | | |
Loss mitigation mortgage loans(2) | | 38,458 | | | | | 37,601 | | |
Other: | | | | | | | |
Reverse mortgage loans(3) | | 6,565 | | | | | 9,908 | | |
Mortgage loans | | 3,365 | | | | | 3,954 | | |
Reverse mortgage securities(4) | | 4,811 | | | | | 6,146 | | |
Other(5) | | 804 | | | | | 929 | | |
Total other | | 15,545 | | | | | 20,937 | | |
Total retained mortgage portfolio | | $ | 77,742 | | | | | $ | 109,221 | | |
| | | | | | | |
Retained mortgage portfolio by segment: | | | | | | | |
Single-family mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities | | $ | 73,769 | | | | | $ | 101,518 | | |
Multifamily mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities | | $ | 3,973 | | | | | $ | 7,703 | | |
(1)Consists of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae mortgage-related securities, including Freddie Mac securities guaranteed by Fannie Mae. Excludes Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae reverse mortgage securities and Fannie Mae-wrapped private-label securities.
(2)Includes single-family loans on nonaccrual status of $7.1 billion and $11.0 billion as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. Includes multifamily loans on nonaccrual status of $243 million and $340 million as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
(3)We stopped acquiring newly originated reverse mortgages in 2010.
(4)Consists of Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae reverse mortgage securities.
(5)Consists of private-label and other securities, Fannie Mae-wrapped private-label securities and mortgage revenue bonds.
The amount of mortgage assets that we may own was previously capped at $250 billion and decreased to $225 billion on December 31, 2022 under the terms of our senior preferred stock purchase agreement with Treasury. In addition, we are currently required to further cap our mortgage assets at $202.5 billion per instructions from FHFA. See “Business—Conservatorship and Treasury Agreements” for additional information on our mortgage asset cap.
We include 10% of the notional value of the interest-only securities we hold in calculating the size of the retained portfolio for the purpose of determining compliance with the senior preferred stock purchase agreement retained portfolio limits and associated FHFA guidance. As of December 31, 2022, 10% of the notional value of our interest-only securities was $1.7 billion, which is not included in the table above.
Under the terms of our MBS trust documents, we have the option or, in some instances, the obligation, to purchase mortgage loans that meet specific criteria from an MBS trust. The purchase price for these loans is the unpaid principal balance of the loan plus accrued interest. If a delinquent loan remains in a single-family MBS trust, the servicer is responsible for advancing the borrower’s missed scheduled principal and interest payments to the MBS holders for up to four months, after which time we must make these missed payments. In addition, we must reimburse servicers for advanced principal and interest payments.
In support of our loss mitigation strategies, we purchased $16.4 billion of loans from our single-family MBS trusts during 2022, the substantial majority of which were delinquent, compared with $10.4 billion of loans purchased from single-family MBS trusts during 2021. The increase in loans bought out of trusts in 2022 was primarily driven by loans exiting COVID-19-related forbearance that required a modification. The size of our retained mortgage portfolio will be impacted by the volume of loans we ultimately buy, the timing of those purchases, and the length of time those loans remain in our retained mortgage portfolio.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 79 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Guaranty Book of Business |
Guaranty Book of Business Our “guaranty book of business” consists of:
•Fannie Mae MBS outstanding, excluding the portions of any structured securities we issue that are backed by Freddie Mac securities;
•mortgage loans of Fannie Mae held in our retained mortgage portfolio; and
•other credit enhancements that we provide on mortgage assets.
“Total Fannie Mae guarantees” consists of:
•our guaranty book of business; and
•the portions of any structured securities we issue that are backed by Freddie Mac securities.
Some Fannie Mae MBS that we issue are backed in whole or in part by Freddie Mac securities. When we resecuritize Freddie Mac securities into Fannie Mae-issued structured securities, such as Supers and REMICs, our guaranty of principal and interest extends to the underlying Freddie Mac securities. However, Freddie Mac continues to guarantee the payment of principal and interest on the underlying Freddie Mac securities that we have resecuritized. Although our guaranty of the underlying Freddie Mac securities requires us to hold additional capital under the enterprise regulatory capital framework, prior to July 1, 2022, we did not charge an incremental fee to create structured securities that include Freddie Mac securities. Effective July 1, 2022, we began charging an upfront fee to include Freddie Mac securities in our structured securities, calculated as 50 basis points on the portion of securities made up of Freddie Mac-issued collateral. Effective April 1, 2023, we will be reducing this fee to 9.375 basis points. References to our single-family guaranty book of business exclude Freddie Mac-acquired mortgage loans underlying Freddie Mac securities that we have resecuritized.
Our issuance of structured securities backed in whole or in part by Freddie Mac securities creates additional off-balance sheet exposure. Our guaranty extends to the underlying Freddie Mac security included in the structured security, but we do not have control over the Freddie Mac mortgage loan securitizations. Because we do not have the power to direct matters (primarily the servicing of mortgage loans) that impact the credit risk to which we are exposed, which constitute control of these securitization trusts, we do not consolidate these trusts in our consolidated balance sheet, giving rise to off-balance sheet exposure. See “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements” and “Note 6, Financial Guarantees” for information regarding our maximum exposure to loss on unconsolidated Fannie Mae MBS and Freddie Mac securities.
The table below displays the composition of our guaranty book of business based on unpaid principal balance. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Composition of Fannie Mae Guaranty Book of Business |
| | As of December 31, |
| | 2022 | | 2021 |
| | Single-Family | | Multifamily | | Total | | Single-Family | | Multifamily | | Total |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Conventional guaranty book of business(1) | | $ | 3,646,981 | | | $ | 442,067 | | | $ | 4,089,048 | | | $ | 3,536,613 | | | $ | 419,463 | | | $ | 3,956,076 | |
Government guaranty book of business(2) | | 12,450 | | | 572 | | | 13,022 | | | 16,777 | | | 718 | | | 17,495 | |
Guaranty book of business | | 3,659,431 | | | 442,639 | | | 4,102,070 | | | 3,553,390 | | | 420,181 | | | 3,973,571 | |
Freddie Mac securities guaranteed by Fannie Mae(3) | | 234,023 | | | — | | | 234,023 | | | 212,259 | | | — | | | 212,259 | |
Total Fannie Mae guarantees | | $ | 3,893,454 | | | $ | 442,639 | | | $ | 4,336,093 | | | $ | 3,765,649 | | | $ | 420,181 | | | $ | 4,185,830 | |
(1)Refers to mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities that are not guaranteed or insured, in whole or in part, by the U.S. government.
(2)Refers to mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities guaranteed or insured, in whole or in part, by the U.S. government.
(3)Consists of off-balance sheet arrangements of approximately (i) $193.9 billion and $177.8 billion in unpaid principal balance of Freddie Mac-issued UMBS backing Fannie Mae-issued Supers as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively; and (ii) $40.1 billion and $34.5 billion in unpaid principal balance of Freddie Mac securities backing Fannie Mae-issued REMICs as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. See “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements” for more information regarding our maximum exposure to loss on consolidated Fannie Mae MBS and Freddie Mac securities.
The GSE Act requires us to set aside each year an amount equal to 4.2 basis points of the unpaid principal balance of our new business purchases and to pay this amount to specified HUD and Treasury funds in support of affordable housing. In March 2022, we paid $598 million to the funds based on our new business purchases in 2021. For 2022, we recognized an expense of $287 million related to this obligation based on $684.5 billion in new business purchases
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 80 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Guaranty Book of Business |
during the year. We expect to pay this amount to the funds in 2023. See “Business—Legislation and Regulation—GSE-Focused Matters—Affordable Housing Allocations” for more information regarding this obligation.
We have two reportable business segments: Single-Family and Multifamily. The Single-Family business operates in the secondary mortgage market relating to single-family mortgage loans, which are secured by properties containing four or fewer residential dwelling units. The Multifamily business operates in the secondary mortgage market relating primarily to multifamily mortgage loans, which are secured by properties containing five or more residential units.
We conduct business in the U.S. residential mortgage markets and the global securities market. According to the Federal Reserve, total U.S. residential mortgage debt outstanding was estimated to be approximately $15.2 trillion as of September 30, 2022 (the latest date for which information is available). We owned or guaranteed mortgage assets representing approximately 27% of total U.S. residential mortgage debt outstanding as of September 30, 2022.
The chart below displays net revenues and net income for each of our business segments. Net revenues consist of net interest income and fee and other income.
Business Segment Net Revenues and Net Income
(Dollars in billions)
Segment Allocation Methodology
The majority of our assets, revenues and expenses are directly associated with each respective business segment and are included in determining its asset balance and operating results. Those assets, revenues and expenses that are not directly attributable to a particular business segment are allocated based on the size of each segment’s guaranty book of business. The substantial majority of our gains and losses associated with our risk management derivatives are allocated to our Single-Family business segment.
In the following sections, we describe each segment’s primary business activities, customers, competitive and market conditions, business metrics, and financial results. We also describe how each segment manages mortgage credit risk and its credit metrics.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 81 |
| | | | | | | | |
| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Primary Business Activities |
Single-Family Primary Business Activities
Providing Liquidity for Single-Family Mortgage Loans
Working with lenders, our Single-Family business provides liquidity to the mortgage market primarily by acquiring single-family loans from lenders and securitizing those loans into Fannie Mae MBS, which are either delivered to the lenders or sold to investors or dealers. We describe our securitization transactions and the types of Fannie Mae MBS that we issue in “Business—Mortgage Securitizations.” Our Single-Family business also supports liquidity in the mortgage market and the businesses of our lenders through other activities, such as issuing structured Fannie Mae MBS backed by single-family mortgage assets and buying and selling single-family agency mortgage-backed securities.
Our Single-Family business securitizes and purchases primarily conventional (not federally insured or guaranteed) single-family fixed-rate or adjustable-rate, first-lien mortgage loans, or mortgage-related securities backed by these types of loans. We also securitize or purchase loans insured by FHA, loans guaranteed by the VA, loans guaranteed by the Rural Development Housing and Community Facilities Program of the U.S. Department of Agriculture, manufactured housing mortgage loans and other mortgage-related securities.
Single-Family Mortgage Servicing
Our single-family mortgage loans are serviced by mortgage servicers on our behalf. Some loans are serviced by the lenders that initially sold the loans to us. In other cases, loans are serviced by third-party servicers that did not originate or sell the loans to us. For loans we own or guarantee, the lender or servicer must obtain our approval before selling servicing rights to another servicer.
Our mortgage servicers typically collect and deliver principal and interest payments, administer escrow accounts, monitor and report on loan performance, perform early delinquency intervention activities, evaluate transfers of ownership interests, respond to requests for partial releases of security, and handle proceeds from casualty and condemnation losses. Our mortgage servicers are the primary point of contact for borrowers and perform a key role in the effective implementation of our servicing policies, negotiation of workouts for delinquent and troubled loans, and other loss mitigation activities. If necessary, mortgage servicers inspect and preserve properties and process foreclosures and bankruptcies. For information on the risks of our reliance on servicers, refer to “Risk Factors—Credit Risk.”
We compensate servicers primarily by permitting them to retain a specified portion of each interest payment on a serviced mortgage loan as a servicing fee. Servicers also generally retain assumption fees, late payment charges and other similar charges, to the extent they are collected from borrowers, as additional servicing compensation. We also compensate servicers for negotiating workouts on problem loans.
Our servicers are required to develop, follow and maintain written procedures relating to loan servicing and legal compliance in accordance with our Servicing Guide. We oversee servicer compliance with our Servicing Guide requirements and execution of our loss mitigation programs by conducting reviews of select servicers. These reviews are designed to test a servicer’s quality control processes and compliance with our requirements across key servicing functions. Issues identified through these Servicing Guide compliance reviews are provided to the servicer with prescribed corrective actions and expected resolution due dates, and we monitor servicers’ remediation of their compliance issues.
We employ a servicer performance management program, called the Servicer Total Achievement and RewardsTM (STAR®) Program, which provides our largest servicers a transparent framework of key metrics and operational assessments to recognize strong performance and identify areas of weakness. Performance management staff measure, monitor and manage overall servicer performance by conducting regular servicer performance reviews in an effort to promote optimal performance, mitigate risk and explore best practices or areas of opportunity to take action and improve performance where necessary.
Repercussions for poor performance by a servicer may include performance improvement plans, lost incentive income, compensatory fees, monetary and non-monetary remedies, and reduced opportunity for STAR Program recognition. If poor performance persists, servicing may ultimately be transferred to a different servicer.
Single-Family Credit Risk and Credit Loss Management
Our Single-Family business:
•Prices and manages the credit risk on loans in our single-family guaranty book of business through our loan acquisition policies.
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 82 |
| | | | | | | | |
| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Primary Business Activities |
•Works to reduce costs of defaulted single-family loans through, among other things, home retention solutions and foreclosure alternatives, management of foreclosures and our REO inventory, and pursuing contractual remedies from lenders, servicers and providers of credit enhancements.
•Enters into transactions that transfer a portion of the credit risk on some of the loans in our single-family guaranty book of business through our credit risk transfer programs.
See “Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management” below for discussion of our strategies for managing credit risk and credit losses on single-family loans.
Single-Family Lenders and Investors
In support of our mission to facilitate equitable and sustainable access to homeownership and quality affordable rental housing across America, we work with lenders that operate within the primary mortgage market where mortgage loans are originated and funds are loaned to borrowers. Our lenders include mortgage banking companies, savings and loan associations, savings banks, commercial banks, credit unions, community banks, private mortgage originators, and state and local housing finance agencies. Lenders originating mortgages in the primary mortgage market often sell them in the secondary mortgage market in the form of whole loans or in the form of mortgage-related securities.
During 2022, approximately 1,200 lenders delivered single-family mortgage loans to us. We acquire a significant portion of our single-family mortgage loans from several large mortgage lenders. During 2022, our top five lenders, in the aggregate, accounted for 28% of our single-family business volume, compared with 31% in 2021. Rocket Companies, Inc. was the only lender that accounted for 10% or more of our single-family business volume in 2022, representing 11%.
We have a diversified funding base of domestic and international investors. Purchasers of single-family Fannie Mae MBS include asset managers, commercial banks, pension funds, insurance companies, Treasury, central banks, corporations, state and local governments, and other municipal authorities. Our CAS investors include asset managers, real estate investment trusts, hedge funds and insurance companies, while our CIRT transaction counterparties are insurers and reinsurers.
Single-Family Competition
We compete to acquire single-family mortgage assets in the secondary market. We also compete for the issuance of single-family mortgage-related securities to investors. Competition in these areas is affected by many factors, including the number of residential mortgage loans offered for sale in the secondary market by loan originators and other market participants, the nature of the residential mortgage loans offered for sale (for example, whether the loans represent refinancings), the current demand for mortgage assets from mortgage investors, the interest-rate risk investors are willing to assume and the yields they will require as a result, and the credit risk and prices associated with available mortgage investments.
Competition to acquire mortgage assets is significantly affected by both our and our competitors’ pricing and eligibility standards, as well as investor demand for UMBS and for our and our competitors’ other mortgage-related securities. Our competitive environment also may be affected by many other factors, including our risk appetite and capital requirements; new or existing legislation or regulations applicable to us, our lenders or our investors; and digital innovation and disruption in our markets. In competing to acquire loans in the secondary market, we focus on understanding what drives our lenders’ execution decisions and identifying how to best deliver value while supporting our mission. See “Business—Conservatorship and Treasury Agreements,” “Business—Legislation and Regulation,” and “Risk Factors” for information on matters that could affect our business and competitive environment.
Our competitors for the acquisition of single-family mortgage assets are financial institutions and government agencies that manage residential mortgage credit risk or invest in residential mortgage loans, including Freddie Mac, FHA, the VA, Ginnie Mae (which primarily guarantees securities backed by FHA-insured loans and VA-guaranteed loans), the FHLBs, U.S. banks and thrifts, securities dealers, insurance companies, pension funds, investment funds and other mortgage investors. Currently, our primary competitors for the issuance of single-family mortgage-related securities are Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae and private market competitors. Competition for investors and counterparties in our credit risk transfer transactions comes primarily from other issuers of mortgage credit risk transactions, such as Freddie Mac and private mortgage insurers. We also compete for investor funds against other credit-related securitized products, such as private-label residential mortgage-backed securities (“RMBS”), commercial RMBS, and collateralized loan obligations. As noted above, the nature of our primary competitors and the overall levels of competition we face could change as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are outside our control.
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 83 |
| | | | | | | | |
| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Market |
Single-Family Mortgage Market
In the charts below we present macroeconomic factors that affect the single-family mortgage market in which our Single-Family business operates. Home sales and the supply of unsold homes are indicators of the underlying demand for mortgage loans, which impacts our acquisition volumes.
| | | | | | |
Total Single-Family Home Sales and Months’ Supply of Unsold Homes(1) | Single-Family Mortgage Originations and Mortgage Debt Outstanding(2) | |
(Home sales units in thousands)
| (Dollars in trillions)
| |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Months’ supply of new single-family unsold homes, as of year end | | | | Fannie Mae’s percentage of total single-family mortgage debt outstanding, as of period end |
| | | | | |
| | | | | |
| | | Months’ supply of existing single-family unsold homes, as of year end | | | | Single-family U.S. mortgage debt outstanding, as of period end |
| | | | | |
| | | | | |
| | | Existing home sales | | | | Single-family mortgage loan originations |
| | | | | |
| | | | | | |
| | | New home sales | | | | |
| | | | | | |
(1) Total existing home sales data according to National Association of REALTORS®. New single-family home sales data according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Certain previously reported data has been updated to reflect revised historical data from one or both of these organizations.
(2) 2022 information is as of September 30, 2022 and is based on the Federal Reserve’s December 2022 mortgage debt outstanding release, the latest date for which the Federal Reserve has estimated mortgage debt outstanding for single-family residences. Prior-period amounts have been changed to reflect revised historical data from the Federal Reserve.
Additional Information
•The 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaged 6.36% in December 2022 compared with 3.10% in December 2021 according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey®.
•We forecast that total originations in the U.S. single-family mortgage market in 2023 will decrease from 2022 levels by approximately 29%, from an estimated $2.36 trillion in 2022 to $1.69 trillion in 2023, and the amount of refinance originations in the U.S. single-family mortgage market will decrease from an estimated $704 billion in 2022 to $367 billion in 2023. See “Key Market Economic Indicators” for additional discussion of how housing activity can affect our financial results.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 84 |
| | | | | | | | |
| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage-Related Securities Issuances Share |
Single-Family Mortgage-Related Securities Issuances Share
Our single-family Fannie Mae MBS issuances were $628 billion in 2022, compared with $1.39 trillion in 2021 and $1.34 trillion in 2020. This decrease was driven by a significantly lower volume of refinance activity in 2022 due to higher mortgage rates. Based on the latest data available, the chart below displays our estimated share of single-family mortgage-related securities issuances in 2022 as compared with that of our primary competitors for the issuance of single-family mortgage-related securities.
We estimate our share of single-family mortgage-related securities issuances was 38% in 2021 and 41% in 2020.
Presentation of Our Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business
For purposes of the information reported in this “Single-Family Business” section, we measure the single-family conventional guaranty book of business using the unpaid principal balance of our mortgage loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS outstanding. By contrast, the single-family conventional guaranty book of business presented in the “Composition of Fannie Mae Guaranty Book of Business” table in the “Guaranty Book of Business” section is based on the unpaid principal balance of the Fannie Mae MBS outstanding, rather than the unpaid principal balance of the underlying mortgage loans. These amounts differ primarily as a result of payments we receive on underlying loans that have not yet been remitted to the MBS holders or instances where we have advanced missed borrower payments on mortgage loans to make required distributions to related MBS holders. As measured for purposes of the information reported below, our single-family conventional guaranty book of business was $3,635.2 billion as of December 31, 2022, $3,483.1 billion as of December 31, 2021 and $3,200.9 billion as of December 31, 2020.
Single-Family Business Metrics
Select Business Metrics
Net interest income for our Single-Family business is driven by the guaranty fees we charge and the size of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business. The guaranty fees we charge are based on the characteristics of the loans we acquire. We may adjust our guaranty fees in light of market conditions and to achieve return targets. As a result, the average charged guaranty fee on new acquisitions may fluctuate based on the credit quality and product mix of loans acquired, as well as market conditions and other factors.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 85 |
| | | | | | | | |
| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Business Metrics |
The charts below display our average charged guaranty fees, net of TCCA fees, on our single-family conventional guaranty book of business and on new single-family conventional loan acquisitions, along with our average single-family conventional guaranty book of business and our single-family conventional loan acquisitions for the periods presented.
Select Single-Family Business Metrics
(Dollars in billions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Average charged guaranty fee on single-family conventional guaranty book of business, net of TCCA fees(1)(3) | | | | Average single-family conventional guaranty book of business(2) |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | Average charged guaranty fee on new single-family conventional acquisitions, net of TCCA fees(1)(3) | | | | Single-family conventional acquisitions |
| | | | |
(1) Excludes the impact of a 10 basis point guaranty fee increase implemented pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from which is remitted to Treasury and not retained by us.
(2) Our single-family conventional guaranty book of business primarily consists of single-family conventional mortgage loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS outstanding. It also includes single-family conventional mortgage loans of Fannie Mae held in our retained mortgage portfolio, and other credit enhancements that we provide on single-family conventional mortgage assets. Our single-family conventional guaranty book of business does not include: (a) mortgage loans guaranteed or insured, in whole or in part, by the U.S. government; (b) Freddie Mac-acquired mortgage loans underlying Freddie Mac-issued UMBS that we have resecuritized; or (c) non-Fannie Mae single-family mortgage-related securities held in our retained mortgage portfolio for which we do not provide a guaranty. Our average single-family conventional guaranty book of business is based on quarter-end balances.
(3) In 2022, we enhanced the method we use to estimate average loan life at acquisition. Charged fees reported for prior periods have been updated in this report to reflect this updated methodology.
As shown in the chart above, our 2022 single-family conventional acquisitions decreased compared with 2021 and 2020, driven by higher interest rates, which decreased refinancing acquisitions as fewer borrowers could benefit from refinancing.
Average charged guaranty fee on newly acquired conventional single-family loans is a metric management uses to measure the price we earn as compensation for the credit risk we manage and to assess our return. Average charged guaranty fee represents, on an annualized basis, the average of the base guaranty fees charged during the period for our single-family conventional guaranty arrangements, which we receive monthly over the life of the loan, plus the recognition of any upfront cash payments, including loan-level price adjustments, based on an estimated average life at the time of acquisition. The calculation of single-family conventional charged guaranty fees at acquisition is sensitive to changes in inputs used in the calculation, including assumptions about the weighted average life of the loan, therefore changes in charged guaranty fees are not necessarily indicative of a change in pricing.
Our average charged guaranty fee on newly acquired conventional single-family loans, net of TCCA fees, increased in 2022 compared with 2021 and 2020. The increase in average charged guaranty fee on newly acquired single-family loans was primarily driven by the overall weaker credit risk profile of our 2022 acquisitions. We generally charge higher guaranty fees on loans with weaker credit risk characteristics. The weaker credit profile of our 2022 acquisitions was
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 86 |
| | | | | | | | |
| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Business Metrics |
primarily driven by the increased share of our acquisitions that were purchase loans in 2022 compared with a higher share of refinance loans in 2021 and 2020, as purchase loans generally have higher origination LTV ratios than refinance loans. See “Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Portfolio Diversification and Monitoring” below for a description of key risk characteristics of our single-family acquisitions in 2022, 2021 and 2020.
Recent and Future Price Changes
FHFA has announced the following price changes on our single-family loan acquisitions since January 2022, along with the dates the changes are effective. These price changes also apply to Freddie Mac’s single-family loan acquisitions.
•April 2022 high-balance and second home loan price increases. In January 2022, FHFA announced targeted increases to the upfront fees we charge for certain high-balance loans and second home loans, which we implemented on April 1, 2022. High-balance loans are mortgages originated in certain designated areas above the baseline conforming loan limit.
•December 2022 elimination of upfront fees for certain borrowers and affordable mortgage products. In October 2022, FHFA announced targeted changes to our guaranty fee pricing to eliminate upfront fees for the following borrowers and products:
•First-time homebuyers at or below 100% of area median income in most of the United States and below 120% of area median income in high-cost areas;
•HomeReady® loans;
•HFA Preferred™ loans; and
•Single-family loans supporting the Duty-to-Serve program.
We eliminated these upfront fees effective December 1, 2022.
•February 2023 cash-out refinance loan price increase. In October 2022, FHFA also announced increases in upfront fees for some cash-out refinance loans, which we implemented on February 1, 2023.
•May 2023 updates to upfront fee matrices for purchase, rate-term refinance, cash-out refinance loans and other loan characteristics. In January 2023, FHFA announced further changes to our single-family pricing framework by introducing redesigned and recalibrated upfront fee matrices for purchase, rate-term refinance, and cash-out refinance loans. These price changes will take effect on May 1, 2023.
These pricing changes broadly impact purchase and rate-term refinance loans and build on the upfront fee changes announced in January and October 2022 discussed above, which have been integrated into the new pricing matrices. The revised matrices include higher upfront fees on certain types of loans unrelated to affordable housing, such as investor loans, second home loans, high-balance loans, and cash-out refinances. We believe these new price changes will enhance our ability to achieve FHFA’s return targets for our acquisitions, as well as enhance our ability to improve our capital position over time.
Along with the support of FHFA, we will continue to review our pricing to ensure we operate in a safe and sound manner, and we are positioned to fulfill our mission of providing stability and liquidity to the mortgage market.
Changes in our pricing can significantly affect our loan acquisition volumes, the credit risk profile of our acquisitions, our competitive position, and the type and mix of loans we acquire. The price changes we implemented in December 2022 for certain first-time homebuyers, low-income borrowers, and underserved communities described above could negatively impact the credit risk profile of our new single-family acquisitions and investor interest in our future single-family credit risk transfer transactions, as these loan types generally have a higher credit risk profile than our other single-family loan acquisitions.
As described in “Risk Factors—GSE and Conservatorship Risk,” FHFA’s control over our guaranty fee pricing can constrain our ability to address changing market conditions, pursue certain strategic objectives, or manage the mix of loans we acquire. See “Business—Legislation and Regulation—GSE-Focused Matters—Guaranty Fees and Pricing” for a description of regulatory and conservatorship requirements relating to our guaranty fee pricing.
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 87 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Business Financial Results |
Single-Family Business Financial Results
This section provides a discussion of the primary components of net income for our Single-Family Business. This information complements the discussion of financial results in “Consolidated Results of Operations.”
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Single-Family Business Financial Results(1) |
| | For the Year Ended December 31, | | Variance |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 | | 2022 vs. 2021 | | 2021 vs. 2020 |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Net interest income(2) | | $ | 24,736 | | | $ | 25,429 | | | $ | 21,502 | | | | $ | (693) | | | | | $ | 3,927 | | |
Fee and other income | | 224 | | | 269 | | | 368 | | | | (45) | | | | | (99) | | |
Net revenues | | 24,960 | | | 25,698 | | | 21,870 | | | | (738) | | | | | 3,828 | | |
Investment gains (losses), net | | (223) | | | 1,392 | | | 728 | | | | (1,615) | | | | | 664 | | |
Fair value gains (losses), net | | 1,364 | | | 167 | | | (2,539) | | | | 1,197 | | | | | 2,706 | | |
Administrative expenses | | (2,789) | | | (2,557) | | | (2,559) | | | | (232) | | | | | 2 | | |
Benefit (provision) for credit losses | | (5,029) | | | 4,600 | | | (75) | | | | (9,629) | | | | | 4,675 | | |
TCCA fees(2) | | (3,369) | | | (3,071) | | | (2,673) | | | | (298) | | | | | (398) | | |
Credit enhancement expense | | (1,062) | | | (812) | | | (1,141) | | | | (250) | | | | | 329 | | |
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries(3) | | 470 | | | (86) | | | 89 | | | | 556 | | | | | (175) | | |
Other expenses, net(4) | | (778) | | | (1,208) | | | (1,212) | | | | 430 | | | | | 4 | | |
Income before federal income taxes | | 13,544 | | | 24,123 | | | 12,488 | | | | (10,579) | | | | | 11,635 | | |
Provision for federal income taxes | | (2,774) | | | (4,996) | | | (2,607) | | | | 2,222 | | | | | (2,389) | | |
Net income | | $ | 10,770 | | | $ | 19,127 | | | $ | 9,881 | | | | $ | (8,357) | | | | | $ | 9,246 | | |
(1)See “Note 10, Segment Reporting” for information about our segment allocation methodology.
(2)Reflects the impact of a 10 basis point guaranty fee increase implemented pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from which is remitted to Treasury. The resulting revenue is included in “Net interest income” and the expense is recognized as “TCCA fees.”
(3)Includes estimated changes in benefits, as well as any realized amounts, from our single-family freestanding credit enhancements, which primarily relate to our CAS and CIRT programs.
(4)Consists of debt extinguishment gains and losses, foreclosed property income (expense), gains and losses from partnership investments, housing trust fund expenses, loan subservicing costs, and servicer fees paid in connection with certain loss mitigation activities.
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Single-family net interest income decreased in 2022 compared with 2021, driven by lower amortization income, which was partially offset by higher income from portfolios and higher base guaranty fee income. |
Single-family net interest income increased in 2021 compared with 2020, primarily driven by higher base guaranty fee income and higher amortization income, partially offset by lower income from portfolios.
See “Consolidated Results of Operations—Net Interest Income” for more information on the factors that impact our single-family net interest income. |
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 88 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Business Financial Results |
Investment gains (losses), net
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Net investment losses in 2022 were primarily driven by a significant decrease in the market value of single-family loans, which resulted in valuation losses on loans held-for-sale as of December 31, 2022, as well as lower prices on loans sold during the year. |
Net investment gains in 2021 were driven by strong loan pricing coupled with a high volume of single-family loan sales during the year.
The drivers of investment gains (losses), net for the Single-Family segment are consistent with the drivers of investment gains (losses), net in our consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income, which we discuss in “Consolidated Results of Operations—Investment Gains (Losses), Net.” |
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Fair value gains (losses), net
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Fair value gains, net in 2022 were primarily driven by the impact of rising interest rates and widening of the secondary spread, which led to price declines. As a result of the price declines, we recognized gains on our commitments to sell mortgage-related securities and long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value. These gains were partially offset by fair value losses on fixed-rate trading securities. |
Fair value gains, net in 2021 were primarily driven by gains as a result of increases in the fair value of mortgage commitment derivatives and our long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value, which were partially offset by losses on trading securities.
The drivers of fair value gains (losses), net for the Single-Family segment are consistent with the drivers of fair value gains (losses), net in our consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income, which we discuss in “Consolidated Results of Operations—Fair Value Gains (Losses), Net.” |
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 89 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Business Financial Results |
Benefit (provision) for credit losses
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Provision for credit losses in 2022 was primarily driven by decreases in forecasted home prices, the overall credit risk profile of our newly acquired loans, and rising interest rates. |
Benefit for credit losses in 2021 was driven primarily by record levels of actual home price growth, the redesignation of certain nonperforming and reperforming single-family loans from HFI to HFS and a reduction in our estimate of losses we expected to incur as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. The impact of those factors was partially offset by higher actual and projected interest rates. |
See “Consolidated Results of Operations—Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses” for more information on the primary factors that contributed to our single-family benefit or provision for credit losses. |
Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management
Our strategy for managing single-family mortgage credit risk consists of four primary components:
•our acquisition and servicing policies along with our underwriting and servicing standards;
•portfolio diversification and monitoring;
•the transfer of credit risk through risk transfer transactions and the use of credit enhancements; and
•management of problem loans.
We typically obtain our single-family credit information from the sellers or servicers of the mortgage loans in our guaranty book of business and receive representations and warranties from them as to the accuracy of the information. While we perform various quality assurance checks by sampling loans to assess compliance with our underwriting and eligibility criteria, we do not independently verify all reported information and we rely on lender representations and warranties regarding the accuracy of the characteristics of loans in our guaranty book of business. See “Risk Factors” for a discussion of the risk that we could experience mortgage fraud as a result of this reliance on lender representations and warranties.
Single-Family Acquisition and Servicing Policies and Underwriting and Servicing Standards
Overview
Our Single-Family business, with the oversight of our Enterprise Risk Management division, is responsible for setting underwriting and servicing standards and pricing, and managing credit risk relating to our single-family guaranty book of business.
Underwriting and Servicing Standards
The Fannie Mae Single-Family Selling Guide (“Selling Guide”) sets forth our underwriting and eligibility guidelines, as well as our policies and procedures related to selling single-family mortgages to us. Our Servicing Guide sets forth our policies for servicing the loans in our single-family guaranty book.
Desktop Underwriter
Our proprietary automated underwriting system, Desktop Underwriter® (“DU®”), is used by mortgage lenders to evaluate the substantial majority of our single-family loan acquisitions. DU measures credit risk by assessing the primary risk factors of a mortgage and provides a comprehensive risk assessment of a borrower’s loan application and eligibility of the loan for sale to us. Risk factors evaluated by DU include the key loan attributes described under “Single-Family Portfolio Diversification and Monitoring” below. DU applies our own assessment of the borrower’s credit data, including using trended credit data when available. DU analyzes the results of this risk and eligibility evaluation to arrive at the underwriting recommendation for the loan case file. As part of our comprehensive risk management approach, we periodically update DU to reflect changes to our underwriting and eligibility guidelines. As part of normal business
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 90 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
operations, we regularly review DU to determine whether its risk analysis and eligibility assessment are appropriate based on the current market environment and loan performance information. We also regularly review DU’s underlying risk assessment models and recalibrate these models to improve DU’s ability to effectively analyze risk and avoid excessive risk layering. Factors we take into account in these evaluations include the profile of loans delivered to us, loan performance and current market conditions.
Consistent with this risk management approach, in July 2022 we implemented updates to DU’s risk and eligibility assessment in response to changing market conditions. These changes have resulted in a reduction in loans eligible for acquisition through DU, particularly for cash-out refinance transactions when multiple high-risk factors are present. In addition, in January 2023, we announced further updates to DU’s risk and eligibility assessment that we plan to implement in late February 2023. These changes may result in a reduction in loans we acquire that have high LTV ratios and high DTI ratios when multiple high-risk factors are present. We will continue to closely monitor loan acquisitions and market conditions and, as appropriate, make changes to DU, including its eligibility criteria, to ensure that the loans we acquire are consistent with our risk appetite and mission.
Other Underwriting Standards
DU was used to evaluate over 90% of the single-family loans we acquired in 2022. However, we also purchase and securitize mortgage loans that have been underwritten using other automated underwriting systems, as well as manually underwritten mortgage loans that meet our stated underwriting requirements or meet agreed-upon standards that differ from our standard underwriting and eligibility criteria. The majority of loans we acquired in 2022 that were not underwritten with DU were underwritten through a third-party automated underwriting system, such as Freddie Mac’s Loan Product Advisor®.
Servicing Policies
Our servicing policies establish the requirements our servicers must follow in:
•processing and remitting loan payments;
•working with delinquent borrowers on loss mitigation activities;
•managing and protecting Fannie Mae’s interest in the pledged property; and
•processing bankruptcies and foreclosures.
Our goal is to ensure that our policies support credit risk management over the life of the mortgage loan by enabling early delinquency outreach by servicers, promoting loss mitigation in the event of default and providing for the preservation and protection of the collateral supporting the mortgage loan. See “Single-Family Primary Business Activities—Single-Family Mortgage Servicing” above for more information on the servicing of our single-family mortgage loans.
New Credit Score Models and Expected Change to Credit Report Requirement
Fannie Mae uses credit scores to establish a minimum credit threshold for mortgage lending, provide a foundation for risk-based pricing, and support disclosures to investors. We currently use the “classic FICO® Score” from Fair Isaac Corporation as our credit score model, which FHFA has approved.
In October 2022, FHFA announced the validation and approval of two new credit score models for use by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: the FICO® Score 10 T credit score model and the VantageScore® 4.0 credit score model. FHFA’s announcement stated that they expect implementation of these new credit score models will be a multiyear effort. Once implemented, lenders will be required to deliver both FICO Score 10 T and VantageScore 4.0 credit scores with each loan sold to us when available, replacing the classic FICO Score model. The new models are expected to improve both the accuracy and inclusivity of borrower credit scores, including by capturing new payment histories for borrowers when available, such as rent, utilities and telecom payments.
FHFA also announced in October 2022 that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will work toward changing the requirement that lenders provide credit reports from all three nationwide consumer reporting agencies. Instead, we will require lenders to provide credit reports from any two of the three nationwide consumer reporting agencies. FHFA expects this change will reduce costs and encourage innovation, without introducing additional risk to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Quality Control Process
Our quality control process includes using automated tools to help us determine whether a loan meets our underwriting and eligibility guidelines, performing in-depth reviews, and selecting random samples of performing loans for quality control review shortly after delivery.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 91 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Repurchase Requests and Representation and Warranty Framework
If we determine that a mortgage loan did not meet our Selling Guide requirements, then our mortgage sellers and/or servicers are obligated to repurchase the loan, reimburse us for our losses or provide other remedies, unless the loan is eligible for relief under our representation and warranty framework. We refer to our demands that mortgage sellers and servicers meet these obligations as repurchase requests. As of December 31, 2022, we had issued repurchase requests on approximately 0.27% of the $1.2 trillion in unpaid principal balance of single-family loans delivered to us during the twelve months ended March 31, 2022. In comparison, we had issued repurchase requests on approximately 0.21% of the $1.6 trillion in unpaid principal balance of single-family loans delivered to us during the twelve months ended March 31, 2021.
Our total outstanding repurchase requests as of December 31, 2022 were $783 million, compared with $757 million as of December 31, 2021. As of December 31, 2022, 5% of our total outstanding repurchase requests were over 180 days outstanding, compared with 4% as of December 31, 2021. The dollar amounts of our outstanding repurchase requests are based on the unpaid principal balance of the loans underlying the repurchase request, which often differs from the amount collected or reimbursed from mortgage sellers and/or servicers depending on the type of remedy agreed upon.
Under our representation and warranty framework, lenders can obtain relief from repurchase liability for violations of certain underwriting representations and warranties. Loans with 36 months of consecutive monthly payments and minimal delinquencies over a specified time period or with satisfactory conclusion of a full-file quality control review are eligible for relief. However, no relief may be granted for violations of “life of loan” representations and warranties, such as those relating to whether a loan was originated in compliance with applicable laws or conforms to our charter requirements. As of December 31, 2022, 32% of the outstanding loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business that were acquired and are subject to this framework have obtained relief based solely on payment history or the satisfactory conclusion of a full-file quality control review, and an additional 65% remain eligible for relief in the future.
In addition, lenders may obtain relief from liability for violations of a more narrow set of representations and warranties through the use of specified underwriting tools. This primarily includes relief for:
•borrower income, asset and employment data that has been validated through DU; and
•appraised property value for appraisals that have received a qualifying risk score in Collateral Underwriter®, our appraisal review tool.
Single-Family Portfolio Diversification and Monitoring
Overview
The composition of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business is diversified by product type, loan characteristics and geography, all of which influence credit quality and performance and may reduce our credit risk. We monitor various loan attributes, in conjunction with housing market and economic conditions, to determine if our pricing, eligibility and underwriting criteria are appropriately calibrated to ensure the risk associated with loans we acquire fits within our corporate risk appetite and meets our other mission and return objectives. In some cases, we may decide to significantly reduce our participation in riskier loan product categories. We also review the payment performance of loans in order to help identify potential problem loans early in the delinquency cycle and to guide the development of our loss mitigation strategies.
The profile of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business includes the following key risk characteristics:
•LTV ratio. LTV ratio is a strong predictor of credit performance. The likelihood of default and the severity of a loss in the event of default are typically lower as LTV ratio decreases. This also applies to estimated mark-to-market LTV ratios, particularly those over 100%, as this indicates that the borrower’s mortgage balance exceeds the property value.
•Product type. Certain loan product types have features that may result in increased risk. Generally, intermediate-term, fixed-rate mortgages exhibit the lowest default rates, followed by long-term, fixed-rate mortgages. Historically, adjustable-rate mortgages (“ARMs”), including negative-amortizing and interest-only loans, and balloon/reset mortgages have exhibited higher default rates than fixed-rate mortgages, partly because the borrower’s payments rose, within limits, as interest rates changed.
•Number of units. Mortgages on one-unit properties tend to have lower credit risk than mortgages on two-, three- or four-unit properties.
•Property type. Certain property types have a higher risk of default. For example, condominiums generally are considered to have higher credit risk than single-family detached properties.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 92 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
•Occupancy type. Mortgages on properties occupied by the borrower as a primary or secondary residence tend to have lower credit risk than mortgages on investment properties.
•Credit score. Credit score is a measure often used by the financial services industry, including us, to assess borrower credit quality and the likelihood that a borrower will repay future obligations as expected. A higher credit score typically indicates lower credit risk.
•DTI ratio. DTI ratio refers to the ratio of a borrower’s outstanding debt obligations (including both mortgage debt and certain other long-term and significant short-term debts) to that borrower’s reported or calculated monthly income, to the extent the income is used to qualify for the mortgage. As a borrower’s DTI ratio increases, the associated risk of default on the loan generally increases, especially if other higher-risk factors are present. From time to time, we revise our guidelines for determining a borrower’s DTI ratio. The amount of income reported by a borrower and used to qualify for a mortgage may not represent the borrower’s total income; therefore, the DTI ratios we report may be higher than borrowers’ actual DTI ratios.
•Loan purpose. Loan purpose refers to how the borrower intends to use the funds from a mortgage loan—either for a home purchase or refinancing of an existing mortgage. Cash-out refinancings have a higher risk of default than either mortgage loans used for the purchase of a property or other refinancings that restrict the amount of cash returned to the borrower.
•Geographic concentration. Local economic conditions affect borrowers’ ability to repay loans and the value of collateral underlying loans. Geographic diversification reduces mortgage credit risk.
•Loan age. We monitor year of origination and loan age, which is defined as the number of years since origination. Credit losses on mortgage loans typically do not peak until the third through fifth year following origination; however, this range can vary based on many factors, including changes in macroeconomic conditions and foreclosure timelines.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 93 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The following table displays our single-family conventional business volumes and our single-family conventional guaranty book of business, based on certain key risk characteristics that we use to evaluate the risk profile and credit quality of our single-family loans.
We provide additional information on the credit characteristics of our single-family loans in quarterly financial supplements, which we furnish to the SEC with current reports on Form 8-K and make available on our website. Information in our quarterly financial supplements is not incorporated by reference into this report.
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Key Risk Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Business Volume and Guaranty Book of Business(1) |
| | Percent of Single-Family Conventional Business Volume at Acquisition(2) For the Year Ended December 31, | | Percent of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business(3) As of December 31, | |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 | | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 | |
Original LTV ratio:(4) | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<= 60% | | 22 | | % | 32 | | % | 27 | | % | 26 | | % | 27 | | % | 23 | | % |
60.01% to 70% | | 13 | | | 16 | | | 16 | | | 15 | | | 15 | | | 14 | | |
70.01% to 80% | | 33 | | | 31 | | | 34 | | | 33 | | | 33 | | | 35 | | |
80.01% to 90% | | 12 | | | 9 | | | 11 | | | 10 | | | 10 | | | 11 | | |
90.01% to 95% | | 15 | | | 9 | | | 10 | | | 11 | | | 10 | | | 11 | | |
95.01% to 100% | | 5 | | | 3 | | | 2 | | | 4 | | | 4 | | | 4 | | |
Greater than 100% | | — | | | * | | * | | 1 | | | 1 | | | 2 | | |
Total | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
Weighted average | | 75 | | % | 69 | | % | 71 | | % | 72 | | % | 72 | | % | 74 | | % |
Average loan amount | | $ | 301,887 | | | $ | 281,530 | | | $ | 279,800 | | | $ | 206,049 | | | $ | 198,865 | | | $ | 185,047 | | |
Loan count (in thousands) | | 2,037 | | | 4,812 | | 4,856 | | 17,643 | | | 17,515 | | | 17,298 | | |
Estimated mark-to-market LTV ratio:(5) | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<= 60% | | | | | | | | 66 | | % | 61 | | % | 52 | | % |
60.01% to 70% | | | | | | | | 16 | | | 19 | | | 17 | | |
70.01% to 80% | | | | | | | | 10 | | | 13 | | | 18 | | |
80.01% to 90% | | | | | | | | 5 | | | 5 | | | 9 | | |
90.01% to 100% | | | | | | | | 3 | | | 2 | | | 4 | | |
Greater than 100% | | | | | | | | * | | * | | * | |
Total | | | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
Weighted average | | | | | | | | 52 | | % | 54 | | % | 58 | | % |
FICO credit score at origination:(6) | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
< 620 | | * | % | * | % | * | % | 1 | | % | 1 | | % | 1 | | % |
620 to < 660 | | 4 | | | 3 | | | 2 | | | 4 | | | 4 | | | 4 | | |
660 to < 680 | | 4 | | | 3 | | | 2 | | | 4 | | | 3 | | | 4 | | |
680 to < 700 | | 8 | | | 6 | | | 5 | | | 6 | | | 7 | | | 7 | | |
700 to < 740 | | 22 | | | 19 | | | 18 | | | 19 | | | 19 | | | 20 | | |
>= 740 | | 62 | | | 69 | | | 73 | | | 66 | | | 66 | | | 64 | | |
Total | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
Weighted average | | 747 | | | 756 | | | 760 | | | 752 | | | 753 | | | 750 | | |
DTI ratio at origination:(7) | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<= 43% | | 68 | | % | 77 | | % | 79 | | % | 75 | | % | 77 | | % | 77 | | % |
43.01% to 45% | | 10 | | | 8 | | | 8 | | | 9 | | | 9 | | | 9 | | |
Greater than 45% | | 22 | | | 15 | | | 13 | | | 16 | | | 14 | | | 14 | | |
Total | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
Weighted average | | 37 | | % | 34 | | % | 34 | | % | 35 | | % | 34 | | % | 35 | | % |
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 94 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
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| | Percent of Single-Family Conventional Business Volume at Acquisition(2) For the Year Ended December 31, | | Percent of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business(3) As of December 31, | |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 | | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 | |
Product type: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Fixed-rate:(8) | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Long-term | | 90 | | % | 83 | | % | 85 | | % | 86 | | % | 84 | | % | 85 | | % |
Intermediate-term | | 9 | | | 16 | | | 15 | | | 13 | | | 15 | | | 14 | | |
Total fixed-rate | | 99 | | | 99 | | | 100 | | | 99 | | | 99 | | | 99 | | |
Adjustable-rate | | 1 | | | 1 | | | * | | 1 | | | 1 | | | 1 | | |
Total | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
Number of property units: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
1 unit | | 98 | | % | 98 | | % | 98 | | % | 98 | | % | 97 | | % | 97 | | % |
2-4 units | | 2 | | | 2 | | | 2 | | | 2 | | | 3 | | | 3 | | |
Total | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
Property type: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Single-family homes | | 91 | | % | 91 | | % | 92 | | % | 91 | | % | 91 | | % | 91 | | % |
Condo/Co-op | | 9 | | | 9 | | | 8 | | | 9 | | | 9 | | | 9 | | |
Total | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
Occupancy type: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary residence | | 91 | | % | 92 | | % | 92 | | % | 91 | | % | 90 | | % | 90 | | % |
Second/vacation home | | 3 | | | 3 | | | 4 | | | 3 | | | 4 | | | 4 | | |
Investor | | 6 | | | 5 | | | 4 | | | 6 | | | 6 | | | 6 | | |
Total | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
Loan purpose: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Purchase | | 62 | | % | 33 | | % | 30 | | % | 40 | | % | 36 | | % | 38 | | % |
Cash-out refinance | | 25 | | | 24 | | | 19 | | | 22 | | | 21 | | | 20 | | |
Other refinance | | 13 | | | 43 | | | 51 | | | 38 | | | 43 | | | 42 | | |
Total | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
Geographic concentration:(9) | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Midwest | | 13 | | % | 13 | | % | 14 | | % | 14 | | % | 14 | | % | 14 | | % |
Northeast | | 13 | | | 14 | | | 12 | | | 16 | | | 16 | | | 17 | | |
Southeast | | 26 | | | 22 | | | 21 | | | 23 | | | 23 | | | 22 | | |
Southwest | | 23 | | | 19 | | | 20 | | | 19 | | | 18 | | | 19 | | |
West | | 25 | | | 32 | | | 33 | | | 28 | | | 29 | | | 28 | | |
Total | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
Origination year: | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2016 and prior | | | | | | | | 19 | | % | 23 | | % | 38 | | % |
2017 | | | | | | | | 3 | | | 4 | | | 7 | | |
2018 | | | | | | | | 2 | | | 3 | | | 6 | | |
2019 | | | | | | | | 5 | | | 6 | | | 11 | | |
2020 | | | | | | | | 25 | | | 30 | | | 38 | | |
2021 | | | | | | | | 32 | | | 34 | | | — | | |
2022 | | | | | | | | 14 | | | — | | | — | | |
Total | | | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
* Represents less than 0.5% of single-family conventional business volume or guaranty book of business.
(1)Second-lien mortgage loans held by third parties are not reflected in the original LTV or the estimated mark-to-market LTV ratios in this table.
(2)Calculated based on the unpaid principal balance of single-family loans for each category at time of acquisition.
(3)Calculated based on the aggregate unpaid principal balance of single-family loans for each category divided by the aggregate unpaid principal balance of loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business as of the end of each period.
(4)The original LTV ratio generally is based on the original unpaid principal balance of the loan divided by the appraised property value reported to us at the time of acquisition of the loan. Excludes loans for which this information is not readily available.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 95 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
(5)The aggregate estimated mark-to-market LTV ratio is based on the unpaid principal balance of the loan as of the end of each reported period divided by the estimated current value of the property, which we calculate using an internal valuation model that estimates periodic changes in home value. Excludes loans for which this information is not readily available.
(6)Loans with unavailable FICO credit scores represent less than 0.5% of single-family conventional business volume or guaranty book of business, and therefore are not presented separately in this table.
(7)Excludes loans for which this information is not readily available.
(8)Long-term fixed-rate consists of mortgage loans with maturities greater than 15 years, while intermediate-term fixed-rate loans have maturities equal to or less than 15 years.
(9)Midwest consists of IL, IN, IA, MI, MN, NE, ND, OH, SD and WI. Northeast consists of CT, DE, ME, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, PR, RI, VT and VI. Southeast consists of AL, DC, FL, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, SC, TN, VA and WV. Southwest consists of AZ, AR, CO, KS, LA, MO, NM, OK, TX and UT. West consists of AK, CA, GU, HI, ID, MT, NV, OR, WA and WY.
Characteristics of our New Single-Family Loan Acquisitions
Refinancing activity was significantly lower in 2022 compared with 2021 levels as the rise in interest rates resulted in fewer borrowers who could benefit from refinancing. Accordingly, the share of our single-family loan acquisitions consisting of refinance loans (versus home purchase loans) decreased to 38% in 2022 compared with 67% in 2021. Typically, home purchase loans have higher LTV ratios than refinance loans. This trend contributed to an increase in the percentage of our single-family loan acquisitions with LTV ratios over 80%, from 21% in 2021 to 32% in 2022. The decline in refinance share also contributed to a decline in the percentage of loans we acquired with a FICO credit score of 740 or greater, from 69% in 2021 to 62% in 2022. In addition, our acquisitions of loans from first-time home buyers increased from 16% of our single-family loan acquisitions in 2021 to 29% in 2022.
Our share of acquisitions of loans with DTI ratios above 45% increased to 22% in 2022 compared with 15% in 2021. This increase was driven by the higher share of home purchase acquisitions, which tend to have higher DTI ratios than refinance loan acquisitions. It also reflects the impact of higher interest rates and inflation on borrowers’ monthly obligations.
The credit profile of our future acquisitions will depend on many factors, including:
•our future guaranty fee pricing and our competitors’ pricing, and any impact of that pricing on the volume and mix of loans we acquire;
•our internal risk limits;
•our future eligibility standards and those of mortgage insurers, FHA and VA;
•the percentage of loan originations representing refinancings;
•changes in interest rates;
•our future objectives and activities in support of those objectives, including actions we may take to reach additional underserved creditworthy borrowers;
•government and regulatory policy;
•market and competitive conditions; and
•our capital requirements.
We expect the ultimate performance of our loans will be affected by borrower behavior, public policy and macroeconomic trends, including unemployment, the economy and home prices. In addition, if lenders retain more of the higher-quality loans they originate, it could negatively affect the credit profile of our new single-family acquisitions.
High-Balance Loans
The standard conforming loan limit for a one-unit property was $548,250 for 2021, $647,200 for 2022 and increased to $726,200 for 2023. As we discuss in “Business—Our Mission, Strategy and Charter—Our Charter,” we are permitted to acquire loans with higher balances in certain areas, which we refer to as high-balance loans.
The following table displays the amount of high-balance loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Single-Family High-Balance Loans | |
| As of December 31, | |
| 2022 | | 2021 | |
Unpaid principal balance (in billions) | $ | 237.3 | | | | $ | 237.6 | | | |
Percentage of single-family conventional guaranty book of business | 7 | | % | | 7 | | % | |
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 96 |
| | | | | | | | |
| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Adjustable-Rate Mortgages
ARMs are mortgage loans with an interest rate that adjusts periodically over the life of the mortgage based on changes in a specified index. The table below displays the unpaid principal balance for ARMs in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business by the year of their next scheduled contractual reset date. The contractual reset is either an adjustment to the loan’s interest rate or a scheduled change to the loan’s monthly payment to begin to reflect the payment of principal. The timing of the actual reset dates may differ from those presented due to a number of factors, including refinancing or exercising of other provisions within the terms of the mortgage. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Single-Family Adjustable-Rate Mortgages(1) |
| Reset Year |
| 2023 | | 2024 | | 2025 | | 2026 | | 2027 | | Thereafter | | Total |
| (Dollars in millions) |
ARMs(2) | $ | 13,441 | | | $ | 1,296 | | | $ | 973 | | | $ | 1,661 | | | $ | 2,865 | | | $ | 10,911 | | | $ | 31,147 | |
(1)Excludes loans for which there is not an additional reset for the remaining life of the loan.
(2)Includes $3.5 billion of interest-only and negative-amortizing loans. We have not acquired interest-only loans since 2014, and we have not acquired negative-amortizing loans since 2007.
Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk
One of the key components of our credit risk management strategy is the transfer of mortgage credit risk to third parties. The table below displays information about the loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business covered by one or more forms of credit enhancement, including mortgage insurance or a credit risk transfer transaction. Our approved monoline mortgage insurers’ financial ability and willingness to pay claims is an important determinant of our overall credit risk exposure. For a discussion of our exposure to and management of the counterparty credit risk associated with the providers of these credit enhancements, see “Risk Management—Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management” and “Note 13, Concentrations of Credit Risk.” | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Single-Family Loans with Credit Enhancement |
| As of December 31, |
| 2022 | | 2021 |
| | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business | | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business |
| (Dollars in billions) |
Primary mortgage insurance and other | | $ | 754 | | | 21 | % | | $ | 697 | | | 20 | % |
Connecticut Avenue Securities | | 726 | | | 20 | | | 512 | | | 14 | |
Credit Insurance Risk Transfer | | 323 | | | 9 | | | 168 | | | 5 | |
Lender risk-sharing | | 57 | | | 2 | | | 70 | | | 2 | |
Less: Loans covered by multiple credit enhancements | | (351) | | | (10) | | | (253) | | | (7) | |
Total single-family loans with credit enhancement | | $ | 1,509 | | | 42 | % | | $ | 1,194 | | | 34 | % |
Mortgage Insurance
Our charter generally requires credit enhancement on any single-family conventional mortgage loan that we purchase or securitize if it has an LTV ratio over 80% at the time of acquisition. We generally achieve this through primary mortgage insurance. Primary mortgage insurance transfers varying portions of the credit risk associated with a mortgage loan to a third-party insurer. For us to receive a payment in settlement of a claim under a primary mortgage insurance policy, the insured loan must be in default and the borrower’s interest in the property securing the loan must have been extinguished, generally in a foreclosure action, short sale or a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure. Claims are generally paid three to six months after title to the property has been transferred. For a discussion of our policies that govern mortgage insurers’ claim-paying obligations to us, see “Risk Management—Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management.”
Credit Risk Transfer Transactions
Our Single-Family business has developed other risk-sharing capabilities to transfer portions of our single-family mortgage credit risk to the private market. Our credit risk transfer transactions are designed to transfer a portion of the losses we expect would be incurred in an economic downturn or a stressed credit environment. Generally, loss reimbursement payments are received after the underlying property has been liquidated and all applicable proceeds,
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 97 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
including private mortgage insurance benefits, have been applied to reduce the loss. We continually evaluate our credit risk transfer transactions which, in addition to managing our credit risk, also affect our returns on capital.
In March 2022, FHFA published a final rule amending the enterprise regulatory capital framework. Among other changes, the amendment refined the risk-based capital treatment of credit risk transfer transactions. These changes to the enterprise regulatory capital framework increase the capital relief afforded by credit risk transfer transactions.
In 2022, we transferred a portion of the mortgage credit risk on single-family mortgage loans with an unpaid principal balance of $535.4 billion at the time of the transactions; substantially all of the loans in these credit risk transfer transactions were acquired in 2021. The rise in interest rates throughout 2022, increased macroeconomic and housing market uncertainty, and the increased issuance of credit risk transfer transactions from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and mortgage insurers throughout much of 2022 has negatively impacted investor demand and reinsurer capacity for our credit risk transfer transactions. As a result, investors have required increased premiums in our more recent credit risk transfer transactions. Taking into account the increasing cost of these transactions, the resulting capital relief, and the credit risk transfer market capacity, we have chosen to increase the first loss position retained by Fannie Mae compared with prior transactions.
The factors that we expect will affect the extent to which we engage in single-family credit risk transfer transactions in the future and the structure of those transactions include our risk appetite, future market conditions, the cost of the transactions, FHFA guidance or requirements (including FHFA’s scorecard), the capital relief provided by the transactions, and our overall business and capital plans.
Categories of Our Credit Risk Transfer Transactions | | | | | | | | |
| Transaction Description | Other Key Characteristics |
CAS Debt | • We transferred to investors a portion of the mortgage credit risk associated with losses on a reference pool of mortgage loans. • We created a reference pool consisting of recently acquired single-family mortgage loans included in our guaranty book of business and create a hypothetical securitization structure with notional credit risk positions, or tranches (that is, first loss, mezzanine and senior). • CAS debt was issued related to the first loss, mezzanine and senior loss risk positions. • We retained the senior loss and all or a portion of the first loss tranche in CAS transactions. In addition, we retained a pro rata share of risk equal to approximately 5% of all notes sold in mezzanine tranches. • CAS debt is recognized as “debt of Fannie Mae” in our consolidated balance sheets. CAS debt issued to investors beginning January 2016 through October 2018 is recognized at amortized cost. CAS debt we issued prior to 2016 is recognized at fair value.
• We stopped issuing this form of CAS in October 2018. | • The principal balance of CAS debt decreases as a result of credit losses on loans in the related reference pool. These write downs of the principal balance reduce the total amount of payments we are obligated to make to investors on the CAS debt. • Credit losses on the loans in the reference pool for a CAS transaction are first applied to reduce the outstanding principal balance of the first loss tranche. • If credit losses on these loans exceed the outstanding principal balance of the first loss tranche, losses would then be applied to reduce the outstanding principal balance of the mezzanine loss tranche. • Generally issued with a stated final maturity date of either 10 or 12.5 years from issuance. • After maturity, CAS debt provides no further credit protection with respect to the remaining loans in the reference pool underlying that CAS transaction. • Significant lag exists between the time when we recognize a provision for credit losses and when we recognize the related recovery from the CAS transaction. • Presents minimal counterparty risk as we receive the proceeds that would reimburse us for certain credit events on the related loans upon the issuance of CAS. |
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 98 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
| | | | | | | | |
| Transaction Description | Other Key Characteristics |
CAS REMIC | CAS REMIC® transactions are similar to CAS debt transactions, with some key differences: • CAS REMIC offerings are structured as notes that qualify as interests in a REMIC issued by a non-consolidated trust, not as corporate debt, but we obtain credit protection through arrangements that we execute with the trust. • We recognize the cost of credit protection in “Credit enhancement expense” in our consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income. • We recognize the expected benefits from the credit protection in “Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries” in our consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income. | CAS REMICs have characteristics similar to CAS debt transactions, with some key differences: • Enables expanded participation by real estate investment trusts and certain international investors. • Aligns the timing of our recognition of credit losses with the related recovery from CAS REMIC transactions. We record the expected benefit and the loss in the same period. • Beginning with our July 2019 issuances: extended the stated final maturity date from 12.5 to 20 years from issuance, shortened the call option from 10 years to 7 years; and retained a smaller first loss position. These updates were primarily designed to further reduce the capital requirements associated with loans in the reference pool. • Presents minimal counterparty risk as the CAS trust receives the proceeds that will reimburse us for certain credit events on the related loans upon the issuance of the CAS REMIC. |
CAS Credit-linked notes (“CLN”)
| CAS CLN transactions are similar to CAS REMIC transactions, with some key differences: • In December 2019 we began offering CAS CLNs in addition to CAS REMICs. CAS CLNs allow us to obtain credit protection on reference pools containing seasoned loans such as Refi PlusTM loans. • Since the loans used in our CAS CLNs were not tagged for use in a REMIC transaction at the time of acquisition, CAS CLNs do not qualify as interests in a REMIC. Since May 2018, we have taken a REMIC election on the majority of single-family loans we acquire. | • CAS CLNs do not provide as broad of a range of investor participation as CAS REMICs. |
CIRT | • Insurance transactions whereby we obtain actual loss coverage on pools of loans either directly from an insurance provider that retains the risk, or from an insurance provider that simultaneously cedes all of its risk to one or more reinsurers. • In CIRT deals, we generally retain an initial portion of losses on the loans in the pool (for example the first 0.4% of the initial pool unpaid principal balance). Reinsurers cover losses above this retention amount up to a detachment point (for example the next 3.0% of the initial pool unpaid principal balance). We retain all losses above this detachment point. • We make premium payments on CIRT deals that we recognize in “Credit enhancement expense” in our consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income. | • The insurance layer typically provides coverage for losses on the pool that are likely to occur only in a stressed economic environment. • Insurance benefits are received after the underlying property has been liquidated and all applicable proceeds, including private mortgage insurance benefits, have been applied to the loss. • A portion of the insurers’ or reinsurers’ obligations is collateralized with highly-rated liquid assets held in a trust account initially determined according to the ratings of such insurer or reinsurer. Contractual provisions require additional collateral to be posted in the event of adverse developments with the counterparty, such as a ratings downgrade. • Generally written for 10 or 12-1/2 year terms. |
Lender risk-sharing | • Customized lender risk-sharing transactions. • In most transactions, lenders invest directly in a portion of the credit risk on mortgage loans they originate and/or service. | • Transactions are generally structured so that a portion of the credit risk on the underlying mortgage loans is shared without increasing our counterparty exposure.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 99 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The table below displays the aggregate mortgage credit risk transferred to third parties and retained by Fannie Mae pursuant to our single-family credit risk transfer transactions. The table does not include the credit risk transferred on single-family transactions that were cancelled or terminated as of December 31, 2022. The table below also excludes coverage obtained through primary mortgage insurance.
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Outstanding as of December 31, 2022 |
(Dollars in billions) |
| Senior | | Fannie Mae(1) | | Outstanding Reference Pool(4)(6) |
$1,058 | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Mezzanine | | Fannie Mae(1) | | CIRT(2)(3) | | CAS(2) | | Lender Risk-Sharing(2) | |
$6 | | $12 | | $10 | | $4 | | $1,113 |
| | | | | | | | | |
First Loss | | Fannie Mae(1) | | CAS(2)(5) | | Lender Risk-Sharing(2) | |
$11 | | $10 | | $2 | |
(1)Credit risk retained by Fannie Mae in CAS, CIRT and lender risk-sharing transactions. Tranche sizes vary across programs.
(2)Credit risk transferred to third parties. Tranche sizes vary across programs.
(3)Includes mortgage pool insurance transactions covering loans with an aggregate unpaid principal balance of approximately $1.3 billion outstanding as of December 31, 2022.
(4)For CIRT and some lender risk-sharing transactions, “Reference Pool” reflects a pool of covered loans.
(5)For CAS transactions, “First Loss” represents all B tranche balances.
(6)For CAS and some lender risk-sharing transactions, represents outstanding reference pools, not the outstanding unpaid principal balance of the underlying loans. The outstanding unpaid principal balance for all loans covered by credit risk transfer programs, including all loans on which risk has been transferred in lender risk-sharing transactions, was $1,106 billion as of December 31, 2022.
We have designed our credit risk transfer transactions so that the principal payment and loss performance of the transactions correspond to the performance of the loans in the underlying reference pools. Losses are applied in reverse sequential order starting with the first loss tranche. Principal repayments may be allocated to reduce the mezzanine amounts outstanding; however, these payments may be subject to certain lock-out periods and performance triggers in order to build additional credit protection for the senior tranches retained by us. For CAS transactions, all principal payments and losses assigned to the mezzanine tranches are allocated pro rata between the sold notes and the portion we retain, when performance is above a certain threshold.
While these deals are expected to mitigate some of our potential future credit losses (generally net of any proceeds received from front-end credit enhancements, such as primary mortgage insurance), these deals are not designed to shield us from all losses. We retain a portion of the risk of future credit losses on loans covered by CAS and CIRT transactions, including all or a portion of the first loss positions and all of the senior loss positions. In addition, on our CAS transactions, we retain a pro rata share of risk equal to approximately 5% of all notes sold in mezzanine tranches. The risk in force of these transactions, which refers to the maximum amount of losses that could be absorbed by credit risk transfer investors, was approximately $38 billion as of December 31, 2022, compared with approximately $35 billion as of December 31, 2021.
Our credit risk transfer transactions issued prior to 2021 were impacted by high levels of refinancing activity. As a result, the losses on the remaining covered reference pools must generally be higher before we would receive a benefit from those credit risk transfer transactions. In addition, home price appreciation since we entered into the transactions reduces the likelihood that we will incur losses on the covered loans large enough to receive a benefit from these transactions. As of December 31, 2022, approximately 47% of the outstanding risk in force of our single-family credit risk transfer transactions was from transactions issued prior to 2021.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 100 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The following table displays information about the credit enhancement recovery receivables we have recognized within “Other assets” in our consolidated balance sheets. The increase in our single-family freestanding credit enhancement receivables as of December 31, 2022 compared to December 31, 2021, was primarily a result of an increase in our estimate of credit losses in 2022. As our estimate for credit losses increases, so does the benefit we expect to receive from our freestanding credit enhancements.
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Single-Family Credit Enhancement Receivables |
| | As of |
| | December 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Freestanding credit enhancement receivables | | $ | 565 | | | $ | 99 | |
Primary mortgage insurance receivables, net of allowance(1) | | 53 | | | 54 | |
(1)Amount is net of a valuation allowance of $462 million and $479 million as of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively. The vast majority of this valuation allowance related to deferred payment obligations associated with unpaid claim amounts for which collectability is uncertain.
The following table displays the approximate cash paid or transferred to investors for credit risk transfer transactions. The cash represents the portion of the guaranty fee paid to investors as compensation for taking on a share of the credit risk. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Credit Risk Transfer Transactions |
| | For the Year Ended December 31, |
| | 2022 | | 2021 |
Cash paid or transferred for: | | (Dollars in millions) |
CAS transactions(1) | | $ | 882 | | | $ | 812 | |
CIRT transactions | | 325 | | | 264 | |
Lender risk-sharing transactions | | 154 | | | 244 | |
(1)Consists of cash paid for interest expense net of LIBOR or SOFR, as applicable, on outstanding CAS debt and amounts paid for both CAS REMIC® and CAS CLN transactions.
Cash paid or transferred to investors for CIRT transactions includes cancellation fees paid on certain CIRT transactions where we determined that the cost of these deals exceeded the expected remaining benefit. The table excludes cash paid upon the repurchase of legacy CAS debt. In 2022, we paid $4.0 billion to repurchase a portion of our outstanding CAS debt.
The following table displays the primary characteristics of the loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business without credit enhancement. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Single-Family Loans Currently without Credit Enhancement |
| | As of |
| | December 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 |
| | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business | | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business |
| | (Dollars in billions) |
Low LTV ratio or short-term(1) | | $ | 1,171 | | | 32 | % | | $ | 1,167 | | | 34 | % |
Pre-credit risk transfer program inception(2) | | 265 | | | 7 | | | 324 | | | 9 | |
Recently acquired(3) | | 403 | | | 11 | | | 983 | | | 28 | |
Other(4) | | 669 | | | 18 | | | 565 | | | 16 | |
Less: Loans in multiple categories | | (382) | | | (10) | | | (750) | | | (21) | |
Total single-family loans currently without credit enhancement | | $ | 2,126 | | | 58 | % | | $ | 2,289 | | | 66 | % |
(1)Represents loans with an LTV ratio less than or equal to 60% or loans with an original maturity of 20 years or less.
(2)Represents loans that were acquired before the inception of our credit risk transfer programs. Also includes Refi Plus loans.
(3)Represents loans that were recently acquired and have not been included in a reference pool.
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 101 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
(4)Includes adjustable-rate mortgage loans, loans with a combined LTV ratio greater than 97%, non-Refi Plus loans acquired after the inception of our credit risk transfer programs that became 30 or more days delinquent prior to inclusion in a credit risk transfer transaction, and loans that were delinquent as of December 31, 2022 or December 31, 2021.
Single-Family Problem Loan Management
Overview
Our problem loan management strategies focus primarily on reducing defaults to avoid losses that would otherwise occur and pursuing foreclosure alternatives to mitigate the severity of the losses we incur. If a borrower does not make required payments, or is in jeopardy of not making payments, we work with the loan servicer to offer workout solutions to minimize the likelihood of foreclosure as well as the severity of loss. When appropriate, we seek to move to foreclosure expeditiously.
Below we describe the following:
•delinquency statistics on our problem loans;
•efforts undertaken to manage our problem loans, including the role of servicers in loss mitigation, forbearance plans, loan workouts, and sales of nonperforming and reperforming loans;
•metrics regarding our loan workout activities;
•REO management; and
•other single-family credit-related information, including our credit loss performance and credit loss concentration metrics.
We also provide ongoing credit performance information on loans underlying single-family Fannie Mae MBS and loans covered by single-family credit risk transfer transactions. For loans backing Fannie Mae MBS, see the “Forbearance and Delinquency Dashboard” available in the MBS section of our Data Dynamics® tool, which is available at www.fanniemae.com/datadynamics. For loans covered by credit risk transfer transactions, see the “Deal Performance Data” report available in the CAS and CIRT sections of the tool. Information on our website is not incorporated into this report. Information in Data Dynamics may differ from similar measures presented in our financial statements and other public disclosures for a variety of reasons, including as a result of variations in the loan population covered, timing differences in reporting and other factors.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 102 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Delinquency
The tables below display the delinquency status of loans and changes in the volume of seriously delinquent loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business based on the number of loans. Single-family seriously delinquent loans are loans that are 90 days or more past due or in the foreclosure process, expressed as a percentage of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business based on loan count. Management monitors the single-family serious delinquency rate as an indicator of potential future credit losses and loss mitigation activities. Serious delinquency rates are reflective of our performance in assessing and managing credit risk associated with single-family loans in our guaranty book of business. Typically, higher serious delinquency rates result in a higher allowance for loan losses.
For purposes of our disclosures regarding delinquency status, we report loans receiving COVID-19-related payment forbearance as delinquent according to the contractual terms of the loan. Pursuant to the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (“CARES Act”), for purposes of reporting to the credit bureaus, servicers must report a borrower receiving a COVID-19-related payment accommodation during the covered period, such as a forbearance plan or loan modification, as current if the borrower was current prior to receiving the accommodation and the borrower makes all required payments in accordance with the accommodation. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Delinquency Status and Activity of Single-Family Conventional Loans |
| | As of December 31, |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 |
Delinquency status: | | | | | | |
30 to 59 days delinquent | | 0.96 | % | | 0.86 | % | | 1.02 | % |
60 to 89 days delinquent | | 0.23 | | | 0.20 | | | 0.36 | |
Seriously delinquent (“SDQ”): | | 0.65 | | | 1.25 | | | 2.87 | |
Percentage of SDQ loans that have been delinquent for more than 180 days | | 55 | | | 75 | | | 67 | |
Percentage of SDQ loans that have been delinquent for more than two years | | 16 | | | 9 | | | 3 | |
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| | For the Year Ended December 31, |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 |
Single-family SDQ loans (number of loans): | | | | | | |
Beginning balance | | 218,329 | | | 495,806 | | | 112,434 | |
Additions | | 171,437 | | | 232,411 | | | 833,719 | |
Removals: | | | | | | |
Modifications and other loan workouts | | (164,707) | | | (328,165) | | | (246,524) | |
Liquidations and sales | | (46,476) | | | (86,020) | | | (58,019) | |
Cured or less than 90 days delinquent | | (63,623) | | | (95,703) | | | (145,804) | |
Total removals | | (274,806) | | | (509,888) | | | (450,347) | |
Ending balance | | 114,960 | | | 218,329 | | | 495,806 | |
Our single-family serious delinquency rate decreased in 2022 compared with 2021 and 2020 as a result of single-family borrowers exiting forbearance through a loan workout or by otherwise reinstating their loan. As of December 31, 2022, single-family loans in forbearance comprised 28% of our single-family seriously delinquent loans compared with 36% as of December 31, 2021, and 78% as of December 31, 2020.
Factors that affect our single-family serious delinquency rate include:
•the percentage of our loans that receive forbearance and the length of time they remain in forbearance;
•the pace and effectiveness of payment deferrals, loan modifications and other workouts;
•the timing and volume of nonperforming loan sales we execute;
•pandemics and natural disasters;
•servicer performance; and
•changes in home prices, unemployment levels and other macroeconomic conditions.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 103 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The table below displays the serious delinquency rates for, and the percentage of our seriously delinquent single-family conventional loans represented by, the specified loan categories. Percentage of book amounts represent the unpaid principal balance of loans for each category divided by the unpaid principal balance of our total single-family conventional guaranty book of business. The reported categories are not mutually exclusive. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Single-Family Conventional Seriously Delinquent Loan Concentration Analysis | |
| | | As of December 31, | | |
| | | 2022 | | 2021 | | | 2020 | | |
| | | Percentage of Book Outstanding | | Percentage of Seriously Delinquent Loans(1) | | Serious Delinquency Rate | | Percentage of Book Outstanding | | Percentage of Seriously Delinquent Loans(1) | | Serious Delinquency Rate | | | Percentage of Book Outstanding | | Percentage of Seriously Delinquent Loans(1) | | Serious Delinquency Rate | | |
States: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
California | | | 19 | % | | 9 | % | | 0.46 | % | | 19 | % | | 11 | % | | 1.01 | % | | | 19 | % | | 12 | % | | 2.62 | % | | |
Florida | | | 6 | | | 9 | | | 0.90 | | | 6 | | | 8 | | | 1.59 | | | | 6 | | | 9 | | | 4.17 | | | |
Illinois | | | 3 | | | 5 | | | 0.86 | | | 3 | | | 5 | | | 1.55 | | | | 3 | | | 5 | | | 3.10 | | | |
New Jersey | | | 3 | | | 4 | | | 0.85 | | | 3 | | | 5 | | | 1.90 | | | | 3 | | | 5 | | | 4.57 | | | |
New York | | | 5 | | | 7 | | | 1.12 | | | 5 | | | 7 | | | 2.24 | | | | 5 | | | 7 | | | 4.79 | | | |
All other states | | | 64 | | | 66 | | | 0.62 | | | 64 | | | 64 | | | 1.16 | | | | 64 | | | 62 | | | 2.59 | | | |
Vintages: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2008 and prior | | | 2 | | | 23 | | | 2.78 | | | 3 | | | 24 | | | 4.90 | | | | 4 | | | 24 | | | 8.39 | | | |
2009-2022 | | | 98 | | | 77 | | | 0.53 | | | 97 | | | 76 | | | 1.01 | | | | 96 | | | 76 | | | 2.39 | | | |
Estimated mark-to-market LTV ratio: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
<= 60% | | | 66 | | | 74 | | | 0.63 | | | 61 | | | 73 | | | 1.27 | | | | 52 | | | 56 | | | 2.52 | | | |
60.01% to 70% | | | 16 | | | 14 | | | 0.77 | | | 19 | | | 16 | | | 1.37 | | | | 17 | | | 18 | | | 3.73 | | | |
70.01% to 80% | | | 10 | | | 8 | | | 0.69 | | | 13 | | | 8 | | | 1.08 | | | | 18 | | | 14 | | | 3.05 | | | |
80.01% to 90% | | | 5 | | | 3 | | | 0.68 | | | 5 | | | 2 | | | 0.88 | | | | 9 | | | 9 | | | 4.17 | | | |
90.01% to 100% | | | 3 | | | 1 | | | 0.40 | | | 2 | | | 1 | | | 0.51 | | | | 4 | | | 2 | | | 1.85 | | | |
Greater than 100% | | | * | | * | | 4.04 | | | * | | * | | 12.41 | | | | * | | 1 | | | 22.43 | | | |
Credit enhanced:(2) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary MI & other(3) | | | 21 | | | 31 | | | 1.19 | | | 20 | | | 29 | | | 2.14 | | | | 21 | | | 27 | | | 4.36 | | | |
Credit risk transfer(4) | | | 31 | | | 28 | | | 0.66 | | | 21 | | | 32 | | | 1.80 | | | | 30 | | | 37 | | | 3.69 | | | |
Non-credit enhanced | | | 58 | | | 54 | | | 0.55 | | | 66 | | | 53 | | | 0.98 | | | | 58 | | | 51 | | | 2.36 | | | |
* Represents less than 0.5% of single-family conventional guaranty book of business.
(1)Calculated based on the number of single-family loans that were seriously delinquent for each category divided by the total number of single-family conventional loans that were seriously delinquent.
(2)The credit-enhanced categories are not mutually exclusive. A loan with primary mortgage insurance that is also covered by a credit risk transfer transaction will be included in both the “Primary MI & other” category and the “Credit risk transfer” category. As a result, the “Credit enhanced” and “Non-credit enhanced” categories do not sum to 100%. The total percentage of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business with some form of credit enhancement as of December 31, 2022 was 42%.
(3)Refers to loans included in an agreement used to reduce credit risk by requiring primary mortgage insurance, collateral, letters of credit, corporate guarantees, or other agreements to provide an entity with some assurance that it will be compensated to some degree in the event of a financial loss. Excludes loans covered by credit risk transfer transactions unless such loans are also covered by primary mortgage insurance.
(4)Refers to loans included in reference pools for credit risk transfer transactions, including loans in these transactions that are also covered by primary mortgage insurance. For CAS and some lender risk-sharing transactions, this represents the outstanding unpaid principal balance of the underlying loans on the single-family mortgage credit book, not the outstanding reference pool, as of the specified date. Loans included in our credit risk transfer transactions have all been acquired since 2009.
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 104 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Forbearance Plans
A forbearance plan is a short-term loss mitigation option which grants a period of time (typically in 6-month increments and generally do not exceed a total of 12 months) during which the borrower’s monthly payment obligations are reduced or suspended. Borrowers may exit a forbearance plan by repaying all past due amounts to fully reinstate the loan, paying off the loan in full, or entering into another loss mitigation option, such as a repayment plan, a payment deferral, or a loan modification. The vast majority of forbearance plans offered since 2020 relate to a COVID-19-related financial hardship where we have authorized our servicers to offer a forbearance plan for up to 18 months for eligible borrowers.
As of December 31, 2022, the unpaid principal balance of single-family loans in forbearance was $11.9 billion compared with $23.6 billion as of December 31, 2021. The percentage of loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business in forbearance has declined to 0.3% as of December 31, 2022 compared with 0.7% as of December 31, 2021. As of December 31, 2022, 62% of the single-family loans in forbearance were seriously delinquent compared with 66% as of December 31, 2021.
Loan Workout Metrics
As a part of our credit risk management efforts, loan workouts represent actions we take to help reinstate loans to current status and help homeowners stay in their home or to otherwise avoid foreclosure. Our loan workouts reflect various types of home retention solutions, including repayment plans, payment deferrals, and loan modifications. Our loan workouts also include foreclosure alternatives, such as short sales and deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure.
We work with our servicers to implement our home retention solution and foreclosure alternative initiatives, and we emphasize the importance of early contact with borrowers and early entry into a home retention solution. We require that servicers first evaluate borrowers for eligibility under a workout option before considering foreclosure. The existence of a second lien may limit our ability to provide borrowers with loan workout options, particularly those that are part of our foreclosure prevention efforts; however, we are not required to contact a second lien holder to obtain their approval prior to providing a borrower with a loan modification.
Home Retention Solutions
When a borrower cannot bring the loan current by reinstating the loan or through a repayment plan, we use our payment deferral and loan modification workout options to help resolve the loan’s delinquency. A payment deferral is a loss mitigation option which defers the repayment of the delinquent principal and interest payments and other eligible default-related amounts that were advanced on behalf of the borrower by converting them into a non-interest-bearing balance due at the earlier of the payoff date, the maturity date, or sale or transfer of the property. The remaining mortgage terms, interest rate, payment schedule, and maturity date remain unchanged, and no trial period is required. The number of months of payments deferred varies based on the types of hardships the borrower is facing.
Our loan modifications include the following concessions:
•capitalization of past due amounts, a form of payment delay, which capitalizes interest and other eligible default related amounts that were advanced on behalf of the borrower that are past due into the unpaid principal balance; and
•a term extension, which typically extends the contractual maturity date of the loan to 40 years from the effective date of the modification.
In addition to these concessions, loan modifications may also include an interest rate reduction, which reduces the contractual interest rate of the loan, or a principal forbearance, which is another form of payment delay that includes forbearing repayment of a portion of the principal balance as a non-interest bearing amount that is due at the earlier of the payoff date, the maturity date, or sale or transfer of the property.
Our primary loan modification program is currently the Flex Modification program, which offers payment relief for eligible borrowers.
Foreclosure Alternatives
We offer foreclosure alternatives for borrowers who are unable to retain their homes. Foreclosure alternatives may be more appropriate if the borrower has experienced a significant adverse change in financial condition due to events such as long-term unemployment or reduced income, divorce, or unexpected issues like medical bills, and is therefore no longer able to make the required mortgage payments. To avoid foreclosure and satisfy the first-lien mortgage obligation, our servicers work with a borrower to:
•accept a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure, whereby the borrower voluntarily signs over the title to their property to the servicer; or
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 105 |
| | | | | | | | |
| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
•sell the home prior to foreclosure in a short sale, whereby the borrower sells the home for less than the full amount owed to Fannie Mae under the mortgage loan.
These alternatives are designed to reduce our credit losses while helping borrowers avoid having to go through a foreclosure. We work to obtain the highest price possible for the properties sold in short sales.
In the event there is a covered loss after the borrower defaults and title to the property is subsequently transferred through a foreclosure, short-sale, or a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure, we may be entitled to proceeds from primary mortgage insurance. For the year ended December 31, 2022, we received $89 million of mortgage insurance proceeds related to covered losses compared with $127 million for the year ended December 31, 2021 and $279 million for the year ended December 31, 2020. For more information about how mortgage insurance claims are paid, as well as a description of our other credit enhancement programs, see “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk.” For a discussion of our policies that govern mortgage insurers’ claim-paying obligations to us, see “Risk Management—Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management.”
The chart below displays the unpaid principal balance of our completed single-family loan workouts by type, as well as the number of loan workouts. This table does not include loans in an active forbearance arrangement, trial modifications, loans to certain borrowers who have received bankruptcy relief and repayment plans that have been initiated but not completed.
(1)There were approximately 15,800 loans, 39,100 loans and 14,400 loans in a trial modification period that was not yet complete as of December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
(2)Other was $313 million, $866 million and $1.6 billion for the year ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively. Includes repayment plans and foreclosure alternatives. Repayment plans reflect only those plans associated with loans that were 60 days or more delinquent.
The overall decline in loan workout activity was primarily driven by fewer outstanding COVID-19-related forbearances during 2022 compared with 2021 and 2020. The total amount of principal and interest deferred to the end of the loan term for single-family loans that received a payment deferral was $990 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, of which $599 million was deferred interest. For the year ended December 31, 2021, the total amount of principal and interest deferred was $3.9 billion, of which $2.4 billion was deferred interest. For the year ended December 31, 2020, the total amount of principal and interest deferred was $1.5 billion, of which $928 million was deferred interest.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 106 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The table below displays the percentage of our single-family loan modifications completed during 2021 and 2020 that were current or paid off one year after modification and, for modifications completed during 2020, two years after modification. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Percentage of Single-Family Completed Loan Modifications That Were Current or Paid Off at One and Two Years Post-Modification |
| | 2021 Modifications | | 2020 Modifications |
| | Q4 | | Q3 | | Q2 | | Q1 | | Q4 | | Q3 | | Q2 | | Q1 |
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One Year Post-Modification | | 88% | | 90% | | 91% | | 92% | | 93% | | 94% | | 71% | | 65% |
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Two Years Post-Modification | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 97 | | 82 | | 80 |
Nonperforming and Reperforming Loan Sales
We also undertake efforts to mitigate credit losses and manage our problem loans by selling our nonperforming and reperforming loans, thereby removing them from our guaranty book of business. This problem loan management strategy is intended to reduce: the number of seriously-delinquent loans, the severity of losses incurred on these loans, and the capital we would be required to hold for such loans. During 2022, we sold approximately 8,200 nonperforming loans with an aggregate unpaid principal balance of $1.4 billion and approximately 29,700 reperforming loans with an aggregate unpaid principal balance of $5.0 billion. During 2021, we sold approximately 18,300 nonperforming loans with an aggregate unpaid principal balance of $3.2 billion and approximately 94,400 reperforming loans with an aggregate unpaid principal balance of $13.6 billion.
In February 2023, FHFA instructed us to put sales of nonperforming and reperforming loans on hold until further notice. FHFA is currently assessing our nonperforming and reperforming loan sale program.
REO Management
If a loan defaults, we may acquire the property through foreclosure or a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure. The table below displays our REO activity by region. Regional REO acquisition trends generally follow a pattern that is similar to, but lags, that of regional delinquency trends. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Single-Family REO Properties |
| | For the Year Ended December 31, | |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 | |
Single-family REO properties (number of properties): | | | | | | | |
Beginning of period inventory of single-family REO properties(1) | | 7,166 | | | 7,973 | | | 17,501 | | |
Acquisitions by geographic area:(2) | | | | | | | |
Midwest | | 1,606 | | | 1,166 | | | 1,507 | | |
Northeast | | 1,049 | | | 1,077 | | | 1,237 | | |
Southeast | | 1,136 | | | 1,076 | | | 1,859 | | |
Southwest | | 768 | | | 570 | | | 1,021 | | |
West | | 322 | | | 231 | | | 433 | | |
Total REO acquisitions(1) | | 4,881 | | | 4,120 | | | 6,057 | | |
Dispositions of REO | | (3,268) | | | (4,927) | | | (15,585) | | |
End of period inventory of single-family REO properties(1) | | 8,779 | | | 7,166 | | | 7,973 | | |
Carrying value of single-family REO properties (dollars in millions) | | $ | 1,293 | | | $ | 959 | | | $ | 1,149 | | |
Single-family foreclosure rate(3) | | 0.03 | | % | 0.02 | | % | 0.04 | | % |
REO net sales price to unpaid principal balance(4) | | 114 | | | 111 | | | 88 | | |
Short sales net sales price to unpaid principal balance(5) | | 91 | | | 84 | | | 81 | | |
(1)Includes held-for-use properties, which are reported in our consolidated balance sheets as a component of “Other assets.”
(2)See footnote 9 to the “Key Risk Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Business Volume and Guaranty Book of Business” table for states included in each geographic region.
(3)Reflects the total number of properties acquired through foreclosure or deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure as a percentage of the total number of loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business as of the end of each period.
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 107 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
(4)Calculated as the amount of sale proceeds received on disposition of REO properties during the respective periods, excluding those subject to repurchase requests made to our sellers or servicers, divided by the aggregate unpaid principal balance of the related loans at the time of foreclosure. Net sales price represents the contract sales price less selling costs for the property and other charges paid by the seller at closing.
(5)Calculated as the amount of sale proceeds received on properties sold in short sale transactions during the respective periods divided by the aggregate unpaid principal balance of the related loans. Net sales price includes borrower relocation incentive payments and subordinate lien(s) negotiated payoffs.
We market and sell the majority of our foreclosed properties through local real estate professionals. Our primary objectives for our REO inventory are to facilitate equitable and sustainable access to homeownership, quality affordable rental housing, and housing for owner occupant and community-minded purchasers, while obtaining the highest price possible. In some cases, we use alternative methods of disposition, including selling homes to municipalities, other public entities or non-profit organizations, and selling properties through public auctions. We also engage in third-party sales at foreclosure, which allow us to avoid maintenance and other REO expenses we would have incurred had we acquired the property.
In April 2022, FHFA announced a suspension of foreclosure activities for up to 60 days for borrowers who apply for assistance under Treasury’s Homeowner Assistance Fund.
As shown in the chart below, the majority of our REO properties are unable to be marketed at any given time because the properties are occupied, under repair, or are subject to state or local redemption or confirmation periods, which delays the marketing and disposition of these properties.
Other Single-Family Credit Information
Single-Family Credit Loss Performance Metrics and Loan Sale Performance
The single-family credit loss performance metrics and loan sale performance measures below present information about losses or gains we realized on our single-family loans during the periods presented. The amount of these losses or gains in a given period is driven by foreclosures, pre-foreclosure sales, post-foreclosure REO activity, mortgage loan redesignations, and other events that trigger write-offs and recoveries. The single-family credit loss metrics we present are not defined terms and may not be calculated in the same manner as similarly titled measures reported by other companies. Management uses these measures to evaluate the effectiveness of our single-family credit risk management strategies in conjunction with leading indicators such as serious delinquency and forbearance rates, which are potential indicators of future realized single-family credit losses. We believe these measures provide useful information about our single-family credit performance and the factors that impact it.
Because sales of nonperforming and reperforming loans have been a part of our credit loss mitigation strategy in recent periods, we also provide information in the table below on our loan sale performance through the “Gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments” line item.
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 108 |
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| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The table below displays the components of our single-family credit loss performance metrics and loan sale performance. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Single-Family Credit Loss Performance Metrics and Loan Sale Performance |
| | For the Year Ended December 31, |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Write-offs | | $ | (211) | | | $ | (51) | | | $ | (177) | |
Recoveries | | 288 | | | 430 | | | 111 | |
Foreclosed property expense | | (55) | | | (14) | | | (157) | |
Credit gains (losses) | | 22 | | | 365 | | | (223) | |
Write-offs on the redesignation of mortgage loans from HFI to HFS(1) | | (679) | | | (372) | | | (291) | |
Net credit losses and write-offs on redesignations | | (657) | | | (7) | | | (514) | |
Gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments(2) | | (207) | | | 1,312 | | | 704 | |
Net credit gains (losses), write-offs on redesignations and gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments | | $ | (864) | | | $ | 1,305 | | | $ | 190 | |
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Credit gain (loss) ratio (in bps)(3) | | 0.1 | | | 1.1 | | | (0.7) | |
Net credit gains (losses), write-offs on redesignations and gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments ratio (in bps)(3) | | (2.4) | | | 3.9 | | | 0.6 | |
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(1)Consists of the lower of cost or fair value adjustment at time of redesignation.
(2)Consists of gains or losses realized on the sales of nonperforming and reperforming mortgage loans during the period and temporary lower-of-cost-or-market adjustments on HFS loans, which are recognized in “Investment gains (losses), net” in our consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income.
(3)Calculated based on the amount of “Credit gains (losses)” and “Net credit gains (losses), write-offs on redesignations and gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments” divided by the average single-family conventional guaranty book of business during the period.
The increase in our single-family write-offs in 2022 compared with 2021 was largely driven by an increase in foreclosure activity, due in part to the expiration of the CFPB rule that prohibited certain new single-family foreclosures on mortgage loans secured by the borrower’s principal residence until after December 31, 2021, as well as a decrease in the estimated proceeds from sales of REO as a result of the recent decline in home prices. At the time of foreclosure, we record a write off to the extent that estimated proceeds from the sale of REO, less the estimated cost to sell the property net of any insurance proceeds, exceeds the carrying value of the loan.
The increase in our single-family write-offs on the redesignation of mortgage loans from HFI to HFS in 2022 compared with 2021 was primarily driven by price declines on our HFS loans at the time of redesignation as interest rates rose.
Market conditions in 2022, including higher interest rates, reduced the demand for reperforming loans and led to price declines on our HFS loans. This resulted in losses on sales and other valuation adjustments in 2022. We recognize valuation adjustments on HFS loans measured at lower-of-cost-or-market when price changes occur after the loans have been redesignated. By contrast, we had gains on sales in 2021 driven by price increases on our HFS loans as a result of the market recovery following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.
For information on our benefit or provision for credit losses, which includes changes in our allowance, see “Consolidated Results of Operations—Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses” and “Single-Family Business Financial Results.”
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 109 |
| | | | | | | | |
| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The table below displays concentrations of our single-family credit gains (losses) based on geography, credit characteristics and loan vintages.
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Single-Family Credit Gain (Loss) Concentration Analysis |
| | Percentage of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business Outstanding(1) | | Amount of Single-Family Credit Gains (Losses) and Redesignation Write-offs(2) | | |
| | As of December 31, | | As of December 31, | | |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2022 | | 2021 | | | | |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Geographical distribution: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
California | | 19 | % | | 19 | % | | $ | (94) | | | $ | (24) | | | | | |
Florida | | 6 | | | 6 | | | (23) | | | 35 | | | | | |
Illinois | | 3 | | | 3 | | | (69) | | | (23) | | | | | |
New Jersey | | 3 | | | 3 | | | (29) | | | 13 | | | | | |
New York | | 5 | | | 5 | | | (73) | | | 32 | | | | | |
All other states | | 64 | | | 64 | | | (369) | | | (40) | | | | | |
Total | | 100 | % | | 100 | % | | $ | (657) | | | $ | (7) | | | | | |
Vintages:(3) | | | | | | | | | | | | |
2008 and prior | | 2 | % | | 3 | % | | $ | (100) | | | $ | 133 | | | | | |
2009 - 2022 | | 98 | | | 97 | | | (557) | | | (140) | | | | | |
Total | | 100 | % | | 100 | % | | $ | (657) | | | $ | (7) | | | | | |
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(1)Calculated based on the aggregate unpaid principal balance of single-family loans for each category divided by the aggregate unpaid principal balance of loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business as of the end of each period.
(2)Credit gains (losses) and redesignation write-offs do not include gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments. Excludes the impact of recoveries resulting from resolution agreements related to representation and warranty matters and compensatory fee income related to servicing matters that have not been allocated to specific loans.
(3)Credit losses on mortgage loans typically do not peak until the third through fifth years following origination; however, this range can vary based on many factors, including changes in macroeconomic conditions and foreclosure timelines.
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 110 |
| | | | | | | | |
| | MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Single-Family Maturity Information
The below table shows the contractual maturities and interest rate sensitivities of our single-family mortgage loan portfolio as recorded on our consolidated balance sheets. Although the loans in our consolidated portfolio have varying contractual terms (for example, 15-year, 30-year, etc.), the actual life of the loans is likely to be significantly less than their contractual term as a result of prepayment. Therefore, the contractual term is not a reliable indicator of the loans’ expected lives. Single-family mortgages can be prepaid in whole or in part at any time without penalty.
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Single-Family Loans: Maturities and Terms of the Consolidated Mortgage Loan Portfolio(1) |
| As of December 31, 2022 |
| | Due within 1 year(2) | | Greater than 1 year but within 5 years | | Greater than 5 years but within 15 years | | Greater than 15 years | | Total |
| (Dollars in millions) |
Single-family mortgage loans: | | | | | | | | | | |
Loans held for sale | | $ | 266 | | | $ | 170 | | | $ | 518 | | | $ | 1,513 | | | $ | 2,467 | |
Loans held for investment | | | | | | | | | | |
Of Fannie Mae | | 7,775 | | | 4,202 | | | 11,934 | | | 28,493 | | | 52,404 | |
Of consolidated trusts | | 128,289 | | | 534,418 | | | 1,351,674 | | | 1,575,410 | | | 3,589,791 | |
Total unpaid principal balance of single-family mortgage loans | | 136,330 | | | 538,790 | | | 1,364,126 | | | 1,605,416 | | | 3,644,662 | |
Cost basis adjustments, net | | | | | | | | | | 49,806 | |
Total single-family mortgage loans(3) | | $ | 136,330 | | | $ | 538,790 | | | $ | 1,364,126 | | | $ | 1,605,416 | | | $ | 3,694,468 | |
Single-family mortgage loans by interest rate sensitivity: | | | | | | |
Fixed-rate | | $ | 125,892 | | | $ | 534,039 | | | $ | 1,351,335 | | | $ | 1,592,977 | | | $ | 3,604,243 | |
Adjustable-rate | | 10,438 | | | 4,751 | | | 12,791 | | | 12,439 | | | 40,419 | |
Total unpaid principal balance of single-family mortgage loans | | $ | 136,330 | | | $ | 538,790 | | | $ | 1,364,126 | | | $ | 1,605,416 | | | $ | 3,644,662 | |
(1)We report the scheduled repayments in the maturity category in which the payment is due, such that a loan’s balance may be presented across multiple maturity categories.
(2)Due within 1 year includes reverse mortgages for which there is no defined maturity date of $9.5 billion as of December 31, 2022.
(3)Excludes accrued interest receivable. The unpaid principal balance of single family loans is based on the amount of contractual unpaid principal balance due and excludes any write-offs for amounts deemed uncollectible. Those write-offs are presented as a component of cost basis adjustments, net.
Multifamily Primary Business Activities
Providing Liquidity for Multifamily Mortgage Loans
Our Multifamily business provides mortgage market liquidity primarily for properties with five or more residential units, which may be apartment communities, cooperative properties, seniors housing, dedicated student housing or manufactured housing communities. Our Multifamily business works with our multifamily lenders to provide funds to the mortgage market primarily by securitizing multifamily mortgage loans acquired from these lenders into Fannie Mae MBS, which are sold to investors or dealers. We also purchase multifamily mortgage loans and provide credit enhancement for bonds issued by state and local housing finance authorities to finance multifamily housing. Our Multifamily business also supports liquidity in the mortgage market through other activities, such as issuing structured MBS backed by Fannie Mae multifamily MBS and buying and selling multifamily agency mortgage-backed securities. We also continue to invest in low-income housing tax credit (“LIHTC”) multifamily projects to help support and preserve the supply of affordable housing.
| | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 111 |
| | | | | | | | |
| | MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Primary Business Activities |
Key Characteristics of the Multifamily Business
The Multifamily business has a number of key characteristics that distinguish it from our Single-Family business.
•Collateral: Multifamily loans are collateralized by properties that generate cash flows and effectively operate as businesses, such as garden and high-rise apartment complexes, seniors housing communities, cooperatives, dedicated student housing and manufactured housing communities.
•Borrowers and sponsors: Multifamily borrowing entities are typically owned, directly or indirectly, by for-profit corporations, limited liability companies, partnerships, real estate investment trusts and individuals who invest in real estate for cash flow and expected returns in excess of their original contribution of equity. Borrowing entities are typically single-asset entities, with the property as their only asset. The ultimate owner of a multifamily borrowing entity is referred to as the “sponsor.” We evaluate both the borrowing entity and its sponsor when considering a new transaction or managing our business. We refer to both the borrowing entities and their sponsors as “borrowers.” When considering a multifamily borrower, creditworthiness is evaluated through a combination of quantitative and qualitative data including liquid assets, net worth, number of units owned, experience in a market and/or property type, multifamily portfolio performance, access to additional liquidity, debt maturities, asset/property management platform, senior management experience, reputation, and exposures to lenders and Fannie Mae.
•Recourse: Multifamily loans are generally non-recourse to the borrowers.
•Lenders: During 2022, we executed multifamily transactions with 27 lenders. Of these, 23 lenders delivered loans to us under our DUS program described below. In determining whether to partner with a multifamily lender, we consider the lender’s financial strength, multifamily underwriting and servicing experience, portfolio performance and willingness and ability to share in the risk of loss associated with the multifamily loans they originate.
•Loan size: The average size of a loan in our multifamily guaranty book of business is $16 million.
•Underwriting process: Multifamily loans require detailed underwriting of the property’s operating cash flow. Our underwriting includes an evaluation of the property’s ability to support the loan, property quality, market and submarket factors, and ability to exit at maturity.
•Term and lifecycle: In contrast to the standard 30-year single-family residential loan, multifamily loans typically have original loan terms between 7 and 15 years, with 10 year terms being the most common.
•Prepayment terms: To protect against prepayments, most multifamily Fannie Mae loans and MBS impose prepayment premiums, primarily yield maintenance, consistent with standard commercial investment terms. This is in contrast to single-family loans, which typically do not have prepayment protection.
Delegated Underwriting and Servicing
Fannie Mae’s DUS program, which was initiated in 1988, is a unique business model in the commercial mortgage industry. Our DUS model aligns the interests of the lender and Fannie Mae. Our current 24-member DUS lender network, which is composed of large financial institutions and independent mortgage lenders, continues to be our principal source of multifamily loan deliveries. DUS lenders are pre-approved and delegated the authority to underwrite and service loans on behalf of Fannie Mae in accordance with our standards and requirements. Delegation permits lenders to respond to customers more rapidly, as the lender generally has the authority to approve a loan within prescribed parameters. Based on a given loan’s unique characteristics and Fannie Mae’s established delegation criteria, lenders assess whether a loan must be reviewed for a decision by Fannie Mae. If review is required, Fannie Mae’s internal credit team will assess the loan’s risk profile to determine if it meets our risk tolerances. DUS lenders are required to share with us the risk of loss over the life of the loan, as discussed in more detail in “Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management.” Since DUS lenders share in the credit risk, the servicing fee to the lenders includes compensation for credit risk.
Multifamily Mortgage Servicing
Multifamily mortgage servicing is typically performed by the lenders who sell mortgages to us. Because of our loss-sharing arrangements with our multifamily lenders, transfers of multifamily servicing rights are infrequent, and we monitor our servicing relationships and enforce our right to approve servicing transfers. As a seller-servicer, the lender is responsible for ongoing evaluation of the financial condition of properties and property owners, administering various types of loan and property-level agreements (including agreements covering replacement reserves, completion or repair, and operations and maintenance), as well as conducting routine property inspections.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 112 |
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| | MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Primary Business Activities |
Multifamily Credit Risk and Credit Loss Management
Our Multifamily business:
•Prices and manages the credit risk on loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business. Lenders retain a portion of the credit risk in most multifamily transactions.
•Enters into transactions that transfer an additional portion of Fannie Mae’s credit risk on some of the loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business through back-end credit risk transfer transactions.
•Works to help maintain the credit quality of the multifamily guaranty book of business, prevents foreclosures through certain loss mitigation strategies such as forbearance or modification, reduces costs of defaulted multifamily loans, manages our REO inventory, and pursues contractual remedies from lenders, servicers, borrowers, and providers of credit enhancement.
See “Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management” for a discussion of our strategies for managing credit risk and credit losses on multifamily loans.
The Multifamily Markets in Which We Operate
In the multifamily mortgage market, we aim to address the rental housing needs of a wide range of the population in markets across the country, with the substantial majority of our focus on supporting rental housing that is affordable to households earning at or below the median income in their area. We serve the market steadily, rather than moving in and out depending on market conditions. Through the secondary mortgage market, we support rental housing for the workforce population, for senior citizens and students, and for households with the greatest economic need. Over 95% of the multifamily units we financed in 2022 that were potentially eligible for housing goals credit were affordable to those earning at or below 120% of the median income in their area, providing support for both workforce housing and affordable housing.
Our Multifamily business is organized and operated as an integrated commercial real estate finance business, addressing the spectrum of multifamily housing finance needs, including the need for smaller multifamily property financing and financing that serves low- and very low-income households.
•To meet the growing need for smaller multifamily property financing, we focus on the acquisition of small multifamily loans, which includes loans of up to $6 million in original unpaid principal balance. As of December 31, 2022, small loans represented 38% of our multifamily guaranty book of business by loan count and 6% based on unpaid principal balance.
•To serve low- and very low-income households, we have a team that focuses exclusively on relationships with lenders financing privately-owned multifamily properties that receive public subsidies in exchange for maintaining long-term affordable rents. We work with borrowers that may utilize housing programs and subsidies provided by local, state and federal agencies; examples include tax incentives (such as those provided through LIHTC or tax abatement) and rent subsidies (such as project-based Section 8 rental assistance or tenant vouchers). The public subsidy programs are largely targeted to provide housing to those earning less than 60% of area median income (as defined by HUD) and are structured to ensure that the low- and very low-income households who benefit from the programs pay no more than 30% of their gross monthly income for rent and utilities. As of December 31, 2022, affordable loans represented approximately 12% of our multifamily guaranty book of business, based on unpaid principal balance, including $7.6 billion in bond credit enhancements.
Our acquisition of loans financing smaller multifamily properties and serving low-and very-low income households help us meet our multifamily housing goals and FHFA’s requirement for us that a portion of our multifamily volume be focused on affordable and underserved markets. We discuss our housing goals in “Business—Legislation and Regulation—GSE-Focused Matters—Housing Goals” and our requirement to focus on affordable and underserved markets in “Multifamily Business Metrics—Multifamily Business Volume Cap.”
Multifamily Lenders and Investors
In support of equitable and sustainable access to quality affordable rental housing across America, our multifamily business works primarily with mortgage banking companies, large diversified financial institutions, and banks. During 2022, our top five multifamily lenders, in the aggregate, accounted for 49% of our multifamily business volume, compared with 46% in 2021. One of our lenders, Walker & Dunlop, accounted for 17% of our 2022 multifamily business volume. No other lender accounted for 10% or more of our multifamily business volume in 2022.
We have a diversified funding base of domestic and international investors. Purchasers of multifamily Fannie Mae MBS include fund managers, commercial banks, pension funds, insurance companies, corporations, state and local
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 113 |
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| | MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Primary Business Activities |
governments, and other municipal authorities. Our Multifamily Connecticut Avenue SecuritiesTM (“MCASTM”) investors include fund managers, hedge funds and insurance companies, while our Multifamily CIRTTM (“MCIRTTM”) transactions are executed with insurers and reinsurers.
Multifamily Competition
Competition to acquire mortgage assets is significantly affected by both our and our competitors’ pricing, credit standards and loan structures, lender preferences, investor demand for our and our competitors’ mortgage-related securities, and actions we take to support affordable multifamily housing. Our competitive environment also may be affected by many other factors, including direction from FHFA; changes in our obligations under our senior preferred stock purchase agreement with Treasury or in our capital requirements; new legislation or regulations applicable to us, our lenders or investors; and digital innovation and disruption in our markets. Our competitive environment in 2022 was largely influenced by FHFA’s requirement that a portion of our new multifamily business be focused on affordable and underserved markets, as well as volatility in overall market conditions. We expect that these factors will continue to influence our competitive landscape.
Our primary competitors for the acquisition of multifamily mortgage assets and issuance of multifamily mortgage-related securities are Freddie Mac, life insurers, U.S. banks and thrifts, other institutional investors, Ginnie Mae and private-label issuers of commercial mortgage-backed securities. See “Business—Conservatorship and Treasury Agreements,” “Business—Legislation and Regulation,” and “Risk Factors” for information on matters that could affect our business and competitive environment.
Multifamily Mortgage Market
Multifamily market fundamentals, which include factors such as vacancy rates and rents, weakened during the fourth quarter of 2022, despite positive job growth and favorable demographics.
•Vacancy rates. Based on preliminary third-party data, we estimate that the national multifamily vacancy rate for institutional investment-type apartment properties was 5.5% as of December 31, 2022, an increase from an estimated 5.0% as of September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021. Although the national multifamily vacancy rate increased to an estimated 5.5%, it remained below its average rate of about 5.8% over the last 15 years.
•Rents. Based on preliminary third-party data, we estimate that effective rents decreased by 0.8% during the fourth quarter of 2022, compared with an increase of 1.0% during the third quarter of 2022 and an increase of 3.0% in the fourth quarter of 2021. As a result, we believe annualized rent growth for 2022 was an estimated 4.8%.
Vacancy rates and rents are important to loan performance because multifamily loans are generally repaid from the cash flows generated by the underlying property. Several years of improvement in these fundamentals have helped to increase property values in most metropolitan areas. Based on preliminary multifamily property sales data, transaction volumes for much of 2022 remained elevated but decreased significantly in the fourth quarter of 2022. Despite this decline in transaction volumes, capitalization rates did not rise but instead have remained stable throughout much of 2022. While total annual multifamily property sales were elevated in 2022, they did not reach 2021 levels, as higher interest rates appear to have contributed to softened investment demand in the multifamily sector.
Multifamily construction underway remains elevated. Preliminary data shows that more than 470,000 multifamily units were delivered in 2022. More than 780,000 multifamily units are slated to be delivered in 2023, which would be a peak over the past 10 years.
Based on a drop-off in rental demand observed during the fourth quarter 2022, coupled with inflation and slowing job growth in December, we believe that the multifamily sector will be impacted by softening demand, leading to higher vacancy levels and stagnant rent growth in 2023.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 114 |
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| | MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Market Activity |
Multifamily Market Activity
We remained a continuous source of liquidity in the multifamily market in 2022. We owned or guaranteed approximately 21% of the outstanding debt on multifamily properties as of September 30, 2022 (the latest date for which information is available).
Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding(1)
(Dollars in trillions)
(1)The mortgage debt outstanding as of September 30, 2022, is based on the Federal Reserve’s December 2022 mortgage debt outstanding release, the latest date for which the Federal Reserve has estimated mortgage debt outstanding for multifamily residences. Prior-period amounts have been updated to reflect revised historical data from the Federal Reserve.
Multifamily Business Metrics
The multifamily loans we acquired in 2022 had a strong overall credit risk profile, consistent with our acquisition policy and standards, which we describe in “Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Multifamily Acquisition Policy and Underwriting Standards.”
Multifamily New Business Volume
(Dollars in billions)
(1)Reflects unpaid principal balance of multifamily Fannie Mae MBS issued, multifamily loans purchased, and credit enhancements provided on multifamily mortgage assets during the period.
(2)Reflects new units financed by first liens; excludes second liens on units for which we had financed the first lien, as well as manufactured housing rentals. Units financed reported for prior periods have been updated in this report to exclude previously included second liens and manufactured housing rentals. Second liens and manufactured housing rentals are included in unpaid principal balance.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 115 |
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| | MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Business Metrics |
Multifamily Business Volume Cap
In November 2022, FHFA announced a 2023 multifamily loan purchase cap of $75 billion for new business volume. This is a reduction from the $78 billion cap applicable for 2022. Consistent with the 2022 cap, a minimum of 50% of our 2023 multifamily loan purchases must be mission-driven, focused on specified affordable and underserved market segments; however, FHFA has revised the multifamily requirements for mission-driven, affordable housing for 2023, including by:
•Removing the requirement that 25% of multifamily loan purchases must be affordable to residents earning 60% or less of area median income to reduce inconsistencies with FHFA’s housing goals; and
•Within the mission-driven eligibility criteria, creating a new category focused on preserving affordability in workforce housing to encourage financing of loans on properties with rent or income restrictions affordable at levels that meet market needs.
Our 2022 multifamily new business volume remained under the cap, and we have met the mission requirements established by FHFA. See “Risk Factors—GSE and Conservatorship Risk” for information on how conservatorship may affect our business activities.
Multifamily Securities Issuances
Our multifamily business securitizes the vast majority of multifamily mortgage loans we acquire through lender swap transactions. We also support liquidity in the market by issuing structured MBS backed by multifamily Fannie Mae MBS, including through our Fannie Mae GeMS program.
Multifamily Fannie Mae MBS Issuances
(Dollars in billions)
(1)A portion of structured securities issuances may be backed by Fannie Mae MBS issued during the same period and held by Fannie Mae. Structured securities backed by Fannie Mae MBS held by a third party are not included in the multifamily Fannie Mae MBS structured security issuance amounts.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 116 |
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| | MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Business Metrics |
Presentation of Our Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business
For purposes of the information reported in this “Multifamily Business” section, we measure our multifamily guaranty book of business using the unpaid principal balance of mortgage loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS. By contrast, the multifamily guaranty book of business presented in the “Composition of Fannie Mae Guaranty Book of Business” table in the “Guaranty Book of Business” section is based on the unpaid principal balance of Fannie Mae MBS outstanding. These amounts differ primarily as a result of payments we receive on underlying loans that have not yet been remitted to the MBS holders.
Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business
(Dollars in billions)
(1)Our multifamily guaranty book of business primarily consists of multifamily mortgage loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS outstanding, multifamily mortgage loans of Fannie Mae held in our retained mortgage portfolio, and other credit enhancements that we provide on multifamily mortgage assets. It does not include non-Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage-related securities held in our retained mortgage portfolio for which we do not provide a guaranty.
Average charged guaranty fee represents our effective revenue rate relative to the size of our multifamily guaranty book of business. Management uses this metric to assess the return we earn as compensation for the multifamily credit risk we manage. Average charged guaranty fee is impacted by the rate at which loans in our book of business turn over as well as the guaranty fees we charge, which are set at the time we acquire the loans. Our multifamily guaranty fee pricing is primarily based on the individual credit risk characteristics of the loans we acquire and the aggregate credit risk characteristics of our multifamily guaranty book of business. Our multifamily guaranty fee pricing is also influenced by external forces such as the availability of other sources of liquidity, our mission-related goals, the FHFA volume cap, interest rates, MBS spreads, and the management of the overall composition of our multifamily guaranty book of business. While our average charged guaranty fee remained flat in 2022 compared with 2021, these internal and external factors may be volatile and therefore lead to variability in our multifamily guaranty fees.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 117 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Business Financial Results |
Multifamily Business Financial Results
This section provides a discussion of the primary components of net income for our Multifamily Business.
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Multifamily Business Financial Results(1) |
| | For the Year Ended December 31, | | Variance |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 | | 2022 vs. 2021 | | 2021 vs. 2020 |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Net interest income | | $ | 4,687 | | | $ | 4,158 | | | $ | 3,364 | | | | $ | 529 | | | | | $ | 794 | | |
Fee and other income | | 88 | | | 92 | | | 94 | | | | (4) | | | | | (2) | | |
Net revenues | | 4,775 | | | 4,250 | | | 3,458 | | | | 525 | | | | | 792 | | |
Fair value gains (losses), net | | (80) | | | (12) | | | 38 | | | | (68) | | | | | (50) | | |
Administrative expenses | | (540) | | | (508) | | | (509) | | | | (32) | | | | | 1 | | |
Benefit (provision) for credit losses | | (1,248) | | | 530 | | | (603) | | | | (1,778) | | | | | 1,133 | | |
Credit enhancement expense(2) | | (261) | | | (239) | | | (220) | | | | (22) | | | | | (19) | | |
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries(3) | | 257 | | | (108) | | | 144 | | | | 365 | | | | | (252) | | |
Other income (expenses), net(4) | | (214) | | | (87) | | | 83 | | | | (127) | | | | | (170) | | |
Income before federal income taxes | | 2,689 | | | 3,826 | | | 2,391 | | | | (1,137) | | | | | 1,435 | | |
Provision for federal income taxes | | (536) | | | (777) | | | (467) | | | | 241 | | | | | (310) | | |
Net income | | $ | 2,153 | | | $ | 3,049 | | | $ | 1,924 | | | | $ | (896) | | | | | $ | 1,125 | | |
(1)See “Note 10, Segment Reporting” for information about our segment allocation methodology.
(2)Primarily consists of costs associated with our MCIRTTM and MCASTM programs as well as amortization expense for certain lender risk-sharing programs.
(3)Consists of change in benefits recognized from our freestanding credit enhancements that primarily relate to our DUS® lender risk-sharing.
(4)Consists of investment gains or losses, foreclosed property income (expense), gains or losses from partnership investments, debt extinguishment gains or losses, and other income or expenses.
Net interest income
| | |
Multifamily net interest income increased in 2022 compared with 2021 primarily due to higher guaranty fee income as a result of an increase in our multifamily guaranty book of business combined with increased interest income earned on our other investments portfolio as a result of the high interest rate environment. |
Multifamily net interest income increased in 2021 compared with 2020 primarily due to higher guaranty fee income as a result of an increase in our multifamily guaranty book of business combined with an increase in average charged guaranty fees and higher yield maintenance revenue related to the prepayment of multifamily loans.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 118 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Business Financial Results |
Benefit (provision) for credit losses
| | |
Provision for credit losses in 2022 was primarily driven by our expectation of increased probability of default and greater expected severity of loss on our seniors housing portfolio, as well as higher actual and projected interest rates.
|
Benefit for credit losses in 2021 was primarily driven by a benefit from actual and projected economic data and lower expected credit losses as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Benefit (provision) for credit losses during the periods were partially offset by changes in expected credit enhancement recoveries, which captures changes to expected benefits from our freestanding credit enhancements. See “Consolidated Results of Operations—Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses” for more information on our multifamily benefit or provision for credit losses. |
Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management
The credit risk profile of a loan in our multifamily guaranty book of business is influenced by:
•the current and anticipated cash flows from the property;
•the type and location of the property;
•the condition and value of the property;
•the financial strength of the borrower;
•market trends; and
•the structure of the financing.
These and other factors affect both the amount of expected credit loss on a given loan and the sensitivity of that loss to changes in the economic environment.
Multifamily Acquisition Policy and Underwriting Standards
Our Multifamily business is responsible for pricing and managing the credit risk on our multifamily guaranty book of business, with oversight from our Enterprise Risk Management division. Multifamily loans that we purchase or that back Fannie Mae MBS are underwritten by a Fannie Mae-approved lender and may be subject to our underwriting review prior to closing, depending on the product type, loan size, market and/or other factors. Our underwriting standards generally include, among other things, property cash flow analysis and third-party appraisals.
Additionally, our standards for multifamily loans specify maximum original LTV ratio and minimum original DSCR values that vary based on loan characteristics. Our experience has been that original LTV ratio and DSCR values have been reliable indicators of future credit performance. At underwriting, we evaluate the DSCR based on both actual and underwritten debt service payments. The original DSCR is calculated using the underwritten debt service payments for the loan, which assumes both principal and interest payments, including stressed assumptions in certain cases, rather than the actual debt service payments. Depending on the loan’s interest rate and structure, using the underwritten debt service payments will often result in a more conservative estimate of the debt service payments (for example, loans with an interest-only period). This approach is used for all loans, including those with full and partial interest-only terms.
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Key Risk Characteristics of Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business |
| As of December 31, |
| 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 |
Weighted-average original LTV ratio | | 64 | % | | | | 65 | % | | | | 66 | % | |
Original LTV ratio greater than 80% | | 1 | | | | | 1 | | | | | 1 | | |
Original DSCR less than or equal to 1.10 | | 12 | | | | | 11 | | | | | 10 | | |
Full term interest-only loans | | 38 | | | | | 33 | | | | | 30 | | |
Partial term interest-only loans(1) | | 49 | | | | | 51 | | | | | 51 | | |
Adjustable-rate mortgages | | 11 | | | | | 9 | | | | | 10 | | |
(1)Consists of mortgage loans that were underwritten with an interest-only term, regardless of whether the loan is currently in its interest-only period.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 119 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
We provide additional information on the credit characteristics of our multifamily loans in quarterly financial supplements, which we furnish to the SEC with current reports on Form 8-K. Information in our quarterly financial supplements is not incorporated by reference into this report.
Transfer of Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk
Lender risk-sharing is a cornerstone of our Multifamily business. We primarily transfer risk through our DUS program, which delegates to DUS lenders the ability to underwrite and service multifamily loans, in accordance with our standards and requirements. DUS lenders receive credit risk-related revenues for their respective portion of credit risk retained, and, in turn, are required to fulfill any loss-sharing obligation. This aligns the interests of the lender and Fannie Mae throughout the life of the loan. We monitor the capital resources and loss-sharing capacity of our DUS lenders on an ongoing basis.
Our DUS model typically results in our lenders sharing approximately one-third of the credit risk on our multifamily loans, either on a pro-rata or tiered basis. Lenders who share on a tiered basis cover loan-level credit losses up to the first 5% of the unpaid principal balance of the loan and then share with us any remaining losses up to a prescribed limit. Loans serviced by DUS lenders and their affiliates represented substantially all of our multifamily guaranty book of business as of December 31, 2022 and 2021. In certain situations, to effectively manage our counterparty risk, we do not allow the lenders to fully share in one-third of the credit risk but have them share in a smaller portion.
While not a large portion of our multifamily guaranty book of business, our non-DUS lenders typically also have lender risk-sharing, where the lenders typically share or absorb losses based on a negotiated percentage of the loan or the pool balance.
These lender risk-sharing agreements not only transfer credit risk, but also better align our interests with those of the lenders. Our maximum potential loss recovery from lenders under current risk-sharing agreements represented over 20% of the unpaid principal balance of our multifamily guaranty book of business as of December 31, 2022 and 2021.
To complement our front-end lender-risk sharing program, we engage in back-end credit risk transfer transactions through our MCIRT and MCAS transactions. Through these transactions, we transfer a portion of the credit risk associated with a reference pool of multifamily mortgage loans to insurers, reinsurers, or investors.
Our back-end multifamily credit-risk sharing transactions were primarily designed to further reduce the capital requirements associated with loans in the reference pool with the related benefit of additional credit risk protection in the event of a stress environment. We transfer multifamily credit risk through lender risk-sharing at the time of acquisition, but our multifamily back-end credit risk transfer activity occurs later, typically up to a year or more after acquisition.
In 2022, we entered into one new credit risk transfer transaction, transferring mortgage credit risk through our MCIRT program. The factors that we expect will affect the extent to which we engage in multifamily credit risk transfer transactions in the future and the structure of those transactions include our risk appetite, future market conditions, the cost of the transactions, FHFA guidance or requirements (including FHFA’s scorecard), the capital relief provided by the transactions, and our overall business and capital plans.
The table below displays the total unpaid principal balance of multifamily loans and the percentage of our multifamily guaranty book of business, based on unpaid principal balance, that is covered by a back-end credit risk transfer transaction. The table does not reflect front-end lender risk-sharing arrangements, as only a small portion of our multifamily guaranty book of business is not covered by these arrangements.
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Multifamily Loans in Back-End Credit Risk Transfer Transactions |
| As of December 31, |
| 2022 | | 2021 |
| | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business | | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business |
| (Dollars in millions) |
MCIRT | | $ | 87,682 | | | 20 | % | | $ | 84,894 | | | 20 | % |
MCAS | | 25,071 | | | 6 | | | 27,088 | | | 7 | |
Total | | $ | 112,753 | | | 26 | % | | $ | 111,982 | | | 27 | % |
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 120 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Multifamily Portfolio Diversification and Monitoring
Diversification within our multifamily guaranty book of business by geographic concentration, term to maturity, interest rate structure, borrower concentration, loan size, property type, and credit enhancement coverage are important factors that influence credit performance and may help reduce our credit risk.
As part of our ongoing credit risk management process, we and our lenders monitor the performance and risk characteristics of our multifamily loans and the underlying properties on an ongoing basis throughout the loan term at the asset and portfolio level. We require lenders to provide quarterly and annual financial updates for the loans for which we are contractually entitled to receive such information. We closely monitor loans with an estimated current DSCR below 1.0, as that is an indicator of heightened default risk. The percentage of loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business, calculated based on unpaid principal balance, with a current DSCR less than 1.0 was approximately 3% as of December 31, 2022 and 2% as of December 31, 2021. Our estimates of current DSCRs are based on the financial statements for the included properties, including the related debt service.
We monitor and manage changes in interest rates, which can impact multiple aspects of our multifamily loans. Interest rates increased significantly during 2022 and may increase further. Increases in interest rates may reduce the ability of multifamily borrowers to refinance their loans, which often have balloon balances at maturity. We have a team that proactively manages upcoming loan maturities to minimize losses on maturing loans. This team assists lenders and borrowers with timely and appropriate refinancing of maturing loans with the goal of reducing defaults and foreclosures related to these loans.
Additionally, in a rising interest rate environment, multifamily borrowers with adjustable-rate mortgages may have difficulty paying higher monthly payments if property net operating income is not increasing at a similar pace. We generally require multifamily borrowers with adjustable-rate mortgages to purchase interest rate caps to protect against large movements in rates. A cap must be in place at the initial closing of the loan, and escrows are established and structured to provide for the replacement of the initial cap at its maturity, typically in 2 to 3 years. Purchasing or replacing required interest rate caps, especially those with longer terms and/or lower strike rates, becomes more expensive as interest rates rise. As a result, the cost of interest rate caps has increased substantially in recent months.
In addition to the factors discussed above, we track the following credit risk characteristics to determine loan credit quality indicators, which are the internal risk categories we use and which are further discussed in “Note 3, Mortgage Loans”:
•the physical condition of the property;
•delinquency status;
•the relevant local market and economic conditions that may signal changing risk or return profiles; and
•other risk factors.
For example, we closely monitor rental payment trends and vacancy levels in local markets, as well as capitalization rates, to identify loans that merit closer attention or loss mitigation actions. The primary asset management responsibilities for our multifamily loans are performed by our DUS and other multifamily lenders. We periodically evaluate these lenders’ performance for compliance with our asset management criteria.
We also monitor for risks manifesting within specific property types. A property type we are monitoring closely is seniors housing; in our multifamily book of business, this primarily includes independent living and assisted living facilities that may have a limited portion of their capacity devoted to memory care. Seniors housing loans constituted 4% of our multifamily guaranty book of business as of December 31, 2022, based on unpaid principal balance. Seniors housing properties have been disproportionately affected by the COVID-19 pandemic and economic trends. While beginning to recover from the peak of the pandemic, vacancy rates in seniors housing continue to be elevated compared to pre-pandemic levels. These properties also have higher operating expenses than conventional multifamily properties due to specialized labor and stricter post-pandemic operating protocols. These costs have increased further due to higher inflation in recent periods. In combination, these factors have resulted in lower property operating income for seniors housing properties, which in turn has negatively impacted estimated property values. Moreover, 39% of the seniors housing loans in our multifamily guaranty book as of December 31, 2022 were adjustable-rate mortgages, compared with 11% for our entire multifamily guaranty book of business. The increase in short-term interest rates has further increased costs for those borrowers, including both higher monthly payments, which reduce debt service coverage, and the higher cost to maintain required interest rate caps to protect against large interest rate movements.
While nearly all seniors housing loans in our guaranty book of business were current on their payments as of December 31, 2022, a select number of seniors housing loan borrowers notified us in the fourth quarter of 2022 about the negative impact of recent market conditions on their ability to continue to meet their loan payment obligations in the future. We
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 121 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
continue to monitor the seniors housing portfolio closely and actively manage loans that may be at risk of further deterioration or default.
As a result of the recent market conditions impacting this portfolio, as described further in “Consolidated Results of Operations—Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses,” we recognized approximately $900 million in provision on our seniors housing portfolio in 2022 to reflect the increased probability of default and greater expected severity of loss on the seniors housing portfolio.
Multifamily Problem Loan Management and Foreclosure Prevention
In addition to the credit performance information on our multifamily loans provided below, we provide additional information about the performance of our multifamily loans that back MBS and whole loan REMICs in the “Data Collections” section of our DUS Disclose® tool, available at www.fanniemae.com/dusdisclose. Information on our website is not incorporated into this report.
We periodically refine our underwriting standards in response to market conditions and employ proactive portfolio management and monitoring which are each designed to keep credit losses and delinquencies to a low level relative to our multifamily guaranty book of business.
Delinquency Statistics on our Multifamily Problem Loans
The percentage of our multifamily loans classified as substandard increased to 5.4% of our multifamily guaranty book of business as of December 31, 2022, compared with 4.6% as of December 31, 2021. Substandard loans are loans that have a well-defined weakness that could impact their timely full repayment. While the majority of the substandard loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business are currently making timely payments, we continue to monitor the performance of our substandard loan population. Loans classified as substandard increased as of December 31, 2022 compared to December 31, 2021, primarily as a result of an increase in the number of properties reporting low DSCRs in their latest operating statement. This increase was largely driven by seniors housing loans, which were impacted by the factors described in “Multifamily Portfolio Diversification and Monitoring” above. For more information on our credit quality indicators, including our population of substandard loans, see “Note 3, Mortgage Loans.”
Our multifamily serious delinquency rate decreased to 0.24% as of December 31, 2022, compared with 0.42% as of December 31, 2021, primarily as a result of loans that received forbearance resolving their delinquency through completion of their repayment plans or otherwise reinstating. Our multifamily serious delinquency rate consists of multifamily loans that were 60 days or more past due based on unpaid principal balance, expressed as a percentage of our multifamily guaranty book of business. The percentage of loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business that were 180 days or more delinquent was 0.15% as of December 31, 2022 compared with 0.23% as of December 31, 2021. Our multifamily serious delinquency rate could increase as a result of an increase in seniors housing loans in our guaranty book of business, especially those that are rated substandard, becoming delinquent.
Management monitors the multifamily serious delinquency rate as an indicator of potential future credit losses and loss mitigation activities. Serious delinquency rates are reflective of our performance in assessing and managing credit risk associated with multifamily loans in our guaranty book of business. Typically, higher serious delinquency rates result in a higher allowance for loan losses.
Multifamily Loan Forbearance
As of December 31, 2022, there were 13 multifamily loans with an unpaid principal balance of $41 million in active forbearance, compared with 22 loans with an unpaid principal balance of $363 million as of December 31, 2021. Most of our multifamily loans in active forbearance as of December 31, 2022 were granted forbearance at their maturity date to allow for additional time to refinance. The decrease in the number of multifamily loans in forbearance was primarily due to loans resolving their forbearance arrangement, including those that entered a repayment plan.
Multifamily REO Management
The number of multifamily foreclosed properties held for sale was 28 properties with a carrying value of $278 million as of December 31, 2022, compared with 31 properties with a carrying value of $302 million as of December 31, 2021.
Other Multifamily Credit Information
Multifamily Credit Loss Performance Metrics
The amount of multifamily credit loss or income we realize in a given period is driven by foreclosures, pre-foreclosure sales, REO activity and write-offs, net of recoveries. Our multifamily credit loss performance metrics are not defined terms and may not be calculated in the same manner as similarly titled measures reported by other companies. We believe our multifamily credit losses and our multifamily credit losses, net of freestanding loss-sharing arrangements,
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 122 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
may be useful to stakeholders because they display our credit losses in the context of our multifamily guaranty book of business, including changes to the benefit we expect to receive from loss-sharing arrangements. Management views multifamily credit losses, net of freestanding loss-sharing arrangements as a key metric related to our multifamily business model and our strategy to share multifamily credit risk.
The table below displays the components of our multifamily credit loss performance metrics, as well as our multifamily initial write-off severity rate and write-off loan count. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Multifamily Credit Loss Performance Metrics |
| | For the Year Ended December 31, | |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 |
| | (Dollars in millions) | |
Write-offs(1) | | $ | (43) | | | | $ | (59) | | | | $ | (136) | | |
Recoveries | | 23 | | | | 49 | | | | 1 | | |
Foreclosed property expense | | (40) | | | | (19) | | | | (20) | | |
Credit losses | | (60) | | | | (29) | | | | (155) | | |
Change in expected benefits from freestanding loss-sharing arrangements(2) | | (2) | | | | 21 | | | | 21 | | |
Credit losses, net of freestanding loss-sharing arrangements | | $ | (62) | | | | $ | (8) | | | | $ | (134) | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
Credit loss ratio (in bps)(3) | | (1.4) | | | | (0.7) | | | | (4.3) | | |
Credit loss ratio, net of freestanding loss-sharing arrangements (in bps)(2)(3) | | (1.5) | | | | (0.2) | | | | (3.7) | | |
Multifamily initial write-off severity rate(4) | | 5 | | % | | 13 | | % | | 23 | | % |
Multifamily write-off loan count | | 9 | | | | 26 | | | | 11 | | |
(1)Write-offs associated with non-REO sales are net of loss sharing.
(2)Represents changes to the benefit we expect to receive only from write-offs as a result of certain freestanding loss-sharing arrangements, primarily multifamily DUS lender risk-sharing transactions. Changes to the expected benefits we will receive are recorded in “Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries” in our consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income.
(3)Calculated based on the amount of “Credit losses” and “Credit losses, net of freestanding loss-sharing arrangements,” divided by the average multifamily guaranty book of business during the period.
(4)Rate is calculated as the initial write-off amount divided by the average defaulted unpaid principal balance. The rate excludes write-offs not associated with foreclosures or other liquidation events (such as a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure or a short-sale) and any costs, gains or losses associated with REO after initial acquisition through final disposition. Write-offs are net of lender loss-sharing agreements.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 123 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Multifamily Maturity Information
The below table shows the contractual maturities and interest rate sensitivities of our multifamily mortgage loan portfolio as recorded on our consolidated balance sheets. Although loans in our consolidated portfolio have varying contractual terms, the actual life of the loans may be less than their contractual term as a result of prepayment.
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Multifamily Loans: Maturities and Terms of the Consolidated Mortgage Loan Portfolio(1) |
| As of December 31, 2022 |
| | Due within 1 year | | Greater than 1 year but within 5 years | | Greater than 5 years but within 15 years | | Greater than 15 years | | Total |
| (Dollars in millions) |
Multifamily mortgage loan portfolio:(2) | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Loans held for investment: | | | | | | | | | | |
Of Fannie Mae | | $ | 135 | | | $ | 574 | | | $ | 192 | | | $ | 26 | | | $ | 927 | |
Of consolidated trusts | | 8,830 | | | 105,303 | | | 309,693 | | | 6,801 | | | 430,627 | |
Total unpaid principal balance of multifamily mortgage loans | | 8,965 | | | 105,877 | | | 309,885 | | | 6,827 | | | 431,554 | |
Cost basis adjustments, net | | | | | | | | | | (239) | |
Total multifamily mortgage loans(2) | | $ | 8,965 | | | $ | 105,877 | | | $ | 309,885 | | | $ | 6,827 | | | $ | 431,315 | |
Multifamily mortgage loan portfolio by interest rate sensitivity: | | | | | | |
Fixed-rate | | $ | 8,553 | | | $ | 94,393 | | | $ | 279,733 | | | $ | 6,670 | | | $ | 389,349 | |
Adjustable-rate | | 412 | | | 11,484 | | | 30,152 | | | 157 | | | 42,205 | |
Total unpaid principal balance of multifamily mortgage loans | | $ | 8,965 | | | $ | 105,877 | | | $ | 309,885 | | | $ | 6,827 | | | $ | 431,554 | |
(1)We report the scheduled repayments in the maturity category in which the payment is due, such that a loan’s balance may be presented across multiple maturity categories.
(2)Excludes accrued interest receivable. The unpaid principal balance of multifamily loans is based on the amount of contractual unpaid principal balance due and excludes any write-offs for amounts deemed uncollectible. Those write-offs are presented as a component of cost basis adjustments, net.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 124 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Credit Ratios and Select Credit Information |
Consolidated Credit Ratios and Select Credit Information
The table below displays select credit ratios on our single-family conventional guaranty book of business and our multifamily guaranty book of business, as well as the inputs used in calculating these ratios.
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Consolidated Credit Ratios and Select Credit Information |
| | As of |
| | December 31, 2022 | | December 31, 2021 |
| | Single-family | | Multifamily | | Total | | Single-family | | Multifamily | | Total |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Credit loss reserves as a percentage of: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Guaranty book of business | | 0.26 | | % | | 0.43 | | % | | 0.28 | | % | | 0.15 | | % | | 0.17 | | % | | 0.15 | | % |
Nonaccrual loans at amortized cost | | 90.69 | | | | 86.86 | | | | 90.03 | | | | 25.63 | | | | 54.49 | | | | 27.35 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Nonaccrual loans as a percentage of: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Guaranty book of business | | 0.29 | | % | | 0.50 | | % | | 0.31 | | % | | 0.57 | | % | | 0.30 | | % | | 0.54 | | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Select financial information used in calculating credit ratios: | | |
Credit loss reserves(1) | | $ | (9,554) | | | | $ | (1,911) | | | | $ | (11,465) | | | | $ | (5,088) | | | | $ | (686) | | | | $ | (5,774) | | |
Guaranty book of business(2) | | 3,635,237 | | | | 440,424 | | | | 4,075,661 | | | | 3,483,054 | | | | 413,090 | | | | 3,896,144 | | |
Nonaccrual loans at amortized cost | | 10,535 | | | | 2,200 | | | | 12,735 | | | | 19,851 | | | | 1,259 | | | | 21,110 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Components of credit loss reserves: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Allowance for loan losses | | $ | (9,443) | | | | $ | (1,904) | | | | $ | (11,347) | | | | $ | (4,950) | | | | $ | (679) | | | | $ | (5,629) | | |
Allowance for accrued interest receivable | | (111) | | | | — | | | | (111) | | | | (138) | | | | (2) | | | | (140) | | |
Reserve for guaranty losses(3) | | — | | | | (7) | | | | (7) | | | | — | | | | (5) | | | | (5) | | |
Total credit loss reserves(1) | | $ | (9,554) | | | | $ | (1,911) | | | | $ | (11,465) | | | | $ | (5,088) | | | | $ | (686) | | | | $ | (5,774) | | |
(1)Our multifamily credit loss reserves exclude the expected benefit of freestanding credit enhancements on multifamily loans of $492 million as of December 31, 2022 and $235 million as of December 31, 2021, which are recorded in “Other assets” in our consolidated balance sheets.
(2)Represents conventional guaranty book of business for single-family.
(3)Reserve for guaranty losses is recorded in “Other liabilities” in our consolidated balance sheets.
Our single-family nonaccrual loans decreased as of December 31, 2022 compared with December 31, 2021 primarily as a result of loan modifications, as borrowers continued to exit forbearance. Modifications bring a loan current and, for single-family loans, generally require completion of a trial period of three to four months.
Our credit loss reserves increased as of December 31, 2022 compared with December 31, 2021 primarily as a result of a provision for credit losses, which we describe in “Consolidated Results of Operations—Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses.”
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 125 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Credit Ratios and Select Credit Information |
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Consolidated Write-off Ratio and Select Credit Information | | | | | | | | | |
| | For the Year Ended December 31, | | | |
| | 2022 | | 2021 | 2020 | | | |
| | Single-family | | Multifamily | | Total | | Single-family | | Multifamily | | Total | | Single-family | | Multifamily | | Total | | | |
| | (Dollars in millions) | | | |
Select credit ratio: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Write-offs, net of recoveries annualized, as a percentage of the average guaranty book of business (in bps) | | 1.7 | | | 0.5 | | | 1.6 | | | * | | 0.2 | | | * | | 1.2 | | 3.7 | | 1.4 | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Select financial information used in calculating credit ratio: | | |
Write-offs | | $ | 890 | | | $ | 43 | | | $ | 933 | | | $ | 423 | | | $ | 59 | | | $ | 482 | | | $ | 468 | | | $ | 136 | | | $ | 604 | | | | |
Recoveries | | (288) | | | (23) | | | (311) | | | (430) | | | (49) | | | (479) | | | (111) | | | (1) | | | (112) | | | | |
Write-offs, net of recoveries | | $ | 602 | | | $ | 20 | | | $ | 622 | | | $ | (7) | | | $ | 10 | | | $ | 3 | | | $ | 357 | | | $ | 135 | | | $ | 492 | | | | |
Average guaranty book of business(1) | | 3,585,714 | | | 425,695 | | | 4,011,409 | | | 3,351,036 | | | 401,358 | | | 3,752,394 | | | 3,060,384 | | | 358,673 | | | 3,419,057 | | | | |
* Represents less than 0.05 bps.
(1)Average guaranty book of business is based on quarter-end balances.
For discussion on the drivers of single-family write-offs, see “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Problem Loan Management—Single-Family Credit Loss Metrics and Loan Sale Performance.”
Liquidity and Capital Management Liquidity Management
Our business activities require that we maintain adequate liquidity to fund our operations. Our liquidity risk management requirements are designed to address our liquidity and funding risk, which is the risk that we will not be able to meet our obligations when they come due, including the risk associated with the inability to access funding sources or manage fluctuations in funding levels. Liquidity and funding risk management involves forecasting funding requirements, maintaining sufficient capacity to meet our needs based on our ongoing assessment of financial market liquidity and adhering to our regulatory requirements.
Primary Sources and Uses of Funds
Our liquidity depends largely on our ability to issue debt in the capital markets, including both corporate debt and sales of our MBS securities. We believe that our status as a government-sponsored enterprise and continued federal government support are essential to maintaining our access to the debt markets. Substantially all of our sources and uses of funds identified below are both short-term and long-term in nature.
Our primary sources of cash include:
•issuance of long-term and short-term corporate debt;
•proceeds from the sale of mortgage-related securities, mortgage loans and other investments portfolio, including proceeds from sales of foreclosed real estate assets;
•principal and interest payments received on mortgage loans, mortgage-related securities and non-mortgage investments we own;
•guaranty fees received on Fannie Mae MBS, including the TCCA fees collected by us on behalf of Treasury;
•payments received from mortgage insurance counterparties and other providers of credit enhancement; and
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 126 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
•borrowings we may make under a secured intraday funding line of credit or against mortgage-related securities and other investment securities we hold pursuant to repurchase agreements and loan agreements.
Our primary uses of funds include:
•the repayment of matured, redeemed and repurchased debt;
•the purchase of mortgage loans (including delinquent loans from MBS trusts), mortgage-related securities and other investments;
•interest payments on outstanding debt;
•administrative expenses;
•losses, including advances for past due principal and interest, incurred in connection with our Fannie Mae MBS guaranty obligations;
•payments of federal income taxes;
•payments of TCCA fees to Treasury; and
•payments associated with our credit risk transfer programs.
Liquidity and Funding Risk Management Practices and Contingency Planning
Many factors, both internal and external to our business, could influence our debt activity, affect the amount, mix and cost of our debt funding, reduce demand for our debt securities, increase our liquidity or roll over risk, or otherwise have a material adverse impact on our liquidity position, including:
•changes or perceived changes in federal government support of our business or our debt securities;
•changes in or the elimination of our status as a government-sponsored enterprise;
•actions taken by FHFA, the Federal Reserve, Treasury or other government agencies;
•legislation relating to us or our business;
•a change or perceived change in the creditworthiness of the U.S. government, due to our reliance on the U.S. government’s support;
•a U.S. government payment default on its debt obligations;
•a downgrade in the credit ratings of our senior unsecured debt or the U.S. government’s debt from the major ratings organizations;
•future changes or disruptions in the financial markets;
•a systemic event leading to the withdrawal of liquidity from the market;
•an extreme market-wide widening of credit spreads;
•public statements by key policy makers;
•a significant decline in our net worth;
•potential investor concerns about the adequacy of funding available to us under or about changes to the senior preferred stock purchase agreement;
•loss of demand for our debt, or certain types of our debt from a significant number of investors;
•a significant credit or operational event involving one of our major institutional counterparties; or
•a sudden catastrophic operational failure in the financial sector.
See “Risk Factors” for a discussion of the risks we face relating to:
•the uncertain future of our company;
•our reliance on the issuance of debt securities to obtain funds for our operations and the relative cost to obtain these funds;
•our liquidity contingency plans;
•our credit ratings; and
•other factors that could adversely affect our ability to obtain adequate debt funding or otherwise negatively impact our liquidity, including the factors listed above.
Also see “Business—Conservatorship and Treasury Agreements—Treasury Agreements.”
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 127 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
We maintain a liquidity management framework and conduct liquidity contingency planning to prepare for an event in which our access to the unsecured debt markets becomes limited.
Our liquidity requirements have four components we must meet:
•a short-term cash flow metric that requires us to meet our expected cash outflows and continue to provide liquidity to the market over a 30-day period of stress, plus an additional $10 billion buffer;
•an intermediate cash flow metric that requires us to meet our expected cash outflows and continue to provide liquidity to the market over a 365-day period of stress;
•a specified minimum long-term debt to less-liquid asset ratio. Less-liquid assets are those that are not eligible to be pledged as collateral to Fixed Income Clearing Corporation; and
•a requirement that we fund our assets with liabilities that have a specified minimum term relative to the term of the assets.
As of December 31, 2022, we were in compliance with these requirements.
We run routine operational testing of our ability to rely upon mortgage and U.S. Treasury collateral to obtain financing. We enter into relatively small repurchase agreements in order to confirm that we have the operational and systems capability to do so. In addition, we have provided collateral in advance to clearing banks in the event we seek to enter into repurchase agreements in the future. We do not, however, have committed repurchase agreements with specific counterparties, as historically we have not relied on this form of funding. As a result, our use of such facilities and our ability to enter into them in significant dollar amounts may be challenging in a stressed market environment. See “Other Investments Portfolio” for further discussions of our alternative sources of liquidity if our access to the debt markets were to become limited.
While our liquidity contingency planning attempts to address stressed market conditions and our status in conservatorship, we believe those plans could be difficult or impossible to execute under stressed conditions for a company of our size in our circumstances. See “Risk Factors—Liquidity and Funding Risk” for a description of the risks associated with our ability to fund operations and our liquidity contingency planning.
Debt Funding
We separately present the debt from consolidations (“Debt of consolidated trusts”) and the debt issued by us (“Debt of Fannie Mae”) in our consolidated balance sheets. This discussion regarding debt funding focuses on the debt of Fannie Mae. In addition to MBS issuances, we fund our business through the issuance of a variety of short-term and long-term debt securities in the domestic and international capital markets. Accordingly, we are subject to “roll over,” or refinancing, risk on our outstanding debt.
Our debt securities are actively traded in the over-the-counter market. We have a diversified funding base of domestic and international investors. Purchasers of our debt securities are geographically diversified and include fund managers, commercial banks, pension funds, insurance companies, foreign central banks, corporations, state and local governments, and other municipal authorities. We compete for low-cost debt funding with institutions that hold mortgage portfolios, including Freddie Mac and the FHLBs.
Our debt funding needs and debt funding activity may vary from period to period depending on market conditions, including refinance volumes, our capital and liquidity management, and the size of our retained mortgage portfolio. See “Retained Mortgage Portfolio” for information about our retained mortgage portfolio and limits on its size.
Our debt limit under our senior preferred stock purchase agreement with Treasury decreased from $300 billion to $270 billion as of December 31, 2022. The unpaid principal balance of our aggregate indebtedness was $139.3 billion as of December 31, 2022. Pursuant to the terms of the senior preferred stock purchase agreement, we are prohibited from issuing debt without the prior consent of Treasury if it would result in our aggregate indebtedness exceeding our outstanding debt limit. The calculation of our indebtedness for purposes of complying with our debt limit reflects the unpaid principal balance and excludes debt basis adjustments and debt of consolidated trusts.
Outstanding Debt
Total outstanding debt of Fannie Mae includes short-term and long-term debt and excludes debt of consolidated trusts. Short-term debt of Fannie Mae consists of borrowings with an original contractual maturity of one year or less and, therefore, does not include the current portion of long-term debt. Long-term debt of Fannie Mae consists of borrowings with an original contractual maturity of greater than one year.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 128 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
The following chart and table display information on our outstanding short-term and long-term debt based on original contractual maturity. Our long-term debt continued to decrease in 2022 as our funding needs remained low and were primarily satisfied through cash and other liquid assets that accumulated in prior periods, as well as earnings retained from our operations. As a result, we did not replace all the long-term debt that matured during the year.
Debt of Fannie Mae1
(Dollars in billions)
(1)Outstanding debt balance consists of the unpaid principal balance, premiums and discounts, fair value adjustments, hedge-related basis adjustments and other cost basis adjustments. Reported amounts include net discount unamortized cost basis adjustments and fair value adjustments of $5.1 billion and $1.6 billion as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
(2)Short-term debt was $10.2 billion and $2.8 billion as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
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Selected Debt Information |
| | | | As of December 31, |
| | | | 2022 | | 2021 |
| | | | (Dollars in billions) |
Selected Weighted-Average Interest Rates(1) | | | | | | |
Interest rate on short-term debt | | | | 3.93 | % | | 0.03 | % |
Interest rate on long-term debt, including portion maturing within one year | | | | 2.23 | | | 1.55 | |
Interest rate on callable debt | | | | 1.79 | | | 1.44 | |
Selected Maturity Data | | | | | | |
Weighted-average maturity of debt maturing within one year (in days) | | | | 156 | | | 109 | |
Weighted-average maturity of debt maturing in more than one year (in months) | | | | 52 | | | 57 | |
Other Data | | | | | | |
Outstanding callable debt(2) | | | | $ | 43.3 | | | $ | 47.0 | |
Connecticut Avenue Securities debt(3) | | | | 5.2 | | | 11.2 | |
(1)Excludes the effects of fair value adjustments and hedge-related basis adjustments.
(2)Includes short-term callable debt of $590 million as of December 31, 2022. We had no short-term callable debt as of December 31, 2021.
(3)Represents CAS debt issued prior to November 2018. See “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk—Credit Risk Transfer Transactions” for information regarding our Connecticut Avenue Securities.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 129 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
We intend to repay our short-term and long-term debt obligations as they become due primarily through cash from business operations, the sale of other liquid assets and the issuance of additional debt securities.
For information on the maturity profile of our outstanding long-term debt for each of the years 2023 through 2027 and thereafter, see “Note 7, Short-Term and Long-Term Debt.”
Debt Funding Activity
The table below displays activity in debt of Fannie Mae. This activity excludes the debt of consolidated trusts and intraday borrowing. The reported amounts of debt issued and paid off during each period represent the face amount of the debt at issuance and redemption.
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Activity in Debt of Fannie Mae |
| For the Year Ended December 31, |
| 2022 | | 2021 | | 2020 |
| (Dollars in millions) |
Issued during the period: | | | | | |
Short-term: | | | | | |
Amount | $ | 137,310 | | | $ | 122,819 | | | $ | 194,604 | |
Weighted-average interest rate(1) | 1.56 | % | | 0.01 | % | | 1.04 | % |
Long-term:(2) | | | | | |
Amount | $ | 1,961 | | | $ | 2,815 | | | $ | 198,528 | |
Weighted-average interest rate | 3.54 | % | | 0.59 | % | | 0.52 | % |
Total issued: | | | | | |
Amount | $ | 139,271 | | | $ | 125,634 | | | $ | 393,132 | |
Weighted-average interest rate | 1.59 | % | | 0.03 | % | | 0.77 | % |
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Paid off during the period:(3) | | | | | |
Short-term: | | | | | |
Amount | $ | 129,877 | | | $ | 132,199 | | | $ | 209,595 | |
Weighted-average interest rate(1) | 1.26 | % | | 0.02 | % | | 1.09 | % |
Long-term:(2) | | | | | |
Amount | $ | 72,570 | | | $ | 80,938 | | | $ | 76,308 | |
Weighted-average interest rate | 1.35 | % | | 0.75 | % | | 1.77 | % |
Total paid off: | | | | | |
Amount | $ | 202,447 | | | $ | 213,137 | | | $ | 285,903 | |
Weighted-average interest rate | 1.29 | % | | 0.30 | % | | 1.27 | % |
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(1)Includes interest generated from negative interest rates on certain repurchase agreements, which offset our short-term funding costs.
(2)Includes credit risk-sharing securities issued as CAS debt prior to November 2018. For information on our credit risk transfer transactions, see “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk—Credit Risk Transfer Transactions.”
(3)Consists of all payments on debt, including regularly scheduled principal payments, payments at maturity, payments resulting from calls and payments for any other repurchases. Repurchases of debt and early retirements of zero-coupon debt are reported at original face value, which does not equal the amount of actual cash payment.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
We enter into certain business arrangements to facilitate our statutory purpose of providing liquidity to the secondary mortgage market and to reduce our exposure to interest rate fluctuations. Some of these arrangements are not recorded in our consolidated balance sheets or may be recorded in amounts different from the full contract or notional amount of the transaction, depending on the nature or structure of, and the accounting required to be applied to, the arrangement. These arrangements are commonly referred to as “off-balance sheet arrangements” and expose us to potential losses in excess of the amounts recorded in our consolidated balance sheets.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 130 |
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Our off-balance sheet arrangements result primarily from the following:
•our guaranty of mortgage loan securitization and resecuritization transactions over which we have no control, which are reflected in our unconsolidated Fannie Mae MBS net of any beneficial ownership interest we retain, and other financial guarantees that we do not control;
•liquidity support transactions; and
•partnership interests.
The total amount of our off-balance sheet exposure related to unconsolidated Fannie Mae MBS net of any beneficial interest that we retain, and other financial guarantees was $246.7 billion as of December 31, 2022 and $226.4 billion as of December 31, 2021. The majority of the other financial guarantees consists of Freddie Mac securities backing Fannie Mae structured securities. See “Guaranty Book of Business” and “Note 6, Financial Guarantees” for more information regarding our maximum exposure to loss on unconsolidated Fannie Mae MBS and Freddie Mac securities.
Our total outstanding liquidity commitments to advance funds for securities backed by multifamily housing revenue bonds totaled $4.8 billion as of December 31, 2022 and $5.4 billion as of December 31, 2021. These commitments require us to advance funds to third parties that enable them to repurchase tendered bonds or securities that are unable to be remarketed. We hold cash and cash equivalents in our other investments portfolio in excess of these commitments to advance funds.
We make investments in various limited partnerships and similar legal entities, which consist of low-income housing tax credit investments, community investments and other entities. When we do not have a controlling financial interest in those entities, our consolidated balance sheets reflect only our investment rather than the full amount of the partnership’s assets and liabilities. See “Note 2, Consolidations and Transfers of Financial Assets—Unconsolidated VIEs” for information regarding our limited partnerships and similar legal entities.
Equity Funding
At this time, as a result of the covenants under the senior preferred stock purchase agreement, Treasury’s ownership of the warrant to purchase up to 79.9% of the total shares of our common stock outstanding and the uncertainty regarding our future, we do not have access to equity funding except through draws under the senior preferred stock purchase agreement. For a description of the funding available and the covenants under the senior preferred stock purchase agreement, see “Business—Conservatorship and Treasury Agreements—Treasury Agreements.”
Contractual Obligations
We have contractual obligations that affect our liquidity and capital resource requirements. These contractual obligations primarily consist of debt obligations (and associated interest payment obligations) and mortgage purchase commitments recognized on our consolidated balance sheet.
•For information about the amounts, maturities and contractual interest rates of our obligations related to debt, see “Note 7, Short-Term and Long-Term Debt.”
•For information about our mortgage purchase commitments, leases and other purchase obligations, see “Note 16, Commitments and Contingencies.”
Our contractual obligations also include $1.9 billion in cash received as collateral and future cash payments due under our unconditional and legally binding obligations to fund low-income housing tax credit partnership investments and other partnerships. These amounts are recognized on our consolidated balance sheets under “Other liabilities.”
In addition, our short- and long-term liquidity and capital resource needs may be affected by our contractual obligations to make the payments listed below. The amounts of these payments are uncertain and will depend on future events:
•payments on our obligations to stand ready to perform under our guarantees relating to Fannie Mae MBS and other financial guarantees, including Fannie Mae commingled structured securities. The amount and timing of payments under these arrangements are generally contingent upon the occurrence of future events. For a description of the amount of our on- and off-balance sheet Fannie Mae MBS and other financial guarantees as of December 31, 2022, see “Guaranty Book of Business” and “Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements;”
•payments associated with our CIRT, CAS REMIC, MCAS, and CAS CLN transactions, the amount and timing of which are contingent upon the occurrence of future credit and prepayment events for the related reference pool of mortgage loans. For further details on these transactions, please see “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk—Categories of Our Credit Risk Transfer Transactions” and “Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Transfer of Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk;” and
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 131 |
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•payments related to our interest-rate risk management derivatives that may require cash settlement in future periods, the amount and timing of which depend on changes in interest rates. For further details on these transactions, please see “Note 8, Derivative Instruments.”
Other Investments Portfolio
The chart below displays information on the composition of our other investments portfolio. The balance of our other investments portfolio fluctuates as a result of changes in our cash flows, liquidity in the fixed-income markets, and our liquidity risk management framework and practices. Our other investments portfolio decreased during 2022 primarily as a result of declines in our corporate debt due to maturities, which reduced the balances available for investment. Additionally, we used cash and other liquid assets to fund our operations during 2022.
In the first quarter of 2021, we began to invest funds held by consolidated trusts directly in eligible short-term third-party investments. As the funds underlying these investments are restricted per the trust agreements, these securities are not considered in our sources of liquidity and are excluded from our other investments portfolio. Prior to this change, funds held by consolidated trusts were invested in Fannie Mae short-term debt, as allowed by the trust agreements. Those unrestricted proceeds were then invested in short-term investments, which were included in our other investments portfolio. This change did not materially alter our liquidity position.
Other Investments Portfolio
(Dollars in billions)
(1)Cash equivalents are composed of overnight repurchase agreements and U.S. Treasuries that have a maturity at the date of acquisition of three months or less.
Credit Ratings
Our credit ratings from the major credit ratings organizations, as well as the credit ratings of the U.S. government, are primary factors that could affect our ability to access the capital markets and our cost of funds. In addition, our credit ratings are important when we seek to engage in certain long-term transactions, such as derivative transactions. S&P, Moody’s and Fitch have all indicated that, if they were to lower the sovereign credit ratings on the U.S., they would likely lower their ratings on the debt of Fannie Mae and certain other government-related entities. In addition, actions by governmental entities impacting Treasury’s support for our business or our debt securities could adversely affect the credit ratings of our senior unsecured debt. See “Risk Factors—Liquidity and Funding Risk” for a discussion of the risks to our business relating to a decrease in our credit ratings, which could include an increase in our borrowing costs, limits on our ability to issue debt, and additional collateral requirements under our derivatives contracts.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 132 |
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The table below displays the credit ratings issued by the three major credit rating agencies. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Fannie Mae Credit Ratings |
| As of December 31, 2022 |
| S&P | | Moody’s | | Fitch |
Long-term senior debt | AA+ | | Aaa | | AAA |
Short-term senior debt | A-1+ | | P-1 | | F1+ |
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Preferred stock | D | | Ca(hyb) | | C/RR6 |
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Outlook | Stable | | Stable | | Stable |
| (for Long-Term Senior Debt) | | | | (for AAA rated Long-Term Issuer Default Ratings) |
Cash Flows
Year Ended December 31, 2022. Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents decreased from $108.6 billion as of December 31, 2021 to $87.8 billion as of December 31, 2022. The decrease was primarily driven by cash outflows from (1) payments on outstanding debt of consolidated trusts, (2) the redemption of funding debt, which outpaced issuances, primarily for the reasons described above, and (3) purchases of loans held for investment.
Partially offsetting these cash outflows were cash inflows primarily from (1) proceeds from repayments and sales of loans, (2) the sale of Fannie Mae MBS to third parties, and (3) proceeds from our investment in U.S. Treasury securities.
Year Ended December 31, 2021. Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents decreased from $115.6 billion as of December 31, 2020 to $108.6 billion as of December 31, 2021. The decrease was primarily driven by cash outflows from (1) payments on outstanding debt of consolidated trusts, (2) purchases of loans held for investment, and (3) the redemption of funding debt, which outpaced issuances, primarily for the reasons described above.
Partially offsetting these cash outflows were cash inflows primarily from (1) the sale of Fannie Mae MBS to third parties, (2) proceeds from repayments and sales of loans, and (3) a decrease in our investment in U.S. Treasury securities.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 133 |
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Capital Management
Capital Requirements
The table below sets forth information about our capital requirements under the standardized approach of the enterprise regulatory capital framework. Available capital for purposes of the enterprise regulatory capital framework excludes the stated value of the senior preferred stock ($120.8 billion) and other amounts specified in footnote 3 to the table below. Because of these exclusions, we had a deficit in available capital as of December 31, 2022, even though we had positive net worth under GAAP of $60.3 billion as of December 31, 2022. See “Business—Legislation and Regulation—GSE-Focused Matters—Capital Requirements” for a description of our capital requirements under the enterprise regulatory capital framework. Although the enterprise regulatory capital framework went into effect in February 2021, we are not required to hold capital according to the framework’s requirements until the date of termination of our conservatorship, or such later date as may be ordered by FHFA.
We had a $258 billion shortfall of our available capital (deficit) to the adjusted total capital requirement (including buffers) of $184 billion under the standardized approach of the rule as of December 31, 2022. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Capital Metrics under the Enterprise Regulatory Capital Framework as of December 31, 2022(1) |
(Dollars in billions) |
| | | Stress capital buffer | | $ | 34 | |
| | | | | | Stability capital buffer | | 45 | |
Adjusted total assets | $ | 4,552 | | | | | Countercyclical capital buffer | | — | |
Risk-weighted assets | 1,316 | | | | | Prescribed capital conservation buffer amount | | $ | 79 | |
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| | Minimum Capital Ratio Requirement | | Minimum Capital Requirement | | Applicable Buffers(2) | | Total Capital Requirement (including Buffers) | | Available Capital (Deficit)(3) | | Capital Shortfall(4) |
Risk-based capital: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total capital (statutory)(5) | 8.0 | % | | $ | 105 | | | N/A | | $ | 105 | | | $ | (49) | | | $ | (154) | |
| Common equity tier 1 capital | 4.5 | | | 59 | | | $ | 79 | | | 138 | | | (93) | | | (231) | |
| Tier 1 capital | 6.0 | | | 79 | | | 79 | | | 158 | | | (74) | | | (232) | |
| Adjusted total capital | 8.0 | | | 105 | | | 79 | | | 184 | | | (74) | | | (258) | |
Leverage capital: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Core capital (statutory)(6) | 2.5 | | | 114 | | | N/A | | 114 | | | (61) | | | (175) | |
| Tier 1 capital | 2.5 | | | 114 | | | 23 | | | 137 | | | (74) | | | (211) | |
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(1)Ratios are calculated as a percentage of risk-weighted assets for risk-based capital metrics and as a percentage of adjusted total assets for leverage capital metrics.
(2)The applicable buffer for common equity tier 1 capital, tier 1 capital, and adjusted total capital is the PCCBA, which is composed of a stress capital buffer, a stability capital buffer, and a countercyclical capital buffer. The applicable buffer for tier 1 capital (leverage based) is the PLBA. The stress capital buffer and countercyclical capital buffer are each calculated by multiplying prescribed factors by adjusted total assets as of the last day of the previous calendar quarter. The 2022 stability capital buffer is calculated by multiplying a factor determined based on our share of mortgage debt outstanding by adjusted total assets as of December 31, 2020. The prescribed leverage buffer for 2022 is set at 50% of the 2022 stability buffer. Going forward the stability buffer and the prescribed leverage buffer will be updated with an effective date that depends on whether the stability capital buffer increases or decreases relative to the previously calculated value.
(3)Available capital (deficit) for all line items excludes the stated value of the senior preferred stock ($120.8 billion). Available capital (deficit) for all line items except total capital and core capital also deducts a portion of deferred tax assets. Deferred tax assets arising from temporary differences between GAAP and tax requirements are deducted from capital to the extent they exceed 10% of common equity. As of December 31, 2022, this resulted in the full deduction of deferred tax assets ($12.9 billion) from our available capital (deficit). Available capital (deficit) for common equity tier 1 capital also excludes the value of the perpetual non-cumulative preferred stock ($19.1 billion).
(4)Our capital shortfall consists of the difference between the applicable capital requirement (including buffers) and the applicable available capital (deficit).
(5)The sum of (a) core capital (see definition in footnote 6 below); and (b) a general allowance for foreclosure losses, which (i) shall include an allowance for portfolio mortgage losses, an allowance for non-reimbursable foreclosure costs on government claims, and an allowance for liabilities reflected on the balance sheet for estimated foreclosure losses on mortgage-backed securities; and (ii) shall not include any reserves made or held against specific assets; and (c) any other amounts from sources of funds available to absorb losses that the Director of FHFA by regulation determines are appropriate to include in determining total capital.
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(6)The sum of (a) the stated value of our outstanding common stock (common stock less treasury stock); (b) the stated value of our outstanding non-cumulative perpetual preferred stock; (c) our paid-in capital; and (d) our retained earnings (accumulated deficit). Core capital does not include: (a) accumulated other comprehensive income or (b) senior preferred stock.
As a result of our capital shortfall, our maximum payout ratio under the enterprise regulatory capital framework as of December 31, 2022 was 0%. While it is not applicable until the date of termination of our conservatorship, our maximum payout ratio represents the percentage of eligible retained income that we are permitted to pay out in the form of distributions or discretionary bonus payments under the enterprise regulatory capital framework. The maximum payout ratio for a given quarter is the lowest of the payout ratios determined by our capital conservation buffer and our leverage buffer. See “Note 12, Regulatory Capital Requirements” for information on our capital ratios as of December 31, 2022 under the enterprise regulatory capital framework.
The table below presents certain components of our regulatory capital. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Regulatory Capital Components |
(Dollars in billions) | | As of December 31, 2022 |
Total equity | | $ | 60 | |
Less: | | |
| Senior preferred stock | | 121 | |
| Preferred stock | | 19 | |
Common equity | | (80) | |
| Less: deferred tax assets arising from temporary differences that exceed 10% of common equity tier 1 capital and other regulatory adjustments | | 13 | |
Common equity tier 1 capital (deficit) | | (93) | |
| Add: perpetual non-cumulative preferred stock | | 19 | |
Tier 1 capital (deficit) | | (74) | |
Tier 2 capital adjustments | | — | |
Adjusted total capital (deficit) | | $ | (74) | |
The table below presents certain components of our core capital.
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Statutory Capital Components |
(Dollars in billions) | | As of December 31, 2022 |
Total equity | | $ | 60 | |
Less: | | |
| Senior preferred stock | | 121 | |
| Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of taxes | | — | |
Core capital (deficit) | | (61) | |
| Less: general allowance for foreclosure losses | | (12) | |
Total capital (deficit) | | $ | (49) | |
Capital Activity
Under the terms governing the senior preferred stock, no dividends were payable to Treasury for the fourth quarter of 2022 and none are payable for the first quarter of 2023.
Under the terms governing the senior preferred stock, through and including the capital reserve end date, any increase in our net worth during a fiscal quarter results in an increase in the same amount of the aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock in the following quarter. The capital reserve end date is defined as the last day of the second consecutive fiscal quarter during which we have had and maintained capital equal to, or in excess of, all of the capital requirements and buffers under the enterprise regulatory capital framework.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 135 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
As a result of these terms governing the senior preferred stock, the aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock increased to $180.3 billion as of December 31, 2022 due to the $2.4 billion increase in our net worth in the third quarter of 2022. The aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock will further increase to $181.8 billion as of March 31, 2023, due to the $1.4 billion increase in our net worth in the fourth quarter of 2022. See “Business—Conservatorship and Treasury Agreements—Treasury Agreements” for more information on the terms of our senior preferred stock, including how the aggregate liquidation preference is determined.
Increases in our net worth improve our capital position and our ability to absorb losses; however, increases in our net worth also increase the aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock by the same amount until the capital reserve end date as discussed above.
Treasury Funding Commitment
Treasury made a commitment under the senior preferred stock purchase agreement to provide funding to us under certain circumstances if we have a net worth deficit. As of December 31, 2022, the remaining amount of Treasury’s funding commitment to us was $113.9 billion. See “Note 11, Equity” for more information on the funding commitment provided by Treasury under the senior preferred stock purchase agreement.
We manage the risks that arise from our business activities through our enterprise risk management program. Our risk management activities are aligned with the requirements of FHFA’s Enterprise Risk Management Advisory Bulletin, which are consistent with the general principles set forth by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission’s (“COSO”) Enterprise Risk Management (“ERM”): Integrating with Strategy and Performance framework.
We are exposed to the following major risk categories:
•Credit Risk. Credit risk is the risk of loss arising from another party’s failure to meet its contractual obligations. For financial securities or instruments, credit risk is the risk of not receiving principal, interest or other financial obligation on a timely basis. Our credit risk exposure exists primarily in connection with our guaranty book of business and our institutional counterparties.
•Market Risk. Market risk is the risk of loss resulting from changes in the economic environment. Market risk arises from fluctuations in interest rates, exchange rates and other market rates and prices. Market risk includes interest-rate risk, which is the risk that movements in interest rates will adversely affect the value of our assets or liabilities or our future earnings or capital. Market risk also includes spread risk, which is the risk from changes in an instrument’s value that relate to factors other than changes in interest rates.
•Liquidity and Funding Risk. Liquidity and funding risk is the risk to our financial condition and resilience arising from an inability to meet obligations when they come due, including the risk associated with the inability to access funding sources or manage fluctuations in funding levels.
•Operational Risk. Operational risk is the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems or disruptions from external events. Operational risk includes cyber/information security risk, third-party risk and model risk.
We are also exposed to these additional risk categories:
•Strategic Risk. Strategic risk is the risk of loss resulting from poor business decisions, poor implementation of business decisions or the failure to respond appropriately to changes in the industry or external environment.
•Compliance Risk. Compliance risk is the risk of legal or regulatory sanctions, damage to current or projected financial condition, damage to business resilience or damage to reputation resulting from nonconformance with compliance obligations. These obligations include laws or regulations, prescribed practices, MBS trust agreements, supervisory guidance, conservator instruction, internal policies and procedures or ethical standards governing how we operate. Compliance risk exposes us to adverse actions by regulators, law enforcement or other government agencies, or private civil action, and financial losses incurred through fines, legal judgments, voiding of contracts or civil penalties. Compliance risk can result in damaged or diminished reputation, limited business opportunities and lessened expansion potential.
•Reputational Risk. Reputational risk is the risk that substantial negative publicity may cause a decline in public perception of us, a decline in our customer base, costly litigation, revenue reductions or losses.
We are also exposed to climate risk. We view climate risk as a transverse risk driver that can manifest through a variety of the existing risk categories across our risk taxonomy.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 136 |
For a more detailed discussion of these and other risks that could materially adversely affect our business, results of operations, financial condition, liquidity and net worth, see “Risk Factors.”
Components of Risk Management
Our risk management program is composed of four inter-related components that are designed to work together as a comprehensive risk management system aimed at enhancing our performance.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 137 |
Risk Management Governance
We manage risk by using the industry standard “three lines of defense” structure. Our Board of Directors and management-level risk committees are also integral to our risk management program.
Mortgage Credit Risk Management Overview
Mortgage credit risk arises from the risk of loss resulting from the failure of a borrower to make required mortgage payments. We are exposed to credit risk on our book of business because we either hold mortgage assets, have issued a guaranty in connection with the creation of Fannie Mae MBS backed by mortgage assets or have provided other credit enhancements on mortgage assets. For more information on how we manage mortgage credit risk, see “Business—Managing Mortgage Credit Risk,” “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management,” and “Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management.”
Climate and Natural Disaster Risk Management
Overview
There are risks and opportunities related to climate change that may impact an organization. Climate risks are divided into two main categories: risks related to the physical impacts of climate change; and risks related to a potential transition to a lower-carbon economy. Physical risks resulting from climate change can be event-driven risks relating to shorter-term extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, floods and tornadoes (referred to as acute risks) or related to longer-term shifts in climate patterns, such as sustained higher temperatures, sea level rise, water scarcity and increased wildfires (referred to as chronic risks). Climate change presents both immediate and long-term risks to our business and other stakeholders in the housing system, including borrowers, renters, lenders, investors and insurers.
Recent years have seen frequent and severe natural disasters in the U.S., including hurricanes, wildfires and floods. Population growth and an increase in people living in high-risk areas, such as coastal areas vulnerable to severe storms and flooding, have also increased the impact of these events. Low- and moderate-income and minority households are disproportionately exposed to risks from severe weather events due in large part to historical under-investment in
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 138 |
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| MD&A | Risk Management | Climate and Natural Disaster Risk Management |
infrastructure in their communities; these households typically have limited financial resources to withstand the economic impact of severe weather events.
We believe the frequency and intensity of major weather-related events in recent years are indicative of climate change, the impacts of which are expected to persist and worsen in the future. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the United Nations’ climate science research group, released their Sixth Assessment Report, Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis, in 2021. The report notes that it is unequivocal that human activities have warmed the climate.
Climate-Related Risk Exposure and Risk Mitigation
Major weather events or other natural disasters expose us to credit risk in a variety of ways, including by damaging properties that secure mortgage loans in our book of business and by negatively impacting the ability of borrowers to make payments on their mortgage loans. The amount of losses we incur as a result of a major weather event or natural disaster depends significantly on the extent to which the resulting property damage is covered by hazard or flood insurance and whether borrowers are able and willing to continue making payments on their mortgages. The amount of losses we incur can also be affected by the extent that a disaster impacts the region, especially if it depresses the local economy, and by the availability of federal, state, or local assistance to borrowers affected by a disaster. To date, our losses from natural disasters have been limited by geographic diversity in our book of business, the availability of insurance coverage for damages sustained, the availability of federal, state or local disaster assistance, and borrowers with equity in their homes continuing to pay their mortgages.
For our multifamily loans, our multifamily lenders typically share with us approximately one-third of the credit risk through our DUS program. For single-family and multifamily loans covered in back-end credit risk transfer transactions, we retain a portion of the risk of future losses, including all or a portion of the first loss position in most transactions. To the extent weather and disaster-related losses on loans covered by these transactions were to exceed the amount of first loss we retain, a portion of those losses would be covered by the transactions. Mortgage insurance does not protect us from default risk for properties that suffer damages not covered by the hazard or flood insurance we require. For more information on our single-family credit risk transfer transactions, see “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk—Credit Risk Transfer Transactions” and for more information on our multifamily credit risk transfer transactions and our DUS program, see “Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Transfer of Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk.”
In general, we require borrowers to obtain and maintain property insurance to cover the risk of damage to their property resulting from hazards such as fire, wind and, for properties in areas identified by FEMA as Special Flood Hazard Areas, flooding. At the time of origination, a borrower is required to provide proof of such insurance, and our servicers have the right and the obligation to obtain such insurance, at the borrower’s cost, if the borrower allows the required coverage to lapse. We do not generally require property insurance to cover damages from flooding in areas outside a Special Flood Hazard Area, or to cover earthquake damage to single-family properties or to multifamily properties unless required by a seismic-risk assessment.
In October 2021, FEMA launched Risk Rating 2.0, which is an actuarial and risk-based approach to pricing flood insurance premiums for properties based on their flood risk, irrespective of whether they are located in a Special Flood Hazard Area. Since October 1, 2021, all new flood insurance policies through FEMA’s National Flood Insurance Program (“NFIP”) have been subject to Risk Rating 2.0 premiums, and all remaining policies that renew after April 1, 2022 are subject to the premiums. We expect the majority of households with insurance through the NFIP will experience a premium decrease or a slight increase. However, we expect a small fraction of those households will encounter significant increases in their annual flood insurance premiums. There is a statutory limit of annual increases in flood insurance premiums of 18%, which will mean some households will experience multiple years of increases. As Risk Rating 2.0 becomes applicable to an increasing number of policyholders and premiums increase in the coming years, the significant increase in premiums that will apply to some properties and communities may impact insurance affordability, uptake, and the maintenance of ongoing coverage, as well as property values. From the launch of FEMA’s Risk Rating 2.0 in October 2021 through October 2022, according to FEMA data, the total number of structures with an NFIP flood insurance contract in force has declined by 5.2%. Data is not available on the portion of these structures without flood insurance coverage or with replacement private flood insurance coverage. As of December 31, 2022, 3.3% of loans in our single-family guaranty book of business and 6.8% of loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business were located in a Special Flood Hazard Area, for which we require flood insurance.
In the event of a natural or other disaster, our servicers work with affected borrowers to develop a plan that addresses the borrower’s specific situation. Depending on the circumstances, the plan may include one or more of the following: a payment forbearance plan; a repayment or reinstatement plan; a payment deferral; loan modification; coordination with insurance companies and administration of insurance proceeds; and, if appropriate, foreclosure alternatives such as short sales and deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure, or foreclosure. In addition, Fannie Mae’s Disaster Response NetworkTM
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 139 |
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| MD&A | Risk Management | Climate and Natural Disaster Risk Management |
offers renters and single-family borrowers free financial counseling from HUD-approved housing counselors, including help in developing a recovery assessment and action plan, filing claims, working with mortgage servicers, and identifying and navigating sources of federal, state and local assistance. We also have a dedicated team at Fannie Mae focused on coordinating company-wide efforts to support communities affected by natural disasters as they recover. These activities are designed to assist renters and borrowers affected by disasters and also help reduce our losses, and we continue to evaluate their impact and seek new options and resources to deploy in response to disasters.
Climate Risk Governance
The Board’s Risk Policy and Capital Committee has primary oversight of climate-related risks to the company. The Board’s Community Responsibility and Sustainability Committee oversees development and implementation of the company’s climate risk strategy. The Audit Committee provides oversight of ESG-related reporting, which includes climate risk-related reporting. Several of our management-level committees have roles in climate risk oversight, escalation and decision-making. We have a Chief Climate Officer who leads a Climate Impact team.
Climate Risk Actions
We recognize that the increased frequency and intensity of major natural disasters poses risks for all stakeholders in the housing system, including borrowers, renters, lenders, investors, insurers and us. Our Climate Impact team is actively working to understand our exposures, identify best practices and strategies to mitigate the impacts such events can have on our guaranty book, sellers, servicers, and borrowers, and increase awareness on this issue. We continue to integrate climate considerations into our organization. Our approach to identifying, assessing, mitigating, and reporting on climate-related risks is informed by the recommendations of the Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosures.
FHFA’s 2023 conservatorship scorecard also includes objectives relating to climate risks and climate risk management. For information on FHFA’s 2023 conservatorship scorecard objectives, see our Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the SEC on January 10, 2023.
We continue to focus on analyzing our physical and transition risks, while also reviewing the landscape of modeling approaches and data needs to improve predictive results. We continue to develop our climate scenario methodologies and assess the addition of third-party climate models.
In 2022, we continued to prioritize raising awareness on issues related to climate risk, including taking the following actions:
•Assisted select communities with climate analytics as a part of our Equitable Housing Finance Plan with the goal of trying to understand how climate information could be beneficial for potential future action.
•Launched a flood risk awareness campaign in select markets focused on educating homeowners both inside and outside FEMA-designated Special Flood Hazard Areas about the risks of flooding. We hope to increase homeowners’ understanding of flood risk and hazards, as well as educate them on the importance of taking flood risk mitigation measures.
•Worked on updates to the disclosure process and documents for our REO sales to increase transparency on and access to flood-related information. Under current residential real estate disclosure rules, which vary from state to state, potential homebuyers rarely receive information related to historical flooding and flood risk during the homebuying process. To help reduce this information gap, Fannie Mae requires property listing agents to disclose known flood events to prospective purchasers of our REO properties where a listing agent has knowledge or reports of prior flooding events.
•Initiated a new nationwide flood survey and aim to share our insights and analysis with external stakeholders in 2023.
We are also focused on external outreach to help solve climate-related challenges. For example, we are working with the National Institute of Building Sciences to develop a roadmap on mitigation investment to help prepare for and better respond to the effects of climate change.
As the risks associated with climate change become an increasing focus for our business, we are taking steps to integrate climate risk considerations into our Enterprise Risk Management framework. We are focused on developing and implementing a comprehensive, integrated approach to the identification, assessment, and management of climate-related risks and opportunities. In furtherance of this goal, during 2022 we:
•Incorporated climate-related considerations into aspects of our key business decision review process.
•Established annual cadence guidelines for climate-related discussions at relevant management-level risk committees.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 140 |
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•Continued to assess data gaps relating to our assessment of climate-related risk.
•Continued to review policies to identify changes to address climate-related risks.
Addressing climate and natural disaster risks will be critical to Fannie Mae’s overall housing mission. We are exploring the role we, along with FHFA and others, can play in helping to address some of these risks. For example, we are working with internal and external stakeholders to develop and support climate and natural disaster resiliency standards. Given that improving resiliency of properties will take time, we are also focused on examining insurance requirements to promote financial stability of households impacted by severe weather. One other consideration is the impact of resiliency or energy efficiency standards on affordability. A key challenge will be to appropriately balance improvements in climate resiliency and energy efficiency with affordability, particularly in historically underserved communities. Developing solutions to these challenges is complicated by the range and diversity of affected stakeholders, the possible need for legislative or regulatory action, industry insurance capacity, and the need to balance risk mitigation, affordability and sustainability.
See “Risk Factors—Credit Risk” for additional information on the risks we face from the occurrence of major natural or other disasters and the impact of climate change.
Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management
Overview
Institutional counterparty credit risk is the risk of loss resulting from the failure of an institutional counterparty to fulfill its contractual obligations to us. Our primary exposure to institutional counterparty credit risk exists with our:
•credit guarantors, including mortgage insurers, reinsurers and multifamily lenders with risk sharing arrangements;
•mortgage sellers and servicers; and
•financial institutions that issue investments included in our other investments portfolio.
We also have counterparty exposure to: derivatives counterparties, custodial depository institutions; mortgage originators, investors and dealers; debt security dealers; central counterparty clearing institutions; and document custodians.
We routinely enter into a high volume of transactions with counterparties in the financial services industry resulting in a significant credit concentration with respect to this industry. We also may have multiple exposures to particular counterparties, as many of our institutional counterparties perform several types of services for us. Accordingly, if one of these counterparties were to become insolvent or otherwise default on its obligations to us, it could harm our business and financial results in a variety of ways. Our overall objective in managing institutional counterparty credit risk is to maintain individual and portfolio-level counterparty exposures within acceptable ranges based on our risk-based rating system. We seek to achieve this objective through the following:
•establishment and observance of counterparty eligibility standards appropriate to each exposure type and level;
•establishment of risk limits;
•requiring collateralization of exposures where appropriate; and
•exposure monitoring and management.
The expected shift in market conditions in 2023, including an expected lower volume of mortgage originations and an expected economic recession, could materially adversely affect the financial results and condition of some of our institutional counterparties, particularly non-depository mortgage sellers and servicers. See “Risk Factors—Credit Risk” for additional discussion of the risks to our business if one or more of our institutional counterparties fails to fulfill their contractual obligations to us.
Establishment and Observance of Counterparty Eligibility Standards
The institutions with which we do business vary in size, complexity and geographic footprint. Because of this, counterparty eligibility criteria vary depending upon the type and magnitude of the risk exposure incurred. We use a risk-based approach to assess the credit risk of our counterparties through regular examination of their financial statements, confidential communication with the management of those counterparties and regular monitoring of publicly available credit rating information. This and other information is used to develop proprietary credit rating metrics that we use to assess credit quality. Factors including corporate or third-party support or guarantees, our knowledge of the counterparty and its management, reputation, quality of operations and experience are also important in determining the initial and continuing eligibility of a counterparty.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 141 |
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MD&A | Risk Management | Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management |
Establishment of Risk Limits
Institutions are assigned a risk limit to ensure that our risk exposure is maintained at a level appropriate for the institution’s credit assessment and the time horizon for the exposure, as well as to diversify exposure so that we adequately manage our concentration risk. A corporate risk limit is first established at the counterparty level for the aggregate of all activity and then is divided among our individual business units. Our business units may further subdivide limits among products or activities.
Collateralization of Exposures
We may require collateral, letters of credit or investment agreements as a condition to approving exposure to a counterparty. Collateral requirements are determined after a comprehensive review of the credit quality and the level of risk exposure of each counterparty. We may require that a counterparty post collateral in the event of an adverse event such as a ratings downgrade. Collateral requirements are monitored and generally adjusted daily.
Exposure Monitoring and Management
The risk management functions of the individual business units are responsible for managing the counterparty exposures associated with their activities within risk limits. An oversight team that reports to our Chief Risk Officer is responsible for establishing and enforcing corporate policies and procedures regarding counterparties, establishing corporate limits and aggregating and reporting institutional counterparty exposure. We regularly update exposure limits for individual institutions and communicate changes to the relevant business units. We regularly report exposures against the risk limits to the Risk Policy and Capital Committee of the Board of Directors.
Mortgage Insurers
We are generally required, pursuant to our charter, to obtain credit enhancements on single-family conventional mortgage loans that we purchase or securitize with LTV ratios over 80% at the time of purchase. We use several types of credit enhancements to manage our single-family mortgage credit risk, including primary and pool mortgage insurance coverage. Our primary exposure associated with mortgage insurers is that they will fail to fulfill their obligations to reimburse us for claims under our insurance policies.
Actions we take to manage this risk include:
•maintaining financial and operational eligibility requirements that an insurer must meet to become and remain a qualified mortgage insurer;
•regularly monitoring our exposure to individual mortgage insurers and mortgage insurer credit ratings, including in-depth financial reviews and analyses of the insurers’ portfolios and capital adequacy under hypothetical stress scenarios;
•requiring certification and supporting documentation annually from each mortgage insurer; and
•performing periodic reviews of mortgage insurers to confirm compliance with eligibility requirements and to evaluate their management, control and underwriting practices.
The master policies issued by our primary mortgage insurers govern their claim-paying obligations to us, including circumstances in which significant underwriting or servicing defects might permit the mortgage insurer to rescind coverage or deny a claim. Where a claim has not been properly paid as a result of lender non-compliance with their obligation to maintain coverage, the lender is required to make us whole for losses not covered by the insurer. In recent years, the risk of coverage rescission has been mitigated both by the quality control standards required by private mortgage insurer eligibility requirements (“PMIERs”), which have helped reduce the number of significant underwriting defects, and also by rescission relief principles we require in mortgage insurer master policies. Generally, the rescission relief principles align with our representation and warranty framework and require our primary mortgage insurers to waive their rescission rights after a mortgage has performed for at least 36 months or if they have completed a full review of the loan and found no significant defects. See below for a discussion of the PMIERs.
In describing our mortgage insurance coverage, “insurance in force” refers to the unpaid principal balance of single-family loans in our conventional guaranty book of business covered under the applicable mortgage insurance policies. Our total mortgage insurance in force was $744.3 billion, or 20% of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business, as of December 31, 2022, compared with $692.3 billion, or 20% of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business, as of December 31, 2021.
“Risk in force” refers to the maximum potential loss recovery under the applicable mortgage insurance policies in force and is generally based on the loan-level insurance coverage percentage and, if applicable, any aggregate pool loss limit, as specified in the policy. As of December 31, 2022, our total mortgage insurance risk in force was $193.8 billion,
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 142 |
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or 5% of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business, compared with $176.8 billion, or 5% of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business, as of December 31, 2021.
Our total mortgage insurance in force and risk in force excludes insurance coverage provided by federal government entities and credit insurance obtained through CIRT deals.
The charts below display our mortgage insurer counterparties that provided 10% or more of the risk-in-force mortgage insurance coverage on the single-family loans in our conventional guaranty book of business.
Mortgage Insurer Concentration(1)
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| | Arch Capital Group Ltd. | | | | Radian Guaranty, Inc. | | | | Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corp. |
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| | Enact Mortgage Insurance Corp.(2) | | | | Essent Guaranty, Inc. | | | | National Mortgage Insurance Corp. |
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| | Others | | | | | | | | |
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(1)Insurance coverage amounts provided for each counterparty may include coverage provided by affiliates and subsidiaries of the counterparty.
(2)Genworth Mortgage Insurance Corp. was renamed Enact Mortgage Insurance Corp. effective February 7, 2022.
As of December 31, 2022 and 2021, 1% of our total risk-in-force coverage was held with three mortgage insurers that are in run-off, and therefore are no longer approved to write new insurance with us.
Mortgage insurers must meet and maintain compliance with PMIERs to be eligible to write mortgage insurance on loans acquired by Fannie Mae. The PMIERs are designed to ensure that mortgage insurers have sufficient liquid assets to pay all claims under a hypothetical future stress scenario.
See “Risk Factors—Credit Risk” for a discussion of the risks to our business of claims under our mortgage insurance policies not being paid in full or at all.
Reinsurers
We use CIRT deals to transfer credit risk on a pool of loans to an insurance provider that retains the risk, or to an insurance provider that simultaneously cedes all of its risk to one or more reinsurers. In CIRT transactions, we select the insurance providers and approve the allocation of coverage that may be simultaneously transferred to reinsurers by a direct provider of our CIRT insurance coverage. We take certain steps to increase the likelihood that we will recover on the claims we file with the insurers, including the following:
•In our approval and selection of CIRT insurers and reinsurers, we take into account the financial strength of those companies and the concentration risk that we have with those counterparties.
•We monitor the financial strength of CIRT insurers and reinsurers to confirm compliance with our requirements and to minimize potential exposure. Changes in the financial strength of an insurer or reinsurer may impact our future allocation of new CIRT insurance coverage to those providers. In addition, a material deterioration of the financial strength of a CIRT insurer or reinsurer may permit us to terminate existing CIRT coverage pursuant to terms of the CIRT insurance policy.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 143 |
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MD&A | Risk Management | Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management |
•We require a portion of the insurers’ or reinsurers’ obligations in a CIRT transaction to be collateralized with highly-rated liquid assets held in a trust account. The required amount of collateral is initially determined according to the ratings of the insurer or reinsurer. Contractual provisions require additional collateral to be posted in the event of adverse developments with the counterparty, such as a ratings downgrade.
The charts below display the concentration of our credit risk exposure to our top five CIRT counterparties, measured by maximum liability to us, excluding the benefit of collateral we hold to secure the counterparties’ obligations.
CIRT Counterparty Concentration
•As of December 31, 2022, our CIRT counterparties had a maximum liability to us of $14.8 billion.
•As of December 31, 2022, $4.2 billion in liquid assets securing CIRT counterparties’ obligations were held in trust accounts.
•Our top five CIRT counterparties had a maximum liability to us of $7.4 billion as of December 31, 2022, compared with $5.4 billion as of December 31, 2021.
For information on our credit risk transfer transactions, see “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk—Credit Risk Transfer Transactions” and “Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Transfer of Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk.”
Multifamily Lenders with Risk Sharing
We enter into risk sharing agreements with multifamily lenders, primarily through the DUS program, pursuant to which the lenders agree to bear all or some portion of the credit losses on the covered loans. Our maximum potential loss recovery from lenders under risk sharing agreements on multifamily loans was $103.9 billion as of December 31, 2022, compared with $97.6 billion as of December 31, 2021. As of December 31, 2022, 53% of our maximum potential loss recovery on multifamily loans was from five DUS lenders as compared with 52% as of December 31, 2021.
As noted above in “Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Transfer of Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk,” our primary multifamily delivery channel is our DUS program, which is composed of lenders that range from large depositories to independent non-bank financial institutions. As of December 31, 2022, approximately 32% of the unpaid principal balance of loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business serviced by our DUS lenders was from institutions with an external investment grade credit rating or a guaranty from an affiliate with an external investment grade credit rating, compared with approximately 33% as of December 31, 2021. Given the recourse nature of the DUS program, DUS lenders are bound by eligibility standards that dictate, among other items, minimum capital and liquidity levels, and the posting of collateral at a highly rated custodian to secure a portion of the lenders’ future obligations. We actively monitor the financial condition of these lenders to help ensure the level of risk remains within our standards and to ensure required capital levels are maintained and are in alignment with actual and modeled loss projections.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 144 |
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Mortgage Servicers and Sellers
The primary risk associated with mortgage servicers that service the loans in our guaranty book of business is that they will fail to fulfill their servicing obligations. See “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Primary Business Activities—Single-Family Mortgage Servicing” and “Multifamily Business—Multifamily Primary Business Activities—Multifamily Mortgage Servicing” for more discussion on the services performed by our mortgage servicers.
A servicing contract breach could result in credit losses for us or could cause us to incur the cost of finding a replacement servicer. We could incur costs and potential increases in servicing fees and could also face operational risks if we replace a mortgage servicer. If a mortgage servicer fails, it could result in a temporary disruption in servicing and loss mitigation activities relating to the loans serviced by that mortgage servicer, particularly if there is a loss of experienced servicing personnel. See “Risk Factors—Credit Risk” for a discussion of additional risks to our business and financial results associated with mortgage servicers.
We mitigate these risks in several ways, including by:
•establishing minimum standards and financial requirements for our servicers;
•monitoring financial and portfolio performance as compared with peers and internal benchmarks;
•for our largest mortgage servicers, conducting periodic financial reviews to confirm compliance with servicing guidelines and servicing performance expectations; and
•identifying a group of servicers as potential contingency sub-servicers to which we could transfer the servicing of some of the loans in our single-family guaranty book in the event one or more of our top mortgage servicers is not able or permitted to continue servicing our loans on our behalf.
We may take one or more of the following actions to mitigate our credit exposure to mortgage servicers that present a higher risk:
•require a guaranty of obligations by higher-rated entities;
•transfer exposure to third parties;
•require collateral;
•establish more stringent financial requirements;
•work with underperforming major servicers to improve operational processes; and
•suspend or terminate the selling and servicing relationship if deemed appropriate.
A large portion of our single-family guaranty book is serviced by non-depository servicers, particularly our delinquent single-family loans. Non-depository servicers also service a large portion of our multifamily guaranty book. Compared with depository financial institutions, these institutions pose additional risks to us because they generally do not have the same financial strength and liquidity as our mortgage servicer counterparties that are depository institutions. Unlike for depository servicers, much of the capital of non-depository servicers is represented by the value of mortgage servicing rights, which is subject to variability based on market conditions and therefore is an important factor in determining capital adequacy. Non-depository servicers also are generally not subject to the same level of regulatory oversight as our mortgage servicer counterparties that are depository institutions. We require non-depository servicers to meet minimum liquidity requirements to maintain eligibility with Fannie Mae. We actively monitor the financial condition and capital adequacy of non-depository servicers, including their compliance with our requirements.
In August 2022, FHFA announced updated minimum financial eligibility requirements for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac single-family mortgage sellers and servicers. We use these financial eligibility requirements to monitor and manage our risk exposures to non-depository single-family sellers and servicers while largely relying on banking regulators’ prudential capital and liquidity standards as financial requirements for depository single-family sellers and servicers. Under the financial eligibility requirements, both depository and non-depository single-family sellers and servicers are subject to the same tangible net worth requirements. These new requirements will increase capital and liquidity requirements for our single-family non-depository sellers and servicers, including some requirements that apply only to large non-depository sellers and servicers. The majority of the new financial eligibility requirements are effective on September 30, 2023, with the remaining requirements going into effect on December 31, 2023 or March 31, 2024.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 145 |
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MD&A | Risk Management | Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management |
The charts below display the percentage of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business serviced by our top five depository single-family mortgage servicers and top five non-depository single-family mortgage servicers.
Single-Family Mortgage Servicer Concentration
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| | | Top 5 depository servicers | | | | Top 5 non-depository servicers | | | | Others |
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As of December 31, 2022, Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., together with its affiliates, serviced approximately 9% of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business, compared with 10% as of December 31, 2021. In January 2023, Wells Fargo Bank announced its plan to reduce the size of its servicing portfolio. We anticipate that this may increase the concentration of our single-family conventional guaranty book serviced by non-depository servicers. See “Risk Factors—Credit Risk” for more information about risks relating to non-depository servicers.
The charts below display the percentage of our multifamily guaranty book of business serviced by our top five depository multifamily mortgage servicers and top five non-depository multifamily mortgage servicers.
Multifamily Mortgage Servicer Concentration
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| | | Top 5 depository servicers | | | | Top 5 non-depository servicers | | | | Others |
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•As of December 31, 2022 and 2021, two of our multifamily mortgage servicers, together with their affiliates, serviced 10% or more of our multifamily guaranty book of business: Walker & Dunlop, LLC and Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 146 |
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MD&A | Risk Management | Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management |
Counterparty Credit Exposure Relating to our Other Investments Portfolio
The primary credit exposure associated with assets held in our other investments portfolio is that issuers will not repay principal and interest in accordance with the contractual terms. If one of these counterparties fails to meet its obligations to us under the terms of the investments, it could result in financial losses to us and have a material adverse effect on our earnings, liquidity, financial condition and net worth. We believe the risk of default is low because our other investments portfolio primarily consists of cash and cash equivalents, reverse repurchase agreements with a central counterparty clearing institution or The Federal Reserve Bank of New York and U.S. Treasury securities.
As of December 31, 2022, our other investments portfolio totaled $116.0 billion and included $46.9 billion of U.S. Treasury securities. As of December 31, 2021, our other investments portfolio totaled $133.2 billion and included $83.6 billion of U.S. Treasury securities. We mitigate our risk by monitoring the credit risk position of our other investments portfolio. As of December 31, 2022, we held $11.0 billion in overnight unsecured deposits with five financial institutions, compared with $7.7 billion held with four financial institutions as of December 31, 2021. The short-term credit ratings for each of these financial institutions by S&P, Moody’s and Fitch were at least A-1 or the Moody’s or Fitch equivalent of A-1.
See “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Other Investments Portfolio” for more information on our other investments portfolio. See “Risk Factors—Liquidity and Funding Risk” for a discussion of the potential adverse impact on the value of our other investments portfolio if the U.S. government were to default on its obligations or if the market anticipates such a default is likely.
Other Counterparties
Derivative Counterparty Credit Exposure
The primary credit exposure that we have on a derivative transaction is that a counterparty will default on payments due, which could result in us having to acquire a replacement derivative from a different counterparty at a higher cost or we may be unable to find a suitable replacement. Our derivative counterparty credit exposure relates principally to interest-rate derivative contracts.
Derivative instruments may be privately negotiated contracts, which are often referred to as OTC derivatives, or they may be listed and traded on an exchange where they are accepted for clearing by a derivatives clearing organization as our cleared derivative transactions.
Actions we take to manage our derivative counterparty credit exposure relating to our OTC derivative transactions include:
•entering into enforceable master netting arrangements with these counterparties, which allow us to net derivative assets and liabilities with the same counterparty; and
•requiring counterparties to post collateral, which includes cash, U.S. Treasury securities, agency debt and agency mortgage-related securities.
We manage our credit exposure relating to our cleared derivative transactions through enforceable master netting arrangements. These arrangements allow us to net our exposure to cleared derivatives by clearing organization and by clearing member.
Our cleared derivative transactions are submitted to a derivatives clearing organization on our behalf through a clearing member of the organization. A contract accepted by a derivatives clearing organization is governed by the terms of the clearing organization’s rules and arrangements between us and the clearing member of the clearing organization. As a result, we are exposed to the institutional credit risk of both the derivatives clearing organization and the member who is acting on our behalf. As of December 31, 2022, approximately 82% of our derivatives transactions were cleared through a clearing organization, compared with 70% as of December 31, 2021.
See “Note 8, Derivative Instruments” and “Note 14, Netting Arrangements” for additional information on our derivative contracts as of December 31, 2022 and 2021.
Counterparty Credit Risk Exposure Arising from the Resecuritization of Freddie Mac-Issued Securities
We have been resecuritizing Freddie Mac-issued securities since June 2019 when we began issuing UMBS, which has increased our credit risk exposure and operational risk exposure to Freddie Mac. Although we have an indemnification agreement with Freddie Mac, in the event Freddie Mac were to fail (for credit or operational reasons) to make a payment on Freddie Mac securities that we had resecuritized in a Fannie Mae-issued structured security, we would be responsible for making the entire payment on the Freddie Mac securities included in that structured security in order to make payments on any of our outstanding single-family Fannie Mae MBS to be paid on that payment date. Accordingly if Freddie Mac were to fail to meet its obligations under the terms of these securities, it could have a material adverse
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 147 |
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effect on our earnings and financial condition. We believe the risk of default by Freddie Mac is negligible because of the funding commitment available to Freddie Mac through its senior preferred stock purchase agreement with Treasury.
As of December 31, 2022, $234.0 billion in Freddie Mac securities were backing Fannie Mae-issued structured securities, compared with $212.3 billion as of December 31, 2021. See “Business—Mortgage Securitizations—Uniform Mortgage-Backed Securities, or UMBS” and “Risk Factors—GSE and Conservatorship Risk” for more information on risks associated with our issuance of UMBS.
Central Counterparty Clearing Institutions
Fannie Mae is a clearing member of two divisions of Fixed Income Clearing Corporation (“FICC”), a central counterparty (“CCP”). One FICC division clears our trades involving securities purchased under agreements to resell, securities sold under agreements to repurchase, and other non-mortgage related securities. The other division clears our forward purchase and sale commitments of mortgage-related securities, including dollar roll transactions. As a result of these trades, we are required to post initial and variation margin payments as well as settle certain positions daily in cash. As a clearing member of FICC, we are exposed to the risk that the FICC or one or more of the CCP’s clearing members fails to perform its obligations as described below.
•A default by or the financial or operational failure of FICC would require us to replace contracts cleared through FICC, thereby increasing operational costs and potentially resulting in losses.
•We may also be exposed to losses if a clearing member of FICC defaults on its obligations as each clearing member is required to absorb a portion of those fellow-clearing member losses. As a result, we could lose the margin that we have posted to FICC. Moreover, our exposure could exceed the amount of margin that we previously posted to FICC, since FICC’s rules require non-defaulting clearing members to cover, on a pro rata basis, losses caused by a clearing member’s default.
We are unable to develop an estimate of the maximum potential amount of future payments that we could be required to make to FICC under these arrangements as our exposure is dependent on the volume of trades FICC clearing members execute now and in the future, which varies daily. Although we are unable to develop an estimate of our maximum exposure, we expect that losses caused by any clearing member would be partially offset by the fair value of margin posted by the defaulting clearing member and any other available assets of the CCP for those purposes. We believe that the risk of a material loss is remote due to the FICC's margin and settlement requirements, guarantee funds and other resources that are available in the event of a default.
We actively monitor the risks associated with the FICC in order to effectively manage this counterparty risk and our associated liquidity exposure.
Custodial Depository Institutions
Our mortgage servicer counterparties are required by our Servicing Guide to use custodial depository institutions to hold remittances of borrower payments of principal and interest on our behalf. If a custodial depository institution were to fail while holding such remittances, we would be exposed to risk for balances in excess of the deposit insurance protection and might not be able to recover all of the principal and interest payments being held by the depository on our behalf, or there might be a substantial delay in receiving these amounts. If this were to occur, we would be required to replace these amounts with our own funds to make payments that are due to Fannie Mae MBS certificateholders. Accordingly, the insolvency of one of our principal custodial depository institutions could result in significant financial losses to us. To mitigate these risks, our Servicing Guide requires our mortgage servicer counterparties to use custodial depository institutions that are insured, that are rated as “well capitalized” by their regulator and that meet certain minimum financial ratings from third-party agencies.
Mortgage Originators, Investors and Dealers
We are routinely exposed to pre-settlement risk through the purchase or sale of mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities with mortgage originators, mortgage investors and mortgage dealers. The risk is the possibility that the counterparty will be unable or unwilling to either deliver mortgage assets or compensate us for the cost to cancel or replace the transaction. We manage this risk by determining position limits with these counterparties, based upon our assessment of their creditworthiness, and by monitoring and managing these exposures.
Debt Security Dealers
The credit risk associated with dealers that commit to place our debt securities is that they will fail to honor their contracts to take delivery of the debt, which could result in delayed issuance of the debt through another dealer. We manage these risks by establishing approval standards, monitoring our exposure positions and monitoring changes in the credit quality of dealers.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 148 |
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MD&A | Risk Management | Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management |
Document Custodians
We use third-party document custodians to provide loan document certification and custody services for some of the loans that we purchase and securitize. In many cases, our lenders or their affiliates also serve as document custodians for us. Our ownership rights to the mortgage loans that we own or that back our Fannie Mae MBS could be challenged if a lender intentionally or negligently pledges or sells the loans that we purchased or fails to obtain a release of prior liens on the loans that we purchased, which could result in financial losses to us. When a lender or one of its affiliates acts as a document custodian for us, the risk that our ownership interest in the loans may be adversely affected is increased, particularly in the event the lender were to become insolvent. We mitigate these risks through legal and contractual arrangements with these custodians that identify our ownership interest, as well as by establishing qualifying standards for document custodians and requiring removal of the documents to our possession or to an independent third-party document custodian if we have concerns about the solvency or competency of the document custodian.
The MERS System
The MERS® System is an electronic registry owned by Intercontinental Exchange that is widely used by participants in the mortgage finance industry to track servicing rights and ownership of loans in the United States. A large portion of the loans we own or guarantee are registered and tracked in the MERS System. Though we believe it is unlikely, if we are unable to use the MERS System, or if our use of the MERS System adversely affects our ability to enforce our rights with respect to our loans registered and tracked in the MERS System, it could create operational and legal risks for us and increase the costs and time it takes to record loans or foreclose on loans.
Market Risk Management, including Interest-Rate Risk Management
We are subject to market risk, which includes interest-rate risk and spread risk. These risks arise primarily from our mortgage asset investments. Interest-rate risk is the risk that movements in interest rates will adversely affect the value of our assets or liabilities or our future earnings or capital. Spread risk is the risk from changes in an instrument’s value that relate to factors other than changes in interest rates.
Interest-Rate Risk Management
Our goal is to manage market risk from our net portfolio to be neutral to movements in interest rates and volatility, subject to model constraints and prevailing market conditions. We define our net portfolio as: our retained mortgage portfolio assets; our other investments portfolio; outstanding debt of Fannie Mae used to fund the retained mortgage portfolio assets and other investments portfolio; mortgage commitments; and risk management derivatives.
We employ an integrated interest-rate risk management strategy that allows for informed risk taking within pre-defined corporate risk limits. Decisions regarding our strategy in managing interest-rate risk are based upon our corporate market risk policy and limits that are approved by our Board of Directors.
We monitor current market conditions, including the interest-rate environment, to assess the impact of these conditions on individual positions and our interest-rate risk profile. In addition to qualitative factors, we use various quantitative risk metrics in determining the appropriate composition of our retained mortgage portfolio, our investments in non-mortgage securities and relative mix of debt and derivatives positions in order to remain within pre-defined risk tolerance levels that we consider acceptable. We regularly disclose two interest-rate risk metrics that estimate our interest-rate exposure: (1) fair value sensitivity to changes in interest-rate levels and the slope of the yield curve and (2) duration gap.
The metrics used to measure our interest-rate exposure are generated using internal models. Our internal models, consistent with standard practice for models used in our industry, require numerous assumptions. There are inherent limitations in any methodology used to estimate the exposure to changes in market interest rates. The reliability of our prepayment estimates and interest-rate risk metrics depends on the availability and quality of historical data for each of the types of securities in our net portfolio, as discussed below. When market conditions change rapidly and dramatically, the assumptions of our models may no longer accurately capture or reflect the changing conditions. See “Risk Factors—Operational Risk” for a discussion of the risks associated with our reliance on models to manage risk.
Sources of Interest-Rate Risk Exposure
Our mortgage assets consist mainly of single-family and multifamily mortgage loans. For single-family loans, borrowers have the option to prepay at any time before the scheduled maturity date. This prepayment uncertainty results in a potential mismatch between the timing of receipt of cash flows related to our assets and the timing of payment of cash flows related to our liabilities. Changes in interest rates, as well as other factors, influence mortgage prepayment rates and duration and also affect the value of our mortgage assets. When interest rates decrease, prepayment rates on fixed-rate mortgages generally accelerate because borrowers usually can pay off their existing mortgages and refinance at lower rates. Accelerated prepayment rates have the effect of shortening the duration and average life of the fixed-rate
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mortgage assets we hold in our net portfolio. In a declining interest-rate environment, existing mortgage assets held in our net portfolio tend to increase in value or price because these mortgages are likely to have higher interest rates than new mortgages, which are being originated at the then-current lower interest rates. Conversely, when interest rates increase, prepayment rates generally slow, which extends the duration and average life of our mortgage assets and results in a decrease in value. Interest rates also affect the value of our non-mortgage assets, which are primarily fixed-rate securities. As interest rates decline, the value of our fixed-rate securities tend to increase with the opposite impact when rates rise.
We are also exposed to interest-rate risk in connection with cost basis adjustments related to mortgage assets, mainly single-family and multifamily mortgage loans, held by our consolidated MBS trusts. These cost basis adjustments often result from upfront cash fees exchanged at the time of loan acquisition, which include buy-ups, buy-downs, and loan-level risk-based price adjustments. The timing of when we recognize amortization income related to cost basis adjustments may be affected by prepayments, thereby impacting our earnings. Changes in the timing of income recognition related to cost basis adjustments impact the present value of this income. See “Consolidated Results of Operations—Net Interest Income—Analysis of Deferred Amortization Income” for more information on our outstanding net cost basis adjustments related to consolidated MBS trusts.
We are also exposed to interest-rate risk in connection with the float income earned by MBS trusts on the short-term reinvestment of loan payments received from borrowers in highly liquid investments with short maturities, such as U.S. Treasury securities. This float income is paid to us as trust management income and recorded within “Net interest income” in our consolidated financial statements. Changes in interest rates impact the amount of float income generated by MBS trusts and our float reinvestment yields. Typically, interest-rate driven changes in the timing of income recognition related to cost basis amortization are partially offset by interest-rate driven changes in the amount of float income earned.
For additional discussion of how interest rates can affect our financial results, see “Key Market Economic Indicators—How Interest Rates Can Affect Our Financial Results.”
Interest-Rate Risk Management Strategy
Our goal for managing the interest-rate risk of our net portfolio is to be neutral to movements in interest rates and volatility. This involves asset selection and structuring of our liabilities to match and offset the interest-rate characteristics of our retained mortgage portfolio and our investments in non-mortgage securities. We have actively managed the interest-rate risk of our net portfolio through a strategy incorporating the following principal elements:
•Debt Instruments. We issue a broad range of both callable and non-callable debt instruments to manage the duration and prepayment risk of expected cash flows of the mortgage assets we own.
•Derivative Instruments. We supplement our issuance of debt with derivative instruments to further reduce duration and prepayment risks.
•Monitoring and Active Portfolio Rebalancing. We continually monitor our risk positions and actively rebalance our portfolio of interest rate-sensitive financial instruments to maintain a close match between the duration of our assets and liabilities.
•Fair Value Hedge Accounting. We utilize fair value hedge accounting to align the timing of when we recognize the interest-rate driven fair value changes in hedged mortgage loans and funding debt with derivative hedging instruments to mitigate GAAP earnings exposure to interest-rate changes, including any short-term earnings volatility that might result from economic hedging.
We do not currently actively manage or hedge, on an economic basis, our spread risk, or the interest-rate risk arising from cost basis adjustments and float income associated with mortgage assets held by our consolidated MBS trusts. Our spread risk includes the impact of changes in the spread between our mortgage assets and debt (referred to as mortgage-to-debt spreads) after we purchase mortgage assets. For mortgage assets in our portfolio that we intend to hold to maturity to realize the contractual cash flows, we accept period-to-period volatility in our financial performance attributable to changes in mortgage-to-debt spreads that occur after our purchase of mortgage assets. See “Risk Factors—Market and Industry Risk” for a discussion of the risks to our business posed by changes in interest rates and changes in spreads. See “Earnings Exposure to Interest-Rate Risk” below for the impact of market risk on our earnings.
Debt Instruments
Historically, the primary tool we have used to fund the purchase of mortgage assets and manage the interest-rate risk implicit in our mortgage assets is the variety of debt instruments we issue. The debt we issue is a mix that typically consists of short- and long-term, non-callable and callable debt. The varied maturities and flexibility of these debt combinations help us in reducing the mismatch of cash flows between assets and liabilities in order to manage the duration risk associated with an investment in long-term fixed-rate assets. Callable debt helps us manage the
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prepayment risk associated with fixed-rate mortgage assets because the duration of callable debt changes when interest rates change in a manner similar to changes in the duration of mortgage assets. See “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Debt Funding” for additional information on our debt activity.
Derivative Instruments
Derivative instruments also are an integral part of our strategy in managing interest-rate risk. See “Note 8, Derivative Instruments” for a description of the derivatives we use for interest-rate risk management purposes and the factors we consider in deciding whether to use derivatives.
We use interest-rate swaps, interest-rate options and futures, in combination with our issuance of debt securities, to better match the duration of our assets with the duration of our liabilities. We are generally an end-user of derivatives; our principal purpose in using derivatives is to manage our aggregate interest-rate risk profile within prescribed risk parameters. We generally only use derivatives that are relatively liquid and straightforward to value. We use derivatives for four primary purposes:
•as a substitute for notes and bonds that we issue in the debt markets;
•to achieve risk management objectives not obtainable with debt market securities;
•to quickly and efficiently rebalance our portfolio; and
•to hedge foreign currency exposure.
Decisions regarding the repositioning of our derivatives portfolio are based upon current assessments of our interest-rate risk profile and economic conditions, including the composition of our retained mortgage portfolio, our investments in non-mortgage securities and relative mix of our debt and derivative positions, the interest-rate environment and expected trends.
Measurement of Interest-Rate Risk
Below we present two quantitative metrics that provide estimates of our interest-rate risk exposure: (1) fair value sensitivity of our net portfolio to changes in interest-rate levels and slope of yield curve; and (2) duration gap. The metrics presented are calculated using internal models that require standard assumptions regarding interest rates and future prepayments of principal over the remaining life of our securities. These assumptions are derived based on the characteristics of the underlying structure of the securities and historical prepayment rates experienced at specified interest-rate levels, taking into account current market conditions, the current mortgage rates of our existing outstanding loans, loan age and other factors. On a regular basis, management makes judgments about the appropriateness of the risk assessments and will make adjustments as necessary to properly assess our interest-rate exposure and manage our interest-rate risk. The methodologies used to calculate risk estimates are periodically changed on a prospective basis to reflect improvements in the underlying estimation process.
Interest-Rate Sensitivity to Changes in Interest-Rate Level and Slope of Yield Curve
Pursuant to a disclosure commitment with FHFA, we disclose on a monthly basis the estimated adverse impact on the fair value of our net portfolio that would result from the following hypothetical situations:
• a 50 basis point shift in interest rates; and
• a 25 basis point change in the slope of the yield curve.
In measuring the estimated impact of changes in the level of interest rates, we assume a parallel shift in all maturities of the U.S. LIBOR interest-rate swap curve.
In measuring the estimated impact of changes in the slope of the yield curve, we assume a constant 7-year rate and a shift of 16.7 basis points for the 1-year rate and shorter tenors and an opposite shift of 8.3 basis points for the 30-year rate. Rate shocks for remaining maturity points are interpolated. Our practice is to allow interest rates to go below zero in the downward shock models unless otherwise prevented through contractual floors. We believe the aforementioned interest-rate shocks for our monthly disclosures represent moderate movements in interest rates over a one-month period.
Duration Gap
Duration gap measures the price sensitivity of our assets and liabilities in our net portfolio to changes in interest rates by quantifying the difference between the estimated durations of our assets and liabilities. Our duration gap analysis reflects the extent to which the estimated maturity and repricing cash flows for our assets are matched, on average, over time and across interest-rate scenarios to those of our liabilities. A positive duration gap indicates that the duration of our assets exceeds the duration of our liabilities. We disclose duration gap on a monthly basis under the caption
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“Interest Rate Risk Disclosures” in our Monthly Summary, which is available on our website and announced in a press release.
While our goal is to reduce the price sensitivity of our net portfolio to movements in interest rates, various factors can contribute to a duration gap that is either positive or negative. For example, changes in the market environment can increase or decrease the price sensitivity of our mortgage assets relative to the price sensitivity of our liabilities because of prepayment uncertainty associated with our assets. In a declining interest-rate environment, prepayment rates tend to accelerate, thereby shortening the duration and average life of the fixed-rate mortgage assets we hold in our net portfolio. Conversely, when interest rates increase, prepayment rates generally slow, which extends the duration and average life of our mortgage assets. Our debt and derivative instrument positions are used to manage the interest-rate sensitivity of our retained mortgage portfolio and our investments in non-mortgage securities. As a result, the degree to which the interest-rate sensitivity of our retained mortgage portfolio and our investments in non-mortgage securities is offset will be dependent upon, among other factors, the mix of funding and other risk management derivative instruments we use at any given point in time.
The market value sensitivities of our net portfolio are a function of both the duration and the convexity of our net portfolio. Duration provides a measure of the price sensitivity of a financial instrument to changes in interest rates while convexity reflects the degree to which the duration of the assets and liabilities in our net portfolio changes in response to a given change in interest rates. We use convexity measures to provide us with information about how quickly and by how much our net portfolio’s duration may change in different interest-rate environments. The market value sensitivity of our net portfolio will depend on a number of factors, including the interest-rate environment, modeling assumptions and the composition of assets and liabilities in our net portfolio, which vary over time.
Results of Interest-Rate Sensitivity Measures
The interest-rate risk measures discussed below exclude the impact of changes in the fair value of our guaranty assets and liabilities resulting from changes in interest rates. We exclude our guaranty business from these sensitivity measures based on our current assumption that the guaranty fee income generated from future business activity will largely replace guaranty fee income lost due to mortgage prepayments.
The table below displays the pre-tax market value sensitivity of our net portfolio to changes in the level of interest rates and the slope of the yield curve as measured on the last day of each period presented. The table below also provides the daily average, minimum, maximum and standard deviation values for duration gap and for the most adverse market value impact on the net portfolio to changes in the level of interest rates and the slope of the yield curve for the three months ended December 31, 2022 and 2021.
The sensitivity measures displayed in the table below, which we disclose on a quarterly basis pursuant to a disclosure commitment with FHFA, are an extension of our monthly sensitivity measures discussed above. There are three primary differences between our monthly sensitivity disclosure and the quarterly sensitivity disclosure presented below:
•the quarterly disclosure is expanded to include the sensitivity results for larger rate level shocks of positive or negative 100 basis points;
•the monthly disclosure reflects the estimated pre-tax impact on the market value of our net portfolio calculated based on a daily average, while the quarterly disclosure reflects the estimated pre-tax impact calculated based on the estimated financial position of our net portfolio and the market environment as of the last business day of the quarter; and
•the monthly disclosure shows the most adverse pre-tax impact on the market value of our net portfolio from the hypothetical interest-rate shocks, while the quarterly disclosure includes the estimated pre-tax impact of both up and down interest-rate shocks.
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Interest-Rate Sensitivity of Net Portfolio to Changes in Interest-Rate Level and Slope of Yield Curve |
| As of December 31,(1)(2) |
| 2022 | | 2021 |
| (Dollars in millions) |
Rate level shock: | | | | | | | |
-100 basis points | | $ | (10) | | | | | $ | (184) | | |
-50 basis points | | 5 | | | | | (69) | | |
+50 basis points | | (14) | | | | | 54 | | |
+100 basis points | | (35) | | | | | 75 | | |
Rate slope shock: | | | | | | | |
-25 basis points (flattening) | | (8) | | | | | (8) | | |
+25 basis points (steepening) | | 10 | | | | | 8 | | |
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| | For the Three Months Ended December 31,(1)(3) |
| | 2022 | | 2021 |
| | Duration Gap | | Rate Slope Shock 25 bps | | Rate Level Shock 50 bps | | Duration Gap | | Rate Slope Shock 25 bps | | Rate Level Shock 50 bps |
| | | | Market Value Sensitivity | | | | Market Value Sensitivity |
| | (In years) | | (Dollars in millions) | | (In years) | | (Dollars in millions) |
Average | | — | | | $ | (5) | | | | | $ | (16) | | | | (0.05) | | | $ | (5) | | | | | $ | (77) | | |
Minimum | | (0.04) | | | (10) | | | | | (36) | | | | (0.09) | | | (10) | | | | | (110) | | |
Maximum | | 0.04 | | | — | | | | | (3) | | | | 0.00 | | | 1 | | | | | (25) | | |
Standard deviation | | 0.02 | | | 2 | | | | | 8 | | | | 0.02 | | | 3 | | | | | 17 | | |
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(1)Computed based on changes in U.S. LIBOR interest-rates swap curve.
(2)Measured on the last business day of each period presented.
(3)Computed based on daily values during the period presented.
The market value sensitivity of our net portfolio varies across a range of interest-rate shocks depending upon the duration and convexity profile of our net portfolio. The market value sensitivity of the net portfolio is measured by quantifying the change in the present value of the cash flows of our financial assets and liabilities that would result from an instantaneous shock to interest rates, assuming spreads are held constant. For the subset of floating-rate liabilities and assets that are indexed to LIBOR or SOFR, the interest component of their future cash flows is calculated using the projection of the corresponding index rate. For all assets and liabilities, the discount factor used to calculate the present value of the future cash flows is constructed using the LIBOR yield curve.
LIBOR rate quotes will cease on June 30, 2023, and after that date the interest accrued on floating-rate instruments that are contractually indexed to LIBOR will reset based on SOFR. Before that LIBOR cessation date, the portfolio interest-rate risk measurement process will transition from using LIBOR to using SOFR as the benchmark interest rate. This change is not expected to have a significant impact on the measurement of our interest-rate risk or our financial results.
We use derivatives to help manage the residual interest-rate risk exposure between the assets and liabilities in our net portfolio. Derivatives have enabled us to keep our economic interest-rate risk exposure at consistently low levels in a wide range of interest-rate environments. The table below displays an example of how derivatives impacted the net market value exposure for a 50 basis point parallel interest-rate shock. For additional information on our derivative positions, see “Note 8, Derivative Instruments.” | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Derivative Impact on Interest-Rate Risk (50 Basis Points) |
| As of December 31,(1) |
| 2022 | | 2021 |
| (Dollars in millions) |
Before derivatives | | $ | (177) | | | | | $ | (539) | | |
After derivatives | | (14) | | | | | (69) | | |
Effect of derivatives | | 163 | | | | | 470 | | |
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(1)Measured on the last business day of each period presented.
Earnings Exposure to Interest-Rate Risk
While we manage the interest-rate risk of our net portfolio with the objective of remaining neutral to movements in interest rates and volatility on an economic basis, our earnings can experience volatility due to interest-rate changes and differing accounting treatments that apply to certain financial instruments on our balance sheet. Specifically, we have exposure to earnings volatility that is driven by changes in interest rates in two primary areas: our net portfolio and our consolidated MBS trusts. The exposure in the net portfolio is primarily driven by changes in the fair value of risk management derivatives, mortgage commitments, and certain assets, primarily securities, that are carried at fair value. The exposure related to our consolidated MBS trusts relates to changes in our credit loss reserves and to the amortization of cost basis adjustments resulting from changes in interest rates.
In January 2021, we began applying fair value hedge accounting to address some of the exposure to interest rates, particularly the earnings volatility related to changes in benchmark interest rates, including LIBOR and SOFR. Our hedge accounting program is specifically designed to address the volatility of our financial results associated with changes in fair value related to changes in the benchmark interest rates. As such, earnings variability driven by other factors, such as spreads or changes in cost basis amortization recognized in net interest income, remains. In addition, our ability to effectively reduce earnings volatility is dependent upon the volume and type of interest-rate swaps available, which is driven by our interest-rate risk management strategy discussed above. As our range of available interest-rate swaps varies over time, our ability to reduce earnings volatility through hedge accounting may vary as well. When the shape of the yield curve shifts significantly from period to period, hedge accounting may be less effective. In our current program, we establish new hedging relationships daily to provide flexibility in our overall risk management strategy.
See “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” and “Note 8, Derivative Instruments” for additional information on our fair value hedge accounting policy and related disclosures.
Liquidity and Funding Risk Management
See “Liquidity and Capital Management” for a discussion of how we manage liquidity and funding risk.
Operational Risk Management
Operational risk is the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people or systems, or from external events. Our corporate operational risk framework aligns with our Enterprise Risk policy and has evolved based on the changing needs of our business and FHFA regulatory guidance. The Operational Risk Management group is responsible for overseeing and monitoring compliance with our operational risk program’s requirements. The Operational Risk Management group reports to the Chief Risk Officer and works in conjunction with other second line of defense teams, such as Compliance and Ethics, to oversee and aggregate the full range of operational risks, including fraud, resiliency, business interruptions, processing errors, damage to physical assets, workplace safety and employment practices. To quantify our operational risk exposure, we rely on the Basel Standardized Approach, which is based on a percentage of gross income. In addition, where appropriate, we purchase insurance policies to mitigate the impact of operational losses.
See “Risk Factors—Operational Risk” for more information regarding our operational risk and “Risk Management” for more information regarding our governance of operational risk management.
Cybersecurity Risk Management
Our operations rely on the secure receipt, processing, storage and transmission of confidential and other information in our computer systems and networks and with our business partners, including proprietary, confidential or personal information that is subject to privacy laws, regulations or contractual obligations. Information security risks for large institutions like us have significantly increased in recent years and from time to time we have been, and expect to continue to be, the target of attempted cyber attacks and other information security threats. These risks are an unavoidable result of being in business, and managing these risks is part of our business activities.
We have developed and continue to enhance our cybersecurity risk management program to protect the security of our computer systems, software, networks and other technology assets against unauthorized attempts to access confidential information or to disrupt or degrade business operations. Our cybersecurity risk management program aligns to the National Institute of Standards and Technology Framework for Improving Critical Infrastructure Cybersecurity, and has evolved based on the changing needs of our business, the evolving threat environment and FHFA regulatory guidance. Our cybersecurity risk management program extends to oversight of third parties that could be a source of cybersecurity risk, including lenders that use our systems and third-party service providers. We examine the effectiveness and maturity of our cyber defenses through various means, including internal audits, targeted testing,
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incident response exercises, maturity assessments and industry benchmarking. We continue to strengthen our partnerships with the appropriate government and law enforcement agencies and with other businesses and cybersecurity services in order to understand the full spectrum of cybersecurity risks in the environment, enhance our defenses and improve our resiliency against cybersecurity threats. We also maintain insurance coverage relating to cybersecurity risks. To date, we have not experienced any material losses relating to cyber attacks. However, large-scale cyber attacks in recent years suggest that the risk of damaging cyber attacks is increasing. As a result, we continue to invest in our cybersecurity infrastructure. For a discussion of our Board of Directors’ role in overseeing the company’s cybersecurity risk management, see “Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance—Corporate Governance—Risk Management Oversight—Board’s Role in Cybersecurity Risk Oversight.”
Despite our efforts to ensure the integrity of our software, computers, systems and information, we may not be able to anticipate, detect or recognize threats to our systems and assets, or to implement effective preventive measures against all cyber threats, especially because the techniques used are increasingly sophisticated, change frequently, are complex and are often not recognized until launched. We have discussed and worked with lenders, servicers, vendors, service providers, counterparties and other third parties to develop secure transmission capabilities and protect against cyber attacks, but we do not have, and may be unable to put in place, secure capabilities with all of our lenders, servicers, vendors, service providers, counterparties and other third parties, and we may not be able to ensure that these third parties have appropriate controls in place to protect the confidentiality of the information. See “Risk Factors—Operational Risk” for additional discussion of cybersecurity risks to our business.
Model Risk Management
Model risk is the potential for adverse consequences from decisions based on incorrect, misused or misinterpreted model outputs. The use of models requires numerous assumptions and there are inherent limitations in any methodology used to estimate macroeconomic factors such as home prices, unemployment and interest rates, and their impact on borrower behavior. When market conditions change rapidly and dramatically, the assumptions used by models may no longer accurately capture or reflect the changing conditions. Given the challenges of predicting future behavior, management judgment is used throughout the modeling process, from model design decisions regarding core underlying assumptions, to interpreting and applying final model output.
We manage model risk through a model risk management framework that establishes the roles and responsibilities for managing model risk through the model life cycle, as well as related governance requirements. Under our model risk management framework, model owners and users have responsibility for monitoring whether models are performing accurately and complying with the framework’s control requirements. We have an independent model risk management team within our Enterprise Risk Management division that is responsible for establishing and maintaining the model risk management framework, as well as providing independent review and approval of models prior to use. We also have a management-level Model Risk Oversight Committee that oversees risk management activities related to model risk. In addition to internally-developed models, we also use select third-party models.
While we employ strategies to manage and govern the risks associated with our use of models, they have not always been fully effective. Errors have been discovered in some of the models we use, as well as deficiencies in our current processes for managing model risk. We are currently working on a number of remediation activities relating to our models, including improving our processes for model governance, development, implementation and testing.
See “Risk Factors—Operational Risk” for a discussion of the risks associated with the use of models, including our use of third-party models and third-party data providers.
Critical Accounting Estimates The preparation of financial statements in accordance with GAAP requires management to make a number of judgments, estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amount of assets, liabilities, income and expenses in our consolidated financial statements. Understanding our accounting policies and the extent to which we use management judgment and estimates in applying these policies is integral to understanding our financial statements. We describe our most significant accounting policies in “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies.”
We evaluate our critical accounting estimates and judgments required by our policies on an ongoing basis and update them as necessary based on changing conditions. Management has discussed any significant changes in judgments and assumptions in applying our critical accounting estimates with the Audit Committee of our Board of Directors. See “Risk Factors—General Risk” for a discussion of the risks associated with the need for management to make judgments and estimates in applying our accounting policies and methods. We have identified one of our accounting estimates, allowance for loan losses, as critical because it involves significant judgments and assumptions about highly complex
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and inherently uncertain matters, and the use of reasonably different judgments and assumptions could have a material impact on our reported results of operations or financial condition.
Allowance for Loan Losses
The allowance for loan losses is an estimate of single-family and multifamily HFI loan receivables that we expect will not be collected related to loans held by Fannie Mae or by consolidated Fannie Mae MBS trusts. The expected credit losses are deducted from the amortized cost basis of HFI loans to present the net amount expected to be received.
The allowance for loan losses involves substantial judgment on a number of matters including the development and weighting of macroeconomic forecasts, the reversion period applied, the assessment of similar risk characteristics, which determines the historic loss experience used to derive probability of loan default, the valuation of collateral, and the determination of a loan’s remaining expected life. Our most significant judgments involved in estimating our allowance for loan losses relate to the macroeconomic data used to develop reasonable and supportable forecasts for key economic drivers, which are subject to significant inherent uncertainty. Most notably, for single-family, the model uses forecasted single-family home prices as well as a range of possible future interest rate environments, which drive prepayment speeds and impact the measurement of the economic concession provided on loans modified in a restructuring which are accounted for as a TDR. For multifamily, the model uses forecasted rental income and property valuations over the remaining life of each mortgage loan. In developing a reasonable and supportable forecast, the model simulates multiple paths of interest rates, rental income and property values based on current market conditions.
Pursuant to our adoption of ASU 2022-02 effective January 1, 2022, we prospectively discontinued TDR accounting and no longer measure the economic concession for loan modifications occurring on or after the adoption date. In addition, modifications to loans previously designated as TDRs that occur on or after January 1, 2022, are accounted for under the newly adopted ASU and result in the elimination of any prior economic concession recorded in the allowance related to such loans, which results in a benefit for loan losses. Although increases in interest rates were a meaningful driver of our provision for credit losses in 2022, we expect the decrease in the balance of loans that were previously designated as TDRs will reduce the sensitivity of our single-family benefit (provision) for credit losses to interest rate volatility over time. See “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies—New Accounting Guidance” for more information about our adoption of ASU 2022-02.
Quantitative Component
We use a discounted cash flow method to measure expected credit losses on our single-family mortgage loans and an undiscounted loss method to measure expected credit losses on our multifamily mortgage loans. The models use reasonable and supportable forecasts for key macroeconomic drivers.
Our modeled loan performance is based on our historical experience of loans with similar risk characteristics adjusted to reflect current conditions and reasonable and supportable forecasts. Our historical loss experience and our loan loss estimates capture the possibility of a multitude of events, including remote events that could result in credit losses on loans that are considered low risk. Our credit loss models, including the macroeconomic forecast data used as key inputs, are subject to our model oversight and review processes as well as other established governance and controls.
Qualitative Component
Our process for measuring expected credit losses is complex and involves significant management judgment, including a reliance on historical loss information and current economic forecasts that may not be representative of credit losses we ultimately realize. Management adjustments may be necessary to take into consideration external factors and current macroeconomic events that have occurred but are not yet reflected in the data used to derive the model outputs. Qualitative factors and events not previously observed by the models through historical loss experience may also be considered, as well as the uncertainty of their impact on credit loss estimates.
Macroeconomic Variables and Sensitivities
Our benefit or provision for credit losses can vary substantially from period to period based on forecasted macroeconomic drivers; primarily home prices and interest rates related to our single-family book of business, which for the purposes of macroeconomic model inputs, we have determined are the most significant judgments used in our estimation of credit losses. We develop regional forecasts for single-family home prices using a multi-path simulation that captures home price projections over a five-year period, which is the period for which we can develop reasonable and supportable forecasts. After the five-year period, the home price forecast reverts to a historical long-term growth rate. Additionally, our model projects the range of possible interest rate scenarios over the life of the loan. This process captures multiple possible outcomes of what could be more or less favorable economic environments for the borrower, and therefore will increase or decrease the likelihood of default or prepayment depending on the environment in each path of the simulation.
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| MD&A | Critical Accounting Estimates |
The table below provides information about our most significant key macroeconomic inputs used in determining our single-family allowance for loan losses: forecasted home price growth rates and interest rates. Although the model consumes a wide range of possible regional home price forecasts and interest rate scenarios that take into account inherent uncertainty, the forecasts below represent the mean path of those simulations used in determining the allowance for each quarter during the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2022, and how those forecasts have changed between periods of estimate. Below we present the two succeeding periods used in our estimate of expected credit losses. The forecasts consider periods beyond those presented below.
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Select Single-Family Macroeconomic Model Inputs(1) | |
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Forecasted home price growth (decline) rate by period of estimate:(2) | | | | | |
| For the Full Year ending December 31, | |
| 2022 | | 2023 | | 2024 | |
Fourth Quarter 2022 | 8.4 | % | | (4.2) | % | | (2.3) | % | |
Third Quarter 2022 | 9.0 | | | (1.5) | | | (1.4) | | |
Second Quarter 2022 | 16.0 | | | 4.4 | | | 0.5 | | |
First Quarter 2022 | 10.8 | | | 3.2 | | | 1.3 | | |
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| For the Full Year ending December 31, | |
| 2021 | | 2022 | | 2023 | |
Fourth Quarter 2021 | 18.8 | % | | 8.2 | % | | 2.9 | % | |
Third Quarter 2021 | 18.4 | | | 7.9 | | | 2.4 | | |
Second Quarter 2021 | 14.8 | | | 5.4 | | | 2.5 | | |
First Quarter 2021 | 8.8 | | | 2.5 | | | 1.7 | | |
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Forecasted 30-year interest rates by period of estimate:(3) | | | | | |
| Through the end of December 31, | | For the Full Year ending December 31, | |
| 2022 | | 2023 | | 2024 | |
Fourth Quarter 2022 | 6.5 | % | | 6.5 | % | | 6.0 | % | |
Third Quarter 2022 | 6.8 | | | 6.7 | | | 6.2 | | |
Second Quarter 2022 | 5.7 | | | 5.4 | | | 5.2 | | |
First Quarter 2022 | 4.7 | | | 4.8 | | | 4.7 | | |
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| Through the end of December 31, | | For the Full Year ending December 31, | |
| 2021 | | 2022 | | 2023 | |
Fourth Quarter 2021 | 3.2 | % | | 3.5 | % | | 3.7 | % | |
Third Quarter 2021 | 3.1 | | | 3.4 | | | 3.7 | | |
Second Quarter 2021 | 3.1 | | | 3.4 | | | 3.6 | | |
First Quarter 2021 | 3.1 | | | 3.3 | | | 3.6 | | |
(1) These forecasts are provided here solely for the purpose of providing insight into our credit loss model. Forecasts for future periods are subject to significant uncertainty, which increases for periods that are further in the future. We provide our most recent forecasts for certain macroeconomic and housing market conditions in “Key Market Economic Indicators.” In addition, each month our Economic & Strategic Research group provides its forecast of economic and housing market conditions, which are available in the “Research and Insights” section of our website, www.fanniemae.com. Information on our website is not incorporated into this report.
(2) These estimates are based on our national home price index, which is calculated differently from the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index and therefore results in different percentages for comparable growth. We periodically update our home price growth estimates and forecasts as new data become available. As a result, the forecast data in this table may also differ from the forecasted home price growth (decline) rate presented in “Key Market Economic Indicators,” because that section reflects our most recent forecast as of the filing date of this report, while this table reflects the quantitative forecast data we used in our model to estimate credit losses for the periods shown. Management continues to monitor macroeconomic updates to our inputs in our credit loss model from the time they are approved as part of our established governance process, to ensure the reasonableness of the inputs used to calculate estimated credit losses. The forecast data excludes the impact of any qualitative adjustments.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 157 |
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| MD&A | Critical Accounting Estimates |
(3) Forecasted 30-year interest rates represent the mean of possible future interest rate environments that are simulated by our interest rate model and used in the estimation of credit losses. Forecasts through the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021, represent the average forecasted rate from the quarter-end through the calendar year end of December 31st. The fourth quarter of 2022 and 2021 interest rates represent the 30-year interest rate as of December 31, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively. This table reflects the forecasted interest rate data we used in estimating credit losses for the periods shown and does not reflect changes in interest rates that occurred after the forecast date.
It is difficult to estimate how potential changes in any one factor or input might affect the overall credit loss estimates, because management considers a wide variety of factors and inputs in estimating the allowance for loan losses. Changes in the factors and inputs considered may not occur at the same rate and may not be consistent across all geographies or loan types, and changes in factors and inputs may be directionally inconsistent, such that improvement in one factor or input may offset deterioration in others. Changes in our assumptions and forecasts of economic conditions could significantly affect our estimate of expected credit losses and lead to significant changes in the estimate from one reporting period to the next.
As noted above, our allowance for loan losses is sensitive to changes in home prices and interest rate changes. To consider the impact of a hypothetical change in home prices, assuming a positive one-percentage point change in the home price growth rate for the first twelve months of the forecast, on a normalized basis, with all other factors held constant, the single-family allowance for loan losses as of December 31, 2022 would decrease by approximately 4%. Conversely, assuming a negative one-percentage point change in the home price growth rate for the first twelve months of the forecast, on a normalized basis, the single-family allowance for loan losses would increase by approximately 4%.
To consider the impact of a hypothetical change in 30-year interest rates, assuming a 50-basis point increase in estimated 30-year interest rates, with all other factors held constant, the single-family allowance for loan losses as of December 31, 2022 would increase by approximately 1%. Conversely, assuming a 50-basis point decrease in 30-year interest rates, the single-family allowance for loan losses would decrease by approximately 2%.
These sensitivity analyses are hypothetical and are provided solely for the purpose of providing insight into our credit loss model inputs. In addition, sensitivities for home price and interest rate changes are non-linear. As a result, changes in these estimates are not incrementally proportional. The purpose of this analysis is to provide an indication of the impact of home price appreciation and 30-year interest rates on the estimate of the allowance for credit losses. For example, it is not intended to imply management’s expectation of future changes in our forecasts or any other variables that may change as a result.
We provide more detailed information on our accounting for the allowance for loan losses in “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies.” See “Note 4, Allowance for Loan Losses” for additional information about our current period benefit (provision) for loan losses.
See “Key Market Economic Indicators” for additional information about how home prices can affect our credit loss estimates, including a discussion of home price growth/decline rates and our home price forecast. Also see “Consolidated Results of Operations—Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses” for information on how our home price forecast impacted our single-family benefit (provision) for credit losses.
Impact of Future Adoption of New Accounting Guidance We have not identified recently issued accounting changes that are expected to materially impact our future consolidated financial statements. See “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” for recently implemented accounting guidance.
Glossary of Terms Used in This Report Terms used in this report have the following meanings, unless the context indicates otherwise.
“Agency mortgage-related securities” refers to mortgage-related securities issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae.
“Amortization income” refers to income resulting from the amortization of cost basis adjustments, including premiums and discounts on mortgage loans and securities, as a yield adjustment over the contractual life of the loan or security. These basis adjustments often result from upfront fees that we receive at the time of loan acquisition primarily related to single-family loan-level price adjustments or other fees we receive from lenders, which are amortized over the contractual life of the loan.
“Back-end credit enhancements” refers to credit enhancements that we obtain after acquiring a loan.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 158 |
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| MD&A | Glossary of Terms Used in This Report |
“Business volume” refers to the sum in any given period of the unpaid principal balance of: (1) the mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities we purchase for our retained mortgage portfolio; (2) the mortgage loans we securitize into Fannie Mae MBS that are acquired by third parties; and (3) credit enhancements that we provide on our mortgage assets. It excludes mortgage loans we securitize from our portfolio and the purchase of Fannie Mae MBS for our retained mortgage portfolio.
“CECL standard” refers to Accounting Standards Update 2016-13, Financial Instruments—Credit Losses, Measurement of Credit Losses on Financial Instruments and related amendments.
“Connecticut Avenue Securities” or “CAS” refers to a type of security that allows Fannie Mae to transfer a portion of the credit risk from loan reference pools, consisting of certain mortgage loans in our guaranty book of business, to third-party investors.
“Connecticut Avenue Securities Credit-Linked Notes” or “CAS CLNs” refers to Connecticut Avenue Securities that are structured as securities issued by trusts that do not qualify as REMICs.
“Connecticut Avenue Securities REMICs” or “CAS REMICs” refers to Connecticut Avenue Securities that are structured as notes issued by trusts that qualify as REMICs.
“Conventional mortgage” refers to a mortgage loan that is not guaranteed or insured by the U.S. government or its agencies, such as the VA, the FHA or the Rural Development Housing and Community Facilities Program of the Department of Agriculture.
“Credit enhancement” refers to an agreement used to reduce credit risk by requiring collateral, letters of credit, mortgage insurance, corporate guarantees, inclusion in a credit risk transfer transaction reference pool, or other agreements to provide an entity with some assurance that it will be compensated to some degree in the event of a financial loss.
“Credit Insurance Risk Transfer” or “CIRT” refers to insurance transactions whereby we obtain actual loss coverage on pools of loans either directly from an insurance provider that retains the risk, or from an insurance provider that simultaneously cedes all of its risk to one or more reinsurers.
“Desktop Underwriter” or “DU” refers to our proprietary automated underwriting system used by mortgage lenders to evaluate the substantial majority of our single-family loan acquisitions.
“Delegated Underwriting and Servicing Program” or “DUS Program” refers to our multifamily business program whereby DUS lenders, who must be pre-approved by us, are delegated the authority to underwrite and service loans for delivery to us in accordance with our standards and requirements.
“FHFA” refers to the Federal Housing Finance Agency. FHFA is an independent agency of the federal government with general supervisory and regulatory authority over Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Home Loan Banks. FHFA is our safety and soundness regulator and our mission regulator. FHFA also has been acting as our conservator since September 6, 2008. For more information on FHFA’s authority as our conservator and as our regulator, see “Business—Conservatorship and Treasury Agreements” and “Business—Legislation and Regulation—GSE-Focused Matters.”
“Front-end credit enhancements” refers to credit enhancements that we obtain at the time we acquire a loan.
“GSE Act” refers to the Federal Housing Enterprises Financial Safety and Soundness Act of 1992, as amended, including by the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008.
“Guaranty book of business” refers to the sum of the unpaid principal balance of: (1) Fannie Mae MBS outstanding (excluding the portions of any structured securities Fannie Mae issues that are backed by Freddie Mac securities); (2) mortgage loans of Fannie Mae held in our retained mortgage portfolio; and (3) other credit enhancements that we provide on mortgage assets. It also excludes non-Fannie Mae mortgage-related securities held in our retained mortgage portfolio for which we do not provide a guaranty.
“HFI loans” or “held-for-investment loans” refer to mortgage loans we acquire for which we have the ability and intent to hold for the foreseeable future or until maturity.
“HFS loans” or “held-for-sale loans” refer to mortgage loans we acquire that we intend to sell or securitize via trusts that will not be consolidated.
“Loans,” “mortgage loans” and “mortgages” refer to both whole loans and loan participations, secured by residential real estate, cooperative shares or by manufactured housing units.
“Loss reserves” consists of our allowance for loan losses and our reserve for guaranty losses.
“Mortgage assets,” when referring to our assets, refers to both mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities we hold in our retained mortgage portfolio. For purposes of the senior preferred stock purchase agreement, the definition of mortgage assets is based on the unpaid principal balance of such assets and does not reflect market valuation
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 159 |
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| MD&A | Glossary of Terms Used in This Report |
adjustments, allowance for loan losses, impairments, unamortized premiums and discounts and the impact of our consolidation of variable interest entities. Our mortgage asset calculation also includes 10% of the notional value of interest-only securities we hold. We disclose the amount of our mortgage assets for purposes of the senior preferred stock purchase agreement on a monthly basis in the “Endnotes” to our Monthly Summaries, which are available on our website and announced in a press release.
“Mortgage-backed securities” or “MBS” refers generally to securities that represent beneficial interests in pools of mortgage loans or other mortgage-related securities. These securities may be issued by Fannie Mae or by others.
“Multifamily Connecticut Avenue Securities” or “MCAS” refers to Connecticut Avenue Securities that are structured as notes issued by trusts to transfer credit risk on our multifamily guaranty book of business to third-party investors.
“Multifamily mortgage loan” refers to a mortgage loan secured by a property containing five or more residential dwelling units.
“New business purchases” refers to single-family and multifamily whole mortgage loans purchased during the period and single-family and multifamily mortgage loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS issued during the period pursuant to lender swaps.
“Notional amount” refers to the hypothetical dollar amount in an interest rate swap transaction on which exchanged payments are based. The notional amount in an interest rate swap transaction generally is not paid or received by either party to the transaction, or generally perceived as being at risk. The notional amount is typically significantly greater than the potential market or credit loss that could result from such transaction.
“Outstanding Fannie Mae MBS” refers to the total unpaid principal balance of any type of mortgage-backed security that we issue, including UMBS, Supers, REMICs and other types of single-family or multifamily mortgage-backed securities that are held by third-party investors or in our retained mortgage portfolio. For securities held by third-party investors, it excludes the portions of any structured securities Fannie Mae issues that are backed by Freddie Mac-issued securities.
“Private-label securities” refers to mortgage-related securities issued by entities other than agency issuers Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae.
“Refi Plus loans” refers to loans we acquired under our Refi Plus initiative, which offered refinancing flexibility to eligible Fannie Mae borrowers who were current on their loans and who applied prior to the initiative’s December 31, 2018 sunset date. Refi Plus had no limits on maximum LTV ratio and provided mortgage insurance flexibilities for loans with LTV ratios greater than 80%.
“REMIC” or “Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduit” refers to a type of mortgage-related security in which interest and principal payments from mortgages or mortgage-related securities are structured into separately traded securities.
“REO” refers to real-estate owned by Fannie Mae because we have foreclosed on the property or obtained the property through a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure.
“Representations and warranties” refers to a lender’s assurance that a mortgage loan sold to us complies with the standards outlined in our Mortgage Selling and Servicing Contract, which incorporates the Selling and Servicing Guides, including underwriting and documentation. Violation of any representation or warranty is a breach of the lender contract, including the warranty that the loan complies with all applicable requirements of the contract, which provides us with certain rights and remedies.
“Retained mortgage portfolio” refers to the mortgage-related assets we own (excluding the portion of assets that back mortgage-related securities owned by third parties).
“Single-family mortgage loan” refers to a mortgage loan secured by a property containing four or fewer residential dwelling units.
“Structured Fannie Mae MBS” refers to Fannie Mae securitizations that are resecuritizations of UMBS or previously-issued structured securities. Our structured securities can be commingled—that is, they can include both Fannie Mae securities and Freddie Mac securities as the underlying collateral for the security.
“TCCA fees” refers to the expense recognized as a result of the 10 basis point increase in guaranty fees on all single-family residential mortgages delivered to us on or after April 1, 2012 pursuant to the Temporary Payroll Tax Cut Continuation Act of 2011 and as extended by the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, which we remit to Treasury on a quarterly basis.
“TDR” or “troubled debt restructuring” refers to a modification to the contractual terms of a loan that results in granting a concession to a borrower experiencing financial difficulties. Effective January 1, 2022, we adopted ASU 2022-02, which eliminated TDR accounting prospectively for all restructurings occurring on or after January 1, 2022.
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Fannie Mae 2022 Form 10-K | | 160 |
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| MD&A | Glossary of Terms Used in This Report |
“Uniform Mortgage-Backed Securities” or “UMBS” refers to the securities each of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac issues and guarantees that are directly backed by mortgage loans it has acquired as described in “Business—Mortgage Securitizations—Uniform Mortgage-Backed Securities, or UMBS.”
“Write-off” refers to loan amounts written off as uncollectible bad debts. These loan amounts are removed from our consolidated balance sheet and charged against our loss reserves when the balance is deemed uncollectible, which is generally at foreclosure or other liquidation events (such as a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure or a short-sale). Also includes write-offs related to the redesignation of loans from held for investment to held for sale.