| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 4 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Consolidated Results of Operations
This section discusses our condensed consolidated results of operations and should be read together with our condensed consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes.
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Summary of Condensed Consolidated Results of Operations | |
| | | | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | | | |
| | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | 2024 | | 2023 | | Variance | |
| | | | | | | | (Dollars in millions) | |
| Net interest income | | | | | | | | $ | 7,023 | | | $ | 6,786 | | | $ | 237 | | |
Fee and other income(1) | | | | | | | | 72 | | | 63 | | | 9 | | |
| Net revenues | | | | | | | | 7,095 | | | 6,849 | | | 246 | | |
| Investment gains (losses), net | | | | | | | | 22 | | | (67) | | | 89 | | |
| Fair value gains, net | | | | | | | | 480 | | | 204 | | | 276 | | |
| Administrative expenses | | | | | | | | (929) | | | (868) | | | (61) | | |
| Benefit (provision) for credit losses | | | | | | | | 180 | | | (132) | | | 312 | | |
TCCA fees(2) | | | | | | | | (860) | | | (855) | | | (5) | | |
Credit enhancement expense(3) | | | | | | | | (419) | | | (341) | | | (78) | | |
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries(4) | | | | | | | | 63 | | | 120 | | | (57) | | |
Other expenses, net(5) | | | | | | | | (199) | | | (130) | | | (69) | | |
| Income before federal income taxes | | | | | | | | 5,433 | | | 4,780 | | | 653 | | |
| Provision for federal income taxes | | | | | | | | (1,113) | | | (1,008) | | | (105) | | |
| Net income | | | | | | | | $ | 4,320 | | | $ | 3,772 | | | $ | 548 | | |
| Total comprehensive income | | | | | | | | $ | 4,324 | | | $ | 3,772 | | | $ | 552 | | |
(1)Single-family fee and other income consists primarily of compensation for engaging in structured transactions and providing other lender services. Multifamily fee and other income consists of fees associated with certain Multifamily business activities such as credit enhancements for tax-exempt multifamily housing revenue bonds.
(2)TCCA fees refers to the expense recognized as a result of the 10 basis point increase in guaranty fees on all single-family mortgages delivered to us on or after April 1, 2012 pursuant to the Temporary Payroll Tax Cut Continuation Act of 2011 and as extended by the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, which we pay to Treasury.
(3)Consists of costs associated with our freestanding credit enhancements, which primarily include our Connecticut Avenue Securities® (“CAS”) and Credit Insurance Risk TransferTM (“CIRTTM”) programs, enterprise-paid mortgage insurance and certain lender risk-sharing programs.
(4)Includes estimated changes in benefits, as well as any realized amounts, from our freestanding credit enhancements.
(5)Consists of debt extinguishment gains and losses, expenses associated with legal claims, foreclosed property income (expense), gains and losses from partnership investments, housing trust fund expenses, loan subservicing costs, and servicer fees paid in connection with certain loss mitigation activities.
Net Interest Income
Overview
Our primary source of net interest income is guaranty fees we receive for assuming the credit risk on mortgage loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS held by third parties in our guaranty book of business. We also recognize net interest income on the difference between interest income earned on the assets in our retained mortgage portfolio and our corporate liquidity portfolio (collectively, our “portfolios”) and the interest expense associated with our funding debt. In addition, income or expense from hedge accounting is a component of our net interest income. See “MD&A—Consolidated Results of Operations—Net Interest Income” in our 2023 Form 10-K for a description of the components of our single-family and multifamily guaranty fees and the components of our net interest income from our guaranty book of business, portfolios, and hedge accounting.
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 5 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Components of Net Interest Income
The table below displays the components of our net interest income from our guaranty book of business, from our portfolios, as well as from hedge accounting.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Components of Net Interest Income |
| | | | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | | |
| | | | | | | | 2024 | | 2023 | | Variance |
| | | | | | | | (Dollars in millions) |
Net interest income from guaranty book of business: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Base guaranty fee income(1) | | | | | | | | $ | 4,090 | | | $ | 3,992 | | | $ | 98 | |
Base guaranty fee income related to TCCA(2) | | | | | | | | 860 | | | 855 | | | 5 | |
Net deferred guaranty fee income(3) | | | | | | | | 777 | | | 781 | | | (4) | |
Total net interest income from guaranty book of business | | | | | | | | 5,727 | | | 5,628 | | | 99 | |
Net interest income from portfolios(4) | | | | | | | | 1,547 | | | 1,390 | | | 157 | |
Expense from hedge accounting(5) | | | | | | | | (251) | | | (232) | | | (19) | |
Total net interest income | | | | | | | | $ | 7,023 | | | $ | 6,786 | | | $ | 237 | |
(1)Excludes revenues generated by the 10 basis point guaranty fee increase we implemented pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from which is paid to Treasury and not retained by us.
(2)Represents revenues generated by the 10 basis point guaranty fee increase we implemented pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from which is paid to Treasury and not retained by us.
(3)Excludes the amortization of cost basis adjustments resulting from hedge accounting, which is included in income (expense) from hedge accounting.
(4)Includes interest income from assets held in our retained mortgage portfolio and our corporate liquidity portfolio, as well as other assets used to support lender liquidity. Also includes interest expense on our funding debt, including outstanding Connecticut Avenue Securities debt.
(5)For more information about our hedge accounting program, see “Note 9, Derivative Instruments.”
Net interest income increased in the first quarter of 2024 compared with the first quarter of 2023, primarily as a result of higher net interest income from portfolios and higher base guaranty fee income.
•Higher net interest income from portfolios. Higher net interest income from portfolios in the first quarter of 2024 compared with the first quarter of 2023 was primarily driven by slightly higher interest rates in the first quarter of 2024 than in the first quarter of 2023 on securities in our corporate liquidity portfolio, primarily securities purchased under agreements to resell. This was partially offset by higher interest expense on funding debt, also as a result of higher interest rates. See “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Corporate Liquidity Portfolio” for more information about our corporate liquidity portfolio.
•Higher base guaranty fee income. Higher average charged guaranty fees on our single-family guaranty book of business was the primary driver of the increase in base guaranty fee income in the first quarter of 2024 compared with the first quarter of 2023.
Analysis of Unamortized Deferred Guaranty Fees
The following charts present information about the interest rates of the loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business as well as information about our deferred guaranty fees.
As shown in the chart below (on the left), nearly all of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business as of March 31, 2024 had an interest rate lower than the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate. Per Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey®, as of March 28, 2024, the U.S. weekly average interest rate for a single-family 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 6.79%. Accordingly, even if interest rates decline meaningfully, most of the borrowers whose mortgage loans are in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business still would not be incentivized to refinance.
The other chart below (on the right) presents guaranty fees that will be amortized into deferred guaranty fee income in future periods, which we refer to as “unamortized deferred guaranty fees,” as described in “MD&A—Consolidated Results of Operations—Net Interest Income—Analysis of Unamortized Deferred Guaranty Fees” in our 2023 Form 10-K.
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 6 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
| | | | | | |
Interest Rates of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business Compared with Average 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage Rate | Unamortized Deferred Guaranty Fees(1) | |
| As of March 31, 2024 | (Dollars in billions) | |


| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| — | | Represents the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate as of March 28, 2024, according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey®, the last published rate for the quarter ending March 31, 2024. | (1) | | | Represents the net unamortized cost basis adjustments (consisting of premiums and discounts on single-family and multifamily mortgage loans and debt of consolidated trusts) that will be recognized through deferred guaranty fee income over the remaining contractual life of the mortgage loans or debt. Although we are in a net premium position for both mortgage loans and debt of consolidated trusts, we have a greater amount of premiums with respect to debt of consolidated trusts. Primarily as a result of the upfront fees we charge, the net amortization of these cost basis adjustments will result in income. |
| | | |
| — | | Represents the percentage of single-family conventional guaranty book of business by select interest rate band based on the current interest rate of the mortgage loans. | | |
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 7 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Analysis of Net Interest Income
The table below displays an analysis of our net interest income, average balances and related yields earned on assets and incurred on liabilities. For most components of the average balances, we use a daily weighted average of unpaid principal balance net of unamortized cost basis adjustments. When daily average balance information is not available, such as for mortgage loans, we use monthly averages.
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Analysis of Net Interest Income and Yield(1) |
| | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | Average Balance | | Interest Income/ (Expense) | | Average Rates Earned/Paid | | Average Balance | | Interest Income/ (Expense) | | Average Rates Earned/Paid |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Interest-earning assets: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Cash and cash equivalents(2) | | $ | 46,013 | | | $ | 621 | | | 5.40 | % | | $ | 61,591 | | | $ | 697 | | | 4.53 | % |
Securities purchased under agreements to resell | | 45,582 | | | 622 | | | 5.46 | | | 36,748 | | | 418 | | | 4.55 | |
Investments in securities(3) | | 53,887 | | | 300 | | | 2.23 | | | 54,240 | | | 284 | | | 2.09 | |
| Mortgage loans: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Mortgage loans of Fannie Mae | | 50,797 | | | 567 | | | 4.46 | | | 52,671 | | | 607 | | | 4.61 | |
Mortgage loans of consolidated trusts | | 4,094,013 | | | 34,649 | | | 3.39 | | | 4,072,953 | | | 31,530 | | | 3.10 | |
Total mortgage loans(4) | | 4,144,810 | | | 35,216 | | | 3.40 | | | 4,125,624 | | | 32,137 | | | 3.12 | |
Advances to lenders | | 2,354 | | | 39 | | | 6.63 | | | 2,367 | | | 34 | | | 5.75 | |
Total interest-earning assets | | $ | 4,292,646 | | | $ | 36,798 | | | 3.43 | % | | $ | 4,280,570 | | | $ | 33,570 | | | 3.14 | % |
Interest-bearing liabilities: | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Short-term funding debt | | $ | 14,717 | | | $ | (195) | | | 5.30 | % | | $ | 10,601 | | | $ | (119) | | | 4.49 | % |
Long-term funding debt | | 101,996 | | | (919) | | | 3.60 | | | 118,454 | | | (808) | | | 2.73 | |
CAS debt | | 2,641 | | | (74) | | | 11.21 | | | 5,139 | | | (123) | | | 9.57 | |
Total debt of Fannie Mae | | 119,354 | | | (1,188) | | | 3.98 | | | 134,194 | | | (1,050) | | | 3.13 | |
Debt securities of consolidated trusts held by third parties | | 4,088,684 | | | (28,587) | | | 2.80 | | | 4,077,130 | | | (25,734) | | | 2.52 | |
Total interest-bearing liabilities | | $ | 4,208,038 | | | $ | (29,775) | | | 2.83 | % | | $ | 4,211,324 | | | $ | (26,784) | | | 2.54 | % |
Net interest income/net interest yield | | | | $ | 7,023 | | | 0.65 | % | | | | $ | 6,786 | | | 0.63 | % |
(1) Includes the effects of discounts, premiums and other cost basis adjustments, including basis adjustments related to hedge accounting.
(2) Prior to March 31, 2024, “Cash and cash equivalents” were previously reported within “Investments in securities.” The prior period has been updated to conform to the current period presentation. Cash equivalents are composed of overnight reverse repurchase agreements and U.S. Treasuries, if any, that have a maturity at the date of acquisition of three months or less.
(3) Consists of: U.S. Treasuries not classified as cash equivalents; and mortgage-related securities.
(4) Average balance includes mortgage loans on nonaccrual status. Interest income includes loan fees of $669 million and $664 million, respectively, for the first quarter of 2024 and first quarter of 2023. Loan fees primarily consist of yield maintenance revenue we recognized on the prepayment of multifamily mortgage loans and the amortization of upfront cash fees exchanged when we acquire the mortgage loan.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 8 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Fair Value Gains, Net
The estimated fair value of our derivatives, trading securities and other financial instruments carried at fair value may fluctuate substantially from period to period because of changes in interest rates, the yield curve, mortgage and credit spreads and implied volatility, as well as activity related to these financial instruments.
The table below displays the components of our fair value gains and losses.
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| Fair Value Gains, Net |
| | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| | | | | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | | | | | (Dollars in millions) |
Risk management derivatives fair value gains (losses) attributable to: | | | | | | | | |
Net contractual interest expense on interest-rate swaps(1) | | | | | | $ | (300) | | | $ | (381) | |
| Net change in fair value during the period | | | | | | 633 | | | 187 | |
| | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | |
Impact of hedge accounting(2) | | | | | | 147 | | | (15) | |
| Risk management derivatives fair value gains (losses), net | | | | | | 480 | | | (209) | |
| Mortgage commitment derivatives fair value gains (losses), net | | | | | | 207 | | | (114) | |
| Credit enhancement derivatives fair value losses, net | | | | | | (15) | | | (15) | |
| Total derivatives fair value gains (losses), net | | | | | | 672 | | | (338) | |
| Trading securities gains (losses), net | | | | | | (261) | | | 746 | |
| Long-term debt fair value gains (losses), net | | | | | | 111 | | | (269) | |
Other, net(3) | | | | | | (42) | | | 65 | |
| Fair value gains, net | | | | | | $ | 480 | | | $ | 204 | |
(1)Net contractual interest income (expense) on interest-rate swaps is primarily impacted by changes in interest rates and changes in the composition of our interest-rate swaps portfolio.
(2)The “Impact of hedge accounting” reflected in this table shows the net gain or loss from swaps in hedging relationships plus any accrued interest during the applicable periods that are recognized in “Net interest income.”
(3)Consists primarily of fair value gains and losses on mortgage loans held at fair value.
Fair value gains, net in the first quarter of 2024 were primarily driven by gains on risk management derivatives, mortgage commitment derivatives, and long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value, primarily due to increasing interest rates. These gains were partially offset by the impact of declining prices of fixed-rate trading securities, also primarily driven by increasing interest rates.
Fair value gains, net in the first quarter of 2023 were primarily driven by gains on fixed-rate trading securities, primarily U.S. Treasuries, held in our corporate liquidity portfolio. Declines in interest rates during the quarter, particularly medium- and longer-term rates, drove higher prices on these securities. These gains were partially offset by losses on:
•long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value as prices rose due to declining medium- and longer-term interest rates during the quarter; and
•risk management derivatives as interest expense accruals on our swap contracts increased due to rising short-term interest rates during the quarter.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 9 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses
The table below provides a quantitative analysis of the drivers of our single-family and multifamily benefit or provision for credit losses and the change in expected credit enhancement recoveries. Many of the drivers that contribute to our benefit or provision for credit losses overlap or are interdependent. The components shown below are based on internal allocation estimates. The benefit or provision for credit losses includes our benefit or provision for loan losses, accrued interest receivable losses, our guaranty loss reserves, and credit losses on our available-for-sale (“AFS”) debt securities. For purposes of this attribution table, credit losses on AFS securities are excluded.
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Components of Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses and Change in Expected Credit Enhancement Recoveries |
| | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| | | | | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | | | | | (Dollars in millions) |
Single-family benefit for credit losses: | | | | | | | | |
Changes in loan activity(1) | | | | | | $ | (236) | | | $ | (350) | |
Redesignation of loans from held for investment (“HFI”) to held for sale (“HFS”) | | | | | | (21) | | | — | |
Actual and forecasted home prices | | | | | | 720 | | | 380 | |
Actual and projected interest rates | | | | | | (177) | | | 122 | |
Other(2) | | | | | | 49 | | | (105) | |
Single-family benefit for credit losses | | | | | | 335 | | | 47 | |
Multifamily provision for credit losses: | | | | | | | | |
Changes in loan activity(1) | | | | | | (66) | | | (10) | |
Actual and projected interest rates | | | | | | (64) | | | 73 | |
Actual and projected economic data(3) | | | | | | 83 | | | (182) | |
Other(4) | | | | | | (108) | | | (60) | |
Multifamily provision for credit losses | | | | | | (155) | | | (179) | |
Total benefit (provision) for credit losses | | | | | | $ | 180 | | | $ | (132) | |
| | | | | | | | |
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries:(5) | | | | | | | | |
Single-family | | | | | | $ | (42) | | | $ | 95 | |
Multifamily | | | | | | 105 | | | 25 | |
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries | | | | | | $ | 63 | | | $ | 120 | |
| | | | | | | | |
(1)Primarily consists of loan acquisitions, liquidations, changes in loan delinquencies and write-offs of amounts determined to be uncollectible. For multifamily, “Changes in loan activity” also includes changes in the allowance due to loan delinquencies and the impact of changes in debt service coverage ratios (“DSCRs”) based on updated property financial information, which is used to assess loan credit quality.
(2)Includes provision for allowance on accrued interest receivable and impacts of model enhancements. Also includes any benefit or provision for our guaranty loss reserves that are not separately included in the other components. Beginning with the period ended March 31, 2024, also includes the release of economic concessions related to loans previously designated as troubled debt restructurings (“TDRs”) that received loss mitigation arrangements during the period. The prior period has been updated to conform to the current period presentation.
(3)Primarily consists of changes attributed to projected property net operating income, actual and projected property values, and labor market forecasts.
(4)For the three months ended March 31, 2024, includes an adjustment of $150 million in provision to supplement model results relating to property value uncertainty.
(5)Beginning with the period ended December 31, 2023, “Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries” as presented in this table includes activity associated with both active and inactive loans. Previously, this presentation only included active loans. The prior period has been updated to conform to the current period presentation.
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 10 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Single-Family Benefit for Credit Losses
Our single-family benefit for credit losses in the first quarter of 2024 was primarily driven by a benefit from forecasted home price growth, partially offset by a provision from changes in loan activity and a provision from actual and projected interest rates, as described below:
•Benefit from actual and forecasted home price growth. During the first quarter of 2024, we observed stronger-than-expected forecasted home price appreciation. Higher home prices decrease the likelihood that loans will default and reduce the amount of losses on loans that do default, which impacts our estimate of losses and ultimately reduces our loss reserves and provision for credit losses. See “Key Market Economic Indicators” in our 2023 Form 10-K for additional information about how home prices affect our credit loss estimates. See “Key Market Economic Indicators” in this report for a discussion of home price growth and our home price forecast. Also see “Critical Accounting Estimates” in this report for more information about our home price forecast.
•Provision from changes in loan activity, which includes provision on newly acquired loans. This was primarily driven by the credit risk profile of our first quarter 2024 single-family acquisitions, which primarily consisted of purchase loans. Purchase loans generally have higher origination loan-to-value (“LTV”) ratios than refinance loans; therefore, purchase loans have a higher estimated risk of default and loss severity in the allowance than refinance loans and a correspondingly higher credit loss provision at the time of acquisition.
•Provision from actual and projected interest rates. Actual and projected interest rates increased in the first quarter of 2024 compared with our prior forecast. As mortgage rates increase, we expect a decrease in future prepayments on single-family loans. Lower expected prepayments extend the expected life of the loan, which increases our expectation of credit losses. See “Key Market Economic Indicators” in our 2023 Form 10-K for additional information about how interest rates affect our credit loss estimates. Also see “Critical Accounting Estimates” in this report for more information about our interest rate forecast.
We recognized a modest single-family benefit for credit losses in the first quarter of 2023, primarily driven by a benefit from actual and forecasted home price growth, substantially offset by a provision from changes in loan activity, as described in more detail below:
•Benefit from actual and forecasted home price growth. During the first quarter of 2023, we observed modest actual home price appreciation. In addition, our updated 2023 home price forecast changed from our prior estimate, resulting in a lower estimate of home price declines for the year.
•Provision from changes in loan activity, which includes provision on newly acquired loans. This was primarily driven by the credit risk profile of our first quarter 2023 single-family acquisitions, as described in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2023.
Multifamily Provision for Credit Losses
Our multifamily provision for credit losses in the first quarter of 2024 was primarily driven by continued declines in actual and projected multifamily property values, which includes an adjustment of $150 million to supplement model results relating to property value uncertainty, as well as increases in actual and projected interest rates compared to our prior forecast. Actual multifamily property valuations decreased in the first quarter of 2024 driven by recent elevated interest rates and higher investor yield requirements. Our forecast of multifamily property value estimates further declines in the near term offset by a long-term improvement. In addition, reduced multifamily market transactions in the first quarter of 2024 have increased uncertainty around multifamily property valuations. These and other offsetting factors are included in “actual and projected interest rates,” “actual and projected economic data” and “other” in the table above. See “Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Market” for additional information about multifamily property valuations.
The primary factors that contributed to our multifamily provision for credit losses for the first quarter of 2023 were:
•Provision for actual and projected economic data, which was primarily driven by decreases in actual and projected multifamily property values. This resulted in higher estimated LTV ratios, which increased our estimate of expected credit losses.
•Provision from other, which primarily consisted of a provision relating to seniors housing loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business. In the first quarter of 2023, uncertainty related to our seniors housing loans remained elevated, including uncertainty related to adjustable-rate loans.
The impact of these factors was partially offset by the following, which reduced our multifamily provision for credit losses for the first quarter of 2023:
•Benefit from actual and projected interest rates. Actual and projected interest rates decreased in the first quarter of 2023, which reduced the probability of default resulting in a benefit for credit losses.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 11 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Consolidated Balance Sheet Analysis |
Consolidated Balance Sheet Analysis
This section discusses our condensed consolidated balance sheets and should be read together with our condensed consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Summary of Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets |
| | As of | | |
| | March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 | | Variance |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Assets | | | | | | |
Cash and cash equivalents | | $ | 12,524 | | | $ | 35,817 | | | $ | (23,293) | |
| Restricted cash and cash equivalents | | 20,730 | | | 32,889 | | | (12,159) | |
Securities purchased under agreements to resell(1) | | 73,725 | | | 30,700 | | | 43,025 | |
| Investments in securities, at fair value | | 49,896 | | | 53,116 | | | (3,220) | |
| Mortgage loans: | | | | | | |
| Of Fannie Mae | | 48,473 | | | 50,325 | | | (1,852) | |
| Of consolidated trusts | | 4,089,024 | | | 4,094,036 | | | (5,012) | |
| Allowance for loan losses | | (8,379) | | | (8,730) | | | 351 | |
| Mortgage loans, net of allowance for loan losses | | 4,129,118 | | | 4,135,631 | | | (6,513) | |
| Deferred tax assets, net | | 11,525 | | | 11,681 | | | (156) | |
| Other assets | | 26,301 | | | 25,603 | | | 698 | |
| Total assets | | $ | 4,323,819 | | | $ | 4,325,437 | | | $ | (1,618) | |
| Liabilities and equity | | | | | | |
| Debt: | | | | | | |
| Of Fannie Mae | | $ | 118,401 | | | $ | 124,065 | | | $ | (5,664) | |
| Of consolidated trusts | | 4,098,173 | | | 4,098,653 | | | (480) | |
| Other liabilities | | 25,239 | | | 25,037 | | | 202 | |
| Total liabilities | | 4,241,813 | | | 4,247,755 | | | (5,942) | |
| Fannie Mae stockholders’ equity: | | | | | | |
| Senior preferred stock | | 120,836 | | | 120,836 | | | — | |
| Other net deficit | | (38,830) | | | (43,154) | | | 4,324 | |
| Total equity | | 82,006 | | | 77,682 | | | 4,324 | |
| Total liabilities and equity | | $ | 4,323,819 | | | $ | 4,325,437 | | | $ | (1,618) | |
| | | | | | |
(1) Securities purchased under agreements to resell includes $13,650 million and $0 million as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively, related to consolidated trusts.
Cash and Cash Equivalents and Restricted Cash and Cash Equivalents
Cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents decreased from December 31, 2023 to March 31, 2024, primarily driven by funds being invested in securities purchased under agreements to resell rather than funds being invested in cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents as of March 31, 2024. See “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Cash Flows” for additional information on our cash activity in the first quarter of 2024.
Securities Purchased Under Agreements to Resell
Securities purchased under agreements to resell increased from December 31, 2023 to March 31, 2024, primarily driven by funds being invested in securities purchased under agreements to resell rather than funds being invested in cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents as of March 31, 2024.
Mortgage Loans, Net of Allowance
The mortgage loans reported in our condensed consolidated balance sheets are classified as either HFS or HFI and include loans owned by Fannie Mae and loans held in consolidated trusts.
Mortgage loans, net of allowance for loan losses decreased from December 31, 2023 to March 31, 2024, driven primarily by loan paydowns, liquidations and sales outpacing acquisitions during the first quarter of 2024.
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 12 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Consolidated Balance Sheet Analysis |
For additional information on our mortgage loans, see “Note 4, Mortgage Loans,” and for additional information on changes in our allowance for loan losses, see “Note 5, Allowance for Loan Losses.”
Debt
The decrease in debt of Fannie Mae from December 31, 2023 to March 31, 2024 was due to redemptions outpacing new issuances. The decrease in debt of consolidated trusts from December 31, 2023 to March 31, 2024 was primarily driven by liquidations of Fannie Mae MBS outpacing issuances. See “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Debt Funding” for a summary of activity in debt of Fannie Mae and information on our outstanding short-term and long-term debt. Also see “Note 8, Short-Term and Long-Term Debt” for additional information on our total outstanding debt.
Stockholders’ Equity
Our stockholders’ equity (also referred to as our net worth) increased to $82.0 billion as of March 31, 2024, compared with $77.7 billion as of December 31, 2023, due to the $4.3 billion in comprehensive income recognized during the first quarter of 2024.
Retained Mortgage Portfolio
We use our retained mortgage portfolio primarily to provide liquidity to the mortgage market through portfolio securitization transactions and to support our loss mitigation activities.
Our retained mortgage portfolio consists of mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities that we own, including Fannie Mae MBS and non-Fannie Mae mortgage-related securities. Assets held by consolidated MBS trusts that back mortgage-related securities owned by third parties are not included in our retained mortgage portfolio.
We separate the instruments within our retained mortgage portfolio into three categories based on each instrument’s use:
•Lender liquidity, which includes balances related to our portfolio securitization activity, supports our efforts to provide liquidity to the single-family and multifamily mortgage markets.
•Loss mitigation supports our loss mitigation efforts through the purchase of delinquent loans from our MBS trusts.
•Other represents assets that were previously purchased for investment purposes.
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 13 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Retained Mortgage Portfolio |
The table below displays the components of our retained mortgage portfolio. Based on the nature of the asset, these balances are included in either “Investments in securities, at fair value” or “Mortgage loans, net of allowance for loan losses” in our “Summary of Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets” table above.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Retained Mortgage Portfolio |
| As of |
| March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 |
| (Dollars in millions) |
| Lender liquidity: | | | | | |
Agency securities(1) | | $ | 22,484 | | | | $ | 27,823 | |
| Mortgage loans | | 6,087 | | | | 7,101 | |
| Total lender liquidity | | 28,571 | | | | 34,924 | |
Loss mitigation mortgage loans(2) | | 39,193 | | | | 38,634 | |
| Other: | | | | | |
Reverse mortgage loans and securities(3) | | 5,056 | | | | 5,953 | |
Other mortgage loans and securities(4) | | 2,774 | | | | 3,683 | |
| | | | | |
| | | | | |
| | | | | |
| | | | | |
| Total other | | 7,830 | | | | 9,636 | |
| Total retained mortgage portfolio | | $ | 75,594 | | | | $ | 83,194 | |
| | | | | |
| Retained mortgage portfolio by segment: | | | | | |
| Single-family mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities | | $ | 69,973 | | | | $ | 77,357 | |
| Multifamily mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities | | $ | 5,621 | | | | $ | 5,837 | |
(1)Consists of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae mortgage-related securities, including Freddie Mac securities guaranteed by Fannie Mae. Excludes Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae reverse mortgage securities and Fannie Mae-wrapped private-label securities.
(2)Includes single-family loans on nonaccrual status of $8.6 billion and $8.1 billion as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively. Also includes multifamily loans on nonaccrual status of $2.2 billion and $2.0 billion as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively.
(3)Includes Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae reverse mortgage securities. We stopped acquiring newly originated reverse mortgage loans in 2010.
(4) Other mortgage loans primarily include multifamily loans on accrual status and single-family loans that are not included in the loss mitigation or lender liquidity categories. Other mortgage securities primarily include private-label securities and mortgage revenue bonds.
The amount of mortgage assets that we may own is capped at $225 billion under the terms of our senior preferred stock purchase agreement with Treasury. In addition, we are currently required to cap our mortgage assets at $202.5 billion per instructions from FHFA.
We include 10% of the notional value of the interest-only securities we hold in calculating the size of the retained mortgage portfolio for the purpose of determining compliance with the senior preferred stock purchase agreement mortgage assets cap and associated FHFA instructions. As of March 31, 2024, 10% of the notional value of our interest-only securities was $1.6 billion, which is not included in the table above.
Under the terms of our MBS trust documents, we have the option or, in some instances, the obligation, to purchase mortgage loans that meet specific criteria from an MBS trust. The purchase price for these loans is the unpaid principal balance of the loan plus accrued interest. If a delinquent loan remains in a single-family MBS trust, the servicer is responsible for advancing the borrower’s missed scheduled principal and interest payments to the MBS holders for up to four months, after which time we must make these missed payments. In addition, we must reimburse servicers for advanced principal and interest payments.
In support of our loss mitigation strategies, we purchased $2.9 billion of loans from our single-family MBS trusts in the first quarter of 2024, the substantial majority of which were delinquent, compared with $2.1 billion of loans purchased from single-family MBS trusts in the first quarter of 2023.
Guaranty Book of Business
Our “guaranty book of business” consists of:
•Fannie Mae MBS outstanding, excluding the portions of any structured securities we issue that are backed by Freddie Mac securities;
•mortgage loans of Fannie Mae held in our retained mortgage portfolio; and
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 14 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Guaranty Book of Business |
•other credit enhancements that we provide on mortgage assets.
“Total Fannie Mae guarantees” consists of:
•our guaranty book of business; and
•the portions of any structured securities we issue that are backed by Freddie Mac securities.
We and Freddie Mac issue single-family uniform mortgage-backed securities, or “UMBS.” We use the term “Fannie Mae MBS” or “our MBS” to refer to any type of mortgage-backed security that we issue, including UMBS®, Supers®, Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduit securities (“REMICs”) and other types of single-family or multifamily mortgage-backed securities.
Some Fannie Mae MBS that we issue are backed in whole or in part by Freddie Mac securities. When we resecuritize Freddie Mac securities into Fannie Mae-issued structured securities, such as Supers and REMICs, our guaranty of principal and interest extends to the underlying Freddie Mac securities. However, Freddie Mac continues to guarantee the payment of principal and interest on the underlying Freddie Mac securities that we have resecuritized. References to our single-family guaranty book of business exclude Freddie Mac-acquired mortgage loans underlying Freddie Mac securities that we have resecuritized.
Our issuance of structured securities backed in whole or in part by Freddie Mac securities creates additional off-balance sheet exposure. Our guaranty extends to the underlying Freddie Mac security included in the structured security, but we do not have control over the Freddie Mac mortgage loan securitizations. Because we do not have the power to direct matters (primarily the servicing of mortgage loans) that impact the credit risk to which we are exposed, which constitute control of these securitization trusts, we do not consolidate these trusts in our condensed consolidated balance sheet, giving rise to off-balance sheet exposure. See “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements” and “Note 7, Financial Guarantees” for information regarding our maximum exposure to loss on unconsolidated Fannie Mae MBS and Freddie Mac securities.
The table below displays the composition of our guaranty book of business based on unpaid principal balance.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Composition of Fannie Mae Guaranty Book of Business |
| | As of |
| | March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 |
| | Single-Family | | Multifamily | | Total | | Single-Family | | Multifamily | | Total |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Conventional guaranty book of business(1) | | $ | 3,638,737 | | | $ | 477,795 | | | $ | 4,116,532 | | | $ | 3,647,344 | | | $ | 471,812 | | | $ | 4,119,156 | |
Government guaranty book of business(2) | | 7,124 | | | 515 | | | 7,639 | | | 7,901 | | | 520 | | | 8,421 | |
| Guaranty book of business | | 3,645,861 | | | 478,310 | | | 4,124,171 | | | 3,655,245 | | | 472,332 | | | 4,127,577 | |
Freddie Mac securities guaranteed by Fannie Mae(3) | | 212,233 | | | — | | | 212,233 | | | 215,605 | | | — | | | 215,605 | |
| Total Fannie Mae guarantees | | $ | 3,858,094 | | | $ | 478,310 | | | $ | 4,336,404 | | | $ | 3,870,850 | | | $ | 472,332 | | | $ | 4,343,182 | |
(1)Refers to mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities that are not guaranteed or insured, in whole or in part, by the U.S. government.
(2)Refers to mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities guaranteed or insured, in whole or in part, by the U.S. government.
(3)Consists of off-balance sheet arrangements of approximately (i) $176.8 billion and $179.6 billion in unpaid principal balance of Freddie Mac-issued UMBS backing Fannie Mae-issued Supers as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively; and (ii) $35.4 billion and $36.0 billion in unpaid principal balance of Freddie Mac securities backing Fannie Mae-issued REMICs as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively. See “Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements” for more information regarding our maximum exposure to loss on consolidated Fannie Mae MBS and Freddie Mac securities.
The Federal Housing Enterprises Financial Safety and Soundness Act of 1992, as amended (the “GSE Act”), requires us to set aside each year an amount equal to 4.2 basis points of the unpaid principal balance of our new business purchases and to pay this amount to specified U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (“HUD”) and Treasury funds in support of affordable housing. In March 2024, we paid $155 million to the funds based on our new business purchases in 2023. For the first quarter of 2024, we recognized an expense of $30 million related to this obligation based on $72.4 billion in new business purchases during the period. We expect to pay this amount to the funds in 2025, plus additional amounts to be accrued based on our new business purchases in the remaining nine months of 2024.
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 15 |
Business Segments
We have two reportable business segments: Single-Family and Multifamily. The chart below displays net revenues and net income for each of our business segments for the first quarter of 2024 compared with the first quarter of 2023. Net revenues consist of net interest income and fee and other income.
Business Segment Net Revenues and Net Income
(Dollars in billions)
In the following sections, we describe each segment’s business metrics, financial results and credit performance.
Single-Family Business
This section supplements and updates information regarding our Single-Family business segment in our 2023 Form 10-K. See “MD&A—Single-Family Business” in our 2023 Form 10-K for additional information regarding the primary business activities, lenders, investors and competition of our Single-Family business.
Single-Family Mortgage Market
Housing activity increased in the first quarter of 2024 compared with the fourth quarter of 2023. Total existing home sales averaged 4.19 million units annualized in the first quarter of 2024, compared with 3.88 million units in the fourth quarter of 2023, according to data from the National Association of REALTORS®. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, new single-family home sales averaged an annualized rate of approximately 667,000 units in the first quarter of 2024, compared with approximately 644,000 units in the fourth quarter of 2023.
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.79% as of March 28, 2024, compared with 6.61% as of December 28, 2023, and averaged 6.75% in the first quarter of 2024, compared with 7.30% in the fourth quarter of 2023, according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey®.
Single-family mortgage market originations increased modestly from an estimated $323 billion in the first quarter of 2023 to an estimated $330 billion in the first quarter of 2024. According to the April forecast from our Economic and Strategic Research Group, total originations in the U.S. single-family mortgage market in 2024 are forecasted to increase from 2023 levels by approximately 23%, from an estimated $1.47 trillion in 2023 to $1.81 trillion in 2024, and the amount of refinance originations in the U.S. single-family mortgage market are forecasted to increase from an estimated $248 billion in 2023 to $415 billion in 2024. Our Economic and Strategic Research Group’s April forecast is based on data available as of April 11, 2024. See “Key Market Economic Indicators” in our 2023 Form 10-K for additional discussion of how housing activity can affect our financial results and the uncertainties that may affect our forecasts and expectations.
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 16 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage-Related Securities Issuances Share |
Single-Family Mortgage-Related Securities Issuances Share
Our single-family Fannie Mae MBS issuances were $65.1 billion for the first quarter of 2024, compared with $68.2 billion for the first quarter of 2023. Based on the latest data available, the charts below display our estimated share of single-family mortgage-related securities issuances as compared with that of our primary competitors for the issuance of single-family mortgage-related securities for the periods indicated.
Single-Family Mortgage-Related Securities Issuances Share
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | Ginnie Mae | | | | Private-label securities |
| | | | | | | |
| | | Fannie Mae | | | | Freddie Mac |
| | | | | | | |
For several quarters, we have faced increased competition for the acquisition of single-family mortgage assets in a market environment of low overall single-family loan origination volumes. As discussed in our 2023 Form 10-K in “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Competition,” competition in the secondary mortgage market impacts our acquisitions of single-family mortgage assets.
Decisions regarding the pricing and acquisition of single-family loans incorporate several different, and sometimes competing, factors, including regulatory requirements relating to capital, UMBS prepayment rates, and single-family housing goals. We must consider these requirements, as well as the competitive market environment described above, when pricing and acquiring single-family mortgage loans. For a discussion of factors that affect or could affect our business, our competitive environment, demand for our MBS, or the liquidity and market value of our MBS, as well as the risks associated with our conservatorship, our capital requirements relative to that of our primary competitor, our housing goals, the UMBS market and the performance of our MBS, see “Business—Conservatorship and Treasury Agreements,” “Business—Legislation and Regulation,” “Risk Factors” and “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Competition” in our 2023 Form 10-K.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 17 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Business Metrics |
Single-Family Business Metrics
Select Business Metrics
The charts below display our average charged guaranty fees, net of TCCA fees, on our single-family conventional guaranty book of business and on new single-family conventional loan acquisitions, along with our average single-family conventional guaranty book of business and our single-family conventional loan acquisitions for the periods presented.
Select Single-Family Business Metrics(1)
(Dollars in billions)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Average charged guaranty fee on single-family conventional guaranty book of business, net of TCCA fees(2) | | | | Average single-family conventional guaranty book of business(3) |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | Average charged guaranty fee on new single-family conventional acquisitions, net of TCCA fees(2) | | | | Single-family conventional acquisitions |
| | | | |
(1) For information reported in this “Single-Family Business” section, our single-family conventional guaranty book of business is measured using the unpaid principal balance of our mortgage loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS outstanding. By contrast, the single-family conventional guaranty book of business presented in the “Composition of Fannie Mae Guaranty Book of Business” table in the “Guaranty Book of Business” section is based on the unpaid principal balance of the Fannie Mae MBS outstanding, rather than the unpaid principal balance of the underlying mortgage loans. These amounts differ primarily as a result of payments we receive on underlying loans that have not yet been paid to the MBS holders or instances where we have advanced missed borrower payments on mortgage loans to make required distributions to related MBS holders. As measured for purposes of the information reported in this section, our single-family conventional guaranty book of business was $3,625.6 billion as of March 31, 2024 and $3,636.7 billion as of December 31, 2023.
(2) Excludes the impact of a 10 basis point guaranty fee increase implemented pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from which is paid to Treasury and not retained by us.
(3) Our single-family conventional guaranty book of business primarily consists of single-family conventional mortgage loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS outstanding. It also includes single-family conventional mortgage loans of Fannie Mae held in our retained mortgage portfolio, and other credit enhancements that we provide on single-family conventional mortgage assets. Our single-family conventional guaranty book of business does not include: (a) mortgage loans guaranteed or insured, in whole or in part, by the U.S. government; (b) Freddie Mac-acquired mortgage loans underlying Freddie Mac-issued UMBS that we have resecuritized; or (c) non-Fannie Mae single-family mortgage-related securities held in our retained mortgage portfolio for which we do not provide a guaranty. Our average single-family conventional guaranty book of business is based on quarter-end balances.
Our single-family conventional loan acquisition volumes remained near historically low levels in the first quarter of 2024. Due to continued high interest rates in the first quarter of 2024, few borrowers could benefit from refinancing, resulting in low refinance volumes. In addition, housing affordability constraints and limited supply continued to put downward pressure on the volume of purchase loans we acquired.
Average charged guaranty fee on newly acquired conventional single-family loans is a metric management uses to measure the amount we earn as compensation for the credit risk we manage and to assess our return. Average charged guaranty fee represents, on an annualized basis, the average of the base guaranty fees charged during the period for our single-family conventional guaranty arrangements, which we receive monthly over the life of the loan, plus the recognition of any upfront cash payments, including loan-level price adjustments, based on an estimated average life at the time of acquisition.
Our average charged guaranty fee on newly acquired conventional single-family loans, net of TCCA fees, increased in the first quarter of 2024 compared with the first quarter of 2023, primarily as a result of higher base guaranty fees charged on new acquisitions.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 18 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Business Financial Results |
Single-Family Business Financial Results
This section provides a discussion of the primary components of net income for our Single-Family Business. This information complements the discussion of financial results in “Consolidated Results of Operations.”
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Single-Family Business Financial Results(1) |
| | | | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | | |
| | | | | | | | 2024 | | 2023 | | Variance |
| | | | | | | | (Dollars in millions) |
Net interest income(2) | | | | | | | | $ | 5,874 | | | $ | 5,672 | | | $ | 202 | |
| Fee and other income | | | | | | | | 55 | | | 48 | | | 7 | |
| Net revenues | | | | | | | | 5,929 | | | 5,720 | | | 209 | |
| Investment gains (losses), net | | | | | | | | 13 | | | (71) | | | 84 | |
| Fair value gains, net | | | | | | | | 484 | | | 166 | | | 318 | |
| Administrative expenses | | | | | | | | (777) | | | (720) | | | (57) | |
| Benefit for credit losses | | | | | | | | 335 | | | 47 | | | 288 | |
TCCA fees(2) | | | | | | | | (860) | | | (855) | | | (5) | |
| Credit enhancement expense | | | | | | | | (353) | | | (287) | | | (66) | |
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries(3) | | | | | | | | (42) | | | 95 | | | (137) | |
Other expenses, net(4) | | | | | | | | (176) | | | (116) | | | (60) | |
| Income before federal income taxes | | | | | | | | 4,553 | | | 3,979 | | | 574 | |
| Provision for federal income taxes | | | | | | | | (946) | | | (847) | | | (99) | |
| Net income | | | | | | | | $ | 3,607 | | | $ | 3,132 | | | $ | 475 | |
(1)See “Note 10, Segment Reporting” for information about our segment allocation methodology.
(2)Reflects the impact of a 10 basis point guaranty fee increase implemented pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from which is paid to Treasury. The resulting revenue is included in “Net interest income” and the expense is recognized as “TCCA fees.”
(3)Includes estimated changes in benefits, as well as any realized amounts, from our single-family freestanding credit enhancements, which primarily relate to our CAS and CIRT programs.
(4)Consists of debt extinguishment gains and losses, expenses associated with legal claims, foreclosed property income (expense), gains and losses from partnership investments, housing trust fund expenses, loan subservicing costs, and servicer fees paid in connection with certain loss mitigation activities.
Net Interest Income
The increase in single-family net interest income for the first quarter of 2024 compared with the first quarter of 2023 was primarily as a result of higher net interest income from portfolios and higher base guaranty fee income.
The drivers of net interest income for the Single-Family segment are consistent with the drivers of net interest income in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income. See “Consolidated Results of Operations—Net Interest Income” for more information on the factors that impact our single-family net interest income.
Fair Value Gains, Net
Fair value gains, net in the first quarter of 2024 were primarily driven by gains on risk management derivatives, mortgage commitment derivatives, and long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value, primarily due to increasing interest rates. These gains were partially offset by the impact of declining prices of fixed-rate trading securities, also primarily driven by increasing interest rates.
Fair value gains, net in the first quarter of 2023 were primarily driven by gains on fixed-rate trading securities, primarily U.S. Treasuries, held in our corporate liquidity portfolio. These gains were partially offset by losses in the fair value of long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value and risk management derivatives.
The drivers of fair value gains, net for the Single-Family segment are consistent with the drivers of fair value gains, net in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income, which we discuss in “Consolidated Results of Operations—Fair Value Gains, Net.”
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 19 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Business Financial Results |
Benefit for Credit Losses
Our single-family benefit for credit losses in the first quarter of 2024 was primarily driven by a benefit from forecasted home price growth, partially offset by a provision from changes in loan activity and a provision from actual and projected interest rates.
We recognized a modest single-family benefit for credit losses in the first quarter of 2023, primarily driven by a benefit from improvements in actual and forecasted home prices, substantially offset by a provision on newly acquired loans.
See “Consolidated Results of Operations—Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses” for more information on the primary factors that contributed to our single-family benefit for credit losses.
Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management
This section updates our discussion of single-family mortgage credit risk management in our 2023 Form 10-K. For additional information on our single-family acquisition and servicing policies, underwriting and servicing standards, quality control process, repurchase requests, and representation and warranty framework, see “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management” in our 2023 Form 10-K.
Single-Family Acquisition and Servicing Policies and Underwriting and Servicing Standards
Desktop Underwriter Update
As part of our comprehensive risk management approach, we periodically update our proprietary automated underwriting system, Desktop Underwriter® (“DU®”), to reflect changes to our underwriting and eligibility guidelines. In March 2024, we implemented updates to DU to allow lenders to use a single 12-month asset verification report in the DU validation service to identify recurring deposits in the applicant’s digital bank statement data to automatically validate income and employment, as well as assets, in one step. The same report also can be used to identify and consider the applicant’s positive rent payment and cash flow history. We believe this update may help lenders improve operational efficiency and lower costs, as well as potentially increase the number of borrowers that receive an approve/eligible recommendation in DU by assessing eligibility through rent payment identification and cash flow assessment. We will continue to closely monitor loan acquisitions and market conditions and, as appropriate, make changes to DU, including its eligibility criteria, so that the loans we acquire are consistent with our risk appetite and mission.
New Credit Score Models and Credit Report Requirements
Fannie Mae uses credit scores to establish a minimum credit threshold for mortgage lending, provide a foundation for risk-based pricing, and support disclosures to investors. We currently use the “classic FICO® Score” from Fair Isaac Corporation as our credit score model, which FHFA has approved.
In October 2022, FHFA announced the validation and approval of two new credit score models for use by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: the FICO® Score 10 T credit score model and the VantageScore® 4.0 credit score model. Once implemented, lenders will be required to deliver both FICO Score 10 T and VantageScore 4.0 credit scores with each loan sold to us when available, replacing the classic FICO Score model. FHFA also announced in October 2022 that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will work toward changing the requirement that lenders provide credit reports from all three nationwide consumer reporting agencies. Instead, we will require lenders to provide credit reports from at least two of the three nationwide consumer reporting agencies (referred to as the new bi-merge credit reporting requirements).
In February 2024, FHFA announced updates regarding the implementation of the new credit score requirements for loans acquired by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as well as the new bi-merge credit reporting requirements. FHFA announced that the implementation dates for both new requirements would be aligned and expected to occur in the fourth quarter of 2025. FHFA also announced that, to better support market participants with this transition, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will accelerate the publication of VantageScore 4.0 historical data to early in the third quarter of 2024. The FHFA Director stated that synchronizing bi-merge credit reporting with the implementation of the new credit score model requirements will reduce complexity for market participants.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 20 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Single-Family Guaranty Book Diversification and Monitoring
The following table displays our single-family conventional business volumes and our single-family conventional guaranty book of business, based on certain key risk characteristics that we use to evaluate the risk profile and credit quality of our single-family loans. For a description of the key risk characteristics of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business, see “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Guaranty Book Diversification and Monitoring—Overview” in our 2023 Form 10-K.
We provide additional information on the credit characteristics of our single-family loans in quarterly financial supplements, which we furnish to the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) with current reports on Form 8-K and make available on our website. Information in our quarterly financial supplements is not incorporated by reference into this report.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 21 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Key Risk Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Business Volume and Guaranty Book of Business(1) |
| | | | | | Percent of Single-Family Conventional Business Volume at Acquisition(2) | | | Percent of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business(3) As of |
| | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | | |
| | | | | | 2024 | | 2023 | | | March 31, 2024 | | | December 31, 2023 | |
Original LTV ratio:(4) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| <= 60% | | | | | | 16 | | % | 15 | | % | | 25 | | % | | 25 | | % |
| 60.01% to 70% | | | | | | 10 | | | 9 | | | | 14 | | | | 14 | | |
| 70.01% to 80% | | | | | | 33 | | | 33 | | | | 33 | | | | 33 | | |
| 80.01% to 90% | | | | | | 16 | | | 16 | | | | 11 | | | | 11 | | |
| 90.01% to 95% | | | | | | 18 | | | 21 | | | | 12 | | | | 12 | | |
| 95.01% to 100% | | | | | | 7 | | | 6 | | | | 4 | | | | 4 | | |
| Greater than 100% | | | | | | — | | | — | | | | 1 | | | | 1 | | |
| Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Weighted average | | | | | | 78 | | % | 79 | | % | | 73 | | % | | 73 | | % |
| Average loan amount | | | | | | $ | 325,938 | | | $ | 313,986 | | | | $ | 207,933 | | | | $ | 207,883 | | |
| Loan count (in thousands) | | | | | | 191 | | | 215 | | | 17,437 | | | | 17,494 | | |
Estimated mark-to-market LTV ratio:(5) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| <= 60% | | | | | | | | | | | 68 | | % | | 68 | | % |
| 60.01% to 70% | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | | | 14 | | |
| 70.01% to 80% | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | | | 10 | | |
| 80.01% to 90% | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | | | 5 | | |
| 90.01% to 100% | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | | | | 3 | | |
| Greater than 100% | | | | | | | | | | | * | | | * | |
| Total | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Weighted average | | | | | | | | | | | 51 | | % | | 51 | | % |
FICO credit score at origination:(6) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| < 620 | | | | | | * | % | * | % | | * | % | | * | % |
| 620 to < 660 | | | | | | 2 | | | 3 | | | | 4 | | | | 4 | | |
| 660 to < 680 | | | | | | 3 | | | 3 | | | | 4 | | | | 4 | | |
| 680 to < 700 | | | | | | 5 | | | 7 | | | | 6 | | | | 6 | | |
| 700 to < 740 | | | | | | 19 | | | 22 | | | | 20 | | | | 20 | | |
| >= 740 | | | | | | 71 | | | 65 | | | | 66 | | | | 66 | | |
| Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
| Weighted average | | | | | | 757 | | | 751 | | | | 753 | | | | 753 | | |
Debt-to-income (“DTI”) ratio at origination:(7) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| <= 43% | | | | | | 63 | | % | 62 | | % | | 75 | | % | | 75 | | % |
| 43.01% to 45% | | | | | | 10 | | | 11 | | | | 9 | | | | 9 | | |
| Greater than 45% | | | | | | 27 | | | 27 | | | | 16 | | | | 16 | | |
| Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
| Weighted average | | | | | | 38 | | % | 38 | | % | | 35 | | % | | 35 | | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 22 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | Percent of Single-Family Conventional Business Volume at Acquisition(2) | | | Percent of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business(3) As of |
| | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | | |
| | | | | | 2024 | | 2023 | | | March 31, 2024 | | | December 31, 2023 | |
| Product type: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Fixed-rate:(8) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Long-term | | | | | | 97 | | % | 94 | | % | | 88 | | % | | 87 | | % |
| Intermediate-term | | | | | | 2 | | | 4 | | | | 11 | | | | 12 | | |
Total fixed-rate | | | | | | 99 | | | 98 | | | | 99 | | | | 99 | | |
| Adjustable-rate | | | | | | 1 | | | 2 | | | | 1 | | | | 1 | | |
| Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Number of property units: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 1 unit | | | | | | 97 | | % | 98 | | % | | 98 | | % | | 98 | | % |
| 2-4 units | | | | | | 3 | | | 2 | | | | 2 | | | | 2 | | |
| Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
| Property type: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Single-family homes | | | | | | 91 | | % | 91 | | % | | 91 | | % | | 91 | | % |
| Condo/Co-op | | | | | | 9 | | | 9 | | | | 9 | | | | 9 | | |
| Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
| Occupancy type: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Primary residence | | | | | | 92 | | % | 91 | | % | | 91 | | % | | 91 | | % |
| Second/vacation home | | | | | | 2 | | | 3 | | | | 3 | | | | 3 | | |
| Investor | | | | | | 6 | | | 6 | | | | 6 | | | | 6 | | |
| Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Loan purpose: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Purchase | | | | | | 85 | | % | 84 | | % | | 45 | | % | | 45 | | % |
| Cash-out refinance | | | | | | 9 | | | 11 | | | | 20 | | | | 20 | | |
| Other refinance | | | | | | 6 | | | 5 | | | | 35 | | | | 35 | | |
| Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
Geographic concentration:(9) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Midwest | | | | | | 15 | | % | 13 | | % | | 14 | | % | | 14 | | % |
| Northeast | | | | | | 14 | | | 12 | | | | 16 | | | | 16 | | |
| Southeast | | | | | | 27 | | | 28 | | | | 23 | | | | 23 | | |
| Southwest | | | | | | 23 | | | 24 | | | | 19 | | | | 19 | | |
| West | | | | | | 21 | | | 23 | | | | 28 | | | | 28 | | |
| Total | | | | | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
| Origination year: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2018 and prior | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | | % | | 21 | | % |
| 2019 | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | | | | 4 | | |
| 2020 | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | | | | 24 | | |
| 2021 | | | | | | | | | | | 30 | | | | 30 | | |
| 2022 | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | | | 13 | | |
| 2023 | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | | | 8 | | |
| 2024 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | — | | |
| Total | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | % | | 100 | | % |
* Represents less than 0.5% of single-family conventional business volume or guaranty book of business.
(1)Second-lien mortgage loans held by third parties are not reflected in the original LTV or the estimated mark-to-market LTV ratios in this table.
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 23 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
(2)Calculated based on the unpaid principal balance of single-family loans for each category at time of acquisition.
(3)Calculated based on the aggregate unpaid principal balance of single-family loans for each category divided by the aggregate unpaid principal balance of loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business as of the end of each period.
(4)The original LTV ratio generally is based on the original unpaid principal balance of the loan divided by the appraised property value reported to us at the time of acquisition of the loan. Excludes loans for which this information is not readily available.
(5)The aggregate estimated mark-to-market LTV ratio is based on the unpaid principal balance of the loan as of the end of each reported period divided by the estimated current value of the property, which we calculate using an internal valuation model that estimates periodic changes in home value. Excludes loans for which this information is not readily available.
(6)Loans with unavailable FICO credit scores represent less than 0.5% of single-family conventional business volume or guaranty book of business, and therefore are not presented separately in this table.
(7)Excludes loans for which this information is not readily available.
(8)Long-term fixed-rate consists of mortgage loans with maturities greater than 15 years, while intermediate-term fixed-rate loans have maturities equal to or less than 15 years.
(9)Midwest consists of IL, IN, IA, MI, MN, NE, ND, OH, SD and WI. Northeast consists of CT, DE, ME, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, PR, RI, VT and VI. Southeast consists of AL, DC, FL, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, SC, TN, VA and WV. Southwest consists of AZ, AR, CO, KS, LA, MO, NM, OK, TX and UT. West consists of AK, CA, GU, HI, ID, MT, NV, OR, WA and WY.
For a discussion of factors that may impact the volume and credit characteristics of loans we acquire in the future, see “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Guaranty Book Diversification and Monitoring” in our 2023 Form 10-K. In this section of our 2023 Form 10-K, we also provide more information on the credit characteristics of loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business, including high-balance loans and adjustable-rate mortgages.
Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk
Our charter generally requires credit enhancement on any single-family conventional mortgage loan that we purchase or securitize if it has an LTV ratio over 80% at the time of purchase. We generally achieve this through primary mortgage insurance. We also enter into various other types of transactions in which we transfer mortgage credit risk to third parties.
Our approved monoline mortgage insurers’ financial ability and willingness to pay claims is an important determinant of our overall credit risk exposure. For a discussion of our exposure to and management of the counterparty credit risk associated with the providers of these credit enhancements, see “MD&A—Risk Management—Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management” and “Note 14, Concentrations of Credit Risk” in our 2023 Form 10-K and “Note 11, Concentrations of Credit Risk” in this report. Also see “Risk Factors—Credit Risk” in our 2023 Form 10-K.
The table below displays information about loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business covered by one or more forms of credit enhancement, including mortgage insurance or a credit risk transfer transaction. For a description of primary mortgage insurance and the other types of credit enhancements specified in the table, see “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk” in our 2023 Form 10-K.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Single-Family Loans with Credit Enhancement |
| As of |
| | March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 |
| | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business | | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business |
| (Dollars in billions) |
Primary mortgage insurance and other | | $ | 759 | | | 21 | % | | $ | 763 | | | 21 | % |
Connecticut Avenue Securities | | 860 | | | 24 | | | 843 | | | 24 | |
| Credit Insurance Risk Transfer | | 420 | | | 12 | | | 399 | | | 11 | |
Lender risk-sharing | | 48 | | | 1 | | | 52 | | | 1 | |
Less: Loans covered by multiple credit enhancements | | (403) | | | (12) | | | (411) | | | (12) | |
Total single-family loans with credit enhancement | | $ | 1,684 | | | 46 | % | | $ | 1,646 | | | 45 | % |
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 24 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk
In addition to primary mortgage insurance, our Single-Family business has developed other risk-sharing capabilities to transfer portions of our single-family mortgage credit risk to the private market. Our credit risk transfer transactions are designed to transfer a portion of the losses we expect would be incurred in an economic downturn or a stressed credit environment. Generally, loss reimbursement payments are received after the underlying property has been liquidated and all applicable proceeds, including private mortgage insurance benefits, have been applied to reduce the loss. As described in “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk—Credit Risk Transfer Transactions” in our 2023 Form 10-K, our two primary single-family credit risk transfer programs are Connecticut Avenue Securities® (“CAS”) and Credit Insurance Risk Transfer™ (“CIRT™”).
In the first quarter of 2024, we transferred a portion of the mortgage credit risk on single-family mortgage loans with an unpaid principal balance of $68.8 billion at the time of the transactions. When engaging in credit risk transfer transactions, we consider their cost, the resulting capital relief, and the overall credit risk transfer capacity of the market. The cost of our credit risk transfer transactions is impacted by macroeconomic and housing market sentiment, as well as the demand and capacity of the investors and reinsurers that support these transactions. Capacity considers both the total aggregate amount of outstanding coverage as well as the volume of new issuances available in the market. In response to these factors, we may choose to adjust the amount of first loss retained by Fannie Mae as a way to manage costs or market capacity when structuring our credit risk transfer transactions.
The table below displays the aggregate mortgage credit risk transferred to third parties and retained by Fannie Mae pursuant to our single-family credit risk transfer transactions. The table does not include the credit risk transferred on single-family transactions that were cancelled or terminated through March 31, 2024. The following table also excludes coverage obtained through primary mortgage insurance.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
Outstanding as of March 31, 2024 |
| (Dollars in billions) |
| Senior | | Fannie Mae(1) $1,271 | | Outstanding Reference Pool(5)(7) $1,337
|
|
| | | | | | | | | |
| Mezzanine | | Fannie Mae(1) $5
| | CIRT(2)(3) $15
| | CAS(2) $13
| | Lender Risk-Sharing(2)(4) $4
| |
| | | |
| | | | | | | | | |
| First Loss | | Fannie Mae(1) $17
| | CAS(2)(6) $10
| | Lender Risk-Sharing(2)(4) $2
| |
| | |
(1)Credit risk retained by Fannie Mae in CAS, CIRT and lender risk-sharing transactions. Also includes credit risk retained in CAS Credit Linked-Note transactions, which are similar to CAS REMICs except they allow us to obtain credit protection on reference pools containing seasoned loans such as Refi PlusTM loans. Tranche sizes vary across programs.
(2)Credit risk transferred to third parties. Tranche sizes vary across programs.
(3)Includes mortgage pool insurance transactions covering loans with an aggregate unpaid principal balance of $242 million outstanding as of March 31, 2024.
(4)Represents customized lender-risk sharing transactions. In most transactions, lenders invest directly in a portion of the credit risk on mortgage loans they originate and/or service.
(5)For CIRT and some lender risk-sharing transactions, “Reference Pool” reflects a pool of covered loans.
(6)For CAS transactions, “First Loss” represents all B tranche balances. In recent deals we have retained certain subordinated class B tranche(s) that absorb losses before the remaining class B tranches.
(7)For CAS and some lender risk-sharing transactions, represents outstanding reference pools, not the outstanding unpaid principal balance of the underlying loans. The outstanding unpaid principal balance for all loans covered by credit risk transfer programs, including all loans on which risk has been transferred in lender risk-sharing transactions, was $1,328 billion as of March 31, 2024.
The risk in force of these transactions, which refers to the maximum amount of losses that could be absorbed by credit risk transfer investors, was approximately $44 billion as of March 31, 2024, compared with approximately $42 billion as of December 31, 2023.
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 25 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The table below displays information about the credit enhancement recovery receivables we have recognized within “Other assets” in our condensed consolidated balance sheets. The decrease in our single-family freestanding credit enhancement receivables as of March 31, 2024 compared with December 31, 2023, was primarily the result of a decrease in our estimate of credit losses in the first quarter of 2024. As our estimate of credit losses decreases, so does the benefit we expect to receive from our freestanding credit enhancements.
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Single-Family Credit Enhancement Receivables |
| | As of |
| | March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
| Freestanding credit enhancement receivables | | $ | 210 | | | $ | 253 | |
Primary mortgage insurance receivables, net of allowance(1) | | 53 | | | 54 | |
(1)Amount is net of a valuation allowance of $417 million as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023. The vast majority of this valuation allowance related to deferred payment obligations associated with unpaid claim amounts for which collectability is uncertain.
The table below displays the approximate cash paid or transferred to investors for credit risk transfer transactions. The cash represents the portion of the guaranty fee paid to investors as compensation for taking on a share of the credit risk.
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Credit Risk Transfer Transactions |
| | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
Cash paid or transferred for: | | | | |
CAS transactions(1) | | $ | 228 | | | $ | 223 | |
| CIRT transactions | | 106 | | | 89 | |
| Lender risk-sharing transactions | | 46 | | | 34 | |
(1)Consists of cash paid for interest expense net of LIBOR or SOFR, as applicable, on outstanding CAS debt and amounts paid for both CAS REMIC® and CAS Credit-linked notes transactions.
Cash paid or transferred to investors for CIRT transactions includes cancellation fees paid on certain CIRT transactions where we determined that the cost of these deals exceeded the expected remaining benefit.
The table below displays the primary characteristics of loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business without credit enhancement.
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Single-Family Loans Currently without Credit Enhancement |
| | As of |
| | March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 |
| | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business | | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Single-Family Conventional Guaranty Book of Business |
| | (Dollars in billions) |
Low LTV ratio or short-term(1) | | $ | 1,094 | | | 30 | % | | $ | 1,112 | | | 31 | % |
Pre-credit risk transfer program inception(2) | | 234 | | | 7 | | | 236 | | | 6 | |
Recently acquired(3) | | 143 | | | 4 | | | 180 | | | 5 | |
Other(4) | | 733 | | | 20 | | | 730 | | | 20 | |
| Less: Loans in multiple categories | | (262) | | | (7) | | | (267) | | | (7) | |
| Total single-family loans currently without credit enhancement | | $ | 1,942 | | | 54 | % | | $ | 1,991 | | | 55 | % |
(1)Represents loans with an LTV ratio less than or equal to 60% or loans with an original maturity of 20 years or less.
(2)Represents loans that were acquired before the inception of our credit risk transfer programs. Also includes Refi PlusTM loans.
(3)Represents loans that were recently acquired and have not been included in a reference pool.
(4)Includes adjustable-rate mortgage loans, loans with a combined LTV ratio greater than 97%, non-Refi Plus loans acquired after the inception of our credit risk transfer programs that became 30 or more days delinquent prior to inclusion in a credit risk transfer transaction,
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 26 |
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| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
and loans that were delinquent as of March 31, 2024 or December 31, 2023. Also includes loans that were previously included in a credit risk transfer transaction but subsequently had the coverage canceled.
Single-Family Problem Loan Management
Our problem loan management strategies focus primarily on reducing defaults to avoid losses that would otherwise occur and pursuing foreclosure alternatives to mitigate the severity of the losses we incur. See “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Problem Loan Management” in our 2023 Form 10-K for a discussion of delinquency statistics on our problem loans, efforts undertaken to manage our problem loans, metrics regarding our loan workout activities, real estate owned (“REO”) management and other single-family credit-related information. The discussion below updates some of that information. We also provide ongoing credit performance information on loans underlying single-family Fannie Mae MBS and loans covered by single-family credit risk transfer transactions. For loans backing Fannie Mae MBS, see the “Forbearance and Delinquency Dashboard” available in the MBS section of our Data Dynamics® tool, which is available at www.fanniemae.com/datadynamics. For loans covered by credit risk transfer transactions, see the “Deal Performance Data” report available in the CAS and CIRT sections of the tool. Information on our website is not incorporated into this report. Information in Data Dynamics may differ from similar measures presented in our financial statements and other public disclosures for a variety of reasons, including as a result of variations in the loan population covered, timing differences in reporting and other factors.
Delinquency
The tables below display the delinquency status of loans and changes in the volume of seriously delinquent loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business based on the number of loans. Single-family seriously delinquent loans are loans that are 90 days or more past due or in the foreclosure process. Our single-family serious delinquency rate is expressed as a percentage of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business based on loan count. Management monitors the single-family serious delinquency rate as an indicator of potential future credit losses and loss mitigation activities. Serious delinquency rates are reflective of our performance in assessing and managing credit risk associated with single-family loans in our guaranty book of business. Typically, higher serious delinquency rates result in a higher allowance for loan losses.
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Delinquency Status and Activity of Single-Family Conventional Loans |
| | As of |
| | March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 | | March 31, 2023 |
| Delinquency status: | | | | | | |
| 30 to 59 days delinquent | | 0.94 | % | | 1.06 | % | | 0.74 | % |
| 60 to 89 days delinquent | | 0.23 | | | 0.26 | | | 0.19 | |
| Seriously delinquent (“SDQ”): | | 0.51 | | | 0.55 | | | 0.59 | |
Percentage of SDQ loans that have been delinquent for more than 180 days | | 49 | | | 47 | | | 55 | |
Percentage of SDQ loans that have been delinquent for more than two years | | 9 | | | 10 | | | 16 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| | 2024 | | 2023 |
| Single-family SDQ loans (number of loans): | | | | |
| Beginning balance | | 96,479 | | | 114,960 | |
| Additions | | 42,714 | | | 42,363 | |
| Removals: | | | | |
| Modifications and other loan workouts | | (21,390) | | | (24,107) | |
| Liquidations and sales | | (6,756) | | | (7,870) | |
| Cured or less than 90 days delinquent | | (21,454) | | | (22,392) | |
| Total removals | | (49,600) | | | (54,369) | |
| Ending balance | | 89,593 | | | 102,954 | |
Our single-family serious delinquency rate as of March 31, 2024 remained near historically low levels. Given our expectation of slower economic growth, we expect the credit performance of the loans in our single-family guaranty book of
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 27 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
business may decline compared to recent performance, which could lead to higher delinquencies or an increase in our single-family serious delinquency rate. For information about factors that affect our single-family serious delinquency rate, see “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Problem Loan Management” in our 2023 Form 10-K.
The table below displays the serious delinquency rates for, and the percentage of our seriously delinquent single-family conventional loans represented by, the specified loan categories. Percentage of book amounts represent the unpaid principal balance of loans for each category divided by the unpaid principal balance of our total single-family conventional guaranty book of business. The reported categories are not mutually exclusive.
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Single-Family Conventional Seriously Delinquent Loan Concentration Analysis |
| As of |
| March 31, 2024 | December 31, 2023 | March 31, 2023 |
| | Percentage of Book Outstanding | | Percentage of Seriously Delinquent Loans(1) | | Serious Delinquency Rate | | Percentage of Book Outstanding | | Percentage of Seriously Delinquent Loans(1) | | Serious Delinquency Rate | | Percentage of Book Outstanding | | Percentage of Seriously Delinquent Loans(1) | | Serious Delinquency Rate |
States: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| California | | 19 | % | | 10 | % | | 0.39 | % | | 19 | % | | 10 | % | | 0.42 | % | | 19 | % | | 10 | % | | 0.43 | % |
| Florida | | 6 | | | 9 | | | 0.68 | | | 6 | | | 9 | | | 0.73 | | | 6 | | | 9 | | | 0.81 | |
| Illinois | | 3 | | | 5 | | | 0.69 | | | 3 | | | 5 | | | 0.70 | | | 3 | | | 5 | | | 0.79 | |
| New York | | 5 | | | 6 | | | 0.85 | | | 5 | | | 6 | | | 0.92 | | | 5 | | | 7 | | | 1.02 | |
| Texas | | 7 | | | 9 | | | 0.59 | | | 7 | | | 9 | | | 0.64 | | | 7 | | | 8 | | | 0.63 | |
| All other states | | 60 | | | 61 | | | 0.48 | | | 60 | | | 61 | | | 0.52 | | | 60 | | | 61 | | | 0.55 | |
Vintages: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| 2008 and prior | | 2 | | | 17 | | | 1.91 | | | 2 | | | 18 | | | 2.07 | | | 2 | | | 22 | | | 2.62 | |
| 2009-2024 | | 98 | | | 83 | | | 0.45 | | | 98 | | | 82 | | | 0.47 | | | 98 | | | 78 | | | 0.48 | |
Estimated mark-to-market LTV ratio: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| <= 60% | | 68 | | | 69 | | | 0.45 | | | 68 | | | 69 | | | 0.49 | | | 64 | | | 71 | | | 0.55 | |
| 60.01% to 70% | | 13 | | | 15 | | | 0.76 | | | 14 | | | 15 | | | 0.80 | | | 16 | | | 14 | | | 0.71 | |
| 70.01% to 80% | | 10 | | | 9 | | | 0.73 | | | 10 | | | 9 | | | 0.77 | | | 11 | | | 9 | | | 0.69 | |
| 80.01% to 90% | | 6 | | | 5 | | | 0.79 | | | 5 | | | 5 | | | 0.81 | | | 6 | | | 4 | | | 0.68 | |
| 90.01% to 100% | | 3 | | | 2 | | | 0.62 | | | 3 | | | 2 | | | 0.59 | | | 3 | | | 2 | | | 0.53 | |
| Greater than 100% | | * | | * | | 2.10 | | | * | | * | | 2.05 | | | * | | * | | 1.67 | |
Credit enhanced:(2) | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Primary MI & other(3) | | 21 | | | 33 | | | 1.02 | | | 21 | | | 33 | | | 1.08 | | | 21 | | | 31 | | | 1.07 | |
Credit risk transfer(4) | | 37 | | | 30 | | | 0.50 | | | 36 | | | 30 | | | 0.54 | | | 32 | | | 28 | | | 0.58 | |
| Non-credit enhanced | | 54 | | | 51 | | | 0.43 | | | 55 | | | 52 | | | 0.46 | | | 57 | | | 54 | | | 0.50 | |
*Represents less than 0.5% of single-family conventional guaranty book of business.
(1)Calculated based on the number of single-family loans that were seriously delinquent for each category divided by the total number of single-family conventional loans that were seriously delinquent.
(2)The credit-enhanced categories are not mutually exclusive. A loan with primary mortgage insurance that is also covered by a credit risk transfer transaction will be included in both the “Primary MI & other” category and the “Credit risk transfer” category. As a result, the “Credit enhanced” and “Non-credit enhanced” categories do not sum to 100%. The total percentage of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business with some form of credit enhancement as of March 31, 2024 was 46%.
(3)Refers to loans included in an agreement used to reduce credit risk by requiring primary mortgage insurance, collateral, letters of credit, corporate guarantees, or other agreements to provide an entity with some assurance that it will be compensated to some degree in the event of a financial loss. Excludes loans covered by credit risk transfer transactions unless such loans are also covered by primary mortgage insurance.
(4)Refers to loans included in reference pools for credit risk transfer transactions, including loans in these transactions that are also covered by primary mortgage insurance. For CAS and some lender risk-sharing transactions, this represents the outstanding unpaid principal balance of the underlying loans on the single-family mortgage credit book, not the outstanding reference pool, as of the specified date. Loans included in our credit risk transfer transactions have all been acquired since 2009.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 28 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Forbearance Plans and Loan Workouts
As a part of our credit risk management efforts, we offer several types of loss mitigation options to help homeowners stay in their home or to otherwise avoid foreclosure. Loss mitigation options can consist of a forbearance plan or a loan workout. Our loan workouts reflect additional types of home retention solutions that help reinstate loans to current status, including repayment plans, payment deferrals, and loan modifications. Our loan workouts also include foreclosure alternatives, such as short sales and deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure.
As of March 31, 2024, the unpaid principal balance of single-family loans in forbearance was $5.6 billion, or 0.2% of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business, compared with $6.9 billion, or 0.2% of our single-family conventional guaranty book of business, as of December 31, 2023.
The chart below displays the unpaid principal balance of our completed single-family loan workouts by type, as well as the number of loan workouts, for the first quarter of 2023 compared with the first quarter of 2024. This table does not include loans in an active forbearance arrangement, trial modifications, loans to certain borrowers who have received bankruptcy relief and repayment plans that have been initiated but not completed.
Completed Loan Workout Activity
(Dollars in billions)
(1)There were approximately 18,000 loans and 16,200 loans in a trial modification period that was not yet complete as of March 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively.
(2)Other was $179 million and $103 million for the first quarter of 2024 and the first quarter of 2023, respectively. Other includes repayment plans and foreclosure alternatives. Repayment plans reflect only those plans associated with loans that were 60 days or more delinquent.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 29 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
REO Management
If a loan defaults, we may acquire the property through foreclosure or a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure. The table below displays our REO activity by region. Regional REO acquisition trends generally follow a pattern that is similar to, but lags, that of regional delinquency trends.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Single-Family REO Properties |
| | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| | 2024 | | 2023 |
| Single-family REO properties (number of properties): | | | | | | |
Beginning of period inventory of single-family REO properties(1) | | 8,403 | | | | 8,779 | | |
Acquisitions by geographic area:(2) | | | | | | |
| Midwest | | 274 | | | | 304 | | |
| Northeast | | 151 | | | | 252 | | |
| Southeast | | 214 | | | | 251 | | |
| Southwest | | 168 | | | | 193 | | |
| West | | 106 | | | | 117 | | |
Total REO acquisitions(1) | | 913 | | | | 1,117 | | |
| Dispositions of REO | | (1,345) | | | | (1,116) | | |
End of period inventory of single-family REO properties(1) | | 7,971 | | | | 8,780 | | |
| Carrying value of single-family REO properties (dollars in millions) | | $ | 1,384 | | | | $ | 1,325 | | |
Single-family foreclosure rate(3) | | 0.02 | | % | | 0.03 | | % |
REO net sales price to unpaid principal balance(4) | | 140 | | % | | 122 | | % |
REO net sales price to unpaid principal balance and costs to repair(5) | | 93 | | % | | 96 | | % |
Short sales net sales price to unpaid principal balance(6) | | 89 | | % | | 93 | | % |
(1)Includes held-for-use properties, which are reported in our condensed consolidated balance sheets as a component of “Other assets.”
(2)See footnote 9 to the “Key Risk Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Business Volume and Guaranty Book of Business” table for states included in each geographic region.
(3)Estimated based on the annualized total number of properties acquired through foreclosure or deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure as a percentage of the total number of loans in our single-family conventional guaranty book of business as of the end of each period.
(4)Calculated as the amount of sale proceeds received on disposition of REO properties during the respective periods, excluding those subject to repurchase requests made to our sellers or servicers, divided by the aggregate unpaid principal balance of the related loans at the time of foreclosure. Net sales price represents the contract sales price less selling costs for the property and other charges paid by the seller at closing, and excludes the costs associated with any property repairs.
(5)Calculated as the amount of sale proceeds received on disposition of REO properties during the respective periods, excluding those subject to repurchase requests made to our sellers or servicers, divided by the aggregate unpaid principal balance of the related loans at the time of foreclosure and costs to repair the property. Net sales price represents the contract sales price less selling costs for the property and other charges paid by the seller at closing.
(6)Calculated as the amount of sale proceeds received on properties sold in short sale transactions during the respective periods divided by the aggregate unpaid principal balance of the related loans. Net sales price includes borrower relocation incentive payments and subordinate lien(s) negotiated payoffs.
Single-Family Credit Loss Performance Metrics and Loan Sale Performance
The single-family credit loss performance metrics and loan sale performance measures below present information about losses or gains we realized on our single-family loans during the periods presented. For the purposes of our single-family credit loss performance metrics, credit losses or gains represent write-offs net of recoveries and foreclosed property income or expense. The amount of these losses or gains in a given period is driven by foreclosures, pre-foreclosure sales, post-foreclosure REO activity, mortgage loan redesignations, and other events that trigger write-offs and recoveries. The single-family credit loss metrics we present are not defined terms and may not be calculated in the same manner as similarly titled measures reported by other companies. Management uses these measures to evaluate the effectiveness of our single-family credit risk management strategies in conjunction with leading indicators such as serious delinquency and forbearance rates, which are potential indicators of future realized single-family credit losses. We believe these measures provide useful information about our single-family credit performance and the factors that impact it.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 30 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Single-Family Business | Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The table below displays the components of our single-family credit loss performance metrics. Because sales of nonperforming and reperforming loans have been a part of our credit loss mitigation strategy in recent periods, we also provide information in the table below on our loan sale performance through the “Gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments” line item.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Single-Family Credit Loss Performance Metrics and Loan Sale Performance |
| | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
| | | | | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | | | | | (Dollars in millions) |
Write-offs | | | | | | $ | (97) | | | $ | (44) | |
Recoveries | | | | | | 59 | | | 78 | |
Foreclosed property expense | | | | | | (79) | | | (11) | |
Credit gains (losses) | | | | | | (117) | | | 23 | |
Write-offs on the redesignation of mortgage loans from HFI to HFS(1) | | | | | | (20) | | | — | |
| Net credit gains (losses) and write-offs on redesignations | | | | | | (137) | | | 23 | |
Gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments(2) | | | | | | 14 | | | (72) | |
| Net credit gains (losses), write-offs on redesignations and gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments | | | | | | $ | (123) | | | $ | (49) | |
| | | | | | | | |
Credit gain (loss) ratio (in bps)(3) | | | | | | (1.3) | | | 0.3 | |
Net credit gains (losses), write-offs on redesignations and gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments ratio (in bps)(4) | | | | | | (1.4) | | | (0.5) | |
(1)Consists of the lower of cost or fair value adjustment at time of redesignation.
(2)Consists of gains or losses realized on the sales of nonperforming and reperforming mortgage loans during the period and temporary lower-of-cost-or-market adjustments on HFS loans, which are recognized in “Investment gains (losses), net” in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income.
(3)Calculated based on the annualized amount of “Credit gains (losses)” divided by the average single-family conventional guaranty book of business during the period.
(4)Calculated based on the annualized amount of “Net credit gains (losses), write-offs on redesignations and gains (losses) on sales and other valuation adjustments” divided by the average single-family conventional guaranty book of business during the period.
The primary drivers of our net credit losses, write-offs on redesignations and gains on sales and other valuation adjustments in the first quarter of 2024 were write-offs on loans for which collectability was no longer reasonably assured as well as foreclosed property expense due to increased repairs on the REO properties we acquired.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 31 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Multifamily Business |
Multifamily Business
This section supplements and updates information regarding our Multifamily business segment in our 2023 Form 10-K. See “MD&A—Multifamily Business” in our 2023 Form 10-K for additional information regarding the primary business activities, lenders, investors and competition of our Multifamily business.
Multifamily Mortgage Market
Multifamily market fundamentals, which include factors such as vacancy rates and rent growth, remained subdued during the first quarter of 2024, due to a combination of seasonality and elevated levels of new supply entering various markets across the country. Although the national vacancy rate is estimated to have remained steady, rent growth was below average.
•Vacancy rates. Based on preliminary third-party data, we estimate that the national multifamily vacancy rate for institutional investment-type apartment properties remained steady at 6.0% as of March 31, 2024, the same as of December 31, 2023, but up from 5.8% as of March 31, 2023. The estimated average national multifamily vacancy rate over the last 15 years is approximately 5.7%.
•Rents. Based on preliminary third-party data, we estimate that effective rents increased approximately 0.3% during the first quarter of 2024, compared to a decline of 0.7% during the fourth quarter of 2023 and zero growth during the first quarter of 2023.
Vacancy rates and rents are important to loan performance because multifamily loans are generally repaid from the cash flows generated by the underlying property. Several years of low vacancy rates and rising rents helped to increase property values in most metropolitan areas, but that trend reversed starting in early 2023. Based on preliminary multifamily property sales data, transaction volumes for the first quarter of 2024 remained well below average levels. Available data suggests that multifamily property capitalization rates, the indicated rate of return on investment of a commercial property, increased slightly in the first quarter of 2024 and are estimated to have increased by approximately 50 basis points compared with the first quarter of 2023.
Multifamily construction underway remains elevated. There are more than 1 million rental units underway and, based on recent historical trends, we expect that 525,000 units could be completed and delivered in 2024.
We believe vacancy levels could rise later this year to 6.25%, due to elevated new construction completions. We believe that this new supply will also keep rent growth at below average levels in 2024, in the 1.0% to 1.5% range, especially as many renters are also dealing with higher levels of consumer debt.
During the last several quarters, higher interest rates and investor yield requirements have reduced multifamily property sales transactions and placed downward pressure on multifamily property valuations. According to data from the MSCI Real Assets Commercial Property Price Index, multifamily property values declined 19% from the peak in July 2022 to March 2024. We believe that with continued high interest rates, elevated new supply completions and higher-than-average vacancy rates, multifamily sales activity will remain subdued in the near term, which could result in additional declines in multifamily property values over the short term. Over the longer term, however, we expect sales and valuations will improve due to expected improvements in multifamily housing market fundamentals stemming from positive demographic trends and ongoing job growth.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 32 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Business Metrics |
Multifamily Business Metrics
Multifamily New Business Volume
Through the secondary mortgage market, we support rental housing for the workforce population, for senior citizens and students, and for households with the greatest economic need. Over 95% of the multifamily units we financed in the first quarter of 2024 that were potentially eligible for housing goals credit were affordable to those earning at or below 120% of the median income in their area, providing support for both workforce housing and affordable housing. See “MD&A—Multifamily Business—Multifamily Primary Business Activities—Multifamily Activities Supporting Affordable Rental Housing” in our 2023 Form 10-K for additional information about how we support the U.S. multifamily housing market, including a description of our equity investments in low income housing tax credit (“LIHTC”) projects.
Multifamily New Business Volume
(Dollars in billions)
(1)Reflects unpaid principal balance of multifamily Fannie Mae MBS issued, multifamily loans purchased, and credit enhancements provided on multifamily mortgage assets during the period.
(2)Reflects new units financed by first liens; excludes second liens on units for which we had financed the first lien, as well as manufactured housing rentals. Second liens and manufactured housing rentals are included in unpaid principal balance.
Multifamily business volumes remained relatively flat in the first quarter of 2024 compared with the first quarter of 2023. For 2024, FHFA has capped our multifamily loan purchases at $70 billion. FHFA requires that a minimum of 50% of our 2024 multifamily loan purchases must be mission-driven, focused on specified affordable and underserved market segments. For 2024, FHFA has exempted from the volume cap loans financing workforce housing properties meeting specified criteria that preserve long-term affordability for the properties.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 33 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Business Metrics |
Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business and Average Charged Guaranty Fee
The chart below displays the unpaid principal balance and average charged guaranty fee related to our multifamily guaranty book of business.
Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business and Charged Fee(1)
(Dollars in billions)
(1)For information reported in this “Multifamily Business” section, our multifamily guaranty book of business is measured using the unpaid principal balance of mortgage loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS. By contrast, the multifamily guaranty book of business presented in the “Composition of Fannie Mae Guaranty Book of Business” table in the “Guaranty Book of Business” section is based on the unpaid principal balance of Fannie Mae MBS outstanding. These amounts differ primarily as a result of payments we receive on underlying loans that have not yet been paid to the MBS holders.
(2)Our multifamily guaranty book of business primarily consists of multifamily mortgage loans underlying Fannie Mae MBS outstanding, multifamily mortgage loans of Fannie Mae held in our retained mortgage portfolio, and other credit enhancements that we provide on multifamily mortgage assets. It does not include non-Fannie Mae multifamily mortgage-related securities held in our retained mortgage portfolio for which we do not provide a guaranty.
Our multifamily guaranty book of business grew to $476.9 billion as of March 31, 2024, a 7% increase from March 31, 2023, driven by our acquisitions combined with low prepayment volumes due to the high interest rate environment.
Our average charged guaranty fee represents the return we earn as compensation for the credit risk we assume on our multifamily guaranty book of business. The average charged guaranty fee on our multifamily guaranty book of business decreased as of March 31, 2024 compared with March 31, 2023 due to lower average charged fees on our 2023 and 2024 acquisitions as compared with the existing loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business. Our guaranty fee is impacted by the rate at which loans in our book of business turn over as well as the guaranty fees we charge on new business volumes, which are set at the time we acquire the loans. Our multifamily guaranty fee pricing is primarily based on the individual credit risk characteristics of the loans we acquire and the aggregate credit risk characteristics of our multifamily guaranty book of business. Our multifamily guaranty fee pricing is also influenced by external forces, such as the availability of other sources of liquidity, our mission-related goals, the FHFA volume cap, interest rates, MBS spreads, and the management of the overall composition of our multifamily guaranty book of business.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 34 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Business Financial Results |
Multifamily Business Financial Results
This section provides a discussion of the primary components of net income for our Multifamily Business.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Multifamily Business Financial Results(1) |
| | | | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | | |
| | | | | | | | 2024 | | 2023 | | Variance |
| | | | | | | | (Dollars in millions) |
| Net interest income | | | | | | | | $ | 1,149 | | | $ | 1,114 | | | $ | 35 | |
| Fee and other income | | | | | | | | 17 | | | 15 | | | 2 | |
| Net revenues | | | | | | | | 1,166 | | | 1,129 | | | 37 | |
| Fair value gains (losses), net | | | | | | | | (4) | | | 38 | | | (42) | |
| Administrative expenses | | | | | | | | (152) | | | (148) | | | (4) | |
| Provision for credit losses | | | | | | | | (155) | | | (179) | | | 24 | |
Credit enhancement expense(2) | | | | | | | | (66) | | | (54) | | | (12) | |
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries(3) | | | | | | | | 105 | | | 25 | | | 80 | |
Other expenses, net(4) | | | | | | | | (14) | | | (10) | | | (4) | |
| Income before federal income taxes | | | | | | | | 880 | | | 801 | | | 79 | |
| Provision for federal income taxes | | | | | | | | (167) | | | (161) | | | (6) | |
| Net income | | | | | | | | $ | 713 | | | $ | 640 | | | $ | 73 | |
(1)See “Note 10, Segment Reporting” for information about our segment allocation methodology.
(2)Primarily consists of costs associated with our Multifamily CIRTTM (“MCIRTTM”) and Multifamily Connecticut Avenue Securities® (“MCASTM”) programs as well as amortization expense for certain lender risk-sharing programs.
(3)Consists of change in benefits recognized from our freestanding credit enhancements that primarily relate to our Delegated Underwriting and Servicing (“DUS®”) lender risk-sharing.
(4)Consists of investment gains or losses, expenses associated with legal claims, foreclosed property income (expense), gains or losses from partnership investments, debt extinguishment gains or losses, and other income or expenses.
Net Interest Income
Net interest income increased in the first quarter of 2024 compared with the first quarter of 2023 due to higher guaranty fee income as a result of an increase in the size of our multifamily guaranty book of business, partially offset by lower average charged guaranty fees and lower yield maintenance income from fewer prepayments.
Provision for Credit Losses
Our multifamily provision for credit losses in the first quarter of 2024 was primarily driven by continued declines in actual and projected multifamily property values, which includes an adjustment of $150 million to supplement model results relating to property value uncertainty, as well as increases in actual and projected interest rates compared to our prior forecast. Our forecast of multifamily property value estimates further declines in the near term offset by a long-term improvement.
Our multifamily provision for credit losses in the first quarter of 2023 was primarily driven by declines in actual and projected multifamily property values, as well as a provision for our seniors housing loans as uncertainty remained elevated, including uncertainty related to adjustable-rate loans. This was partially offset by a benefit from actual and projected interest rates.
See “Consolidated Results of Operations—Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses” for more information on our multifamily provision for credit losses.
Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management
This section supplements and updates our discussion of multifamily mortgage credit risk management in our 2023 Form 10-K in “MD&A—Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management.” For additional information on the primary components of our strategy for managing multifamily credit risk, the factors that influence the credit risk profile of our multifamily guaranty book of business, our multifamily acquisition policy and underwriting standards, our multifamily guaranty book diversification and monitoring, and our front-end credit risk sharing, see “MD&A—Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management” in our 2023 Form 10-K.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 35 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
Multifamily Guaranty Book Diversification and Monitoring
As part of our ongoing credit risk management process, we and our lenders monitor the performance and risk characteristics of our multifamily loans and the underlying properties on an ongoing basis throughout the loan term at the asset and portfolio level. We generally require lenders to provide quarterly and/or annual financial updates for multifamily loans. We closely monitor loans with an estimated current debt service coverage ratio (“DSCR”) below 1.0, as that is an indicator of heightened default risk. We also monitor property condition, and when concerns arise, we have a dedicated team that actively engages with our lenders and borrowers to seek remediation of the identified issues. Failure to perform repairs may result in a default under the loan documents.
We manage our exposure to interest-rate risk and monitor changes in interest rates, which can impact multiple aspects of our multifamily loans. We remained in a higher interest-rate environment in the first quarter of 2024. High interest-rates may reduce the ability of multifamily borrowers to refinance their loans, which often have balloon balances at maturity. We provide information on the maturity schedule of our multifamily loans in “MD&A—Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Multifamily Maturity Information” in our 2023 Form 10-K and in quarterly financial supplements, which we furnish to the SEC with current reports on Form 8-K and make available on our website.
Additionally, in a high interest-rate environment, multifamily borrowers with adjustable-rate mortgages will have higher monthly payments, which may lower their DSCRs. We generally require multifamily borrowers with adjustable-rate mortgages to purchase and maintain interest rate caps for the life of the loan to protect against large movements in rates as well as maintain escrows at our servicers to reserve for the cost of replacing these caps. Purchasing or replacing required interest rate caps, especially those with longer terms and/or lower capped interest rates, becomes more expensive as interest rates rise. These costs, which have been elevated since mid-2022, combined with the higher monthly payments, have added pressure to borrowers’ ability to make payments and contributed to our elevated multifamily serious delinquency rate and criticized loan population. In the recent high interest rate environment, most multifamily borrowers with adjustable-rate mortgages have been receiving payments from their interest rate cap providers, which helps to defray the higher cost of debt service and escrow payments. We actively monitor these interest-rate related risks as part of our risk management process.
We also monitor for risks manifesting within specific property types. A property type we continue to monitor closely is seniors housing, which in Fannie Mae’s book of business is primarily comprised of independent living and assisted living facilities, some of which may have a limited capacity devoted to memory care. Seniors housing loans constituted 3% of our multifamily guaranty book of business as of March 31, 2024, based on unpaid principal balance, of which 37% were adjustable-rate mortgages. While the overall performance of seniors housing properties in our book of business has improved, many of these properties are still being negatively affected by economic trends, higher operating costs, and higher interest rates for adjustable-rate mortgages. We continue to monitor seniors housing loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business closely and actively manage loans that may be at risk of further deterioration or default.
The following table displays our multifamily business volumes and our multifamily guaranty book of business, based on certain key risk characteristics that we use to evaluate the risk profile and credit quality of our multifamily loans. For information on our multifamily acquisition policy and underwriting standards, see “MD&A—Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Multifamily Acquisition Policy and Underwriting Standards” in our 2023 Form 10-K.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 36 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
We provide additional information on the credit characteristics of our multifamily loans in quarterly financial supplements, which we furnish to the SEC with current reports on Form 8-K and make available on our website. Information in our quarterly financial supplements is not incorporated by reference into this report.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Key Risk Characteristics of Multifamily Business Volume and Guaranty Book of Business |
| | Multifamily Business Volume at Acquisition(1) | |
Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business(2)
| |
| | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | | As of | |
| | 2024 | | 2023 | | March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 | |
| LTV ratio: | | | | | | | | | |
| Weighted-average original LTV ratio | | 62 | | % | 58 | | % | 63 | | % | 63 | | % |
| DSCR: | | | | | | | | | |
Weighted-average DSCR(1) | | 1.6 | | | 1.6 | | | 2.0 | | | 2.0 | | |
Current DSCR below 1.0(1) | | — | | | — | | | 4 | | % | 4 | | % |
| Loan amount and count: | | | | | | | | | |
| Average loan amount (in millions) | | $ | 18 | | | $ | 19 | | | $ | 16 | | | $ | 16 | | |
| Loan count | | 552 | | | 546 | | | 29,137 | | | 28,926 | | |
| Interest rate type: | | | | | | | | | |
| Fixed interest rate | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 91 | | % | 91 | | % |
| Adjustable interest rate | | — | | | * | | 9 | | | 9 | | |
| Total | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
| Amortization type: | | | | | | | | | |
| Full interest-only | | 51 | | % | 66 | | % | 42 | | % | 42 | | % |
Partial interest-only(2) | | 40 | | | 28 | | | 46 | | | 46 | | |
| Fully amortizing | | 9 | | | 6 | | | 12 | | | 12 | | |
| Total | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
| Asset class type: | | | | | | | | | |
| Conventional/co-op | | 93 | | % | 95 | | % | 89 | | % | 89 | | % |
| Seniors housing | | 2 | | | 1 | | | 3 | | | 3 | | |
| Student housing | | * | | * | | 3 | | | 3 | | |
| Manufactured housing | | 5 | | | 4 | | | 5 | | | 5 | | |
| Total | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
Affordable(3) | | 12 | | % | 12 | | % | 12 | | % | 12 | | % |
Small balance loans(4) | | 44 | | % | 40 | | % | 48 | | % | 48 | | % |
Geographic concentration:(5) | | | | | | | | | |
| Midwest | | 13 | | % | 15 | | % | 12 | | % | 12 | | % |
| Northeast | | 14 | | | 8 | | | 15 | | | 15 | | |
| Southeast | | 30 | | | 38 | | | 27 | | | 27 | | |
| Southwest | | 25 | | | 21 | | | 22 | | | 22 | | |
| West | | 18 | | | 18 | | | 24 | | | 24 | | |
| Total | | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % | 100 | | % |
* Represents less than 0.5% of multifamily business volume or guaranty book of business.
(1)For our business volumes, the DSCR is calculated using the actual debt service payments for the loan. For our book of business, our estimates of current DSCRs are based on the latest available income information covering a 12 month period, from quarterly and annual statements for these properties including the related debt service. When an annual statement is the latest statement available, it is used. When operating statement information is not available, the underwritten DSCR is used. Co-op loans are excluded from this metric.
(2)Consists of mortgage loans that were underwritten with an interest-only term, regardless of whether the loan is currently in its interest-only period.
(3)Represents Multifamily Affordable Housing (“MAH”) loans, which are defined as financing for properties that are under an agreement that provides long-term affordability, such as properties with rent subsidies or income restrictions. MAH loans are included within the asset class categories referenced above.
| | | | | | | | |
| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 37 |
| | | | | | | | |
| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
(4)Small balance loans refer to multifamily loans with an original unpaid principal balance of up to $9 million nationwide. We changed our definition of small multifamily loans in the third quarter of 2023 to increase the loan amounts from up to $6 million nationwide to up to $9 million nationwide. The updated definition has been applied to all loans in the current multifamily guaranty book of business, including loans that were acquired under previous small loan definitions. Small balance loans are included within the asset class categories referenced above. We present this metric based on loan count rather than unpaid principal balance.
(5)Midwest consists of IL, IN, IA, MI, MN, NE, ND, OH, SD and WI. Northeast consists of CT, DE, ME, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, PR, RI, VT and VI. Southeast consists of AL, DC, FL, GA, KY, MD, MS, NC, SC, TN, VA and WV. Southwest consists of AZ, AR, CO, KS, LA, MO, NM, OK, TX and UT. West consists of AK, CA, GU, HI, ID, MT, NV, OR, WA and WY.
Transfer of Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk
Front-End Credit Risk Sharing
We primarily transfer credit risk on the multifamily loans we guarantee through our Delegated Underwriting and Servicing (“DUS®”) program, which delegates to DUS lenders the ability to underwrite and service multifamily loans, in accordance with our standards and requirements. See “MD&A—Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Transfer of Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk” in our 2023 Form 10-K for a description of our DUS program.
Our DUS model typically results in our lenders sharing approximately one-third of the credit risk on our multifamily loans, either on a pro-rated or tiered basis. Loans serviced by DUS lenders and their affiliates represented substantially all of our multifamily guaranty book of business as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023. In certain situations, we do not allow DUS lenders to fully share in one-third of the credit risk, but have them share in a smaller portion, to reduce the risk that the counterparty will fail to meet its loss sharing responsibility to us. We establish lender-specific loss-sharing limits for individual transactions based on loan size, lender financial performance, and lender creditworthiness, among other factors. When loss sharing is reduced on a loan, the servicing fee paid to the lender is reduced and our guaranty fee is increased to reflect the lower credit risk retained by the lender.
Non-DUS lenders, which represent a small portion of our multifamily guaranty book of business, typically share or absorb losses based on a negotiated percentage of the loan or the pool balance.
Back-End Credit Risk Sharing
Our back-end MCAS and MCIRT credit risk transfer programs transfer a portion of the credit risk associated with a reference pool of multifamily mortgage loans to insurers, reinsurers, or investors. During the first quarter of 2024, we entered into one new multifamily credit risk transfer transaction, transferring multifamily mortgage credit risk through an MCIRT transaction.
The table below displays the total unpaid principal balance of multifamily loans and the percentage of our multifamily guaranty book of business, based on unpaid principal balance, that is covered by a back-end credit risk transfer transaction. The table does not reflect front-end lender risk-sharing arrangements, as only a small portion of our multifamily guaranty book of business is not covered by these arrangements.
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| Multifamily Loans in Back-End Credit Risk Transfer Transactions |
| | As of |
| | March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 |
| | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business | | Unpaid Principal Balance | | Percentage of Multifamily Guaranty Book of Business |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
| MCIRT | | $ | 100,249 | | | 21 | % | | $ | 89,517 | | | 19 | % |
| MCAS | | 48,324 | | | 10 | | | 48,476 | | | 10 | |
| Total | | $ | 148,573 | | | 31 | % | | $ | 137,993 | | | 29 | % |
Multifamily Problem Loan Management
Credit Performance Statistics on Multifamily Problem Loans
The percentage of criticized loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business decreased as of March 31, 2024 compared with December 31, 2023, due to improving financial performance reflected in their latest operating statements and active management of the criticized loan population. However, our criticized loan population remains elevated, largely driven by properties financed with adjustable-rate mortgages. The criticized loans category substantially consists of loans classified as “Substandard” and also includes loans classified as “Special Mention” or “Doubtful.” Substandard
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 38 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
loans are loans that have a well-defined weakness that could impact their timely full repayment. While the majority of the substandard loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business are currently making timely payments, we continue to monitor the performance of our substandard loan population. For more information on our credit quality indicators, including our population of substandard loans, see “Note 4, Mortgage Loans.”
Our multifamily serious delinquency rate decreased to 0.44% as of March 31, 2024, compared with 0.46% as of December 31, 2023, primarily driven by the repayment of forbearance agreements that brought some loans current and seriously delinquent loans that liquidated from our multifamily guaranty book of business, including through a loss event. Over half of our seriously delinquent multifamily loan population as of March 31, 2024 was comprised of seniors housing loans. Our multifamily serious delinquency rate consists of multifamily loans that were 60 days or more past due based on unpaid principal balance, expressed as a percentage of our multifamily guaranty book of business. The percentage of loans in our multifamily guaranty book of business that were 180 days or more delinquent was 0.34% as of March 31, 2024, compared with 0.29% as of December 31, 2023.
Management monitors the multifamily serious delinquency rate as an indicator of potential future credit losses and loss mitigation activities. Serious delinquency rates are reflective of our performance in assessing and managing credit risk associated with multifamily loans in our guaranty book of business. Typically, higher serious delinquency rates result in a higher allowance for loan losses. We expect that our multifamily serious delinquency rate may continue to decrease as we complete loan workouts, which may resolve delinquencies, or, if an appropriate workout cannot be achieved, the loans are foreclosed upon.
In addition to the credit performance information on our multifamily loans provided in this report, we provide additional information about the performance of our multifamily loans that back MBS and whole loan REMICs in the “Data Collections” section of our DUS Disclose® tool, available at www.fanniemae.com/dusdisclose. Information on our website is not incorporated into this report. Information in Data Collections may differ from similar measures presented in our financial statements and other public disclosures for a variety of reasons, including as a result of variations in the loan population covered, timing differences in reporting and other factors.
Multifamily REO Management
As of March 31, 2024, we held 72 multifamily REO properties with a carrying value of $444 million, compared with 61 properties with a carrying value of $378 million as of December 31, 2023. The increase in foreclosure activity was primarily driven by properties included in a specific seniors housing portfolio that had write-offs during 2023. We expect a majority of properties in this portfolio will have completed the foreclosure process by the second quarter of 2024; however, we expect the foreclosure process to take longer for properties in the portfolio that are located in certain judicial foreclosure states with historically long foreclosure timelines.
Multifamily Credit Loss Performance Metrics
The amount of multifamily credit losses or gains we realize in a given period is driven by foreclosures, pre-foreclosure sales, post-foreclosure REO activity and other events that trigger write-offs and recoveries. Our multifamily credit loss performance metrics are not defined terms and may not be calculated in the same manner as similarly titled measures reported by other companies. For the purposes of our multifamily credit loss performance metrics, credit losses or gains represent write-offs net of recoveries and foreclosed property income or expense. We believe our multifamily credit losses, and our multifamily credit losses net of freestanding loss-sharing arrangements, provide useful information about our multifamily credit performance because they display our multifamily credit losses in the context of our multifamily guaranty book of business, including changes to the benefit we expect to receive from loss-sharing arrangements. Management views multifamily credit losses, net of freestanding loss-sharing arrangements, as a key metric related to our multifamily business model and our strategy to share multifamily credit risk.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 39 |
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| MD&A | Multifamily Business | Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management |
The table below displays the components of our multifamily credit loss performance metrics, as well as our multifamily initial write-off severity rate and write-off loan count.
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| Multifamily Credit Loss Performance Metrics |
| | | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | |
| | | | | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | | | | | | | (Dollars in millions) |
Write-offs(1) | | | | | | | | $ | (133) | | | | $ | (237) | | |
Recoveries | | | | | | | | 21 | | | | 9 | | |
Foreclosed property expense | | | | | | | | (20) | | | | (4) | | |
Credit losses | | | | | | | | (132) | | | | (232) | | |
Change in expected benefits from freestanding loss-sharing arrangements(2) | | | | | | | | 37 | | | | 8 | | |
Credit losses, net of freestanding loss-sharing arrangements | | | | | | | | $ | (95) | | | | $ | (224) | | |
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Credit loss ratio (in bps)(3) | | | | | | | | (11.1) | | | | (20.9) | | |
Credit loss ratio, net of freestanding loss-sharing arrangements (in bps)(2)(3) | | | | | | | | (8.0) | | | | (20.2) | | |
Multifamily initial write-off severity rate on liquidated loans(4)(5) | | | | | | | | 36.7 | | % | | — | | % |
Multifamily write-off loan count on liquidated loans(6) | | | | | | | | 7 | | | | 2 | | |
(1)Represents write-offs when a loan is determined to be uncollectible prior to a liquidation event, which includes foreclosure, a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure or a short-sale (collectively a “liquidation event”), as well as write-offs at liquidation. Write-offs associated with non-REO sales are net of loss sharing.
(2)Represents changes to the benefit we expect to receive only from write-offs as a result of certain freestanding loss-sharing arrangements, primarily multifamily DUS lender risk-sharing transactions. Changes to the expected benefits we will receive are recorded in “Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries” in our condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income.
(3)Calculated based on the annualized amount of “Credit losses” and “Credit losses, net of freestanding loss-sharing arrangements,” divided by the average multifamily guaranty book of business during the period.
(4)Rate is calculated as the initial write-off amount divided by the average defaulted unpaid principal balance.
(5)Consists of write-offs associated with a liquidation event. The rate excludes any costs, gains or losses associated with REO after initial acquisition through final disposition. The rate also excludes write-offs when a loan is determined to be uncollectible prior to a liquidation event. Write-offs are net of lender loss-sharing agreements.
(6)The multifamily write-off loan count includes only write-offs associated with a liquidation event.
Our multifamily credit losses decreased in the first quarter of 2024 compared with the first quarter of 2023 primarily as a result of fewer write-offs in the first quarter of 2024. Our multifamily credit losses in the first quarter of 2023 were primarily driven by write-offs on a seniors housing portfolio during that quarter.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 40 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Credit Ratios and Select Credit Information |
Consolidated Credit Ratios and Select Credit Information
The table below displays select credit ratios on our single-family conventional guaranty book of business and our multifamily guaranty book of business, as well as the inputs used in calculating these ratios.
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| Consolidated Credit Ratios and Select Credit Information |
| | As of |
| | March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 |
| | Single-family | | Multifamily | | Consolidated Total | | Single-family | | Multifamily | | Consolidated Total |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
| Credit loss reserves as a percentage of: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Guaranty book of business | | 0.17 | | % | | 0.44 | | % | | 0.20 | | % | | 0.18 | | % | | 0.44 | | % | | 0.21 | | % |
| Nonaccrual loans at amortized cost | | 25.87 | | | | 116.22 | | | | 32.13 | | | | 28.50 | | | | 109.21 | | | | 34.51 | | |
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| Nonaccrual loans as a percentage of: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Guaranty book of business | | 0.67 | | % | | 0.38 | | % | | 0.64 | | % | | 0.65 | | % | | 0.40 | | % | | 0.62 | | % |
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| Select financial information used in calculating credit ratios: | | |
Credit loss reserves(1) | | $ | (6,300) | | | | $ | (2,107) | | | | $ | (8,407) | | | | $ | (6,696) | | | | $ | (2,064) | | | | $ | (8,760) | | |
Guaranty book of business(2) | | 3,625,634 | | | | 476,931 | | | | 4,102,565 | | | | 3,636,735 | | | | 470,398 | | | | 4,107,133 | | |
| Nonaccrual loans at amortized cost | | 24,350 | | | | 1,813 | | | | 26,163 | | | | 23,497 | | | | 1,890 | | | | 25,387 | | |
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| Components of credit loss reserves: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Allowance for loan losses | | $ | (6,275) | | | | $ | (2,104) | | | | $ | (8,379) | | | | $ | (6,671) | | | | $ | (2,059) | | | | $ | (8,730) | | |
| Allowance for accrued interest receivable | | (25) | | | | — | | | | (25) | | | | (25) | | | | — | | | | (25) | | |
Reserve for guaranty losses(3) | | — | | | | (3) | | | | (3) | | | | — | | | | (5) | | | | (5) | | |
Total credit loss reserves(1) | | $ | (6,300) | | | | $ | (2,107) | | | | $ | (8,407) | | | | $ | (6,696) | | | | $ | (2,064) | | | | $ | (8,760) | | |
(1)Our multifamily credit loss reserves exclude the expected benefit of freestanding credit enhancements on multifamily loans of $701 million as of March 31, 2024 and $599 million as of December 31, 2023, which are recorded in “Other assets” in our condensed consolidated balance sheets.
(2)Represents conventional guaranty book of business for single-family.
(3)Reserve for guaranty losses is recorded in “Other liabilities” in our condensed consolidated balance sheets.
Our single-family credit loss reserves decreased as of March 31, 2024 compared with December 31, 2023 primarily as a result of a benefit for credit losses, which reduced our single-family allowance for loan losses. Our multifamily credit loss reserves increased as of March 31, 2024 compared with December 31, 2023 primarily as a result of a provision for credit losses, which increased our multifamily allowance for loan losses. See “Consolidated Results of Operations—Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses” for more information on our single-family benefit for credit losses and our multifamily provision for credit losses.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 41 |
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| MD&A | Consolidated Credit Ratios and Select Credit Information |
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| Consolidated Write-off Ratio and Select Credit Information | | | |
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| | For the Three Months Ended March 31, | | | |
| | 2024 | | 2023 | | | |
| | Single-family | | Multifamily | | Total | | Single-family | | Multifamily | | Total | | | |
| | (Dollars in millions) | | | |
| Select credit ratio: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Write-offs, net of recoveries annualized, as a percentage of the average guaranty book of business (in bps) | | 0.6 | | | 9.5 | | | 1.7 | | | (0.4) | | | 20.6 | | 1.9 | | | |
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| Select financial information used in calculating credit ratio: | | |
Write-offs(1) | | $ | 117 | | | $ | 133 | | | $ | 250 | | | $ | 44 | | | $ | 237 | | | $ | 281 | | | | |
| Recoveries | | (59) | | | (21) | | | (80) | | | (78) | | | (9) | | | (87) | | | | |
| Write-offs, net of recoveries | | $ | 58 | | | $ | 112 | | | $ | 170 | | | $ | (34) | | | $ | 228 | | | $ | 194 | | | | |
Average guaranty book of business(2) | | $ | 3,631,184 | | | $ | 473,665 | | | $ | 4,104,849 | | | $ | 3,631,814 | | | $ | 442,924 | | | $ | 4,074,738 | | | | |
(1)Represents write-offs when a loan is determined to be uncollectible. For single-family, also includes any write-offs upon the redesignation of mortgage loans from HFI to HFS.
(2)Average guaranty book of business is based on quarter-end balances.
Liquidity and Capital Management
Liquidity Management
This section supplements and updates information regarding liquidity management in our 2023 Form 10-K. See “MD&A—Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management” in our 2023 Form 10-K for additional information, including discussions of our primary sources and uses of funds, our liquidity and funding risk management practices and contingency planning, our liquidity requirements, factors that influence our debt funding activity, factors that may impact our access to or the cost of our debt funding and factors that could adversely affect our liquidity and funding. As of March 31, 2024, we were in compliance with all four components of the liquidity requirements outlined in our 2023 Form 10-K. Also see “Risk Factors—Liquidity and Funding Risk” in our 2023 Form 10-K for a discussion of liquidity and funding risks.
Debt Funding
We are currently subject to a $270 billion debt limit under our senior preferred stock purchase agreement with Treasury. The unpaid principal balance of our aggregate indebtedness was $122.7 billion as of March 31, 2024. Pursuant to the terms of the senior preferred stock purchase agreement, we are prohibited from issuing debt without the prior consent of Treasury if it would result in our aggregate indebtedness exceeding our outstanding debt limit. The calculation of our indebtedness for purposes of complying with our debt limit reflects the unpaid principal balance and excludes debt basis adjustments and debt of consolidated trusts.
Outstanding Debt
Total outstanding debt of Fannie Mae includes short-term and long-term debt and excludes debt of consolidated trusts. Short-term debt of Fannie Mae consists of borrowings with an original contractual maturity of one year or less and, therefore, does not include the current portion of long-term debt. Long-term debt of Fannie Mae consists of borrowings with an original contractual maturity of greater than one year.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 42 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
The following chart and table display information on our outstanding short-term and long-term debt based on original contractual maturity.
Debt of Fannie Mae(1)
(Dollars in billions)
(1)Outstanding debt balance consists of the unpaid principal balance, premiums and discounts, fair value adjustments, hedge-related basis adjustments and other cost basis adjustments. Reported amounts include net discount unamortized cost basis adjustments and fair value adjustments of $4.2 billion and $4.0 billion as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively.
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| Selected Debt Information |
| | | As of |
| | | March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 |
| | | (Dollars in billions) |
Selected Weighted-Average Interest Rates(1) | | | | | |
| Interest rate on short-term debt | | | 5.18 | % | | 5.13 | % |
Interest rate on long-term debt, including portion maturing within one year | | | 2.76 | | | 2.63 | |
| Interest rate on callable debt | | | 2.55 | | | 2.41 | |
| Selected Maturity Data | | | | | |
Weighted-average maturity of debt maturing within one year (in days) | | | 131 | | | 135 | |
Weighted-average maturity of debt maturing in more than one year (in months) | | | 45 | | | 46 | |
| Other Data | | | | | |
Outstanding callable debt(2) | | | $ | 43.1 | | | $ | 43.8 | |
Connecticut Avenue Securities debt(3) | | | 2.6 | | | 2.8 | |
(1)Excludes the effects of fair value adjustments and hedge-related basis adjustments.
(2)Includes short-term callable debt of $1.5 billion and $2.6 billion as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively.
(3)Represents CAS debt issued prior to November 2018. See “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk—Credit Risk Transfer Transactions” in our 2023 Form 10-K for information regarding our Connecticut Avenue Securities®.
We intend to repay our short-term and long-term debt obligations as they become due primarily through cash from business operations, the sale of assets in our corporate liquidity portfolio and the issuance of additional debt securities.
For information on the maturity profile of our outstanding long-term debt, see “Note 8, Short-Term and Long-Term Debt” in this report and in our 2023 Form 10-K.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 43 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
Debt Funding Activity
The table below displays activity in debt of Fannie Mae. This activity excludes the debt of consolidated trusts and intraday borrowing. The reported amounts of debt issued and paid off during each period represent the face amount of the debt at issuance and redemption.
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| Activity in Debt of Fannie Mae |
| | | For the Three Months Ended March 31, |
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| | | | | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | | | (Dollars in millions) |
| Issued during the period: | | | | | | | |
| Short-term: | | | | | | | |
| Amount | | | | | $ | 79,501 | | | $ | 55,106 | |
| Weighted-average interest rate | | | | | 5.28 | % | | 4.37 | % |
Long-term:(1) | | | | | | | |
| Amount | | | | | $ | 3,992 | | | $ | 2,868 | |
| Weighted-average interest rate | | | | | 4.93 | % | | 5.39 | % |
| Total issued: | | | | | | | |
| Amount | | | | | $ | 83,493 | | | $ | 57,974 | |
| Weighted-average interest rate | | | | | 5.26 | % | | 4.42 | % |
Paid off during the period:(2) | | | | | | | |
| Short-term: | | | | | | | |
| Amount | | | | | $ | 82,564 | | | $ | 51,306 | |
| Weighted-average interest rate | | | | | 4.70 | % | | 3.98 | % |
Long-term:(1) | | | | | | | |
| Amount | | | | | $ | 6,415 | | | $ | 2,105 | |
| Weighted-average interest rate | | | | | 3.28 | % | | 2.83 | % |
| Total paid off: | | | | | | | |
| Amount | | | | | $ | 88,979 | | | $ | 53,411 | |
| Weighted-average interest rate | | | | | 4.60 | % | | 3.94 | % |
(1)Includes credit risk-sharing securities issued as CAS debt prior to November 2018. For information on our credit risk transfer transactions, see “MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of Mortgage Credit Risk—Credit Risk Transfer Transactions” in our 2023 Form 10-K.
(2)Consists of all payments on debt, including regularly scheduled principal payments, payments at maturity, payments resulting from calls and payments for any other repurchases. Repurchases of debt and early retirements of zero-coupon debt are reported at original face value, which does not equal the amount of actual cash payment.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 44 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
Corporate Liquidity Portfolio
The chart below displays information on the composition of our corporate liquidity portfolio. The balance and composition of our corporate liquidity portfolio fluctuates as a result of changes in our cash flows, liquidity in the fixed-income markets, and our liquidity risk management framework and practices.
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| | U.S. Treasury securities |
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| | Securities purchased under agreements to resell |
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| | Cash and cash equivalents(1) |
(1) Cash equivalents are composed of overnight reverse repurchase agreements and U.S. Treasuries, if any, that have a maturity at the date of acquisition of three months or less.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
We enter into certain business arrangements to facilitate our statutory purpose of providing liquidity to the secondary mortgage market and to reduce our exposure to interest rate fluctuations. Some of these arrangements are not recorded in our condensed consolidated balance sheets or may be recorded in amounts different from the full contract or notional amount of the transaction, depending on the nature or structure of, and the accounting required to be applied to, the arrangement. These arrangements are commonly referred to as “off-balance sheet arrangements” and expose us to potential losses in excess of the amounts recorded in our condensed consolidated balance sheets.
Our off-balance sheet arrangements result primarily from the following:
•our guaranty of mortgage loan securitization and resecuritization transactions over which we have no control, which are reflected in our unconsolidated Fannie Mae MBS net of any beneficial ownership interest we retain, and other financial guarantees that we do not control;
•liquidity support transactions; and
•partnership interests.
The total amount of our off-balance sheet exposure related to unconsolidated Fannie Mae MBS net of any beneficial interest that we retain, and other financial guarantees was $224.1 billion as of March 31, 2024 and $227.5 billion as of December 31, 2023. The majority of the other financial guarantees consists of Freddie Mac securities backing Fannie Mae structured securities. See “Guaranty Book of Business” and “Note 7, Financial Guarantees” for more information regarding our maximum exposure to loss on unconsolidated Fannie Mae MBS and Freddie Mac securities.
Our total outstanding liquidity commitments to advance funds for securities backed by multifamily housing revenue bonds totaled $4.5 billion as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023. These commitments require us to advance funds to third parties that enable them to repurchase tendered bonds or securities that are unable to be remarketed. We hold cash and cash equivalents in our corporate liquidity portfolio in excess of these commitments to advance funds.
We have investments in various limited partnerships and similar legal entities, which consist of LIHTC investments, community investments and investments in other entities. When we do not have a controlling financial interest in those entities, our condensed consolidated balance sheets reflect only our investment rather than the full amount of the partnership’s assets and liabilities. See “Note 3, Consolidations and Transfers of Financial Assets—Unconsolidated VIEs” for information regarding our investments in limited partnerships and similar legal entities.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 45 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
Cash Flows
Three Months Ended March 31, 2024. Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents decreased from $68.7 billion as of December 31, 2023 to $33.3 billion as of March 31, 2024. The decrease was primarily driven by cash outflows from (1) investments in securities purchased under agreements to resell, (2) redemptions of debt outpacing issuances, (3) purchases of loans held for investment and (4) advances to lenders.
Partially offsetting these cash outflows were cash inflows primarily from proceeds from repayments of loans.
Three Months Ended March 31, 2023. Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash and cash equivalents increased from $87.8 billion as of December 31, 2022 to $90.8 billion as of March 31, 2023. The increase was primarily driven by cash inflows from (1) proceeds from repayments and sales of loans, (2) the sale of Fannie Mae MBS to third parties, and (3) the issuances of funding debt, which outpaced redemptions.
Partially offsetting these cash inflows were cash outflows from (1) payments on outstanding debt of consolidated trusts,(2) purchases of loans held for investment, and (3) advances to lenders.
Credit Ratings
As of March 31, 2024, our credit ratings issued by the three major credit rating agencies have not changed since December 31, 2023. For information on these credit ratings, see “MD&A—Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Credit Ratings” in our 2023 Form 10-K.
Capital Management
Capital Requirements
The table below sets forth information about our capital requirements under the standardized approach of the enterprise regulatory capital framework. Available capital for purposes of the enterprise regulatory capital framework excludes the stated value of the senior preferred stock ($120.8 billion) and other amounts specified in the Regulatory Capital Components table below. Because of these exclusions, we had a deficit in available capital as of March 31, 2024, even though we had positive net worth under accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) of $82.0 billion as of March 31, 2024. See “Business—Legislation and Regulation—Capital Requirements” in our 2023 Form 10-K for a description of our capital requirements under the enterprise regulatory capital framework. Although the enterprise regulatory capital framework went into effect in February 2021, we are not required to hold capital according to the framework’s requirements until the date of termination of our conservatorship, or such later date as may be ordered by FHFA.
We had a $238 billion shortfall of our available capital (deficit) to the adjusted total capital requirement (including buffers) of $188 billion under the standardized approach of the enterprise regulatory capital framework as of March 31, 2024. Our capital shortfall decreased from $243 billion as of December 31, 2023 to $238 billion as of March 31, 2024, primarily as a result of an increase in our retained earnings.
Risk-weighted assets decreased from $1,357 billion as of December 31, 2023 to $1,323 billion as of March 31, 2024, primarily due to continued single-family home price appreciation and ongoing credit risk transfer issuances.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 46 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Capital Metrics under the Enterprise Regulatory Capital Framework as of March 31, 2024(1) |
| (Dollars in billions) |
| Adjusted total assets | | $ | 4,549 | | | Stress capital buffer | | $ | 34 | |
| Risk-weighted assets (standardized approach): | | | | Stability capital buffer | | 48 | |
| Credit risk | | 1,209 | | | Countercyclical capital buffer | | — | |
| Market risk | | 29 | | | Prescribed capital conservation buffer amount | | $ | 82 | |
| Operational risk | | 85 | | | |
| Total risk-weighted assets | | $ | 1,323 | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Minimum Capital Ratio Requirement | | Minimum Capital Requirement | | Applicable Buffers(2) | | Total Capital Requirement (including Buffers) | | Available Capital (Deficit)(3) | | Capital Shortfall(4) |
| Risk-based capital: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total capital (statutory)(5) | 8.0 | % | | $ | 106 | | | N/A | | $ | 106 | | | $ | (30) | | | $ | (136) | |
| Common equity tier 1 capital | 4.5 | | | 60 | | | $ | 82 | | | 142 | | | (69) | | | (211) | |
| Tier 1 capital | 6.0 | | | 79 | | | 82 | | | 161 | | | (50) | | | (211) | |
| Adjusted total capital | 8.0 | | | 106 | | | 82 | | | 188 | | | (50) | | | (238) | |
| Leverage capital: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Core capital (statutory)(6) | 2.5 | | | 114 | | | N/A | | 114 | | | (39) | | | (153) | |
| Tier 1 capital | 2.5 | | | 114 | | | 24 | | | 138 | | | (50) | | | (188) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Capital Metrics under the Enterprise Regulatory Capital Framework as of December 31, 2023(1) |
| (Dollars in billions) |
| Adjusted total assets | | $ | 4,552 | | | Stress capital buffer | | $ | 34 | |
| Risk-weighted assets (standardized approach): | | | | Stability capital buffer | | 45 | |
| Credit risk | | 1,241 | | | Countercyclical capital buffer | | — | |
| Market risk | | 31 | | | Prescribed capital conservation buffer amount | | $ | 79 | |
| Operational risk | | 85 | | | |
| Total risk-weighted assets | | $ | 1,357 | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | Minimum Capital Ratio Requirement | | Minimum Capital Requirement | | Applicable Buffers(2) | | Total Capital Requirement (including Buffers) | | Available Capital (Deficit)(3) | | Capital Shortfall(4) |
| Risk-based capital: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total capital (statutory)(5) | 8.0 | % | | $ | 109 | | | N/A | | $ | 109 | | | $ | (34) | | | $ | (143) | |
| Common equity tier 1 capital | 4.5 | | | 61 | | | $ | 79 | | | 140 | | | (74) | | | (214) | |
| Tier 1 capital | 6.0 | | | 81 | | | 79 | | | 160 | | | (55) | | | (215) | |
| Adjusted total capital | 8.0 | | | 109 | | | 79 | | | 188 | | | (55) | | | (243) | |
| Leverage capital: | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Core capital (statutory)(6) | 2.5 | | | 114 | | | N/A | | 114 | | | (43) | | | (157) | |
| Tier 1 capital | 2.5 | | | 114 | | | 23 | | | 137 | | | (55) | | | (192) | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
(1)Ratios are calculated as a percentage of risk-weighted assets for risk-based capital metrics and as a percentage of adjusted total assets for leverage capital metrics.
(2)The prescribed capital buffers represent the amount of capital we are required to hold above the minimum risk-based and leverage capital requirements. The applicable buffer for risk-based common equity tier 1 capital, tier 1 capital, and adjusted total capital is the prescribed
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 47 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
capital conservation buffer amount, or PCCBA, which is composed of a stress capital buffer, a stability capital buffer, and a countercyclical capital buffer. The PCCBA must be comprised entirely of common equity tier one capital. The applicable buffer for leverage tier 1 capital is the prescribed leverage buffer amount, or PLBA. The stress capital buffer and countercyclical capital buffer are each calculated by multiplying prescribed factors by adjusted total assets as of the last day of the previous calendar quarter. The stability capital buffer is based on our share of mortgage debt outstanding. The prescribed leverage buffer for March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 was set at 50% of the March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 stability capital buffer, respectively.
(3)Available capital (deficit) for all line items excludes the stated value of the senior preferred stock ($120.8 billion). Available capital (deficit) for all line items except total capital and core capital also deducts a portion of deferred tax assets. Deferred tax assets arising from temporary differences between GAAP and tax requirements are deducted from capital to the extent they exceed 10% of common equity. As of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, this resulted in the full deduction of deferred tax assets ($11.5 billion and $11.7 billion, respectively) from our available capital (deficit). Available capital (deficit) for common equity tier 1 capital also excludes the value of the perpetual, noncumulative preferred stock ($19.1 billion) as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023.
(4)Our capital shortfall consists of the difference between the applicable capital requirement (including buffers) and the applicable available capital (deficit).
(5)The sum of (a) core capital (see definition in footnote 6 below); and (b) a general allowance for foreclosure losses, which (i) shall include an allowance for portfolio mortgage losses, an allowance for non-reimbursable foreclosure costs on government claims, and an allowance for liabilities reflected on the balance sheet for estimated foreclosure losses on mortgage-backed securities; and (ii) shall not include any reserves made or held against specific assets; and (c) any other amounts from sources of funds available to absorb losses that the Director of FHFA by regulation determines are appropriate to include in determining total capital.
(6)The sum of (a) the stated value of our outstanding common stock (common stock less treasury stock); (b) the stated value of our outstanding perpetual, noncumulative preferred stock; (c) our paid-in capital; and (d) our retained earnings (accumulated deficit). Core capital does not include: (a) accumulated other comprehensive income or (b) senior preferred stock.
While it is not applicable until the date of termination of our conservatorship, our maximum payout ratio represents the percentage of eligible retained income that we are permitted to pay out in the form of distributions or discretionary bonus payments under the enterprise regulatory capital framework. The maximum payout ratio for a given quarter is the lowest of the payout ratios determined by our capital conservation buffer and our leverage buffer. As a result of our capital shortfall, our maximum payout ratio under the enterprise regulatory capital framework as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 was 0%. See “Note 15, Regulatory Capital Requirements” for information on our capital ratios as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 under the enterprise regulatory capital framework.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 48 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
The table below presents certain components of our regulatory capital. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Regulatory Capital Components | | |
| | | | As of |
| | March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 |
| | | | (Dollars in millions) |
| Total equity | | $ | 82,006 | | | $ | 77,682 | |
| Less: | | | | |
| Senior preferred stock | | 120,836 | | | 120,836 | |
| Preferred stock | | 19,130 | | | 19,130 | |
| Common equity | | (57,960) | | | (62,284) | |
| Less: deferred tax assets arising from temporary differences that exceed 10% of common equity tier 1 capital and other regulatory adjustments | | 11,525 | | | 11,681 | |
| Common equity tier 1 capital (deficit) | | (69,485) | | | (73,965) | |
| Add: perpetual, noncumulative preferred stock | | 19,130 | | | 19,130 | |
| Tier 1 capital (deficit) | | (50,355) | | | (54,835) | |
| Tier 2 capital adjustments | | — | | | — | |
| Adjusted total capital (deficit) | | $ | (50,355) | | | $ | (54,835) | |
The table below presents certain components of our core capital.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Statutory Capital Components | | |
| | As of |
| | | | March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 |
| | | | (Dollars in millions) |
| Total equity | | $ | 82,006 | | | $ | 77,682 | |
| Less: | | | | |
| Senior preferred stock | | 120,836 | | | 120,836 | |
| Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of taxes | | 36 | | | 32 | |
| Core capital (deficit) | | $ | (38,866) | | | $ | (43,186) | |
| Less: general allowance for foreclosure losses | | (8,590) | | | (8,934) | |
| Total capital (deficit) | | $ | (30,276) | | | $ | (34,252) | |
Capital Activity
Under the terms governing the senior preferred stock, no dividends were payable to Treasury for the first quarter of 2024 and none are payable for the second quarter of 2024.
Under the terms governing the senior preferred stock, through and including the capital reserve end date, any increase in our net worth during a fiscal quarter results in an increase in the same amount of the aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock in the following quarter. The capital reserve end date is defined as the last day of the second consecutive fiscal quarter during which we have had and maintained capital equal to, or in excess of, all of the capital requirements and buffers under the enterprise regulatory capital framework.
As a result of these terms governing the senior preferred stock, the aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock increased to $199.2 billion as of March 31, 2024 from $195.2 billion as of December 31, 2023, due to the $4.0 billion increase in our net worth in the fourth quarter of 2023. The aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock will further increase to $203.5 billion as of June 30, 2024, due to the $4.3 billion increase in our net worth in the first quarter of 2024. See “Business—Conservatorship and Treasury Agreements—Treasury Agreements” in our 2023 Form 10-K for more information on the terms of our senior preferred stock, including how the aggregate liquidation preference is determined.
Increases in our net worth improve our capital position and our ability to absorb losses; however, increases in our net worth also increase the aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock by the same amount until the capital reserve end date as discussed above.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 49 |
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| MD&A | Liquidity and Capital Management |
Treasury Funding Commitment
Treasury made a commitment under the senior preferred stock purchase agreement to provide funding to us under certain circumstances if we have a net worth deficit. As of March 31, 2024, the remaining amount of Treasury’s funding commitment to us was $113.9 billion. See “Note 2, Conservatorship, Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement and Related Matters” in our 2023 Form 10-K for more information on Treasury’s funding commitment under the senior preferred stock purchase agreement.
Risk Management
Our business activities expose us to the following major categories of risk: credit risk (including mortgage credit risk and institutional counterparty credit risk), market risk (including interest-rate risk), liquidity and funding risk, operational risk (including cyber/information security risk and third-party risk) and model risk, as well as strategic risk, compliance risk and reputational risk. We are also exposed to climate risk, which we view as a cross-cutting risk that can impact a variety of our existing risk categories, particularly credit risk. See “MD&A—Risk Management” in our 2023 Form 10-K for a discussion of our management of these risks. This section supplements and updates that discussion but does not address all of the risk management categories described in our 2023 Form 10-K.
Market Risk Management, including Interest-Rate Risk Management
We are subject to market risk, which includes interest-rate risk and spread risk. These risks arise primarily from our mortgage asset investments. Interest-rate risk is the risk that movements in interest rates will adversely affect the value of our assets or liabilities or our future earnings or capital. Spread risk is the risk from changes in an instrument’s value that relate to factors other than changes in interest rates. We do not currently actively manage or hedge, on an economic basis, our spread risk, or the interest-rate risk arising from cost basis adjustments and float income associated with mortgage assets held by our consolidated MBS trusts. See “MD&A—Risk Management—Market Risk Management, including Interest-Rate Risk Management” and “Risk Factors—Market and Industry Risk” in our 2023 Form 10-K for additional information, including our sources of interest-rate risk exposure, business risks posed by changes in interest rates, and our strategy for managing interest-rate risk. For additional information on the impact of interest-rate risk on our earnings, see “Earnings Exposure to Interest-Rate Risk” below.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 50 |
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| MD&A | Risk Management | Market Risk Management, including Interest-Rate Risk Management |
Measurement of Interest-Rate Risk
The table below displays the pre-tax market value sensitivity of our net portfolio to changes in the level of interest rates and the slope of the applicable yield curve as measured on the last day of each period presented. We collectively define our net portfolio as: our retained mortgage portfolio assets; our corporate liquidity portfolio; outstanding debt of Fannie Mae used to fund the retained mortgage portfolio assets and corporate liquidity portfolio; mortgage commitments; and risk management derivatives. The table below also provides the daily average, minimum, maximum and standard deviation values for duration gap and for the most adverse market value impact on the net portfolio to changes in the level of interest rates and the slope of the applicable yield curve for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023. Our practice is to allow interest rates to go below zero in the downward shock models unless otherwise prevented through contractual floors.
Effective April 2023, we transitioned our portfolio interest-rate risk measurement process from using LIBOR to using SOFR as the benchmark interest rate. This change did not have a significant impact on the measurement of our interest-rate risk or our financial results. The interest-rate sensitivity metrics in the table below for the three months ended March 31, 2023 were not revised.
For information on how we measure our interest-rate risk, see “MD&A—Risk Management—Market Risk Management, including Interest-Rate Risk Management” in our 2023 Form 10-K.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Interest-Rate Sensitivity of Net Portfolio to Changes in Interest-Rate Level and Slope of Yield Curve |
| As of(1)(2) |
| March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 |
| (Dollars in millions) |
| Rate level shock: | | | | | | | |
| -100 basis points | | $ | 96 | | | | | $ | 53 | | |
| -50 basis points | | 47 | | | | | 39 | | |
| +50 basis points | | (50) | | | | | (47) | | |
| +100 basis points | | (88) | | | | | (93) | | |
| Rate slope shock: | | | | | | | |
| -25 basis points (flattening) | | (11) | | | | | (7) | | |
| +25 basis points (steepening) | | 2 | | | | | 5 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | For the Three Months Ended March 31,(1)(3) |
| | 2024 | | 2023 |
| | Duration Gap | | Rate Slope Shock 25 bps | | Rate Level Shock 50 bps | | Duration Gap | | Rate Slope Shock 25 bps | | Rate Level Shock 50 bps |
| | | | Market Value Sensitivity | | | | Market Value Sensitivity |
| | (In years) | | (Dollars in millions) | | (In years) | | (Dollars in millions) |
| Average | | 0.04 | | | $ | (9) | | | | | $ | (36) | | | | 0.02 | | | $ | (14) | | | | | $ | (26) | | |
| Minimum | | 0.01 | | | (14) | | | | | (71) | | | | (0.01) | | | (19) | | | | | (50) | | |
| Maximum | | 0.09 | | | 1 | | | | | (18) | | | | 0.05 | | | (8) | | | | | (5) | | |
| Standard deviation | | 0.02 | | | 3 | | | | | 13 | | | | 0.01 | | | 4 | | | | | 12 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(1)Computed based on changes in SOFR interest-rates swap curve as of and for the three months ended March 31, 2024, and as of December 31, 2023. Computed based on changes in U.S. LIBOR interest-rates swap curve for the three months ended March 31, 2023. Changes in the level of interest rates assume a parallel shift in all maturities of the SOFR or U.S. LIBOR interest-rate swap curve, as applicable. Changes in the slope of the yield curve assume a constant 7-year rate, a shift of 16.7 basis points for the 1-year rate (and shorter tenors) and an opposite shift of 8.3 basis points for the 30-year rate. Rate shocks for remaining maturity points are interpolated.
(2)Measured on the last business day of each period presented.
(3)Computed based on daily values during the period presented.
The market value sensitivity of our net portfolio varies across a range of interest-rate shocks depending upon the duration and convexity profile of our net portfolio. The market value sensitivity of the net portfolio is measured by quantifying the change in the present value of the cash flows of our financial assets and liabilities that would result from an instantaneous shock to interest rates, assuming spreads are held constant.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 51 |
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| MD&A | Risk Management | Market Risk Management, including Interest-Rate Risk Management |
We use derivatives to help manage the residual interest-rate risk exposure between the assets and liabilities in our net portfolio. Derivatives have enabled us to keep our economic interest-rate risk exposure at consistently low levels in a wide range of interest-rate environments. The table below displays an example of how derivatives impacted the net market value exposure for a 50 basis point parallel interest-rate shock. For additional information on our derivative positions, see “Note 9, Derivative Instruments” in our 2023 Form 10-K and in this report.
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| Derivative Impact on Interest-Rate Risk (50 Basis Points) |
| | As of(1) |
| | March 31, 2024 | | December 31, 2023 |
| | (Dollars in millions) |
| Before derivatives | | | $ | (396) | | | | | $ | (449) | | |
| After derivatives | | | (50) | | | | | (47) | | |
| Effect of derivatives | | | 346 | | | | | 402 | | |
(1)Measured on the last business day of each period presented.
Earnings Exposure to Interest-Rate Risk
While we manage the interest-rate risk of our net portfolio with the objective of remaining neutral to movements in interest rates and volatility on an economic basis, our earnings can experience volatility due to interest-rate changes and differing accounting treatments that apply to certain financial instruments on our balance sheet. Specifically, we have exposure to earnings volatility that is driven by changes in interest rates in two primary areas: our net portfolio and our consolidated MBS trusts. The exposure in the net portfolio is primarily driven by changes in the fair value of risk management derivatives, mortgage commitments, and certain assets, primarily securities, that are carried at fair value. The exposure related to our consolidated MBS trusts relates to changes in our credit loss reserves and to the amortization of cost basis adjustments resulting from changes in interest rates.
We apply fair value hedge accounting to address some of the exposure to interest rates, particularly the earnings volatility related to changes in benchmark interest rates. Our hedge accounting program is specifically designed to address the volatility of our financial results associated with changes in fair value related to changes in these benchmark interest rates. As such, earnings variability driven by other factors, such as spreads or changes in cost basis amortization recognized in net interest income, remains. In addition, our ability to effectively reduce earnings volatility is dependent upon the volume and type of interest-rate swaps available for hedging, which is driven by our interest-rate risk management strategy discussed above and in our 2023 Form 10-K. As our range of available interest-rate swaps varies over time, our ability to reduce earnings volatility through hedge accounting may vary as well. When the shape of the yield curve shifts significantly from period to period, hedge accounting may be less effective. In our current program, we establish new hedging relationships each business day to provide flexibility in our overall risk management strategy.
See “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in our 2023 Form 10-K and “Note 9, Derivative Instruments” in this report for additional information on our fair value hedge accounting policy and related disclosures.
Critical Accounting Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in accordance with GAAP requires management to make a number of judgments, estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amount of assets, liabilities, income and expenses in our condensed consolidated financial statements. Understanding our accounting policies and the extent to which we use management judgment and estimates in applying these policies is integral to understanding our financial statements. We describe our most significant accounting policies in “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in this report and in our 2023 Form 10-K.
We evaluate our critical accounting estimates and judgments required by our policies on an ongoing basis and update them as necessary based on changing conditions. Management has discussed any significant changes in judgments and assumptions in applying our critical accounting estimates with the Audit Committee of our Board of Directors. See “Risk Factors—General Risk” in our 2023 Form 10-K for a discussion of the risks associated with the need for management to make judgments and estimates in applying our accounting policies and methods. We have identified one of our accounting estimates, allowance for loan losses, as critical because it involves significant judgments and assumptions about highly complex and inherently uncertain matters, and the use of reasonably different judgments and assumptions could have a material impact on our reported results of operations or financial condition.
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| Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 52 |
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| MD&A | Critical Accounting Estimates |
Allowance for Loan Losses
The allowance for loan losses is an estimate of single-family and multifamily HFI loan receivables that we expect will not be collected related to loans held by Fannie Mae or by consolidated Fannie Mae MBS trusts. The expected credit losses are deducted from the amortized cost basis of HFI loans to present the net amount expected to be received.
The allowance for loan losses involves substantial judgment on a number of matters including the development and weighting of macroeconomic forecasts, the reversion period applied, the assessment of similar risk characteristics, which determines the historic loss experience used to derive probability of loan default, the valuation of collateral, which includes judgments about the property condition at the time of foreclosure, and the determination of a loan’s remaining expected life. Our most significant judgments involved in estimating our allowance for loan losses relate to the modeled macroeconomic data used to develop reasonable and supportable forecasts for key economic drivers, which are subject to significant inherent uncertainty. Most notably, for single-family, the model uses forecasted single-family home prices as well as a range of possible future interest rate environments. For multifamily, the model uses forecasted rental income and property valuations over the remaining life of each mortgage loan. In developing a reasonable and supportable forecast, the model simulates multiple paths of interest rates, rental income and property values based on current market conditions.
Quantitative Component
We use a discounted cash flow method to measure expected credit losses on our single-family mortgage loans and an undiscounted loss method to measure expected credit losses on our multifamily mortgage loans.
Our modeled loan performance is based on our historical experience of loans with similar risk characteristics adjusted to reflect current conditions and reasonable and supportable forecasts. Our historical loss experience and our loan loss estimates capture the possibility of a multitude of events, including remote events that could result in credit losses on loans that are considered low risk. Our credit loss models, including the macroeconomic forecast data used as key inputs, are subject to our model oversight and review processes as well as other established governance and controls.
Qualitative Component
Our process for measuring expected credit losses is complex and involves significant management judgment, including a reliance on historical loss information and current economic forecasts that may not be representative of credit losses we ultimately realize. Management adjustments may be necessary to take into consideration external factors and current macroeconomic events that have occurred but are not yet reflected in the data used to derive the model outputs. Qualitative factors and events not previously observed by the models through historical loss experience may also be considered, as well as the uncertainty of their impact on credit loss estimates.
Macroeconomic Variables and Sensitivities
Our benefit or provision for credit losses can vary substantially from period to period based on forecasted macroeconomic drivers; primarily home prices and interest rates related to our single-family book of business, which for the purposes of macroeconomic model inputs, we have determined are the most significant judgments used in our estimation of credit losses. We develop regional forecasts for single-family home prices using a multi-path simulation that captures home price projections over a five-year period, which is the period for which we can develop reasonable and supportable forecasts. After the five-year period, the home price forecast reverts to a historical long-term growth rate. Additionally, our model projects the range of possible interest rate scenarios over the life of the loan. This process captures multiple possible outcomes of what could be more or less favorable economic environments for the borrower, and therefore will increase or decrease the likelihood of default or prepayment depending on the environment in each path of the simulation.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 53 |
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| MD&A | Critical Accounting Estimates |
The table below provides information about our most significant key macroeconomic inputs used in determining our single-family allowance for loan losses: forecasted home price growth rates and interest rates. Although the model consumes a wide range of possible regional home price forecasts and interest rate scenarios that take into account inherent uncertainty, the forecasts below represent the mean path of those simulations used in determining the allowance for the quarter ended March 31, 2024, and for each quarter during the year ended December 31, 2023, and how those forecasts have changed between periods of estimate. Below we present our home price growth and interest rate estimates used in our estimate of expected credit losses. Our forecasts include estimates for periods beyond 2026 that are not presented in the table below.
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Select Single-Family Macroeconomic Model Inputs(1) | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Forecasted home price growth (decline) rate by period of estimate:(2) | | | | | | | |
| For the Full Year ending December 31, | | |
| 2024 | | 2025 | | 2026 | | |
| | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
| First Quarter 2024 | 4.8 | % | | 1.5 | % | | * | | |
| | | | | | | |
| For the Full Year ending December 31, | | |
| 2023 | | 2024 | | 2025 | | |
| Fourth Quarter 2023 | 7.1 | % | | 3.2 | % | | 0.3 | % | | |
| Third Quarter 2023 | 6.7 | | | 2.8 | | | (0.4) | | | |
| Second Quarter 2023 | 3.9 | | | (0.7) | | | (1.5) | | | |
| First Quarter 2023 | (1.2) | | | (2.2) | | | (1.1) | | | |
| | | | | | | |
Forecasted 30-year mortgage interest rates by period of estimate:(3) | | | | | | | |
| Through the end of December 31, | | For the Full Year ending December 31, | | |
| 2024 | | 2025 | | 2026 | | |
| | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
| First Quarter 2024 | 6.8 | % | | 6.4 | % | | 6.2 | % | | |
| | | | | | | |
| Through the end of December 31, | | For the Full Year ending December 31, | | |
| 2023 | | 2024 | | 2025 | | |
| Fourth Quarter 2023 | 6.8 | % | | 6.4 | % | | 6.0 | % | | |
| Third Quarter 2023 | 7.5 | | | 7.2 | | | 6.8 | | | |
| Second Quarter 2023 | 6.7 | | | 6.0 | | | 5.8 | | | |
| First Quarter 2023 | 6.2 | | | 5.7 | | | 5.5 | | | |
* Represents less than 0.05% of home price growth (decline).
(1)These forecasts are provided here solely for the purpose of providing insight into our credit loss model. Forecasts for future periods are subject to significant uncertainty, which increases for periods that are further in the future. We provide our most recent forecasts for certain macroeconomic and housing market conditions in “Key Market Economic Indicators.” In addition, each month our Economic & Strategic Research group provides its forecast of economic and housing market conditions, which are available in the “About Us/Research and Insights” section of our website, www.fanniemae.com. Information on our website is not incorporated into this report.
(2)These estimates are based on our national home price index, which is calculated differently from the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index and therefore results in different percentages for comparable growth. We periodically update our home price growth estimates and forecasts as new data become available. As a result, the forecast data in this table may also differ from the forecasted home price growth rate presented in “Key Market Economic Indicators,” because that section reflects our most recent forecast as of the filing date of this report, while this table reflects the quantitative forecast data we used in our model to estimate credit losses for the periods shown. Management continues to monitor macroeconomic updates to our inputs in our credit loss model from the time they are approved as part of our established governance process to ensure the reasonableness of the inputs used to calculate estimated credit losses. The forecast data excludes the impact of any qualitative adjustments.
(3)Forecasted 30-year interest rates represent the mean of possible future interest rate environments that are simulated by our interest rate model and used in the estimation of credit losses. Forecasts through the end of December 31, 2024 and 2023 represent the average forecasted rate from the quarter-end through the calendar year end of December 31st. The fourth quarter of 2023 interest rate represents the 30-year interest rate as of December 31, 2023. This table reflects the forecasted interest rate data we used in estimating credit losses for the periods shown and does not reflect changes in interest rates that occurred after the forecast date.
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| MD&A | Critical Accounting Estimates |
It is difficult to estimate how potential changes in any one factor or input might affect the overall credit loss estimates, because management considers a wide variety of factors and inputs in estimating the allowance for loan losses. Changes in the factors and inputs considered may not occur at the same rate and may not be consistent across all geographies or loan types, and changes in factors and inputs may be directionally inconsistent, such that improvement in one factor or input may offset deterioration in others. Changes in our assumptions and forecasts of economic conditions could significantly affect our estimate of expected credit losses and lead to significant changes in the estimate from one reporting period to the next.
As noted above, our allowance for loan losses is sensitive to changes in home prices and interest rate changes. To consider the impact of a hypothetical change in home prices, assuming a positive one-percentage point change in the home price growth rate for the first twelve months of the forecast, on a normalized basis, with all other factors held constant, the single-family allowance for loan losses as of March 31, 2024 would decrease by approximately 3%. Conversely, assuming a negative one-percentage point change in the home price growth rate for the first twelve months of the forecast, on a normalized basis, the single-family allowance for loan losses would increase by approximately 3%.
To consider the impact of a hypothetical change in 30-year interest rates, assuming a 50-basis point increase in estimated 30-year interest rates, with all other factors held constant, the single-family allowance for loan losses as of March 31, 2024 would increase by approximately 3%. Conversely, assuming a 50-basis point decrease in 30-year interest rates, the single-family allowance for loan losses would decrease by approximately 4%.
These sensitivity analyses are hypothetical and are provided solely for the purpose of providing insight into our credit loss model inputs. In addition, sensitivities for home price and interest rate changes are non-linear. As a result, changes in these estimates are not incrementally proportional. The purpose of this analysis is to provide an indication of the impact of home price appreciation and 30-year interest rates on the estimate of the allowance for credit losses. For example, it is not intended to imply management’s expectation of future changes in our forecasts or any other variables that may change as a result.
We provide more detailed information on our accounting for the allowance for loan losses in “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in our 2023 Form 10-K. See “Note 5, Allowance for Loan Losses” for additional information about our current period benefit for loan losses.
See “Key Market Economic Indicators” in our 2023 Form 10-K for additional information about how home prices can affect our credit loss estimates. See “Key Market Economic Indicators” in this report for a discussion of home price growth rates and our home price forecast. Also see “Consolidated Results of Operations—Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses” in this report for information on how our home price forecast impacted our single-family benefit for credit losses.
Impact of Future Adoption of New Accounting Guidance
We identify and discuss the expected impact on our condensed consolidated financial statements of recently issued accounting guidance in “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies.”
Forward-Looking Statements
This report includes statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”). In addition, we and our senior management may from time to time make forward-looking statements in our other filings with the SEC, our other publicly available written statements, and orally to analysts, investors, the news media and others. Forward-looking statements often include words such as “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “seek,” “estimate,” “forecast,” “project,” “would,” “should,” “could,” “likely,” “may,” “will” or similar words. Examples of forward-looking statements in this report include, among others, statements relating to our beliefs and expectations regarding the following matters:
•economic, mortgage market and housing market conditions (including expectations regarding economic growth, home price growth, unemployment rates, loan origination volumes and interest rates), the factors that will affect those conditions, and the impact of those conditions on our business and financial results;
•the impact of hedge accounting on the volatility of our financial results;
•the future aggregate liquidation preference of our senior preferred stock;
•our future dividend payments on the senior preferred stock;
•our business plans and strategies, and their impact;
•the credit performance of the loans in our guaranty book of business (including future loan delinquencies and foreclosures) and the factors that will affect such performance;
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| MD&A | Forward-Looking Statements |
•the effects of our credit risk transfer transactions, as well as the factors that will affect our engagement in future credit risk transfer transactions;
•how we intend to repay our debt obligations;
•the impact of the adoption of new accounting guidance;
•our payments to HUD and Treasury funds under the GSE Act;
•legal and regulatory proceedings; and
•the risks to our business.
Forward-looking statements reflect our management’s current expectations, forecasts or predictions of future conditions, events or results based on various assumptions and management’s estimates of trends and economic conditions in the markets in which we are active and that otherwise impact our business plans. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to significant risks and uncertainties and changes in circumstances. Our actual results and financial condition may differ, possibly materially, from the anticipated results and financial condition indicated in these forward-looking statements.
There are a number of factors that could cause actual conditions, events or results to differ materially from those described in our forward-looking statements, including, among others, the following:
•factors that will affect future economic conditions, including the persistence of inflationary pressures and the risk of financial market disruptions;
•growth, deterioration and the overall health and stability of the U.S. economy, including GDP, unemployment rates, personal income, inflation and other indicators thereof;
•the timing and level of, as well as regional variation in, home price changes;
•the volume of mortgage originations;
•the size and our share of the U.S. mortgage market and the factors that affect them, including population growth and household formation;
•changes in fiscal or monetary policy of the U.S. or other countries, and the impact of such changes on domestic and international financial markets;
•domestic, regional and global political risks and uncertainties, including the impact of conflict in the Middle East, the Russian war in Ukraine, and tensions between China and Taiwan;
•the impact of stress in the banking sector on the financial condition and business activities of our counterparties, including stress on regional banks and on banks with significant exposure to commercial real estate;
•future interest rates and credit spreads;
•developments that may be difficult to predict, including: market conditions that result in changes in our deferred guaranty fee income or changes in net interest income from our portfolios; fluctuations in the estimated fair value of our derivatives and other financial instruments that we mark to market through our earnings; and developments that affect our loss reserves, such as changes in interest rates, home prices or accounting standards;
•disruptions or instability in the housing and credit markets;
•changes in the demand for Fannie Mae MBS, our debt securities or our credit risk transfer securities, in general or from one or more major groups of investors;
•constraints on our entry into new credit risk transfer transactions;
•a decrease in our credit ratings;
•limitations on our ability to access the debt capital markets;
•the size, composition, quality and performance of our guaranty book of business and retained mortgage portfolio;
•how long loans in our guaranty book of business remain outstanding;
•our and our competitors’ future guaranty fee pricing and the impact of that pricing on our competitive environment and guaranty fee revenues;
•the competitive environment in which we operate, including the impact of legislative, regulatory or other developments on levels of competition in our industry and other factors affecting our market share;
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| MD&A | Forward-Looking Statements |
•significant challenges we face in retaining and hiring qualified executives and other employees;
•our conservatorship, including any changes to or termination (by receivership or otherwise) of the conservatorship and its effect on our business;
•the investment by Treasury, including the impact of past or potential future changes to the terms of the senior preferred stock purchase agreement, and their effect on our business, including restrictions imposed on us by the terms of the senior preferred stock purchase agreement, the senior preferred stock, and the warrant, as well as the extent that these or other restrictions on our business and activities are applied to us through other mechanisms even if we cease to be subject to these agreements and instruments;
•uncertainty regarding our future, our exit from conservatorship, our ability to raise or earn the capital needed to meet our capital requirements, and our ability to achieve long-term return targets;
•the impact of the enterprise regulatory capital framework, as well as future legislative and regulatory requirements or changes, governmental initiatives, or executive orders affecting us, such as the enactment of housing finance reform legislation, including changes that limit our business activities or our footprint, impose new mandates on us, or affect our ability to change our pricing;
•the possibility that changes in leadership at FHFA or the Administration may result in changes that affect our company or our business;
•actions we may be required to take by FHFA, in its role as our conservator or as our regulator, such as changes in the type of business we do, or actions relating to UMBS or our resecuritization of Freddie Mac-issued securities;
•limitations on our business imposed by FHFA, in its role as our conservator or as our regulator;
•adverse effects from activities we undertake to support the mortgage market and help borrowers, renters, lenders and servicers, including actions we may take to reach additional underserved borrowers or address barriers to sustainable housing opportunities and advance equity in housing finance;
•our reliance on Common Securitization Solutions, LLC (“CSS”), a limited liability company we own jointly with Freddie Mac, and the common securitization platform CSS operates for a majority of our single-family securitization activities; provisions in the CSS limited liability company agreement that permit FHFA to add members to the CSS Board of Managers, which may limit the ability of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to control decisions of the Board; and changes FHFA may require in our relationship with or in our support of CSS;
•actions by FHFA, Treasury, the Federal Reserve, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (“OCC”), the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”), the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”), HUD, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (“CFPB”), the SEC or other regulators, Congress, the Executive Branch, or state or local governments that affect our business;
•changes in the structure and regulation of the financial services industry;
•a default by the United States government on its obligations;
•a shutdown of the United States government;
•the potential impact of a change in the corporate income tax rate, which we expect would affect our net income in the quarter of enactment;
•significant changes in forbearance, modification and foreclosure activity;
•the volume and pace of any future nonperforming and reperforming loan sales and their impact on our financial results and serious delinquency rates;
•changes in borrower behavior;
•actions we may take to mitigate losses, and the effectiveness of our loss mitigation strategies, management of our REO inventory and pursuit of contractual remedies;
•natural disasters, environmental disasters, terrorist attacks, widespread health emergencies or pandemics, infrastructure failures, or other disruptive or catastrophic events;
•severe weather events, fires, floods or other climate change events or impacts, including those for which we may be uninsured or under-insured or that may affect our counterparties or the hazard insurers insuring properties underlying our guaranty book of business, and other risks resulting from climate change and efforts to address climate change and related risks;
•defaults by one or more of our counterparties or by the hazard insurers insuring properties underlying our guaranty book of business;
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 57 |
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| MD&A | Forward-Looking Statements |
•resolution or settlement agreements we may enter into with our counterparties;
•our need to rely on third parties to fully achieve some of our corporate objectives, including our reliance on mortgage servicers;
•the effectiveness of our risk management processes and related controls;
•the effectiveness of our business resiliency plans and systems;
•the stability and adequacy of the systems and infrastructure that impact our operations, including ours and those of CSS, our other counterparties and other third parties;
•the impact of interdependence between the single-family mortgage securitization programs of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in connection with UMBS;
•operational control weaknesses;
•our reliance on models and future updates we make to our models, including the data and assumptions used by these models;
•cyber attacks or other information security breaches or threats impacting us or the third parties with which we do business;
•changes in GAAP, guidance by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) and changes to our accounting policies;
•changes in the fair value of our assets and liabilities; and
•the other factors described in “Risk Factors” in our 2023 Form 10-K.
Readers are cautioned not to unduly rely on the forward-looking statements we make and to place these forward-looking statements into proper context by carefully considering the factors identified above and those discussed in “Risk Factors” in our 2023 Form 10-K. These forward-looking statements are representative only as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required under the federal securities laws.
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Fannie Mae First Quarter 2024 Form 10-Q | 58 |
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| Financial Statements | Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets |