UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

Form 10-K

 

 

Commission file number 1-9371

 

 

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:

(212) 752-1356

 

 

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:

Not applicable

 

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.

Yes  þ                     No  o

 

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act.

Yes  o                     No  þ

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.

Yes  þ                     No  o

 

Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant’s knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K.   o

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):

 

 

(Do not check if a smaller reporting company)

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company.

Yes  o                     No  þ

 

As of June 30, 2008, the aggregate market value (based upon the closing price of these shares on the New York Stock Exchange) of the shares of Common Stock of Alleghany Corporation held by non-affiliates was $2,161,992,492.

 

As of February 20, 2009, 8,273,891 shares of Common Stock were outstanding.

 

DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE

Portions of the Proxy Statement relating to Annual Meeting of Stockholders of Alleghany Corporation to be held on April 24, 2009 are incorporated into Part III of this Form 10-K Report.

 

 

ALLEGHANY CORPORATION

 

Form 10-K Report

for the year ended December 31, 2008

 

Table of Contents

 

Description

 

 

References in this Form 10-K Report to the “Company,” “Alleghany,” “we,” “us” and “our” refer to Alleghany Corporation and its consolidated subsidiaries, unless the context otherwise requires. In addition, unless the context otherwise requires, references to

 

Items 1 and 2. Business and Properties.

 

BUSINESS OVERVIEW

 

We were incorporated in 1984 under the laws of the State of Delaware. In December 1986, we succeeded to the business of our parent company, Alleghany Corporation, a Maryland corporation incorporated in 1929, upon its liquidation. We are engaged, through AIHL and its subsidiaries RSUI, CATA and EDC, in the property and casualty and surety insurance business. We also own an approximately 33 percent stake in Homesite Group Incorporated, or “Homesite,” a national, full-service, mono-line provider of homeowners insurance. In June 2006, we established AIHL Re as a captive reinsurance subsidiary of AIHL, and AIHL Re has, in the past, been available to provide reinsurance to our insurance operating units and affiliates. We also own and manage properties in Sacramento, California through our subsidiary Alleghany Properties, and are indirectly engaged in the oil and gas exploration and production business through our 40 percent ownership stake in ORX Exploration, Inc., or “ORX.”

 

We owned approximately 55 percent of Darwin Professional Underwriters, Inc., or “Darwin,” a specialty property and casualty insurer until October 20, 2008, when it was merged with a subsidiary of Allied World Assurance Company Holdings, Ltd, or “AWAC.” We were engaged in the industrial minerals business through World Minerals, Inc. and its subsidiaries, or “World Minerals,” until July 14, 2005, when we sold that business to Imerys USA, Inc. We were also engaged, through our subsidiary Heads & Threads International LLC, or “Heads & Threads,” in the steel fastener importing and distribution business until December 31, 2004 when Heads & Threads was merged with an acquisition vehicle formed by a private investor group led by Heads & Threads management and Capital Partners, Inc. As a result of our disposition of Darwin, World Minerals and Heads & Threads, these businesses have been classified as discontinued operations in this Form 10-K Report, and we no longer have any foreign operations.

 

On July 1, 2003, AIHL completed the acquisition of Resurgens Specialty Underwriting, Inc., or “Resurgens Specialty,” a specialty wholesale underwriting agency, from Royal Group, Inc., a subsidiary of Royal & SunAlliance Insurance Group plc, or “R&SA,” for cash consideration, including capitalized expenditures, of approximately $116.0 million. Resurgens Specialty became a subsidiary of RSUI. In connection with the acquisition of Resurgens Specialty, on June 30, 2003, RSUI acquired RSUI Indemnity Company, or “RIC,” to write admitted business underwritten by Resurgens Specialty, from Swiss Re America Holding Corporation for consideration of approximately $19.7 million, $13.2 million of which represented consideration for RIC’s investment portfolio and the balance of which represented consideration for licenses. On September 2, 2003, RIC purchased Landmark American Insurance Company, or “Landmark,” to write non-admitted business underwritten by Resurgens Specialty, from R&SA for cash consideration of $33.9 million, $30.4 million of which represented consideration for Landmark’s investment portfolio and the balance of which represented consideration for licenses. R&SA provided loss reserve guarantees for all of the loss and loss adjustment expense, or “LAE,” liabilities of Landmark that existed at the time of the sale. RIC and Landmark were further capitalized by us in an aggregate amount of approximately $520.0 million.

On December 29, 2006, AIHL invested approximately $120.0 million in Homesite. As consideration for its $120.0 million investment, Alleghany received shares of common stock of Homesite representing approximately 33 percent of Homesite’s outstanding common stock.

 

On July 18, 2007, AIHL acquired EDC for a purchase price of approximately $198.1 million, including approximately $5.6 million of incurred acquisition costs. AIHL owns approximately 98.5 percent of the common stock of EDC with EDC senior management owning the remainder.

 

On July 18, 2008, through our subsidiary Alleghany Capital Corporation, we acquired approximately 40 percent of the voting interests of ORX, a regional oil and gas exploration and production company, through a purchase of participating preferred stock for cash consideration of $50.0 million.

 

In 2008, we studied a number of potential acquisitions. We intend to continue to expand our operations through internal growth at our subsidiaries, as well as through possible operating company acquisitions and investments. At December 31, 2008, we had 826 employees, with 812 at our subsidiaries and 14 at the parent level. Our principal executive offices are located in leased office space of approximately 14,200 square feet at 7 Times Square Tower, New York, New York 10036, and our telephone number is (212) 752-1356.

 

Our annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K and amendments to those reports filed or furnished pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or the “Exchange Act,” are available, free of charge, on our website at www.alleghany.com, as soon as reasonably practicable after we electronically file or furnish this material to the Securities and Exchange Commission. Our Financial Personnel Code of Ethics, Code of Business Conduct and Ethics, Corporate Governance Guidelines and the charters for our Audit, Compensation and Nominating and Governance Committees are also available on our website. In addition, interested parties may obtain, free of charge, copies of any of the above reports or documents upon request to the Secretary of Alleghany.

 

We refer you to Items 7 and 8 of this Form 10-K Report for further information about our business in 2008. Our consolidated financial statements are set forth in Item 8 of this Form 10-K Report and include our accounts and the accounts of our subsidiaries for all periods presented.

 

Property and Casualty and Surety Insurance Businesses

 

General Description of Business

 

AIHL is our holding company for our property and casualty and surety insurance operations. Property and casualty operations are conducted through RSUI, headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, CATA, headquartered in Middleton, Wisconsin, and EDC, headquartered in Agoura Hills, California. Surety operations are conducted through CATA. AIHL Re, our Vermont-domiciled captive reinsurance company, has, in the past, been available to provide reinsurance to our insurance operating units and affiliates. Unless we state otherwise, references to AIHL include the operations of RSUI, CATA, EDC and AIHL Re. Since December 31, 2006, AIHL has also owned an approximately 33 percent stake in Homesite, a national, full-service, mono-line provider of homeowners insurance.

 

In general, property insurance protects an insured against financial loss arising out of loss of property or its use caused by an insured peril. Casualty insurance protects the insured against financial loss arising out of the insured’s obligation to others for loss or damage to property or persons, including, with respect to workers’ compensation insurance, persons who are employees. In 2008, property insurance accounted for approximately 38.8 percent and casualty insurance accounted for approximately 57.5 percent of AIHL’s gross premiums written. Surety bonds, both commercial and contract, are three-party agreements in which the issuer of the bond (the surety) joins with a second party (the principal) in guaranteeing to a third party (the owner/obligee) the fulfillment of some obligation on the part of the principal to the owner/obligee. In 2008, surety bonds accounted for approximately 3.7 percent of AIHL’s gross premiums written.

 

RSUI

 

General. RSUI, which includes the operations of its operating subsidiaries RIC, Landmark and Covington Specialty Insurance Company, or “Covington,” underwrites specialty insurance coverages in the property, umbrella/excess,

general liability, directors and officers liability, or “D&O,” and professional liability lines of business. RSUI writes business on an admitted basis primarily through RIC in the 49 states and the District of Columbia where RIC is licensed and subject to form and rate regulations. RSUI writes business on an approved, non-admitted basis primarily through Landmark, which, as a non-admitted company, is not subject to state form and rate regulations and thus has more flexibility in its rates and coverages for specialized or hard-to-place risks. As of December 31, 2008, Landmark was approved to write business on a non-admitted basis in 49 states and on an admitted basis in Oklahoma. Covington, a New Hampshire domiciled insurer, was formed in September 2007 to, among other things, support future non-admitted business written primarily by RSUI’s binding authority department, which writes small, specialized coverages pursuant to underwriting authority arrangements with managing general agents.

 

Pursuant to quota share arrangements effective as of January 1, 2009, Landmark and Covington cede 90 percent of all their respective premiums and losses, gross of third party reinsurance, to RIC. As of December 31, 2008, the statutory surplus of RIC was approximately $1,001.9 million, the statutory surplus of Landmark was approximately $143.9 million and the statutory surplus of Covington was approximately $25.6 million. RIC is rated A (Excellent) by A.M. Best Company, Inc., or “A.M. Best,” an independent organization that analyzes the insurance industry. Landmark is rated A (Excellent) on a reinsured basis by A.M. Best, and Covington is rated A (Excellent) on a group basis by A.M. Best. RSUI leases approximately 133,000 square feet of office space in Atlanta, Georgia for its headquarters and approximately 34,000 square feet of office space in Sherman Oaks, California.

 

Distribution. At December 31, 2008, RSUI conducted its insurance business through approximately 159 independent wholesale insurance brokers located throughout the United States and 24 managing general agents. RSUI’s wholesale brokers are appointed on an individual basis based on management’s appraisal of expertise and experience, and only specific locations of a wholesale broker’s operations may be appointed to distribute RSUI’s products. Producer agreements which stipulate premium collection, payment terms and commission arrangements are in place with each wholesale broker. No wholesale broker holds underwriting, claims or reinsurance authority. RSUI has entered into underwriting authority arrangements with 24 managing general agents for small, specialized coverages. RSUI’s top five producing wholesale brokers accounted for approximately 52 percent of gross premiums written by RSUI in 2008. RSUI’s top two producing wholesale brokers, Swett & Crawford Group and CRC Insurance Services, accounted for, in the aggregate, approximately 30 percent of AIHL’s gross premiums written in 2008.

 

Underwriting. RSUI’s underwriting philosophy is based on handling only product lines in which its underwriters have underwriting expertise. RSUI generally focuses on higher severity, lower frequency specialty risks that can be effectively “desk underwritten” without the need for inspection or engineering reviews. RSUI tracks underwriting results for each of its underwriters and believes that the underwriting systems and applications it has in place facilitate efficient underwriting and high productivity levels. Underwriting authority is delegated on a “top-down” basis ultimately to individual underwriters based on experience and expertise. This authority is in writing and addresses maximum limits, excluded classes and coverages and premium size referral. Referral to a product line manager is required for risks exceeding an underwriter’s authority.

 

CATA

 

General. CATA, primarily through its wholly-owned subsidiaries Capitol Indemnity Corporation, or “Capitol Indemnity,” and Capitol Specialty Insurance Corporation, or “CSIC,” operates in 50 states and the District of Columbia, with a geographic concentration in the Midwestern and Plains states. Capitol Indemnity conducts its property and casualty insurance business on an admitted basis. Capitol Indemnity also writes surety products such as commercial surety bonds and contract surety bonds on a national basis. Commercial surety bonds include all surety bonds other than contract surety bonds and cover obligations typically required by law or regulation, such as license and permit coverage. Capitol Indemnity offers contract surety bonds in the non-construction segment of the market which secure performance under supply, service and maintenance contracts and developer subdivision bonds. CSIC conducts substantially all of its business on an approved, non-admitted basis and writes primarily specialty lines of property and casualty insurance for certain types of businesses or activities, including barber and beauty shops, bowling alleys, contractors, restaurants and taverns. Platte River is licensed in 50 states and the District of Columbia and operates in conjunction with Capitol Indemnity primarily by providing surety products and offering pricing flexibility in those jurisdictions where both Capitol Indemnity and Platte River are licensed.

The property and casualty business of CATA accounted for approximately 76.0 percent of its gross premiums written in 2008, while the surety business accounted for the remainder.

 

As of December 31, 2008, the statutory surplus of Capitol Indemnity was approximately $169.8 million, the statutory surplus of CSIC was $27.5 million, and the statutory surplus of Platte River was approximately $29.7 million. Capitol Indemnity, CSIC and Platte River are rated A (Excellent) on a reinsured basis by A.M. Best. CATA leases approximately 55,000 square feet of office space in Middleton, Wisconsin for its and Platte River’s headquarters.

 

Distribution. CATA conducts its insurance business through independent and general insurance agents located throughout the United States, with a concentration in the Midwestern and Plains states. At December 31, 2008, CATA had approximately 287 independent agents and 68 general agents licensed to write property and casualty and surety coverages, as well as approximately 285 independent agents licensed only to write surety coverages. The general agents write very little surety business and have full quoting and binding authority within the parameters of their agency contracts with respect to the property and casualty business that they write. Certain independent agents have binding authority for specific business owner policy products, including property and liability coverages and non-contract surety products. No agent of CATA had writings in excess of 10 percent of AIHL’s gross premiums written in 2008.

 

Underwriting. CATA’s underwriting strategy emphasizes underwriting profitability. Key elements of this strategy are prudent risk selection, appropriate pricing and coverage customization. All accounts are reviewed on an individual basis to determine underwriting acceptability. CATA is a subscriber to the Insurance Service Organization, or “ISO,” and Surety and Fidelity Association of America, or “SFAA,” insurance reference resources recognized by the insurance industry. Underwriting procedures, rates and contractual coverage obligations are based on procedures and data developed by the ISO for property and casualty lines and by the SFAA for surety lines. Underwriting acceptability is determined by type of business, claims experience, length of time in business and business experience, age and condition of premises occupied and financial stability. Information is obtained from, among other sources, agent applications, financial reports and on-site loss control surveys. If an account does not meet pre-determined acceptability parameters, coverage is declined. If an in-force policy becomes unprofitable due to extraordinary claims activity or inadequate premium levels, a non-renewal notice is issued in accordance with individual state statutes and rules.

 

Employers Direct Corporation

 

General. EDC’s main business is workers’ compensation insurance, which is conducted on a direct basis through its wholly-owned subsidiary Employers Direct Insurance Company, or “EDIC.” EDIC was granted its Certificate of Authority by the California Department of Insurance and began writing workers’ compensation insurance on January 1, 2003. EDIC is currently licensed in seven additional states, but its sales effort is almost exclusively focused in California. Workers’ compensation insurance provides coverage for the statutorily prescribed benefits that employers are obligated to provide for their employees who are injured in the course of employment. In 2007, EDC formed eDirect Insurance Services, Inc. which does business as Plenary Insurance Services, or “Plenary.” Plenary is a commercial retail intermediary insurance brokerage and consulting company which specializes in the marketing and cross-selling to current EDIC policyholders of employee benefits and health and welfare plans, executive benefits, and voluntary benefits, which are employee benefit programs where the employee pays, generally through payroll deductions, 100 percent of the cost of benefits.

 

As of December 31, 2008, the statutory surplus of EDIC was approximately $140.7 million. EDIC is rated A- (Excellent) by A.M. Best. EDC leases approximately 66,000 square feet of office space in Agoura Hills, California.

 

Distribution. EDIC markets and sells its products primarily through a direct sales force, as well as through a managing general underwriter for certain program business.

 

Underwriting.

 

Direct Sales. For direct sales, EDIC employs a broad-based underwriting process, with underwriting standards that contain minimum sizes, retention levels and prohibited risk classes. Aggregate exposures are limited with respect to

risk classifications and any individual insured. Exposure is managed by generally avoiding industries and businesses considered to involve the potential for severe losses or high exposure to multiple injuries resulting from a single occurrence. The underwriting process involves an evaluation of each potential insured for its acceptability, risk and loss exposures, and EDIC’s ability to offer a competitive price consistent with its targeted loss ratio. The underwriting department monitors the performance of each account throughout the coverage period, and upon renewal, the profitability of each account is reviewed and factored into the terms and conditions of any coverage going forward.

 

Program Sales. In general, for program sales, EDIC develops specific underwriting guidelines for each program written. Classifications, premium size, financial requirements, audit performance and general operational characteristics are described. The underwriting process involves an evaluation of each potential insured for its acceptability, risk and loss exposures and fit within the program underwriting guidelines. The EDIC underwriting department monitors the performance of each program throughout the coverage period, and upon renewal, the profitability of the overall program and each large account is reviewed and factored into any renewal of the program. Although underwriting authority is designated, any risk with standard premium in excess of $150,000 is referred to EDIC and analyzed in a similar manner to direct sales business. For referred accounts, EDIC develops individual pricing plans and customizes loss control and claims programs.

 

AIHL Re LLC

 

AIHL Re was formed in June 2006 as a captive reinsurance subsidiary of AIHL to provide catastrophe reinsurance coverage for RSUI. AIHL Re and RSUI entered into a reinsurance agreement, effective July 1, 2006, whereby AIHL Re, in exchange for market-based premiums, took that portion of RSUI’s catastrophe reinsurance program not covered by third-party reinsurers. This reinsurance coverage expired on April 30, 2007, and AIHL Re has not participated in RSUI’s catastrophe reinsurance programs since that date.

 

AIHL Re and Homesite entered into a reinsurance agreement, effective April 1, 2007, whereby AIHL Re, in exchange for annual premium of approximately $2.0 million, provided $20.0 million of excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage to Homesite under its catastrophe reinsurance program which is concentrated in the Northeast region of the United States. To secure AIHL Re’s obligations to make payments to Homesite under the April 1, 2007 agreement, a deposit of $20.0 million was made into a trust fund established for the benefit of Homesite. This reinsurance coverage expired on March 31, 2008, and AIHL Re did not participate in Homesite’s catastrophe reinsurance program for the 2008-2009 period. In connection with the expiration of the reinsurance agreement, the trust fund established to secure AIHL Re’s obligations to make payments to Homesite under such reinsurance agreement was dissolved and the $20.0 million in such fund was disbursed to AIHL Re in April 2008.

 

AIHL Re had no employees at December 31, 2008.

 

Changes in Historical Net Loss and LAE Reserves

 

The following table shows changes in historical net loss and LAE reserves for AIHL for each year since 2002. The first line of the upper portion of the table shows the net reserves at December 31 of each of the indicated years, representing the estimated amounts of net outstanding losses and LAE for claims arising during that year and in all prior years that are unpaid, including losses that have been incurred but not yet reported to AIHL’s insurance operating units. The upper (paid) portion of the table shows the cumulative net amounts paid as of December 31 of successive years with respect to the net reserve liability for each year. The lower portion of the table shows the re-estimated amount of the previously recorded net reserves for each year based on experience as of the end of each succeeding year. The estimate changes as more information becomes known about claims for individual years. In evaluating the information in the table, it should be noted that a reserve amount reported in any period includes the effect of any subsequent change in such reserve amount. For example, if a loss was first reserved in 2002 at $100,000 and was determined in 2003 to be $150,000, the $50,000 deficiency would be included in the Cumulative (Deficiency) Redundancy row shown below for each of the years 2002 through 2007.

Conditions and trends that have affected the development of the net reserve liability in the past may not necessarily occur in the future. Accordingly, it is not appropriate to extrapolate future redundancies or deficiencies based on this table.

 

 

The net cumulative redundancies in 2004, 2005 and 2006 primarily reflect net reserve releases by CATA and RSUI, partially offset by catastrophe related net reserve increases by RSUI in 2006 and 2007. RSUI’s 2006 and 2007 reserving actions primarily reflect increases in estimated ultimate losses related to Hurricane Katrina, partially offset by reserve releases related to RSUI’s casualty lines of business, as discussed on pages 44 and 45 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

The reconciliation between the aggregate net loss and LAE reserves of AIHL reported in the annual statements filed with state insurance departments prepared in accordance with statutory accounting practices, or “SAP,” and those

reported in AIHL’s consolidated financial statements prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America, or “GAAP,” for the last three years is shown below (in millions):

 

 

 

 

The reconciliation of beginning and ending aggregate reserves for unpaid losses and LAE of AIHL for the last three years is shown below (in millions):

 

 

 

 

Asbestos and Environmental Impairment Reserves

 

AIHL’s reserves for losses and LAE include amounts for various liability coverages related to asbestos and environmental impairment claims that arose from reinsurance of certain general liability and commercial multiple peril coverages assumed by Capitol Indemnity between 1969 and 1976. Capitol Indemnity exited this business in 1976. For the year ended December 31, 2008, the aggregate gross loss and LAE payments for asbestos and environmental impairment claims of CATA were $2.5 million, compared with $0.9 million in 2007. The increase in

payments is due to a significant increase in commutations in the 2008 period. As of December 31, 2008, reserves of CATA totaled approximately $14.9 million for asbestos liabilities and approximately $5.5 million for environmental liabilities, resulting in aggregate asbestos and environmental reserves of $20.4 million. At December 31, 2008, the reserves for asbestos liabilities were approximately 11.3 times the average paid claims for the prior three-year period, compared with 15.8 times at December 31, 2007. The reserves for environmental impairment liabilities were approximately 12.2 times the average paid claims for the prior three-year period, compared with 32.5 times at December 31, 2007, such decrease reflecting a significant increase in commutations in the 2008 period. Additional information regarding the policies that CATA uses to set reserves for these asbestos and environmental claims is set forth on page 38 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

The reconciliation of the beginning and ending aggregate reserves for unpaid losses and LAE related to asbestos and environmental impairment claims of AIHL for the years 2006 through 2008 is shown below (in millions):

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe Risk Management

 

AIHL’s insurance operating units, particularly RSUI, expose AIHL to losses on claims arising out of natural or man-made catastrophes, including hurricanes, other windstorms, earthquakes and floods, as well as terrorist activities. The incidence and severity of catastrophes in any short period of time are inherently unpredictable. The extent of losses from a catastrophe is a function of both the total amount of insured exposure in the area affected by the event and the severity of the event. Most catastrophes are restricted to small geographic areas; however, hurricanes, other windstorms, earthquakes and floods may produce significant damage when those areas are heavily populated. The geographic distribution of AIHL’s insurance operating units subjects them to catastrophe exposure in the United States from hurricanes in the Gulf coast regions, Florida, the Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast, from other windstorms in

the Midwest and Southern regions, and earthquakes in California, the Pacific Northwest region and along the New Madrid fault line in the Midwest region.

 

AIHL’s insurance operating units use underwriting controls and systems, including third-party catastrophe modeling software, to help model potential losses. The operating units use modeled loss scenarios to set risk retention levels and help structure their reinsurance programs, in an effort to ensure that the aggregate amount of catastrophe exposures conform to established risk tolerances and fit within the existing exposure portfolio. RSUI also relies on reinsurance to limit its exposure to catastrophes, which is discussed in more detail under “ Reinsurance” below. Additional information regarding the risks faced by AIHL’s insurance operating units, particularly RSUI, with respect to managing their catastrophe exposure risk can be found on pages 27 and 28 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

With respect to terrorism, to the extent that reinsurers have excluded coverage for terrorist acts or have priced this coverage at rates that are not practical, our insurance operating units do not have reinsurance protection and are exposed to potential losses as a result of any terrorist acts. To the extent an act of terrorism is certified by the U.S. Secretary of Treasury, we may be covered under the Terrorism Act as described below under “ Reinsurance .” Information regarding our insurance operating units’ coverage for terrorism and the impact of the Terrorism Act on our insurance operating units can be found on page 21 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Reinsurance

 

AIHL’s insurance operating units reinsure a significant portion of the risks they underwrite in order to mitigate their exposure to losses, manage capacity and protect capital resources. In general, the insurance operating units obtain reinsurance on a treaty and facultative basis. Treaty reinsurance is based on a contract between a primary insurer or “cedent” and a reinsurer and covers certain classes of risk specified in the treaty. Under most treaties, the cedent is obligated to offer, and the reinsurer is obligated to accept, a specified portion of a class of risk underwritten by the cedent. Alternatively, facultative reinsurance is the reinsurance of individual risks, whereby a reinsurer separately rates and underwrites each risk and is free to accept or reject each risk offered by the cedent. Facultative reinsurance is normally purchased for risks not otherwise covered or covered only in part by reinsurance treaties, and for unusual or large risks. Treaty and facultative reinsurance can be written on a quota share, surplus share or excess of loss basis. Under a quota share reinsurance treaty, the cedent and reinsurer share the premiums as well as the losses and expenses of any single risk, or an entire group of risks. Under a surplus share reinsurance treaty, the cedent may transfer, and the reinsurer is required to accept, the part of every risk that exceeds a predetermined amount (commonly referred to as the cedent’s “retention”), with the reinsurer sharing premiums and losses in the same proportion as it shares in the total policy limits of the risk written by the cedent. Under an excess of loss reinsurance treaty, a reinsurer agrees to reimburse the cedent for all or part of any losses in excess of the cedent’s retention, generally up to a predetermined limit, at which point the risk of loss is assumed by another reinsurer or reverts to the cedent.

 

In 2008, RSUI ceded 38.3 percent of its gross premiums written to reinsurers. Although the net amount of loss exposure retained by RSUI varies by line of business, in general, as of December 31, 2008, RSUI retained a maximum net exposure for any single property risk of $10.0 million and any single casualty risk of $9.75 million, with the exception of losses arising from acts of foreign terrorism.

 

RSUI reinsures its property lines of business through a program consisting of surplus share treaties, facultative placements, per risk and catastrophe excess of loss treaties. Under its surplus share treaties, which generally provide coverage on a risk attaching basis (the treaties cover policies which become effective during the treaty coverage period) from January 1 to December 31, RSUI is indemnified on a pro rata basis against covered property losses. The amount indemnified is based on the proportionate share of risk ceded after consideration of a stipulated dollar amount of “line” for RSUI to retain in relation to the entire limit written. RSUI ceded approximately 29 percent of its property gross premiums written in 2008 under these surplus share treaties. Under RSUI’s 2008-2009 per risk reinsurance program, which generally provides coverage on an annual basis for losses occurring from May 1 to the following April 30, RSUI is reinsured for $90.0 million in excess of a $10.0 million net retention per risk after the application of the surplus share treaties and facultative reinsurance.

RSUI’s catastrophe reinsurance program (which covers catastrophe risks including, among others, windstorms and earthquakes) and per risk reinsurance program run on an annual basis from May 1 to the following April 30. RSUI placed all of its catastrophe reinsurance program for the 2008-2009 period. RSUI’s 2008-2009 catastrophe reinsurance program provides coverage in two layers for $400.0 million of losses in excess of a $100.0 million net retention after application of the surplus share treaties, facultative reinsurance and per risk covers. The first layer provides coverage for $100.0 million of losses, before a 33.15 percent co-participation by RSUI, in excess of the $100.0 million net retention, and the second layer provides coverage for $300.0 million of losses, before a 5 percent co-participation by RSUI, in excess of $200.0 million. In addition, RSUI’s property per risk reinsurance program for the 2008-2009 period provides RSUI with coverage for $90.0 million of losses in excess of a $10.0  million net retention per risk after application of the surplus share treaties and facultative reinsurance.

 

RSUI reinsures its other lines of business through quota share treaties, except for professional liability and binding authority lines where, with the exception of property coverages written by binding authority lines which are covered under RSUI’s catastrophe reinsurance program, RSUI retains all of such business. RSUI’s quota share reinsurance treaty for umbrella/excess renewed on June 1, 2008 and provides coverage for policies with limits up to $30.0 million, with RSUI ceding 35 percent of the premium and loss for policies with limits up to $15.0 million and ceding 67.5 percent of the premium and loss for policies with limits in excess of $15.0 million up to $30.0 million. RSUI’s primary casualty lines treaty renewed on April 15, 2008 and provides coverage for policies with limits up to $2.0 million, with RSUI ceding 25 percent of the premium and loss. RSUI’s D&O liability line quota share reinsurance treaty renewed on July 1, 2008 and provides coverage for policies with limits up to $20.0 million, with RSUI ceding 35 percent of the premium and loss for all policies with limits up to $10.0 million and ceding 60 percent of the premium and loss for policies with limits in excess of $10.0 million up to $20.0 million.

 

With respect to potential losses at RSUI arising from acts of terrorism, the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002, as extended and amended by the Terrorism Risk Insurance Extension Act of 2005 and the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2007, which we collectively refer to as the “Terrorism Act,” established a program under which the federal government will reimburse insurers for losses arising from certain acts of terrorism. The Terrorism Act is administered by the Secretary of the Treasury and is effective through December 31, 2014, at which time it will automatically expire. The intent of the Terrorism Act is to provide federal assistance to the insurance industry in order to meet the needs of commercial insurance policyholders with potential exposure for losses due to acts of terrorism. The Terrorism Act applies to U.S. risks only, whether it be foreign or domestic terrorism on U.S. soil or on certain U.S. interests abroad. In return for requiring insurers writing certain lines of property and casualty insurance to offer coverage against certain acts of terrorism, the law requires the federal government to indemnify such insurers for 85 percent of insured losses during a program year resulting from covered acts of terrorism above certain premium-based deductibles. AIHL’s deductible under the Terrorism Act in 2009 will be 20 percent of its direct premiums earned in 2009, or approximately $281.9 million. In addition, federal compensation will only be paid under the Terrorism Act if the aggregate industry insured losses resulting from the covered act of terrorism exceed $100.0 million for insured losses occurring in 2009 but no payment shall be made for any portion of aggregate industry insured losses that exceed $100.0 billion in 2009.

 

AIHL’s terrorism exposure is substantially attributable to RSUI and, as described below, EDC. In general, RSUI’s casualty reinsurance programs provide coverage for domestic and foreign acts of terrorism, while RSUI’s property reinsurance programs provide coverage only for domestic acts of terrorism. The cost of property reinsurance in the marketplace has increased significantly in recent years, and reinsurance capacity for terrorism exposures is limited and expensive. As a result, RSUI would be liable for these exposures on a net basis, subject to the Terrorism Act coverage, for property policies containing foreign terrorism coverage. Approximately 5.3 percent of all policies, and approximately 17.0 percent of all property policies, written by RSUI in 2008 contained coverage for domestic and foreign acts of terrorism. RSUI uses various underwriting strategies to mitigate its exposure to terrorism losses.

 

CATA uses reinsurance to protect against severity losses. In 2008, CATA reinsured individual property and casualty and contract surety risks in excess of $1.5 million with various reinsurers. The commercial surety line was reinsured for individual losses above $1.25 million. In addition, CATA purchases facultative reinsurance coverage for risks in excess of $6.0 million on property and casualty and $15.0 million on commercial surety.

EDC uses reinsurance to protect against catastrophe losses. Effective December 31, 2008, EDC retained the first $1.0 million of loss per occurrence and purchased reinsurance with various reinsurers for $74.0 million above that level. Any loss above $75.0 million would be the sole responsibility of EDC. EDC uses various catastrophe models to assist it in determining the amount of reinsurance to purchase. All of EDC’s current reinsurance includes foreign and domestic terrorism coverage, although nuclear, chemical, biological and radiological, or “NCBR,” events are excluded. EDC has a separate NCBR treaty under which it retains the first $5.0 million of loss from an NCBR event and reinsurance provides $10.0 million of coverage in excess of such retention. Under the Terrorism Act, EDC cannot exclude any form of terrorism from its workers’ compensation policies.

 

AIHL Re and Homesite entered into a reinsurance agreement, effective April 1, 2007, whereby AIHL Re, in exchange for an annual premium of approximately $2.0 million, provided $20.0 million of excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage to Homesite under its catastrophe reinsurance program, which is concentrated in the Northeast region of the United States. To secure AIHL Re’s obligations to make payments to Homesite under the April 1, 2007 agreement, a deposit of $20.0 million was made into a trust fund established for the benefit of Homesite. This reinsurance coverage expired on March 31, 2008, and AIHL Re did not participate in Homesite’s catastrophe reinsurance program for the 2008-2009 period. In connection with the expiration of the reinsurance agreement, the trust fund established to secure AIHL Re’s obligations to make payments to Homesite under such reinsurance agreement was dissolved and the $20.0 million in such fund was disbursed to AIHL Re.

 

At December 31, 2008, AIHL had total reinsurance recoverables of $1,056.4 million, consisting of $1,008.3 million of ceded outstanding losses and LAE and $48.1 million of recoverables on paid losses. The reinsurance purchased by AIHL’s insurance operating units does not relieve them from their obligations to their policyholders, and therefore, the financial strength of their reinsurers is important. Approximately 93.7 percent of AIHL’s reinsurance recoverables balance at December 31, 2008 was due from reinsurers having an A.M. Best financial strength rating of A (Excellent) or higher. AIHL had no allowance for uncollectible reinsurance as of December 31, 2008. Additional information regarding the risks faced by AIHL’s insurance operating units with respect to their use of reinsurance can be found on page 28 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

AIHL’s Reinsurance Security Committee, which includes certain of our officers and the chief financial officers of each of AIHL’s operating units, meets to track, analyze and manage the use of reinsurance by AIHL’s insurance operating units. The Reinsurance Security Committee considers the limits on the maximum amount of unsecured reinsurance recoverables that should be outstanding from any particular reinsurer, the lines of business that should be ceded to a particular reinsurer and, where applicable, the types of collateral that should be posted by reinsurers. Information related to concentration of reinsurance recoverables can be found in Note 5 to our consolidated financial statements set forth in Item 8 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Based on reviews by management, all of the current reinsurance contracts used by AIHL’s insurance operating units provide for sufficient transfer of insurance risk to qualify for reinsurance accounting treatment under GAAP. As such, AIHL’s insurance operating units have no reinsurance contracts accounted for under the deposit method.

 

Investments

 

The investment portfolios of RSUI, CATA, and EDC are managed under the direction of AIHL. For a discussion of AIHL investment results, please see pages 49 to 54 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Competition

 

The property and casualty businesses of RSUI, as well as the surety business of CATA, compete on a national basis. CATA’s property and casualty businesses compete on a regional basis with a primary focus on the Midwestern and Plains states. EDC competes in California. Our insurance operating units compete with a large number of other companies in their selected lines of business. They compete, and will continue to compete, with major U.S. and non-U.S. insurers, other regional companies, mutual companies, specialty insurance companies, underwriting agencies and diversified financial services companies. Many competitors have considerably greater financial resources and greater experience in the insurance industry and offer a broader line of insurance products than do AIHL’s insurance operating units. Except for regulatory considerations, there are virtually no barriers to entry into the insurance industry. Competition may be domestic or foreign, and competitors are not necessarily required to be

licensed by various state insurance departments. Competition in the businesses of our insurance operating units is based on many factors, including the perceived financial strength of the company, premium charges, other terms and conditions offered, services provided, commissions paid to producers, ratings assigned by independent rating agencies, speed of claims payment and reputation and experience in the lines to be written.

 

Historically, insurers have experienced significant fluctuations in operating results due to competition, frequency or severity of catastrophic and other loss events, levels of capacity, general economic and social conditions and other factors. The supply of insurance is related to prevailing prices, the level of insured losses and the level of industry capital which, in turn, may fluctuate in response to changes in rates of return on investments being earned in the insurance industry. As a result, the insurance business historically has been a cyclical business characterized by periods of intense price competition due to excessive underwriting capacity as well as periods when shortages of capacity permitted favorable price levels. A discussion of the risks faced by our insurance operating units due to competition within, and the cyclicality of, the insurance business can be found on pages 26 and 28 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Regulation

 

AIHL is subject to the insurance holding company laws of several states. In addition, dividends and distributions by an insurance subsidiary are subject to approval by the insurance regulators of the domiciliary state of a subsidiary. Other significant transactions between an insurance subsidiary and its holding company or other subsidiaries of the holding company may require approval by insurance regulators in the domiciliary state of each of the insurance subsidiaries participating in these transactions. AIHL’s insurance operating units are subject to regulation in their domiciliary states as well as in the other states in which they do business. This regulation pertains to matters such as approving policy forms and various premium rates, licensing agents, granting and revoking licenses to transact business and regulating trade practices. In addition, some of AIHL’s insurance operating units are in states requiring prior approval by regulators before proposed rates for property or casualty or surety insurance policies may be implemented. Insurance regulatory authorities perform periodic examinations of an insurer’s market conduct and other affairs.

 

Insurance companies are required to report their financial condition and results of operations in accordance with statutory accounting principles prescribed or permitted by state insurance regulators in conjunction with the National Association of Insurance Commissioners, or “NAIC.” State insurance regulators also prescribe the form and content of statutory financial statements, perform periodic financial examinations of insurers, set minimum reserve and loss ratio requirements, establish standards for permissible types and amounts of investments, and require minimum capital and surplus levels. These statutory capital and surplus requirements include risk-based capital, or “RBC,” rules promulgated by the NAIC. These RBC standards are intended to assess the level of risk inherent in an insurance company’s business and consider items such as asset risk, credit risk, underwriting risk and other business risks relevant to its operations. In accordance with RBC formulas, a company’s RBC requirements are calculated and compared with its total adjusted capital to determine whether regulatory intervention is warranted. At December 31, 2008, the total adjusted capital of each of AIHL’s insurance subsidiaries exceeded the minimum levels required under RBC rules and each had excess capacity to write additional premiums in relation to these requirements.

 

The NAIC annually calculates certain statutory financial ratios for most insurance companies in the United States. These calculations are known as the Insurance Regulatory Information System, or “IRIS,” ratios. There presently are twelve IRIS ratios, with each ratio having an established “usual range” of results. The IRIS ratios assist state insurance departments in executing their statutory mandate to oversee the financial condition of insurance companies. A ratio falling outside the usual range is not considered a failing result; rather, unusual values are viewed as part of the regulatory early monitoring system. Furthermore, in some years, it may not be unusual for financially sound companies to have several ratios with results outside the usual ranges. The NAIC reports the ratios to state insurance departments who may then contact a company if four or more of its ratios fall outside the NAIC’s usual ranges. Based upon calculations as of December 31, 2008, EDIC had four of its ratios falling outside the NAIC’s usual ranges, with two falling outside the usual ranges due to EDIC’s underwriting loss in 2008, one falling outside the usual ranges due to adverse reserve development, and one falling outside the usual ranges due to a decline in gross premiums written by EDIC in 2008.

AIHL’s insurance operating units are required under the guaranty fund laws of most states in which they transact business to pay assessments up to prescribed limits to fund policyholder losses or liabilities of insolvent insurance companies. AIHL’s insurance operating units also are required to participate in various involuntary pools, principally involving workers’ compensation and windstorms. In most states, the involuntary pool participation of AIHL’s insurance operating units is in proportion to their voluntary writings of related lines of business in such states.

 

In addition to the regulatory requirements described above, a number of legislative and regulatory initiatives under consideration may significantly affect the insurance business in a variety of ways. These measures include, among other things, tort reform, consumer privacy requirements and proposals for the establishment of state or federal catastrophe funds. It is also possible that the structure of insurance regulation may be impacted by the broader financial regulation reform that Congress intends to pursue at the federal level in the wake of the current financial crisis.

 

Employees

 

AIHL’s insurance operating units employed 807 persons as of December 31, 2008, 367 of whom were at RSUI and its subsidiaries, 232 of whom were at CATA and its subsidiaries, and 208 of whom were at EDC and its subsidiaries. AIHL’s investment management subsidiary, Alleghany Capital Partners LLC, employed 2 people at December 31, 2008.

 

Corporate Activities

 

Real Estate Business

 

Headquartered in Sacramento, California, Alleghany Properties owns and manages properties in Sacramento, California. These properties include improved and unimproved commercial land and residential lots. The majority of these properties are located in the City of Sacramento in the planned community of North Natomas. A considerable amount of activity from developers has occurred in the North Natomas area since 1998, including the construction of more than 13,500 single family homes, 4,000 apartment units, 1.1 million square feet of office buildings and 2.3 million square feet of retail space. Participating in this growth, Alleghany Properties has sold over 387 acres of residential land and 92 acres of commercial property through December 31, 2008. Development activity within North Natomas was temporarily halted in December 2008 as a result of new FEMA flood insurance maps for the area which revoke the area’s previously certified 100-year flood protection. This action will limit development activity until late 2010 when it is anticipated that sufficient progress on the levee improvements will have occurred to restore 100-year flood protection. At December 31, 2008, Alleghany Properties owned approximately 315 acres of property in various land use categories ranging from multi-family residential to commercial. Alleghany Properties had three employees at December 31, 2008.

 

Parent Company Operations

 

We conduct corporate investment and other activities at the parent level, including the holding of strategic equity investments which are available to support the internal growth of subsidiaries and for acquisitions of, and substantial investments in, operating companies. In addition, we seek out attractive investment opportunities, delegate responsibilities to competent and motivated managers at the operating business level, define risk parameters, set management goals for our operating businesses, ensure that operating business managers are provided with incentives to meet these goals and monitor their progress. At December 31, 2008, we had 14 employees at the parent level.

Item 1A. Risk Factors.

 

We face risks from our property and casualty and surety insurance businesses and our investments in debt and equity securities. Some of what we believe are our more significant risks are discussed below; however, they are not the only risks that we face. Our businesses may also be adversely affected by risks and uncertainties not currently known to us or that we currently consider immaterial.

Risk Factors Relating to our Investments and Assets

 

A substantial amount of our assets is invested in debt securities and is subject to market fluctuations. A substantial portion of our investment portfolio consists of debt securities. As of December 31, 2008, our investment in debt securities was approximately $2,760.0 million, or 64.5 percent of our total investment portfolio. The fair market value of these assets and the investment income from these assets fluctuate depending on general economic and market conditions. A rise in interest rates would increase the net unrealized loss position of our investment portfolio offset by our ability to earn higher rates of return on funds reinvested. Conversely, a decline in interest rates would decrease the net unrealized loss position of our investment portfolio, offset by lower rates of return on funds reinvested. In addition, some debt securities, such as mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities, carry prepayment risk, or the risk that principal will be returned more rapidly or slowly than expected, as a result of interest rate fluctuations. Based upon the composition and duration of our investment portfolio at December 31, 2008, a 100 basis point increase in interest rates would result in a decrease in the fair value of our debt security investments of approximately $100.4 million.

 

Defaults, downgrades or other events impairing the value of our debt securities portfolio may reduce our earnings. We are subject to the risk that the issuers, or guarantors, of debt securities we own may default on principal and interest payments they owe us. As of December 31, 2008, our investment in debt securities was approximately $2,760.0 million, or 64.5 percent of our total investment portfolio. The occurrence of a major economic downturn, such as the current downturn in the economy, acts of corporate malfeasance, widening risk spreads, or other events that adversely affect the issuers or guarantors of these debt securities could cause the value of our debt securities portfolio and our net income to decline and the default rate of the debt securities in our investment portfolio to increase. A ratings downgrade affecting issuers or guarantors of particular securities, or similar trends that could worsen the credit quality of issuers, such as the corporate issuers and guarantors of debt securities in our investment portfolio, could also have a similar effect. Any event reducing the value of these securities other than on a temporary basis could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition. We continually monitor the difference between cost and the estimated fair value of our investments in debt securities. If a decline in the value of a particular debt security is deemed to be temporary, we record the decline as an unrealized loss in common stockholders’ equity. If the decline is deemed to be other than temporary, such debt security is written down to the carrying value of the investment, and a realized loss, which may be material to our operating results, is recorded on our statement of earnings in the period such write down is taken.

 

We invest some of our assets in equity securities, which have declined and may continue to decline in value. We invest a portion of our investment portfolio in equity securities which are subject to fluctuations in market value. As of December 31, 2008, our investments in equity securities had a fair market value of approximately $629.5 million, which represented 14.7 percent of our investment portfolio. We hold our equity securities as available for sale, and any changes in the fair value of these securities, net of tax, would be reflected in our accumulated other comprehensive income as a component of stockholders’ equity. If a decline in the value of a particular equity security is deemed to be temporary, we record the decline as an unrealized loss in common stockholders’ equity. If the decline, or impairment, is deemed to be other than temporary, an impairment charge related to the unrealized loss is required to be charged against earnings as a realized loss, which may be material to our operating results, regardless of whether we continue to hold the equity security. A severe and/or prolonged downturn in equity markets could give rise to significant impairment charges. In 2008, our net realized capital loss of $92.2 million included $244.0 million of impairment charges due primarily to a significant deterioration of U.S. equity market conditions during 2008. If the deterioration of U.S. equity market conditions continues during 2009, and if such conditions persist or deteriorate further, we may be required to record additional impairment charges during 2009, which could have a material and adverse impact on our results of operations.

 

As of December 31, 2008, our equity portfolio had investment concentrations in the common stock of Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corporation, or “Burlington Northern,” an owner of one of the largest railroad networks in North America, and in certain energy sector businesses. As of December 31, 2008, our Burlington Northern common stock holdings had a fair market value of $227.1 million, which represented 36.1 percent of our equity portfolio, and our energy sector equity holdings had an aggregate fair market value of $290.8 million, which represented 46.2 percent of our equity portfolio. These investment concentrations may lead to higher levels of short-term price volatility and variability in the level of unrealized investment gains or losses.

If our business does not perform well, we may be required to recognize an impairment of our goodwill or other long-lived assets or to establish a valuation allowance against the deferred income tax asset, which could adversely affect our results of operations or financial condition. Goodwill represents the excess of the amounts we paid to acquire subsidiaries and other businesses over the fair value of their net assets at the date of acquisition. We test goodwill at least annually for impairment. Impairment testing is performed based upon estimates of the fair value of the operating unit to which the goodwill relates. The fair value of the operating unit is impacted by the performance of the business. The performance of our businesses may be adversely impacted by prolonged market declines. If it is determined that the goodwill has been impaired, we must write down the goodwill by the amount of the impairment, with a corresponding charge to net income. Such write-downs could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial position. In connection with impairment testing of our goodwill and other intangible assets at December 31, 2008, we determined that the $48.7 million of goodwill associated with our acquisition of EDC was impaired in its entirety. As a result, at December 31, 2008, we recorded a non-cash charge of $48.7 million, which is classified as a net realized capital loss in our consolidated statement of earnings. Further or continued deterioration of financial market conditions could result in a decrease in the expected future earnings of our operating units, which could lead to an impairment of some or all of the goodwill associated with them in future periods.

 

Deferred income tax represents the tax effect of the differences between the book and tax basis of assets and liabilities. Deferred tax assets are assessed periodically by management to determine if they are realizable. Factors in management’s determination include the performance of the business including the ability to generate capital gains. If it is more likely than not that the deferred income tax asset will not be realized based on available information then a valuation allowance must be established with a corresponding charge to net income. Such charges could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial position. Further or continued deterioration of financial market conditions could also result in the impairment of long-lived assets and the establishment of a valuation allowance on our deferred income tax assets.

 

Risk Factors Relating to our Operating Units

 

Our results may fluctuate as a result of many factors, including cyclical changes in the insurance and reinsurance industry. Historically, the financial performance of the property and casualty insurance industry has tended to fluctuate in cyclical periods of price competition and excess underwriting capacity, followed by periods of high premium rates and shortages of underwriting capacity. Although an individual insurance company’s financial performance is dependent on its own specific business characteristics, the profitability of most property and casualty insurance companies tends to follow this cyclical market pattern. Further, this cyclical market pattern can be more pronounced in the excess and surplus market in which RSUI primarily competes, than in the admitted insurance market. When premium rates are high and there is a shortage of capacity in the admitted insurance market, the same factors are present in the excess and surplus market, and growth in the excess and surplus market can be significantly more rapid than growth in the standard insurance market. Similarly, when there is price competition and excess underwriting capacity in the standard insurance market, many customers that were previously driven into the excess and surplus market may return to the admitted insurance market, exacerbating the effects of price competition. Since cyclicality is due in large part to the actions of our insurance operating units’ competitors and general economic factors, we cannot predict the timing or duration of changes in the market cycle. These cyclical patterns cause our revenues and net income to fluctuate.

 

The adequacy of premium rates is affected mainly by the severity and frequency of claims, which are influenced by many factors, including natural disasters, regulatory measures and court decisions that define and expand the extent of coverage and the effects of economic inflation on the amount of compensation due for injuries or losses. In addition, investment rates of return may impact policy rates. These factors can have a significant impact on ultimate profitability because property and casualty insurance policies are priced before their costs are known. These factors could produce results that would have a negative impact on our results of operations and financial condition.

 

The reserves for losses and LAE of our insurance operating units are estimates and may not be adequate, which would require our insurance operating units to establish additional reserves. Gross reserves for losses and LAE reported on our balance sheet as of December 31, 2008 were approximately $2.6 billion. These loss and LAE reserves reflect our best estimates of the cost of settling all claims and related expenses with respect to insured

events that have occurred. Reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability, but rather an estimate of what management expects the ultimate settlement and claims administration will cost for claims that have occurred, whether known or unknown. These reserve estimates, which generally involve actuarial projections, are based on management’s assessment of facts and circumstances currently known and assumptions about anticipated loss emergence patterns, including expected future trends in claims severity and frequency, inflation, judicial theories of liability, reinsurance coverage, legislative changes and other factors.

 

The inherent uncertainties of estimating reserves are greater for certain types of liabilities, where long periods of time elapse before a definitive determination of liability is made and settlement is reached. In periods with increased economic volatility, it becomes more difficult to accurately predict claim costs. Reserve estimates are continually refined in an ongoing process as experience develops and further claims are reported and settled. Adjustments to reserves are reflected in the results of the periods in which the adjustments are made. Because setting reserves is inherently uncertain, we cannot assure you that our current reserves will prove adequate in light of subsequent events. Should our insurance operating units need to increase their reserves, our pre-tax income for the period would decrease by a corresponding amount. Although current reserves reflect our best estimate of the costs of settling claims, we cannot assure you that our reserve estimates will not need to be increased in the future.

 

Because our insurance operating units are property and casualty insurers, we face losses from natural and human-made catastrophes. Property and casualty insurers are subject to claims arising out of catastrophes that may have a significant effect on their results of operations, liquidity and financial condition. Catastrophe losses, or the absence thereof, have had a significant impact on our results. For example, pre-tax catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance, at RSUI were $97.9 million in 2008, primarily reflecting 2008 third quarter hurricane net catastrophe losses of $80.9 million for Hurricanes Ike, Gustav and Dolly, compared with $47.1 million in 2007 and $14.8 million in 2006. Several states, or underwriting organizations of which our insurance operating units are required to be members, may increase their mandatory assessments as a result of these recent catastrophes and other events, and we may not be able to fully recoup these increased costs.

 

Natural or man-made catastrophes can be caused by various events, including hurricanes, other windstorms, earthquakes and floods, as well as terrorist activities. The incidence and severity of catastrophes in any short period of time are inherently unpredictable. The extent of losses from a catastrophe is a function of both the total amount of insured exposure in the area affected by the event and the severity of the event. Most catastrophes are restricted to small geographic areas; however, hurricanes, other windstorms, earthquakes and floods may produce significant damage when those areas are heavily populated. The geographic distribution of AIHL’s insurance operating units subjects them to catastrophe exposure in the United States from hurricanes in the Gulf coast regions, Florida, the Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast, from other windstorms in the Midwest and Southern regions, and earthquakes in California, the Pacific Northwest region and along the New Madrid fault line in the Midwest region. Catastrophes can cause losses in a variety of our property and casualty lines, and most of our past catastrophe-related claims have resulted from severe hurricanes. It is therefore possible that a catastrophic event or multiple catastrophic events could produce significant losses and have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.

 

With respect to terrorism, to the extent that reinsurers have excluded coverage for certain terrorist acts or have priced this coverage at rates that are not practical, our insurance operating units, particularly RSUI, would not have reinsurance protection and would be exposed to potential losses as a result of any terrorist acts. To the extent an act of terrorism is certified by the U.S. Secretary of Treasury, we may be covered under the Terrorism Act. Information regarding the Terrorism Act and its impact on our insurance operating units can be found on page 21 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

RSUI attempts to manage its exposure to catastrophe risk partially through the use of catastrophe modeling software. The failure of this software to accurately gauge the catastrophe-exposed risks RSUI writes could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. As part of its approach to managing catastrophe risk, RSUI has historically used a number of tools, including third-party catastrophe modeling software, to help model potential losses. RSUI has used modeled loss scenarios to set its level of risk retention and help structure its reinsurance programs. Modeled loss estimates, however, have not accurately predicted RSUI’s ultimate losses with respect to recent hurricane activity. Accordingly, in an effort to better manage

its accumulations of risk such that its loss exposure conforms to its established risk tolerances and fits within its reinsurance programs, RSUI periodically reviews its catastrophe exposure management approach, which may result in the implementation of new monitoring tools and a revision of its underwriting guidelines and procedures. However, these efforts may not be successful in sufficiently mitigating risk exposures and losses resulting from future catastrophes.

 

We cannot guarantee that the reinsurers used by our insurance operating units will pay in a timely fashion, if at all, and, as a result, we could experience losses even if reinsured. Our insurance operating units purchase reinsurance by transferring, or ceding, part of the risk that they have underwritten to a reinsurance company in exchange for part of the premium received by our insurance operating units in connection with that risk. Although reinsurance makes the reinsurer liable to our insurance operating units to the extent the risk is transferred or ceded to the reinsurer, it does not relieve our insurance operating units of their liability to their policyholders. Reinsurers may not pay the reinsurance recoverables that they owe to our insurance operating units or they may not pay these recoverables on a timely basis. This risk may increase significantly if these reinsurers experience financial difficulties as a result of natural catastrophes and other events. Underwriting results and investment returns of some of the reinsurers used by our insurance operating units may affect their future ability to pay claims. Accordingly, we bear credit risk with respect to our insurance operating units’ reinsurers, and if they fail to pay, our financial results would be adversely affected. As of December 31, 2008, the amount due from reinsurers reported on our balance sheet was $1.1 billion, with approximately $0.9 billion attributable to RSUI’s reinsurers.

 

If market conditions cause reinsurance to be more costly or unavailable, our insurance operating units may be required to bear increased risks or reduce the level of their underwriting commitments. As part of our overall risk and capacity management strategy, our insurance operating units purchase reinsurance for certain amounts of risk underwritten by them, especially catastrophe risks. The reinsurance programs purchased by our insurance operating units are generally subject to annual renewal. Market conditions beyond their control determine the availability and cost of the reinsurance protection they purchase, which may affect the level of their business written and thus their profitability. If our insurance operating units are unable to renew their expiring facilities or to obtain new reinsurance facilities, either their net exposures would increase, which could increase the volatility of their results or, if they are unwilling to bear an increase in net exposures, they would have to reduce the level of their underwriting commitments, especially catastrophe-exposed risks, which may reduce their revenues and net income.

 

Generally, under reinsurance contracts, an insured, to the extent it exhausts its original coverage under a reinsurance contract during a single coverage period (typically a single twelve-month period), can pay a reinsurance reinstatement premium to restore coverage during such coverage period. If our insurance operating units exhaust their original and reinstated coverage under their third-party catastrophic reinsurance contracts during a single coverage period, they will not have any reinsurance coverage available for losses incurred as a result of additional catastrophic events during that coverage period.

 

Our insurance operating units face significant competitive pressures which may reduce premium rates and prevent them from pricing their products at attractive rates. Our insurance operating units compete with a large number of other companies in their selected lines of business. They compete, and will continue to compete, with major U.S. and non-U.S. insurers, other regional companies, as well as mutual companies, specialty insurance companies, underwriting agencies and diversified financial services companies. Many competitors have considerably greater financial resources and greater experience in the insurance industry and offer a broader line of insurance products than do AIHL’s insurance operating units. Except for regulatory considerations, there are virtually no barriers to entry into the insurance industry. Competition may be domestic or foreign, and competitors are not necessarily required to be licensed by various state insurance departments. Competition in the businesses of our insurance operating units is based on many factors, including the perceived financial strength of the company, premium charges, other terms and conditions offered, services provided, commissions paid to producers, ratings assigned by independent rating agencies, speed of claims payment and reputation and experience in the lines to be written. Such competition could cause the supply and/or demand for insurance to change, which could affect the ability of our insurance operating units to price their products at attractive rates.

 

Our insurance operating units are rated by A.M. Best and a decline in these ratings could affect the standing of our insurance operating units in the insurance industry and cause their premium volume and earnings to

decrease. Ratings have become an increasingly important factor in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies. Some of our insurance operating unit companies are rated by A.M. Best, an independent organization that analyzes the insurance industry. A.M. Best’s ratings reflect its opinion of an insurance company’s financial strength, operating performance, strategic position and ability to meet its obligations to policyholders. These ratings are subject to periodic review, and we cannot assure you that any of our insurance operating unit companies will be able to retain those ratings. If the ratings of our insurance operating unit companies are reduced from their current levels by A.M. Best, their competitive positions in the insurance industry could suffer and it would be more difficult for them to market their products. A significant downgrade could result in a substantial loss of business as policyholders move to other companies with higher claims-paying and financial strength ratings.

 

The businesses of our insurance operating units are heavily regulated, and changes in regulation may reduce their profitability and limit their growth. Our insurance operating units are subject to extensive regulation and supervision in the jurisdictions in which they conduct business. This regulation is generally designed to protect the interests of policyholders, and not necessarily the interests of insurers, their stockholders or other investors. The regulation relates to authorization for lines of business, capital and surplus requirements, investment limitations, underwriting limitations, transactions with affiliates, dividend limitations, changes in control, premium rates and a variety of other financial and nonfinancial components of an insurance company’s business.

 

Virtually all states in which our insurance operating units conduct their business require them, together with other insurers licensed to do business in that state, to bear a portion of the loss suffered by some insureds as the result of impaired or insolvent insurance companies. In addition, in various states, our insurance operating units must participate in mandatory arrangements to provide various types of insurance coverage to individuals or other entities that otherwise are unable to purchase that coverage from private insurers. A few states require our insurance operating units to purchase reinsurance from a mandatory reinsurance fund. Such reinsurance funds can create a credit risk for insurers if not adequately funded by the state and, in some cases, the existence of a reinsurance fund could affect the prices charged for the policies issued by our insurance operating units. The effect of these and similar arrangements could reduce the profitability of our insurance operating units in any given period or limit the ability of our insurance operating units to grow their business.

 

In recent years, the state insurance regulatory framework has come under increased scrutiny, and some state legislatures have considered or enacted laws that may alter or increase state authority to regulate insurance companies and insurance holding companies. Further, the NAIC and state insurance regulators are continually reexamining existing laws and regulations, specifically focusing on modifications to statutory accounting principles, interpretations of existing laws and the development of new laws and regulations. It is also possible that the structure of insurance regulation may be impacted by the broader financial regulatory reform that Congress intends to pursue in the wake of the current financial crisis. Any proposed or future state or federal legislation or NAIC initiatives, if adopted, may be more restrictive on the ability of our insurance operating units to conduct business than current regulatory requirements or may result in higher costs.

 

Insurance regulations in California, where EDC primarily operates, have caused and may continue to cause downward pressure on the rates charged by EDC. EDC, as a mono-line workers’ compensation insurer writing substantially all of its business in California, is required to take into account the workers’ compensation insurance regulatory regime of California in setting the rates for coverage. Since 2002, legislatively mandated reforms to the workers’ compensation system have increased disability benefit rates, reduced medical costs and lowered the frequency and severity of permanent disability claims. These reforms have substantially reduced overall claims costs, causing insurers, in turn, to significantly reduce their rates. Recent increases in medical severity, however, indicate that erosion of these reforms is occurring. Although rate regulation has not been a focus of the California legislature to date, as costs within the system escalate, rate regulation efforts could be renewed. If adverse rate regulations are enacted, this could further exacerbate EDC’s ability to operate profitably in California, which could have a material adverse effect on EDC’s financial condition and results of operations.

 

EDC’s geographic concentration in California ties its performance to the business, economic and competitive conditions in California. Certain of these conditions have deteriorated and any further deterioration in these conditions in California could materially adversely affect EDC’s financial condition and results of operations. EDC writes substantially all of its business in California and thus is subject to business and economic

conditions in California, some of which have deteriorated in the past year. If these conditions persist or deteriorate further, resulting in the departure of a significant number of businesses from California or their insolvency, EDC’s financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected. In addition, EDC’s geographic concentration in California could subject EDC to pricing pressure as a result of competitive or regulatory forces. EDC has experienced such pressure in the past, and there is no assurance that EDC will not be subject to such pressure in California in the future.

Item 1B. Unresolved Staff Comments.

 

There are no unresolved written comments that were received from the SEC staff 180 days or more before the end of our fiscal year relating to our periodic or current reports under the Exchange Act.

Item 3. Legal Proceedings.

 

Our subsidiaries are parties to pending litigation and claims in connection with the ordinary course of their businesses. Each subsidiary makes provision on its books, in accordance with GAAP, for estimated losses to be incurred in these litigation and claims, including legal costs. In the opinion of management, this provision is adequate under GAAP as of December 31, 2008.

Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders.

 

We did not submit any matter to a vote of security holders during the fourth quarter of 2008.

 

PERFORMANCE GRAPH

 

The following graph compares for the years 2004-2008 the cumulative total stockholder return on our common stock, the cumulative total return on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index, or the “S&P 500,” and the cumulative total return on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Property and Casualty Insurance Index, or the “P&C Index.” The graph shows the value at the end of each such year of $100 invested as of January 1, 2004 in our common stock, the S&P 500 and the P&C Index.

 

 

 

This performance graph is based on the following assumptions: (i) cash dividends are reinvested on the ex-dividend date in respect of such dividend; and (ii) the two-percent stock dividends we have paid in each of the years 2004 through 2008 are included in the cumulative total stockholder return on our common stock.

 

 

 

 

 

“Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk” contain disclosures which are forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts, and can be identified by the use of words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “project,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “believe,” “potential,” “should,” “continue” or the negative versions of those words or other comparable words. These forward-looking statements are based upon our current plans or expectations and are subject to a number of uncertainties and risks that could significantly affect current plans, anticipated actions and our future financial condition and results. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, and we have no specific intention to update these statements. The uncertainties and risks include, but are not limited to

 

 

Additional risks and uncertainties include general economic and political conditions, including the effects of a prolonged U.S. or global economic downturn or recession; changes in costs; variations in political, economic or other factors; risks relating to conducting operations in a competitive environment; effects of acquisition and disposition activities, inflation rates or recessionary or expansive trends; changes in interest rates; extended labor disruptions, civil unrest or other external factors over which we have no control; and changes in our plans, strategies, objectives, expectations or intentions, which may happen at any time at our discretion. As a consequence, current plans, anticipated actions and future financial condition and results may differ from those expressed in any forward-looking statements made by us or on our behalf.

 

Critical Accounting Estimates

 

Losses and LAE

 

Overview.   Each of our insurance operating units establishes reserves on its balance sheet for unpaid losses and LAE related to its property and casualty insurance and surety contracts. As of any balance sheet date, historically there have been claims that have not yet been reported, and some claims may not be reported for many years after the date a loss occurs. As a result of this historical pattern, the liability for unpaid losses and LAE includes significant estimates for claims incurred but not yet reported, known as “IBNR.” Additionally, reported claims are

in various stages of the settlement process. Each claim is settled individually based upon its merits, and certain claims may take years to settle, especially if legal action is involved. As a result, the liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE include significant judgments, assumptions and estimates made by management relating to the ultimate losses that will arise from the claims. Due to the inherent uncertainties in the process of establishing these liabilities, the actual ultimate loss from a claim is likely to differ, perhaps materially, from the liability initially recorded and could be material to the results of our operations. The accounting policies that our insurance operating units use in connection with the establishment of these liabilities include critical accounting estimates.

 

As noted above, as of any balance sheet date, not all claims that have occurred have been reported to our insurance operating units, and if reported may not have been settled. The time period between the occurrence of a loss and the time it is settled by the insurer is referred to as the “claim tail.” Property claims usually have a fairly short claim tail and, absent claim litigation, are reported and settled within no more than a few years of the date they occur. For short-tail lines, loss reserves consist primarily of reserves for reported claims. The process of recording quarterly and annual liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE for short-tail lines is primarily focused on maintaining an appropriate reserve level for reported claims and IBNR, rather than determining an expected loss ratio for the current business. Specifically, we assess the reserve adequacy of IBNR in light of such factors as the current levels of reserves for reported claims and expectations with respect to reporting lags, historical data, legal developments and economic conditions, including the effects of inflation. At December 31, 2008, the amount of IBNR for short-tail claims represented only approximately 1.8 percent, or $45.3 million of Alleghany’s total gross loss and LAE liabilities of $2,578.6 million. In conformity with GAAP, our insurance operating units are not permitted to establish IBNR reserves for catastrophe losses that have not occurred. Therefore, losses related to a significant catastrophe, or accumulation of catastrophes, in any reporting period could have a material, negative impact on our results during that period.

 

Our insurance operating units provide coverage on both a claims-made and occurrence basis. Claims-made policies generally require that claims occur and be reported during the coverage period of the policy. Occurrence policies allow claims which occur during a policy’s coverage period to be reported after the coverage period, and as a result, these claims can have a very long claim tail, occasionally extending for decades. Casualty claims can have a very long claim tail, in certain situations extending for many years. In addition, casualty claims are more susceptible to litigation and the legal environment and can be significantly affected by changing contract interpretations, all of which contribute to extending the claim tail. For long-tail casualty lines of business, estimation of ultimate liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE is a more complex process and depends on a number of factors, including the line and volume of the business involved. For these reasons, AIHL’s insurance operating units will generally use actuarial projections in setting reserves for all casualty lines of business.

 

Although we are unable at this time to determine whether additional reserves, which could have a material impact upon our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows, may be necessary in the future, we believe that the reserves for unpaid losses and LAE established by our insurance operating units are adequate as of December 31, 2008.

 

Methodologies and Assumptions. Our insurance operating units use a variety of techniques that employ significant judgments and assumptions to establish the liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE recorded at the balance sheet date. These techniques include detailed statistical analyses of past claim reporting, settlement activity, claim frequency, internal loss experience, changes in pricing or coverages and severity data when sufficient information exists to lend statistical credibility to the analysis. More subjective techniques are used when statistical data is insufficient or unavailable. These liabilities also reflect implicit or explicit assumptions regarding the potential effects of future inflation, judicial decisions, changes in laws and recent trends in such factors as well as a number of actuarial assumptions that vary across our insurance operating units and across lines of business. This data is analyzed by line of business, coverage and accident year, as appropriate.

Our loss reserve review processes use actuarial methods that vary by insurance operating unit and line of business and produce point estimates for each class of business. The actuarial methods used by our insurance operating units include the following methods:

 

 

The primary assumptions used by our insurance operating units include the following:

 

 

Each of the above actuarial assumptions may also incorporate data from the insurance industry as a whole, or peer companies writing substantially similar insurance coverages, in the absence of sufficiently credible internally-derived historical information. Data from external sources may be used to set expectations, as well as assumptions regarding loss frequency or severity relative to an exposure unit or claim, among other actuarial parameters. Assumptions regarding the application or composition of peer group or industry reserving parameters require substantial judgment. The use of data from external sources was most significant for EDC as of December 31, 2008.

 

Sensitivity. Loss frequency and severity are measures of loss activity that are considered in determining the key assumptions described above. Loss frequency is a measure of the number of claims per unit of insured exposure, and loss severity is a measure of the average size of claims. Factors affecting loss frequency include the effectiveness of loss controls and safety programs and changes in economic conditions or weather patterns. Factors affecting loss severity include changes in policy limits, retentions, rate of inflation and judicial interpretations. Another factor affecting estimates of loss frequency and severity is the loss reporting lag, which is the period of time between the occurrence of a loss and the date the loss is reported to our insurance operating units. The length of the loss reporting lag affects our ability to accurately predict loss frequency (loss frequencies are more predictable for lines with short reporting lags) as well as the amount of reserves needed for IBNR. If the actual level of loss frequency and severity is higher or lower than expected, the ultimate losses will be different than management’s estimate. A small percentage change in an estimate can result in a material effect on our reported earnings. The following table

reflects the impact of changes, which could be favorable or unfavorable, in frequency and severity on our loss estimate for claims occurring in 2008 (dollars in millions):

 

 

Our net reserves for losses and LAE of $1.6 billion as of December 31, 2008 relate to multiple accident years. Therefore, the impact of changes in frequency or severity for more than one accident year could be higher or lower than the amounts reflected above. We believe the above analysis provides a reasonable benchmark for sensitivity as we believe it is within historical variation for our reserves. Currently, none of the scenarios is believed to be more likely than the other.

 

Prior Year Development. Our insurance operating units continually evaluate the potential for changes, both positive and negative, in their estimates of the loss and LAE liabilities and use the results of these evaluations to adjust both recorded liabilities and underwriting criteria. With respect to liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE established in prior years, these liabilities are periodically analyzed and their expected ultimate cost adjusted, where necessary, to reflect positive or negative development in loss experience and new information, including, for certain catastrophic events, revised industry estimates of the magnitude of a catastrophe. Adjustments to previously recorded liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE, both positive and negative, are reflected in our financial results in the periods in which these adjustments are made and are referred to as prior year reserve development. Each of RSUI, CATA, and EDC adjusted its prior year loss and LAE reserve estimate during 2008 based on current information that differed from previous assumptions made at the time such loss and LAE reserves were previously estimated.

 

During 2008, RSUI had a net release of $43.7 million of prior year reserves primarily for the professional liability, general liability and D&O liability lines of business. The reserve releases reflected favorable loss emergence compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such lines of business. Such reduction did not impact the assumptions used in estimating RSUI’s loss and LAE liabilities for business earned in 2008.

 

During 2007, RSUI increased its prior year reserves by $8.5 million, primarily reflecting a net increase in estimated losses and LAE related primarily to Hurricane Katrina in the amount of $43.2 million after reinsurance, partially offset by an aggregate net release of $34.7 million of prior year reserves principally for the professional liability and D&O liability lines of business. The increase in Hurricane Katrina reserves primarily reflects the results of quarterly reviews, completed during 2007, of Katrina loss and LAE reserves in light of the uncertain legal environment. In 2007, settlements of pending claims were larger than expected, which contributed to RSUI’s decision to increase reserves for its remaining pending Hurricane Katrina claims. The release of prior year reserves principally for the professional liability and D&O liability lines of business primarily reflects favorable loss emergence compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such lines of business.

 

During 2008, CATA had a net release of $11.8 million of prior year reserves, primarily in its liability and commercial surety lines of business. The reduction reflects favorable loss emergence compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such lines of business. Such reduction did not impact the assumptions used in estimating CATA’s loss and LAE liabilities for business earned in 2008. During 2007, CATA had a net release of $14.4 million of prior year reserves, primarily in its liability and commercial surety lines of business. The reduction reflects favorable loss emergence compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such lines of business.

 

During 2008, EDC increased its prior accident year workers’ compensation reserves by $25.4 million. In addition, current accident year workers’ compensation reserves were increased by $10.5 million. Both such reserve increases primarily reflect a significant acceleration in claims emergence and higher than anticipated increases in industry-wide severity. During 2007, EDC had a $9.7 million net reserve release of workers’ compensation reserves, consisting of an $18.8 million decrease for prior accident years, partially offset by a $9.1 million increase for the 2007 accident year through the date of the acquisition by AIHL. EDC’s reduction of prior accident year reserves reflect favorable loss emergence compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such line of

business. The increase in reserves for the 2008 accident year through the date of acquisition reflects unfavorable loss emergence patterns compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in the period prior to AIHL’s acquisition.

 

Other than for EDC during 2008, there were no significant assumptions made at December 31, 2008 in estimating the loss and LAE liabilities of our insurance operating units that were inconsistent with historical loss development patterns.

 

Asbestos & Environmental. Our reserve for unpaid losses and LAE includes $20.4 million and $20.3 million of gross and net reserves, respectively, at December 31, 2008, for various liability coverages related to asbestos and environmental impairment claims that arose from reinsurance of certain general liability and commercial multiple peril coverages assumed by Capitol Indemnity between 1969 and 1976. Capitol Indemnity exited this business in 1976. Reserves for asbestos and environmental impairment claims cannot be estimated with traditional loss reserving techniques because of uncertainties that are greater than those associated with other types of claims. Factors contributing to these uncertainties include a lack of historical data, the significant periods of time that often elapse between the occurrence of an insured loss and the reporting of that loss to the ceding company and the reinsurer, uncertainty as to the number and identity of insureds with potential exposure to these risks, unresolved legal issues regarding policy coverage and the extent and timing of any such contractual liability. Loss reserve estimates for these environmental impairment and asbestos exposures include case reserves, which also reflect reserves for legal and other LAE and IBNR reserves. IBNR reserves are determined based upon CATA’s historic general liability exposure base and policy language, previous environmental impairment loss experience and the assessment of current trends of environmental law, environmental cleanup costs, asbestos liability law and judicial settlements of asbestos liabilities.

 

For both asbestos and environmental impairment reinsurance claims, CATA establishes case reserves by receiving case reserve amounts from its ceding companies and verifies these amounts against reinsurance contract terms, analyzing from the first dollar of loss incurred by the primary insurer. In establishing the liability for asbestos and environmental impairment claims, CATA considers facts currently known and the current state of the law and coverage litigation. Additionally, ceding companies often report potential losses on a precautionary basis to protect their rights under the reinsurance arrangement, which generally calls for prompt notice to the reinsurer. Ceding companies, at the time they report potential losses, advise CATA of the ceding companies’ current estimate of the extent of the loss. CATA’s claims department reviews each of the precautionary claims notices and, based upon current information, assesses the likelihood of loss to CATA. This assessment is one of the factors used in determining the adequacy of the recorded asbestos and environmental impairment reserves. Although we are unable at this time to determine whether additional reserves, which could have a material impact upon our results of operations, may be necessary in the future, we believe that CATA’s asbestos and environmental impairment reserves are adequate as of December 31, 2008.

 

Reinsurance. Receivables recorded with respect to claims ceded by our insurance operating units to reinsurers under reinsurance contracts are predicated in large part on the estimates for unpaid losses and, therefore, are also subject to a significant degree of uncertainty. In addition to the factors cited above, reinsurance receivables may prove uncollectible if the reinsurer is unable to perform under the contract. Reinsurance contracts purchased by our insurance operating units do not relieve them of their obligations to their own policyholders. Additional information regarding the use of, and risks related to, the use of reinsurance by our insurance operating units can be found on page 28 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Investments

 

We hold our equity and debt securities as available for sale, and as such, these securities are recorded at fair value. We continually monitor the difference between cost and the estimated fair value of our investments, which involves uncertainty as to whether declines in value are temporary in nature. If a decline in the value of a particular investment is deemed temporary, we record the decline as an unrealized loss in common stockholders’ equity. If the decline is deemed to be other than temporary, we write it down to the carrying value of the investment and record a realized loss on our statement of earnings. Management’s assessment of a decline in value includes, among other things,

 

 

 

A debt security is deemed impaired if it is probable that we will not be able to collect all amounts due under the security’s contractual terms. An equity security is deemed impaired if, among other things, its decline in estimated fair value has existed for twelve months or more or if its decline in estimated fair value from its cost is greater than 50 percent, absent compelling evidence to the contrary. Further, for securities expected to be sold, an other-than-temporary impairment charge is recognized if we do not expect the fair value of a security to recover its cost prior to the expected date of sale. If that judgment changes in the future, we may ultimately record a realized loss after having originally concluded that the decline in value was temporary. Risks and uncertainties are inherent in the methodology we use to assess other-than-temporary declines in value. Risks and uncertainties could include, but are not limited to, incorrect assumptions about financial condition, liquidity or future prospects, inadequacy of any underlying collateral and unfavorable changes in economic or social conditions, interest rates or credit ratings. Impairment charges related to unrealized losses that are deemed to be other than temporary are required to be charged against earnings as realized losses regardless of whether we continue to hold the applicable security.

 

Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets

 

Our consolidated balance sheet as of December 31, 2008 includes goodwill and other intangible assets, net of amortization, of approximately $151.2 million. This amount has been recorded as a result of business acquisitions. Other intangible assets that are not deemed to have an indefinite useful life are amortized over their estimated useful lives. Goodwill and other intangible assets deemed to have an indefinite useful life are tested annually in the fourth quarter for impairment and at such other times upon the occurrence of certain events. We also evaluate goodwill and other intangible assets whenever events and changes in circumstances suggest that the carrying amount may not be recoverable. A significant amount of judgment is required in performing goodwill and other intangible asset impairment tests. These tests include estimating the fair value of our operating units and other intangible assets. With respect to goodwill, as required by Financial Accounting Standards Board Statement No. 142, or “SFAS 142,” we compare the estimated fair value of our operating units with their respective carrying amounts including goodwill. Under SFAS 142, fair value refers to the amount for which the entire operating unit may be bought or sold. Our methods for estimating operating unit values include asset and liability fair values and other valuation techniques, such as discounted cash flows and multiples of earnings or revenues. All of these methods involve significant estimates and assumptions.

 

In connection with impairment testing of our goodwill and other intangible assets in the fourth quarter of 2008, we determined that the $48.7 million of goodwill associated with our acquisition of EDC was impaired in its entirety. As a result, at December 31, 2008, we recorded a non-cash charge of $48.7 million, which is classified as a net realized capital loss in our consolidated statement of earnings and represents the entire EDC goodwill balance at such date. Our estimation of EDC’s fair value was based primarily on observing the stock market-based valuations of other publicly-traded insurance carriers. The factors that contributed to our determination that the EDC goodwill was impaired include the recent unfavorable conditions in the U.S. economy and California workers’ compensation insurance market, combined with EDC’s poor results during 2008. There was no resulting impact to our tax balances as a result of this charge.

 

See Note 4 to our consolidated financial statements set forth in Item 8 of this Form 10-K Report for additional information on our goodwill and other intangible assets.

 

Deferred Taxes

 

We file a consolidated federal income tax return with our subsidiaries. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the future tax consequences attributable to differences between the financial statement carrying amount of existing assets and liabilities and their respective tax bases and operating loss and tax credit carry forwards. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are measured using enacted tax rates expected to apply to taxable

income in the years in which those temporary differences are expected to be recovered or settled. The effect on deferred tax assets and liabilities of a change in tax rates is recognized in income in the period that includes the enactment date. At December 31, 2008, a net deferred tax asset of $130.3 million was recorded, which included a valuation allowance of $14.5 million for certain deferred state tax assets which we believe may not be realized. A valuation allowance is provided when it is more likely than not that some portion of the deferred tax assets will not be realized. This determination is based upon a review of anticipated future earnings as well as all available evidence, both positive and negative.

 

In addition to the policies described above which contain critical accounting estimates, our other accounting policies are described in Note 1 to our consolidated financial statements set forth in Item 8 of this Form 10-K Report. The accounting policies described in Note 1 require us to make estimates and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses, and related disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities but do not meet the level of materiality required for a determination that the accounting policy includes critical accounting estimates. On an ongoing basis, we evaluate our estimates, including those related to the value of long-lived assets, deferred acquisition costs, incentive compensation, pension benefits, and contingencies and litigation. Our estimates are based on historical experience and on various other assumptions that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances. Our actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions.

 

persist or deteriorate further during 2009, we may be required to record additional impairment charges during 2009, which could have a material and adverse impact on our results of operations.

 

The profitability of our insurance operating units is also impacted by price competition. Historically, the financial performance of the property and casualty insurance industry has tended to fluctuate in cyclical periods of price competition and excess underwriting capacity, followed by periods of high premium rates and shortages of underwriting capacity. Although an individual insurance company’s financial performance is dependent on its own specific business characteristics, the profitability of most property and casualty insurance companies tends to follow this cyclical market pattern. As discussed in more detail below, our insurance operating units began to experience increased price competition in certain of their lines of business in 2006. The competitive environment continued and increased during 2007 and 2008, resulting in a decrease in pricing over that time.

 

As part of their overall risk and capacity management strategy, our insurance operating units purchase reinsurance for certain amounts of risk underwritten by them, especially catastrophe risks. The reinsurance programs purchased by our insurance operating units are generally subject to annual renewal. Market conditions beyond their control determine the availability and cost of the reinsurance protection they purchase, which may affect the level of business written and thus their profitability.

 

The following table summarizes our consolidated revenues, costs and expenses and earnings.

 

 

 

 

Operating Results

 

Our earnings from continuing operations before income taxes in 2008 decreased substantially from 2007, primarily reflecting an increase in loss and LAE, as well as net realized capital losses in 2008, compared with net realized capital gains in 2007. The increase in loss and LAE primarily reflects the inclusion of a full year of EDC’s results in 2008, including a $35.9 million reserve increase in 2008 for current and prior accident years, as well as net catastrophe losses at RSUI of $97.9 million in 2008, partially offset by an aggregate $43.7 million of prior accident year loss reserve releases. Additional information regarding these reserving actions and other items can be found in the discussion of AIHL’s operating unit results from continuing operations on pages 43 through 47.

 

2008 net realized capital losses primarily reflect significant impairment charges related to $244.0 million of unrealized losses that were deemed to be other than temporary and, as such, are required to be charged against earnings as realized losses regardless of whether we continue to hold the applicable security. In addition, 2008 net realized capital losses include a non-cash charge of $48.7 million related to our determination that that the goodwill associated with our acquisition of EDC was impaired in its entirety. Such $48.7 million non-cash charge is classified as a net realized capital loss in our consolidated statement of earnings. These unrealized losses and charges were partially offset by net realized gains of $152.3 million on sales at the parent level of common stock of Burlington Northern, as well as the sale of common stock holdings in the energy sector. The significant net realized capital gains in 2007 primarily reflect gains of $55.9 million on sales at the parent level of common stock of Burlington Northern, as well as the sale of common stock holdings in the energy and mining sectors, partially offset by $7.7 million of unrealized losses that were deemed to be other than temporary. Additional information regarding our investments can be found on pages 49 to 54 herein.

 

Our earnings from continuing operations before income taxes in 2007 increased from 2006, reflecting increases in net premiums earned and substantially higher net realized capital gains, partially offset by an increase in loss and LAE and commissions, brokerage and other underwriting expenses. The increase in net premiums earned primarily reflects growth at RSUI and CATA and the inclusion of the results of EDC commencing in July 2007. The increase in net realized capital gains in 2007 primarily reflects the gain of $55.9 million on sales at the parent level of common stock of Burlington Northern, as well as the sale of common stock holdings in the energy sector. The increase in loss and LAE and commissions, brokerage and other underwriting expenses primarily reflects the growth in net premiums earned at RSUI and CATA, and the inclusion of the results of EDC commencing in July 2007.

 

The effective tax rate on earnings from continuing operations before income taxes was 34 percent in 2008, 34 percent in 2007, and 29 percent in 2006. The effective tax rate in 2008 primarily reflects the impact of significant catastrophe losses incurred and losses on investments that were deemed to be other than temporary in the 2008 period, offset by the impact of non-deductible goodwill impairment charges. The effective tax rate in 2007 reflects a net tax adjustment of $5.2 million resulting primarily from the reduction of estimated deferred tax assets related to unused foreign tax credits. The unused foreign tax credits arose from our ownership of World Minerals prior to its sale in July 2005. The effective tax rate in 2006 reflects a tax benefit of $10.8 million resulting from the release of a valuation allowance we held with respect to a portion of our deferred tax assets related to such unused foreign tax credits.

 

Net earnings from continuing operations for the three years ended December 31, 2008 include the $5.2 million tax adjustment and $10.8 million tax benefit noted above.

 

Our earnings from discontinued operations consist of the operations of Darwin prior to its disposition in October 2008, net of minority interest expense, and includes an after-tax gain upon disposition of approximately $92.1 million in the 2008 fourth quarter, including approximately $9.5 million of gain deferred at the time of Darwin’s initial public offering in May 2006. See Note 2 to our consolidated financial statements set forth in Item 8 to this Form 10-K Report for additional information on discontinued operations.

 

 

 

 

Discussion of individual AIHL operating unit results follows, and AIHL investment results are discussed below under “Investments.”

 

RSUI

 

The decrease in gross premiums written by RSUI in 2008 from 2007 primarily reflects continuing and increasing price competition, particularly in RSUI’s general liability and property lines of business. RSUI’s net premiums earned decreased in 2008 from 2007 due to a decrease in the property line of business, partially offset by a modest increase in the casualty lines of business. The decrease in property premiums earned is due to substantially lower premium writings, partially offset by reduced reinsurance limits being purchased and reduced rates paid for catastrophe and per risk reinsurance coverage renewed at May 1, 2008. The modest increase in casualty premiums earned primarily reflects the growth of RSUI’s binding authority line of business and the non-renewal at April 1, 2007 of a professional liability quota share reinsurance treaty, partially offset by general liability from substantially lower premium writings. The binding authority line writes small, specialized coverages pursuant to underwriting authority arrangements with managing general agents.

 

The decrease in gross premiums written in 2007 from 2006 primarily reflects continuing and increasing pricing competition in RSUI’s general liability, umbrella/excess and property lines of business. RSUI’s net premiums earned in both property and casualty lines of business increased in 2007 from 2006. The increase in property net premiums earned is due primarily to increased retentions and reduced reinsurance limits being purchased at lower rates for catastrophe and per risk coverage renewed at May 1, 2007. The increase in casualty net premiums earned primarily reflects the growth of RSUI’s binding authority line of business.

 

The increase in loss and LAE in 2008 from 2007 primarily reflects 2008 net catastrophe losses of $97.9 million, partially offset by an aggregate $43.7 million of prior accident year loss reserve releases, compared with $3.9 million of net catastrophe losses (excluding Hurricane Katrina reserve strengthening) and an $8.5 million net reserve increase of prior accident year loss reserves (including Hurricane Katrina reserve strengthening, as described below) during 2007. Of the $97.9 million net catastrophe loss in 2008, $80.9 million relates to Hurricanes Ike, Gustav, and Dolly, all of which occurred during the 2008 third quarter. The $80.9 million is $18.1 million lower than the $99.0 million estimated for such hurricanes in the 2008 third quarter. The $43.7 million reserve release primarily reflects the professional liability, general liability and D&O liability lines of business, and reflects favorable loss emergence compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such lines of business. Such reduction did not impact the assumptions used in estimating RSUI’s loss and loss adjustment expense liabilities for business earned in 2008.

RSUI’s reported hurricane losses represent management’s current best estimate and are based on management’s assessment of information from actual claim reports, information derived from third-party catastrophe modeling software and industry loss estimates. In addition, RSUI’s reported hurricane losses include estimates of unreported claims, anticipated adverse development on reported claims and a degree of demand surge. RSUI’s actual losses from the hurricanes, however, may exceed its estimates as a result of, among other things, the receipt of additional information from insureds, the attribution of losses to coverages which, for purposes of estimates, were assumed not to be exposed, and inflation in repair costs due to the limited availability of labor and materials, in which case RSUI’s operating results and financial condition could be further materially adversely affected.

 

The slight decrease in loss and LAE in 2007 from 2006 primarily reflects continued favorable current accident year loss experience for property and to a lesser extent, D&O lines of business, partially offset by an $8.5 million net increase in reserves. This net reserve increase reflects a $43.2 million increase in estimated losses and LAE related to Hurricane Katrina, partially offset by a release of $34.7 million of prior year reserves principally for the professional liability and D&O lines of business. The increase in Hurricane Katrina reserves primarily reflects the results of reviews, completed during 2007, of Katrina loss and LAE reserves in light of the uncertain legal environment. RSUI reviews its reserves quarterly. In 2007, settlements of pending claims were larger than expected, which contributed to RSUI’s decision to increase reserves for its remaining pending Hurricane Katrina claims. Future legal developments, to the extent adverse to the insurance industry, may result in additional adverse development in RSUI’s Hurricane Katrina loss and LAE reserves. The release of prior year reserves for the professional liability and D&O liability lines of business reflects favorable loss emergence compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such lines of business.

 

The increase in RSUI’s underwriting expenses in 2008 from 2007 primarily reflects lower ceding commissions primarily resulting from the non-renewal of RSUI’s professional liability quota share reinsurance treaty which expired in April 2007, as well as lower ceding commissions on RSUI’s reinsurance arrangements for other casualty lines of business due to a reduction in premiums written in such lines. The increase in underwriting expenses in 2007 from 2006 reflects higher salary and benefit expenses and lower ceding commissions earned by RSUI on its property surplus share reinsurance arrangements, which caused net commission expenses incurred to increase.

 

The increase in loss and LAE described above was the primary cause for the decrease in RSUI’s underwriting profit in 2008 from 2007. RSUI’s underwriting profit for 2007 increased from 2006, primarily reflecting an increase in net premiums earned and lower than expected current accident year property losses, partially offset by higher underwriting expenses and the net reserve increase of $8.5 million, as discussed above.

 

Additional information regarding RSUI’s use of reinsurance and risks related to reinsurance recoverables can be found on pages 20 and 21 and page 28 of this Form 10-K Report. Additional information regarding RSUI’s adjustments and releases to prior year reserves can be found on page 37 and pages 47 and 48 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Rates at RSUI in 2008, compared with 2007, reflect overall industry trends of downward pricing as a result of increased competition, with decreased rates in all of RSUI’s lines of business. RSUI is also seeing fewer opportunities to write business, as a more competitive market causes less business to flow into the wholesale and/or excess and surplus marketplace in which RSUI operates. Rates at RSUI in 2007 compared with 2006 reflect overall industry trends of downward pricing as a result of increased competition, with decreased rates in all of RSUI’s lines of business, particularly with respect to the general liability, umbrella/excess and property lines of business.

 

AIHL Re

 

AIHL Re was formed in June 2006 as a captive reinsurance subsidiary of AIHL to provide catastrophe reinsurance coverage for RSUI. AIHL Re and RSUI entered into a reinsurance agreement, effective July 1, 2006, whereby AIHL Re, in exchange for market-based premiums, took that portion of RSUI’s catastrophe reinsurance program not covered by third-party reinsurers. The cumulative premiums ceded from RSUI to AIHL Re under this agreement for the coverage period was $59.1 million. This reinsurance coverage expired on April 30, 2007 and AIHL Re has not participated in RSUI’s catastrophe reinsurance program since that date.

AIHL Re and Homesite entered into a reinsurance agreement, effective April 1, 2007, whereby AIHL Re, in exchange for an annual premium of approximately $2.0 million, provided $20.0 million of excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage to Homesite under its catastrophe reinsurance program. This reinsurance coverage expired on March 31, 2008 and AIHL Re did not participate in Homesite’s catastrophe reinsurance program for the 2008-2009 period. In connection with the expiration of the agreement, the trust funds established to secure AIHL Re’s obligations to make payments to Homesite under such reinsurance agreement was dissolved and the $20 million in such funds was distributed to AIHL Re in April 2008.

 

AIHL Re’s underwriting profit in 2008, 2007 and 2006 reflects the absence of catastrophe losses during all periods.

 

CATA

 

CATA’s net premiums earned in 2008 decreased from 2007, primarily reflecting continuing and increasing price competition in CATA’s property and casualty (including in excess and surplus markets) and commercial surety lines of business, partially offset by net premiums earned in CATA’s recently established specialty markets division. The increase in CATA’s net premiums earned in 2007 from 2006 reflects growth in gross and net premiums written in CATA’s property and casualty lines of business.

 

The decrease in loss and LAE in 2008 from 2007 primarily reflects a decrease in net premiums earned, partially offset by a lesser amount of reserve releases in 2008 compared with 2007. During 2008, CATA had a net release of $11.8 million of prior year reserves, primarily in its liability and commercial surety lines of business. The reduction reflects favorable loss emergence compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such lines of business. Such reduction did not impact the assumptions used in estimating CATA’s loss and LAE liabilities for business earned in 2008. During 2007, CATA had a net release of $14.4 million of prior year reserves, primarily in its liability and commercial surety lines of business. The increase in loss and LAE in 2007 from 2006 reflects growth in net premiums earned and higher property losses, partially offset by reductions of reserves for prior accident years. Such reductions were $14.4 million in 2007 and $13.6 million in 2006.

 

The decrease in net earned premium, partially offset by lower loss and LAE described above, was the primary cause for the decrease in CATA’s underwriting profit in 2008 from 2007. Underwriting profit in 2007 was only modestly higher than 2006, whereby the increase in net earned premium was offset by higher loss and LAE described above, as well as higher underwriting expenses.

 

Additional information regarding CATA’s releases to prior year reserves can be found on page 37 and pages 47 and 48 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Rates at CATA in 2008, compared with 2007, reflect overall industry trends of lower pricing as a result of increased competition, causing a reduction of premium volumes in CATA’s lines of business. CATA experienced increased competition and decreased rates in its property and casualty and commercial surety lines of business during 2007 compared with 2006.

 

EDC

 

EDC’s net premiums earned in 2008 and 2007 reflect increased competition, decreased rates, reduction of exposure as measured by insured payroll and declining renewal retention rates in EDC’s California workers’ compensation business. Loss and LAE in 2008 and 2007 reflect the exposure of EDC’s underlying book of business. In addition, loss and LAE in 2008 reflect the trend of increasing loss costs, as well as a $35.9 million reserve increase in 2008, consisting of $25.4 million related to prior accident years and $10.5 million related to the 2008 accident year. The increases for both the prior accident years and the 2008 accident year primarily reflect a significant acceleration in claims emergence and higher than anticipated increases in industry-wide severity. These increases in reserves also caused EDC to write off its deferred acquisition cost asset of $2.1 million and establish a modest premium deficiency reserve in the 2008 second quarter. Loss and LAE in 2007 reflect a net reserve release of workers’ compensation reserves of $9.7 million. This release consisted of an $18.8 million decrease for prior accident years, partially offset by a $9.1 million increase for the 2007 accident year through the date of the acquisition by AIHL. EDC’s reduction of prior year reserves reflects favorable loss emergence as compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such line of business.

The loss and LAE described above were the primary cause of EDC’s underwriting loss in 2008, and underwriting profit for 2007.

 

In connection with impairment testing of our goodwill and other intangible assets during the fourth quarter of 2008, we determined that the $48.7 million of goodwill associated with our acquisition of EDC was impaired in its entirety. As a result, at December 31, 2008, we recorded a non-cash charge of $48.7 million, which is classified as a net realized capital loss in our consolidated statement of earnings and represents the entire EDC goodwill balance at such date. Our estimation of EDC’s fair value was based primarily on observing the stock market-based valuations of other publicly-traded insurance carriers. The factors that contributed to our determination that the EDC goodwill was impaired include the recent unfavorable conditions in the U.S. economy and California workers’ compensation insurance market, combined with EDC’s poor results during 2008. There was no resulting impact to our tax balances as a result of this charge.

 

Additional information regarding EDC’s releases to prior year reserves can be found on pages 37 and 38 and pages 47 and 48 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

EDC experienced increased competition and decreasing rates in its California workers’ compensation business during 2008.

 

Reserve Review Process

 

AIHL’s insurance operating units periodically analyze and adjust their expected ultimate cost, where necessary, to reflect positive or negative development in loss experience and new information, including, for certain catastrophic events, revised industry estimates of the magnitude of a catastrophe. Adjustments to previously recorded liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE, both positive and negative, are reflected in our financial results in the periods in which these adjustments are made and are referred to as prior year reserve development. The following table presents the reserves established in connection with the losses and LAE of AIHL’s insurance operating units on a gross and net basis by line of business. These reserve amounts represent the accumulation of estimates of ultimate losses (including IBNR) and LAE.

 

 

 

 

 

Changes in Loss and LAE Reserves between December 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007

 

Gross Reserves.   The increase in gross loss and LAE reserves at December 31, 2008 from December 31, 2007 primarily reflects increases in casualty and to a lesser extent, workers’ compensation and property gross loss and LAE reserves, partially offset by modest decreases in other gross loss and LAE reserves. The increase in casualty gross loss and LAE reserves primarily reflects anticipated loss reserves on current accident year gross premiums earned and limited gross paid loss activity for the current and prior accident years at RSUI. Such increases for RSUI were partially offset by net releases of prior accident year reserves. The increase in workers’ compensation gross loss and LAE reserves primarily relates to increases to both current and prior accident year reserves by EDC. The increase in property gross loss and LAE reserves primarily reflects significant catastrophe gross losses incurred by RSUI during 2008 from Hurricanes Ike, Gustav and Dolly. The decrease in other reserves is due primarily to a reduction in loss and LAE reserves acquired in connection with prior acquisitions which are ceded 100 percent to the sellers.

 

Net Reserves.   The increase in net loss and LAE reserves at December 31, 2008 from December 31, 2007 primarily reflects increases in casualty and, to a lesser extent, workers’ compensation net loss and LAE reserves. The increase in casualty net loss and LAE reserves primarily reflects anticipated loss reserves on current accident year premiums earned and limited net paid loss activity for the current and prior accident years at RSUI. Such increases for RSUI were partially offset by net releases of prior accident year reserves. The increase in workers’ compensation net loss and LAE reserves is primarily due to increases by EDC to both its current and prior accident year reserves.

 

Changes in Loss and LAE Reserves between December 31, 2007 and December 31, 2006

 

Gross Reserves.   The increase in gross loss and LAE reserves at December 31, 2007 from December 31, 2006 primarily reflects increases in workers’ compensation and casualty gross loss and LAE reserves, partially offset by a net reduction in RSUI’s property gross loss and LAE reserves. The increase in workers’ compensation gross loss and LAE reserves is due to the acquisition of EDC in July 2007. The increase in casualty gross loss and LAE reserves primarily reflects anticipated loss reserves on current accident year gross premiums earned and limited gross paid loss activity for the current and prior casualty accident years at RSUI, partially offset by releases of prior year reserves. The decrease in property gross loss and LAE reserves is mainly due to gross loss payments on 2004 and 2005 hurricane related losses, principally Hurricane Katrina.

 

Net Reserves.   The increase in net loss and LAE reserves at December 31, 2007 from December 31, 2006 primarily reflects increases in workers’ compensation and casualty net loss and LAE reserves. The increase in workers’ compensation gross loss and LAE reserves is due to the acquisition of EDC in July 2007. The increase in casualty gross loss and LAE reserves is due to RSUI, and primarily reflects anticipated loss reserves on current accident year gross premiums earned and limited gross paid loss activity for the current and prior casualty accident years, and lower reinsurance utilization, partially offset by releases of prior year reserves. Slightly lower loss and LAE property reserves is mainly due to loss payments on 2004 and 2005 hurricane related losses, principally Hurricane Katrina, partially offset by an increase in estimated losses, net of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses, related to Hurricane Katrina, as discussed in more detail on pages 44 and 45 of this Form 10-K Report.

Reinsurance Recoverables

 

At December 31, 2008, AIHL had total reinsurance recoverables of $1,056.4 million, consisting of $1,008.3 million of ceded outstanding losses and LAE and $48.1 million of recoverables on paid losses. Approximately 93.7 percent of AIHL’s reinsurance recoverables balance at December 31, 2008 was due from reinsurers having an A.M. Best financial strength rating of A (Excellent) or higher. Of total reinsurance recoverable amounts, RSUI had reinsurance recoverables of approximately $859.3 million. Information regarding concentration of AIHL’s reinsurance recoverables at December 31, 2008 is as follows (in millions except for percentages):

 

 

 

 

At December 31, 2008, AIHL also had fully collateralized reinsurance recoverables of $161.1 million due from Darwin, now a subsidiary of AWAC. The A.M. Best financial strength rating of Darwin was A (Excellent) at December 31, 2008. AIHL had no allowance for uncollectible reinsurance as of December 31, 2008.