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SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, DC 20549
 
FORM 10-Q
     
þ   QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2006
OR
     
o   TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from                      to                     
Commission file number 1-10243
BP PRUDHOE BAY ROYALTY TRUST
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
     
Delaware   13-6943724
     
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation or Organization)   (I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
     
The Bank of New York, 101 Barclay Street, New York, NY   10286
     
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)   (Zip Code)
Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: (212) 815-6908
     Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the Registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes þ No o
     Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of “accelerated filer and large accelerated filer” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):
Large Accelerated filer þ            Accelerated filer o            Non-accelerated filer o
     Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act) Yes o No þ
     As of November 9, 2006, 21,400,000 Units of Beneficial Interest were outstanding.
 
 

 


TABLE OF CONTENTS

PART I
Item 1. Financial Statements
Item 2. Trustee’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Item 4. Controls and Procedures
PART II
Item 1. Legal Proceedings
Item 1A. Risk Factors
Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds
Item 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities
Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
Item 5. Other Information
Item 6. Exhibits
SIGNATURE
INDEX TO EXHIBITS
EX-4.5
EX-31
EX-32


Table of Contents

PART I
FINANCIAL INFORMATION
    Item 1. Financial Statements

 


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BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust
Statement of Assets, Liabilities and Trust Corpus
(Prepared on a modified basis of cash receipts and disbursements)
(Unaudited)
(In thousands, except unit data)
                 
    September 30,     December 31,  
    2006     2005  
Assets
               
 
Royalty Interest, net (Notes 1, 2 and 3)
  $ 8,536     $ 10,043  
 
Cash and cash equivalents (Note 2)
    1,011       1,011  
 
           
 
Total Assets
  $ 9,547     $ 11,054  
 
           
 
Liabilities and Trust Corpus
               
 
Accrued expenses
  $ 346     $ 178  
 
Trust Corpus (40,000,000 units of beneficial interest authorized, 21,400,000 units issued and outstanding)
    9,201       10,876  
 
           
 
Total Liabilities and Trust Corpus
  $ 9,547     $ 11,054  
 
           
See accompanying notes to financial statements (unaudited).

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BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust
Statements of Cash Earnings and Distributions
(Prepared on a modified basis of cash receipts and disbursements)
(Unaudited)
(In thousands, except unit data)
                                 
    Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2006     2005     2006     2005  
Royalty revenues
  $ 55,797     $ 37,357     $ 148,719     $ 103,967  
Interest income
    22       11       54       25  
 
                               
Less: Trust administrative expenses
    (279 )     (388 )     (732 )     (906 )
 
                       
 
                               
Cash earnings
  $ 55,540     $ 36,980     $ 148,041     $ 103,086  
 
                       
 
                               
Cash distributions
  $ 55,538     $ 36,971     $ 148,042     $ 103,082  
 
                       
 
                               
Cash distributions per unit
  $ 2.5952     $ 1.7276     $ 6.9179     $ 4.8169  
 
                       
 
Units outstanding
    21,400,000       21,400,000       21,400,000       21,400,000  
 
                       
See accompanying notes to financial statements (unaudited).

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BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust
Statements of Changes in Trust Corpus
(Prepared on a modified basis of cash receipts and disbursements)
(Unaudited)
(In thousands)
                                 
    Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2006     2005     2006     2005  
Trust Corpus at beginning of period
  $ 9,747     $ 11,635     $ 10,876     $ 12,881  
Cash earnings
    55,540       36,980       148,041       103,086  
Decrease (increase) in accrued expenses
    (46 )     198       (167 )     (39 )
Cash distributions
    (55,538 )     (36,971 )     (148,042 )     (103,082 )
Amortization of Royalty Interest
    (502 )     (502 )     (1,507 )     (1,506 )
 
                       
 
                               
Trust Corpus at end of period
  $ 9,201     $ 11,340     $ 9,201     $ 11,340  
 
                       
See accompanying notes to financial statements (unaudited).

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BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust
Notes to Financial Statements (Unaudited)
(Prepared on a Modified Basis of Cash Receipts and Disbursements)
September 30, 2006
(1)   Formation of the Trust and Organization
    BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (the “Trust”), a grantor trust, was created as a Delaware business trust pursuant to a Trust Agreement dated February 28, 1989 among The Standard Oil Company (“Standard Oil”), BP Exploration (Alaska) Inc. (“BP Alaska”), The Bank of New York (the “Trustee”) and The Bank of New York (Delaware), as co-trustee (the “Trust Agreement”). Standard Oil and BP Alaska are indirect wholly-owned subsidiaries of BP p.l.c. (“BP”).
 
    On February 28, 1989, Standard Oil conveyed an overriding royalty interest (the “Royalty Interest”) to the Trust. The Trust was formed for the sole purpose of owning and administering the Royalty Interest. The Royalty Interest represents the right to receive, effective February 28, 1989, a per barrel royalty (the “Per Barrel Royalty”) of 16.4246% on the lesser of (a) the first 90,000 barrels of the average actual daily net production of oil and condensate per quarter or (b) the average actual daily net production of oil and condensate per quarter from BP Alaska’s working interest as of February 28, 1989 in the Prudhoe Bay Field situated on the North Slope of Alaska (the “BP Working Interests”). Trust Unit holders will remain subject at all times to the risk that production will be interrupted or discontinued or fall, on average, below 90,000 barrels per day in any quarter. See Note 6 for information concerning a recent partial shutdown of the Prudhoe Bay Field. BP has guaranteed the performance of BP Alaska of its payment obligations with respect to the Royalty Interest.
 
    The trustees of the Trust are The Bank of New York, a New York corporation authorized to do a banking business, and The Bank of New York (Delaware), a Delaware banking corporation. The Bank of New York (Delaware) serves as co-trustee in order to satisfy certain requirements of the Delaware Trust Act. The Bank of New York alone is able to exercise the rights and powers granted to the Trustee in the Trust Agreement.
 
    The Per Barrel Royalty in effect for any day is equal to the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil (the “WTI Price”) for that day less scheduled Chargeable Costs (adjusted in certain situations for inflation) and Production Taxes (based on statutory rates then in existence). See Note 5 for information concerning a change in Alaska oil and gas production taxes which affects the calculation of the Per Barrel Royalty.
 
    The Trust is passive, with the Trustee having only such powers as are necessary for the collection and distribution of revenues, the payment of Trust liabilities, and the protection of the Royalty Interest. The Trustee, subject to certain conditions, is obligated to establish cash reserves and borrow funds to pay liabilities of the Trust when they become due. The Trustee may sell Trust properties only (a) as authorized by a vote of the Trust Unit Holders, (b) when necessary to provide for the payment of specific liabilities of the Trust then due (subject to certain conditions) or (c) upon termination of the Trust. Each Trust Unit issued and outstanding represents an equal undivided share of beneficial interest in the Trust. Royalty payments are received by the Trust and distributed to Trust Unit Holders, net of Trust

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BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust
Notes to Financial Statements (Unaudited)
(Prepared on a Modified Basis of Cash Receipts and Disbursements)
September 30, 2006
    expenses, in the month succeeding the end of each calendar quarter. The Trust will terminate upon the first to occur of the following events:
  a.   On or prior to December 31, 2010: upon a vote of Trust Unit Holders of not less than 70% of the outstanding Trust Units.
 
  b.   After December 31, 2010: (i) upon a vote of Trust Unit Holders of not less than 60% of the outstanding Trust Units, or (ii) at such time the net revenues from the Royalty Interest for two successive years commencing after 2010 are less than $1,000,000 per year (unless the net revenues during such period are materially and adversely affected by certain events).
    In order to ensure the Trust has the ability to pay future expenses, the Trust established a cash reserve account which the Trustee believes is sufficient to pay approximately one year’s current and expected liabilities and expenses of the Trust.
(2)   Basis of Accounting
    The financial statements of the Trust are prepared on a modified cash basis and reflect the Trust’s assets, liabilities, Corpus, earnings, and distributions, as follows:
  a.   Revenues are recorded when received (generally within 15 days of the end of the preceding quarter) and distributions to Trust Unit Holders are recorded when paid.
 
  b.   Trust expenses (which include accounting, engineering, legal, and other professional fees, trustees’ fees, and out-of-pocket expenses) are recorded on an accrual basis.
 
  c.   Cash reserves may be established by the Trustee for certain contingencies that would not be recorded under generally accepted accounting principles.
 
  d.   Amortization of the Royalty Interest is calculated based on the units of production method. Such amortization is charged directly to the Trust Corpus, and does not affect cash earnings. The daily rate for amortization per net equivalent barrel of oil for the three months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005 was $0.56 and $0.37, respectively, and for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005 it was $0.42 and $0.37, respectively. The Trust evaluates impairment of the Royalty Interest by comparing the undiscounted cash flows expected to be realized from the Royalty Interest to the carrying value, pursuant to Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 144, “Accounting for the Impairment or Disposal of Long-Lived Assets.” If the expected future undiscounted cash flows are less than the carrying value, the Trust recognizes an impairment loss for the difference between the carrying value and the estimated fair value of the Royalty Interest.

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BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust
Notes to Financial Statements (Unaudited)
(Prepared on a Modified Basis of Cash Receipts and Disbursements)
September 30, 2006
    While these statements differ from financial statements prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America, the modified cash basis of reporting revenues and distributions is considered to be the most meaningful because quarterly distributions to the Trust Unit Holders are based on net cash receipts. The accompanying modified cash basis financial statements contain all adjustments necessary to present fairly the assets, liabilities and Corpus of the Trust as of September 30, 2006 and 2005, and the modified cash earning and distributions and changes in Trust Corpus for the three-month and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2006 and 2005. The adjustments are of a normal recurring nature and are, in the opinion of the Trustee, necessary to fairly present the results of operations.
 
    As of September 30, 2006 and December 31, 2005, cash equivalents which represent the cash reserve consist of US treasury bills with an initial term of less than three months.
 
    Estimates and assumptions are required to be made regarding assets, liabilities and changes in Trust Corpus resulting from operations when financial statements are prepared. Changes in the economic environment, financial markets and any other parameters used in determining these estimates could cause actual results to differ, and the differences could be material.
 
    The financial statements should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and related notes in the Trust’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2005. The cash earnings and distributions for the interim period presented are not necessarily indicative of the results to be expected for the full year.
(3)   Royalty Interest
    The Royalty Interest is comprised of the following at September 30, 2006 and December 31, 2005 (in thousands):
                 
    September 30,     December 31,  
    2006     2005  
Royalty Interest (at inception)
  $ 535,000     $ 535,000  
Less: Accumulated amortization
    (352,946 )     (351,439 )
Impairment write-down
    (173,518 )     (173,518 )
 
           
 
               
Balance, end of period
  $ 8,536     $ 10,043  
 
           
(4)   Income Taxes
    The Trust files its federal tax return as a grantor trust subject to the provisions of subpart E of Part I of Subchapter J of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, rather than as an association taxable as a corporation. The Trust Unit Holders are treated as the owners of

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BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust
Notes to Financial Statements (Unaudited)
(Prepared on a Modified Basis of Cash Receipts and Disbursements)
September 30, 2006
    Trust income and Corpus, and the entire taxable income of the Trust will be reported by the Trust Unit Holders on their respective tax returns.
 
    If the Trust were determined to be an association taxable as a corporation, it would be treated as an entity taxable as a corporation on the taxable income from the Royalty Interest, the Trust Unit Holders would be treated as shareholders, and distributions to Trust Unit Holders would not be deductible in computing the Trust’s tax liability as an association.
(5)   Alaska Oil and Gas Production Tax
 
    On August 20, 2006 a new Alaska oil and gas production tax (the “New Tax”) became effective. The New Tax replaced an oil production tax levied at the flat rate of 15% of the gross value at the point of production of taxable oil produced from a producer’s leases or properties in the State of Alaska and is retroactive to April 1, 2006.
 
    Under the New Tax, producers are taxed on the “production tax value of taxable oil” (gross value at the point of production for the calendar year less the producer’s direct costs of exploring for, developing, or producing oil or gas deposits located within the producer’s leases or properties in Alaska for the year) at a rate equal to the sum of 22.5% plus a “progressivity” rate determined by the average monthly production tax value of the oil produced. The progressivity portion of the New Tax is equal to 0.25% times the amount by which the simple average for each calendar month of the daily taxable values per barrel of the oil produced during the month exceeds $40 per barrel.
 
    The Trustee and BP Alaska entered into a letter agreement (the “Letter Agreement”) to resolve the major issues associated with the New Tax. The Letter Agreement modified the calculation of Production Taxes in the daily Per Barrel Royalty calculation effective as of August 20, 2006. It also provides that the retroactivity provisions of the New Tax are not applicable to the Per Barrel Royalty calculation for periods prior to August 20, 2006. Giving effect to the principles set forth in the Letter Agreement, the Production Tax component of the Per Barrel Royalty Calculation was $10.11 for the period from July 1, 2006 through August 19, 2006, $13.21 for the period from August 20, 2006 through August 31, 2006 and $10.60 for the period from September 1, 2006 through September 30, 2006.
(6)   Partial Shutdown of Prudhoe Bay Oil Field
 
    On August 7, 2006, BP announced that BP Alaska had commenced a shutdown of the Prudhoe Bay Field as a result of the discovery of unexpectedly severe corrosion and a small spill from an oil transit line in the Prudhoe Bay Field. BP subsequently determined to shut down only the Eastern Operating Area of the field and continue production from the Western Operating Area. The partial shutdown of the Prudhoe Bay Field reduced average daily production from the field to approximately half of normal output. Actual average daily net production from the BP Working Interests during the quarter ended September 30, 2006 was

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    approximately 59,300 barrels per day. Clearance from the U.S. Department of Transportation to restart production in the Eastern Operating Area was received in September 2006 and Prudhoe Bay output was reported to have returned to its pre-shutdown level of over 400,000 barrels per day by late October 2006.

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Item 2. Trustee’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
Cautionary Statement
This report contains forward looking statements (that is, statements anticipating future events or conditions and not statements of historical fact). Words such as “anticipate,” “expect,” “believe,” “intend,” “plan” or “project,” and “should,” “would,” “could,” “potentially,” “possibly” or “may,” and other words that convey uncertainty of future events or outcomes are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements in this report are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties beyond the control of the Trustee. These risks and uncertainties include such matters as future changes in oil prices, oil production levels, economic activity, domestic and international political events and developments, legislation and regulation, and certain changes in expenses of the Trust.
The actual results, performance and prospects of the Trust could differ materially from those expressed or implied by forward-looking statements. Descriptions of some of the risks that could affect the future performance of the Trust appear in Item 1A, “Risk Factors,” of the Trust’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2005 (the “Annual Report”) and in Item 1A of Part II this report. There may be additional risks of which the Trustee is unaware or which are currently deemed immaterial.
In the light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, you should not rely unduly on any forward-looking statements. Forward-looking events and outcomes discussed in the Annual Report and in this report may not occur or may transpire differently. The Trustee undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking statements after the date of this report, except as required by law, and all such forward-looking statements in this report are qualified in their entirety by the preceding cautionary statements.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
The BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (the “Trust”) is a passive entity, and the activities of The Bank of New York, as trustee of the Trust (the “Trustee”) are limited to collecting and distributing the revenues from the overriding royalty interest held by the Trust (the “Royalty Interest”) and paying liabilities and expenses of the Trust. Generally, the Trust has no source of liquidity and no capital resources other than the revenue attributable to the Royalty Interest that it receives from time to time. See the discussion under “THE ROYALTY INTEREST” in Part I, Item 1 of the Annual Report for additional information concerning the Royalty Interest, and the discussion under “THE PRUDHOE BAY UNIT AND FIELD — Reserve Estimates” and “INDEPENDENT OIL AND GAS CONSULTANTS’ REPORT” in Part I, Item 1 of the Annual Report for information concerning the estimated future net revenues of the Trust. However, the Trustee has a limited power to borrow, establish a cash reserve, or dispose of all or part of the Trust estate, under limited circumstances pursuant to the terms of the Trust Agreement dated February 28, 1989 among The Standard Oil Company, BP Exploration (Alaska) Inc. (“BP Alaska”), the Trustee and The Bank of New York (Delaware), as co-trustee (the “Trust Agreement”). See the discussion under “THE TRUST” in Part I, Item 1 of the Annual Report.

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In 1999, due to declines in oil prices during the fourth quarter of 1998 and the first quarter of 1999, which resulted in the Trust not receiving cash distributions for two quarters, the Trustee established a $1,000,000 cash reserve to provide liquidity to the Trust during any future periods in which the Trust does not receive a distribution. The Trustee will draw funds from the cash reserve account during any quarter in which the quarterly distribution received by the Trust does not exceed the liabilities and expenses of the Trust, and will replenish the reserve from future quarterly distributions, if any. The Trustee anticipates that it will keep this cash reserve program in place until termination of the Trust.
Amounts set aside for the cash reserve are invested by the Trustee in U.S. government or agency securities secured by the full faith and credit of the United States. Interest income received by the Trust from the investment of the reserve fund is added to the distributions received from BP Alaska and paid to the holders of Units on each Quarterly Record Date.
As discussed under “CERTAIN TAX CONSIDERATIONS” in Part I, Item 1 of the Annual Report, amounts received by the Trust as quarterly distributions are income to the holders of the Units (as are any earnings on investment of the cash reserve) and must be reported by the holders of the Units even if such amounts are used to repay borrowings or replenish the cash reserve and are not received by the holders of the Units.
Results of Operations
Relatively modest changes in oil prices significantly affect the Trust’s revenues and results of operations. Crude oil prices are subject to significant changes in response to fluctuations in the domestic and world supply and demand and other market conditions as well as the world political situation as it affects OPEC and other producing countries. The effect of changing economic conditions on the demand and supply for energy throughout the world and future prices of oil cannot be accurately projected.
Under the terms of the Conveyance of the Royalty Interest to the Trust, the Per Barrel Royalty for any day is the WTI Price for the day less the sum of (i) Chargeable Costs multiplied by the Cost Adjustment Factor and (ii) Production Taxes. The narrative under the captions “THE TRUST – Trust Property” and “THE ROYALTY INTEREST” in the Annual Report explains the meanings of the terms “Conveyance,” “Royalty Interest,” “Per Barrel Royalty,” “WTI Price, “Chargeable Costs” and “Cost Adjustment Factor” and should be read in conjunction with this report.
Royalty revenues are generally received on the fifteenth day of the month following the end of the calendar quarter in which the related Royalty Production occurred (the “Quarterly Record Date”). The Trustee, to the extent possible, pays all accrued expenses of the Trust on the Quarterly Record Date on which the revenues for the quarter are received. For the statement of cash earnings and distributions, revenues and Trust expenses are recorded on a modified cash basis and, as a result, royalties paid to the Trust and distributions to Unit holders in the quarters ended September 30, 2006 and 2005, respectively, are attributable to BP Alaska’s operations during the quarters ended June 30, 2006 and 2005, respectively.

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The following table show the factors which were employed to compute the Per Barrel Royalty payments received by the Trust during the first three quarters of 2006 and 2005. The information in the table has been furnished by BP Alaska.
                                                 
                    Cost   Adjusted        
    Average   Chargeable   Adjustment   Chargeable   Production   Per Barrel
    WTI Price   Costs   Factor   Costs   Taxes*   Royalty
Calendar 2006
                                               
4 th Qtr 2005
  $ 60.01     $ 12.25       1.521     $ 18.63     $ 8.01     $ 33.37  
1 st Qtr 2006
    63.36       12.50       1.530       19.13       8.50       35.73  
2 nd Qtr 2006
    70.53       12.50       1.559       19.49       9.56       41.48  
 
                                               
Calendar 2005
                                               
4 th Qtr 2004
  $ 48.35     $ 12.00       1.471     $ 17.65     $ 6.29     $ 24.41  
1 st Qtr 2005
    49.70       12.25       1.477       18.09       6.49       25.12  
2 nd Qtr 2005
    53.09       12.25       1.497       18.34       6.98       27.77  
 
*   The amounts shown in this column are not affected by recent changes (described below) in the rate of the Alaska oil and gas production tax and the method of calculating Production Taxes for purposes of determining the Per Barrel Royalty.
“Royalty Production” for each day in a calendar quarter is 16.4246 percent of the first 90,000 barrels of the actual average daily net production of oil and condensate for the quarter from the parts of the Prudhoe Bay (Permo-Triassic) Reservoir allocated to the oil and gas leases owned by BP Alaska in the Prudhoe Bay Unit as of February 28, 1989 (the “BP Working Interests”). As long as BP Alaska’s average daily net production from the BP Working Interests in the Prudhoe Bay Unit exceeds 90,000 barrels, which BP Alaska currently projects will continue until the year 2012, the principal factors affecting the Trust’s revenues and distributions to Unit holders are changes in WTI Prices, scheduled annual increases in Chargeable Costs, changes in the Consumer Price Index and changes in Production Taxes. See, however, Item 1A in Part II of this report for information concerning the recent partial shutdown of the Prudhoe Bay field. BP Alaska reports that actual average daily net production from the BP Working Interests during the quarter ended September 30, 2006 was approximately 59,300 barrels per day.
On August 20, 2006 a new Alaska oil and gas production tax (the “New Tax”) became effective. The New Tax replaced an oil production tax levied at the flat rate of 15% of the gross value at the point of production of taxable oil produced from a producer’s leases or properties in the State of Alaska (the “Old Tax”) and is retroactive to April 1, 2006.
Under the New Tax, producers are taxed on the “production tax value of taxable oil” (gross value at the point of production for the calendar year less the producer’s direct costs of exploring for, developing, or producing oil or gas deposits located within the producer’s leases or properties in Alaska (“Lease Expenditures”) for the year) at a rate equal to the sum of 22.5% plus a “progressivity” rate determined by the average monthly production tax value of the oil produced. The progressivity portion of the New Tax is equal to 0.25% times the amount by which the simple average for each calendar month of the daily taxable values per barrel of the oil produced during the month exceeds $40 per barrel.

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Section 4.6 of the Conveyance provides that “Production Taxes” are the sum of any severance taxes, excise taxes (including windfall profit tax, if any), sales taxes, value added taxes or other similar or direct taxes imposed upon the reserves or production, delivery or sale of Royalty Production, computed at defined statutory rates. In the case of taxes based upon wellhead or field value, the Conveyance provides that the WTI Price less the product of $4.50 and the Cost Adjustment factor will be deemed to be the wellhead or field value.
In order to resolve uncertainties in the interpretation of Section 4.6 of the Conveyance resulting from the New Tax, the Trustee entered into a letter agreement with BP Alaska (the “Letter Agreement”) which is filed as Exhibit 4.5 to this report. The Letter Agreement sets forth consensus principles agreed by the parties to resolve two major issues presented by the New Tax: (1) how the amount of the New Tax chargeable against the Royalty Interest is to be determined under the Conveyance; and (2) the extent, if any, to which the retroactivity of the New Tax is to be recognized for purposes of the Conveyance (the “Consensus Principles”).
The Consensus Principles set forth in the Letter Agreement are the following:
1.   Calculation of the amount of New Tax chargeable against the Royalty Interest .
 
    The amount of New Tax chargeable against the Royalty Interest under the Conveyance will be determined as follows:
a) The taxable value per barrel equals the WTI Price minus the Chargeable Costs as adjusted by the Cost Adjustment Factor.
b) The tax rate for the “progressivity” portion of the New Tax equals 0.25 percentage points times the amount by which the simple average for each calendar month of the daily taxable values per barrel under “a)” above exceeds $40 per barrel. If that average taxable value per barrel is $40 or less, the “progressivity” rate is zero. The $40 figure is not subject to adjustment over time.
c) The amount of New Tax chargeable against the Royalty Interest equals the taxable value per barrel under “a)” above times the Royalty Production under the Conveyance, times a rate equal to the sum of 22.5% plus the “progressivity” rate determined under “b)” above.
2.   Retroactivity of the New Tax .
 
    The tax chargeable against the Royalty Interest for Prudhoe Bay oil produced during the period from April 1 to August 19, 2006, inclusive, is the amount of Old Tax as calculated under Section 4.6 of the Conveyance for that production. For Prudhoe Bay oil produced on August 20, 2006 and thereafter, the tax chargeable against the Royalty Interest under Section 4.6 is the amount of New Tax determined as prescribed in “1” above for that production. The “progressivity” rate under the New Tax for August 2006 will be calculated under “1.b)” above using the average of the daily WTI Prices for August 20 to August 31, 2006, inclusive.

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The following tables show the application of the Consensus Principles to the calculation of the royalty payment received by the Trust with respect to the third quarter of 2006:
Royalty Distribution Calculation**
                                 
    July 1 – Aug 19     Aug 20 – Aug 31     Sep 1 – Sep 30     Total  
WTI Price*
  $ 74.29     $ 71.40     $ 64.25          
Chargeable Costs
                               
x Cost Adj. Factor*
    (19.63 )     (19.63 )     (19.63 )        
Production Taxes*
    (10.11 )     (13.21 )     (10.60 )        
 
                         
Per Barrel Royalty*
    44.55       38.56       34.03          
Royalty Production
    486,972       116,873       292,183       896,028  
 
                       
Royalty Payment
  $ 21,694,561     $ 4,507,085     $ 9,943,352     $ 36,144,998  
 
                       
 
*   $/barrel
 
**   Certain numbers in the table have been rounded to two decimal places for this presentation and do not reflect the precision of the actual calculations.
Production Tax Calculation
                         
    July 1 – Aug 19     Aug 20 – Aug 31     Sep 1 – Sep 30  
WTI Price*
  $ 74.29     $ 71.40     $ 64.25  
Transportation ($4.50 x Cost Adj. Factor)*
    (7.07 )     (7.07 )     (7.07 )
 
                 
Wellhead or field value*
    67.22       64.33       57.18  
Lease Expenditures (Chargeable Costs – Transportation)*
            (12.56 )     (12.56 )
 
                   
Taxable value*
            51.77       44.62  
Statutory rate (see below)
    15 %     25.44 %     23.66 %
 
                 
AK production tax*
    10.08       13.17       10.56  
AK production tax surcharge*
    0.03       0.04       0.04  
 
                 
Production Taxes*
  $ 10.11     $ 13.21     $ 10.60  
 
                 
 
*   $/barrel
Progressivity Rate Calculation
                 
Monthly average taxable value*
  $ 51.77     $ 44.62  
Base for progressivity*
    40.00       40.00  
 
           
Excess value (>$40)*
    11.77       4.62  
Progressivity factor
    0.25 %     0.25 %
 
           
Progressivity rate
    2.94 %     1.16 %
Base rate
    22.50 %     22.50 %
 
           
Statutory rate
    25.44 %     23.66 %
 
           
 
*   $/barrel
Quarter Ended September 30, 2006 Compared to
Quarter Ended September 30, 2005
As explained above, Trust royalty revenues received during the third quarter of the fiscal year are based on Royalty Production during the second quarter of the fiscal year. As a consequence, royalty revenues received by the Trust in the third quarter were not affected by the partial shutdown of the Prudhoe Bay field, which commenced in August 2006, or by the enactment of the New Tax. Royalty revenues received by the Trust in the quarter ended September 30, 2006

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increased 49.4% from the revenues received in the corresponding quarter of 2005, due to a 32.9% period-to-period increase in the Average WTI Price from $53.09 per barrel during the quarter ended June 30, 2005 to $70.53 per barrel during the quarter ended June 30, 2006. A 14.9% period-to-period increase in total deductible costs from $25.32 per barrel to $29.08 per barrel was due principally to a 40.0% increase in Production Taxes chargeable with respect to the quarter ended June 30, 2006, and partially offset the effect of the increase in the Average WTI Price on the Trust's revenues.
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006 Compared to
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2005
Trust royalty revenues increased 43.0% in the nine months ended September 30, 2006 over the corresponding period in 2005, reflecting the cumulative effect of increases in revenues received during the last quarter of 2005 and the first two quarters of 2006 over revenues received during the corresponding periods of 2004 and 2005. The revenue increase resulted from continued increases in Average WTI Prices during recent periods, which averaged $64.63 per barrel during the nine months ended June 30, 2006 compared to an average of $50.38 per barrel during the nine months ended June 30, 2005. A 12.8% increase in average total deductible costs charged during the three quarters ended June 30, 2006 over the corresponding average deductible costs during the three quarters ended June 30, 2005, due principally to increases in Production Taxes, partially offset the effect of the increases in the Average WTI Prices per barrel on the Trust’s revenues.
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
The Trust is a passive entity and except for the Trust’s ability to borrow money as necessary to pay liabilities of the Trust that cannot be paid out of cash on hand, the Trust is prohibited from engaging in borrowing transactions. The Trust periodically holds short-term investments acquired with funds held by the Trust pending distribution to Unit holders and funds held in reserve for the payment of Trust expenses and liabilities. Because of the short-term nature of these investments and limitations on the types of investments which may be held by the Trust, the Trust is not subject to any material interest rate risk. The Trust does not engage in transactions in foreign currencies which could expose the Trust or Unit holders to any foreign currency related market risk or invest in derivative financial instruments. It has no foreign operations and holds no long-term debt instruments.
Item 4. Controls and Procedures .
Disclosure Controls and Procedures
The Trustee has disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rule 13a-15(e) and Rule 15d-15(e) under the Exchange Act) that are designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by the Trust in the reports that it files or submits under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”) is recorded, processed, summarized and reported, within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms. These controls and procedures include but are not limited to controls and procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by the Trust in the reports that it files or submits under the Exchange Act is

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accumulated and communicated to the responsible trust officers of the Trustee to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure.
Under the terms of the Trust Agreement and the Conveyance, BP Alaska has significant disclosure and reporting obligations to the Trust. BP Alaska is required to provide the Trust such information concerning the Royalty Interest as the Trustee may need and to which BP Alaska has access to permit the Trust to comply with any reporting or disclosure obligations of the Trust pursuant to applicable law and the requirements of any stock exchange on which the Units are issued. These reporting obligations include furnishing the Trust a report by February 28 of each year containing all information of a nature, of a standard and in a form consistent with the requirements of the SEC respecting the inclusion of reserve and reserve valuation information in filings under the Exchange Act and with applicable accounting rules. The report is required to set forth, among other things, BP Alaska’s estimates of future net cash flows from proved reserves attributable to the Royalty Interest, the discounted present value of such proved reserves, the assumptions utilized in arriving at the estimates contained in the report, and the estimate of the quantities of proved reserves (including reductions of proved reserves as a result of modification of BP Alaska’s estimates of proved reserves from prior years) added during the preceding year to the total proved reserves allocated to the BP Working Interests as of December 31, 1987.
In addition, the Conveyance gives the Trust and its independent accountants certain rights to inspect the books and records of BP Alaska and discuss the affairs, finances and accounts of BP Alaska relating to the BP Working Interests with representatives of BP Alaska; it also requires BP Alaska to provide the Trust with such other information as the Trustee may reasonably request from time to time and to which BP Alaska has access.
The Trustee’s disclosure controls and procedures include ensuring that the Trust receives the information and reports that BP Alaska is required to furnish to the Trust on a timely basis, that the appropriate responsible personnel of the Trustee examine such information and reports, and that information requested from and provided by BP Alaska is included in the reports that the Trust files or submits under the Exchange Act.
As of the end of the period covered by this report, the trust officers of the Trustee responsible for the administration of the Trust conducted an evaluation of the Trust’s disclosure controls and procedures. Their evaluation considered, among other things, that the Trust Agreement and the Conveyance impose enforceable legal obligations on BP Alaska, and that BP Alaska has provided the information required by those agreements and other information requested by the Trustee from time to time on a timely basis. The officers concluded that the Trust’s disclosure controls and procedures are effective.
Internal Control Over Financial Reporting
There has not been any change in the Trust’s internal control over financial reporting identified in connection with the evaluation required by paragraph (d) of Rule 13a-15 or Rule 15d-15 under the Exchange Act that occurred during the Trust’s last fiscal quarter that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the Trust’s internal control over financial reporting.

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PART II
OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. Legal Proceedings.
None.
Item 1A. Risk Factors
          1. The following paragraphs replace a risk factor described in Part II, Item 1A in the Trust’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2006 which appears under the heading “Bills pending in the Alaska Legislature to repeal Alaska’s current oil production tax and provide for a new basis of taxation on the production of oil may result in higher production tax deductions from royalty payments to the Trust” :
  §   Distributions by the Trust will be affected by amendments to the Alaska oil and gas production tax.
     On August 20, 2006, a new Alaska oil and gas production tax (the “New Tax”) became effective. The New Tax replaced an oil production tax levied at the flat rate of 15% of the gross value at the point of production of taxable oil produced from a producer’s leases or properties in the State of Alaska (the “Old Tax”).
     Under the New Tax, producers are taxed on the “production tax value of taxable oil” (gross value at the point of production for the calendar year less the producer’s direct costs of exploring for, developing, or producing oil or gas deposits located within the producer’s leases or properties in Alaska (“Lease Expenditures”) for the year) at a rate equal to the sum of 22.5% plus a “progressivity” rate determined by the average monthly production tax value of the oil produced. The progressivity portion of the New Tax is equal to 0.25% times the amount by which the simple average for each calendar month of the daily taxable values per barrel of the oil produced during the month exceeds $40 per barrel.
      As a consequence of the enactment of the New Tax, the payment by BP Alaska of the Per Barrel Royalty to the Trust with respect to the quarter ended September 30, 2006 was lower than it would have been under the Old Tax and the Trustee expects that future royalty payments also will be reduced. The magnitude of the effect of the New Tax on royalty payments for any quarter cannot be predicted due to the progressivity feature of the New Tax. See the “Trustee’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Part I, Item 2 of this report for a discussion of the application of the New Tax to the calculation of the Per Barrel Royalty.
          2. The following paragraph supplements a risk factor described in Part II, Item 1A of the Trust’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2006 which appears under the heading “The shutdown of the Prudhoe Bay oil field may result in materially reduced distributions or no quarterly distributions to Unitholders for an indefinite period” :

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     Although BP announced on August 7, 2006 that BP Alaska had commenced a shutdown of the entire Prudhoe Bay field, BP subsequently determined to shut down only the Eastern Operating Area of the field and continue production from the Western Operating Area. The partial shutdown of the Prudhoe Bay field reduced average daily production from the field to approximately half of normal output. On September 22, 2006, BP announced that it had received clearance from the U.S. Department of Transportation to restart production in the Eastern Operating Area. The Anchorage Daily News reported on October 28, 2006 that Prudhoe Bay output has returned to its pre-shutdown level of over 400,000 barrels per day.
Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds.
None.
Item 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities.
None.
Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders.
None.
Item 5. Other Information.
  (a)   Not applicable.
 
  (b)   Not applicable.

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Item 6. Exhibits.
4.1   BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust Agreement dated February 28, 1989 among The Standard Oil Company, BP Exploration (Alaska) Inc., The Bank of New York, Trustee, and F. James Hutchinson, Co-Trustee.
 
4.2   Overriding Royalty Conveyance dated February 27, 1989 between BP Exploration (Alaska) Inc. and The Standard Oil Company.
 
4.3   Trust Conveyance dated February 28, 1989 between The Standard Oil Company and BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust.
 
4.4   Support Agreement dated as of February 28, 1989 among The British Petroleum Company p.l.c., BP Exploration (Alaska) Inc., The Standard Oil Company and BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust.
 
4.5   Letter agreement dated October 13, 2006 between BP Exploration (Alaska) Inc. and The Bank of New York, as Trustee.
 
31   Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) Certification.
 
32   Section 1350 Certification.

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SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
         
    BP PRUDHOE BAY ROYALTY TRUST
 
       
 
  By:   THE BANK OF NEW YORK,
 
      as Trustee
 
       
 
  By:   /s/ Remo Reale
 
       
 
      Remo Reale
 
      Vice President
 
       
Date: November 9, 2006
       
The registrant is a trust and has no officers or persons performing similar functions. No additional signatures are available and none have been provided.

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INDEX TO EXHIBITS
     
Exhibit   Exhibit
No.   Description
*4.1
  BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust Agreement dated February 28, 1989 among The Standard Oil Company, BP Exploration (Alaska) Inc., The Bank of New York, Trustee, and F. James Hutchinson, Co-Trustee.
 
   
*4.2
  Overriding Royalty Conveyance dated February 27, 1989 between BP Exploration (Alaska) Inc. and The Standard Oil Company.
 
   
*4.3
  Trust Conveyance dated February 28, 1989 between The Standard Oil Company and BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust.
 
   
*4.4
  Support Agreement dated as of February 28, 1989 among The British Petroleum Company p.l.c., BP Exploration (Alaska) Inc., The Standard Oil Company and BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust.
 
   
**4.5
  Letter agreement dated October 13, 2006 between BP Exploration (Alaska) Inc. and The Bank of New York, as Trustee.
 
   
**31.
  Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) Certification.
 
   
**32
  Section 1350 Certification.
 
*   Incorporated by reference to the correspondingly numbered exhibit to the registrant’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 1996 (Commission File No. 1-10243).
 
**   Filed herewith.

 

 

Exhibit 4.5
bp   (BP EXPLORATION (ALASKA) INC. LOGO)
     
Maureen L. Johnson
   
BPXA Senior Vice President
  BP Exploration (Alaska) Inc.
Greater Prudhoe Bay
  900 E. Benson Boulevard
 
  Anchorage, Alaska 99508
 
   
 
  Tel: (907) 564 5671
 
  Fax: (907) 564 5000
 
  Email: johnsml@bp.com
VIA OVERNIGHT MAIL &
AS A SCANNED ATTACHMENT TO E-MAIL
October 11, 2006
Ms. Ming J. Ryan, Vice President
The Bank of New York
101 Barclay Street
New York, NY 10286
     Re: BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust
Dear Ms. Ryan:
This is to confirm the consensus principles that have been developed with The Bank of New York (“Bank”), as Trustee of the BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (“Trust”), for applying the Alaska oil and gas production tax (“New Tax”), as amended by chapter 2, Third Special Session Laws of Alaska 2006 (“Act”), in the context of the Overriding Royalty Conveyance (“Conveyance”) and the overriding royalty interest (“ORRI”) thereunder that is owned by the Trust. These principles would resolve the two major issues presented by the Act: one, how the amount of New Tax chargeable against the ORRI will be determined under the Conveyance; and two, the extent, if any, to which the retroactivity of the New Tax under the Act is to be recognized for purposes of the Conveyance.
We understand the consensus principles to be the following:
  1.   Calculation of the amount of New Tax chargeable against the ORRI . The amount of New Tax chargeable against the Trust’s ORRI under the Conveyance will be determined as follows:
  a)   The taxable value per barrel equals the WTI Price determined under Section 4.3 of the conveyance, 1 minus the Chargeable Costs under Section 4.4 as adjusted by the Cost Adjustment Factor under Section 4.5.
 
1   All references herein to a “Section” with a capital “S” refer to the corresponding section of the Conveyance unless otherwise specifically noted.

 


 

Ms. Ming J. Ryan, Vice President
The Bank of New York
October 11, 2006
Page 2
  b)   The tax rate for the “progressivity” portion of the New Tax under section 011(g), enacted by § 5 of the Act, in chapter 55 of Title 43 of the Alaska Statutes 2 equals 0.25 percentage points times the amount by which the simple average for each calendar month of the daily taxable values per barrel under “a)” above exceeds $40 per barrel. If that average taxable value per barrel is $40 or less, the “progressivity” rate is zero. The $40 figure is not subject to adjustment over time.
 
  c)   The amount of New Tax chargeable against the ORRI equals the taxable value per barrel under “a)” above times the Royalty Production as defined in Article One of the Conveyance, times a rate equal to the sum of 22.5% plus the “progressivity” rate determined under “b)” above.
  2.   Retroactivity of the New Tax . The tax chargeable against the ORRI under Section 4.6 for Prudhoe Bay oil produced during the period from April 1 to August 19, 2006, inclusive, is the amount of Old Tax as calculated under Section 4.6 for that production. For Prudhoe Bay oil produced on August 20, 2006 and thereafter, the tax chargeable against the ORRI under Section 4.6 is the amount of New Tax determined as prescribed in “1.” above for that production. The “progressivity” rate under the New Tax for August 2006 will be calculated under “1.b)” above using the average of the daily WTI Prices under Section 4.3 of the Conveyance for August 20 — 31, 2006, inclusive. 3
BP Exploration (Alaska) Inc. (“BPXA”), as Grantor of the Trust, agrees to these principles, not only because they represent the best interpretation of the Conveyance in light of the Act, but also because they offer the most reasonable and fair resolution of the issues for all interested parties, including the holders of beneficial Units in the Trust. These principles also preserve the historical nature and perception of those Units by investors on the New York Stock Exchange and in other markets where the Units may be bought and sold.
Assuming the Bank agrees to and approves the consensus principles set out above, we believe it is important, for those who will be implementing the terms of this agreement in the future, that BPXA explain and document within this letter why we (and, we believe, the Bank as well) view this agreement as the optimal outcome.
With respect to the computation of the amount of New Tax chargeable against the ORRI under Section 4.6 of the Conveyance, we believe the agreement reflects the best of the identified alternatives available for each of the significant aspects of this major issue. Significant among those aspects are the following:
 
2   Cited as “AS 43.55.011(g)”.
 
3   Governor Frank Murkowski signed the Act into law on August 19, 2006. Pursuant to AS 01.10.070(c), the Act took effect August 20, the day after the governor signed it.

 


 

Ms. Ming J. Ryan, Vice President
The Bank of New York
October 11, 2006
Page 3
  A.   Determination of the taxable value under the New Tax for purposes of the Conveyance
The actual taxable value under the New Tax is calculated by starting with the spot price for Alaska North Slope crude oil (“ANS”) delivered on the U.S. West Coast, and subtracting from that spot price the actual costs of transportation to the West Coast from the “point of production” at the field. 4 From this “field value” are then subtracted the capital and operating expenditures incurred in the course of operating, developing and producing the field, and the result is the taxable “production tax value” (“PTV”). 5
None of these tax values and tax-deductible costs appears in the Conveyance. Even for the prior version (“Old Tax”) of Alaska’s oil and gas production tax — which was based on the same value of oil at its “point of production” 6 — the Conveyance did not calculate the amount of Old Tax chargeable against the ORRI on the basis of the ANS spot prices and actual transportation costs being used to calculate the amount of the real tax. Instead, Section 4.6 called for the use of the WTI Price under Section 4.3 and the use of flat $4.50/barrel (adjusted by the Cost Adjustment Factor under Section 4.5) as proxies for the actual ANS West Coast spot prices and transportation costs under the Old Tax. This allowed the chargeable Old Tax to be a function of WTI Price the same as the ORRI itself (see “C.” below at pp. 6-7).
Since taxable value under the New Tax is simply the taxable value at the “point of production” under the Old Tax minus field expenditures, it is reasonable 7 to continue to use the methodology under Section 4.6 to find the value at the “point of production” for the New Tax that was used for the Old Tax. This leaves the question of what to use as the deductible field expenditures in computing the chargeable New Tax under the Conveyance.
 
4   The “point of production” for ANS is the custody transfer meters from the field facilities into the facilities of the oil pipeline serving the field from which the oil is produced. See AS 43.55.900(27)(A), enacted in § 33 of the Act.
 
5   See AS 43.55.160(a) (defining “production tax value) and AS 43.55.165 — 43.55.170 (defining deductible field expenditures), both enacted by § 25 of the Act.
 
6   See section 900(a)(6)(A) of chapter 55 in Title 15 of the Alaska Administrative Code (Register 165, April 2003) (defining “point of production” for oil). This regulation is cited as 15 AAC 55.900(a)(6)(A).
 
7   It seems the Conveyance requires the Section 4.6 methodology to continue to be used for the New Tax. Section 4.6 says in part, “In the case of taxes based upon well head or field value, WTI Price less the product of $4.50 times the Cost Adjustment Factor shall be deemed to be the wellhead or field value.” The New Tax uses the same value at the “point of production” as the Old Tax, and thus the WTI Price minus $4.50 (adjusted) “shall be deemed to be” that value. It is unlikely that the New Tax is not “based upon” that “field value” simply because field expenditures are deducted from it: those deductions mean the New Tax is not levied directly upon that “field value”, but it seems a stretch to say that the effect of those deductions means the New Tax is not “based upon” — in the sense of being derived from — that same “field value”.

 


 

Ms. Ming J. Ryan, Vice President
The Bank of New York
October 11, 2006
Page 4
Two alternatives readily present themselves. One is to use the same field expenditures that BPXA will report for Prudhoe Bay under the New Tax. There are several drawbacks to this. For one thing, the field expenditures to be reported each month are estimates based on what the total deductible expenditures will be for the entire calendar year. Before the year ends it is impossible to know what the actual total expenditures will come to. The New Tax calls for a final reconciliation, by March 31 of the following year, of each month’s estimated deductible expenditures to the actual total expenditures for the year. 8  This estimation and reconciliation process will mean one or more restatements of the lease expenditures deducted in calculating the New Tax chargeable against the ORRI. Owners of beneficial Units in the Trust will have to be provided explanations of the changes each time such a restatement is made. In addition, in the course of these estimates and subsequent adjustments some Units will change hands, either to the advantage of the seller and disadvantage of the buyer, or vice versa, depending on whether the adjustments increase or decrease the amount of New Tax chargeable against the ORRI. Although Sections 3.2 and 3.3 address over- and under-payments of ORRI, they do so as an issue between the Trust and Grantor in order to keep them whole in light of the time-value of money, rather than addressing the issue of disparities between holders of Units in the Trust at different times relative to the times when adjustments are made for over- or under-payments. 9
Moreover, basing the chargeable New Tax on field expenditures actually deducted would introduce a new parameter into the calculation of the ORRI payments to the Trust and distributed to the beneficial Unit owners — the budget decisions of the working-interest owners in the Prudhoe Bay field. Unlike WTI spot prices, which Trust Unit owners can estimate for themselves, the Prudhoe Bay budget is something that the working-interest owners determine annually on the basis of the opportunities and economic conditions prevailing at that time, and even if they could be reliably predicted in advance, those budgets are not public information in any event. Thus, using actual field expenditures would introduce an element into the ORRI-payment equation that Trust Unit holders would generally know almost nothing about. But that new parameter would affect the Unit holders in two ways: changing the taxable
 
8   See AS 43.55.030, as amended by §§ 19 and 20 of the Act.
 
9   When over- and under-payments are rare, as they have been historically in the operation of the Conveyance, such disparities among Trust Unit holders may be ignored as too infrequent to be a material concern for investors in the Trust Units. But if over- and under-payments are to become frequent, if not regular, occurrences — as they would if actual field expenditures reported for tax purposes were used to calculate the New Tax chargeable against the ORRI — then the disparities will become endemic, if not systemic, and should be addressed. But resolving them would not be easy. Either recent buyers of Trust Units would end up paying for the recoupment of overpaid ORRI when the estimated field expenditures turn out to have been too high and the resulting chargeable New Tax too low, or the overpaid ORRI would have to be recovered from the former Unit owners who shared in that payment. Either way, potential investors in Trust Units could object. The consensus principles avoid these difficulties by minimizing the potential for over- or under-payments to occur.

 


 

Ms. Ming J. Ryan, Vice President
The Bank of New York
October 11, 2006
Page 5
value upon which the New Tax is based, and changing the rate of “progressivity” if that taxable value is greater than $40/barrel.
The alternative to using the actual field expenditures would be to use a proxy or surrogate for the actual expenditures, most preferably something already in the Conveyance. As it turns out, there is such a potential proxy. For all but the years 1989 — 1991, the figures for annual Chargeable Costs per barrel appearing in the table in Section 4.4 are greater than the $4.50/barrel being used as a proxy for transportation costs in determining the “field value” under Section 4.6. Logically, to the extent the tabulated Chargeable Costs for a year are greater than $4.50/barrel, that excess cannot be for any costs between the “point of production” and the West Coast since the $4.50 allowance already covers those costs. Thus, the only thing remaining that the Chargeable Cost in excess of $4.50 might be for is costs incurred upstream of the “point of production” — that is, costs incurred in the operation of the field.
This idea that part of the annual Chargeable Costs figures set out in Section 4.4 could be for upstream costs is supported by the fact that Section 4.4(a) — (c) provides for reductions to the tabulated Chargeable Cost figures if certain additions to Proved Reserves fail to be made by their respective deadlines. Obviously, to add to Proved Reserves as contemplated in Section 4.4 would (and did) require the new investment of considerable sums of money as well as increased costs for operating those new investments. The “excess” Chargeable Costs figures beyond $4.50 could well be seen as a recognition of and response to those significant new investments and expenses.
For 2006 the Chargeable Costs figure tabulated in Section 4.4 is $12.50, which after adjustment by the Cost Adjustment Factor for the Third Quarter is $19.63/barrel. Our current estimate of the 2006 operating and capital expenditures for Prudhoe Bay Unit operations, of which the initial participating areas are the largest part, and for transportation of Prudhoe Bay oil is $16 — $17 per barrel. Thus, using the adjusted Chargeable Costs for this year would result in less New Tax being charged against the ORRI than using our actual transportation and field-operation costs.
It must be acknowledged that the adjusted Chargeable Costs in the future may not always be greater than the actual field expenditures that BPXA would be deducting in computing its actual New Tax for the Prudhoe Bay field. In fact, we believe there is a significant possibility that in some years the adjusted Chargeable Costs would be less than BPXA’s actual Prudhoe Bay field expenditures, and in that event, the amount of New Tax chargeable against the ORRI under the present agreement would be greater than the actual New Tax being paid, and hence the ORRI payment would be less than it would have been using the actual field costs incurred. Whether this would happen, and if so, when or how often it might happen, would depend on future circumstances at that time 10 that cannot be predicted now.
 
10   Such circumstances might include (without being limited to) estimated capital and operating costs of particular new projects; expectations about then-future oil and gas price trends; whether and when the commercial development of natural gas on the North Slope might occur and its associated transportation

 


 

Ms. Ming J. Ryan, Vice President
The Bank of New York
October 11, 2006
Page 6
  B.   Determining the “progressivity” rate in the New Tax
“Progressivity” is a function of the extent to which the taxable PTV value of oil is greater than $40/barrel. The discussion just concluded above about determining the PTV value for calculating the amount of New Tax to be charged against the ORRI also applies here. The certainty in determining the taxable value that is gained by using adjusted Chargeable Costs as a proxy for actual transportation costs and field expenditures is matched by a similar certainty with respect to the “progressivity” rate. In other words, while the actual costs will be subject to the annual reconciliation by March 31 of the following year, the amount of the Chargeable Costs will be known at the time the ORRI payments are made to the Trust, and there will be nothing further for them to be reconciled to.
The use of a monthly average of WTI Prices to calculate a monthly “progressivity” rate, instead of calculating and applying a daily “progressivity” rate, is how that rate is required to be calculated under AS 43.55.011(g). The use of such a monthly “progressivity” rate, instead of a daily rate, to compute the daily ORRI amount net of chargeable New Tax is not inconsistent with Section 4.1.
“Progressivity” is a function of the extent to which the taxable PTV value of oil is greater than $40/barrel. The discussion contained in paragraph “A.” above about determining the PTV value for calculating the amount of New Tax to be charged against the ORRI also applies here. The certainty in determining the taxable value that is gained by using adjusted Chargeable Costs as a proxy for actual transportation costs and field expenditures is matched by a similar certainty with respect to the “progressivity” rate. In other words, while the actual costs will be subject to the annual reconciliation by March 31 of the following year, the amount of the Chargeable Costs will be known at the time the ORRI payments are made to the Trust, and there will be nothing further for them to be reconciled to.
  C.   Preserving the perceived nature of the Trust Units in the market
We believe that since the Trust Units were first publicly offered, they have been perceived by many in the market as a means for them to make an investment reflecting their expectations about oil price trends. This is because the only variables affecting the amount of the ORRI payments to the Trust have been the spot price for WTI and one’s expectations about the rate of inflation in the future as reflected in the Cost Adjustment Factor. All the other factors in the calculation are fixed under the Conveyance, and it has been possible to compute what the ORRI payment as far into the future as one might want, just on the basis of one’s assumptions about WTI prices
 
infrastructure to market be built; technical and economic success in developing and applying new technology, and using existing technology in new ways, to produce viscous crude oil; and the willingness of other working-interest owners of the Prudhoe Bay field to commit to such investments and expenditures.

 


 

Ms. Ming J. Ryan, Vice President
The Bank of New York
October 11, 2006
Page 7
and inflation. 11
This perception of the Trust Units will be maintained under the agreement. As before, the factors affecting the amount of future ORRI payments are future WTI prices, future inflation, and the volume of oil production subject to the ORRI. 11
  D.   Certainty
The agreement avoids uncertainties about the amount of ORRI payments under the New Tax. The WTI prices and adjusted Chargeable Costs will be definitively known under this agreement before the ORRI payments are made to the Trust. Apart from error, there will be no occasion or necessity to recompute any of the variable parameters affecting the calculation of the ORRI payments. This will be very different from the actual administration of the New Tax itself.
In addition to the foregoing considerations about how the New Tax is to be applied for purposes of the Conveyance, the other major issue regarding the enactment of the New Tax is its retroactivity under the Act, which makes the New Tax applicable to oil and gas production beginning April 1, 2006. In this regard we acknowledge, as representatives of the Bank have pointed out, that Section 4.1 provides in pertinent part:
The Royalty Interest entitles Grantee to receive ... for each calendar quarter ... the sum of the product for each day in such quarter of (1) the Royalty Production and (2) the Per Barrel Royalty .... [Emphasis added]
We agree that this calls for a daily calculation of a “product” that is, in effect, a calculation under the Conveyance of the contractual amount of the ORRI payment obligation arising for each respective day during a given calendar quarter.
With respect to the retroactivity of the New Tax, therefore, the amount of tax chargeable against the ORRI was determined contractually under Section 4.6 on the basis of the Alaska tax law in effect in real time on each day beginning April 1 st of this year. Thus, when the Act came into effect on August 20 th and thereupon became retroactive to April 1 st , the contractual amounts of “daily” chargeable tax under Section 4.6 had already been determined for the days prior to August 20, and those determinations had been made on the basis of the Old Tax. The Act does not purport to alter the contractual obligations arising under the Conveyance prior to August 20 when the Act came into effect, and even if it did, it could not alter them under the Impairment of Contracts clauses of the United
 
11   Until the third quarter of 2006, the volume of oil being produced had never varied as a factor in the computation of the ORRI payment. For the first time it will be a factor affecting the amount of the payment that is about to be made for the Third Quarter of 2006. As a result, anyone computing the amount of the ORRI payment in the future will need to make an explicit assumption about the volume of production subject to the ORRI.

 


 

Ms. Ming J. Ryan, Vice President
The Bank of New York
October 11, 2006
Page 8
States and Alaska constitutions. 12
We concur with the view expressed by the Bank’s representatives that the foregoing analysis regarding the Act’s retroactivity in the context of the Conveyance represents the best interpretation of the Conveyance and the most defensible position on this issue of retroactivity.
Accordingly, when the New Tax did become applicable and chargeable against the ORRI beginning August 20 th , the most appropriate and fairest way to apply the “progressivity” portion of the New Tax is to treat the period of August 20 — 31, when the New Tax was applicable, as a “month” for purposes of determining the “progressivity” rate. If the chargeable tax for the days in August before the 20 th was indeed contractually determined in real time each day under the Old Tax, then when the New Tax becomes applicable on the 20 th , those prior days in August do not exist for purposes of the calculating the amount of New Tax chargeable against the ORRI, and the effect is the same as if Prudhoe Bay were first coming into production on that date. It would be inconsistent to include those prior August days for purposes of computing the “progressivity” rate for the portion of August when the New Tax is chargeable.
I am signing and mailing to you two counterpart originals of this letter. If the statement of our understanding of the consensus principles, appearing on pp. 1-2 of this letter, does indeed accurately state the Bank’s understanding of and agreement with them, please have a duly authorized officer of the Bank execute the “AGREEMENT AND APPROVAL” appearing below on behalf of the Bank in each counterpart, and then kindly send one fully executed counterpart original back to me for BPXA’s records. The other will be for the Bank’s records. As an interim confirmation pending my receipt of the original counterpart, I would ask you to email a scanned copy of it to Mark Dennehy, who has been in direct contact with you previously regarding this matter.
BPXA believes the understanding and agreement to the consensus principles as outlined in this letter is a fair and reasonable resolution to the issues raised by applying the New Tax in the context of the Conveyance. However, it is recognized there may be issues outside the matters contained in this letter affecting the Trust Unit holders’ and BPXA’s interests. This letter and the understanding of and agreement to the consensus principles between the Bank, as Trustee, and BPXA, are not intended to waive any other rights, obligations or remedies available to them under law or the BP Prudhoe Bay Trust. Further, in the event of future amendments or changes to Alaska’s oil and gas production tax laws, or should the understanding of and agreement to the consensus principles on pp. 1-2 be invalidated by operation of law or by a court of competent jurisdiction, BPXA and
 
12   Article I, section 10, clause 1, United States Constitution; Article I, section 15, Alaska State Constitution.

 


 

Ms. Ming J. Ryan, Vice President
The Bank of New York
October 11, 2006
Page 9
the Bank, as Trustee, expressly agree to reserve all rights, powers and remedies, they may have available to them under law or the BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust.
On behalf of BPXA, I should like to take this opportunity to express our thanks and appreciation to the Bank and its representatives for the attention and constructive cooperation shown in seeking and achieving a resolution to these issues that is reasonable and fair from all perspectives for those concerned.
         
  Very truly yours,
BP Exploration (Alaska) Inc.
 
 
  -S- MAUREEN L. JOHNSON    
  Maureen L. Johnson   
  BPXA Senior Vice President
Greater Prudhoe Bay 
 
 
AGREEMENT AND APPROVAL I, the undersigned, certify that I am an officer of The Bank of New York (“Bank”) duly authorized to execute this AGREEMENT AND APPROVAL, and in such capacity, I hereby acknowledge that the consensus principles have been accurately and fully set forth on pages 1 - 2 of the foregoing letter, and do agree to and approve those principles on behalf of the Bank, as Trustee of the BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust.
         
  The Bank of New York
Trustee of the BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust

 
 
  By  -S- MING J. RYAN    
  Name  MING J. RYAN
  Title  VICE PRESIDENT
  Date  10/13/06

 

 

EXHIBIT 31
CERTIFICATION
I, Remo Reale, certify that:
1.   I have reviewed this quarterly report on Form 10-Q of BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust, for which The Bank of New York acts as Trustee;
 
2.   Based on my knowledge, this report does not contain any untrue statement of material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the period covered by this report;
 
3.   Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in this report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition, cash earnings and distributions and changes in the Trust corpus of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented in this report;
 
4.   I am responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act rules 13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f)) for the registrant and I have:
  (a)   Designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls and procedures to be designed under my supervision, to ensure that material information relating to the registrant is made known to me by others within that entity, particularly during the period in which this report is being prepared;
 
  (b)   Designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal control over financial reporting to be designed under my supervision, to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles;
 
  (c)   Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrant’s disclosure controls and procedures and presented in this report my conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls and procedures, as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such evaluation; and
 
  (d)   Disclosed in this report any change in the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the registrant’s most recent fiscal quarter (the registrant’s fourth fiscal quarter in the case of an annual report) that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting; and

 


 

5.   I have disclosed, based on my most recent evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrant’s auditors:
  (a)   All significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect the registrant’s ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information; and
 
  (b)   Any fraud, whether or not material, that involves persons who have a significant role in the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting.
         
Date: November 9, 2006
  By:   /s/ Remo Reale
 
       
 
      Remo Reale
 
      Vice President
 
      The Bank of New York

2

 

EXHIBIT 32
CERTIFICATION PURSUANT TO SECTION 906 OF THE
SARBANES-OXLEY ACT OF 2002, 18 U.S.C. SECTION 1350
The undersigned, Remo Reale, is an authorized officer of The Bank of New York, the trustee of BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (the “registrant”).
This statement is being furnished in connection with the filing by the registrant of the registrant’s report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended September 30, 2006 (the “Report”).
By execution of this statement, I certify that:
  (A)   the Report fully complies with the requirements of Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and
 
  (B)   the information contained in the Report fairly presents, in all material respects, the financial condition and results of operations of the registrant as of the dates and for the periods covered by the Report.
Date: November 9, 2006
     
 
  /s/ Remo Reale
 
   
 
  Remo Reale
 
  Vice President