Since the
offering of US12OF units to the public on December 6, 2007 to December 31, 2008,
the simple average daily change in its benchmark oil futures contract was
-0.315%, while the simple average daily change in the NAV of US12OF over the
same time period was -0.323%. The average daily difference was 0.007% (or 0.7
basis points, where 1 basis point equals 1/100 of 1%). As a percentage of the
daily movement of the benchmark oil futures contract, the average error in daily
tracking by the NAV was 0.024%, meaning that over this time period US12OF’s
tracking error was within the plus or minus 10% range established as its
benchmark tracking goal.
USHO is a
commodity pool and issues units traded on the NYSE Arca. The investment
objective of USHO is to have the changes in percentage terms of its units’ NAV
reflect the changes in percentage terms of the price of heating oil for delivery
to the New York harbor, as measured by the changes in the price of the futures
contract on heating oil traded on the NYMEX, less USHO’s expenses. USHO may
invest in a mixture of listed heating oil futures contracts, other non-listed
heating oil-related investments, Treasuries, cash and cash equivalents. USHO’s
units began trading on April 9, 2008 and are offered on a continuous basis. As
of December 31, 2008, the total amount of money raised by USHO from its
authorized purchasers was $17,556,271; the total number of authorized purchasers
of USHO was 4; the number of baskets purchased by authorized purchasers of USHO
was 4; and the aggregate amount of units purchased was 400,000. USHO employs an
investment strategy in its operations that is similar to the investment strategy
of UGA, except that its benchmark is the near month contract for heating oil
delivered to the New York harbor.
Since the
offering of USHO units to the public on April 9, 2008 to December 31, 2008, the
simple average daily change in its benchmark futures contract was -0.720%, while
the simple average daily change in the NAV of USHO over the same time period was
-0.715%. The average daily difference was -0.005% (or -0.5 basis points, where 1
basis point equals 1/100 of 1%). As a percentage of the daily movement of the
benchmark futures contract, the average error in daily tracking by the NAV was
-0.681%, meaning that over this time period USHO’s tracking error was within the
plus or minus 10% range established as its benchmark tracking goal.
The
General Partner has filed a registration statement for two other exchange traded
security funds, USSO and US12NG. The investment objective of USSO would be to
have the changes in percentage terms of its units’ NAV to inversely reflect the
changes in the spot price of light, sweet crude oil delivered to Cushing,
Oklahoma, as measured by the changes in percentage terms of the price of the
futures contract on light, sweet crude oil as traded on the NYMEX. The
investment objective of US12NG would be to have the changes in percentage terms
of its units’ NAV reflect the changes in percentage terms of the price of
natural gas delivered at the Henry Hub, Louisiana, as measured by the changes in
the average of the prices of 12 futures contracts on natural gas traded on the
NYMEX, consisting of the near month contract to expire and the contracts for the
following 11 months, for a total of 12 consecutive months’
contracts.
There are
significant differences between investing in UGA and the Related Public Funds
and investing directly in the futures market. The General Partner’s results with
UGA and the Related Public Funds may not be representative of results that may
be experienced with a fund directly investing in futures contracts or other
managed funds investing in futures contracts. Moreover, given the different
investment objectives of UGA and the Related Public Funds, the performance of
UGA may not be representative of results that may be experienced by the other
Related Public Funds. For more information on the performance of the Related
Public Funds, see the Performance Tables below.
USOF
:
Experience
in Raising and Investing in Funds through December 31, 2008
PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
Dollar
Amount Offered in USOF Offering*:
|
|
$
|
23,384,630,000
|
|
Dollar
Amount Raised in USOF Offering:
|
|
$
|
18,578,175,328
|
|
Organizational
and Offering Expenses**:
|
|
|
|
|
SEC registration
fee:
|
|
$
|
1,522,485
|
|
FINRA registration
fee:
|
|
$
|
528,000
|
|
Listing
fee:
|
|
$
|
5,000
|
|
Auditor’s fees and
expenses:
|
|
$
|
193,350
|
|
Legal fees and
expenses:
|
|
$
|
1,506,565
|
|
Printing
expenses:
|
|
$
|
292,126
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Length
of USOF Offering:
|
|
Continuous
|
|
*
|
Reflects
the offering price per unit set forth on the cover page of the
registration statement registering such units filed with the
SEC.
|
**
|
Amounts
are for organizational and offering expenses incurred in connection with
the offerings from April 10, 2006 through December 31, 2008. Through
December 31, 2006, these expenses were paid for by an affiliate of the
General Partner in connection with the initial public offering. Following
December 31, 2006, USOF has borne the expenses related to the offering of
its units.
|
Compensation
to the General Partner and Other Compensation
Expenses
paid by USOF through December 31, 2008 in dollar terms:
Expenses:
|
|
Amount in Dollar Terms
|
|
Amount
Paid to General
Partner in USOF Offering
:
|
|
$
|
9,141,311
|
|
Amount Paid in Portfolio Brokerage Commissions in USOF Offering:
|
|
$
|
3,271,301
|
|
Other
Amounts Paid in USOF Offering:
|
|
$
|
4,002,391
|
|
Total
Expenses Paid in USOF Offering:
|
|
$
|
16,415,003
|
|
Expenses
paid by USOF through December 31, 2008 as a Percentage of Average Daily Net
Assets:
Expenses in USOF Offering:
|
|
Amount
As a Percentage
of Average Daily Net
Assets
|
Amount
Paid to General Partner in USOF Offering:
|
|
0.48%
annualized
|
Amount
Paid in Portfolio Brokerage Commissions in USOF Offering:
|
|
0.17%
annualized
|
Other
Amounts Paid in USOF Offering:
|
|
0.21%
annualized
|
Total
Expenses Paid in USOF Offering:
|
|
0.86%
annualized
|
USOF Performance:
|
|
Name
of Commodity Pool:
|
USOF
|
Type
of Commodity Pool:
|
Exchange
traded security
|
Inception
of Trading:
|
April
10, 2006
|
Aggregate
Subscriptions (from inception
through
December 31, 2008):
|
$18,578,175,328
|
Total
Net Assets as of December 31, 2008:
|
$2,569,623,931
|
Initial
NAV per Unit as of Inception:
|
$67.39
|
NAV
per Unit as of December 31, 2008:
|
$34.31
|
Worst
Monthly Percentage Draw-down:
|
October 2008 (31.57)%
|
Worst
Peak-to-Valley Draw-down:
|
June
2008 – December 2008
(69.72)%
|
COMPOSITE
PERFORMANCE DATA FOR USOF
PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
|
|
Rates of return
|
|
Month
|
|
2006
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2008
|
|
January
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
(6.55
|
)%
|
|
|
(4.00
|
)%
|
February
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
5.63
|
%
|
|
|
11.03
|
%
|
March
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
4.61
|
%
|
|
|
0.63
|
%
|
April
|
|
|
3.47
|
%*
|
|
|
(4.26
|
)%
|
|
|
12.38
|
%
|
May
|
|
|
(2.91
|
)%
|
|
|
(4.91
|
)%
|
|
|
12.80
|
%
|
June
|
|
|
3.16
|
%
|
|
|
9.06
|
%
|
|
|
9.90
|
%
|
July
|
|
|
(0.50
|
)%
|
|
|
10.57
|
%
|
|
|
(11.72
|
)%
|
August
|
|
|
(6.97
|
)%
|
|
|
(4.95
|
)%
|
|
|
(6.75
|
)%
|
September
|
|
|
(11.72
|
)%
|
|
|
12.11
|
%
|
|
|
(12.97
|
)%
|
October
|
|
|
(8.45
|
)%
|
|
|
16.98
|
%
|
|
|
(31.57
|
)%
|
November
|
|
|
4.73
|
%
|
|
|
(4.82
|
)%
|
|
|
(20.65
|
)%
|
December
|
|
|
(5.21
|
)%
|
|
|
8.67
|
%
|
|
|
(22.16
|
)%
|
Annual
Rate of Return
|
|
|
(23.03
|
)%
|
|
|
46.17
|
%
|
|
|
(54.75
|
)%
|
* Partial
from April 10, 2006
Experience
in Raising and Investing in Funds through December 31, 2008
PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
Dollar
Amount Offered in USNG Offering*:
|
|
$
|
7,631,500,000
|
|
Dollar
Amount Raised in USNG Offering:
|
|
$
|
4,150,671,803
|
|
Organizational
and
Offering
Expenses**:
|
|
|
|
|
SEC registration
fee:
|
|
$
|
340,557
|
|
FINRA registration
fee:
|
|
$
|
226,500
|
|
Listing fee:
|
|
$
|
5,000
|
|
Auditor’s fees and
expenses:
|
|
$
|
206,850
|
|
Legal fees and
expenses:
|
|
$
|
686,695
|
|
Printing
expenses:
|
|
$
|
56,130
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Length
of USNG Offering:
|
|
Continuous
|
|
*
|
Reflects
the offering price per unit set forth on the cover page of the
registration statement registering such units filed with the
SEC.
|
**
|
Amounts
are for organizational and offering expenses incurred in connection with
offerings from April 18, 2007 through December 31, 2008. Through April 18,
2007, these expenses were paid for by the General Partner. Following April
18, 2007, USNG has borne the expenses related to the offering of its
units.
|
Compensation
to the General Partner and Other Compensation
Expenses
paid by USNG through December 31, 2008 in dollar terms:
Expenses:
|
|
Amount in Dollar Terms
|
|
Amount
Paid to General Partner in USNG Offering:
|
|
$
|
5,613,585
|
|
Amount
Paid in Portfolio Brokerage Commissions in USNG Offering:
|
|
$
|
1,218,485
|
|
Other
Amounts Paid in USNG Offering:
|
|
$
|
2,242,063
|
|
Total
Expenses Paid in USNG Offering:
|
|
$
|
9,074,133
|
|
Expenses
paid by USNG through December 31, 2008 as a Percentage of Average Daily Net
Assets:
Expenses in USNG Offering:
|
|
Amount
As a Percentage
of Average Daily Net
Assets
|
Amount
Paid to General Partner in USNG Offering:
|
|
0.60%
annualized
|
Amount
Paid in Portfolio Brokerage Commissions in USNG Offering:
|
|
0.13%
annualized
|
Other
Amounts Paid in USNG Offering:
|
|
0.24%
annualized
|
Total
Expenses Paid in USNG Offering:
|
|
0.97%
annualized
|
USNG Performance:
|
|
Name
of Commodity Pool:
|
USNG
|
Type
of Commodity Pool:
|
Exchange
traded security
|
Inception
of Trading:
|
April
18, 2007
|
Aggregate
Subscriptions (from inception through December 31, 2008):
|
$4,150,671,803
|
Total
Net Assets as of December 31, 2008:
|
$695,714,510
|
Initial
NAV per Unit as of Inception:
|
$50.00
|
NAV
per Unit as of December 31, 2008:
|
$23.27
|
Worst
Monthly Percentage Draw-down:
|
July
2008 (32.13)%
|
Worst
Peak-to-Valley Draw-down:
|
June
2008 – December 2008
(62.86)%
|
COMPOSITE
PERFORMANCE DATA FOR USNG
PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
|
|
Rates of return
|
|
Month
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2008
|
|
January
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
8.87
|
%
|
February
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
15.87
|
%
|
March
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
6.90
|
%
|
April
|
|
|
4.30
|
%*
|
|
|
6.42
|
%
|
May
|
|
|
(0.84
|
)%
|
|
|
6.53
|
%
|
June
|
|
|
(15.90
|
)%
|
|
|
13.29
|
%
|
July
|
|
|
(9.68
|
)%
|
|
|
(32.13
|
)%
|
August
|
|
|
(13.37
|
)%
|
|
|
(13.92
|
)%
|
September
|
|
|
12.28
|
%
|
|
|
(9.67
|
)%
|
October
|
|
|
12.09
|
%
|
|
|
(12.34
|
)%
|
November
|
|
|
(16.16
|
)%
|
|
|
(6.31
|
)%
|
December
|
|
|
0.75
|
%
|
|
|
(14.32
|
)%
|
Annual
Rate of Return
|
|
|
(27.64
|
)%
|
|
|
(35.68
|
)%
|
* Partial
from April 17, 2007
US12OF
:
Experience
in Raising and Investing in Funds through December 31, 2008
PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
Dollar
Amount Offered in US12OF Offering*:
|
|
$
|
550,000,000
|
|
Dollar
Amount Raised in US12OF Offering:
|
|
$
|
23,232,434
|
|
Organizational
and
Offering
Expenses**:
|
|
|
|
|
SEC registration
fee:
|
|
$
|
16,885
|
|
FINRA registration
fee:
|
|
$
|
75,500
|
|
Listing fee:
|
|
$
|
5,000
|
|
Auditor’s fees and
expenses:
|
|
$
|
35,700
|
|
Legal fees and
expenses:
|
|
$
|
213,235
|
|
Printing
expenses:
|
|
$
|
23,755
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Length
of US12OF Offering:
|
|
Continuous
|
|
*
|
Reflects
the offering price per unit set forth on the cover page of the
registration statement registering such units filed with the
SEC.
|
**
|
These
expenses were paid for by the General
Partner.
|
Compensation
to the General Partner and Other Compensation
Expenses paid by
US12OF
through December 31, 2008 in dollar
terms:
Expenses:
|
|
Amount in Dollar Terms
|
|
Amount
Paid to General Partner in US12OF Offering:
|
|
$
|
57,977
|
|
Amount
Paid in Portfolio Brokerage Commissions in US12OF
Offering:
|
|
$
|
3,217
|
|
Other
Amounts Paid in US12OF Offering:
|
|
$
|
119,032
|
|
Total
Expenses Paid in US12OF Offering:
|
|
$
|
180,226
|
|
Expenses
Waived in US12OF Offering*:
|
|
$
|
(97,019
|
)
|
Net
Expenses Paid or Accrued in US12OF Offering*:
|
|
$
|
83,207
|
|
*
|
The
General Partner, though under no obligation to do so, agreed to pay
certain expenses, to the extent that such expenses exceeded 0.15% (15
basis points) of US12OF’s NAV, on an annualized basis, through December
31, 2008.
The
General Partner has no obligation to continue such payment into subsequent
years.
|
Expenses paid by
US12OF
through December 31, 2008 as a
Percentage of Average Daily Net Assets:
Expenses in US12OF
Offering:
|
|
Amount
As a Percentage
of Average Daily Net
Assets
|
Amount
Paid to General Partner in US12OF Offering:
|
|
0.60%
annualized
|
Amount
Paid in Portfolio Brokerage Commissions in US12OF
Offering:
|
|
0.03%
annualized
|
Other
Amounts Paid in US12OF Offering:
|
|
1.23%
annualized
|
Total
Expenses Paid in US12OF Offering:
|
|
1.86%
annualized
|
Expenses
Waived in US12OF Offering:
|
|
(1.00)%
annualized
|
Net
Expenses Paid in US12OF Offering:
|
|
0.86%
annualized
|
US12OF Performance:
|
|
Name
of Commodity Pool:
|
US12OF
|
Type
of Commodity Pool:
|
Exchange
traded security
|
Inception
of Trading:
|
December
6, 2007
|
Aggregate
Subscriptions (from inception through December 31, 2008):
|
$23,231,434
|
Total
Net Assets as of December 31, 2008:
|
$6,247,578
|
Initial
NAV per Unit as of Inception:
|
$50.00
|
NAV
per Unit as of December 31, 2008:
|
$31.24
|
Worst
Monthly Percentage Draw-down:
|
October
2008 (29.59)%
|
Worst
Peak-to-Valley Draw-down:
|
June
2008 –December 2008
(62.83)%
|
COMPOSITE
PERFORMANCE DATA FOR US12OF
PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
|
|
Rates of return
|
|
Month
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2008
|
|
January
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
(2.03
|
)%
|
February
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
10.48
|
%
|
March
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
(0.66
|
)%
|
April
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
11.87
|
%
|
May
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
15.47
|
%
|
June
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
11.59
|
%
|
July
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
(11.39
|
)%
|
August
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
(6.35
|
)%
|
September
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
(13.12
|
)%
|
October
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
(29.59
|
)%
|
November
|
|
|
–
|
|
|
|
(16.17
|
)%
|
December
|
|
|
8.46
|
%*
|
|
|
(12.66
|
)%
|
Annual
Rate of Return
|
|
|
8.46
|
%
|
|
|
(42.39
|
)%
|
* Partial
from December 6, 2007
USHO
:
Experience
in Raising and Investing in Funds through December 31, 2008
PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
Dollar
Amount Offered in USHO Offering*:
|
|
$
|
5,000,000
|
|
Dollar
Amount Raised in USHO Offering:
|
|
$
|
17,556,271
|
|
Organizational
and
Offering
Expenses**:
|
|
|
|
|
SEC registration
fee:
|
|
$
|
19,220
|
|
FINRA
registration fee:
|
|
$
|
50,500
|
|
Listing fee:
|
|
$
|
5,000
|
|
Auditor’s fees and
expenses:
|
|
$
|
2,500
|
|
Legal fees and
expenses:
|
|
$
|
126,859
|
|
Printing
expenses:
|
|
$
|
21,255
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Length
of USHO Offering:
|
|
Continuous
|
|
*
|
Reflects
the offering price per unit set forth on the cover page of the
registration statement registering such units filed with the
SEC.
|
**
|
These
expenses were paid for by the General
Partner.
|
Compensation
to the General Partner and Other Compensation
Expenses
paid by USHO through December 31, 2008 in dollar terms:
Expenses:
|
|
Amount in Dollar Terms
|
|
Amount
Paid to General Partner in USHO Offering:
|
|
$
|
52,791
|
|
Amount
Paid in Portfolio Brokerage Commissions in USHO Offering:
|
|
$
|
7,700
|
|
Other
Amounts Paid in USHO Offering:
|
|
$
|
104,989
|
|
Total
Expenses Paid in USHO Offering:
|
|
$
|
165,480
|
|
Expenses
Waived in USHO Offering*:
|
|
$
|
(87,698
|
)
|
Net
Expenses Paid or Accrued in USHO Offering*:
|
|
$
|
77,782
|
|
*
|
The
General Partner, though under no obligation to do so, agreed to pay
certain expenses, to the extent that such expenses exceeded 0.15% (15
basis points) of USHO’s NAV, on an annualized basis, through December 31,
2008.
The
General Partner has no obligation to continue such payment into subsequent
years.
|
Expenses
paid by USHO through December 31, 2008 as a Percentage of Average Daily Net
Assets:
Expenses in USHO Offering:
|
|
Amount
As a Percentage
of Average Daily Net
Assets
|
Amount
Paid to General Partner in USHO Offering:
|
|
0.60%
annualized
|
Amount
Paid in Portfolio Brokerage Commissions in USHO Offering:
|
|
0.09%
annualized
|
Other
Amounts Paid in USHO Offering:
|
|
1.19%
annualized
|
Total
Expenses Paid in USHO Offering:
|
|
1.88%
annualized
|
Expenses
Waived in USHO Offering:
|
|
(1.00)%
annualized
|
Net
Expenses Paid in USHO Offering:
|
|
0.88%
annualized
|
USHO Performance:
|
|
|
Name
of Commodity Pool:
|
|
USHO
|
Type
of Commodity Pool:
|
|
Exchange
traded security
|
Inception
of Trading:
|
|
April
8, 2008
|
Aggregate
Subscriptions (from inception through December 31, 2008):
|
|
$17,556,271
|
Total
Net Assets as of December 31, 2008:
|
|
$4,387,898
|
Initial
NAV per Unit as of Inception:
|
|
$50.00
|
NAV
per Unit as of December 31, 2008:
|
|
$21.94
|
Worst
Monthly Percentage Draw-down:
|
|
October
2008 (28.63)%
|
Worst
Peak-to-Valley Draw-down:
|
|
June
2008 – December 2008
(65.25)%
|
COMPOSITE
PERFORMANCE DATA FOR USHO
PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
Month
|
|
Rates of
return
2008
|
|
January
|
|
|
–
|
|
February
|
|
|
–
|
|
March
|
|
|
–
|
|
April
|
|
|
2.84
|
%
*
|
May
|
|
|
15.93
|
%
|
June
|
|
|
5.91
|
%
|
July
|
|
|
(12.18
|
)%
|
August
|
|
|
(8.41
|
)%
|
September
|
|
|
(9.77
|
)%
|
October
|
|
|
(28.63
|
)%
|
November
|
|
|
(18.38
|
)%
|
December
|
|
|
(17.80
|
)%
|
Annual
Rate of Return
|
|
|
(56.12
|
)%
|
* Partial
from April 8, 2008
Other
Related Commodity Trading and Investment Management Experience
Ameristock
Corporation is an affiliate of the General Partner and it is a California-based
registered investment advisor registered under the Investment Advisers Act of
1940, as amended (the “Advisers Act”) that has been sponsoring and providing
portfolio management services to mutual funds since 1995. Ameristock Corporation
is the investment adviser to the Ameristock Mutual Fund, Inc., a mutual fund
registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended (the “1940 Act”)
that focuses on large cap U.S. equities that has approximately $188,835,336 in
assets as of December 31, 2008. Ameristock Corporation was also the investment
advisor to the Ameristock ETF Trust, an open-end management investment company
registered under the 1940 Act that consists of five separate investment
portfolios, each of which seeks investment results, before fees and expenses,
that correspond generally to the price and yield performance of a particular
U.S. Treasury securities index owned and compiled by Ryan Holdings LLC and Ryan
ALM, Inc. The Ameristock ETF Trust has liquidated each of its
investment portfolios and is in the process of winding up its
affairs.
Investments
The
General Partner applies substantially all of UGA’s assets toward trading
in Futures Contracts and Other Gasoline-Related Investments, Treasuries,
cash and/or cash equivalents. The General Partner has sole authority to
determine the percentage of assets that are:
·
held
on deposit with the futures commission merchant or other custodian,
·
used
for other investments, and
·
held
in bank accounts to pay current obligations and as reserves.
The
General Partner deposits substantially all of UGA’s net assets with the futures
commission merchant or other custodian for trading. When UGA purchases a Futures
Contract and certain exchange traded Other Gasoline-Related Investments, UGA is
required to deposit with the selling futures commission merchant on behalf of
the exchange a portion of the value of the contract or other interest as
security to ensure payment for the obligation under oil interests at maturity.
This deposit is known as “margin.” UGA invests the remainder of its assets equal
to the difference between the margin deposited and the market value of the
Futures Contract in Treasuries, cash and/or cash equivalents.
UGA’s
assets are held in segregated accounts pursuant to the CEA and CFTC regulations.
The General Partner believes that all entities that hold or trade UGA’s assets
are based in the United States and are subject to United States
regulations.
Approximately
5% to 10% of UGA’s assets have normally been committed as margin
for Futures Contracts. However, from time to time, the percentage of assets
committed as margin may be substantially more, or less, than such range. The
General Partner invests the balance of UGA’s assets not invested in Gasoline
Interests or held in margin as reserves to be available for changes in margin.
All interest income is used for UGA’s benefit.
The
Commodity Interest Markets
General
The CEA
governs the regulation of commodity interest transactions, markets and
intermediaries. In December 2000, the CEA was amended by the Commodity Futures
Modernization Act of 2000 (the “CFMA”), which substantially revised the
regulatory framework governing certain commodity interest transactions and the
markets on which they trade. The CEA, as amended by the CFMA, now provides for
varying degrees of regulation of commodity interest transactions depending upon
the variables of the transaction. In general, these variables include (1) the
type of instrument being traded (e.g., contracts for future delivery, options,
swaps or spot contracts), (2) the type of commodity underlying the instrument
(distinctions are made between instruments based on agricultural commodities,
energy and metals commodities and financial commodities), (3) the nature of the
parties to the transaction (retail, eligible contract participant, or eligible
commercial entity), (4) whether the transaction is entered into on a
principal-to-principal or intermediated basis, (5) the type of market on which
the transaction occurs, and (6) whether the transaction is subject to clearing
through a clearing organization. Information regarding commodity interest
transactions, markets and intermediaries, and their associated regulatory
environment, is provided below.
Futures
Contracts
A futures
contract such as a Futures Contract is a standardized contract traded on, or
subject to the rules of, an exchange that calls for the future delivery of a
specified quantity and type of a commodity at a specified time and place.
Futures contracts are traded on a wide variety of commodities, including
agricultural products, bonds, stock indices, interest rates, currencies, energy
and metals. The size and terms of futures contracts on a particular commodity
are identical and are not subject to any negotiation, other than with respect to
price and the number of contracts traded between the buyer and
seller.
The
contractual obligations of a buyer or seller may generally be satisfied by
taking or making physical delivery of the underlying of commodity or by making
an offsetting sale or purchase of an identical futures contract on the same or
linked exchange before the designated date of delivery. The difference between
the price at which the futures contract is purchased or sold and the price paid
for the offsetting sale or purchase, after allowance for brokerage commissions,
constitutes the profit or loss to the trader. Some futures contracts, such as
stock index contracts, settle in cash (reflecting the difference between the
contract purchase/sale price and the contract settlement price) rather than by
delivery of the underlying commodity.
In market
terminology, a trader who purchases a futures contract is long in the market and
a trader who sells a futures contract is short in the market. Before a trader
closes out his long or short position by an offsetting sale or purchase, his
outstanding contracts are known as open trades or open positions. The aggregate
amount of open positions held by traders in a particular contract is referred to
as the open interest in such contract.
Forward
Contracts
A forward
contract is a contractual obligation to purchase or sell a specified quantity of
a commodity at or before a specified date in the future at a specified price
and, therefore, is economically similar to a futures contract. Unlike futures
contracts, however, forward contracts are typically traded in the
over-the-counter markets and are not standardized contracts. Forward contracts
for a given commodity are generally available for various amounts and maturities
and are subject to individual negotiation between the parties involved.
Moreover, generally there is no direct means of offsetting or closing out a
forward contract by taking an offsetting position as one would a futures
contract on a U.S. exchange. If a trader desires to close out a forward contract
position, he generally will establish an opposite position in the contract but
will settle and recognize the profit or loss on both positions simultaneously on
the delivery date. Thus, unlike in the futures contract market where a trader
who has offset positions will recognize profit or loss immediately, in the
forward market a trader with a position that has been offset at a profit will
generally not receive such profit until the delivery date, and likewise a trader
with a position that has been offset at a loss will generally not have to pay
money until the delivery date. In recent years, however, the terms of forward
contracts have become more standardized, and in some instances such contracts
now provide a right of offset or cash settlement as an alternative to making or
taking delivery of the underlying commodity.
The
forward markets provide what has typically been a highly liquid market for
foreign exchange trading, and in certain cases the prices quoted for foreign
exchange forward contracts may be more favorable than the prices for foreign
exchange futures contracts traded on U.S. exchanges. The forward markets are
largely unregulated. Forward contracts are, in general, not cleared or
guaranteed by a third party. Commercial banks participating in trading foreign
exchange forward contracts often do not require margin deposits, but rely upon
internal credit limitations and their judgments regarding the creditworthiness
of their counterparties. In recent years, however, many over-the-counter market
participants in foreign exchange trading have begun to require that their
counterparties post margin.
Further,
as the result of the CFMA, over-the-counter derivative instruments such as
forward contracts and swap agreements (and options on forwards and physical
commodities) may begin to be traded on lightly-regulated exchanges or electronic
trading platforms that may, but are not required to, provide for clearing
facilities. Exchanges and electronic trading platforms on which over-the-counter
instruments may be traded and the regulation and criteria for that trading are
more fully described below under “Futures Exchanges and Clearing Organizations.”
Nonetheless, absent a clearing facility, UGA’s trading in foreign exchange and
other forward contracts is exposed to the creditworthiness of the counterparties
on the other side of the trade.
Options
on Futures Contracts
Options
on futures contracts are standardized contracts traded on an exchange. An option
on a futures contract gives the buyer of the option the right, but not the
obligation, to take a position at a specified price (the striking, strike, or
exercise price) in the underlying futures contract or underlying interest. The
buyer of a call option acquires the right, but not the obligation, to purchase
or take a long position in the underlying interest, and the buyer of a put
option acquires the right, but not the obligation, to sell or take a short
position in the underlying interest.
The
seller, or writer, of an option is obligated to take a position in the
underlying interest at a specified price opposite to the option buyer if the
option is exercised. Thus, the seller of a call option must stand ready to take
a short position in the underlying interest at the strike price if the buyer
should exercise the option. The seller of a put option, on the other hand, must
stand ready to take a long position in the underlying interest at the strike
price.
A call
option is said to be in-the-money if the strike price is below current market
levels and out-of-the-money if the strike price is above current market levels.
Conversely, a put option is said to be in-the-money if the strike price is above
the current market levels and out-of-the-money if the strike price is below
current market levels.
Options
have limited life spans, usually tied to the delivery or settlement date of the
underlying interest. Some options, however, expire significantly in advance of
such date. The purchase price of an option is referred to as its premium, which
consists of its intrinsic value (which is related to the underlying market
value) plus its time value. As an option nears its expiration date, the time
value shrinks and the market and intrinsic values move into parity. An option
that is out-of-the-money and not offset by the time it expires becomes
worthless. On certain exchanges, in-the-money options are automatically
exercised on their expiration date, but on others unexercised options simply
become worthless after their expiration date.
Regardless
of how much the market swings, the most an option buyer can lose is the option
premium. The option buyer deposits his premium with his broker, and the money
goes to the option seller. Option sellers, on the other hand, face risks similar
to participants in the futures markets. For example, since the seller of a call
option is assigned a short futures position if the option is exercised, his risk
is the same as someone who initially sold a futures contract. Because no one can
predict exactly how the market will move, the option seller posts margin to
demonstrate his ability to meet any potential contractual
obligations.
Options
on Forward Contracts or Commodities
Options
on forward contracts or commodities operate in a manner similar to options on
futures contracts. An option on a forward contract or commodity gives the buyer
of the option the right, but not the obligation, to take a position at a
specified price in the underlying forward contract or commodity. However,
similar to forward contracts, options on forward contracts or on commodities are
individually negotiated contracts between counterparties and are typically
traded in the over-the-counter market. Therefore, options on forward contracts
and physical commodities possess many of the same characteristics of forward
contracts with respect to offsetting positions and credit risk that are
described above.
Swap
Contracts
Swap
transactions generally involve contracts between two parties to exchange a
stream of payments computed by reference to a notional amount and the price of
the asset that is the subject of the swap. Swap contracts are principally traded
off-exchange, although recently, as a result of regulatory changes enacted as
part of the CFMA, certain swap contracts are now being traded in electronic
trading facilities and cleared through clearing organizations.
Swaps are
usually entered into on a net basis, that is, the two payment streams are netted
out in a cash settlement on the payment date or dates specified in the
agreement, with the parties receiving or paying, as the case may be, only the
net amount of the two payments. Swaps do not generally involve the delivery of
underlying assets or principal. Accordingly, the risk of loss with respect to
swaps is generally limited to the net amount of payments that the party is
contractually obligated to make. In some swap transactions one or both parties
may require collateral deposits from the counterparty to support that
counterparty’s obligation under the swap agreement. If the counterparty to such
a swap defaults, the risk of loss consists of the net amount of payments that
the party is contractually entitled to receive less any collateral deposits
it is holding.
Block
Trading
Block
Trading refers to privately negotiated futures or option transactions executed
apart from the public auction market. A block transaction may be executed either
on or off the exchange trading floor but is still reported to and cleared by the
exchange.
Exchange
for Physical
An
Exchange For Physical (“EFP”) is a technique (originated in physical
commodity markets) whereby a position in the underlying subject of a derivatives
contract is traded for a futures position. In financial futures markets, the EFP
bypasses any cash settlement mechanism that is built into the contract and
substitutes physical settlement. EFPs are used primarily to adjust underlying
cash market positions at a low trading cost. An EFP by itself will not change
either party’s net risk position materially, but EFPs are often used to set up a
subsequent trade which will modify the investor’s market risk exposure at low
cost.
Exchange
for Swap
An
Exchange For Swap (“EFS”) is an off market transaction which involves the
swapping (or exchanging) of an over-the-counter position for a futures position.
The
over-the-counter
transaction must be for the same or similar quantity or amount of a specified
commodity, or a substantially similar commodity or instrument. The
over-the-counter side of the EFS can include swaps, swap options, or other
instruments traded in the over-the-counter market.
In order
that an EFS transaction can take place, the over-the-counter side and futures
components must be “substantially similar” in terms of either value and or
quantity. The net result is that the over-the-counter position (and the inherent
counterparty credit exposure) is transferred from the over-the-counter market to
the futures market. EFSs can also work in reverse, where a futures position can
be reversed and transferred to the over-the-counter market.
Participants
The two
broad classes of persons who trade commodities are hedgors and speculators.
Hedgors include financial institutions that manage or deal in interest
rate-sensitive instruments, foreign currencies or stock portfolios, and
commercial market participants, such as farmers and manufacturers, that market
or process commodities. Hedging is a protective procedure designed to
effectively lock in prices that would otherwise change due to an adverse
movement in the price of the underlying commodity, for example, the adverse
price movement between the time a merchandiser or processor enters into a
contract to buy or sell a raw or processed commodity at a certain price and the
time he must perform the contract. In such a case, at the time the hedgor
contracts to physically sell the commodity at a future date he will
simultaneously buy a futures or forward contract for the necessary equivalent
quantity of the commodity. At the time for performance of the contract, the
hedgor may accept delivery under his futures contract and sell the commodity
quantity as required by his physical contract or he may buy the actual
commodity, sell if under the physical contract and close out his position by
making an offsetting sale of a futures contract.
The
commodity interest markets enable the hedgor to shift the risk of price
fluctuations. The usual objective of the hedgor is to protect the profit that he
expects to earn from farming, merchandising, or processing operations rather
than to profit from his trading. However, at times the impetus for a hedge
transaction may result in part from speculative objectives, and hedgors can end
up paying higher prices than they would have, for example, if current market
prices are lower than the locked in price.
Unlike
the hedgor, the speculator generally expects neither to make nor take delivery
of the underlying commodity. Instead, the speculator risks his capital with the
hope of making profits from price fluctuations in the commodities. The
speculator is, in effect, the risk bearer who assumes the risks that the hedgor
seeks to avoid. Speculators rarely make or take delivery of the underlying
commodity; rather they attempt to close out their positions prior to the
delivery date. Because the speculator may take either a long or short position
in commodities, it is possible for him to make profits or incur losses
regardless of whether prices go up or down.
Futures
Exchanges and Clearing Organizations
Futures
exchanges provide centralized market facilities in which multiple persons have
the ability to execute or trade contracts by accepting bids and offers from
multiple participants. Futures exchanges may provide for execution of trades at
a physical location utilizing trading pits and/or may provide for trading to be
done electronically through computerized matching of bids and offers pursuant to
various algorithms. Members of a particular exchange and the trades executed on
such exchanges are subject to the rules of that exchange. Futures exchanges and
clearing organizations are given reasonable latitude in promulgating rules and
regulations to control and regulate their members. Examples of regulations by
exchanges and clearing organizations include the establishment of initial margin
levels, rules regarding trading practices, contract specifications, speculative
position limits, daily price fluctuation limits, and execution and clearing
fees.
U.S.
Futures Exchanges
Futures
exchanges in the United States are subject to varying degrees of regulation by
the CFTC based on their designation as one of the following: a designated
contract market, a derivatives transaction execution facility, an exempt board
of trade or an electronic trading facility.
A
designated contract market is the most highly regulated level of futures
exchange. Designated contract markets may offer products to retail customers on
an unrestricted basis. To be designated as a contract market, the exchange must
demonstrate that it satisfies specified general criteria for designation, such
as having the ability to prevent market manipulation, rules and procedures to
ensure fair and equitable trading, position limits, dispute resolution
procedures, minimization of conflicts of interest and protection of market
participants. Among the principal designated contract markets in the United
States are the Chicago Board of Trade, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and the
NYMEX. Each of the designated contract markets in the United States must provide
for the clearance and settlement of transactions with a CFTC-registered
derivatives clearing organization.
A
derivatives transaction execution facility (a “DTEF”), is a new type of exchange
that is subject to fewer regulatory requirements than a designated contract
market but is subject to both commodity interest and participant limitations.
DTEFs limit access to eligible traders that qualify as either eligible contract
participants or eligible commercial entities for futures and option contracts on
commodities that have a nearly inexhaustible deliverable supply, are highly
unlikely to be susceptible to the threat of manipulation, or have no cash
market, security futures products, and futures and option contracts on
commodities that the CFTC may determine, on a case-by-case basis, are highly
unlikely to be susceptible to the threat of manipulation. In addition, certain
commodity interests excluded or exempt from the CEA, such as swaps, etc. may be
traded on a DTEF. There is no requirement that a DTEF use a clearing
organization, except with respect to trading in security futures contracts, in
which case the clearing organization must be a securities clearing agency.
However, if futures contracts and options on futures contracts on a DTEF are
cleared, then it must be through a CFTC-registered derivatives clearing
organization, except that some excluded or exempt commodities traded on a DTEF
may be cleared through a clearing organization other than one registered with
the CFTC.
An exempt
board of trade is also a newly designated form of exchange. An exempt board of
trade is substantially unregulated, subject only to CFTC anti-fraud and
anti-manipulation authority. An exempt board of trade is permitted to trade
futures contracts and options on futures contracts provided that the underlying
commodity is not a security or securities index and has an inexhaustible
deliverable supply or no cash market. All traders on an exempt board of trade
must qualify as eligible contract participants. Contracts deemed eligible to be
traded on an exempt board of trade include contracts on interest rates, exchange
rates, currencies, credit risks or measures, debt instruments, measures of
inflation, or other macroeconomic indices or measures. There is no requirement
that an exempt board of trade use a clearing organization. However, if contracts
on an exempt board of trade are cleared, then it must be through a
CFTC-registered derivatives clearing organization. A board of trade electing to
operate as an exempt board of trade must file a written notification with the
CFTC.
An
electronic trading facility is a new form of trading platform that operates by
means of an electronic or telecommunications network and maintains an automated
audit trail of bids, offers, and the matching of orders or the execution of
transactions on the electronic trading facility. The CEA does not apply to, and
the CFTC has no jurisdiction over, transactions on an electronic trading
facility in certain excluded commodities that are entered into between
principals that qualify as eligible contract participants, subject only to CFTC
anti-fraud and anti-
manipulation authority. In general,
excluded commodities include interest rates, currencies, securities, securities
indices or other financial, economic or commercial indices or
measures.
The
General Partner intends to monitor the development of and opportunities and
risks presented by the new less-regulated exchanges and exempt boards as well as
other trading platforms currently in place or that are being considered by
regulators and may, in the future, allocate a percentage of UGA’s assets to
trading in products on these exchanges. Provided UGA maintains assets exceeding
$5 million, UGA would qualify as an eligible contract participant and thus would
be able to trade on such exchanges.
Non-U.S.
Futures Exchanges
Non-U.S.
futures exchanges differ in certain respects from their U.S. counterparts.
Importantly, non-U.S. futures exchanges are not subject to regulation by the
CFTC, but rather are regulated by their home country regulator. In contrast to
U.S. designated contract markets, some non-U.S. exchanges are principals’
markets, where trades remain the liability of the traders involved, and the
exchange or an affiliated clearing organization, if any, does not become
substituted for any party. Due to the absence of a clearing system, such
exchanges are significantly more susceptible to disruptions. Further,
participants in such markets must often satisfy themselves as to the individual
creditworthiness of each entity with which they enter into a trade. Trading on
non-U.S. exchanges is often in the currency of the exchange’s home jurisdiction.
Consequently, UGA is subject to the additional risk of fluctuations in the
exchange rate between such currencies and U.S. dollars and the possibility that
exchange controls could be imposed in the future. Trading on non-U.S. exchanges
may differ from trading on U.S. exchanges in a variety of ways and, accordingly,
may subject UGA to additional risks.
Accountability
Levels and Position Limits
The CFTC
and U.S. designated contract markets have established accountability levels and
position limits on the maximum net long or net short futures contracts in
commodity interests that any person or group of persons under common
trading control (other than a hedgor, which UGA is not) may hold, own or
control. Among the purposes of accountability levels and position limits is to
prevent a corner or squeeze on a market or undue influence on prices by any
single trader or group of traders. The position limits currently established by
the CFTC apply to certain agricultural commodity interests, such as grains
(oats, barley, and flaxseed), soybeans, corn, wheat, cotton, eggs, rye, and
potatoes, but not to interests in energy products. In addition, U.S. exchanges
may set accountability levels and position limits for all commodity interests
traded on that exchange. For example, the current accountability level for
investments at any one time in gasoline Futures Contracts (including investments
in the Benchmark Futures Contract) on the NYMEX is 5,000 contracts for one month
and 7,000 contracts for all months. The NYMEX also imposes position limits on
contracts held in the last few days of trading in the near month contract to
expire. The ICE Futures has recently adopted similar accountability levels and
position limits for certain of its futures contracts that are settled against
the price of a contract listed for trading on a U.S. designated contract market
such as NYMEX. Certain exchanges or clearing organizations also set
limits on the total net positions that may be held by a clearing broker. In
general, no position limits are in effect in forward or other over-the-counter
contract trading or in trading on non-U.S. futures exchanges, although the
principals with which UGA and the clearing brokers may trade in such markets may
impose such limits as a matter of credit policy. For purposes of determining
accountability levels and position limits, UGA’s commodity interest positions
will not be attributable to investors in their own commodity interest
trading.
Daily
Price Limits
Most U.S.
futures exchanges (but generally not non-U.S. exchanges) may limit the
amount of fluctuation in some futures contract or options on a futures contract
prices during a single trading day by regulations. These regulations specify
what are referred to as daily price fluctuation limits, or more commonly, daily
limits. The daily limits establish the maximum amount that the price of a
futures or options on futures contract may vary either up or down from the
previous day’s settlement price. Once the daily limit has been reached in a
particular futures or options on futures contract, no trades may be made at a
price beyond the limit. Positions in the futures or options contract may then be
taken or liquidated, if at all, only at inordinate expense or if traders are
willing to effect trades at or within the limit during the period for trading on
such day. Because the daily limit rule governs price movement only for a
particular trading day, it does not limit losses and may in fact substantially
increase losses because it may prevent the liquidation of unfavorable positions.
Futures contract prices have occasionally moved to the daily limit for
several consecutive trading days, thus preventing prompt liquidation of
positions and subjecting the trader to substantial losses for those days. The
concept of daily price limits is not relevant to over-the-counter contracts,
including forwards and swaps, and thus such limits are not imposed by banks and
others who deal in those markets.
In
contrast, the NYMEX does not impose daily limits but rather limits the amount of
price fluctuation for Futures Contracts. For example, the NYMEX imposes a
$0.25 per gallon ($10,500 per contract) price fluctuation limit for the
Benchmark Futures Contract. This limit is initially based off the previous
trading day’s settlement price. If any Benchmark Futures Contract is
traded, bid, or offered at the limit for five minutes, trading is halted for
five minutes. When trading resumes it begins at the point where the limit was
imposed and the limit is reset to be $0.25 per gallon in either direction
of that point. If another halt were triggered, the market would continue to be
expanded by $0.25 per gallon in either direction after each successive
five-minute trading halt. There is no maximum price fluctuation limit during any
one trading session.
Commodity
Prices
Commodity
prices are volatile and, although ultimately determined by the interaction of
supply and demand, are subject to many other influences, including the
psychology of the marketplace and speculative assessments of future world and
economic events. Political climate, interest rates, treaties, balance of
payments, exchange controls and other governmental interventions as well as
numerous other variables affect the commodity markets, and even with
comparatively complete information it is impossible for any trader to predict
reliably commodity prices.
Regulation
Futures
exchanges in the United States are subject to varying degrees of regulation
under the CEA depending on whether such exchange is a designated contract
market, DTEF, exempt board of trade or electronic trading facility. Derivatives
clearing organizations are also subject to the CEA and CFTC regulation. The CFTC
is the governmental agency charged with responsibility for regulation of futures
exchanges and commodity interest trading conducted on those exchanges. The
CFTC’s function is to implement the CEA’s objectives of preventing price
manipulation and excessive speculation and promoting orderly and efficient
commodity interest markets. In addition, the various exchanges and clearing
organizations themselves exercise regulatory and supervisory authority over
their member firms.
The CFTC
possesses exclusive jurisdiction to regulate the activities of CPOs and
commodity trading advisors and has adopted regulations with respect to the
activities of those persons and/or entities. Under the CEA, a registered CPO,
such as the General Partner, is required to make annual filings with the CFTC
describing its organization, capital structure, management and controlling
persons. In addition, the CEA authorizes the CFTC to require and review books
and records of, and documents prepared by, registered CPOs. Pursuant to this
authority, the CFTC requires CPOs to keep accurate, current and orderly records
for each pool that they operate. The CFTC may suspend the registration of
a CPO (1) if the CFTC finds that the operator’s trading practices tend to
disrupt orderly market conditions, (2) if any controlling person of the operator
is subject to an order of the CFTC denying such person trading privileges on any
exchange, and (3) in certain other circumstances. Suspension, restriction or
termination of the General Partner’s registration as a CPO would prevent it,
until that registration were to be reinstated, from managing UGA, and might
result in the termination of UGA. UGA itself is not required to be registered
with the CFTC in any capacity.
The CEA
gives the CFTC similar authority with respect to the activities of commodity
trading advisors. If a trading advisor’s commodity trading advisor registration
were to be terminated, restricted or suspended, the trading advisor would be
unable, until the registration were to be reinstated, to render trading advice
to UGA.
The CEA
requires all futures commission merchants, such as UGA’s clearing brokers, to
meet and maintain specified fitness and financial requirements, to segregate
customer funds from proprietary funds and account separately for all customers’
funds and positions, and to maintain specified books and records open to
inspection by the staff of the CFTC. The CFTC has similar authority over
introducing brokers, or persons who solicit or accept orders for commodity
interest trades but who do not accept margin deposits for the execution of
trades. The CEA authorizes the CFTC to regulate trading by futures commission
merchants and by their officers and directors, permits the CFTC to require
action by exchanges in the event of market emergencies, and establishes an
administrative procedure under which customers may institute complaints for
damages arising from alleged violations of the CEA. The CEA also gives the
states powers to enforce its provisions and the regulations of the
CFTC.
Pursuant
to authority in the CEA, the NFA has been formed and registered with the CFTC as
a registered futures association. At the present time, the NFA is the only
self-regulatory organization for commodity interest professionals, other than
futures exchanges. The CFTC has delegated to the NFA responsibility for the
registration of commodity trading advisors, CPOs, futures commission merchants,
introducing brokers, and their respective associated persons and floor brokers.
The General Partner, each trading advisor, the selling agents and the clearing
brokers are members of the NFA. As such, they are subject to NFA standards
relating to fair trade practices, financial condition and consumer protection.
UGA itself is not required to become a member of the NFA. As the self-regulatory
body of the commodity interest industry, the NFA promulgates rules governing the
conduct of professionals and disciplines those professionals that do not comply
with these rules. The NFA also arbitrates disputes between members and their
customers and conducts registration and fitness screening of applicants for
membership and audits of its existing members.
The
regulations of the CFTC and the NFA prohibit any representation by a person
registered with the CFTC or by any member of the NFA, that registration with the
CFTC, or membership in the NFA, in any respect indicates that the CFTC or the
NFA, as the case may be, has approved or endorsed that person or that person’s
trading program or objectives. The registrations and memberships of the parties
described in this summary must not be considered as constituting any such
approval or endorsement. Likewise, no futures exchange has given or will give
any similar approval or endorsement.
The
regulation of commodity interest trading in the United States and other
countries is an evolving area of the law. The various statements made in this
summary are subject to modification by legislative action and changes in the
rules and regulations of the CFTC, the NFA, the futures exchanges, clearing
organizations and other regulatory bodies.
The
function of the CFTC is to implement the objectives of the CEA of preventing
price manipulation and other disruptions to market integrity, avoiding systemic
risk, preventing fraud and promoting innovation, competition and financial
integrity of transactions. As mentioned above, this regulation, among other
things, provides that the trading of commodity interest contracts generally must
be upon exchanges designated as contract markets or DTEFs and that all trading
on those exchanges must be done by or through exchange members. Under the CFMA,
commodity interest trading in some commodities between sophisticated persons may
be traded on a trading facility not regulated by the CFTC. As a general matter,
trading in spot contracts, forward contracts, options on forward contracts or
commodities, or swap contracts between eligible contract participants is not
within the jurisdiction of the CFTC and may therefore be effectively
unregulated. The trading advisors may engage in those transactions on behalf of
UGA in reliance on this exclusion from regulation.
In
general, the CFTC does not regulate the interbank and forward foreign currency
markets with respect to transactions in contracts between certain sophisticated
counterparties such as UGA or between certain regulated institutions and retail
investors. Although U.S. banks are regulated in various ways by the Federal
Reserve Board, the Comptroller of the Currency and other U.S. federal and state
banking officials, banking authorities do not regulate the forward
markets.
While the
U.S. government does not currently impose any restrictions on the movements of
currencies, it could choose to do so. The imposition or relaxation of exchange
controls in various jurisdictions could significantly affect the market for that
and other jurisdictions’ currencies. Trading in the interbank market also
exposes UGA to a risk of default since failure of a bank with which UGA had
entered into a forward contract would likely result in a default and thus
possibly substantial losses to UGA.
The CFTC
is prohibited by statute from regulating trading on non-U.S. futures exchanges
and markets. The CFTC, however, has adopted regulations relating to the
marketing of non-U.S. futures contracts in the United States. These regulations
permit certain contracts traded on non-U.S. exchanges to be offered and sold in
the United States.
Commodity
Margin
Brokerage
firms, such as UGA’s clearing brokers, carrying accounts for traders in
commodity interest contracts may not accept lower, and generally require higher,
amounts of margin as a matter of policy to further protect themselves. The
clearing brokers require UGA to make margin deposits equal to exchange minimum
levels for all commodity interest contracts. This requirement may be altered
from time to time in the clearing brokers’ discretion.
Trading
in the over-the-counter markets where no clearing facility is provided generally
does not require margin but generally does require the extension of credit
between counterparties.
When a
trader purchases an option, there is no margin requirement; however, the option
premium must be paid in full. When a trader sells an option, on the other hand,
he or she is required to deposit margin in an amount determined by the margin
requirements established for the underlying interest and, in addition, an amount
substantially equal to the current premium for the option. The margin
requirements imposed on the selling of options, although adjusted to reflect the
probability that out-of-the-money options will not be exercised, can in fact be
higher than those imposed in dealing in the futures markets directly.
Complicated margin requirements apply to spreads and conversions, which are
complex trading strategies in which a trader acquires a mixture of options
positions and positions in the underlying interest.
Margin
requirements are computed each day by a trader’s clearing broker. When the
market value of a particular open commodity interest position changes to a point
where the margin on deposit does not satisfy maintenance margin requirements, a
margin call is made by the broker. If the margin call is not met within a
reasonable time, the broker may close out the trader’s position. With respect to
UGA’s trading, UGA (and not its investors personally) is subject to margin
calls.
Finally,
many major U.S. exchanges have passed certain cross margining arrangements
involving procedures pursuant to which the futures and options positions held in
an account would, in the case of some accounts, be aggregated and margin
requirements would be assessed on a portfolio basis, measuring the total risk of
the combined positions.
SEC
Reports
UGA makes
available, free of charge, on its website, its annual reports on Form 10-K, its
quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, its current reports on Form 8-K and amendments
to these reports filed or furnished pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the
Exchange Act as soon as reasonably practicable after these forms are filed with,
or furnished to, the SEC. These reports are also available from the SEC
though its website at: www.sec.gov.
CFTC
Reports
UGA also
makes available its monthly reports and its annual reports required to be
prepared and filed with the NFA under the CFTC regulations.
The
risk factors should be read in connection with the other information included in
this annual report on Form 10-K, including Management’s Discussion and Analysis
of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and UGA’s financial statements
and the related notes.
Risks
Associated With Investing Directly or Indirectly in Gasoline
Investing
in Gasoline Interests subjects UGA to the risks of the gasoline industry and
this could result in large fluctuations in the price of UGA’s
units.
UGA is
subject to the risks and hazards of the gasoline industry because it invests in
Gasoline Interests. The risks and hazards that are inherent in the gasoline
industry may cause the price of gasoline to widely fluctuate. If the changes in
percentage terms of UGA’s units accurately track the percentage changes in the
Benchmark Futures Contract or the spot price of gasoline, then the price of its
units may also fluctuate. The exploration for crude oil, the raw material used
in the production of gasoline, and production of gasoline are uncertain
processes with many risks. The cost of drilling, completing and operating wells
for crude oil is often uncertain, and a number of factors can delay or prevent
drilling operations or production of gasoline, including:
The risks
of gasoline drilling and production activities include the
following:
·
unexpected
drilling conditions;
·
pressure
or irregularities in formations;
·
equipment
failures or repairs;
·
fires
or other accidents;
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adverse
weather conditions;
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pipeline
ruptures, spills or other supply disruptions;
and
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shortages
or delays in the availability of drilling rigs and the delivery of
equipment.
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Gasoline
transmission, distribution, gathering, and processing activities involve
numerous risks that may affect the price of gasoline.
There are
a variety of hazards inherent in gasoline transmission, distribution, gathering,
and processing, such as leaks, explosions, pollution, release of toxic
substances, adverse weather conditions, scheduled and unscheduled maintenance,
physical damage to the refining or transportation system, and other hazards
which could affect the price of gasoline. To the extent these hazards limit the
supply or delivery of gasoline, gasoline prices will increase.
The
price of gasoline fluctuates on a seasonal basis and this would result in
fluctuations in the price of UGA’s units.
Gasoline
prices fluctuate seasonally. For example, during the winter months the heating
season can have a major impact on prices in the fuel industry. During the summer
months, people are more likely to travel by automobile when taking spring and
summer vacations along with weekend trips. The increase in travel drives fuel
demand and gasoline prices typically follow.
Refineries
usually use the spring months for major routine maintenance and to retool for
summer gasoline blends required in various parts of the country to meet air
emission requirements. Refinery maintenance as well as unplanned shut-downs
reduce gasoline production. Depending on inventory levels and the strength of
gasoline demand, this situation may put pressure on prices until additional
gasoline supplies can be imported.
Supply
interruptions may also affect inventories. For example, the Gulf Coast
hurricanes of 2005 had a major impact on energy-producing facilities in the Gulf
of Mexico, where roughly one-third of oil production in the United States
occurs. In addition, the effects remain as repairs are continuing at some
production and pipeline facilities that were severely damaged.
Changes
in the political climate could have negative consequences for gasoline
prices.
Tensions
with Iran, the world’s fourth largest oil exporter, could put oil exports in
jeopardy. Other global concerns include civil unrest and sabotage affecting the
flow of oil from Nigeria, a large oil exporter. Meanwhile, friction continues
between the governments of the United States and Venezuela, a major exporter to
the United States. Additionally, a series of production cuts by members of the
OPEC have tightened world oil markets.
Limitations
on ability to develop additional sources of oil could impact future prices of
gasoline.
In the
past, a supply disruption in one area of the world has been softened by the
ability of major oil-producing nations such as Saudi Arabia to increase output
to make up the difference. Now, much of that reserve capacity has been soaked up
by increased demand, with the supply cushion now estimated to be about two
million barrels a day in a world that every day is using 85 million barrels (or
nearly 3.6 billion gallons) of oil products. In addition, consumption of
gasoline and other oil products is increasing around the world, especially in
rapidly growing countries such as India and China, which is now the world’s
second-largest energy user. According to the United States Government’s Energy
Information Administration, global oil demand is expected to rise by more than
1.4 million barrels per day in 2007, compared with a growth rate of 1.2 million
barrels per day in 2006. Gasoline demand in the United States has been growing
less than in developing nations, but the United States remain the world’s
largest gasoline consumer, using an average of 388.6 million gallons a day in
2007.
Gasoline
refinement and production is subject to government regulations which could have
an impact on the price of gasoline.
Gasoline
refinement and production in North America are subject to regulation and
oversight by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and various state
regulatory agencies. For example, as a result of changes in fuel specifications,
United States refiners in the spring and summer of 2006 began phasing out the
fuel additive methyl tertiary butyl ether (“MTBE”) and replacing it with
ethanol. The switch to ethanol, which is mandated by federal law, has resulted
in a tightened supply and higher prices for this grain-based product. Although
increased use of ethanol is expected to bring environmental benefits, ethanol
adds to gasoline production costs because it currently is more expensive than
the MTBE it is replacing.
Various
formulations and compositions of gasoline as may be required by different state
environmental laws and/or the U.S. Government may impact the price of
gasoline.
Some
areas of the country are required to use special formulations of gasoline.
Environmental programs, aimed at reducing carbon monoxide, smog, and air toxics,
include the Federal and/or state-required oxygenated, reformulated, and
low-volatility (evaporates more slowly) gasolines. Other environmental programs
put restrictions on transportation and storage. The reformulated gasolines
required in some urban areas and in California cost more to produce than
conventional gasoline served elsewhere, increasing the price paid at the pump.
Changing standards in the future may further impact the price of gasoline in
this regard.
The
price of UGA’s units may be influenced by factors such as the short-term supply
and demand for gasoline and the short-term supply and demand for UGA’s units.
This may cause the units to trade at a price that is above or below UGA’s NAV
per unit. Accordingly, changes in the price of units may substantially vary from
the changes in the spot price of gasoline. If this variation occurs, then
investors may not be able to effectively use UGA as a way to hedge against
gasoline-related losses or as a way to indirectly invest in
gasoline.
While it
is expected that the trading prices of the units will fluctuate in accordance
with changes in UGA’s NAV, the prices of units may also be influenced by other
factors, including the short-term supply and demand for gasoline and the units.
There is no guarantee that the units will not trade at appreciable discounts
from, and/or premiums to, UGA’s NAV. This could cause changes in the price of
the units to substantially vary from changes in the spot price of gasoline.
This may be harmful to investors because if changes in the price of units vary
substantially from changes in the spot price of gasoline, then investors
may not be able to effectively use UGA as a way to hedge the risk of losses in
their gasoline-related transactions or as a way to indirectly invest in
gasoline.
Changes
in UGA’s NAV may not correlate with changes in the price of the Benchmark
Futures Contract. If this were to occur, investors may not be able to
effectively use UGA as a way to hedge against gasoline-related losses or as a
way to indirectly invest in gasoline.
The
General Partner endeavors to invest UGA’s assets as fully as possible in
short-term Futures Contracts and Other Gasoline-Related Investments so that the
changes in percentage terms of the NAV closely correlate with the changes in
percentage terms in the price of the Benchmark Futures Contract. However,
changes in UGA’s NAV may not correlate with the changes in the price of the
Benchmark Futures Contract for several reasons as set forth below:
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UGA
(i) may not be able to buy/sell the exact amount of Futures Contracts and
Other Gasoline-Related Investments to have a perfect correlation with NAV;
(ii) may not always be able to buy and sell Futures Contracts or Other
Gasoline-Related Investments at the market price; (iii) may not experience
a perfect correlation between the spot price of gasoline and the
underlying investments in Futures Contracts, Other Gasoline-Related
Investments and Treasuries, cash and/or cash equivalents; and (iv) is
required to pay fees, including brokerage fees and the management
fee, which will have an effect on the
correlation.
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Short-term
supply and demand for gasoline may cause changes in the market price
in the Benchmark Futures Contract to vary from changes in UGA’s NAV if UGA
has fully invested in Futures Contracts that do not reflect such supply
and demand and it is unable to replace such contracts with Futures
Contracts that do reflect such supply and demand. In addition, there are
also technical differences between the two markets,
e.g.
, one is a physical market while the
other is a futures market traded on exchanges, that may cause variations
between the spot price of gasoline and the prices of related futures
contracts.
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UGA
plans to buy only as many Futures Contracts and Other Gasoline-Related
Investments that it can to get the changes in percentage terms of the NAV
as close as possible to the changes in percentage terms in the price of
the Benchmark Futures Contract. The remainder of its assets will be
invested in Treasuries, cash and/or cash equivalents and will be used to
satisfy initial margin and additional margin requirements, if any, and to
otherwise support its investments in Gasoline Interests. Investments in
Treasuries, cash and/or cash equivalents, both directly and as margin,
will provide rates of return that will vary from changes in the value of
the spot price of gasoline and the price of the Benchmark Futures
Contract.
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In
addition, because UGA incurs certain expenses in connection with its
investment activities, and holds most of its assets in more liquid
short-term securities for margin and other liquidity purposes and for
redemptions that may be necessary on an ongoing basis, the General Partner
is generally not able to fully invest UGA’s assets in Futures Contracts or
Other Gasoline-Related Investments and there cannot be perfect correlation
between changes in UGA’s NAV and changes in the price of the Benchmark
Futures Contract.
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As
UGA grows, there may be more or less correlation. For example, if UGA only
has enough money to buy three Benchmark Futures Contracts and it needs to
buy four contracts to track the price of gasoline then the correlation
will be lower, but if it buys 20,000 Benchmark Futures Contracts and it
needs to buy 20,001 contracts then the correlation will be higher. At
certain asset levels, UGA may be limited in its ability to purchase the
Benchmark Futures Contract or Other Gasoline-Related Investments due to
accountability levels imposed by the relevant exchanges. To the extent
that UGA invests in these other Futures Contracts or Other
Gasoline-Related Investments, the correlation with the Benchmark Futures
Contract may be lower. If UGA is required to invest in other Futures
Contracts and Other Gasoline-Related Investments that are less correlated
with the Benchmark Futures Contract, UGA would likely invest in
over-the-counter contracts to increase the level of correlation of UGA’s
assets. Over-the-counter contracts entail certain risks described below
under “Over-the-Counter Contract
Risk.”
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UGA
may not be able to buy the exact number of Futures Contracts and Other
Gasoline-Related Investments to have a perfect correlation with the
Benchmark Futures Contract if the purchase price of Futures
Contracts required to be fully invested in such contracts is higher than
the proceeds received for the sale of a Creation Basket on the day the
basket was sold. In such case, UGA could not invest the entire proceeds
from the purchase of the Creation Basket in such futures contracts (for
example, assume UGA receives $2,000,000 for the sale of a Creation Basket
and assume that the price of the Futures Contracts for gasoline is $1.062
then UGA could only invest in 44 Futures Contracts with an aggregate
value of $1,962,576). UGA would be required to invest a percentage of the
proceeds in cash, Treasuries or other liquid securities to be deposited as
margin with the futures commission merchant through which the contracts
were purchased. The remainder of the purchase price for the Creation
Basket would remain invested in cash and/or cash equivalents and
Treasuries or other liquid securities as determined by the General Partner
from time to time based on factors such as potential calls for margin or
anticipated redemptions. If the trading market for Futures Contracts is
suspended or closed, UGA may not be able to purchase these investments at
the last reported price for such
investments.
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If
changes in UGA’s NAV do not correlate with changes in the price of the Benchmark
Futures Contract, then investing in UGA may not be an effective way to hedge
against gasoline-related losses or indirectly invest in gasoline.
The
Benchmark Futures Contract may not correlate with the spot price
of gasoline and this could cause changes in the price of the units to
substantially vary from the changes in the spot price of gasoline. If this were
to occur, then investors may not be able to effectively use UGA as a way to
hedge against gasoline-related losses or as a way to indirectly invest in
gasoline.
When
using the Benchmark Futures Contract as a strategy to track the spot price
of gasoline, at best the correlation between changes in prices of such
Gasoline Interests and the spot price of gasoline can be only approximate.
The degree of imperfection of correlation depends upon circumstances such as
variations in the speculative gasoline market, supply of and demand for such
Gasoline Interests and technical influences in gasoline futures trading. If
there is a weak correlation between the Gasoline Interests and the spot price
of gasoline, then the price of units may not accurately track the spot
price of gasoline and investors may not be able to effectively use UGA as a
way to hedge the risk of losses in their gasoline-related transactions or as a
way to indirectly invest in gasoline.
The value
of Treasuries generally moves inversely with movements in interest rates. If UGA
is required to sell Treasuries at a price lower than the price at which they
were acquired, UGA will experience a loss. This loss may adversely impact the
price of the units and may decrease the correlation between the price of the
units, the price of the Benchmark Futures Contract and Other Gasoline-Related
Investments, and the spot price of gasoline.
Certain
of UGA’s investments could be illiquid which could cause large losses to
investors at any time or from time to time.
UGA may
not always be able to liquidate its positions in its investments at the desired
price. It is difficult to execute a trade at a specific price when there is a
relatively small volume of buy and sell orders in a market. A market disruption,
such as a foreign government taking political actions that disrupt the market in
its currency, its gasoline production or exports, or in another major export,
can also make it difficult to liquidate a position. Alternatively, limits
imposed by futures exchanges or other regulatory organizations, such as
accountability levels, position limits and daily price fluctuation limits, may
contribute to a lack of liquidity with respect to some Gasoline
Interests.
Unexpected
market illiquidity may cause major losses to investors at any time or from time
to time. In addition, UGA has not and does not intend at this time to establish
a credit facility, which would provide an additional source of liquidity and
instead will rely only on the Treasuries, cash and/or cash equivalents that it
holds. The anticipated large value of the positions in Futures Contracts that
the General Partner will acquire or enter into for UGA increases the risk of
illiquidity. The Other Gasoline-Related Investments that UGA invests in, such as
negotiated over-the-counter contracts, may have a greater likelihood of being
illiquid since they are contracts between two parties that take into account not
only market risk, but also the relative credit, tax, and settlement risks under
such contracts. Such contracts also have limited transferability that results
from such risks and the contract’s express limitations.
Because
both Futures Contracts and Other Gasoline-Related Investments may be illiquid,
UGA’s Gasoline Interests may be more difficult to liquidate at favorable prices
in periods of illiquid markets and losses may be incurred during the period in
which positions are being liquidated.
If
the nature of hedgors and speculators in futures markets has shifted such that
gasoline purchasers are the predominant hedgors in the market, UGA might have to
reinvest at higher futures prices or choose Other Gasoline-Related
Investments.
The
changing nature of the hedgors and speculators in the gasoline market influences
whether futures prices are above or below the expected future spot price. In
order to induce speculators to take the corresponding long side of the same
futures contract, gasoline producers must generally be willing to sell futures
contracts at prices that are below expected future spot prices. Conversely, if
the predominant hedgors in the futures market are the purchasers of the gasoline
who purchase futures contracts to hedge against a rise in prices, then
speculators will only take the short side of the futures contract if the futures
price is greater than the expected future spot price of gasoline. This can have
significant implications for UGA when it is time to reinvest the proceeds from a
maturing Futures Contract into a new Futures Contract.
While
UGA does not intend to take physical delivery of gasoline under Futures
Contracts, physical delivery under such contracts impacts the value of the
contracts.
While it
is not the current intention of UGA to take physical delivery of gasoline under
its Futures Contracts, futures contracts are not required to be cash-settled and
it is possible to take delivery under these contracts. Storage costs associated
with purchasing gasoline could result in costs and other liabilities that could
impact the value of Futures Contracts or Other Gasoline-Related Investments.
Storage costs include the time value of money invested in gasoline as a physical
commodity plus the actual costs of storing the gasoline less any benefits from
ownership of gasoline that are not obtained by the holder of a futures contract.
In general, Futures Contracts have a one-month delay for contract delivery and
the back month (the back month is any future delivery month other than the spot
month) includes storage costs. To the extent that these storage costs change for
gasoline while UGA holds Futures Contracts or Other Gasoline-Related
Investments, the value of the Futures Contracts or Other Gasoline-Related
Investments, and therefore UGA’s NAV, may change as well.
The
price relationship between the near month contract and the next month contract
that compose the Benchmark Futures Contract will vary and may impact both the
total return over time of UGA’s NAV, as well as the degree to which its total
return tracks other gasoline price indices’ total returns.
The
design of UGA’s Benchmark Futures Contract is such that every month it begins by
using the near month contract to expire until the near month contract is within
two weeks of expiration, when it will use the next month contract to expire as
its benchmark contract and keeps that contract as its benchmark until it becomes
the near month contract and close to expiration. In the event of a
gasoline futures market where near month contracts trade at a higher price than
next month to expire contracts, a situation described as “backwardation” in the
futures market, then absent the impact of the overall movement in gasoline
prices the value of the benchmark contract would tend to rise as it approaches
expiration. As a result, the total return of the Benchmark Futures Contract
would tend to track higher. Conversely, in the event of a gasoline futures
market where near month contracts trade at a lower price than next month
contracts, a situation described as “contango” in the futures market, then
absent the impact of the overall movement in gasoline prices the value of the
benchmark contract would tend to decline as it approaches expiration. As a
result, the total return of the Benchmark Futures Contract would tend to track
lower. When compared to total return of other price indices, such as the spot
price of gasoline, the impact of backwardation and contango may lead the total
return of UGA’s NAV to vary significantly. In the event of a prolonged period of
contango, and absent the impact of rising or falling gasoline prices, this could
have a significant negative impact on UGA’s NAV and total return.
Regulation
of the commodity interests and energy markets is extensive and constantly
changing; future regulatory developments are impossible to predict but may
significantly and adversely affect UGA.
The
futures markets are subject to comprehensive statutes, regulations, and margin
requirements. In addition, the CFTC and the exchanges are authorized to take
extraordinary actions in the event of a market emergency, including, for
example, the retroactive implementation of speculative position limits or higher
margin requirements, the establishment of daily price limits and the suspension
of trading. The regulation of futures transactions in the United States is a
rapidly changing area of law and is subject to modification by government and
judicial action.
The
regulation of commodity interest transactions in the United States is a rapidly
changing area of law and is subject to ongoing modification by governmental and
judicial action. Considerable regulatory attention has been focused on
non-traditional investment pools which are publicly distributed in the United
States. There is a possibility of future regulatory changes altering, perhaps to
a material extent, the nature of an investment in UGA or the ability of UGA to
continue to implement its investment strategy. In addition, various national
governments have expressed concern regarding the disruptive effects of
speculative trading in the energy markets and the need to regulate the
derivatives markets in general. The effect of any future regulatory change on
UGA is impossible to predict, but could be substantial and adverse.
Investing
in UGA for purposes of hedging may be subject to several risks including the
possibility of losing the benefit of favorable market movement.
Participants
in the gasoline or in other industries may use UGA as a vehicle to hedge the
risk of losses in their gasoline-related transactions. There are several risks
in connection with using UGA as a hedging device. While hedging can provide
protection against an adverse movement in market prices, it can also preclude a
hedgor’s opportunity to benefit from a favorable market movement. In a hedging
transaction, the hedgor may be concerned that the hedged item will increase in
price, but must recognize the risk that the price may instead decline and if
this happens he will have lost his opportunity to profit from the change in
price because the hedging transaction will result in a loss rather than a gain.
Thus, the hedgor foregoes the opportunity to profit from favorable price
movements.
In
addition, if the hedge is not a perfect one, the hedgor can lose on the hedging
transaction and not realize an offsetting gain in the value of the underlying
item being hedged.
When
using futures contracts as a hedging technique, at best, the correlation between
changes in prices of futures contracts and of the items being hedged can be only
approximate. The degree of imperfection of correlation depends upon
circumstances such as: variations in speculative markets, demand for futures and
for gasoline products, technical influences in futures trading, and differences
between anticipated energy costs being hedged and the instruments underlying the
standard futures contracts available for trading. Even a well-conceived hedge
may be unsuccessful to some degree because of unexpected market behavior as well
as the expenses associated with creating the hedge.
In
addition, using an investment in UGA as a hedge for changes in energy costs
(
e.g.
, investing in
heating oil, gasoline, natural gas or other fuels, or electricity) may not
correlate because changes in the spot price of gasoline may vary from changes in
energy costs because the spot price may not be at the same rate as changes in
the price of other energy products, and, in any case, the price of gasoline does
not reflect the refining, transportation, and other costs that may impact the
hedgor’s energy costs.
An
investment in UGA may provide little or no diversification benefits. Thus, in a
declining market, UGA may have no gains to offset losses from other investments,
and an investor may suffer losses on an investment in UGA
while incurring losses with respect to other asset classes.
Historically,
Futures Contracts and Other Gasoline-Related Investments have generally been
non-correlated to the performance of other asset classes such as stocks and
bonds. Non-correlation means that there is a low statistically valid
relationship between the performance of futures and other commodity interest
transactions, on the one hand, and stocks or bonds, on the other hand. However,
there can be no assurance that such non-correlation will continue during future
periods. If, contrary to historic patterns, UGA’s performance were to move in
the same general direction as the financial markets, investors will obtain
little or no diversification benefits from an investment in the units. In such a
case, UGA may have no gains to offset losses from other investments, and
investors may suffer losses on their investment in UGA at the same time they
incur losses with respect to other investments.
Variables
such as drought, floods, weather, embargoes, tariffs and other political events
may have a larger impact on gasoline prices and gasoline-linked instruments,
including Futures Contracts and Other Gasoline-Related Investments, than on
traditional securities. These additional variables may create additional
investment risks that subject UGA’s investments to greater volatility than
investments in traditional securities.
Non-correlation
should not be confused with negative correlation, where the performance of two
asset classes would be opposite of each other. There is no historic evidence
that the spot price of gasoline and prices of other financial assets, such as
stocks and bonds, are negatively correlated. In the absence of negative
correlation, UGA cannot be expected to be automatically profitable during
unfavorable periods for the stock market, or vice versa.
UGA’s
Operating Risks
UGA
is not a registered investment company so unitholders do not have the
protections of the 1940 Act.
UGA is
not an investment company subject to the 1940 Act. Accordingly, investors do not
have the protections afforded by that statute which, for example, requires
investment companies to have a majority of disinterested directors and regulates
the relationship between the investment company and its investment
manager.
The
General Partner is leanly staffed and relies heavily on key personnel to manage
trading activities.
In
managing and directing the day-to-day activities and affairs of UGA, the General
Partner relies heavily on Messrs. Nicholas Gerber, John Love and John
Hyland. If Messrs. Gerber, Love or Hyland were to leave or be unable
to carry out their present responsibilities, it may have an adverse effect on
the management of UGA. Furthermore, Messrs. Gerber, Love and Hyland are
currently involved in the management of the Related Public Funds and the General
Partner has filed a registration statement for two other exchange traded
security funds, USSO and US12NG. Mr. Gerber is also by Ameristock
Corporation, a registered investment adviser that manages a public mutual fund.
It is estimated that Mr. Gerber will spend approximately 50% of his time on UGA
and Related Public Fund matters. Mr. Love will spend approximately 100% of
his time on UGA and Related Public Fund matters and Mr. Hyland will spend
approximately 85% of his time on UGA and Related Public Fund matters. To the
extent that the General Partner establishes additional funds, even greater
demands will be placed on Messrs. Gerber, Love and Hyland, as well as
the other officers of the General Partner, including Mr. Howard Mah, the Chief
Financial Officer, and its Board of Directors.
Accountability
levels, position limits, and daily price fluctuation limits set by the exchanges
have the potential to cause a tracking error, which could cause the price of
units to substantially vary from the price of the Benchmark Futures Contract and
prevent investors from being able to effectively use UGA as a way to hedge
against gasoline-related losses or as a way to indirectly invest in
gasoline.
U.S.
designated contract markets such as the NYMEX have established accountability
levels and position limits on the maximum net long or net short futures
contracts in commodity interests that any person or group of persons under
common trading control (other than as a hedge, which an investment by UGA
is not) may hold, own or control. For example, the current accountability level
for investments at any one time in the Benchmark Futures Contract is 7,000.
While this is not a fixed ceiling, it is a threshold above which the NYMEX may
exercise greater scrutiny and control over an investor, including limiting an
investor to holding no more than 7,000 Benchmark Futures Contracts. With regard
to position limits, the NYMEX limits an investor from holding more than 1,000
net futures in the last 3 days of trading in the near month contract to
expire.
In
addition to accountability levels and position limits, the NYMEX also sets daily
price fluctuation limits on futures contracts. The daily price fluctuation limit
establishes the maximum amount that the price of a futures contract may vary
either up or down from the previous day’s settlement price. Once the daily price
fluctuation limit has been reached in a particular futures contract, no trades
may be made at a price beyond that limit.
For
example, the NYMEX imposes a $0.25 per gallon ($10,500 per contract) price
fluctuation limit for the Benchmark Futures Contract. This limit is initially
based off of the previous trading day’s settlement price. If any Benchmark
Futures Contract is traded, bid, or offered at the limit for five minutes,
trading is halted for five minutes. When trading resumes it begins at the point
where the limit was imposed and the limit is reset to be $0.25 per gallon in
either direction of that point. If another halt were triggered, the market would
continue to be expanded by $0.25 per gallon in either direction after each
successive five-minute trading halt. There is no maximum price fluctuation limit
during any one trading session.
All of
these limits may potentially cause a tracking error between the price of the
units and the price of the Benchmark Futures Contract. This may in turn prevent
investors from being able to effectively use UGA as a way to hedge against
Gasoline-Related losses or as a way to indirectly invest in
gasoline.
UGA has
not limited the size of its offering and is committed to utilizing substantially
all of its proceeds to purchase Futures Contracts and Other Gasoline-Related
Investments. If UGA encounters accountability levels, position limits, or price
fluctuation limits for Futures Contracts on the NYMEX, it may then, if permitted
under applicable regulatory requirements, purchase Futures Contracts on the ICE
Futures (formerly, the International Petroleum Exchange) or other exchanges that
trade listed gasoline futures. The Futures Contracts available on the ICE
Futures are generally comparable to the contracts on the NYMEX, but they may
have different underlying commodities, sizes, deliveries, and prices. In
addition, the futures contracts available on the ICE Futures may be subject to
accountability levels and position limits.
There
are technical and fundamental risks inherent in the trading system the General
Partner intends to employ.
The
General Partner’s trading system is quantitative in nature and it is possible
that the General Partner might make a mathematical error. In addition, it is
also possible that a computer or software program may malfunction and cause an
error in computation.
To
the extent that the General Partner uses spreads and straddles as part of its
trading strategy, there is the risk that the NAV may not closely track the
changes in the Benchmark Futures Contract.
Spreads
combine simultaneous long and short positions in related futures contracts that
differ by commodity (
e.g.
, long crude oil and
short gasoline), by market (
e.g.
, long WTI crude futures,
short Brent crude futures), or by delivery month (
e.g.
, long December, short
November). Spreads gain or lose value as a result of relative changes in price
between the long and short positions. Spreads often reduce risk to investors,
because the contracts tend to move up or down together. However, both legs of
the spread could move against an investor simultaneously, in which case the
spread would lose value. Certain types of spreads may face unlimited risk,
e.g.
, because the price of a
futures contract underlying a short position can increase by an unlimited amount
and the investor would have to take delivery or offset at that
price.
A
commodity straddle takes both long and short option positions in the same
commodity in the same market and delivery month simultaneously. The buyer of a
straddle profits if either the long or the short leg of the straddle moves
further than the combined cost of both options. The seller of a straddle profits
if both the long and short positions do not trade beyond a range equal to the
combined premium for selling both options.
If the
General Partner were to utilize a spread or straddle position and the spread
performed differently than expected, the results could impact UGA’s tracking
error. This could affect UGA’s investment objective of having its NAV closely
track the changes in the Benchmark Futures Contract. Additionally, a loss on a
spread position would negatively impact UGA’s absolute return.
UGA
and the General Partner may have conflicts of interest, which may permit them to
favor their own interests to the detriment of unitholders.
UGA and
the General Partner may have inherent conflicts to the extent the General
Partner attempts to maintain UGA’s asset size in order to preserve its fee
income and this may not always be consistent with UGA’s objective of having the
value of its units’ NAV track changes in the Benchmark Futures Contract. The
General Partner’s officers, directors and employees do not devote their time
exclusively to UGA. These persons are directors, officers or employees of other
entities that may compete with UGA for their services. They could have a
conflict between their responsibilities to UGA and to those other
entities.
In
addition, the General Partner’s principals, officers, directors or employees may
trade futures and related contracts for their own account. A conflict of
interest may exist if their trades are in the same markets and at the same time
as UGA trades using the clearing broker to be used by UGA. A potential conflict
also may occur if the General Partner’s principals, officers, directors or
employees trade their accounts more aggressively or take positions in their
accounts which are opposite, or ahead of, the positions taken by
UGA.
The
General Partner has sole current authority to manage the investments and
operations of UGA, and this may allow it to act in a way that furthers its own
interests which may create a conflict with the best interests of investors.
Limited partners have limited voting control, which will limit the ability to
influence matters such as amendment of the LP Agreement, change in UGA’s basic
investment policy, dissolution of this fund, or the sale or distribution of
UGA’s assets.
The
General Partner serves as the general partner to each of UGA and the Related
Public Funds and will serve as the general partner for USSO and US12NG, if
such funds offer their securities to the public or begin operations. The General
Partner may have a conflict to the extent that its trading decisions for UGA may
be influenced by the effect they would have on the other funds it manages. These
trading decisions may be influenced since the General Partner also serves as the
general partner for all of the funds and is required to meet all of the funds’
investment objectives as well as UGA’s. If the General Partner believes that a
trading decision it made on behalf of UGA might (i) impede its other funds from
reaching their investment objectives, or (ii) improve the likelihood of meeting
its other funds’ objectives, then the General Partner may choose to change its
trading decision for UGA, which could either impede or improve the opportunity
for UGA to meet its investment objective. In addition, the General Partner is
required to indemnify the officers and directors of its other funds if the need
for indemnification arises. This potential indemnification will cause the
General Partner’s assets to decrease. If the General Partner’s other sources of
income are not sufficient to compensate for the indemnification, then the
General Partner may terminate and investors could lose their
investment.
Unitholders
may only vote on the removal of the General Partner and limited partners have
only limited voting rights. Unitholders and limited partners will not
participate in the management of UGA and do not control the General Partner so
they will not have influence over basic matters that affect UGA.
Unitholders
that have not applied to become limited partners have no voting rights, other
than to remove the General Partner. Limited partners will have limited voting
rights with respect to UGA’s affairs. Unitholders may remove the General Partner
only if 66 2/3% of the unitholders elect to do so. Unitholders and limited
partners will not be permitted to participate in the management or control of
UGA or the conduct of its business. Unitholders and limited partners must
therefore rely upon the duties and judgment of the General Partner to manage
UGA’s affairs.
The
General Partner may manage a large amount of assets and this could affect UGA’s
ability to trade profitably.
Increases
in assets under management may affect trading decisions. In general, the General
Partner does not intend to limit the amount of assets of UGA that it may manage.
The more assets the General Partner manages, the more difficult it may be for it
to trade profitably because of the difficulty of trading larger positions
without adversely affecting prices and performance and of managing risk
associated with larger positions.
UGA
could terminate at any time and cause the liquidation and potential loss of an
investor’s investment and could upset the overall maturity and timing of
an investor’s investment portfolio.
UGA may
terminate at any time, regardless of whether UGA has incurred losses, subject to
the terms of the LP Agreement. In particular, unforeseen circumstances,
including the death, adjudication of incompetence, bankruptcy, dissolution, or
removal of the General Partner could cause UGA to terminate unless a majority in
interest of the limited partners within 90 days of the event elects to continue
the partnership and appoints a successor general partner, or the affirmative
vote of a majority in interest of the limited partners subject to certain
conditions. However, no level of losses will require the General Partner to
terminate UGA. UGA’s termination would cause the liquidation and potential loss
of an investor’s investment. Termination could also negatively affect the
overall maturity and timing of an investor’s investment portfolio.
Limited
partners may not have limited liability in certain circumstances, including
potentially having liability for the return of wrongful
distributions.
Under
Delaware law, a limited partner might be held liable for UGA obligations as if
it were a General Partner if the limited partner participates in the control of
the partnership’s business and the persons who transact business with the
partnership think the limited partner is the General Partner.
A limited
partner will not be liable for assessments in addition to its initial capital
investment in any of UGA’s capital securities representing units. However, a
limited partner may be required to repay to UGA any amounts wrongfully returned
or distributed to it under some circumstances. Under Delaware law, UGA may not
make a distribution to limited partners if the distribution causes UGA’s
liabilities (other than liabilities to partners on account of their partnership
interests and nonrecourse liabilities) to exceed the fair value of UGA’s assets.
Delaware law provides that a limited partner who receives such a distribution
and knew at the time of the distribution that the distribution violated the law
will be liable to the limited partnership for the amount of the distribution for
three years from the date of the distribution.
With
adequate notice, a limited partner may be required to withdraw from the
partnership for any reason.
If the
General Partner gives at least fifteen (15) days’ written notice to a limited
partner, then the General Partner may for any reason, in its sole discretion,
require any such limited partner to withdraw entirely from the partnership or to
withdraw a portion of its partner capital account. The General Partner may
require withdrawal even in situations where the limited partner has complied
completely with the provisions of the LP Agreement.
UGA’s
existing units are, and any units UGA issues in the future will be, subject to
restrictions on transfer. Failure to satisfy these requirements will preclude a
transferee from being able to have all the rights of a limited
partner.
No
transfer of any unit or interest therein may be made if such transfer would (a)
violate the then applicable federal or state securities laws or rules and
regulations of the SEC, any state securities commission, the CFTC or any other
governmental authority with jurisdiction over such transfer, or (b) cause UGA to
be taxable as a corporation or affect UGA’s existence or qualification as a
limited partnership. In addition, investors may only become limited partners if
they transfer their units to purchasers that meet certain conditions outlined in
the LP Agreement, which provides that each record holder or limited partner or
unitholder applying to become a limited partner (each a record holder) may be
required by the General Partner to furnish certain information, including that
holder’s nationality, citizenship or other related status. A transferee who is
not a U.S. resident may not be eligible to become a record holder or a limited
partner if its ownership would subject UGA to the risk of cancellation or
forfeiture of any of its assets under any federal, state or local law or
regulation. All purchasers of UGA’s units, who wish to become limited partners
or record holders, and receive cash distributions, if any, or have certain other
rights, must deliver an executed transfer application in which the purchaser or
transferee must certify that, among other things, he, she or it agrees to be
bound by UGA’s LP Agreement and is eligible to purchase UGA’s securities. Any
transfer of units will not be recorded by the transfer agent or recognized by
UGA unless a completed transfer application is delivered to the General Partner
or the Administrator. A person purchasing UGA’s existing units, who does not
execute a transfer application and certify that the purchaser is eligible to
purchase those securities acquires no rights in those securities other than the
right to resell those securities. Whether or not a transfer application is
received or the consent of the General Partner obtained, UGA’s units will be
securities and will be transferable according to the laws governing transfers of
securities. See “Transfer of Units.”
UGA
does not expect to make cash distributions.
The
General Partner has not previously made any cash distributions and intends to
re-invest any realized gains in additional Gasoline Interests rather than
distributing cash to limited partners. Therefore, unlike mutual funds, commodity
pools or other investment pools that actively manage their investments in an
attempt to realize income and gains from their investing activities and
distribute such income and gains to their investors, UGA generally does not
expect to distribute cash to limited partners. An investor should not invest in
UGA if it will need cash distributions from UGA to pay taxes on its share of
income and gains of UGA, if any, or for any other reason. Although UGA does not
intend to make cash distributions, the income earned from its investments held
directly or posted as margin may reach levels that merit distribution,
e.g.
, at levels where such income is not
necessary to support its underlying investments in Gasoline Interests and
investors adversely react to being taxed on such income without receiving
distributions that could be used to pay such tax. If this income becomes
significant then cash distributions may be made.
There
is a risk that UGA will not earn trading gains sufficient to compensate for the
fees and expenses that it must pay and as such UGA may not earn any
profit.
UGA pays
brokerage charges of approximately 0.10%, futures commission merchant fees of
$3.50 per buy or sell, management fees of 0.60% of NAV on its average net
assets, and over-the-counter spreads and extraordinary expenses (
e.g.,
subsequent offering
expenses, other expenses not in the ordinary course of business, including the
indemnification of any person against liabilities and obligations to the extent
permitted by law and required under the LP Agreement and under agreements
entered into by the General Partner on UGA’s behalf and the bringing and
defending of actions at law or in equity and otherwise engaging in the conduct
of litigation and the incurring of legal expenses and the settlement of claims
and litigation) that can not be quantified. These fees and expenses must be paid
in all cases regardless of whether UGA’s activities are profitable. Accordingly,
UGA must earn trading gains sufficient to compensate for these fees and expenses
before it can earn any profit.
UGA
has historically depended upon its affiliates to pay all its expenses. If this
offering of units does not raise sufficient funds to pay UGA’s future expenses
and no other source of funding of expenses is found, UGA may be forced to
terminate and investors may lose all or part of their investment.
Prior to
the offering of units that commenced on February 26, 2008, all of UGA’s expenses
were funded by the General Partner and its affiliates. These payments by the
General Partner and its affiliates were designed to allow UGA the ability
to commence the public offering of its units. UGA now directly pays certain of
these fees and expenses. The General Partner will continue to pay other
fees and expenses, as set forth in the LP Agreement. If the General Partner and
UGA are unable to raise sufficient funds to cover their expenses or locate any
other source of funding, UGA may be forced to terminate and investors may lose
all or part of their investment.
UGA
may incur higher fees and expenses upon renewing existing or entering into new
contractual relationships.
The
clearing arrangements between the clearing brokers and UGA generally are
terminable by the clearing brokers once the clearing broker has given UGA
notice. Upon termination, the General Partner may be required to renegotiate or
make other arrangements for obtaining similar services if UGA intends to
continue trading in Futures Contracts or Other Gasoline-Related Investments at
its present level of capacity. The services of any clearing broker may not be
available, or even if available, these services may not be available on the
terms as favorable as those of the expired or terminated clearing
arrangements.
UGA
may miss certain trading opportunities because it will not receive the benefit
of the expertise of independent trading advisors.
The
General Partner does not employ trading advisors for UGA; however, it reserves
the right to employ them in the future. The only advisor to UGA is the General
Partner. A lack of independent trading advisors may be disadvantageous to UGA
because it will not receive the benefit of a trading advisor’s
expertise.
An
unanticipated number of redemption requests during a short period of time could
have an adverse effect on the NAV of UGA.
If a
substantial number of requests for redemption of Redemption Baskets are received
by UGA during a relatively short period of time, UGA may not be able to satisfy
the requests from UGA’s assets not committed to trading. As a consequence, it
could be necessary to liquidate positions in UGA’s trading positions before the
time that the trading strategies would otherwise dictate
liquidation.
The financial
markets are currently in a period of disruption and recession and UGA does not
expect these conditions to improve in the near future.
Currently
and throughout 2008, the financial markets have experienced very difficult
conditions and volatility as well as significant adverse trends. The
deteriorating conditions in these markets have resulted in a decrease in
availability of corporate credit and liquidity and have led indirectly to the
insolvency, closure or acquisition of a number of major financial institutions
and have contributed to further consolidation within the financial services
industry. A continued recession or a depression could adversely
affect the financial condition and results of operations of UGA’s service
providers and Authorized Purchasers which would impact the ability of the
General Partner to achieve UGA’s investment objective.
The
failure or bankruptcy of a clearing broker could result in a substantial loss of
UGA’s assets; the clearing broker could be subject to proceedings that impair
its ability to execute UGA’s trades.
Under
CFTC regulations, a clearing broker maintains customers’ assets in a bulk
segregated account. If a clearing broker fails to do so, or is unable to satisfy
a substantial deficit in a customer account, its other customers may be subject
to risk of a substantial loss of their funds in the event of that clearing
broker’s bankruptcy. In that event, the clearing broker’s customers, such as
UGA, are entitled to recover, even in respect of property specifically traceable
to them, only a proportional share of all property available for distribution to
all of that clearing broker’s customers. The bankruptcy of a clearing broker
could result in the complete loss of UGA’s assets posted with the clearing
broker; though, the vast majority of UGA’s assets are held in Treasuries, cash
and/or cash equivalents with UGA’s custodian and would not be impacted by the
bankruptcy of a clearing broker. UGA also may be subject to the risk of the
failure of, or delay in performance by, any exchanges and markets and their
clearing organizations, if any, on which commodity interest contracts are
traded.
From time
to time, the clearing brokers may be subject to legal or regulatory proceedings
in the ordinary course of their business. A clearing broker’s involvement in
costly or time-consuming legal proceedings may divert financial resources or
personnel away from the clearing broker’s trading operations, which could impair
the clearing broker’s ability to successfully execute and clear UGA’s
trades.
The
failure or insolvency of UGA’s custodian could result in a substantial loss of
UGA’s assets.
As noted
above, the vast majority of UGA’s assets are held in Treasuries, cash and/or
cash equivalents with UGA’s custodian. The insolvency of the custodian could
result in a complete loss of UGA’s assets held by that custodian, which, at any
given time, would likely comprise a substantial portion of UGA’s total
assets.
Third
parties may infringe upon or otherwise violate intellectual property rights or
assert that the General Partner has infringed or otherwise violated their
intellectual property rights, which may result in significant costs and diverted
attention.
Third
parties may utilize UGA’s intellectual property or technology, including the use
of its business methods, trademarks and trading program software, without
permission. The General Partner has a patent pending for UGA’s business method
and it is registering its trademarks. UGA does not currently have any
proprietary software. However, if it obtains proprietary software in the future,
then any unauthorized use of UGA’s proprietary software and other technology
could also adversely affect its competitive advantage. UGA may have difficulty
monitoring unauthorized uses of its patents, trademarks, proprietary software
and other technology. Also, third parties may independently develop business
methods, trademarks or proprietary software and other technology similar to that
of the General Partner or claim that the General Partner has violated their
intellectual property rights, including their copyrights, trademark rights,
trade names, trade secrets and patent rights. As a result, the General Partner
may have to litigate in the future to protect its trade secrets, determine the
validity and scope of other parties’ proprietary rights, defend itself against
claims that it has infringed or otherwise violated other parties’ rights, or
defend itself against claims that its rights are invalid. Any litigation of this
type, even if the General Partner is successful and regardless of the merits,
may result in significant costs, divert its resources from UGA, or require it to
change its proprietary software and other technology or enter into royalty or
licensing agreements.
The
success of UGA depends on the ability of the General Partner to accurately
implement trading systems, and any failure to do so could subject UGA to losses
on such transactions.
UGA
may experience substantial losses on transactions if the computer or
communications system fails.
UGA’s
trading activities, including its risk management, depend on the integrity and
performance of the computer and communications systems supporting them.
Extraordinary transaction volume, hardware or software failure, power or
telecommunications failure, a natural disaster or other catastrophe could cause
the computer systems to operate at an unacceptably slow speed or even fail. Any
significant degradation or failure of the systems that the General Partner uses
to gather and analyze information, enter orders, process data, monitor risk
levels and otherwise engage in trading activities may result in substantial
losses on transactions, liability to other parties, lost profit opportunities,
damages to the General Partner’s and UGA’s reputations, increased operational
expenses and diversion of technical resources.
If
the computer and communications systems are not upgraded, as needed, UGA’s
financial condition could be harmed.
The
development of complex computer and communications systems and new technologies
may render the existing computer and communications systems supporting UGA’s
trading activities obsolete. In addition, these computer and communications
systems must be compatible with those of third parties, such as the systems of
exchanges, clearing brokers and the executing brokers. As a result, if these
third parties upgrade their systems, the General Partner will need to make
corresponding upgrades to continue effectively its trading activities. UGA’s
future success will depend on UGA’s ability to respond to changing technologies
on a timely and cost-effective basis.
UGA
depends on the reliable performance of the computer and communications systems
of third parties, such as brokers and futures exchanges, and may experience
substantial losses on transactions if they fail.
UGA
depends on the proper and timely function of complex computer and communications
systems maintained and operated by the futures exchanges, brokers and other data
providers that the General Partner uses to conduct trading activities. Failure
or inadequate performance of any of these systems could adversely affect the
General Partner’s ability to complete transactions, including its ability to
close out positions, and result in lost profit opportunities and significant
losses on commodity interest transactions. This could have a material adverse
effect on revenues and materially reduce UGA’s available capital. For example,
unavailability of price quotations from third parties may make it difficult or
impossible for the General Partner to use its proprietary software that it
relies upon to conduct its trading activities. Unavailability of records from
brokerage firms may make it difficult or impossible for the General Partner to
accurately determine which transactions have been executed or the details,
including price and time, of any transaction executed. This unavailability of
information also may make it difficult or impossible for the General Partner to
reconcile its records of transactions with those of another party or to
accomplish settlement of executed transactions.
The
occurrence of a terrorist attack, or the outbreak, continuation or expansion of
war or other hostilities could disrupt UGA’s trading activity and materially
affect UGA’s profitability.
The
operations of UGA, the exchanges, brokers and counterparties with which UGA does
business, and the markets in which UGA does business could be severely disrupted
in the event of a major terrorist attack or the outbreak, continuation or
expansion of war or other hostilities. The terrorist attacks of September 11,
2001 and the war in Iraq, global anti-terrorism initiatives and political unrest
in the Middle East and Southeast Asia continue to fuel this
concern.
Risk
of Leverage and Volatility
If
the General Partner permits UGA to become leveraged, investors could lose all or
substantially all of their investment if UGA’s trading positions suddenly turn
unprofitable.
Commodity
pools’ trading positions in futures contracts or other commodity interests are
typically required to be secured by the deposit of margin funds that represent
only a small percentage of a futures contract’s (or other commodity interests’)
entire market value. This feature permits commodity pools to “leverage” their
assets by purchasing or selling futures contracts (or other commodity interests)
with an aggregate value in excess of the commodity pool’s assets. While this
leverage can increase the pool’s profits, relatively small adverse movements in
the price of the pool’s futures contracts can cause significant losses to the
pool. While the General Partner has not and does not currently intend to
leverage UGA’s assets, it is not prohibited from doing so under the LP Agreement
or otherwise.
The
price of gasoline is volatile which could cause large fluctuations in the price
of units.
Movements
in the price of gasoline may be the result of factors outside of the General
Partner’s control and may not be anticipated by the General Partner. Among the
factors that can cause volatility in the price of gasoline are:
·
worldwide
or regional demand for energy, which is affected by economic
conditions;
·
the
domestic and foreign supply and inventories of oil and gas;
|
·
|
weather
conditions, including abnormally mild winter or summer weather, and
abnormally harsh winter or summer
weather;
|
·
availability
and adequacy of pipeline and other transportation facilities;
·
domestic
and foreign governmental regulations and taxes;
·
political
conditions in gas or oil producing regions;
|
·
|
technological
advances relating to energy usage or relating to technology for
exploration, production, refining and petrochemical
manufacturing;
|
|
·
|
the
ability of members of OPEC to agree upon and maintain oil prices and
production levels;
|
·
the
price and availability of alternative fuels; and
·
the
impact of energy conservation efforts.
Since
UGA’s commencement of operations on February 26, 2008, there has been tremendous
volatility in the price of the Benchmark Futures Contract. For
example, the price of the NYMEX futures contract for gasoline rose to a
2008 high of approximately $3.57 per gallon in early July 2008 and
dropped to a 2007 low of approximately $0.83 per gallon in late December
2008. The General Partner anticipates that there will be continued
volatility in the price of the NYMEX futures contract for gasoline and futures
contracts for other petroleum-based commodities. Consequently, investors should
know that this volatility can lead to a loss of all or substantially all of
their investment in UGA.
The
impact of environmental and other governmental laws and regulations that may
affect the price of gasoline.
Since
gasoline prices correlate to crude oil prices, law and regulations that affect
the price of crude oil impact the price of gasoline. Environmental and other
governmental laws and regulations have increased the costs to plan, design,
drill, install, operate and abandon oil wells. Other laws have prevented
exploration and drilling of crude oil in certain environmentally sensitive
federal lands and waters. Several environmental laws that have a direct or an
indirect impact on the price of gasoline include, but are not limited to, the
Clean Air Act, the Clean Water Act, the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act,
and the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation and Liability Act of
1980.
The
limited method for transporting and storing gasoline may cause the price of
gasoline to increase.
Gasoline
is transported throughout the United States by way of pipelines, barges,
tankers, trucks and rail cars and is stored in aboveground and underground
storage facilities. These systems may not be adequate to meet demand, especially
in times of peak demand or in areas of the United States where gasoline service
is already limited due to minimal pipeline and storage infrastructure. As a
result of the limited method for transporting and storing gasoline, the price of
gasoline may increase.
Over-the-Counter
Contract Risk
Over-the-counter
transactions are subject to little, if any, regulation.
A portion
of UGA’s assets may be used to trade over-the-counter gasoline interest
contracts, such as forward contracts or swap or spot contracts. Over-the-counter
contracts are typically traded on a principal-to-principal basis through dealer
markets that are dominated by major money center and investment banks and other
institutions and are essentially unregulated by the CFTC. Investors therefore do
not receive the protection of CFTC regulation or the statutory scheme of the CEA
in connection with this trading activity by UGA. The markets for
over-the-counter contracts rely upon the integrity of market participants in
lieu of the additional regulation imposed by the CFTC on participants in the
futures markets. The lack of regulation in these markets could expose UGA in
certain circumstances to significant losses in the event of trading abuses or
financial failure by participants.
UGA
will be subject to credit risk with respect to counterparties to
over-the-counter contracts entered into by UGA or held by special purpose or
structured vehicles.
UGA faces
the risk of non-performance by the counterparties to the over-the-counter
contracts. Unlike in futures contracts, the counterparty to these contracts is
generally a single bank or other financial institution, rather than a clearing
organization backed by a group of financial institutions. As a result, there
will be greater counterparty credit risk in these transactions. A counterparty
may not be able to meet its obligations to UGA, in which case UGA could suffer
significant losses on these contracts.
If a
counterparty becomes bankrupt or otherwise fails to perform its obligations due
to financial difficulties, UGA may experience significant delays in obtaining
any recovery in a bankruptcy or other reorganization proceeding. UGA may obtain
only limited recovery or may obtain no recovery in such
circumstances.
UGA
may be subject to liquidity risk with respect to its over-the-counter
contracts.
Over-the-counter
contracts may have terms that make them less marketable than Futures Contracts.
Over-the-counter contracts are less marketable because they are not traded on an
exchange, do not have uniform terms and conditions, and are entered into based
upon the creditworthiness of the parties and the availability of credit support,
such as collateral, and in general, they are not transferable without the
consent of the counterparty. These conditions diminish the ability to realize
the full value of such contracts.
Risk
of Trading in International Markets
Trading
in international markets would expose UGA to credit and regulatory
risk.
The
General Partner invests primarily in Futures Contracts, a significant portion of
which are traded on United States exchanges, including the NYMEX. However, a
portion of UGA’s trades may take place on markets and exchanges outside the
United States. Some non-U.S. markets present risks because they are not subject
to the same degree of regulation as their U.S. counterparts. None of the CFTC,
NFA, or any domestic exchange regulates activities of any foreign boards of
trade or exchanges, including the execution, delivery and clearing of
transactions, nor has the power to compel enforcement of the rules of a foreign
board of trade or exchange or of any applicable non-U.S. laws. Similarly, the
rights of market participants, such as UGA, in the event of the insolvency or
bankruptcy of a non-U.S. market or broker are also likely to be more limited
than in the case of U.S. markets or brokers. As a result, in these markets, UGA
has less legal and regulatory protection than it does when it trades
domestically.
In some
of these non-U.S. markets, the performance on a contract is the responsibility
of the counterparty and is not backed by an exchange or clearing corporation and
therefore exposes UGA to credit risk. Trading in non-U.S. markets also leaves
UGA susceptible to swings in the value of the local currency against the U.S.
dollar. Additionally, trading on non-U.S. exchanges is subject to the risks
presented by exchange controls, expropriation, increased tax burdens and
exposure to local economic declines and political instability. An adverse
development with respect to any of these variables could reduce the profit or
increase the loss earned on trades in the affected international
markets.
International
trading activities subject UGA to foreign exchange risk.
The price
of any non-U.S. Futures Contract, option on any non-U.S. Futures Contract, or
other non-U.S. Other Gasoline-Related Investment and, therefore, the potential
profit and loss on such contract, may be affected by any variance in the foreign
exchange rate between the time the order is placed and the time it is
liquidated, offset or exercised. As a result, changes in the value of the local
currency relative to the U.S. dollar may cause losses to UGA even if the
contract traded is profitable.
UGA’s
international trading could expose it to losses resulting from non-U.S.
exchanges that are less developed or less reliable than United States
exchanges.
Some
non-U.S. exchanges may be in a more developmental stage so that prior price
histories may not be indicative of current price dynamics. In addition, UGA may
not have the same access to certain positions on foreign trading exchanges as do
local traders, and the historical market data on which the General Partner bases
its strategies may not be as reliable or accessible as it is for U.S.
exchanges.
Tax
Risk
An
investor’s tax liability may exceed the amount of distributions, if any, on
its units.
Cash or
property will be distributed at the sole discretion of the General Partner. The
General Partner has not and does not currently intend to make cash or other
distributions with respect to units. Investors will be required to pay U.S.
federal income tax and, in some cases, state, local, or foreign income tax, on
their allocable share of UGA’s taxable income, without regard to whether they
receive distributions or the amount of any distributions. Therefore, the tax
liability of an investor with respect to its units may exceed the amount of cash
or value of property (if any) distributed.
An
investor’s allocable share of taxable income or loss may differ from its
economic income or loss on its units.
Due to
the application of the assumptions and conventions applied by UGA in making
allocations for tax purposes and other factors, an investor’s allocable share of
UGA’s income, gain, deduction or loss may be different than its economic profit
or loss from its units for a taxable year. This difference could be temporary or
permanent and, if permanent, could result in it being taxed on amounts in excess
of its economic income.
Items
of income, gain, deduction, loss and credit with respect to units could be
reallocated if the IRS does not accept the assumptions and conventions applied
by UGA in allocating those items, with potential adverse consequences for an
investor.
The U.S.
tax rules pertaining to partnerships are complex and their application to large,
publicly traded partnerships such as UGA is in many respects uncertain. UGA
applies certain assumptions and conventions in an attempt to comply with the
intent of the applicable rules and to report taxable income, gains, deductions,
losses and credits in a manner that properly reflects unitholders’ economic
gains and losses. These assumptions and conventions may not fully comply with
all aspects of the Internal Revenue Code (the “Code”) and applicable Treasury
Regulations, however, and it is possible that the U.S. Internal Revenue Service
will successfully challenge UGA’s allocation methods and require UGA to
reallocate items of income, gain, deduction, loss or credit in a manner that
adversely affects investors. If this occurs, investors may be required to file
an amended tax return and to pay additional taxes plus deficiency
interest.
UGA
could be treated as a corporation for federal income tax purposes, which may
substantially reduce the value of the units.
UGA has
received an opinion of counsel that, under current U.S. federal income tax laws,
UGA will be treated as a partnership that is not taxable as a corporation for
U.S. federal income tax purposes, provided that (i) at least 90 percent of UGA’s
annual gross income consists of “qualifying income” as defined in the Code, (ii)
UGA is organized and operated in accordance with its governing agreements and
applicable law and (iii) UGA does not elect to be taxed as a corporation for
federal income tax purposes. Although the General Partner anticipates that UGA
has satisfied and will continue to satisfy the “qualifying income” requirement
for all of its taxable years, that result cannot be assured. UGA has not
requested and will not request any ruling from the IRS with respect to its
classification as a partnership not taxable as a corporation for federal income
tax purposes. If the IRS were to successfully assert that UGA is taxable as a
corporation for federal income tax purposes in any taxable year, rather than
passing through its income, gains, losses and deductions proportionately to
unitholders, UGA would be subject to tax on its net income for the year at
corporate tax rates. In addition, although the General Partner does not
currently intend to make distributions with respect to units, any distributions
would be taxable to unitholders as dividend income. Taxation of UGA as a
corporation could materially reduce the after-tax return on an investment in
units and could substantially reduce the value of the units.
Not
applicable.
Not
applicable.
Although
UGA may, from time to time, be involved in litigation arising out of its
operations in the normal course of business or otherwise, UGA is currently not a
party to any pending material legal proceedings.
Not
applicable.
UGA’s
units have traded on the NYSE Arca under the symbol “UGA” since November
25, 2008. Prior to trading on the NYSE Arca, UGA’s units previously
traded on the AMEX under the symbol “UGA” since its initial public offering on
February 26, 2008. The following table sets forth the range of reported high and
low sales prices of the units as reported on AMEX and NYSE Arca, as applicable,
for the period of February 26, 2008 to December 31, 2008.
|
|
High
|
|
|
Low
|
|
Fiscal year 2008
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
First
quarter (beginning February 26, 2008)
|
|
$
|
50.93
|
|
|
$
|
46.00
|
|
Second
quarter
|
|
$
|
67.03
|
|
|
$
|
47.97
|
|
Third
quarter
|
|
$
|
67.66
|
|
|
$
|
43.71
|
|
Fourth
quarter
|
|
$
|
48.54
|
|
|
$
|
16.10
|
|
As
of December 31, 2008, UGA had 2,960 holders of units.
Dividends
UGA has
not made and does not currently intend to make cash distributions to its
unitholders.
Issuer
Purchases of Equity Securities
UGA does
not purchase units directly from its unitholders; however, in connection with
its redemption of baskets held by Authorized Purchasers, UGA redeemed 3 baskets
(comprising 300,000 units) during the year ended December 31, 2008.
Financial
Highlights (for the period from February 26, 2008 (commencement of operations)
to December 31, 2008 and the period from April 12, 2007 (inception) to December
31, 2007)
(Dollar
amounts in 000’s except for per unit information)
|
|
For the period
from February 26,
2008 to
December 31,
2008
|
|
|
For the period
from April 12,
2007 to
December 31,
2007
|
|
Total
assets
|
|
$
|
20,369
|
|
|
$
|
1
|
|
Net
realized and unrealized gain (loss) on futures transactions, inclusive of
commissions
|
|
$
|
(9,949
|
)
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
Net
loss
|
|
$
|
(9,799
|
)
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
Weighted-average
limited partnership units
|
|
|
413,548
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
Net
loss per unit
|
|
$
|
(29.79
|
)
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
Net
loss per weighted average unit
|
|
$
|
(23.69
|
)
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
Cash
and cash equivalents at end of period
|
|
$
|
11,692
|
|
|
$
|
1
|
|
The
following discussion should be read in conjunction with the financial statements
and the notes thereto of UGA included elsewhere in this annual report on
Form 10-K.
Forward-Looking
Information
This
annual report on Form 10-K, including this “Management’s Discussion and Analysis
of Financial Condition and Results of Operations,” contains forward-looking
statements regarding the plans and objectives of management for future
operations. This information may involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties
and other factors that may cause UGA’s actual results, performance or
achievements to be materially different from future results, performance or
achievements expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements, which involve assumptions and describe UGA’s
future plans, strategies and expectations, are generally identifiable by use of
the words “may,” “will,” “should,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,”
“believe,” “intend” or “project,” the negative of these words, other
variations on these words or comparable terminology. These forward-looking
statements are based on assumptions that may be incorrect, and UGA cannot assure
investors that these projections included in these forward-looking statements
will come to pass. UGA’s actual results could differ materially from those
expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements as a result of various
factors.
UGA has
based the forward-looking statements included in this annual report on Form 10-K
on information available to it on the date of this annual report on Form
10-K, and UGA assumes no obligation to update any such forward-looking
statements. Although UGA undertakes no obligation to revise or update any
forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future
events or otherwise, investors are advised to consult any additional disclosures
that UGA may make directly to them or through reports that UGA in the
future files with the SEC, including annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly
reports on Form 10-Q and current reports on Form 8-K.
Introduction
UGA, a
Delaware limited partnership, is a commodity pool that issues units that may be
purchased and sold on the NYSE Arca. The investment objective of UGA is to have
the changes in percentage terms of the units’ NAV reflect the changes in
percentage terms of the spot price of gasoline, as measured by the changes in
the price of the futures contract on unleaded gasoline (also known as
reformulated gasoline blendstock for oxygen blending, or “RBOB”, for delivery to
the New York harbor), as traded on the NYMEX that is the near month contract to
expire, except when the near month contract is within two weeks of expiration,
in which case it will be measured by the futures contract that is the next month
contract to expire, less UGA’s expenses.
UGA seeks
to achieve its investment objective by investing in a combination of Futures
Contracts and Other Gasoline-Related Investments such that changes in its NAV,
measured in percentage terms, will closely track the changes in the price
of the Benchmark Futures Contract, also measured in percentage terms. UGA’s
General Partner believes the Benchmark Futures Contract historically
has exhibited a close correlation with the spot price of gasoline. It is
not the intent of UGA to be operated in a fashion such that the NAV will equal,
in dollar terms, the spot price of gasoline or any particular futures contract
based on gasoline. Management believes that it is not practical to manage the
portfolio to achieve such an investment goal when investing in listed gasoline
Futures Contracts.
On any
valuation day, the Benchmark Futures Contract is the near month future contract
for gasoline traded on the NYMEX unless the near month contract will expire
within two weeks of the valuation day, in which case the Benchmark Futures
Contract is the next month contract for gasoline traded on the. “Near month
contract” means the next contract traded on the NYMEX due to expire. “Next month
contract” means the first contract traded on the NYMEX due to expire after the
near month contract.
UGA may also
invest in Futures Contracts and Other Gasoline-Related Investments. The
General Partner of UGA, which is registered as a CPO with the CFTC, is
authorized by the LP Agreement to manage UGA. The General Partner is
authorized by UGA in its sole judgment to employ and establish the terms of
employment for, and termination of, commodity trading advisors or futures
commission merchants.
Gasoline
futures prices were very volatile from February 26, 2008 to the end of the year
and exhibited wide swings. The price of the Benchmark Futures
Contract on February 26, 2008 was near the $2.68 per gallon level. It rose
sharply over the course of the year and hit a peak in early July of
approximately $3.57 per gallon. After that, the price steadily declined, with
the decline becoming more pronounced with the onset of the global financial
crisis in mid-to-late September 2008. The low of the year was in late December
2008 when prices reached the $0.83 per gallon level. The year ended
with the Benchmark Futures Contract near $1.26 per gallon, down approximately
53% over this time period (investors are cautioned that these represent prices
for gasoline on a wholesale basis and should not be directly compared to retail
prices at a gasoline service station). Similarly, UGA’s NAV also rose during the
year from a starting level on February 26, 2008 of $50.00 per unit to a high in
early July 2008 of $66.57 per unit. UGA’s NAV reached its low for the year in
late December 2008 at approximately $15.89 per unit. The NAV on
December 31, 2008 was $20.21 down 59% over the year.
For the
first half of 2008, the gasoline futures market remained in a state of
backwardation, meaning that the price of the front month gasoline futures
contract was typically higher than the price of the second month gasoline
futures contract, or contracts further away from expiration. For much of the
third quarter, the gasoline futures market moved back and forth between a mild
backwardation market and a mild contango market. A contango market is one in
which the price of the front month gasoline futures contract is less than the
price of the second month gasoline futures contract, or contracts further away
from expiration. From late November 2008 to the end of the year, the market
moved into a much steeper contango market. For a discussion of the impact of
backwardation and contango on total returns see “Term Structure of Gasoline
Prices and the Impact on Total Returns”.
Valuation
of Futures Contracts and the Computation of the NAV
The NAV
of UGA units is calculated once each trading day as of the earlier of the close
of the NYSE or 4:00 p.m. New York time. The NAV for a particular
trading day is released after 4:15 p.m. New York time. Trading on the
NYSE typically closes at 4:00 p.m. New York time. UGA uses the NYMEX
closing price (determined at the earlier of the close of the NYMEX or
2:30 p.m. New York time) for the contracts held on the NYMEX, but
calculates or determines the value of all other UGA investments, including ICE
Futures or other futures contracts, as of the earlier of the close of
the NYSE or 4:00 p.m. New York time.
Results
of Operations and the Gasoline Market
Results of
Operations.
On February 26, 2008, UGA listed its units on the
AMEX under the ticker symbol “UGA.” On that day UGA established its initial
offering price at $50.00 per unit and issued 300,000 units to the initial
Authorized Purchaser, Kellogg Capital Group, LLC, in exchange for $15,001,000 in
cash. As a result of the acquisition of the AMEX by NYSE Euronext, UGA’s units
no longer trade on the AMEX and commenced trading on the NYSE Arca on November
25, 2008.
As of
December 31, 2008, UGA had issued 1,300,000 units, 1,000,000 of
which were outstanding. As of December 31, 2008, there were 28,700,000
units registered but not yet issued.
More
units have been issued by UGA than are outstanding due to the redemption of
units. Unlike mutual funds that are registered under the 1940 Act, units that
have been redeemed by UGA cannot be resold by UGA. As a result, UGA contemplates
that further offerings of its units will be registered with the SEC in the
future in anticipation of additional issuances.
For the Period From February
26, 2008 to December 31, 2008
As of
December 31, 2008, the total unrealized gain on Futures Contracts owned or
held on that day was $1,431,721 and UGA established cash
deposits, including cash investments in money market funds, that were equal to
$18,806,351. The majority of cash assets were held in overnight deposits at
UGA’s Custodian, while 37.83% of the cash balance was held as margin deposits
for the Futures Contracts purchased. The ending per unit NAV on December 31,
2008 was $20.21.
Portfolio
Expenses
.
UGA’s
expenses consist of investment management fees, brokerage fees and
commissions, certain offering costs, licensing fees and the fees and expenses of
the independent directors of the General Partner. UGA pays the General
Partner a management fee of 0.60% of NAV on its total net assets. The
fee is accrued daily.
During
the period from February 26, 2008 to December 31, 2008, the daily average total
net assets of UGA were approximately $19,270,440. The management fee paid
by UGA amounted to $97,932, which was calculated at the 0.60% rate and accrued
daily. Management expenses as a percentage of total net assets averaged 0.60%
over the course of the period.
UGA pays
for all brokerage fees, taxes and other expenses, including certain tax
reporting costs, licensing fees for the use of intellectual property, ongoing
registration or other fees paid to the SEC, FINRA and any other
regulatory agency in connection with offers and sales of its units
subsequent to the initial offering and all legal, accounting, printing and other
expenses associated therewith. For the period from February 26, 2008 to
December 31, 2008, UGA incurred $0 in fees and other expenses relating to
the registration and offering of additional units. Expenses incurred in
connection with organizing UGA and the costs of the initial
offering of units were borne by the General Partner, and are not
subject to reimbursement by UGA.
UGA is
responsible for paying its portion of the fees and expenses, including
directors’ and officers’ liability insurance, of the independent directors
of the General Partner who are also its audit committee members. In 2008,
UGA shared these fees with the Related Public Funds based on the
relative assets of each fund computed on a daily basis. These fees for the
period from February 26, 2008 to December 31, 2008 amounted to a total of
$282,000 for all five funds, and UGA’s portion of such fees was
$2,759.
UGA also
incurs commissions to brokers for the purchase and sale of Futures Contracts,
Other Gasoline-Related Investments or Treasuries. During the period from
February 26, 2008 to December 31, 2008, total commissions paid to brokers
amounted to $16,173. As an annualized percentage of total net assets,
the figure for the period from February 26, 2008 to December 31, 2008
represents approximately 0.10% of total net assets. However, there can be no
assurance that commission costs and portfolio turnover will not cause commission
expenses to rise in the future.
The fees
and expenses associated with UGA’s audit expenses and tax accounting and
reporting requirements, with the exception of certain initial implementation
service fees and base service fees which were borne by the General Partner, are
paid by UGA. The General Partner, though under no obligation to do so,
agreed to pay certain expenses, including those relating to audit expenses and
tax accounting and reporting requirements normally borne by UGA to the extent
that such expenses exceeded 0.15% (15 basis points) of UGA’s NAV, on an
annualized basis, through December 31, 2008. The General Partner has
no obligation to continue such payment into subsequent years. The total amount
of these costs to be paid by the General Partner is estimated to be $126,348 for
the year ended December 31, 2008.
Interest Income
. UGA seeks to
invest its assets such that it holds Futures Contracts and Other
Gasoline-Related Investments in an amount equal to the total net assets of the
portfolio. Typically, such investments do not require UGA to pay the full amount
of the contract value at the time of purchase, but rather require UGA to post an
amount as a margin deposit against the eventual settlement of the contract. As a
result, UGA retains an amount that is approximately equal to its total net
assets, which UGA invests in Treasuries, cash and/or cash equivalents. This
includes both the amount on deposit with the futures commission merchant as
margin, as well as unrestricted cash and cash equivalents held with UGA’s
Custodian. The Treasuries, cash and/or cash equivalents earn interest that
accrues on a daily basis.
For the
period from February 26, 2008 to December 31, 2008, UGA earned $270,986 in
interest income on such cash holdings. Based on UGA’s average daily net assets,
this is equivalent to an annualized yield of 1.66%. UGA did not
purchase Treasuries during 2008 and held all of its funds in cash and/or
cash equivalents during this time period.
For the
Three Months Ended December 31, 2008
Portfolio
Expenses
.
During
the three month period ended December 31, 2008, the daily average total net
assets of UGA were approximately $10,660,237. The management fee paid by
UGA amounted to $16,078, which was calculated at the 0.60% rate and accrued
daily. Management expenses as a percentage of total net assets averaged 0.60%
over the course of the period.
UGA pays
for all brokerage fees, taxes and other expenses, including certain tax
reporting costs, licensing fees for the use of intellectual property, ongoing
registration or other fees paid to the SEC, FINRA and any other
regulatory agency in connection with offers and sales of its units
subsequent to the initial offering and all legal, accounting, printing and other
expenses associated therewith. For the three month period ended December
31, 2008, UGA incurred $0 in fees and expenses relating to the registration
and offering of additional units.
UGA is
responsible for paying its portion of the fees and expenses, including
directors’ and officers’ liability insurance, of the independent directors
of the General Partner who are also audit committee members. In 2008,
UGA shared these fees with the Related Public Funds based on the
relative assets of each fund computed on a daily basis. These fees for the three
month period ended December 31, 2008 amounted to a total of $68,750 for all five
funds, and UGA’s portion of such fees was $383.
UGA also
incurs commissions to brokers for the purchase and sale of Futures Contracts,
Other Gasoline-Related Investments or Treasuries. During the three month
period ended December 31, 2008, total commissions paid to brokers amounted to
$5,423. As an annualized percentage of total net assets, the figure for the
three months ended December 31, 2008 represents approximately 0.20% of total net
assets. However, there can be no assurance that commission costs and portfolio
turnover will not cause commission expenses to rise in the future.
The fees
and expenses associated with UGA’s audit expenses and tax accounting and
reporting requirements, with the exception of certain initial implementation
service fees and base service fees which were borne by the General Partner, are
paid by UGA. The General Partner, though under no obligation to do so,
agreed to pay certain expenses, including those relating to audit expenses and
tax accounting and reporting requirements normally borne by UGA to the extent
that such expenses exceeded 0.15% (15 basis points) of UGA’s NAV, on an
annualized basis, through December 31, 2008. The General Partner has
no obligation to continue such payment into subsequent years. No
amounts were required to be paid for audit expenses and tax accounting and
reporting requirements during the quarter ended December 31, 2008.
Interest Income
. UGA seeks to
invest its assets such that it holds Futures Contracts and Other
Gasoline-Related Investments in an amount equal to the total net assets of the
portfolio. Typically, such investments do not require UGA to pay the full amount
of the contract value at the time of purchase, but rather require UGA to post an
amount as a margin deposit against the eventual settlement of the contract. As a
result, UGA retains an amount that is approximately equal to its total net
assets, which UGA invests in Treasuries, cash and/or cash equivalents. This
includes both the amount on deposit with the futures commission merchant as
margin, as well as unrestricted cash held with UGA’s Custodian. The Treasuries,
cash and/or cash equivalents earn interest that accrues on a daily basis.
For the
three month period ended December 31, 2008, UGA earned $23,244 in interest
income on such cash holdings. Based on UGA’s average daily total net assets,
this is equivalent to an annualized yield of 0.87%.UGA did not
purchase Treasuries during the three month period ended December 31, 2008
and held all of its funds in cash and/or cash equivalents during this time
period.
Tracking UGA’s Benchmark
. UGA
seeks to manage its portfolio such that changes in its average daily NAV, on a
percentage basis, closely track changes in the daily price of the Benchmark
Futures Contract, also on a percentage basis. Specifically, UGA seeks to manage
the portfolio such that over any rolling period of 30 valuation days, the
average daily change in the NAV is within a range of 90% to 110% (0.9 to 1.1),
of the average daily change of the Benchmark Futures Contract. As an example, if
the average daily movement of the price of the Benchmark Futures Contract
for a particular 30-day time period was 0.5% per day, UGA management would
attempt to manage the portfolio such that the average daily movement of the NAV
during that same time period fell between 0.45% and 0.55% (
i.e
., between 0.9 and 1.1 of
the benchmark’s results). UGA’s portfolio management goals do not include trying
to make the nominal price of UGA’s NAV equal to the nominal price of the current
Benchmark Futures Contract or the spot price for gasoline. Management believes
that it is not practical to manage the portfolio to achieve such an investment
goal when investing in listed gasoline futures contracts.
For the
30 valuation days ended December 31, 2008, the simple average daily change in
the Benchmark Futures Contract was -0.383%, while the simple average daily
change in the NAV of UGA over the same time period was -0.386%. The average
daily difference was -0.003% (or -0.3 basis points, where 1 basis point equals
1/100 of 1%). As a percentage of the daily movement of the Benchmark Futures
Contract, the average error in daily tracking by the NAV was -0.605%, meaning
that over this time period UGA’s tracking error was within the plus or minus 10%
range established as its benchmark tracking goal. The first chart below shows
the daily movement of UGA’s NAV versus the daily movement of the Benchmark
Futures Contract for the 30-day period ending December 31, 2008.
*PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY
INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
*PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY
INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
Since the
offering of UGA units to the public on February 26, 2008 to December 31,
2008, the simple average daily change in the Benchmark Futures Contract was
-0.350%, while the simple average daily change in the NAV of UGA over the same
time period was -0.347%. The average daily difference was 0.002% (or 0.2
basis points, where 1 basis point equals 1/100 of 1%). As a percentage of the
daily movement of the Benchmark Futures Contract, the average error in daily
tracking by the NAV was 0.327%, meaning that over this time period UGA’s
tracking error was within the plus or minus 10% range established as its
benchmark tracking goal.
An
alternative tracking measurement of the return performance of UGA versus the
return of its Benchmark Futures Contract can be calculated by comparing the
actual return of UGA, measured by changes in its NAV, versus the
expected
changes in its NAV
under the assumption that UGA’s returns had been exactly the same as the daily
changes in its Benchmark Futures Contract.
For the
period from February 26, 2008 to December 31, 2008, the actual total return of
UGA as measured by changes in its NAV was -59.58%. This is based on an initial
NAV of $50.00 on February 26, 2008 and an ending NAV as of December
31, 2008 of $20.21. During this time period, UGA made no distributions to
its unitholders. However, if UGA’s daily changes in its NAV had instead exactly
tracked the changes in the daily return of the Benchmark Futures Contract, UGA
would have ended 2008 with an estimated NAV of $20.09, for a total return over
the relevant time period of -59.81%. The difference between the actual NAV total
return of UGA of -59.58% and the expected total return based on the Benchmark
Futures Contract of -59.81% was an error over the time period of 0.23%, which is
to say that UGA’s actual total return exceeded the benchmark result by that
percentage. Management believes that a portion of the difference between
the actual return and the expected benchmark return can be attributed to the
impact of the interest that UGA collects on its cash and cash equivalent
holdings. During the period from February 26, 2008 to December 31, 2008, UGA
received interest income of $270,986, which is equivalent to a weighted average
interest rate of 1.66% for 2008. In addition, during the period from February
26, 2008 to December 31, 2008, UGA also collected $10,000 from brokerage firms
creating or redeeming baskets of units. During 2008, UGA incurred net expenses
of $146,530. Income from interest and brokerage collections net of
expenses was $134,456, which is equivalent to a weighted average net interest
rate of 0.82% for 2008. This income also contributed to UGA’s actual return
exceeding the benchmark results. However, if the total assets of UGA continue to
increase, management believes that the impact on total returns of these fees
from creations and redemptions will diminish as a percentage of the total
return.
There are
currently three factors that have impacted or are most likely
to impact, UGA’s ability to accurately track its Benchmark Futures
Contract.
First,
UGA may buy or sell its holdings in the then current Benchmark Futures Contract
at a price other than the closing settlement price of that contract on the day
in which UGA executes the trade. In that case, UGA may pay a price that is
higher, or lower, than that of the Benchmark Futures Contract, which, could
cause the changes in the daily NAV of UGA to either be too high or too low
relative to the changes in the Benchmark Futures Contract. In 2008, management
attempted to minimize the effect of these transactions by seeking to execute its
purchase or sale of the Benchmark Futures Contract at, or as close as possible
to, the end of the day settlement price. However, it may not always be possible
for UGA to obtain the closing settlement price and there is no assurance that
failure to obtain the closing settlement price in the future will not adversely
impact UGA’s attempt to track the Benchmark Futures Contract over
time.
Second,
UGA earns interest on its cash, cash equivalents and Treasury
holdings. UGA is not required to distribute any portion of its income to its
unitholders and did not make any distribution to unitholders in 2008. Interest
payments, and any other income, were retained within the portfolio and added to
UGA’s NAV. When this income exceeds the level of UGA’s expenses for its
management fee, brokerage commissions and other expenses (including ongoing
registration fees, licensing fees and the fees and expenses of the
independent directors of the General Partner), UGA will realize a net yield that
will tend to cause daily changes in the NAV of UGA to track slightly higher than
daily changes in the Benchmark Futures Contract. During the period from February
26, 2008 to December 31, 2008, UGA earned, on an annualized basis, approximately
1.66% on its cash holdings. It also incurred cash expenses on an annualized
basis of 0.60% for management fees and approximately 0.10% in brokerage
commission costs related to the purchase and sale of futures contracts, and
0.20% for other expenses. The foregoing fees and expenses resulted in a net
yield on an annualized basis of approximately 0.76% and affected UGA’s ability
to track its benchmark. If short-term interest rates rise above the current
levels, the level of deviation created by the yield would increase. Conversely,
if short-term interest rates were to decline, the amount of error created by the
yield would decrease. If short-term yields drop to a level lower than the
combined expenses of the management fee and the brokerage commissions, then the
tracking error would become a negative number and would tend to cause the daily
returns of the NAV to underperform the daily returns of the Benchmark Futures
Contract.
Third,
UGA may hold Other Gasoline-Related Investments in its portfolio that may
fail to closely track the Benchmark Futures Contract’s total return movements.
In that case, the error in tracking the Benchmark Futures Contract could result
in daily changes in the NAV of UGA that are either too high, or too low,
relative to the daily changes in the Benchmark Futures Contract. During the
period from February 26, 2008 to December 31, 2008, UGA did not hold any Other
Gasoline-Related Investments. However, there can be no assurance that in the
future UGA will not make use of such Other Gasoline-Related
Investments.
Term Structure of Gasoline Futures
Prices and the Impact on Total Returns.
Several factors determine the
total return from investing in a futures contract position. One factor that
impacts the total return that will result from investing in near month
gasoline futures contracts and “rolling” those contracts forward each month is
the price relationship between the current near month contract and the later
month contracts. For example, if the price of the near month contract is higher
than the next month contract (a situation referred to as “backwardation” in the
futures market), then absent any other change there is a tendency for the price
of a next month contract to rise in value as it becomes the near month contract
and approaches expiration. Conversely, if the price of a near month contract is
lower than the next month contract (a situation referred to as “contango” in the
futures market), then absent any other change there is a tendency for the price
of a next month contract to decline in value as it becomes the near month
contract and approaches expiration.
As an
example, assume that the price of gasoline for immediate delivery (the “spot”
price), was $2.00 per gallon, and the value of a position in the near month
futures contract was also $2.00. Over time, the price of a gallon of gasoline
will fluctuate based on a number of market factors, including demand for
gasoline relative to its supply. The value of the near month contract
will likewise fluctuate in reaction to a number of market factors. If
investors seek to maintain their holding in a near month contract position and
not take delivery of the gasoline, every month they must sell their current near
month contract as it approaches expiration and invest in the next month
contract.
If the
futures market is in backwardation,
e.g.
, when the expected price
of gasoline in the future would be less, the investor would be buying a next
month contract for a lower price than the current near month contract.
Hypothetically, and assuming no other changes to either prevailing gasoline
prices or the price relationship between the spot price, the near month contract
and the next month contract (and ignoring the impact of commission costs and the
interest earned on Treasuries, cash and/or cash equivalents), the value of the
next month contract would rise as it approaches expiration and becomes the new
near month contract. In this example, the value of the $2.00 investment would
tend to rise faster than the spot price of gasoline, or fall slower. As a
result, it would be possible in this hypothetical example for the price of spot
gasoline to have risen to $2.50 after some period of time, while the value of
the investment in the futures contract would have risen to $2.60, assuming
backwardation is large enough or enough time has elapsed. Similarly, the spot
price of gasoline could have fallen to $1.50 while the value of an investment in
the futures contract could have fallen to only $1.60. Over time, if
backwardation remained constant, the difference would continue to
increase.
If the
futures market is in contango, the investor would be buying a next month
contract for a higher price than the current near month contract.
Hypothetically, and assuming no other changes to either prevailing gasoline
prices or the price relationship between the spot price, the near month contract
and the next month contract (and ignoring the impact of commission costs and the
interest earned on cash), the value of the next month contract would fall as it
approaches expiration and becomes the new near month contract. In this example,
it would mean that the value of the $2.00 investment would tend to rise slower
than the spot price of gasoline, or fall faster. As a result, it would be
possible in this hypothetical example for the spot price of gasoline to
have risen to $2.50 after some period of time, while the value of the investment
in the futures contract will have risen to only $2.40, assuming contango is
large enough or enough time has elapsed. Similarly, the spot price of
gasoline could have fallen to $1.50 while the value of an investment in the
futures contract could have fallen to $1.40. Over time, if contango remained
constant, the difference would continue to increase.
The chart
below compares the price of the near month contract to the price of the second
month contract over the last 10 years (1999-2008). When the price of the near
month contract is higher than the price of the second contract, the market would
be described as being in backwardation. When the price of the near month
contract is lower than the price of the second month contract, the market would
be described as being in contango. Although the prices of the near month
contract and the price of the second month contract do tend to move up or down
together, it can be seen that at times the near month prices are clearly higher
than the price of the second month contract (backwardation), and other times
they are below the price of the second month contract (contango). In addition,
investors can observe that gasoline prices, both front month and
second month, often display a seasonal pattern in which the price of gasoline
tends to rise in the summer months and decline in the winter months. This
mirrors the physical demand for gasoline, which typically peaks in the
summer.
*PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY
INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
Another
way to view backwardation and contango data over time is to subtract the dollar
price of the near month gasoline futures contract from the dollar price of the
second month gasoline futures contract. If the resulting number is a positive
number, then the near month price is higher than the price of the second month
and the market could be described as being in backwardation. If the resulting
number is a negative number, than the near month price is lower than the price
of the second month and the market could be described as being in contango. The
chart below shows the results from subtracting the near month price from the
price of the second month contract for the 10 year period between 1999 and
2008. Investors will note that the near month gasoline futures contract
spent time in both backwardation and contango. Investors will further note that
the markets display a very seasonal pattern that corresponds to the seasonal
demand patterns for gasoline mentioned above. That is the in many, but not all,
cases the price of the front month is higher than the second month during the
middle of the summer months as the price of gasoline for delivery in those
summer months rises to meet peak demand. At the same time, the price of the
front month, when that month is just
before
the onset of
spring, does not rise as far or as fast as the price of a second month contract
whose delivery falls closer to the start of the summer season.
*PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY
INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
While the
investment objective of UGA is not to have the market price of its units match,
dollar for dollar, changes in the spot price of gasoline, contango and
backwardation have impacted the total return on an investment in UGA units
during the past year relative to a hypothetical direct investment in
gasoline. For example, an investment in UGA units made on February 26, 2008 and
held to December 31, 2008 decreased based upon the changes in the NAV for UGA
units on those days, by 59%, while the spot price of gasoline for immediate
delivery during the same period decreased by 53% (note: this comparison ignores
the potential costs associated with physically owning and storing gasoline,
which could be substantial).
Periods
of contango or backwardation do not materially impact UGA’s investment objective
of having percentage changes in its per unit NAV track percentage changes in the
price of the Benchmark Futures Contract since the impact of backwardation and
contango tended to equally impact the percentage changes in price of both UGA’s
units and the Benchmark Futures Contract. It is impossible to predict with
any degree of certainty whether backwardation or contango will occur in the
future. It is likely that both conditions will occur during different
periods.
Gasoline Market
. Gasoline
futures prices were very volatile from February 26, 2008 to the end of the year
and exhibited wide swings. The price of the Benchmark Futures Contract on
February 26, 2008 was near the $2.68 per gallon level. It rose sharply over the
course of the year and hit a peak in early July 2008 of approximately $3.57 per
gallon. After that the price steadily declined, with the decline becoming more
pronounced with the onset of the global financial crisis in mind-to-late
September 2008. The low of the year was in late December 2008 when prices
reached $0.83 per gallon level. The year ended with the Benchmark Futures
Contract near $1.26 per gallon, down approximately 53% over this time period
(investors are cautioned that these represent prices for gasoline on a wholesale
basis and should not be directly compared to retail prices at a gasoline service
station).
During
the period of approximately nine months from commencement of operations,
February 26, 2008 and ended December 31, 2008, the price of crude oil, the raw
material from which gasoline is refined, fell 56% from approximately $100.88 to
$44.60. The price of crude oil was influenced by several factors, including
weakening demand for crude oil globally and only modest decreases in the
production levels of crude oil. Crude oil peaked in price in mid-July of 2008,
having reached a price of over $145 a barrel. However, sharply declining U.S.
demand for crude oil as well as a slow-down in demand outside of the U.S.
contributed to a very large drop in the price of crude oil. The drop in the
price of crude oil was particularly sharp from the period of mid-September 2008
to the end of the year as the global financial crisis impacted economies around
the world.
Management
believes that over both the medium-term and the long-term, changes in the price
of crude oil will exert the greatest influence on the price of refined petroleum
products such as gasoline. At the same time, there can be other factors that,
particularly in the short term, cause the price of gasoline to rise (or fall),
more (or less) than the price of crude oil. For example, higher gasoline prices
cause American consumers to reduce their gasoline consumption, particularly
during the high demand period of the summer driving season and gasoline prices
are impacted by the availability of refining capacity. Furthermore, a slowdown
or recession in the U.S. economy may have a greater impact on U.S. gasoline
prices than on global crude oil prices. As a result, it is possible that changes
in gasoline prices may not match the changes in crude oil prices.
Gasoline Price Movements in
Comparison to other Energy Commodities and Investment Categories.
The
General Partner believes that investors frequently measure the degree to which
prices or total returns of one investment or asset class move up or down in
value in concert with another investment or asset class. Statistically, such a
measure is usually done by measuring the correlation of the price movements of
the two different investments or asset classes over some period of time. The
correlation is scaled between 1 and -1, where 1 indicates that the two
investment options move up or down in price or value together, known as
“positive correlation,” and -1 indicating that they move in completely opposite
directions, known as “negative correlation.” A correlation of 0 would mean that
the movements of the two are neither positively or negatively correlated, known
as “non-correlation.” That is, the investment options sometimes move up and down
together and other times move in opposite directions.
For the
ten year time period between 1998 and 2008, the chart below compares the monthly
movements of unleaded gasoline versus the monthly movements of several other
energy commodities, natural gas, crude oil and heating oil, as well as several
major non-commodity investment asset classes such as large cap U.S. equities,
U.S. government bonds and global equities. It can be seen that over this
particular time period, the movement of unleaded gasoline on a monthly basis was
NOT strongly correlated, positively or negatively, with the movements of large
cap U.S. equities, U.S. government bonds or global equities. However, movements
in unleaded gasoline had a strong positive correlation to movements in crude oil
and heating oil. Finally, unleaded gasoline had a positive, but weaker,
correlation with natural gas.
10 Year Correlation Matrix
1998-2008
|
Large Cap U.S.
Equities
(S&P 500)
|
U.S. Govt. Bonds
(EFFAS U.S.
Government Bond
Index)
|
Global Equities
(FTSE World
Index)
|
Crude Oil
|
Natural Gas
|
Heating Oil
|
Unleaded
Gasoline
|
Large Cap U.S. Equities (S&P 500)
|
1
|
-0.223
|
0.936
|
0.063
|
0.045
|
0.003
|
0.266
|
U.S.
Govt. Bonds (EFFAS U.S. Government Bond Index)
|
|
1
|
-0.214
|
-0.29
|
0.054
|
0.037
|
-0.134
|
Global
Equities (FTSE World Index)
|
|
|
1
|
0.155
|
0.072
|
0.084
|
0.384
|
Crude
Oil
|
|
|
|
1
|
0.292
|
0.738
|
0.747
|
Natural
Gas
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
0.394
|
0.254
|
Heating
Oil
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
0.787
|
Unleaded
Gasoline
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
source:
Bloomberg, NYMEX
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY
INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
The chart
below covers a more recent, but much shorter, range of dates than the above
chart. Over the year ended December 31, 2008, unleaded gasoline continued to
have a strong positive correlation with crude oil and heating oil. During this
period it also had a stronger correlation with the movements of natural gas than
it had displayed over the prior ten year period. Notably, the correlation
between unleaded gasoline and both large cap U.S. equities and global equities,
which had been essentially non-correlated over the prior ten years, displayed
results that indicated that they had a moderate to strong positive correlation
over this shorter time period, particularly due to the recent downturn in the
U.S. economy. Finally, the results showed that unleaded gasoline and U.S.
government bonds, which had essentially been non-correlated for the prior ten
year period, were negatively correlated over this more recent time
period.
Correlation
Matrix 2008
|
Large
Cap U.S. Equities
(S&P
500)
|
U.S.
Govt. Bonds (EFFAS U.S. Government Bond Index)
|
Global
Equities (FTSE World Index)
|
Crude
Oil
|
Natural
Gas
|
Heating
Oil
|
Unleaded
Gasoline
|
Large
Cap U.S. Equities (S&P 500)
|
1
|
-0.515
|
0.839
|
0.248
|
0.083
|
0.264
|
0.337
|
U.S.
Govt. Bonds (EFFAS U.S. Government Bond Index)
|
|
1
|
-0.406
|
-0.224
|
-0.053
|
-0.159
|
-0.233
|
Global
Equities (FTSE World Index)
|
|
|
1
|
0.403
|
0.202
|
0.429
|
0.486
|
Crude
Oil
|
|
|
|
1
|
0.408
|
0.812
|
0.786
|
Natural
Gas
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
0.476
|
0.407
|
Heating
Oil
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
0.853
|
Unleaded
Gasoline
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
source:
Bloomberg, NYMEX
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY
INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
Investors
are cautioned that the historical price relationships between gasoline and
various other energy commodities, as well as other investment asset classes, as
measured by correlation may not be reliable predictors of future price movements
and correlation results. The results pictured above would have been different if
a different range of dates had been selected. The General Partner believes that
gasoline has historically not demonstrated a strong correlation with equities or
bonds over long periods of time. However, the General Partner also believes that
in the future it is possible that gasoline could have long term correlation
results that indicate prices of gasoline more closely track the movements of
equities or bonds. In addition, the General Partner believes that, when measured
over time periods shorter than ten years, there will always be some periods
where the correlation of gasoline to equities and bonds will be either more
strongly positively correlated or more strongly negatively correlated than the
long term historical results suggest.
The correlations between
gasoline, crude oil, natural gas and heating oil are relevant because the
General Partner endeavors to invest UGA’s assets in Futures Contracts and Other
Gasoline-Related Investments so that daily changes in UGA’s NAV correlate as
closely as possible with daily changes in the price of the Benchmark Futures
Contracts. If certain other fuel-based commodity futures contracts do not
closely correlate with the Futures Contracts then their use could lead to
greater tracking error. As noted, the General Partner also believes that the
changes in the price of the Benchmark Futures Contracts will closely correlate
with changes in the spot price of gasoline.
Critical
Accounting Policies
Preparation
of the financial statements and related disclosures in compliance with
accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America
requires the application of appropriate accounting rules and guidance, as well
as the use of estimates. UGA’s application of these policies involves judgments
and actual results may differ from the estimates used.
The
General Partner has evaluated the nature and types of estimates that
it makes in preparing UGA’s financial statements and related
disclosures and has determined that the valuation of its investments which
are not traded on a United States or internationally recognized futures exchange
(such as forward contracts and over-the-counter contracts) involves a critical
accounting policy. The values which are used by UGA for its forward
contracts are provided by its commodity broker who uses market prices when
available, while over-the-counter contracts are valued based on the present
value of estimated future cash flows that would be received from or paid to a
third party in settlement of these derivative contracts prior to their delivery
date and valued on a daily basis. In addition, UGA estimates interest income on
a daily basis using prevailing interest rates earned on its cash and cash
equivalents. These estimates are adjusted to the actual amount received on
a monthly basis and the difference, if any, is not considered
material.
Liquidity
and Capital Resources
UGA has
not made, and does not anticipate making, use of borrowings or other lines of
credit to meet its obligations. UGA has met, and it is anticipated that UGA will
continue to meet, its liquidity needs in the normal course of business from the
proceeds of the sale of its investments, or from the Treasuries, cash and/or
cash equivalents that it intends to hold at all times. UGA’s liquidity needs
include: redeeming units, providing margin deposits for its existing gasoline
Futures Contracts or the purchase of additional gasoline Futures Contracts and
posting collateral for its over-the-counter contracts and payment of its
expenses, summarized below under “Contractual Obligations.”
UGA
currently generates cash primarily from (i) the sale of Creation Baskets and
(ii) interest earned on Treasuries, cash and/or cash equivalents. UGA has
allocated substantially all of its net assets to trading in Gasoline Interests.
UGA invests in Gasoline Interests to the fullest extent possible without being
leveraged or unable to satisfy its current or potential margin or collateral
obligations with respect to its investments in Futures Contracts and Other
Gasoline-Related Investments. A significant portion of the NAV is held in cash
and cash equivalents that are used as margin and as collateral for UGA’s
trading in Gasoline Interests. The balance of the net assets is held in
UGA’s account at its custodian bank. Interest earned on UGA’s interest-bearing
funds is paid to UGA.
UGA’s
investment in Gasoline Interests may be subject to periods of illiquidity
because of market conditions, regulatory considerations and other reasons. For
example, most commodity exchanges limit the fluctuations in Futures
Contracts prices during a single day by regulations referred to as “daily
limits.” During a single day, no trades may be executed at prices beyond the
daily limit. Once the price of a Futures Contract has increased or
decreased by an amount equal to the daily limit, positions in the contracts can
neither be taken nor liquidated unless the traders are willing to effect trades
at or within the specified daily limit. Such market conditions could prevent UGA
from promptly liquidating its positions in Futures Contracts. During the
period from February 26, 2008 to December 31, 2008, UGA was not forced to
purchase or liquidate any of its positions while daily limits were in effect;
however, UGA cannot predict whether such an event may occur in the
future.
Prior to
the initial offering of UGA, all payments with respect to UGA’s expenses were
paid by the General Partner. UGA does not have an obligation or
intention to refund such payments by the General Partner. The General
Partner is under no obligation to pay UGA’s current or future expenses.
Since such date, UGA has been responsible for expenses relating to (i)
investment management fees, (ii) brokerage fees and commissions, (iii)
licensing fees for the use of intellectual property, (iv) ongoing registration
expenses in connection with offers and sales of its units subsequent to the
initial offering, (v) taxes and other expenses, including certain tax reporting
costs, (vi) fees and expenses of the independent directors of the General
Partner and (vii) other extraordinary expenses not in the ordinary course of
business, while the General Partner is responsible for expenses relating to the
fees of the Marketing Agent, the Administrator and the Custodian. If the
General Partner and UGA are unsuccessful in raising sufficient funds to cover
these respective expenses or in locating any other source of funding, UGA will
terminate and investors may lose all or part of their
investment.
Market
Risk
Trading
in Futures Contracts and Other Gasoline-Related Investments, such as
forwards, involves UGA entering into contractual commitments to purchase or
sell gasoline at a specified date in the future. The aggregate market value of
the contracts will significantly exceed UGA’s future cash requirements
since UGA intends to close out its open positions prior to settlement. As a
result, UGA is generally only subject to the risk of loss arising from
the change in value of the contracts. UGA considers the “fair value” of its
derivative instruments to be the unrealized gain or loss on the contracts. The
market risk associated with UGA’s commitments to purchase gasoline is limited to
the aggregate market value of the contracts held. However, should UGA enter
into a contractual commitment to sell gasoline, it would be required to make
delivery of the gasoline at the contract price, repurchase the contract at
prevailing prices or settle in cash. Since there are no limits on the future
price of gasoline, the market risk to UGA could be unlimited.
UGA’s
exposure to market risk depends on a number of factors, including the
markets for gasoline, the volatility of interest rates and foreign exchange
rates, the liquidity of the Futures Contracts and Other Gasoline-Related
Investments markets and the relationships among the contracts held by UGA. The
limited experience that UGA has had in utilizing its model to trade in
Gasoline Interests in a manner intended to track the changes in the spot price
of gasoline, as well as drastic market occurrences, could ultimately lead to the
loss of all or substantially all of an investor’s capital.
Credit
Risk
When UGA
enters into Futures Contracts and Other Gasoline-Related Investments, it is
exposed to the credit risk that the counterparty will not be able to meet its
obligations. The counterparty for the Futures Contracts traded on the NYMEX
and on most other foreign futures exchanges is the clearinghouse associated
with the particular exchange. In general, clearinghouses are backed by their
members who may be required to share in the financial burden resulting from the
nonperformance of one of their members, and therefore, this additional member
support should significantly reduce credit risk. Some foreign exchanges are not
backed by their clearinghouse members but may be backed by a consortium of banks
or other financial institutions. There can be no assurance that any
counterparty, clearinghouse, or their members or their financial backers will
satisfy their obligations to UGA in such circumstances.
The
General Partner attempts to manage the credit risk of UGA by following
various trading limitations and policies. In particular, UGA generally posts
margin and/or holds liquid assets that are approximately equal to the market
value of its obligations to counterparties under the Futures Contracts and Other
Gasoline-Related Investments it holds. The General Partner has implemented
procedures that include, but are not limited to, executing and clearing trades
only with creditworthy parties and/or requiring the posting of collateral or
margin by such parties for the benefit of UGA to limit its credit
exposure.
UBS
Securities LLC, UGA’s commodity broker, or any other broker that may be retained
by UGA in the future, when acting as UGA’s futures commission merchant in
accepting orders to purchase or sell Futures Contracts on United States
exchanges, is required by CFTC regulations to separately account for and
segregate as belonging to UGA, all assets of UGA relating to domestic Futures
Contracts trading. These futures commission merchants are not allowed to
commingle UGA’s assets with its other assets. In addition, the CFTC requires
commodity brokers to hold in a secure account the UGA assets related to foreign
Futures Contracts trading.
If, in
the future, UGA purchases over-the-counter contracts, see “Item 7A: Quantitative
and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk” for a discussion of
over-the-counter contracts.
As of December 31, 2008, UGA had
deposits in domestic and foreign financial institutions, including cash
investments in money market funds, in the amount of $18,806,351. This amount is
subject to loss should these institutions cease operations.
Off
Balance Sheet Financing
As of
December 31, 2008, UGA has no loan guarantee, credit support or other
off-balance sheet arrangements of any kind other than agreements entered into in
the normal course of business, which may include indemnification provisions
relating to certain risks that service providers undertake in performing
services which are in the best interests of UGA. While UGA’s exposure under
these indemnification provisions cannot be estimated, they are not expected to
have a material impact on UGA’s financial position.
Redemption
Basket Obligation
In order
to meet its investment objective and pay its contractual obligations described
below, UGA requires liquidity to redeem units, which redemptions must be in
blocks of 100,000 units called Redemption Baskets. UGA has to
date satisfied this obligation by paying from the cash or cash equivalents
it holds or through the sale of its Treasuries in an amount proportionate
to the number of units being redeemed.
Contractual
Obligations
UGA’s
primary contractual obligations are with the General Partner. In return for its
services, the General Partner is entitled to a management fee calculated as a
fixed percentage of UGA’s NAV, currently equal to 0.60% of NAV on its average
net assets.
The
General Partner agreed to pay the start-up costs associated with the
formation of UGA, primarily its legal, accounting and other costs in connection
with the General Partner’s registration with the CFTC as a CPO and the
registration and listing of UGA and its units with the SEC, FINRA and the
AMEX, respectively. However, following UGA’s initial offering of units, offering
costs incurred in connection with registering and listing additional units of
UGA are directly borne on an ongoing basis by UGA, and not by the General
Partner.
The General Partner pays the fees
of the Marketing Agent and the fees of the custodian and transfer agent,
BBH&Co, as well as BBH&Co.’s fees for performing administrative
services, including in connection with the preparation of UGA’s financial
statements and its SEC and CFTC reports. The General Partner and UGA have
also entered into a licensing agreement with the NYMEX pursuant to which
UGA and the affiliated funds managed by the General Partner pay a licensing fee
to the NYMEX. The General Partner also pays certain
initial implementation service fees and base service fees charged
by the accounting firm for its tax accounting and reporting requirements;
however, UGA pays the fees and expenses associated with its tax accounting and
reporting requirements.
In addition to the General Partner’s
management fee, UGA pays its brokerage fees (including fees to a futures
commission merchant), over-the-counter dealer spreads, any licensing fees
for the use of intellectual property, and, subsequent to the initial offering,
registration and other fees paid to the SEC, FINRA, or other regulatory agencies
in connection with the offer and sale of units, as well as legal, printing,
accounting and other expenses associated therewith, and extraordinary expenses.
The latter are expenses not incurred in the ordinary course of UGA’s
business, including expenses relating to the indemnification of any person
against liabilities and obligations to the extent permitted by law and under the
LP Agreement, the bringing or defending of actions in law or in equity or
otherwise conducting litigation and incurring legal expenses and the settlement
of claims and litigation. Commission payments to a futures commission
merchant are on a contract-by-contract, or round turn, basis. UGA also pays a
portion of the fees and expenses of the independent directors of the General
Partner. See Note 3 to the Notes to Financial Statements.
The
parties cannot anticipate the amount of payments that will be required under
these arrangements for future periods, as UGA’s NAVs and trading levels to meet
its investment objectives will not be known until a future date. These
agreements are effective for a specific term agreed upon by the parties with an
option to renew, or, in some cases, are in effect for the duration of UGA’s
existence. Either party may terminate these agreements earlier for certain
reasons described in the agreements.
Over-the-Counter
Derivatives
In the
future, UGA may purchase over-the-counter contracts. Unlike most of the
exchange-traded gasoline Futures Contracts or exchange-traded options on such
futures, each party to an over-the-counter contract bears the credit risk that
the other party may not be able to perform its obligations under its
contract.
Some
gasoline-based derivatives transactions contain fairly generic terms and
conditions and are available from a wide range of participants. Other
gasoline-based derivatives have highly customized terms and conditions and are
not as widely available. Many of these over-the-counter contracts are
cash-settled forwards for the future delivery of gasoline- or petroleum-based
fuels that have terms similar to the Futures Contracts. Others take the form of
“swaps” in which the two parties exchange cash flows based on pre-determined
formulas tied to the spot price of gasoline, forward gasoline prices or
gasoline futures prices. For example, UGA may enter into over-the-counter
derivative contracts whose value will be tied to changes in the difference
between the spot price of gasoline, the price of Futures Contracts
traded on the NYMEX and the prices of other Futures Contracts that may be
invested in by UGA.
To
protect itself from the credit risk that arises in connection with such
contracts, UGA may enter into agreements with each counterparty that provide for
the netting of its overall exposure to such counterparty, such as the agreements
published by the International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Inc. UGA
also may require that the counterparty be highly rated and/or provide
collateral or other credit support to address UGA’s exposure to the
counterparty. In addition, it is also possible for UGA and its counterparty to
agree to clear their agreement through an established futures clearinghouse such
as those connected to the NYMEX or the ICE Futures. In that event, UGA would no
longer have credit risk of its original counterparty, as the clearinghouse would
now be UGA’s counterparty. UGA would still retain any price risk associated with
its transaction.
The
creditworthiness of each potential counterparty will be assessed by the General
Partner. The General Partner will assess or review, as appropriate, the
creditworthiness of each potential or existing counterparty to an
over-the-counter contract pursuant to guidelines approved by the Board.
Furthermore, the General Partner on behalf of UGA only enters into
over-the-counter contracts with (a) members of the Federal Reserve System or
foreign banks with branches regulated by the Federal Reserve Board; (b) primary
dealers in U.S. government securities; (c) broker-dealers; (d) commodity futures
merchants; or (e) affiliates of the foregoing. Existing counterparties are also
reviewed periodically by the General Partner.
UGA
anticipates that the use of Other Gasoline-Related Investments together with its
investments in Futures Contracts will produce price and total return results
that closely track the investment goals of UGA.
UGA may
employ spreads or straddles in its trading to mitigate the differences in its
investment portfolio and its goal of tracking the price of the Benchmark Futures
Contract. UGA would use a spread when it chooses to take simultaneous long and
short positions in futures written on the same underlying asset, but with
different delivery months. The effect of holding such combined positions is to
adjust the sensitivity of UGA to changes in the price relationship between
futures contracts which will expire sooner and those that will expire later. UGA
would use such a spread if the General Partner felt that taking such long and
short positions, when combined with the rest of its holdings, would more closely
track the investment goals of UGA, or if the General Partner felt it would lead
to an overall lower cost of trading to achieve a given level of economic
exposure to movements in gasoline prices. UGA would enter into a straddle when
it chooses to take an option position consisting of a long (or short) position
in both a call option and put option. The economic effect of holding certain
combinations of put options and call options can be very similar to that of
owning the underlying futures contracts. UGA would make use of such a straddle
approach if, in the opinion of the General Partner, the resulting combination
would more closely track the investment goals of UGA or if it would lead to an
overall lower cost of trading to achieve a given level of economic exposure to
movements in gasoline prices.
During the period from February 26,
2008 to December 31, 2008, UGA did not employ any hedging methods such as those
described above since all of its investments were made over an exchange.
Therefore, UGA was not exposed to counterparty risk.
United
States Gasoline Fund, LP
Index
to Financial Statements
Documents
|
|
Page
|
|
Report
of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm.
|
|
|
78
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Statements
of Financial Condition at December 31, 2008 and 2007.
|
|
|
79
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Schedule
of Investments at December 31, 2008.
|
|
|
80
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Statements
of Operations for the period from February 26, 2008 (commencement of
operations) to December 31, 2008 and the period from April 12, 2007
(inception) to December 31, 2007.
|
|
|
81
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Statements
of Changes in Partners’ Capital for the period from February 26, 2008
(commencement of operations) to December 31, 2008 and the period from
April 12, 2007 (inception) to December 31, 2007.
|
|
|
82
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Statements
of Cash Flows for the period from February 26, 2008 (commencement of
operations) to December 31, 2008 and the period from April 12, 2007
(inception) to December 31, 2007.
|
|
|
83
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Notes
to Financial Statements for the period from February 26, 2008
(commencement of operations) to December 31, 2008 and the period from
April 12, 2007 (inception) to December 31, 2007.
|
|
|
84
|
|
To the
Partners of
United
States Gasoline Fund, LP
We have
audited the accompanying statements of financial condition of United States
Gasoline Fund, LP (the “Fund”) as of December 31, 2008 and 2007, including the
schedule of investments as of December 31, 2008 and the related statements of
operations, changes in partners’ capital and cash flows for the period from
February 26, 2008 (commencement of operations) through December 31, 2008 and the
period from April 12, 2007 (inception) through December 31, 2007. These
financial statements are the responsibility of the Fund’s management. Our
responsibility is to express an opinion on these financial statements based on
our audits.
We
conducted our audits in accordance with standards of the Public Company
Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Those standards require that we plan
and perform the audits to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the
financial statements are free of material misstatement. The Fund is not required
to have, nor were we engaged to perform, an audit of its internal control over
financial reporting. Our audit included consideration of internal control over
financial reporting as a basis for designing audit procedures that are
appropriate in the circumstances, but not for the purpose of expressing an
opinion on the effectiveness of the Fund’s internal control over financial
reporting. Accordingly, we express no such opinion. An audit also includes
examining, on a test basis, evidence supporting the amounts and disclosures in
the financial statements, assessing the accounting principles used and
significant estimates made by management, as well as evaluating the overall
financial statement presentation. We believe that our audits provide a
reasonable basis for our opinion.
In our
opinion, the financial statements referred to above present fairly, in all
material respects, the financial position of United States Gasoline Fund, LP as
of December 31, 2008 and 2007, and the results of its operations and its cash
flows for the period from February 26, 2008 (commencement of operations) through
December 31, 2008 and the period from April 12, 2007 (inception) through
December 31, 2007, in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted
in the United States of America.
/s/
SPICER JEFFRIES LLP
Greenwood
Village, Colorado
March 20, 2009
United
States Gasoline Fund, LP
|
|
|
|
Statements
of Financial Condition
|
|
|
|
At
December 31, 2008 and 2007
|
|
|
|
|
|
2008
|
|
|
2007
|
|
Assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash
and cash equivalents
|
|
$
|
11,691,510
|
|
|
$
|
1,000
|
|
Equity
in UBS Securities LLC trading accounts:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash
|
|
|
7,114,841
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
Unrealized
gain on open commodity futures contracts
|
|
|
1,431,721
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
Receivable
from general partner
|
|
|
126,348
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
Interest
receivable
|
|
|
4,251
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
assets
|
|
$
|
20,368,671
|
|
|
$
|
1,000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities
and Partners' Capital
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
General
Partner management fees (Note 3)
|
|
$
|
5,902
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
Audit
and tax reporting fees payable
|
|
|
150,794
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
Brokerage
commission fees payable
|
|
|
1,400
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
Other
liabilities
|
|
|
1,156
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
liabilities
|
|
|
159,252
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Commitments and Contingencies
(Notes 3, 4 and 5)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Partners'
Capital
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
General
Partner
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
20
|
|
Limited
Partners
|
|
|
20,209,419
|
|
|
|
980
|
|
Total
Partners' Capital
|
|
|
20,209,419
|
|
|
|
1,000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
liabilities and partners' capital
|
|
$
|
20,368,671
|
|
|
$
|
1,000
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Limited
Partners' units outstanding
|
|
|
1,000,000
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
Net
asset value per unit
|
|
$
|
20.21
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
Market
value per unit
|
|
$
|
19.46
|
|
|
$
|
-
|
|
See
accompanying notes to financial statements.