Ohio
|
31-0746871
|
|
(State
or other jurisdiction of
incorporation
or organization)
|
(I.R.S.
Employer Identification No.)
|
|
6200 S. Gilmore Road, Fairfield,
Ohio
|
45014-5141
|
|
(Address
of principal executive offices)
|
(Zip
code)
|
Part
I – Financial Information
|
3
|
Item
1. Financial Statements
(unaudited)
|
3
|
Condensed
Consolidated Balance Sheets
|
3
|
Condensed
Consolidated Statements Of Operations
|
4
|
Condensed
Consolidated Statements Of Shareholders’ Equity
|
5
|
Condensed
Consolidated Statements Of Cash Flows
|
6
|
Notes
to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements (unaudited)
|
7
|
Item
2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations
|
19
|
Safe
Harbor Statement
|
19
|
Introduction
|
21
|
Results
of Operations
|
28
|
Liquidity
and Capital Resources
|
41
|
Other
Matters
|
44
|
Item
3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures
about Market Risk
|
45
|
Fixed-Maturity
Investments
|
45
|
Short-Term
Investments
|
47
|
Equity
Investments
|
47
|
Unrealized
Investment Gains and Losses
|
48
|
Item
4. Controls and Procedures
|
51
|
Part
II – Other Information
|
51
|
Item
1. Legal Proceedings
|
51
|
Item
1A. Risk Factors
|
51
|
Item
2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities
and Use of Proceeds
|
51
|
Item
3. Defaults upon Senior
Securities
|
52
|
Item
4. (Removed and
Reserved)
|
52
|
Item
5. Other Information
|
52
|
Item
6. Exhibits
|
52
|
Item
1.
|
Financial
Statements (unaudited)
|
June 30,
|
December 31,
|
|||||||
(In millions except per share data) |
2010
|
2009
|
||||||
ASSETS
|
||||||||
Investments
|
||||||||
Fixed
maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2010—$7,789;
2009—$7,514)
|
$ | 8,339 | $ | 7,855 | ||||
Equity
securities, at fair value (cost: 2010—$2,116; 2009—$2,016)
|
2,611 | 2,701 | ||||||
Short-term
investments, at fair value (amortized cost; 2010—$0;
2009—$6)
|
- | 6 | ||||||
Other
invested assets
|
82 | 81 | ||||||
Total
investments
|
11,032 | 10,643 | ||||||
Cash
and cash equivalents
|
325 | 557 | ||||||
Investment
income receivable
|
120 | 118 | ||||||
Finance
receivable
|
72 | 75 | ||||||
Premiums
receivable
|
1,055 | 995 | ||||||
Reinsurance
receivable
|
543 | 675 | ||||||
Prepaid
reinsurance premiums
|
16 | 15 | ||||||
Deferred
policy acquisition costs
|
485 | 481 | ||||||
Land,
building and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated
depreciation:
2010—$351;
2009—$335)
|
243 | 251 | ||||||
Other
assets
|
90 | 45 | ||||||
Separate
accounts
|
626 | 585 | ||||||
Total
assets
|
$ | 14,607 | $ | 14,440 | ||||
LIABILITIES
|
||||||||
Insurance
reserves
|
||||||||
Loss
and loss expense reserves
|
$ | 4,184 | $ | 4,142 | ||||
Life
policy reserves
|
1,926 | 1,783 | ||||||
Unearned
premiums
|
1,572 | 1,509 | ||||||
Other
liabilities
|
578 | 670 | ||||||
Deferred
income tax
|
145 | 152 | ||||||
Note
payable
|
49 | 49 | ||||||
Long-term
debt
|
790 | 790 | ||||||
Separate
accounts
|
626 | 585 | ||||||
Total
liabilities
|
9,870 | 9,680 | ||||||
Commitments
and contingent liabilities (Note 10)
|
— | — | ||||||
SHAREHOLDERS'
EQUITY
|
||||||||
Common
stock, par value—$2 per share; (authorized: 2010 and 2009—500 million
shares; issued: 2010—197 million shares, 2009—196 million
shares)
|
393 | 393 | ||||||
Paid-in
capital
|
1,084 | 1,081 | ||||||
Retained
earnings
|
3,828 | 3,862 | ||||||
Accumulated
other comprehensive income
|
636 | 624 | ||||||
Treasury
stock at cost (2010 and 2009—34 million shares)
|
(1,204 | ) | (1,200 | ) | ||||
Total
shareholders' equity
|
4,737 | 4,760 | ||||||
Total
liabilities and shareholders' equity
|
$ | 14,607 | $ | 14,440 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(In millions except per share data) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
REVENUES
|
||||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
$ | 768 | $ | 770 | $ | 1,515 | $ | 1,535 | ||||||||
Investment
income, net of expenses
|
130 | 119 | 260 | 243 | ||||||||||||
Other
income
|
3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | ||||||||||||
Realized
investment gains (losses), net
|
||||||||||||||||
Other-than-temporary
impairments on fixed maturity securities
|
(1 | ) | (3 | ) | (2 | ) | (43 | ) | ||||||||
Other-than-temporary
impairments on fixed maturity securities transferred to Other
Comprehensive Income
|
- | - | - | - | ||||||||||||
Other
realized investment gains (losses), net
|
(22 | ) | (15 | ) | (13 | ) | 23 | |||||||||
Total
realized investment gains (losses), net
|
(23 | ) | (18 | ) | (15 | ) | (20 | ) | ||||||||
Total
revenues
|
878 | 874 | 1,765 | 1,764 | ||||||||||||
BENEFITS
AND EXPENSES
|
||||||||||||||||
Insurance
losses and policyholder benefits
|
595 | 658 | 1,111 | 1,239 | ||||||||||||
Underwriting,
acquisition and insurance expenses
|
246 | 248 | 514 | 503 | ||||||||||||
Other
operating expenses
|
3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | ||||||||||||
Interest
expense
|
13 | 14 | 27 | 28 | ||||||||||||
Total
benefits and expenses
|
857 | 924 | 1,659 | 1,780 | ||||||||||||
INCOME
(LOSS) BEFORE INCOME TAXES
|
21 | (50 | ) | 106 | (16 | ) | ||||||||||
PROVISION
(BENEFIT) FOR INCOME TAXES
|
||||||||||||||||
Current
|
10 | (49 | ) | 25 | (52 | ) | ||||||||||
Deferred
|
(16 | ) | 18 | (14 | ) | 19 | ||||||||||
Total
provision (benefit) for income taxes
|
(6 | ) | (31 | ) | 11 | (33 | ) | |||||||||
NET
INCOME (LOSS)
|
$ | 27 | $ | (19 | ) | $ | 95 | $ | 17 | |||||||
PER
COMMON SHARE
|
||||||||||||||||
Net
income (loss)—basic
|
$ | 0.17 | $ | (0.12 | ) | $ | 0.59 | $ | 0.10 | |||||||
Net
income (loss)—diluted
|
0.17 | (0.12 | ) | 0.58 | 0.10 |
|
Accumulated
|
Total
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Common Stock
|
Other
|
Share-
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Outstanding
|
Paid-In
|
Retained
|
Comprehensive
|
Treasury
|
holders'
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
Shares
|
Amount
|
Capital
|
Earnings
|
Income
|
Stock
|
Equity
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Balance
December 31, 2008
|
162 | $ | 393 | $ | 1,069 | $ | 3,579 | $ | 347 | $ | (1,206 | ) | $ | 4,182 | ||||||||||||||
Net
income
|
- | - | - | 17 | - | - | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other
comprehensive income, net
|
- | - | - | - | 63 | - | 63 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Total
comprehensive income
|
80 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cumulative
effect of change in
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
accounting
for other-than-temporary
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
impairments
as of April 1, 2009, net of tax
|
- | - | - | 106 | (106 | ) | - | - | ||||||||||||||||||||
Dividends
declared
|
- | - | - | (127 | ) | - | - | (127 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
Stock-based
compensation
|
- | - | 5 | - | - | - | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other
|
- | 1 | - | - | 3 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Balance
June 30, 2009
|
162 | $ | 393 | $ | 1,075 | $ | 3,575 | $ | 304 | $ | (1,203 | ) | $ | 4,144 | ||||||||||||||
Balance
December 31, 2009
|
162 | $ | 393 | $ | 1,081 | $ | 3,862 | $ | 624 | $ | (1,200 | ) | $ | 4,760 | ||||||||||||||
Net
income
|
- | - | - | 95 | - | - | 95 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Other
comprehensive income, net
|
- | - | - | - | 12 | - | 12 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Total
comprehensive income
|
107 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dividends
declared
|
- | - | - | (129 | ) | - | - | (129 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
Stock
options exercised
|
1 | - | (2 | ) | - | - | 3 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Stock-based
compensation
|
- | - | 6 | - | - | - | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Purchases
|
- | - | - | - | - | (10 | ) | (10 | ) | |||||||||||||||||||
Other
|
- | - | (1 | ) | - | - | 3 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Balance
June 30, 2010
|
163 | $ | 393 | $ | 1,084 | $ | 3,828 | $ | 636 | $ | (1,204 | ) | $ | 4,737 |
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
|||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
||||||
CASH
FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
|
||||||||
Net
income
|
$ | 95 | $ | 17 | ||||
Adjustments
to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating
activities:
|
||||||||
Depreciation,
amortization and other non-cash items
|
17 | 14 | ||||||
Realized
losses on investments
|
15 | 20 | ||||||
Stock-based
compensation
|
6 | 5 | ||||||
Interest
credited to contract holders
|
22 | 20 | ||||||
Deferred
income tax (benefit) expense
|
(14 | ) | 19 | |||||
Changes
in:
|
||||||||
Investment
income receivable
|
(2 | ) | (13 | ) | ||||
Premiums
and reinsurance receivable
|
72 | 13 | ||||||
Deferred
policy acquisition costs
|
(18 | ) | (8 | ) | ||||
Other
assets
|
(4 | ) | (3 | ) | ||||
Loss
and loss expense reserves
|
42 | 147 | ||||||
Life
policy reserves
|
58 | 50 | ||||||
Unearned
premiums
|
63 | 21 | ||||||
Other
liabilities
|
(12 | ) | (9 | ) | ||||
Current
income tax receivable/payable
|
(87 | ) | (136 | ) | ||||
Net
cash provided by operating activities
|
253 | 157 | ||||||
CASH
FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES
|
||||||||
Sale
of fixed maturities
|
99 | 84 | ||||||
Call
or maturity of fixed maturities
|
340 | 495 | ||||||
Sale
of equity securities
|
60 | 655 | ||||||
Collection
of finance receivables
|
15 | 14 | ||||||
Purchase
of fixed maturities
|
(756 | ) | (1,548 | ) | ||||
Purchase
of equity securities
|
(158 | ) | (517 | ) | ||||
Change
in short-term investments, net
|
6 | 72 | ||||||
Investment
in buildings and equipment, net
|
(11 | ) | (20 | ) | ||||
Investment
in finance receivables
|
(12 | ) | (17 | ) | ||||
Change
in other invested assets, net
|
2 | (3 | ) | |||||
Net
cash used in investing activities
|
(415 | ) | (785 | ) | ||||
CASH
FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
|
||||||||
Payment
of cash dividends to shareholders
|
(126 | ) | (124 | ) | ||||
Purchase
of treasury shares
|
(10 | ) | - | |||||
Contract
holder funds deposited
|
103 | 35 | ||||||
Contract
holder funds withdrawn
|
(34 | ) | (34 | ) | ||||
Excess
tax benefits on share-based compensation
|
2 | - | ||||||
Other
|
(5 | ) | (4 | ) | ||||
Net
cash used in financing activities
|
(70 | ) | (127 | ) | ||||
Net
decrease in cash and cash equivalents
|
(232 | ) | (755 | ) | ||||
Cash
and cash equivalents at beginning of year
|
557 | 1,009 | ||||||
Cash
and cash equivalents at end of period
|
$ | 325 | $ | 254 | ||||
Supplemental
disclosures of cash flow information:
|
||||||||
Interest
paid (net of capitalized interest: 2010—$0; 2009—$0)
|
$ | 27 | $ | 28 | ||||
Income
taxes paid
|
112 | 84 | ||||||
Non-cash
activities:
|
||||||||
Conversion
of securities
|
$ | 1 | $ | 6 | ||||
Equipment
acquired under capital lease obligations
|
- | 9 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
Change
in unrealized investment gains and losses and other
summary:
|
||||||||||||||||
Fixed
maturities
|
$ | 123 | $ | 226 | $ | 209 | $ | 380 | ||||||||
Equity
securities
|
(254 | ) | 225 | (190 | ) | (286 | ) | |||||||||
Adjustment
to deferred acquisition costs and life policy reserves
|
(4 | ) | (6 | ) | (7 | ) | (10 | ) | ||||||||
Pension
obligations
|
- | - | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||
Other
|
3 | 24 | 5 | 12 | ||||||||||||
Income
taxes on above
|
46 | (128 | ) | (6 | ) | (34 | ) | |||||||||
Total
|
$ | (86 | ) | $ | 341 | $ | 12 | $ | 63 |
|
Cost
or
|
|||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
amortized
|
Gross
unrealized
|
Fair
|
OTTI
in
|
||||||||||||||||
At June 30,
|
cost
|
gains
|
losses
|
value
|
AOCI
|
|||||||||||||||
2010
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed
maturities:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
States,
municipalities and political subdivisions
|
$ | 3,018 | $ | 156 | $ | 1 | $ | 3,173 | $ | - | ||||||||||
Convertibles
and bonds with warrants attached
|
70 | - | - | 70 | - | |||||||||||||||
United
States government
|
4 | 1 | - | 5 | - | |||||||||||||||
Government-sponsored
enterprises
|
346 | 1 | - | 347 | - | |||||||||||||||
Foreign
government
|
3 | - | - | 3 | - | |||||||||||||||
Corporate
bonds
|
4,348 | 405 | 12 | 4,741 | - | |||||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 7,789 | $ | 563 | $ | 13 | $ | 8,339 | $ | - | ||||||||||
Equity
securities
|
$ | 2,116 | $ | 587 | $ | 92 | $ | 2,611 |
NA
|
|||||||||||
At December 31,
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2009
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed
maturities:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
States,
municipalities and political subdivisions
|
$ | 3,007 | $ | 128 | $ | 6 | $ | 3,129 | $ | - | ||||||||||
Convertibles
and bonds with warrants attached
|
91 | - | - | 91 | - | |||||||||||||||
United
States government
|
4 | - | - | 4 | - | |||||||||||||||
Government-sponsored
enterprises
|
354 | - | 7 | 347 | - | |||||||||||||||
Foreign
government
|
3 | - | - | 3 | - | |||||||||||||||
Short-term
investments
|
6 | - | - | 6 | - | |||||||||||||||
Collateralized
mortgage obligations
|
37 | - | 6 | 31 | - | |||||||||||||||
Corporate
bonds
|
4,018 | 268 | 36 | 4,250 | - | |||||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 7,520 | $ | 396 | $ | 55 | $ | 7,861 | $ | - | ||||||||||
Equity
securities
|
$ | 2,016 | $ | 714 | $ | 29 | $ | 2,701 |
NA
|
|
Less than 12 months
|
12 months or more
|
Total
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
Fair
|
Unrealized
|
Fair
|
Unrealized
|
Fair
|
Unrealized
|
||||||||||||||||||
At June 30,
|
value
|
losses
|
value
|
losses
|
value
|
losses
|
||||||||||||||||||
2010
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed
maturities:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
States,
municipalities and political subdivisions
|
$ | 30 | $ | - | $ | 25 | $ | 1 | $ | 55 | $ | 1 | ||||||||||||
Corporate
bonds
|
130 | 3 | 156 | 9 | 286 | 12 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total
|
160 | 3 | 181 | 10 | 341 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||
Equity
securities
|
730 | 83 | 64 | 9 | 794 | 92 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 890 | $ | 86 | $ | 245 | $ | 19 | $ | 1,135 | $ | 105 | ||||||||||||
At December 31,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
2009
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed
maturities:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
States,
municipalities and political subdivisions
|
$ | 196 | $ | 4 | $ | 29 | $ | 2 | $ | 225 | $ | 6 | ||||||||||||
Government-sponsored
enterprises
|
347 | 7 | - | - | 347 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||
Short-term
investments
|
1 | - | - | - | 1 | - | ||||||||||||||||||
Collateralized
mortgage obligations
|
- | - | 27 | 6 | 27 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||
Corporate
bonds
|
397 | 19 | 309 | 17 | 706 | 36 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total
|
941 | 30 | 365 | 25 | 1,306 | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||
Equity
securities
|
65 | 3 | 415 | 26 | 480 | 29 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 1,006 | $ | 33 | $ | 780 | $ | 51 | $ | 1,786 | $ | 84 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
Fixed
maturities
|
$ | 1 | $ | 3 | $ | 2 | $ | 43 | ||||||||
Equity
securities
|
33 | 49 | 33 | 59 | ||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 34 | $ | 52 | $ | 35 | $ | 102 |
·
|
Level
1 – Financial assets and liabilities for which inputs are observable and
are obtained from reliable quoted prices for identical assets or
liabilities in active markets. This is the most reliable fair value
measurement and includes, for example, active exchange-traded equity
securities.
|
·
|
Level
2 – Financial assets and liabilities for which values are based on quoted
prices in markets that are not active or for which values are based on
similar assets and liabilities that are actively traded. This also
includes pricing models for which the inputs are corroborated by market
data.
|
·
|
Level
3 – Financial assets and liabilities for which values are based on prices
or valuation techniques that require inputs that are both unobservable and
significant to the overall fair value measurement. Level 3 inputs include
the following:
|
|
o
|
Quotes
from brokers or other external sources that are not considered
binding;
|
|
o
|
Quotes
from brokers or other external sources where it cannot be determined that
market participants would in fact transact for the asset or liability at
the quoted price; or
|
|
o
|
Quotes
from brokers or other external sources where the inputs are not deemed
observable.
|
|
Asset
fair
value
measurements
at
June
30,
2010
using:
|
|||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
Quoted
prices
in
active
markets
for
identical
assets
(Level
1)
|
Significant
other
observable
inputs
(Level
2)
|
Significant
unobservable
inputs
(Level
3)
|
Total
|
||||||||||||
Fixed
maturities, available for sale:
|
||||||||||||||||
Corporate
securities
|
$ | - | $ | 4,788 | $ | 23 | $ | 4,811 | ||||||||
Foreign
government
|
- | 3 | - | 3 | ||||||||||||
U.S.
Treasury and U.S. government agencies
|
5 | 347 | - | 352 | ||||||||||||
States,
municipalities and political subdivisions
|
- | 3,169 | 4 | 3,173 | ||||||||||||
Subtotal
|
5 | 8,307 | 27 | 8,339 | ||||||||||||
Common
equities, available for sale
|
2,379 | 138 | - | 2,517 | ||||||||||||
Preferred
equities, available for sale
|
- | 89 | 5 | 94 | ||||||||||||
Taxable
fixed maturities separate accounts
|
- | 598 | - | 598 | ||||||||||||
Top
Hat Savings Plan
|
7 | - | - | 7 | ||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 2,391 | $ | 9,132 | $ | 32 | $ | 11,555 |
|
Asset fair value measurements using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3)
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
Corporate
fixed
maturities
|
Taxable
fixed
maturities-
separate
accounts
|
States,
municipalities
and
political
subdivisions
fixed
maturities
|
Common
equities
|
Preferred
equities
|
Total
|
||||||||||||||||||
Beginning
balance, March 31, 2010
|
$ | 28 | $ | - | $ | 4 | $ | - | $ | 6 | $ | 38 | ||||||||||||
Total
gains or losses (realized/unrealized):
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Included
in earnings (or changes in net assets)
|
- | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||||
Included
in other comprehensive income
|
- | - | - | - | (1 | ) | (1 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Purchases,
sales, issuances, and settlements
|
(3 | ) | - | - | - | - | (3 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Transfers
in and/or out of Level 3
|
(2 | ) | - | - | - | - | (2 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Ending
balance, June 30, 2010
|
$ | 23 | $ | - | $ | 4 | $ | - | $ | 5 | $ | 32 |
|
Asset fair value measurements using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3)
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
Taxable
fixed
maturities
|
Taxable
fixed
maturities-
separate
accounts
|
Tax-exempt
fixed
maturities
|
Common
equities
|
Preferred
equities
|
Total
|
||||||||||||||||||
Beginning
balance, March 31, 2009
|
$ | 38 | $ | - | $ | 5 | $ | 64 | $ | 6 | $ | 113 | ||||||||||||
Total
gains or losses (realized/unrealized):
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Included
in earnings (or changes in net assets)
|
- | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||||
Included
in other comprehensive income
|
- | - | - | - | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
Purchases,
sales, issuances, and settlements
|
- | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||||
Transfers
in and/or out of Level 3
|
(18 | ) | - | - | - | - | (18 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Ending
balance, June 30, 2009
|
$ | 20 | $ | - | $ | 5 | $ | 64 | $ | 8 | $ | 97 |
|
Asset fair value measurements using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3)
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
Corporate
fixed
maturities
|
Taxable
fixed
maturities-
separate
accounts
|
States,
municipalities
and
political
subdivisions
fixed
maturities
|
Common
equities
|
Preferred
equities
|
Total
|
||||||||||||||||||
Beginning
balance, December 31, 2009
|
$ | 27 | $ | - | $ | 4 | $ | - | $ | 5 | $ | 36 | ||||||||||||
Total
gains or losses (realized/unrealized):
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Included
in earnings (or changes in net assets)
|
- | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||||
Included
in other comprehensive income
|
- | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||||
Purchases,
sales, issuances, and settlements
|
2 | - | - | - | - | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
Transfers
in and/or out of Level 3
|
(6 | ) | - | - | - | - | (6 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Ending
balance, June 30, 2010
|
$ | 23 | $ | - | $ | 4 | $ | - | $ | 5 | $ | 32 |
|
Asset fair value measurements using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3)
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
Taxable
fixed
maturities
|
Taxable fixed
maturities-
separate accounts
|
Tax-exempt
fixed
maturities
|
Common
equities
|
Preferred
equities
|
Total
|
||||||||||||||||||
Beginning
balance, December 31, 2008
|
$ | 50 | $ | 6 | $ | 5 | $ | 64 | $ | 22 | $ | 147 | ||||||||||||
Total
gains or losses (realized/unrealized):
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Included
in earnings (or changes in net assets)
|
- | - | - | - | (3 | ) | (3 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Included
in other comprehensive income
|
(1 | ) | - | - | - | 4 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
Purchases,
sales, issuances, and settlements
|
- | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||||
Transfers
in and/or out of Level 3
|
(29 | ) | (6 | ) | - | - | (15 | ) | (50 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Ending
balance, June 30, 2009
|
$ | 20 | $ | - | $ | 5 | $ | 64 | $ | 8 | $ | 97 |
|
Book value
|
Principal amount
|
|||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
June 30,
|
December 31,
|
June 30,
|
December 31,
|
|||||||||||||||||
Interest rate
|
Year of issue
|
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||||||
6.900 | % |
1998
|
Senior
debentures, due 2028
|
$ | 28 | $ | 28 | $ | 28 | $ | 28 | ||||||||||
6.920 | % |
2005
|
Senior
debentures, due 2028
|
391 | 391 | 391 | 391 | ||||||||||||||
6.125 | % |
2004
|
Senior
notes, due 2034
|
371 | 371 | 374 | 374 | ||||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 790 | $ | 790 | $ | 793 | $ | 793 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
Deferred
policy acquisition costs asset at beginning of the period
|
$ | 485 | $ | 510 | $ | 481 | $ | 509 | ||||||||
Capitalized
deferred policy acquisition costs
|
171 | 157 | 342 | 323 | ||||||||||||
Amortized
deferred policy acquisition costs
|
(164 | ) | (157 | ) | (325 | ) | (315 | ) | ||||||||
Amortized
shadow deferred policy acquisition costs
|
(7 | ) | (10 | ) | (13 | ) | (17 | ) | ||||||||
Deferred
policy acquisition costs asset at end of the period
|
$ | 485 | $ | 500 | $ | 485 | $ | 500 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
Gross
loss and loss expense reserves, beginning of period
|
$ | 4,065 | $ | 4,046 | $ | 4,096 | $ | 4,040 | ||||||||
Less
reinsurance receivable
|
343 | 483 | 435 | 542 | ||||||||||||
Net
loss and loss expense reserves, beginning of period
|
3,722 | 3,563 | 3,661 | 3,498 | ||||||||||||
Net
incurred loss and loss expenses related to:
|
||||||||||||||||
Current
accident year
|
625 | 648 | 1,139 | 1,183 | ||||||||||||
Prior
accident years
|
(73 | ) | (29 | ) | (113 | ) | (22 | ) | ||||||||
Total
incurred
|
552 | 619 | 1,026 | 1,161 | ||||||||||||
Net
paid loss and loss expenses related to:
|
||||||||||||||||
Current
accident year
|
221 | 245 | 333 | 386 | ||||||||||||
Prior
accident years
|
233 | 251 | 534 | 587 | ||||||||||||
Total
paid
|
454 | 496 | 867 | 973 | ||||||||||||
Net
loss and loss expense reserves, end of period
|
3,820 | 3,686 | 3,820 | 3,686 | ||||||||||||
Plus
reinsurance receivable
|
311 | 501 | 311 | 501 | ||||||||||||
Gross
loss and loss expense reserves, end of period
|
$ | 4,131 | $ | 4,187 | $ | 4,131 | $ | 4,187 |
|
June 30,
|
December 31,
|
||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
||||||
Ordinary/traditional
life
|
$ | 607 | $ | 579 | ||||
Universal
life
|
450 | 450 | ||||||
Deferred
annuities
|
651 | 539 | ||||||
Investment
contracts
|
201 | 197 | ||||||
Other
|
17 | 18 | ||||||
Total
|
$ | 1,926 | $ | 1,783 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
Direct
earned premiums
|
$ | 769 | $ | 773 | $ | 1,513 | $ | 1,544 | ||||||||
Assumed
earned premiums
|
2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | ||||||||||||
Ceded
earned premiums
|
(43 | ) | (43 | ) | (82 | ) | (85 | ) | ||||||||
Net
earned premiums
|
$ | 728 | $ | 733 | $ | 1,436 | $ | 1,465 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
Direct
incurred loss and loss expenses
|
$ | 528 | $ | 660 | $ | 977 | $ | 1,185 | ||||||||
Assumed
incurred loss and loss expenses
|
3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | ||||||||||||
Ceded
incurred loss and loss expenses
|
21 | (43 | ) | 44 | (30 | ) | ||||||||||
Net
incurred loss and loss expenses
|
$ | 552 | $ | 619 | $ | 1,026 | $ | 1,161 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
Direct
earned premiums
|
$ | 54 | $ | 49 | $ | 104 | $ | 94 | ||||||||
Ceded
earned premiums
|
(14 | ) | (12 | ) | (25 | ) | (24 | ) | ||||||||
Net
earned premiums
|
$ | 40 | $ | 37 | $ | 79 | $ | 70 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
Direct
contract holders' benefits incurred
|
$ | 57 | $ | 49 | $ | 114 | $ | 100 | ||||||||
Ceded
contract holders' benefits incurred
|
(14 | ) | (10 | ) | (29 | ) | (22 | ) | ||||||||
Net
incurred loss and loss expenses
|
$ | 43 | $ | 39 | $ | 85 | $ | 78 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
Service
cost
|
$ | 3 | $ | 3 | $ | 5 | $ | 5 | ||||||||
Interest
cost
|
4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | ||||||||||||
Expected
return on plan assets
|
(4 | ) | (3 | ) | (7 | ) | (6 | ) | ||||||||
Amortization
of actuarial loss and prior service cost
|
0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||
Net
periodic benefit cost
|
$ | 3 | $ | 3 | $ | 6 | $ | 6 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
Stock-based
compensation cost
|
$ | 3 | $ | 3 | $ | 6 | $ | 5 | ||||||||
Income
tax benefit
|
1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||
Stock-based
compensation cost after tax
|
$ | 2 | $ | 2 | $ | 4 | $ | 4 |
(Shares in thousands)
|
Shares
|
Weighted-
average
exercise
price
|
||||||
Outstanding
at January 1, 2010
|
9,875 | $ | 36.67 | |||||
Granted
|
902 | 26.60 | ||||||
Exercised
|
(5 | ) | 26.71 | |||||
Forfeited
|
(866 | ) | 27.60 | |||||
Outstanding
at June 30, 2010
|
9,906 | 36.55 |
|
Weighted-
|
Weighted-
|
||||||||||||||
Service-based
|
average grant-
|
Performance-based
|
average grant-
|
|||||||||||||
(Shares in thousands) |
nonvested shares
|
date fair value
|
nonvested shares
|
date fair value
|
||||||||||||
Nonvested
at January 1, 2010
|
597 | $ | 31.60 | 121 | $ | 29.75 | ||||||||||
Granted
|
290 | 22.27 | 52 | 22.41 | ||||||||||||
Exercised
|
(154 | ) | 40.65 | 0 | 0.00 | |||||||||||
Forfeited
|
(4 | ) | 26.39 | 0 | 0.00 | |||||||||||
Cancelled
|
0 | 0.00 | (24 | ) | 40.74 | |||||||||||
Nonvested
at June 30, 2010
|
729 | 26.00 | 149 | 25.38 |
·
|
Commercial
lines property casualty insurance
|
·
|
Personal
lines property casualty insurance
|
·
|
Life
insurance
|
·
|
Investments
|
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
Revenues:
|
||||||||||||||||
Commercial
lines insurance
|
||||||||||||||||
Commercial
casualty
|
$ | 172 | $ | 180 | $ | 336 | $ | 366 | ||||||||
Commercial
property
|
121 | 120 | 242 | 241 | ||||||||||||
Commercial
auto
|
96 | 98 | 191 | 197 | ||||||||||||
Workers'
compensation
|
79 | 88 | 153 | 171 | ||||||||||||
Specialty
packages
|
37 | 37 | 74 | 72 | ||||||||||||
Surety
and executive risk
|
25 | 25 | 49 | 50 | ||||||||||||
Machinery
and equipment
|
8 | 8 | 16 | 15 | ||||||||||||
Total
commercial lines insurance
|
538 | 556 | 1,061 | 1,112 | ||||||||||||
Personal
lines insurance
|
||||||||||||||||
Personal
auto
|
83 | 80 | 164 | 159 | ||||||||||||
Homeowner
|
72 | 70 | 142 | 140 | ||||||||||||
Other
personal lines
|
24 | 22 | 47 | 44 | ||||||||||||
Total
personal lines insurance
|
179 | 172 | 353 | 343 | ||||||||||||
Life
insurance
|
41 | 37 | 80 | 70 | ||||||||||||
Investment
operations
|
107 | 101 | 245 | 223 | ||||||||||||
Other
|
13 | 8 | 26 | 16 | ||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 878 | $ | 874 | $ | 1,765 | $ | 1,764 | ||||||||
Income
(loss) before income taxes:
|
||||||||||||||||
Insurance
underwriting results:
|
||||||||||||||||
Commercial
lines insurance
|
$ | (9 | ) | $ | (61 | ) | $ | (20 | ) | $ | (73 | ) | ||||
Personal
lines insurance
|
(41 | ) | (57 | ) | (46 | ) | (92 | ) | ||||||||
Life
insurance
|
2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||
Investment
operations
|
87 | 84 | 206 | 190 | ||||||||||||
Other
|
(18 | ) | (18 | ) | (36 | ) | (42 | ) | ||||||||
Total
|
$ | 21 | $ | (50 | ) | $ | 106 | $ | (16 | ) | ||||||
Identifiable
assets:
|
||||||||||||||||
June
30,
|
December
31,
|
|||||||||||||||
2010
|
2009
|
|||||||||||||||
Property
casualty insurance
|
$ | 2,026 | $ | 2,202 | ||||||||||||
Life
insurance
|
1,111 | 1,176 | ||||||||||||||
Investment
operations
|
11,070 | 10,684 | ||||||||||||||
Other
|
400 | 378 | ||||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 14,607 | $ | 14,440 |
Management’s
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations
|
·
|
Unusually
high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes
in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or
other causes
|
·
|
Increased
frequency and/or severity of claims
|
·
|
Inadequate
estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting
estimates
|
·
|
Recession
or other economic conditions resulting in lower demand for insurance
products or increased payment
delinquencies
|
·
|
Delays
in adoption and implementation of underwriting and pricing methods that
could increase our pricing accuracy, underwriting profit and
competitiveness
|
·
|
Inability
to defer policy acquisition costs for any business segment if pricing and
loss trends would lead management to conclude that segment could not
achieve sustainable profitability
|
·
|
Declines
in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company’s equity
portfolio and book value
|
·
|
Events,
such as the credit crisis, followed by prolonged periods of economic
instability or recession, that
lead to:
|
|
o
|
Significant
or prolonged decline in the value of a particular security or group of
securities and impairment of the
asset(s)
|
|
o
|
Significant
decline in investment income due to reduced or eliminated dividend payouts
from a particular security or group of
securities
|
|
o
|
Significant
rise in losses from surety and director and officer policies written for
financial institutions
|
·
|
Prolonged
low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company’s
ability to generate growth in investment income or interest rate
fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity
investments, including declines in accounts in which we hold bank-owned
life insurance contract assets
|
·
|
Increased
competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company’s
premium volume
|
·
|
Changing
consumer insurance-buying habits and consolidation of independent
insurance agencies that could alter our competitive
advantages
|
·
|
Inability
to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance
purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for
non-payment or delay in payment by
reinsurers
|
·
|
Events
or conditions that could weaken or harm the company’s relationships with
its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies,
resulting in limitations on the company’s opportunities for growth, such
as:
|
|
o
|
Downgrades
of the company’s financial strength
ratings
|
|
o
|
Concerns
that doing business with the company is too
difficult
|
|
o
|
Perceptions
that the company’s level of service, particularly claims service, is no
longer a distinguishing characteristic in the
marketplace
|
|
o
|
Delays
or inadequacies in the development, implementation, performance and
benefits of technology projects and
enhancements
|
·
|
Actions
of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory
agencies, including a change to a federal system of regulation from a
state-based system, that:
|
|
o
|
Restrict
our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines
of business
|
|
o
|
Place
the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new
statutes, rules
and regulations
|
|
o
|
Increase
our expenses
|
|
o
|
Add
assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance related assessments or
mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover
such assessments through future surcharges or other rate
changes
|
|
o
|
Limit
our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable
rates
|
|
o
|
Place
us at a disadvantage in the
marketplace
|
|
o
|
Restrict
our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate
agents
|
·
|
Adverse
outcomes from litigation or administrative
proceedings
|
·
|
Events
or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls,
that reduce the company’s future ability to maintain effective internal
control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act
of 2002
|
·
|
Unforeseen
departure of certain executive officers or other key employees due to
retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt progress
toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness of certain
longstanding relationships with insurance agents and
others
|
·
|
Events,
such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that could hamper
our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters
location
|
·
|
Difficulties
with technology or data security breaches could negatively affect our
ability to conduct business and our relationships with agents,
policyholders and others
|
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions except share data) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
Income
statement data
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
$ | 768 | $ | 770 | 0 | $ | 1,515 | $ | 1,535 | (1 | ) | |||||||||||||
Investment
income, net of expenses
|
130 | 119 | 9 | 260 | 243 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||
Realized
investment gains and losses, pretax
|
(23 | ) | (18 | ) | (28 | ) | (15 | ) | (20 | ) | 25 | |||||||||||||
Total
revenues
|
878 | 874 | 0 | 1,765 | 1,764 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
Net
income (loss)
|
27 | (19 | ) |
nm
|
95 | 17 | 459 | |||||||||||||||||
Per
share data (diluted)
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net
income (loss)
|
0.17 | (0.12 | ) |
nm
|
0.58 | 0.10 | 480 | |||||||||||||||||
Cash
dividends declared
|
0.395 | 0.39 | 1 | 0.79 | 0.78 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
Weighted
average shares outstanding
|
163,284,013 | 162,556,327 | 0 | 163,293,335 | 162,738,081 | 0 |
|
At June 30,
|
At December 31,
|
||||||
(Dollars in millions except share data) |
2010
|
2009
|
||||||
Balance
sheet data
|
||||||||
Invested
assets
|
$ | 11,032 | $ | 10,643 | ||||
Total
assets
|
14,607 | 14,440 | ||||||
Short-term
debt
|
49 | 49 | ||||||
Long-term
debt
|
790 | 790 | ||||||
Shareholders'
equity
|
4,737 | 4,760 | ||||||
Book
value per share
|
29.13 | 29.25 | ||||||
Debt-to-capital
ratio
|
15.0 | % | 15.0 | % |
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
|||||||||||||||
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
|||||||||||||
Performance
measure
|
||||||||||||||||
Value
creation ratio
|
(1.1 | ) % | 8.4 | % | 2.3 | % | 2.0 | % |
·
|
Premium
growth — We believe over any five-year period our agency relationships and
initiatives can lead to a property casualty written premium
growth rate that exceeds the industry average. The compound annual
growth rate of our net written premiums was negative 0.6 percent over
the five-year period 2005 through 2009, compared with negative
1.0 percent estimated growth rate for the property casualty insurance
industry.
|
·
|
Combined
ratio — We believe our underwriting philosophy and initiatives can
generate a GAAP combined ratio over any five-year period that is
consistently below 100 percent. Our GAAP combined ratio averaged
95.6 percent over the five-year period 2005 through 2009. It was
below 100 percent in each year during the period except 2008 and
2009, which averaged 102.5 percent including average catastrophe
losses that were 2.5 percentage points higher than the average for
the 10-year period prior to 2008. Our statutory combined ratio averaged
95.4 percent over the five-year period 2005 through
2009 compared with an estimated 98.8 percent for the property
casualty industry.
|
·
|
Investment
contribution — We believe our investment philosophy and initiatives can
drive investment income growth and lead to a total return on our equity
investment portfolio over a five-year period that exceeds the five-year
return of the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500 Index). The
compound annual return for our equity portfolio over the five-year period
2005 through 2009 was negative 5.8 percent compared with positive
0.4 percent for the Index. Our equity portfolio underperformed the
market for the five-year period primarily because of the 2008 decline in
the market value of our previously large holdings in the financial
services sector.
|
·
|
Manage
capital effectively – Continued focus on capital-related initiatives is
intended to manage our capital and provide financial flexibility so that
we can successfully grow our insurance business while also building
capital for the long-term benefit of shareholders. A strong capital
position provides the capacity to support premium growth and provides the
liquidity to pay claims while sustaining our investment in the people and
infrastructure needed to implement our other strategic
initiatives.
|
·
|
Improve
insurance profitability – Implementation of profit-focused initiatives is
intended to improve pricing capabilities for our property casualty
business and improve our overall efficiency. Improved pricing helps us
manage profit margins and greater efficiency helps control costs, together
improving overall profitability. These initiatives also seek to help the
agencies that represent us to grow profitably by supporting their
effectiveness and efficiency in serving clients and managing
expenses.
|
·
|
Drive
premium growth – Implementation of premium growth-oriented initiatives is
intended to expand our geographic footprint and diversify our premium
sources to obtain profitable growth without significant additional
infrastructure expense. Diversified growth also may reduce earnings
volatility related to regional differences for risks of weather-related
catastrophes or potential negative changes in economic, judicial or
regulatory environments.
|
·
|
Maintain
a diversified investment portfolio by reviewing and applying
diversification parameters and tolerances – We discuss our portfolio
strategies in greater depth in our 2009 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item
1, Investment Segment, Page 18.
|
|
o
|
High-quality
fixed-maturity portfolio that exceeds total insurance reserves – At
June 30, 2010, the average rating of the $8.339 billion
fixed maturity portfolio was A2/A. The risk of potential decline of
capital due to lower bond values during periods of increasing interest
rates is managed in part through a generally laddered maturity schedule
for this portfolio, as approximately 28 percent of our bonds mature
during 2010 through 2014. The portfolio fair value exceeded total
insurance reserve liability by approximately 36 percent. In addition,
we have assets in the form of receivables from reinsurers, most with A.M.
Best insurer financial strength ratings of A or better. These assets
directly relate to insurance reserves, offsetting nearly 9 percent of
that liability.
|
|
o
|
Diversified
equity portfolio that has no concentrated positions in single stocks or
industries – At June 30, 2010, no single security accounted for
more than 6 percent of our portfolio of publicly traded common
stocks, and no single sector accounted for more than 17 percent.
Because of the strength of our fixed-maturity portfolio, we have the
opportunity to invest for potential capital appreciation by purchasing
equity securities. We seek to achieve a total return on the equity
portfolio over any five-year period that exceeds that of the Standard
& Poor’s 500 Index while taking similar or less
risk.
|
|
o
|
Parent
company liquidity that increases our flexibility through all periods to
maintain our cash dividend and to continue to invest in and expand
our insurance operations – At June 30, 2010, we held
$1.054 billion of our cash and invested assets at the parent company
level, of which $649 million, or 61.6 percent, was invested in
common stocks, and $95 million, or 9.0 percent, was cash or
cash equivalents.
|
·
|
Develop
a comprehensive, enterprise-level catastrophe management program –
Weather-related catastrophe losses for our property casualty business can
significantly affect capital and cause earnings volatility. We continue to
work on a comprehensive program with key objectives that include
identifying overall tolerances for catastrophe risk as well as regional
guidelines that work with our underwriting and reinsurance efforts. An
important element of this initiative is maintaining reinsurance coverage
from highly rated reinsurers to mitigate underwriting risk and to support
our ability to hold investments until maturity. See our 2009 Annual Report
on Form 10-K, Item 7, 2010 Reinsurance Programs, Page 79, for additional
details on our reinsurance.
|
·
|
Minimize
reliance on debt as a source of capital, maintaining the ratio of
debt-to-total capital below 20 percent – At June 30, 2010, this ratio
at 15.0 percent was well below the target limit as capital remained
strong while debt levels were essentially unchanged from year-end 2009.
Our long-term debt consists of three non-convertible, non-callable
debentures, two due in 2028 and one
in 2034.
|
·
|
Identify
tolerances for other operational risks and calibrate management decisions
accordingly – Among the areas of focus in early 2010 were implications of
health care reform legislation and related income tax effects. Because our
employee benefit plans do not include subsidies related to retiree
prescription drug coverage, we have no corresponding tax effect due to the
legislation. We also continued work on managing exposure to operational
risks related to our company’s disaster recovery and business continuity.
Our enterprise risk management efforts also include evaluating emerging
risks such as potential changes in regulation at both the state and
federal levels and the potential effects of increased inflation on assets
and liabilities.
|
Insurer Financial Strength Ratings
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
Rating
Agency
|
Parent
Company
Senior Debt
Rating
|
Standard Market Property
Casualty Insurance
Subsidiary
|
Life Insurance
Subsidiary
|
Excess and Surplus
Insurance
Subsidiary
|
Date of Most Recent
Affirmation or Action
|
|||||||||||||||||
Rating
Tier
|
Rating
Tier
|
Rating
Tier
|
||||||||||||||||||||
A.
M. Best Co.
|
a
|
A+
|
Superior
|
2
of 16
|
A
|
Excellent
|
3
of 16
|
A
|
Excellent
|
3
of 16
|
Stable
outlook (2/18/10)
|
|||||||||||
Fitch
Ratings
|
BBB+
|
A+
|
Strong
|
5
of 21
|
A+
|
Strong
|
5
of 21
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Stable
outlook (8/6/09)
|
|||||||||||
Moody's
Investors Service
|
A3
|
A1
|
Good
|
5
of 21
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Stable
outlook (9/25/08)
|
|||||||||||
Standard
& Poor's Ratings Services
|
BBB
|
A
|
Strong
|
6
of 21
|
A
|
Strong
|
6
of 21
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Stable
outlook
(07/19/10)
|
·
|
All
of our insurance subsidiaries continue to be highly
rated.
|
·
|
Improve
underwriting expertise – While most of our lines of business have
maintained underwriting profitability, we continue to work on improving
our capabilities in risk selection and pricing. For the lines of business
that are underperforming or that involve larger or more complex risks, we
take a comprehensive approach – with collaborative expertise among a team
of associates from underwriting, claims, loss control, marketing,
actuarial services and premium audit – focusing efforts toward restoring
those lines’ underwriting profitability. Progress during 2010 and future
plans for key initiatives are summarized
below.
|
|
o
|
Improve
pricing capabilities in each line of business – We began using predictive
modeling tools that align individual insurance policy pricing to risk
attributes prior to 2010 for our homeowner and workers’ compensation lines
of business and expect to improve loss ratios over time. Audit processes
are used to monitor compliance and to further develop risk selection and
pricing capabilities. We are developing predictive models to use as a
pricing tool for all major lines of commercial insurance and for our
personal auto line of business, with both commercial auto and personal
auto targeted for initial use in late 2010. Other initiatives in progress
include preparing regulatory filings for multiple price tiers supporting
predictive modeling and closer monitoring with measurements for commercial
lines discretionary rate credits applied based on risk quality. In
addition, we are preparing to file rate changes that will increase rates
for most of our personal lines business, with implementation expected to
begin during the fourth quarter of
2010.
|
|
o
|
Improving
our business data, supporting accurate underwriting, pricing and decisions
– Over the next several years, we will deploy a full data management
program, including a data warehouse for our property casualty and life
insurance operations that will provide enhanced granularity of pricing
data. This is a phased, long-term project that is currently in progress.
In the interim, new data mining and reporting tools are being implemented
for use with existing databases.
|
·
|
Improve
expense management to make the best use of our resources – We continue to
invest in technology and workflow improvements to help improve efficiency
and grow our business, as insurance market conditions improve, without
proportional increases in expenses. Efficiency gains currently being
realized allowed us recently to reallocate associates, focusing resources
on more strategic activities and
|
·
|
Develop
and deploy technology – Technology continues to be key for improving
efficiencies and streamlining processes for our agencies, allowing us to
win an increasing share of their most profitable business. Our technology
initiatives seek to make it easier for agents to do business with us while
enhancing our tradition of local decision making by our agents together
with our field representatives who live and work in their communities.
Ongoing technology development contributes to improved profitability by
enhancing internal efficiency and organization of business data used for
underwriting and pricing. Progress during 2010 and future plans for
major technology initiatives are highlighted
below.
|
|
o
|
Commercial
lines policy administration system – In the fourth quarter of 2009, we
deployed a new system called e-CLAS
®
CPP for commercial package and auto coverages to all of our appointed
agencies in 11 states. During the first seven months of 2010, the system
was deployed in 10 additional states. In total those first 21 states
produce approximately 75 percent of our commercial premium volume. We
plan to deploy the system to as many as nine additional states during the
remainder of 2010. The new system includes real-time quoting and policy
issuance, direct bill capabilities with several payment plans, and
interface capabilities to transfer selected policy data from agency
management systems. The response from agency users has been very positive,
and we believe the new system will further improve our position among the
go-to carriers for our agencies, having a positive impact on growth of
profitable commercial lines business over the long
term.
|
|
o
|
Personal
lines policy administration system – In early 2010, we deployed a new
version of this system, called Diamond 5.x, to all agencies that produce
our personal lines business. In addition to handling additional data that
supports enhanced pricing sophistication, this Web-based system supports
agency efficiency through pre-filling of selected policy data and
easy-to-use screens. We continue to focus on making it easier for our
agents to do business with us, which we believe will significantly
benefit our objective of writing their highest quality accounts with
superior profit potential. During the first six months of 2010, agents
continued to generate solid growth for our personal lines segment as new
business written premiums increased nearly
25 percent.
|
·
|
New
agency appointments – In 2010, we are targeting 65 appointments of
independent agencies writing an aggregate $1 billion in property
casualty premiums annually with all insurance companies they represent.
During the first six months of 2010, we appointed 38 new agencies that
write an aggregate of nearly $600 million in property casualty
premiums annually with various companies for an average of approximately
$16 million per agency. The smallest of the new agencies writes less
than $1 million for all represented companies and the largest writes
nearly $140 million. In recent years approximately
23 larger agencies that each write over $50 million for all
represented companies have been appointed to represent The Cincinnati
Insurance Companies. As of June 30, 2010, a total of
1,201 agency relationships market our standard market insurance
products from 1,487 reporting
locations.
|
·
|
Earn
a larger share of business with currently appointed agents – We continue
to execute on growth initiatives begun in prior years, with a focus on the
key components of agent satisfaction. Important initiatives are summarized
below.
|
|
o
|
New
products and services – Deploying enhancements that address agents’ needs,
in early 2010 we launched a Target Markets department intended to focus on
new commercial product development and support, including identification
of promising classes of business. A team of associates with a focus and
subject matter expertise in specific industry segments is dedicated full
time to this department and engaged in research supporting the target
markets initiative. During the second quarter of 2010, we released our
first target market product: Educational Institutions Program. This
initiative is expected to enable our agents to capture a greater share of
the business in their communities and to place that business with
Cincinnati Insurance. We also continue to add field associates where we
can enhance service to our agents to increase their market advantages and
support new business growth. Areas of targeted additions include loss
control field representatives, personal lines field marketing
representatives, and field associates specializing in surety bonds or
premium auditing.
|
|
o
|
New
states – Reaching our desired market share within an independent agency
requires several years as relationships mature. We generally are able to
earn a 10 percent share of an agency’s business within 10 years of
its appointment. We also help our agents grow their business by attracting
more clients in their communities through our unique style of service. In
New Mexico and eastern Washington, states entered in 2007, we appointed 13
agencies through 2009, earning an almost 5 percent share of their
total agency annual premium volume as of the end of 2009. In Texas,
entered in late 2008, net written premiums for the first six months of
2010 rose to $15 million compared with $3 million for the same
period of 2009.
|
|
o
|
Excess
and surplus lines insurance - Better serving our agents by entering this
market in 2008, we offer a variety of coverages in 36 of the 37 states
where agents market our standard market coverages. Our agents write about
$2.5 billion annually of excess and surplus lines business with other
carriers, and we plan to earn a profitable share by bringing
Cincinnati-style service to agents and policyholders. While we carefully
manage policy terms and conditions and limit our exposure of any single
risk to $1 million through reinsurance, our excess and surplus lines
business continues to grow at a healthy pace. During the second quarter of
2010, new products were introduced for errors and omissions coverage
targeting manufacturing and staffing businesses. During the first six
months of 2010, net written premiums were $27 million compared with
$17 million for the same period of 2009, an increase of
57 percent.
|
|
o
|
Personal
lines – Refining pricing and improving ease of use for our agents, we are
benefitting from continued premium growth. Enhancement of our tiered
rating during 2009 helped to further improve our rate and credit
structures to attract and retain business for our agents’ more
quality-conscious clientele, with pricing that targets long-term
underwriting profitability. During the first half of 2010,
net written premiums increased 7 percent while new business
premiums increased 26 percent. In seven states where we began
writing personal lines business or significantly expanded our product
offerings and automation capabilities in 2008 or 2009, net written
premiums nearly doubled to
$18 million.
|
·
|
Commercial
lines property casualty insurance
|
·
|
Personal
lines property casualty insurance
|
·
|
Life
insurance
|
·
|
Investments
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
$ | 728 | $ | 733 | (1 | ) | $ | 1,436 | $ | 1,465 | (2 | ) | ||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expenses from:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current
accident year before catastrophe losses
|
522 | 529 | (1 | ) | 1,014 | 1,010 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
Current
accident year catastrophe losses
|
104 | 120 | (13 | ) | 126 | 175 | (28 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Prior
accident years before catastrophe losses
|
(68 | ) | (27 | ) | (152 | ) | (100 | ) | (18 | ) | (456 | ) | ||||||||||||
Prior
accident year catastrophe losses
|
(5 | ) | (2 | ) | (150 | ) | (12 | ) | (4 | ) | (200 | ) | ||||||||||||
Total
loss and loss expenses
|
553 | 620 | (11 | ) | 1,028 | 1,163 | (12 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Underwriting
expenses
|
230 | 235 | (2 | ) | 482 | 479 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
Underwriting
loss
|
$ | (55 | ) | $ | (122 | ) | 55 | $ | (74 | ) | $ | (177 | ) | 58 | ||||||||||
Pt. Change
|
Pt. Change
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||
Ratios
as a percent of earned premiums:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current
accident year before catastrophe losses
|
71.7 | % | 72.1 | % | (0.4 | ) | 70.6 | % | 69.0 | % | 1.6 | |||||||||||||
Current
accident year catastrophe losses
|
14.3 | 16.3 | (2.0 | ) | 8.8 | 11.9 | (3.1 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Prior
accident years before catastrophe losses
|
(9.3 | ) | (3.7 | ) | (5.6 | ) | (7.0 | ) | (1.2 | ) | (5.8 | ) | ||||||||||||
Prior
accident year catastrophe losses
|
(0.7 | ) | (0.2 | ) | (0.5 | ) | (0.8 | ) | (0.3 | ) | (0.5 | ) | ||||||||||||
Total
loss and loss expenses
|
76.0 | 84.5 | (8.5 | ) | 71.6 | 79.4 | (7.8 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Underwriting
expenses
|
31.6 | 32.1 | (0.5 | ) | 33.6 | 32.7 | 0.9 | |||||||||||||||||
Combined
ratio
|
107.6 | % | 116.6 | % | (9.0 | ) | 105.2 | % | 112.1 | % | (6.9 | ) | ||||||||||||
Combined
ratio:
|
107.6 | % | 116.6 | % | (9.0 | ) | 105.2 | % | 112.1 | % | (6.9 | ) | ||||||||||||
Contribution
from catastrophe losses and prior years reserve
development
|
4.3 | 12.4 | (8.1 | ) | 1.0 | 10.4 | (9.4 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Combined
ratio before catastrophe losses and prior years reserve
development
|
103.3 | % | 104.2 | % | (0.9 | ) | 104.2 | % | 101.7 | % | 2.5 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
Agency
renewal written premiums
|
$ | 685 | $ | 666 | 3 | $ | 1,367 | $ | 1,361 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
Agency
new business written premiums
|
106 | 107 | (1 | ) | 198 | 204 | (3 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Other
written premiums
|
(42 | ) | (50 | ) | 16 | (60 | ) | (64 | ) | 6 | ||||||||||||||
Net
written premiums
|
749 | 723 | 4 | 1,505 | 1,501 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unearned
premium change
|
(21 | ) | 10 |
nm
|
(69 | ) | (36 | ) | (92 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
$ | 728 | $ | 733 | (1 | ) | $ | 1,436 | $ | 1,465 | (2 | ) |
(In millions, net of reinsurance)
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Commercial
|
Personal
|
Commercial
|
Personal
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dates
|
Cause of loss
|
Region
|
lines
|
lines
|
Total
|
lines
|
lines
|
Total
|
||||||||||||||||||||
2010
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Jan.
7-12
|
Freezing,
wind
|
South,
Midwest
|
$ | (1 | ) | $ | - | $ | (1 | ) | $ | 3 | $ | 2 | $ | 5 | ||||||||||||
Feb.
9-11
|
Ice,
snow, wind
|
East,
Midwest
|
(1 | ) | - | (1 | ) | 5 | 2 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||
Apr.
4-6
|
Flood,
hail, tornado, wind
|
South,
Midwest
|
5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Apr.
30 - May 3
|
Flood,
hail, tornado, wind
|
South
|
28 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 34 | ||||||||||||||||||||
May
7-8
|
Hail,
tornado, wind
|
East,
Midwest
|
2 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 12 | ||||||||||||||||||||
May
12-16
|
Flood,
hail, tornado, wind
|
South,
Midwest
|
3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jun.
4-6
|
Flood,
hail, tornado, wind
|
Midwest
|
3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jun.
17-20
|
Flood,
hail, tornado, wind
|
Midwest,
West
|
5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jun.
21-24
|
Flood,
hail, tornado, wind
|
Midwest
|
4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jun.
25-28
|
Flood,
hail, tornado, wind
|
Midwest
|
1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
All
other 2010 catastrophes
|
11 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 23 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Development
on 2009 and prior catastrophes
|
(4 | ) | (1 | ) | (5 | ) | (10 | ) | (2 | ) | (12 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Calendar
year incurred total
|
$ | 56 | $ | 43 | $ | 99 | $ | 66 | $ | 48 | $ | 114 | ||||||||||||||||
2009
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Jan.
26-28
|
Flood,
freezing, ice, snow
|
South,
Midwest
|
$ | (1 | ) | $ | - | $ | (1 | ) | $ | 5 | $ | 15 | $ | 20 | ||||||||||||
Feb.
10-13
|
Flood,
hail, wind
|
South,
Midwest, East
|
4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23 | 38 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Feb.
18-19
|
Wind,
hail
|
South
|
1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Apr.
9-11
|
Flood,
hail, wind
|
South,
Midwest
|
13 | 15 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 28 | ||||||||||||||||||||
May
7-9
|
Flood,
hail, wind
|
South,
Midwest
|
12 | 17 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 29 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jun.
2-6
|
Flood,
hail, wind
|
South,
Midwest
|
6 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jun.
10-18
|
Flood,
hail, wind
|
South,
Midwest
|
21 | 9 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 30 | ||||||||||||||||||||
All
other 2009 catastrophes
|
5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Development
on 2008 and prior catastrophes
|
(4 | ) | 2 | (2 | ) | (7 | ) | 3 | (4 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||
Calendar
year incurred total
|
$ | 57 | $ | 61 | $ | 118 | $ | 71 | $ | 100 | $ | 171 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
$ | 538 | $ | 556 | (3 | ) | $ | 1,061 | $ | 1,112 | (5 | ) | ||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expenses from:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current
accident year before catastrophe losses
|
385 | 403 | (4 | ) | 757 | 766 | (1 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Current
accident year catastrophe losses
|
60 | 61 | (2 | ) | 76 | 78 | (3 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Prior
accident years before catastrophe losses
|
(63 | ) | (18 | ) | (250 | ) | (92 | ) | (7 | ) |
nm
|
|||||||||||||
Prior
accident year catastrophe losses
|
(4 | ) | (4 | ) | 0 | (10 | ) | (7 | ) | (43 | ) | |||||||||||||
Total
loss and loss expenses
|
378 | 442 | (14 | ) | 731 | 830 | (12 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Underwriting
expenses
|
169 | 175 | (3 | ) | 350 | 355 | (1 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Underwriting
loss
|
$ | (9 | ) | $ | (61 | ) | 85 | $ | (20 | ) | $ | (73 | ) | 73 | ||||||||||
|
Pt.
Change
|
Pt.
Change
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current
accident year before catastrophe losses
|
71.7 | % | 72.5 | % | (0.8 | ) | 71.4 | % | 68.8 | % | 2.6 | |||||||||||||
Current
accident year catastrophe losses
|
11.2 | 10.9 | 0.3 | 7.2 | 7.0 | 0.2 | ||||||||||||||||||
Prior
accident years before catastrophe losses
|
(11.7 | ) | (3.2 | ) | (8.5 | ) | (8.7 | ) | (0.6 | ) | (8.1 | ) | ||||||||||||
Prior
accident year catastrophe losses
|
(0.8 | ) | (0.7 | ) | (0.1 | ) | (1.0 | ) | (0.6 | ) | (0.4 | ) | ||||||||||||
Total
loss and loss expenses
|
70.4 | 79.5 | (9.1 | ) | 68.9 | 74.6 | (5.7 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Underwriting
expenses
|
31.3 | 31.4 | (0.1 | ) | 33.0 | 32.0 | 1.0 | |||||||||||||||||
Combined
ratio
|
101.7 | % | 110.9 | % | (9.2 | ) | 101.9 | % | 106.6 | % | (4.7 | ) | ||||||||||||
Combined
ratio:
|
101.7 | % | 110.9 | % | (9.2 | ) | 101.9 | % | 106.6 | % | (4.7 | ) | ||||||||||||
Contribution
from catastrophe losses and prior years reserve
development
|
(1.3 | ) | 7.0 | (8.3 | ) | (2.5 | ) | 5.8 | (8.3 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Combined
ratio before catastrophe losses and prior years reserve
development
|
103.0 | % | 103.9 | % | (0.9 | ) | 104.4 | % | 100.8 | % | 3.6 |
·
|
Premiums
– Commercial lines earned premiums and net written premiums declined
during the first half of 2010 due to lower insured exposure levels from
the weak economy, slightly lower pricing and continued strong competition
that caused us to decline opportunities to write new or renewal business
we considered underpriced. For the second quarter of 2010, net written
premiums increased, driven by growth in our commercial property and
commercial auto lines of business as shown in the Commercial Lines of
Business Analysis below. The premiums table below analyzes the components
of earned premiums.
|
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
Agency
renewal written premiums
|
$ | 492 | $ | 488 | 1 | $ | 1,025 | $ | 1,045 | (2 | ) | |||||||||||||
Agency
new business written premiums
|
73 | 79 | (8 | ) | 139 | 155 | (10 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Other
written premiums
|
(33 | ) | (43 | ) | 23 | (44 | ) | (51 | ) | 14 | ||||||||||||||
Net
written premiums
|
532 | 524 | 2 | 1,120 | 1,149 | (3 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Unearned
premium change
|
6 | 32 | (81 | ) | (59 | ) | (37 | ) | (59 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
$ | 538 | $ | 556 | (3 | ) | $ | 1,061 | $ | 1,112 | (5 | ) |
·
|
Combined
ratio – The commercial lines combined ratio for the three and six months
ended June 30, 2010, improved compared with the same periods of
2009, primarily due to more favorable reserve development on prior
accident years. Catastrophe losses accounted for 10.4 percentage
points and 6.2 percentage points of the combined ratio for the three
and six months ended June 30, 2010, compared with an annual average of
2.5 percentage points for the years 2007 through 2009. The relatively
high catastrophe loss ratio for the second quarter and first half of 2010
was the primary reason for the underwriting loss for
both periods.
|
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
New
losses greater than $4,000,000
|
$ | 11 | $ | 21 | (48 | ) | $ | 17 | $ | 30 | (43 | ) | ||||||||||||
New
losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
|
22 | 36 | (39 | ) | 54 | 62 | (13 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
New
losses $250,000-$1,000,000
|
40 | 38 | 5 | 80 | 86 | (7 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Case
reserve development above $250,000
|
29 | 63 | (54 | ) | 61 | 114 | (46 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Total
large losses incurred
|
102 | 158 | (35 | ) | 212 | 292 | (27 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Other
losses excluding catastrophe losses
|
159 | 151 | 5 | 321 | 324 | (1 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe
losses
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 66 | 71 | (7 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Total
losses incurred
|
$ | 318 | $ | 366 | (13 | ) | $ | 599 | $ | 687 | (13 | ) | ||||||||||||
|
Pt.
Change
|
Pt.
Change
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
New
losses greater than $4,000,000
|
2.0 | % | 3.7 | % | (1.7 | ) | 1.6 | % | 2.7 | % | (1.1 | ) | ||||||||||||
New
losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
|
4.1 | 6.5 | (2.4 | ) | 5.1 | 5.6 | (0.5 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
New
losses $250,000-$1,000,000
|
7.4 | 7.0 | 0.4 | 7.5 | 7.7 | (0.2 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Case
reserve development above $250,000
|
5.4 | 11.4 | (6.0 | ) | 5.8 | 10.2 | (4.4 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Total
large loss ratio
|
18.9 | 28.6 | (9.7 | ) | 20.0 | 26.2 | (6.2 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Other
losses excluding catastrophe losses
|
29.6 | 27.1 | 2.5 | 30.2 | 29.2 | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe
losses
|
10.5 | 10.3 | 0.2 | 6.2 | 6.4 | (0.2 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Total
loss ratio
|
59.0 | % | 66.0 | % | (7.0 | ) | 56.4 | % | 61.8 | % | (5.4 | ) |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
Commercial
casualty:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written
premiums
|
$ | 168 | $ | 171 | (2 | ) | $ | 359 | $ | 379 | (5 | ) | ||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
172 | 180 | (4 | ) | 336 | 366 | (8 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expenses incurred
|
82 | 98 | (16 | ) | 178 | 201 | (11 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expense ratio
|
48.3 | % | 54.2 | % | 53.2 | % | 54.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from catastrophe losses
|
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from prior period reserve development
|
(25.3 | ) | (21.6 | ) | (19.2 | ) | (15.5 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Commercial
property:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written
premiums
|
$ | 124 | $ | 113 | 10 | $ | 253 | $ | 245 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
121 | 120 | 1 | 242 | 241 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expenses incurred
|
109 | 106 | 3 | 195 | 189 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expense ratio
|
90.1 | % | 88.3 | % | 80.5 | % | 78.6 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from catastrophe losses
|
36.7 | 23.5 | 22.5 | 15.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from prior period reserve development
|
(5.5 | ) | (3.1 | ) | (3.7 | ) | 0.9 | |||||||||||||||||
Commercial
auto:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written
premiums
|
$ | 99 | $ | 94 | 5 | $ | 202 | $ | 204 | (1 | ) | |||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
96 | 98 | (2 | ) | 191 | 197 | (3 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expenses incurred
|
70 | 61 | 15 | 128 | 120 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expense ratio
|
72.9 | % | 62.5 | % | 67.0 | % | 61.1 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from catastrophe losses
|
4.2 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from prior period reserve development
|
(1.0 | ) | (5.6 | ) | (4.0 | ) | (1.9 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Workers'
compensation:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written
premiums
|
$ | 72 | $ | 79 | (9 | ) | $ | 167 | $ | 183 | (9 | ) | ||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
79 | 88 | (10 | ) | 153 | 171 | (11 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expenses incurred
|
72 | 115 | (37 | ) | 139 | 212 | (34 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expense ratio
|
89.9 | % | 130.2 | % | 90.6 | % | 124.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from catastrophe losses
|
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from prior period reserve development
|
(13.3 | ) | 33.2 | (12.6 | ) | 28.7 | ||||||||||||||||||
Specialty
packages:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written
premiums
|
$ | 36 | $ | 35 | 3 | $ | 75 | $ | 73 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 74 | 72 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expenses incurred
|
32 | 42 | (24 | ) | 65 | 76 | (14 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expense ratio
|
85.6 | % | 114.3 | % | 87.3 | % | 105.4 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from catastrophe losses
|
20.2 | 68.8 | 10.8 | 41.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from prior period reserve development
|
(3.5 | ) | (6.4 | ) | 3.2 | (0.5 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Surety
and executive risk:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written
premiums
|
$ | 24 | $ | 25 | (4 | ) | $ | 47 | $ | 50 | (6 | ) | ||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 49 | 50 | (2 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expenses incurred
|
8 | 17 | (53 | ) | 21 | 24 | (13 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expense ratio
|
36.2 | % | 67.0 | % | 43.6 | % | 48.8 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from catastrophe losses
|
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from prior period reserve development
|
(17.7 | ) | (3.8 | ) | (6.9 | ) | (10.5 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Machinery
and equipment:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written
premiums
|
$ | 9 | $ | 7 | 29 | $ | 17 | $ | 15 | 13 | ||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 15 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expenses incurred
|
5 | 3 | 67 | 5 | 8 | (38 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expense ratio
|
51.9 | % | 39.7 | % | 29.3 | % | 49.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from catastrophe losses
|
1.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from prior period reserve development
|
1.9 | (0.1 | ) | (7.5 | ) | 8.5 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
$ | 179 | $ | 172 | 4 | $ | 353 | $ | 343 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expenses from:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current
accident year before catastrophe losses
|
125 | 121 | 3 | 236 | 237 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
Current
accident year catastrophe losses
|
44 | 59 | (25 | ) | 50 | 97 | (48 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Prior
accident years before catastrophe losses
|
(5 | ) | (9 | ) | 44 | (9 | ) | (12 | ) | 25 | ||||||||||||||
Prior
accident year catastrophe losses
|
(1 | ) | 2 |
nm
|
(2 | ) | 3 |
nm
|
||||||||||||||||
Total
loss and loss expenses
|
163 | 173 | (6 | ) | 275 | 325 | (15 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Underwriting
expenses
|
57 | 56 | 2 | 124 | 110 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting
loss
|
$ | (41 | ) | $ | (57 | ) | 28 | $ | (46 | ) | $ | (92 | ) | 50 | ||||||||||
|
Pt.
Change
|
Pt.
Change
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current
accident year before catastrophe losses
|
70.3 | % | 70.9 | % | (0.6 | ) | 67.0 | % | 69.0 | % | (2.0 | ) | ||||||||||||
Current
accident year catastrophe losses
|
24.5 | 34.3 | (9.8 | ) | 14.1 | 28.1 | (14.0 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Prior
accident years before catastrophe losses
|
(3.0 | ) | (5.4 | ) | 2.4 | (2.7 | ) | (3.4 | ) | 0.7 | ||||||||||||||
Prior
accident year catastrophe losses
|
(0.7 | ) | 1.1 | (1.8 | ) | (0.5 | ) | 0.9 | (1.4 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Total
loss and loss expenses
|
91.1 | 100.9 | (9.8 | ) | 77.9 | 94.6 | (16.7 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Underwriting
expenses
|
32.3 | 32.3 | 0.0 | 35.2 | 32.3 | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||
Combined
ratio
|
123.4 | % | 133.2 | % | (9.8 | ) | 113.1 | % | 126.9 | % | (13.8 | ) | ||||||||||||
Combined
ratio:
|
123.4 | % | 133.2 | % | (9.8 | ) | 113.1 | % | 126.9 | % | (13.8 | ) | ||||||||||||
Contribution
from catastrophe losses and prior years reserve
development
|
20.8 | 30.0 | (9.2 | ) | 10.9 | 25.6 | (14.7 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Combined
ratio before catastrophe losses and prior years reserve
development
|
102.6 | % | 103.2 | % | (0.6 | ) | 102.2 | % | 101.3 | % | 0.9 |
·
|
Premiums
– Personal lines earned premiums and net written premiums increased for
the three and six months ended June 30, 2010, due to higher
renewal and new business premiums that reflected improved
pricing.
|
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
Agency
renewal written premiums
|
$ | 187 | $ | 176 | 6 | $ | 330 | $ | 313 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
Agency
new business written premiums
|
24 | 19 | 26 | 42 | 34 | 24 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other
written premiums
|
(7 | ) | (5 | ) | (40 | ) | (13 | ) | (13 | ) | 0 | |||||||||||||
Net
written premiums
|
204 | 190 | 7 | 359 | 334 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||
Unearned
premium change
|
(25 | ) | (18 | ) | (39 | ) | (6 | ) | 9 |
nm
|
||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
$ | 179 | $ | 172 | 4 | $ | 353 | $ | 343 | 3 |
·
|
Combined
ratio – The personal lines combined ratio for the three and six months
ended June 30, 2010, improved 9.8 and 13.8 percentage
points compared with the same periods of 2009, primarily due to lower
weather-related catastrophe losses. The 67.0 percent ratio for current
accident year loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses for the
first six months of 2010 improved 3.9 percentage points compared with
the 70.9 percent accident year 2009 ratio measured as of
December 31, 2009. Pricing changes and lower large losses
were the primary drivers of the improvement. New losses greater than
$250,000, shown in the table below, had a first-half 2010 ratio impact of
8.6 percentage points compared with 10.1 percentage points
for full-year 2009, accounting for 1.5 percentage points of
the improvement.
|
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
New
losses greater than $4,000,000
|
$ | 0 | $ | 0 |
nm
|
$ | 0 | $ | 0 |
nm
|
||||||||||||||
New
losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
|
7 | 3 | 133 | 10 | 5 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||
New
losses $250,000-$1,000,000
|
10 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 22 | (9 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Case
reserve development above $250,000
|
1 | 7 | (86 | ) | 4 | 12 | (67 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Total
large losses incurred
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 34 | 39 | (13 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Other
losses excluding catastrophe losses
|
85 | 80 | 6 | 161 | 154 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe
losses
|
43 | 57 | (25 | ) | 48 | 96 | (50 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Total
losses incurred
|
$ | 146 | $ | 155 | (6 | ) | $ | 243 | $ | 289 | (16 | ) | ||||||||||||
|
Pt.
Change
|
Pt.
Change
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
New
losses greater than $4,000,000
|
0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||
New
losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
|
4.4 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||
New
losses $250,000-$1,000,000
|
5.6 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 5.6 | 6.7 | (1.1 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Case
reserve development above $250,000
|
0.6 | 3.8 | (3.2 | ) | 1.2 | 3.4 | (2.2 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Total
large losses incurred
|
10.6 | 10.5 | 0.1 | 9.8 | 11.5 | (1.7 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Other
losses excluding catastrophe losses
|
48.0 | 46.4 | 1.6 | 45.7 | 44.8 | 0.9 | ||||||||||||||||||
Catastrophe
losses
|
23.8 | 33.2 | (9.4 | ) | 13.5 | 27.9 | (14.4 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Total
loss ratio
|
82.4 | % | 90.1 | % | (7.7 | ) | 69.0 | % | 84.2 | % | (15.2 | ) |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
Personal
auto:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written
premiums
|
$ | 97 | $ | 89 | 9 | $ | 170 | $ | 157 | 8 | ||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
83 | 80 | 4 | 164 | 159 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expenses incurred
|
61 | 60 | 2 | 108 | 111 | (3 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expense ratio
|
73.6 | % | 75.7 | % | 66.0 | % | 69.7 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from catastrophe losses
|
4.0 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from prior period reserve development
|
(1.4 | ) | (2.1 | ) | (3.0 | ) | 0.6 | |||||||||||||||||
Homeowner:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written
premiums
|
$ | 81 | $ | 76 | 7 | $ | 141 | $ | 132 | 7 | ||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
72 | 70 | 3 | 142 | 140 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expenses incurred
|
89 | 103 | (14 | ) | 142 | 196 | (28 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expense ratio
|
123.8 | % | 147.8 | % | 100.2 | % | 140.3 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from catastrophe losses
|
52.8 | 77.6 | 30.1 | 64.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from prior period reserve development
|
(0.6 | ) | 4.6 | 0.5 | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
Other
personal:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Written
premiums
|
$ | 26 | $ | 25 | 4 | $ | 48 | $ | 45 | 7 | ||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
24 | 22 | 9 | 47 | 44 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expenses incurred
|
13 | 10 | 30 | 25 | 18 | 39 | ||||||||||||||||||
Loss
and loss expense ratio
|
53.0 | % | 42.6 | % | 52.3 | % | 40.2 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from catastrophe losses
|
5.3 | 18.7 | 4.1 | 14.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Contribution
from prior period reserve development
|
(22.0 | ) | (40.4 | ) | (14.9 | ) | (39.3 | ) |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
$ | 40 | $ | 37 | 8 | $ | 79 | $ | 70 | 13 | ||||||||||||||
Separate
account investment management fees
|
1 | - |
nm
|
1 | - |
nm
|
||||||||||||||||||
Total
revenues
|
41 | 37 | 11 | 80 | 70 | 14 | ||||||||||||||||||
Contract
holders' benefits incurred
|
43 | 39 | 10 | 85 | 78 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||
Investment
interest credited to contract holders
|
(20 | ) | (17 | ) | (18 | ) | (39 | ) | (33 | ) | (18 | ) | ||||||||||||
Operating
expenses incurred
|
16 | 13 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 33 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total
benefits and expenses
|
39 | 35 | 11 | 78 | 69 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||
Life
insurance segment profit (loss)
|
$ | 2 | $ | 2 | 0 | $ | 2 | $ | 1 | 100 |
·
|
Revenues
– Revenues were higher for the three and six months ended
June 30, 2010, driven by an earned premium increase largely due
to growth from term life insurance products and universal life insurance
products.
|
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
Term
life insurance
|
$ | 24 | $ | 23 | 4 | $ | 47 | $ | 41 | 15 | ||||||||||||||
Universal
life insurance
|
10 | 7 | 43 | 19 | 15 | 27 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other
life insurance, annuity, and disability income products
|
6 | 7 | (14 | ) | 13 | 14 | (7 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Net
earned premiums
|
$ | 40 | $ | 37 | 8 | $ | 79 | $ | 70 | 13 |
·
|
Profitability
– Our life insurance segment typically reports a small profit or loss on a
GAAP basis because most of its investment income is included in our
investment segment results. We include only investment income credited to
contract holders (interest assumed in life insurance policy reserve
calculations) in our life insurance segment results. Profit of
$2 million for our life insurance segment in the first six months of
2010 compared favorably with a $1 million profit for the first six
months of 2009 when the segment experienced less favorable mortality
experience.
|
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
Total
investment income, net of expenses, pre-tax
|
$ | 130 | $ | 119 | 9 | $ | 260 | $ | 243 | 7 | ||||||||||||||
Investment
interest credited to contract holders
|
(20 | ) | (17 | ) | (18 | ) | (39 | ) | (33 | ) | (18 | ) | ||||||||||||
Realized
investment gains and losses summary:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Realized
investment gains and losses, net
|
16 | 23 | (30 | ) | 19 | 75 | (75 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Change
in fair value of securities with embedded derivatives
|
(5 | ) | 11 |
nm
|
1 | 7 | (86 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Other-than-temporary
impairment charges
|
(34 | ) | (52 | ) | 35 | (35 | ) | (102 | ) | 66 | ||||||||||||||
Total
realized investment gains and losses, net
|
(23 | ) | (18 | ) | (28 | ) | (15 | ) | (20 | ) | 25 | |||||||||||||
Investment
operations income
|
$ | 87 | $ | 84 | 4 | $ | 206 | $ | 190 | 8 | ||||||||||||||
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
Investment
income:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest
|
$ | 107 | $ | 96 | 11 | $ | 214 | $ | 192 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
Dividends
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 48 | 50 | (4 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Other
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | (60 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Investment
expenses
|
(2 | ) | (2 | ) | 0 | (4 | ) | (4 | ) | 0 | ||||||||||||||
Total
investment income, net of expenses, pre-tax
|
130 | 119 | 9 | 260 | 243 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||
Income
taxes
|
(32 | ) | (28 | ) | (14 | ) | (64 | ) | (56 | ) | (14 | ) | ||||||||||||
Total
investment income, net of expenses, after-tax
|
$ | 98 | $ | 91 | 8 | $ | 196 | $ | 187 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
Effective
tax rate
|
24.5 | % | 23.2 | % | 24.5 | % | 23.2 | % | ||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Average
invested assets
|
$ | 11,381 | $ | 9,677 | $ | 11,279 | $ | 9,931 | ||||||||||||||||
Average
yield pre-tax
|
4.6 | % | 4.9 | % | 4.6 | % | 4.9 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Average
yield after-tax
|
3.4 | % | 3.8 | % | 3.5 | % | 3.8 | % |
·
|
$23 million
in gains from the sale of various common stock
holdings.
|
·
|
$2 million
in net losses from fixed-maturity sales and
calls.
|
·
|
$1 million
in gains from changes in fair value of securities with embedded
derivatives.
|
·
|
$35 million
in other-than-temporary impairment charges to write down holdings of
equities and fixed maturities.
|
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
Fixed
maturities
|
||||||||||||||||
Financial
|
$ | - | $ | 2 | $ | - | $ | 21 | ||||||||
Services
cyclical
|
- | - | - | 11 | ||||||||||||
Real
estate
|
1 | - | 1 | 7 | ||||||||||||
Consumer
cyclical
|
- | 1 | - | 2 | ||||||||||||
Other
|
- | - | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||
Total
fixed maturities
|
1 | 3 | 2 | 43 | ||||||||||||
Common
equities
|
||||||||||||||||
Health
|
21 | 6 | 21 | 6 | ||||||||||||
Industrial
|
- | 26 | - | 26 | ||||||||||||
Consumer
discretionary
|
- | 10 | - | 10 | ||||||||||||
Material
|
- | 7 | - | 7 | ||||||||||||
Information
technology
|
12 | - | 12 | - | ||||||||||||
Total
common equities
|
33 | 49 | 33 | 49 | ||||||||||||
Preferred
equities
|
||||||||||||||||
Financial
|
- | - | - | 10 | ||||||||||||
Total
preferred equities
|
- | - | - | 10 | ||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 34 | $ | 52 | $ | 35 | $ | 102 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
2010
|
2009
|
Change %
|
||||||||||||||||||
Interest
and fees on loans and leases
|
$ | 1 | $ | 2 | (50 | ) | $ | 3 | $ | 4 | (25 | ) | ||||||||||||
Earned
premiums
|
11 | 5 | 120 | 22 | 10 | 120 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other
revenues
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | (50 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Total
revenues
|
13 | 8 | 63 | 26 | 16 | 63 | ||||||||||||||||||
Interest
expense
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 27 | 28 | (4 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Losses
and loss expenses
|
12 | 4 | 200 | 22 | 9 | 144 | ||||||||||||||||||
Underwriting
expenses
|
4 | 5 | (20 | ) | 8 | 13 | (38 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Operating
expenses
|
1 | 3 | (67 | ) | 5 | 8 | (38 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Total
expenses
|
31 | 26 | 19 | 62 | 58 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||
Pre-tax
loss
|
$ | (18 | ) | $ | (18 | ) | 0 | $ | (36 | ) | $ | (42 | ) | 14 |
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
Premiums
collected
|
$ | 727 | $ | 734 | $ | 1,445 | $ | 1,484 | ||||||||
Loss
and loss expenses paid
|
(453 | ) | (496 | ) | (867 | ) | (975 | ) | ||||||||
Commissions
and other underwriting expenses paid
|
(221 | ) | (220 | ) | (511 | ) | (515 | ) | ||||||||
Insurance
subsidiary cash flow from underwriting
|
53 | 18 | 67 | (6 | ) | |||||||||||
Investment
income received
|
86 | 71 | 175 | 151 | ||||||||||||
Insurance
operating cash flow
|
$ | 139 | $ | 89 | $ | 242 | $ | 145 |
·
|
Commissions
– Commissions paid were $313 million in the first six months of 2010.
Commission payments generally track with written
premiums.
|
·
|
Other
underwriting expenses – Many of our underwriting expenses are not
contractual obligations, but reflect the ongoing expenses of our business.
Non-commission underwriting expenses paid were $198 million in the
first six months of 2010.
|
·
|
In
addition to contractual obligations for hardware and software, we
anticipate capitalizing approximately $10 million in spending for key
technology initiatives in 2010. Capitalized development costs related to
key technology initiatives were $6 million in the first six
months of 2010. These activities are conducted at our discretion, and
we have no material contractual obligations for activities planned as part
of these projects.
|
|
Loss reserves
|
Loss
|
Total
|
|||||||||||||||||
Case
|
IBNR
|
expense
|
gross
|
Percent
|
||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
reserves
|
reserves
|
reserves
|
reserves
|
of total
|
|||||||||||||||
At
June 30, 2010
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Commercial
casualty
|
$ | 1,018 | $ | 290 | $ | 522 | $ | 1,830 | 49.1 | % | ||||||||||
Commercial
property
|
123 | 21 | 33 | 177 | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||
Commercial
auto
|
271 | 49 | 65 | 385 | 10.4 | |||||||||||||||
Workers'
compensation
|
455 | 463 | 144 | 1,062 | 28.5 | |||||||||||||||
Specialty
packages
|
83 | 4 | 11 | 98 | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||
Surety
and executive risk
|
108 | 0 | 54 | 162 | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||
Machinery
and equipment
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0.2 | |||||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 2,061 | $ | 830 | $ | 830 | $ | 3,721 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||
At
December 31, 2009
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Commercial
casualty
|
$ | 1,044 | $ | 309 | $ | 540 | $ | 1,893 | 50.8 | % | ||||||||||
Commercial
property
|
84 | 15 | 31 | 130 | 3.5 | |||||||||||||||
Commercial
auto
|
266 | 47 | 65 | 378 | 10.1 | |||||||||||||||
Workers'
compensation
|
452 | 458 | 143 | 1,053 | 28.3 | |||||||||||||||
Specialty
packages
|
68 | 5 | 10 | 83 | 2.2 | |||||||||||||||
Surety
and executive risk
|
128 | (2 | ) | 55 | 181 | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||
Machinery
and equipment
|
2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0.2 | |||||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 2,044 | $ | 835 | $ | 845 | $ | 3,724 | 100.0 | % |
|
Loss reserves
|
Loss
|
Total
|
|||||||||||||||||
Case
|
IBNR
|
expense
|
gross
|
Percent
|
||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
reserves
|
reserves
|
reserves
|
reserves
|
of total
|
|||||||||||||||
At
June 30, 2010
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Personal
auto
|
$ | 125 | $ | (2 | ) | $ | 28 | $ | 151 | 41.2 | % | |||||||||
Homeowner
|
74 | 32 | 18 | 124 | 33.5 | |||||||||||||||
Other
personal
|
41 | 43 | 9 | 93 | 25.3 | |||||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 240 | $ | 73 | $ | 55 | $ | 368 | 100.0 | % | ||||||||||
At
December 31, 2009
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Personal
auto
|
$ | 130 | $ | (4 | ) | $ | 28 | $ | 154 | 44.2 | % | |||||||||
Homeowner
|
56 | 26 | 17 | 99 | 28.4 | |||||||||||||||
Other
personal
|
45 | 42 | 9 | 96 | 27.4 | |||||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 231 | $ | 64 | $ | 54 | $ | 349 | 100.0 | % |
Item
3.
|
Quantitative
and Qualitative Disclosures about
Market Risk
|
|
At June 30, 2010
|
At December 31, 2009
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(In millions)
|
Book value
|
% of BV
|
Fair value
|
% of FV
|
Book value
|
% of BV
|
Fair value
|
% of FV
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Taxable
fixed maturities
|
$ | 4,961 | 50.1 | % | $ | 5,364 | 49.0 | % | $ | 4,644 | 48.6 | % | $ | 4,863 | 46.0 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Tax-exempt
fixed maturities
|
2,828 | 28.5 | 2,975 | 27.2 | 2,870 | 30.1 | 2,992 | 28.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Common
equities
|
2,041 | 20.6 | 2,518 | 23.0 | 1,941 | 20.4 | 2,608 | 24.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Preferred
equities
|
75 | 0.8 | 93 | 0.8 | 75 | 0.8 | 93 | 0.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Short-term
investments
|
- | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 6 | 0.1 | 6 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 9,905 | 100.0 | % | $ | 10,950 | 100.0 | % | $ | 9,536 | 100.0 | % | $ | 10,562 | 100.0 | % |
|
At June 30, 2010
|
At December 31, 2009
|
||||||||||||||
Fair
|
Percent
|
Fair
|
Percent
|
|||||||||||||
(In millions) |
value
|
to total
|
value
|
to total
|
||||||||||||
Moody's
Ratings and Standard & Poor's Ratings combined
|
||||||||||||||||
Aaa,
Aa, A, AAA, AA, A
|
$ | 5,328 | 63.9 | % | $ | 4,967 | 63.2 | % | ||||||||
Baa,
BBB
|
2,481 | 29.8 | 2,302 | 29.3 | ||||||||||||
Ba,
BB
|
248 | 3.0 | 279 | 3.5 | ||||||||||||
B,
B
|
47 | 0.6 | 44 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||
Caa,
CCC
|
19 | 0.2 | 29 | 0.4 | ||||||||||||
Ca,
CC
|
- | 0.0 | 3 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
Non-rated
|
216 | 2.5 | 237 | 3.0 | ||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 8,339 | 100.0 | % | $ | 7,861 | 100.0 | % |
At June 30,
|
At December 31,
|
|||||||
2010
|
2009
|
|||||||
Weighted
average yield-to-book value
|
5.7 | % | 5.9 | % | ||||
Weighted
average maturity
|
7.1 yrs | 7.5 yrs | ||||||
Effective
duration
|
5.0 yrs | 5.3 yrs |
·
|
$347 million
in U.S. agency paper that is rated Aaa/AAA by Moody’s and Standard &
Poor’s, respectively.
|
·
|
$4.472 billion
in investment-grade corporate bonds that have a Moody's rating at or above
Baa3 or a Standard & Poor's rating at or above
BBB-.
|
·
|
$276 million
in high-yield corporate bonds that have a Moody's rating below Baa3 and a
Standard & Poor's rating below
BBB-.
|
·
|
$197 million
in taxable municipal bonds that have an average rating of Aa3/AA by
Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s,
respectively.
|
·
|
$72 million
in convertible bonds and redeemable preferred
stocks.
|
|
Interest Rate Shift in Basis Points (bps)
|
|||||||||||||||||||
(In millions) |
-200 bps
|
-100 bps
|
0 bps
|
100 bps
|
200 bps
|
|||||||||||||||
At
June 30, 2010
|
$ | 9,204 | $ | 8,765 | $ | 8,339 | $ | 7,918 | $ | 7,518 | ||||||||||
At
December 31, 2009
|
$ | 8,705 | $ | 8,279 | $ | 7,855 | $ | 7,428 | $ | 7,024 |
Percent of Publicly Traded Common Stock Portfolio
|
||||||||||||||||
At
June
30,
2010
|
At
December
31,
2009
|
|||||||||||||||
Cincinnati
Financial
|
S&P
500
Industry
Weightings
|
Cincinnati
Financial
|
S&P
500
Industry
Weightings
|
|||||||||||||
Sector:
|
||||||||||||||||
Consumer
staples
|
16.9 | % | 11.5 | % | 15.5 | % | 11.4 | % | ||||||||
Healthcare
|
15.6 | 12.1 | 18.0 | 12.6 | ||||||||||||
Financial
|
11.8 | 16.3 | 10.2 | 14.4 | ||||||||||||
Information
technology
|
11.3 | 18.7 | 11.0 | 19.8 | ||||||||||||
Energy
|
11.2 | 10.7 | 11.0 | 11.5 | ||||||||||||
Industrials
|
10.0 | 10.4 | 9.2 | 10.2 | ||||||||||||
Consumer
discretionary
|
8.8 | 10.1 | 9.6 | 9.6 | ||||||||||||
Utilities
|
6.0 | 3.8 | 6.7 | 3.7 | ||||||||||||
Materials
|
5.1 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 3.6 | ||||||||||||
Telecomm
services
|
3.3 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 3.2 | ||||||||||||
Total
|
100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % |
·
|
131
of these holdings were trading between 90 percent and
100 percent of book value. The value of these securities fluctuates
primarily because of changes in interest rates. 20 of these are equity
securities that may be subject to other-than-temporary impairment should
they not recover by the recovery dates we determined. The remaining 111
securities primarily consists of fixed-maturity securities whose current
valuation is largely the result of interest rate factors. The fair value
of these 131 securities was $621 million at June 30, 2010, and
they accounted for $21 million in unrealized
losses.
|
·
|
18
of these holdings were trading between 70 percent and 90 percent
of book value at June 30, 2010. Eleven of these securities are equity
securities that may be subject to other-than-temporary impairment should
they not recover by the recovery date we determined. The remaining seven
are fixed-maturity securities that we believe will continue to pay
interest and ultimately principal upon maturity. The fair value of these
18 securities was $514 million, and they accounted for
$84 million in unrealized
losses.
|
·
|
None
of these holdings were trading below 70 percent of book value at June
30, 2010.
|
(In millions)
|
Less than 12 months
|
12 months or more
|
Total
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
At June 30,
|
Fair
value
|
Unrealized
losses
|
Fair
value
|
Unrealized
losses
|
Fair
value
|
Unrealized
losses
|
||||||||||||||||||
2010
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed
maturities:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
States,
municipalities and political subdivisions
|
$ | 30 | $ | - | $ | 25 | $ | 1 | $ | 55 | $ | 1 | ||||||||||||
Corporate
bonds
|
130 | 3 | 156 | 9 | 286 | 12 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total
|
160 | 3 | 181 | 10 | 341 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||
Equity
securities
|
730 | 83 | 64 | 9 | 794 | 92 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 890 | $ | 86 | $ | 245 | $ | 19 | $ | 1,135 | $ | 105 | ||||||||||||
At December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
2009
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed
maturities:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
States,
municipalities and political subdivisions
|
$ | 196 | $ | 4 | $ | 29 | $ | 2 | $ | 225 | $ | 6 | ||||||||||||
Government-sponsored
enterprises
|
347 | 7 | - | - | 347 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||
Short-term
investments
|
1 | - | - | - | 1 | - | ||||||||||||||||||
Collateralized
mortgage obligations
|
- | - | 27 | 6 | 27 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||
Corporate
bonds
|
397 | 19 | 309 | 17 | 706 | 36 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total
|
941 | 30 | 365 | 25 | 1,306 | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||
Equity
securities
|
65 | 3 | 415 | 26 | 480 | 29 | ||||||||||||||||||
Total
|
$ | 1,006 | $ | 33 | $ | 780 | $ | 51 | $ | 1,786 | $ | 84 |
(In millions)
|
Number
of issues
|
Book
value
|
Fair
value
|
Gross
unrealized
gain/loss
|
Gross
investment
income
|
|||||||||||||||
At
June 30, 2010
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Taxable
fixed maturities:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Fair
value below 70% of book value
|
- | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | $ | - | |||||||||||
Fair
value at 70% to less than 100% of book value
|
91 | 308 | 296 | (12 | ) | 9 | ||||||||||||||
Fair
value at 100% and above book value
|
1,111 | 4,653 | 5,068 | 415 | 139 | |||||||||||||||
Securities
sold in current year
|
- | - | - | - | 5 | |||||||||||||||
Total
|
1,202 | 4,961 | 5,364 | 403 | 153 | |||||||||||||||
Tax-exempt
fixed maturities:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Fair
value below 70% of book value
|
- | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
Fair
value at 70% to less than 100% of book value
|
27 | 46 | 45 | (1 | ) | 1 | ||||||||||||||
Fair
value at 100% and above book value
|
1,261 | 2,782 | 2,930 | 148 | 60 | |||||||||||||||
Securities
sold in current year
|
- | - | - | - | 1 | |||||||||||||||
Total
|
1,288 | 2,828 | 2,975 | 147 | 62 | |||||||||||||||
Common
equities:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Fair
value below 70% of book value
|
- | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
Fair
value at 70% to less than 100% of book value
|
27 | 857 | 768 | (89 | ) | 18 | ||||||||||||||
Fair
value at 100% and above book value
|
45 | 1,184 | 1,750 | 566 | 26 | |||||||||||||||
Securities
sold in current year
|
- | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
Total
|
72 | 2,041 | 2,518 | 477 | 44 | |||||||||||||||
Preferred
equities:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Fair
value below 70% of book value
|
- | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
Fair
value at 70% to less than 100% of book value
|
4 | 29 | 26 | (3 | ) | 1 | ||||||||||||||
Fair
value at 100% and above book value
|
20 | 46 | 67 | 21 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
Securities
sold in current year
|
- | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
Total
|
24 | 75 | 93 | 18 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
Short-term
investments:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Fair
value below 70% of book value
|
- | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
Fair
value at 70% to less than 100% of book value
|
- | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
Fair
value at 100% and above book value
|
- | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
Securities
sold in current year
|
- | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
Total
|
- | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
Portfolio
summary:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Fair
value below 70% of book value
|
- | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||
Fair
value at 70% to less than 100% of book value
|
149 | 1,240 | 1,135 | (105 | ) | 29 | ||||||||||||||
Fair
value at 100% and above book value
|
2,437 | 8,665 | 9,815 | 1,150 | 227 | |||||||||||||||
Securities
sold in current year
|
- | - | - | - | 6 | |||||||||||||||
Total
|
2,586 | $ | 9,905 | $ | 10,950 | $ | 1,045 | $ | 262 | |||||||||||
At
December 31, 2009
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Portfolio
summary:
|
||||||||||||||||||||
Fair
value below 70% of book value
|
9 | $ | 8 | $ | 5 | $ | (3 | ) | $ | 1 | ||||||||||
Fair
value at 70% to less than 100% of book value
|
346 | 1,862 | 1,781 | (81 | ) | 79 | ||||||||||||||
Fair
value at 100% and above book value
|
2,150 | 7,666 | 8,776 | 1,110 | 391 | |||||||||||||||
Securities
sold in current year
|
- | - | - | - | 31 | |||||||||||||||
Total
|
2,505 | $ | 9,536 | $ | 10,562 | $ | 1,026 | $ | 502 |
Item
4.
|
Controls
and Procedures
|
·
|
that
information required to be disclosed in the company’s reports under the
Exchange Act is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the
time periods specified in the Securities and Exchange Commission’s rules
and forms, and
|
·
|
that
such information is accumulated and communicated to the company’s
management, including its chief executive officer and chief financial
officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required
disclosures.
|
Item
1.
|
Legal
Proceedings
|
Item
1A.
|
Risk
Factors
|
Item
2.
|
Unregistered
Sales of Equity Securities and Use of
Proceeds
|
Period
|
Total number
of shares
purchased
|
Average
price paid
per share
|
Total number of
shares
purchased as
part of
publicly
announced
plans or
programs
|
Maximum number of
shares that may yet
be
purchased under
the
plans or programs
|
||||||||||||
April
1-30, 2010
|
0 | $ | 0.00 | 0 | 9,044,097 | |||||||||||
May
1-31, 2010
|
332,748 | 26.49 | 332,748 | 8,711,349 | ||||||||||||
June
1-30, 2010
|
45,000 | 26.49 | 45,000 | 8,666,349 | ||||||||||||
Totals
|
377,748 | 26.49 | 377,748 |
Item
3.
|
Defaults
upon Senior Securities
|
Item
4.
|
(Removed
and Reserved)
|
Item
5.
|
Other
Information
|
Item
6.
|
Exhibits
|
Exhibit No.
|
Exhibit Description
|
|
3.1A
|
Amended
Articles of Incorporation of Cincinnati Financial Corporation
(incorporated by reference to the company’s 1999 Annual Report on Form
10-K dated March 23, 2000) (File No. 000-04604)
|
|
3.1B
|
Amendment
to Article Fourth of Amended Articles of Incorporation of Cincinnati
Financial Corporation (incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3(i) filed
with the company’s Current Report on Form 8-K dated
July 15, 2005)
|
|
3.1C
|
Amendment
to Article Sixth of Amended Articles of Incorporation of Cincinnati
Financial Corporation
|
|
3.2
|
Regulations
of Cincinnati Financial Corporation, as amended through May 1,
2010
|
|
11
|
Statement
re: Computation of per share earnings for the six months ended June
30, 2010, contained in Exhibit 11 of this report, Page
54
|
|
31A
|
Certification
pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes Oxley Act of 2002 –
Chief Executive Officer
|
|
31B
|
Certification
pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes Oxley Act of 2002 –
Chief Financial Officer
|
|
32
|
|
Certification
pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes Oxley Act of
2002
|
/S/
Eric N. Mathews
|
Eric
N. Mathews, CPCU, AIAF
|
Vice
President, Assistant Secretary and Assistant Treasurer
|
(Principal
Accounting
Officer)
|
|
Three months ended June 30,
|
Six months ended June 30,
|
||||||||||||||
(Dollars in millions except share data) |
2010
|
2009
|
2010
|
2009
|
||||||||||||
Numerator:
|
||||||||||||||||
Net
income (loss)—basic and diluted
|
$ | 27 | $ | (19 | ) | $ | 95 | $ | 17 | |||||||
Denominator:
|
||||||||||||||||
Weighted-average
common shares outstanding
|
162,824,857 | 162,556,327 | 162,849,794 | 162,521,046 | ||||||||||||
Effect
of stock based awards
|
459,156 | - | 443,541 | 217,035 | ||||||||||||
Adjusted
weighted-average shares
|
163,284,013 | 162,556,327 | 163,293,335 | 162,738,081 | ||||||||||||
Earnings
(loss) per share:
|
||||||||||||||||
Basic
|
$ | 0.17 | $ | (0.12 | ) | $ | 0.59 | $ | 0.10 | |||||||
Diluted
|
0.17 | (0.12 | ) | 0.58 | 0.10 | |||||||||||
Number
of anti-dilutive stock based awards
|
9,689,589
|
10,085,598
|
9,758,457
|
10,085,598
|
||||||||||||
Exercise
price of anti-dilutive stock based awards
|
$ | 26.58-45.26 | $ | 25.08-45.26 | $ | 26.58-45.26 | $ | 25.08-45.26 |
1.
|
I
have reviewed this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q of Cincinnati Financial
Corporation;
|
2.
|
Based
on my knowledge, this report does not contain any untrue statement of a
material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the
statements made, in light of the circumstances under which such statements
were made, not misleading with respect to the period covered by this
report;
|
3.
|
Based
on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information
included in this report, fairly present in all material respects the
financial condition, results of operations and cash flows of the
registrant as of, and for, the periods presented in this
report;
|
4.
|
The
registrant’s other certifying officer and I are responsible for
establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as
defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)) and internal
control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules
13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f)) for the registrant and
have:
|
|
a.
|
designed
such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure
controls and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure
that material information relating to the registrant, including its
consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by others within those
entities, particularly during the period in which this report is being
prepared;
|
|
b.
|
designed
such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal
control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to
provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial
reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external
purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting
principles;
|
|
c.
|
evaluated
the effectiveness of the registrant’s disclosure controls and procedures
and presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of
the disclosure controls and procedures, as of the end of the period
covered by this report based on such evaluation;
and
|
|
d.
|
disclosed
in this report any change in the registrant’s internal control over
financial reporting that occurred during the registrant’s most recent
fiscal quarter (the registrant’s fourth fiscal quarter in the case of an
annual report) that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to
materially affect, the registrant’s internal control over financial
reporting; and
|
5.
|
The
registrant’s other certifying officer and I have disclosed, based on our
most recent evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to
the registrant’s auditors and the audit committee of the registrant’s
board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent
functions):
|
|
a.
|
all
significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or
operation of internal control over financial reporting which are
reasonably likely to adversely affect the registrant’s ability to record,
process, summarize and report financial information;
and
|
|
b.
|
any
fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other
employees who have a significant role in the registrant’s internal control
over financial reporting.
|
/S/
Kenneth W. Stecher
|
Kenneth
W. Stecher
|
President
and Chief Executive
Officer
|
1.
|
I
have reviewed this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q of Cincinnati Financial
Corporation;
|
2.
|
Based
on my knowledge, this report does not contain any untrue statement of a
material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the
statements made, in light of the circumstances under which such statements
were made, not misleading with respect to the period covered by this
report;
|
3.
|
Based
on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information
included in this report, fairly present in all material respects the
financial condition, results of operations and cash flows of the
registrant as of, and for, the periods presented in this
report;
|
4.
|
The
registrant’s other certifying officer and I are responsible for
establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as
defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)) and internal
control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules
13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f)) for the registrant and
have:
|
|
a.
|
designed
such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure
controls and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure
that material information relating to the registrant, including its
consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by others within those
entities, particularly during the period in which this report is being
prepared;
|
|
b.
|
designed
such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal
control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to
provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial
reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external
purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting
principles;
|
|
c.
|
evaluated
the effectiveness of the registrant’s disclosure controls and procedures
and presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of
the disclosure controls and procedures, as of the end of the period
covered by this report based on such evaluation;
and
|
|
d.
|
disclosed
in this report any change in the registrant’s internal control over
financial reporting that occurred during the registrant’s most recent
fiscal quarter (the registrant’s fourth fiscal quarter in the case of an
annual report) that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to
materially affect, the registrant’s internal control over financial
reporting; and
|
5.
|
The
registrant’s other certifying officer and I have disclosed, based on our
most recent evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to
the registrant’s auditors and the audit committee of the registrant’s
board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent
functions):
|
|
a.
|
all
significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or
operation of internal control over financial reporting which are
reasonably likely to adversely affect the registrant’s ability to record,
process, summarize and report financial information;
and
|
|
b.
|
any
fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other
employees who have a significant role in the registrant’s internal control
over financial reporting.
|
/S/
Steven J. Johnston
|
Steven
J. Johnston, FCAS, MAAA, CFA
|
Chief
Financial Officer, Senior Vice President, Secretary and
Treasurer
|
1.
|
the
report fully complies with the requirements of Section 13(a) or 15(d) of
the Exchange Act; and
|
2.
|
the
information contained in the report fairly presents, in all material
respects, the financial condition and results of operations of Cincinnati
Financial Corporation.
|
/S/
Kenneth W. Stecher
|
Kenneth
W. Stecher
|
President
and Chief Executive Officer
|
/S/
Steven J. Johnston
|
Steven
J. Johnston, FCAS, MAAA, CFA
|
Chief
Financial Officer, Senior Vice President, Secretary and
Treasurer
|