UNITED
STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C.
20549
Form
10-Q
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þ
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Quarterly report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
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for the period ended September
30, 2008
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or
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o
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Transition report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
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Commission file number
001-31909
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ASPEN
INSURANCE HOLDINGS LIMITED
(Exact
Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
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Bermuda
(State or Other Jurisdiction
of
Incorporation or Organization)
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Not Applicable
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
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Maxwell Roberts Building
1 Church Street
Hamilton, Bermuda
(Address of Principal
Executive Offices)
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HM 11
(Zip Code)
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(441) 295-8201
Registrants
Telephone Number, Including Area Code
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed
all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding
12 months (or for such shorter periods that the registrant
was required to file such reports), and (2) has been
subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
Yes
þ
No
o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large
accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer
or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of
large accelerated filer, accelerated
filer and smaller reporting company in
Rule 12b-2
of the Exchange Act. (Check one):
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Large
accelerated
filer
þ
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Accelerated
filer
o
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Non-accelerated
filer
o
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Smaller
reporting
company
o
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(Do not check if a smaller
reporting
company)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company
(as defined in
Rule 12b-2
of the Exchange Act). Yes
o
No
þ
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the
issuers classes of common stock, as of the latest
practicable date.
As of November 3, 2008, there were 81,473,268 ordinary
shares, with a par value of 0.15144558¢ per ordinary share,
outstanding.
INDEX
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Page
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3
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3
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3
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5
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6
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7
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8
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10
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25
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49
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51
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52
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52
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52
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52
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52
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52
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52
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53
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54
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2
PART I
FINANCIAL
INFORMATION
Item 1.
Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements
ASPEN
INSURANCE HOLDINGS LIMITED
UNAUDITED
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
($ in millions, except share and per share amounts)
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As at
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As at
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September 30,
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December 31,
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2008
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2007
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(Unaudited)
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ASSETS
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Investments
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Fixed income maturities available for sale, at fair value
(amortized cost $4,481.6 and $4,344.1)
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$
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4,410.7
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$
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4,385.8
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Other investments
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513.1
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561.4
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Short-term investments available for sale, at fair value
(amortized cost $226.3 and $279.6)
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226.3
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280.1
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Total investments
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5,150.1
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5,227.3
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Cash and cash equivalents
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741.6
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651.4
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Reinsurance recoverables
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Unpaid losses
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241.5
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304.7
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Ceded unearned premiums
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77.5
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77.0
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Receivables
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Underwriting premiums
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675.4
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575.6
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Other
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102.6
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59.8
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Funds withheld
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77.4
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104.5
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Deferred policy acquisition costs
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166.7
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133.9
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Derivatives at fair value
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10.9
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17.3
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Income tax receivable
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2.2
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Office properties and equipment
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32.4
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27.8
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Other assets
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19.8
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13.8
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Intangible assets
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8.2
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8.2
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Total assets
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$
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7,306.3
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$
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7,201.3
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LIABILITIES
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Insurance reserves
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Losses and loss adjustment expenses
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$
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3,081.9
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$
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2,946.0
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Unearned premiums
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940.8
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757.6
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Total insurance reserves
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4,022.7
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3,703.6
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Payables
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Reinsurance premiums
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98.0
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81.3
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Deferred taxation
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35.6
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59.7
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Current taxation
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60.5
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Accrued expenses and other payables
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246.2
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210.1
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Liabilities under derivative contracts
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16.7
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19.0
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Total payables
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396.5
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430.6
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Long-term debt
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249.5
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249.5
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Total liabilities
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$
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4,668.7
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$
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4,383.7
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Commitments and contingent liabilities (see Note 11)
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See accompanying notes to unaudited condensed consolidated
financial statements.
3
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As at
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As at
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September 30,
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December 31,
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2008
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2007
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(Unaudited)
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SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY
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Ordinary shares: 81,450,413 shares of 0.15144558¢ each
(2007 85,510,673)
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$
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0.1
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$
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0.1
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Preference shares:
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4,600,000 5.625% shares of par value 0.15144558¢ each
(2007 4,600,000)
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8,000,000 7.401% shares of par value 0.15144558¢ each
(2007 8,000,000)
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Additional paid-in capital
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1,754.1
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1,846.1
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Retained earnings
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882.1
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858.8
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Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of taxes
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1.3
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112.6
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Total shareholders equity
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2,637.6
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2,817.6
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Total liabilities and shareholders equity
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$
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7,306.3
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$
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7,201.3
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See accompanying notes to unaudited condensed consolidated
financial statements.
4
ASPEN
INSURANCE HOLDINGS LIMITED
UNAUDITED
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
($ in millions, except share and per share amounts)
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Three Months Ended
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Nine Months Ended
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September 30,
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September 30,
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2008
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2007
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2008
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2007
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Revenues
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Net earned premiums
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$
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434.2
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$
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419.7
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$
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1,223.1
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$
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1,309.9
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Net investment income
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19.3
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72.4
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128.9
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218.7
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Realized investment (losses)
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(58.1
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(1.9
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(56.3
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(12.3
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Change in fair value of derivatives
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(0.7
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(2.7
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(5.9
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(8.1
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Total Revenues
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394.7
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487.5
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1,289.8
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1,508.2
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Expenses
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Losses and loss adjustment expenses
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413.4
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219.9
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808.9
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718.1
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Policy acquisition expenses
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70.4
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76.1
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211.8
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235.5
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Operating and administrative expenses
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51.6
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58.6
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159.5
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148.3
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Interest on long-term debt
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3.8
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4.2
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11.7
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12.8
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Net realized and unrealized foreign exchange losses (gains)
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2.7
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(9.2
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3.4
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(22.7
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)
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Other (income) expense
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(1.3
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(4.3
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)
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Total Expenses
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540.6
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349.6
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1,191.0
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1092.0
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Income (loss) from operations before income tax
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(145.9
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)
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137.9
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98.8
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416.2
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Income tax (expense) recovery
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19.8
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(20.7
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(16.8
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(62.4
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Net Income (Loss)
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$
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(126.1
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$
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117.2
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$
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82.0
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$
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353.8
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Per Share Data
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Weighted average number of ordinary shares and share equivalents
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Basic
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81,375,969
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88,712,178
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83,458,963
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88,250,043
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Diluted
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81,375,969
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91,081,765
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86,113,072
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90,757,617
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Basic earnings per ordinary share adjusted for preference share
dividend
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$
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(1.63
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)
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$
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1.24
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$
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0.73
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$
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3.77
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Diluted earnings per ordinary share adjusted for preference
share dividend
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$
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(1.63
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$
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1.21
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$
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0.71
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$
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3.67
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See accompanying notes to unaudited condensed consolidated
financial statements.
5
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Nine Months Ended
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September 30,
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2008
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2007
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Cash flows used in investing activities:
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Purchases of fixed maturities
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$
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(1,911.3
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$
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(2,353.0
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)
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Purchases of other investments
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(300.0
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Proceeds from sales and maturities of fixed maturities
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1,642.6
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2,045.2
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Net sales of short-term investments
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70.1
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157.3
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Purchase of equipment
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(11.1
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(5.3
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Net cash used in investing activities
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(209.7
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(455.8
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Cash flows used in financing activities:
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Proceeds from the issuance of ordinary shares, net of issuance
costs
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11.0
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Ordinary shares repurchased
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(100.2
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(50.1
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Dividends paid on ordinary shares
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(37.9
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)
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(39.7
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)
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Dividends paid on preference shares
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(20.8
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(20.8
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Net cash used in financing activities
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(158.9
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)
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(99.6
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Effect of exchange rate movements on cash and cash equivalents
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14.5
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1.4
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Increase in cash and cash equivalents
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90.2
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72.2
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Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period
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651.4
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495.0
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Cash and cash equivalents at end of period
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$
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741.6
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$
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567.2
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Supplemental disclosure of cash flow information:
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Cash paid during the period for income tax
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78.9
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18.4
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Cash paid during the period for interest
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15.0
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15.0
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See accompanying notes to unaudited condensed consolidated
financial statements.
9
ASPEN
INSURANCE HOLDINGS LIMITED
NOTES TO THE UNAUDITED CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS
|
|
1.
|
History
and Organization
|
Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited (Aspen Holdings)
was incorporated on May 23, 2002 and holds subsidiaries
that provide insurance and reinsurance on a worldwide basis. Its
principal operating subsidiaries are Aspen Insurance UK Limited
(Aspen U.K.), Aspen Insurance Limited (Aspen
Bermuda), Aspen Specialty Insurance Company (Aspen
Specialty) and Aspen Underwriting Limited (corporate
member of Lloyds Syndicate 4711, AUL),
(collectively, the Insurance Subsidiaries).
The accompanying unaudited condensed consolidated financial
statements have been prepared on the basis of generally accepted
accounting principles in the United States (GAAP)
for interim financial information and in accordance with the
instructions to
Form 10-Q
and Article 10 of
Regulation S-X.
Accordingly, they do not include all of the information and
footnotes required by GAAP for complete financial statements. In
the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal
recurring accruals) considered necessary for a fair presentation
have been included. Results for the nine months ended
September 30, 2008 are not necessarily indicative of the
results that may be expected for the year ended
December 31, 2008. The unaudited condensed consolidated
financial statements include the accounts of Aspen Holdings and
its wholly-owned subsidiaries, which are collectively referred
to herein as the Company. All intercompany
transactions and balances have been eliminated on consolidation.
The balance sheet at December 31, 2007 has been derived
from the audited consolidated financial statements at that date
but does not include all of the information and footnotes
required by GAAP for complete financial statements. These
unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and notes
thereto should be read in conjunction with the consolidated
financial statements and notes thereto for the year ended
December 31, 2007 contained in Aspens Annual Report
on
Form 10-K
filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission
(File
No. 001-31909).
Assumptions and estimates made by management have a significant
effect on the amounts reported within the condensed consolidated
financial statements. The most significant of these relate to
the losses and loss adjustment expenses, reinsurance
recoverables, the fair value of derivatives and the value of
other investments. All material assumptions and estimates are
regularly reviewed and adjustments made as necessary, but actual
results could be significantly different from those expected
when the assumptions or estimates were made.
New
Accounting Pronouncements Adopted in 2008
On October 10, 2008 the Financial Accounting Standards
Board (FASB) issued Staff Position FSP 157-3
(FSP 157-3),
Determining The Fair Value Of
A Financial Asset When The Market for That Asset Is Not
Liquid.
FSP 157-3 provides additional guidance on
application issues related to (a) the reporting
entitys own assumptions when determining fair market
value, (b) on how available observable inputs in a market
that is not active should be considered when measuring fair
value and (c) how the use of market quotes should be
considered when assessing the relevance of observable and
unobservable inputs available to measure fair value. The
adoption of FSP 157-3 has not impacted our unaudited condensed
consolidated financial statements.
In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS 159,
The
Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial
Liabilities
(SFAS 159) which permits
all entities to choose to measure eligible items at fair value
either at initial adoption or at specified election dates.
Unrealized gains and losses on items for which the fair value
option has been elected are reported in earnings at each
subsequent reporting date. SFAS 159 was effective as of the
beginning of the current fiscal year. The adoption of
SFAS 159 has not impacted our unaudited condensed
consolidated financial statements as no items have been elected
for measurement at fair value, either upon initial adoption or
at subsequent election dates.
In September 2006, the FASB issued SFAS 157,
Fair
Value Measurements
(SFAS 157). This
statement provides guidance for using fair value to measure
assets and liabilities. The statement emphasizes that fair value
is a market-based measurement, not an entity-specific
measurement. Therefore, a fair value measurement should be
determined based on the assumptions that market participants
would use in pricing the asset or liability. As a basis for
considering market participant assumptions in fair value
measurements, this statement establishes a fair value hierarchy
that distinguishes between (1) market participant
assumptions developed based on market data obtained
10
from sources independent of the reporting entity (observable
inputs) and (2) the reporting entitys own assumptions
about market participant assumptions developed based on the best
information available in the circumstances (unobservable
inputs). SFAS 157 also requires tabular disclosures of the
fair value measurements by level within the fair value
hierarchy. The Company has adopted SFAS 157 for the fiscal
year beginning on January 1, 2008. Additional information
can be found in Note 5.
Accounting
standards not yet adopted
On May 23, 2008, the FASB issued Statement No. 163,
Accounting For Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts an
interpretation of FASB Statement No. 60
(FAS
163). The statement requires an insurance enterprise to
recognize a claim liability prior to an event of default when
there is evidence that credit deterioration has occurred in an
insured financial obligation. The statement also clarifies how
Statement No. 60 applies to financial guarantee insurance
contracts, including the recognition and measurement to be used
to account for premium revenue and claim liabilities. It is
effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15,
2008, and all interim periods within the fiscal year.
The Company is currently evaluating the impact, if any, of the
adoption of FAS 163 on the Companys financial statements
when adopted.
On March 8, 2008, the FASB issued Statement
No. 161
, Disclosures About Derivative Instruments and
Hedging Activities an amendment of FASB statement
133
(FAS 161). This Statement changes the
disclosure requirements for derivative instruments and hedging
activities. Entities are required to provide enhanced
disclosures about (a) how and why an entity uses derivative
instruments, (b) how derivative instruments and related
hedged items are accounted for under Statement 133 and its
related interpretations, and (c) how derivative instruments
and related hedged items affect an entitys financial
position, financial performance, and cash flows. The statement
requires qualitative disclosures about objectives and strategies
for using derivatives, quantitative disclosures about fair value
amounts of gains and losses on derivative instruments, and
disclosures about credit-risk-related contingent features in
derivative agreements. It is effective for fiscal years
beginning after November 15, 2008, and interim periods
within those fiscal years, with early adoption encouraged.
The Company is currently evaluating the impact, if any, of the
adoption of FAS 161 on the Companys financial statements
when adopted.
On December 4, 2007, the FASB issued Statement No. 141
(revised 2007),
Business Combinations
(FAS 141(R)) and Statement No. 160,
Non-controlling Interests in Consolidated Financial
Statements
, an amendment of ARB No. 51 (FAS
160). FAS 141(R) expands the scope of acquisition
accounting to all transactions and circumstances under which
control of a business is obtained. Under FAS 160,
non-controlling interests classified as a component of
consolidated shareholders equity and minority interests
are eliminated such that earnings attributable to
non-controlling interests are reported as part of consolidated
earnings and not as a separate component of income or expense.
FAS 141(R) and FAS 160 are required to be adopted simultaneously
and are effective for the first annual reporting period
beginning on or after December 15, 2008. Earlier adoption
is prohibited.
The Company is currently evaluating the impact, if any, of the
adoption of FAS 141(R) and FAS 160 on the Companys
financial statements when adopted.
|
|
3.
|
Earnings
Per Ordinary Share
|
Basic earnings per ordinary share are calculated by dividing net
income adjusted for preference share dividends available to
holders of Aspens ordinary shares by the weighted average
number of ordinary shares outstanding. Diluted earnings per
ordinary share are based on the weighted average number of
ordinary shares and dilutive potential ordinary shares
outstanding during the period of calculation using the treasury
stock method. The
11
following table sets forth the computation of basic and diluted
earnings per share for the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
|
2008
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2008
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions, except share and per share amounts)
|
|
|
Earnings
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income as reported
|
|
$
|
(126.1
|
)
|
|
$
|
117.2
|
|
|
$
|
82.0
|
|
|
$
|
353.8
|
|
Preference dividends
|
|
|
(6.9
|
)
|
|
|
(6.9
|
)
|
|
|
(20.8
|
)
|
|
|
(20.8
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income available to ordinary shareholders
|
|
|
(133.0
|
)
|
|
|
110.3
|
|
|
|
61.2
|
|
|
|
333.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income available to ordinary shareholders
|
|
|
(133.0
|
)
|
|
|
110.3
|
|
|
|
61.2
|
|
|
|
333.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ordinary shares
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average ordinary shares
|
|
|
81,375,969
|
|
|
|
88,712,178
|
|
|
|
83,458,963
|
|
|
|
88,250,043
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average ordinary shares
|
|
|
81,375,969
|
|
|
|
88,712,178
|
|
|
|
83,458,963
|
|
|
|
88,250,043
|
|
Weighted average effect of dilutive securities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,369,587
|
|
|
|
2,654,109
|
|
|
|
2,507,574
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
81,375,969
|
|
|
|
91,081,765
|
|
|
|
86,113,072
|
|
|
|
90,757,617
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings per ordinary share
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
|
$
|
(1.63
|
)
|
|
$
|
1.24
|
|
|
$
|
0.73
|
|
|
$
|
3.77
|
|
Diluted
|
|
$
|
(1.63
|
)
|
|
$
|
1.21
|
|
|
$
|
0.71
|
|
|
$
|
3.67
|
|
The basic and diluted number of ordinary shares for the three
months ended September 30, 2008 are the same, as the
inclusion of dilutive securities in a loss making period would
be anti-dilutive.
On October 29, 2008, the Companys Board of Directors
declared the following quarterly dividends:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividend
|
|
Payable on:
|
|
Record date:
|
|
Ordinary shares
|
|
$0.15
|
|
November 26, 2008
|
|
November 12, 2008
|
5.625% preference shares
|
|
$0.703125
|
|
January 1, 2009
|
|
December 15, 2008
|
7.401% preference shares
|
|
$0.462563
|
|
January 1, 2009
|
|
December 15, 2008
|
The Company is organized into four business segments: Property
Reinsurance, Casualty Reinsurance, International Insurance, and
U.S. Insurance. These segments form the basis of how the Company
monitors the performance of its operations.
Property Reinsurance.
Our Property Reinsurance
segment is written on both a treaty and facultative basis and
consists of the following principal lines of business: treaty
catastrophe, treaty risk excess, treaty pro rata and property
facultative. Treaty reinsurance contracts provide for automatic
coverage of a type or category of risk underwritten by our
ceding clients. We also write some structured reinsurance
contracts out of Aspen Bermuda. These contracts are tailored to
the individual client circumstances and although written by a
single team are accounted for within the business segment that
best reflects the economic characteristics of the contract.
Casualty Reinsurance.
Our Casualty Reinsurance
segment is written on both a treaty and facultative basis and
consists of the following principal lines of business: U.S.
treaty, non-U.S. treaty and casualty facultative. The casualty
treaty reinsurance we write includes excess of loss and pro rata
reinsurance which are applied to portfolios of primary insurance
policies. Our excess of loss positions come most commonly from
layered reinsurance structures with underlying ceding company
retentions. We also write some structured reinsurance contracts.
International Insurance.
Our International
Insurance segment consists of the following principal lines of
business: U.K. commercial property, U.K. commercial liability,
excess casualty, professional liability, marine hull, energy,
marine and specialty liability, non-marine transportation,
aviation, financial institutions, international commercial
directors and officers insurance, financial and
political risk insurance and specialty reinsurance written by
Aspen U.K. Specialty reinsurance consists of marine and aviation
reinsurance as well as terrorism, nuclear, personal accident,
crop and satellite. Our international insurance lines are
written on a primary, quota share and facultative basis and our
specialty reinsurance is written on both a treaty pro rata and
excess of loss basis.
12
U.S. Insurance.
Our U.S. Insurance segment
consists of property and casualty insurance written on an excess
and surplus lines basis.
We do not allocate our assets by segment as we evaluate
underwriting results of each segment separately from the results
of our investment portfolio. Segment profit or loss for each of
the Companys operating segments is measured by
underwriting profit or loss. Underwriting profit or loss
provides a basis for management to evaluate the segments
underwriting performance.
The following tables provide a summary of gross and net written
and earned premiums, underwriting results, ratios and reserves
for each of our business segments for the three months ended
September 30, 2008 and 2007:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended September 30, 2008
|
|
|
|
Property
|
|
|
Casualty
|
|
|
International
|
|
|
U.S.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Investing
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
($ in millions, except percentages)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
$
|
152.8
|
|
|
$
|
79.7
|
|
|
$
|
180.8
|
|
|
$
|
28.0
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
441.3
|
|
Net written premiums
|
|
|
140.2
|
|
|
|
79.8
|
|
|
|
162.2
|
|
|
|
21.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
403.8
|
|
Gross earned premiums
|
|
|
152.3
|
|
|
|
113.7
|
|
|
|
185.4
|
|
|
|
31.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
482.9
|
|
Net earned premiums
|
|
|
138.8
|
|
|
|
112.9
|
|
|
|
158.6
|
|
|
|
23.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
434.2
|
|
Losses and loss expenses
|
|
|
164.6
|
|
|
|
75.9
|
|
|
|
141.8
|
|
|
|
31.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
413.4
|
|
Policy acquisition expenses
|
|
|
23.4
|
|
|
|
16.6
|
|
|
|
26.5
|
|
|
|
3.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70.4
|
|
Operating and administrative expenses
|
|
|
14.7
|
|
|
|
9.6
|
|
|
|
21.1
|
|
|
|
6.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
51.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underwriting (loss) profit
|
|
|
(63.9
|
)
|
|
|
10.8
|
|
|
|
(30.8
|
)
|
|
|
(17.3
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(101.2
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net investment income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
19.3
|
|
|
|
19.3
|
|
Realized investment losses
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(58.1
|
)
|
|
|
(58.1
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Segment (loss) profit
|
|
$
|
(63.9
|
)
|
|
$
|
10.8
|
|
|
$
|
(30.8
|
)
|
|
$
|
(17.3
|
)
|
|
$
|
(38.8
|
)
|
|
$
|
(140.0
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in fair value of derivatives
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(0.7
|
)
|
Interest on long term debt
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3.8
|
)
|
Net foreign exchange (losses)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(2.7
|
)
|
Other income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net (loss) before tax
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
(145.9
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses
|
|
$
|
495.6
|
|
|
$
|
1,324.7
|
|
|
$
|
886.3
|
|
|
$
|
133.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
2,840.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ratios
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss ratio
|
|
|
118.6
|
%
|
|
|
67.2
|
%
|
|
|
89.4
|
%
|
|
|
130.1
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
95.2
|
%
|
Policy acquisition expense ratio
|
|
|
16.8
|
%
|
|
|
14.7
|
%
|
|
|
16.7
|
%
|
|
|
16.3
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16.2
|
%
|
Operating and administration expense ratio
|
|
|
10.6
|
%
|
|
|
8.5
|
%
|
|
|
13.3
|
%
|
|
|
25.7
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.9
|
%
|
Expense ratio
|
|
|
27.4
|
%
|
|
|
23.2
|
%
|
|
|
30.0
|
%
|
|
|
42.0
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
28.1
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio
|
|
|
146.0
|
%
|
|
|
90.4
|
%
|
|
|
119.4
|
%
|
|
|
172.1
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
123.3
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
Property
|
|
|
Casualty
|
|
|
International
|
|
|
U.S.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Investing
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
($ in millions, except percentages)
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
$
|
139.5
|
|
|
$
|
77.5
|
|
|
$
|
129.0
|
|
|
$
|
27.5
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
373.5
|
|
Net written premiums
|
|
|
131.5
|
|
|
|
77.1
|
|
|
|
118.1
|
|
|
|
22.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
348.8
|
|
Gross earned premiums
|
|
|
150.2
|
|
|
|
125.5
|
|
|
|
164.2
|
|
|
|
33.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
473.1
|
|
Net premiums earned
|
|
|
125.3
|
|
|
|
123.7
|
|
|
|
146.7
|
|
|
|
24.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
419.7
|
|
Losses and loss expenses
|
|
|
42.9
|
|
|
|
92.2
|
|
|
|
75.3
|
|
|
|
9.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
219.9
|
|
Policy acquisition expenses
|
|
|
25.4
|
|
|
|
19.8
|
|
|
|
26.4
|
|
|
|
4.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
76.1
|
|
Operating and administrative expenses
|
|
|
18.3
|
|
|
|
13.8
|
|
|
|
17.2
|
|
|
|
9.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
58.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underwriting profit (loss)
|
|
|
38.7
|
|
|
|
(2.1
|
)
|
|
|
27.8
|
|
|
|
0.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
65.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net investment income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
72.4
|
|
|
|
72.4
|
|
Realized investment (losses)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1.9
|
)
|
|
|
(1.9
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Segment profit (loss)
|
|
$
|
38.7
|
|
|
$
|
(2.1
|
)
|
|
$
|
27.8
|
|
|
$
|
0.7
|
|
|
$
|
70.5
|
|
|
$
|
135.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in fair value of derivatives
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(2.7
|
)
|
Interest on long term debt
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(4.2
|
)
|
Net foreign exchange gains
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income before tax
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
137.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses
|
|
$
|
480.0
|
|
|
$
|
1,201.9
|
|
|
$
|
909.7
|
|
|
$
|
55.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
2,647.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ratios
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss ratio
|
|
|
34.2
|
%
|
|
|
74.5
|
%
|
|
|
51.3
|
%
|
|
|
39.6
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
52.4
|
%
|
Policy acquisition expense ratio
|
|
|
20.3
|
%
|
|
|
16.0
|
%
|
|
|
18.0
|
%
|
|
|
18.8
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18.1
|
%
|
Operating and administration expense ratio
|
|
|
14.6
|
%
|
|
|
11.2
|
%
|
|
|
11.7
|
%
|
|
|
38.9
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.0
|
%
|
Expense ratio
|
|
|
34.9
|
%
|
|
|
27.2
|
%
|
|
|
29.7
|
%
|
|
|
57.7
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
32.1
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio
|
|
|
69.1
|
%
|
|
|
101.7
|
%
|
|
|
81.0
|
%
|
|
|
97.3
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
84.5
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14
The following table provides a summary of gross and net written
and earned premiums, underwriting results, ratios and reserves
for each of our business segments for the nine months ended
September 30, 2008 and 2007.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine months ended September 30, 2008
|
|
|
|
Property
|
|
|
Casualty
|
|
|
International
|
|
|
U.S.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Investing
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
($ in millions, except percentages)
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
$
|
507.5
|
|
|
$
|
318.6
|
|
|
$
|
639.0
|
|
|
$
|
101.2
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
1,566.3
|
|
Net written premiums
|
|
|
481.1
|
|
|
|
314.3
|
|
|
|
555.8
|
|
|
|
78.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,429.4
|
|
Gross earned premiums
|
|
|
437.1
|
|
|
|
297.1
|
|
|
|
529.3
|
|
|
|
87.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,350.6
|
|
Net earned premiums
|
|
|
389.4
|
|
|
|
293.4
|
|
|
|
471.7
|
|
|
|
68.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,223.1
|
|
Losses and loss expenses
|
|
|
240.9
|
|
|
|
191.7
|
|
|
|
323.1
|
|
|
|
53.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
808.9
|
|
Policy acquisition expenses
|
|
|
72.9
|
|
|
|
46.0
|
|
|
|
80.5
|
|
|
|
12.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
211.8
|
|
Operating and administrative expenses
|
|
|
49.7
|
|
|
|
32.8
|
|
|
|
58.2
|
|
|
|
18.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
159.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underwriting profit (loss)
|
|
|
25.9
|
|
|
|
22.9
|
|
|
|
9.9
|
|
|
|
(15.8
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
42.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net investment income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
128.9
|
|
|
|
128.9
|
|
Realized investment (losses)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(56.3
|
)
|
|
|
(56.3
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Segment profit (loss)
|
|
$
|
25.9
|
|
|
$
|
22.9
|
|
|
$
|
9.9
|
|
|
$
|
(15.8
|
)
|
|
$
|
72.6
|
|
|
$
|
115.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in fair value of derivatives
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(5.9
|
)
|
Interest on long term debt
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(11.7
|
)
|
Net foreign exchange (losses)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3.4
|
)
|
Other income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income before tax
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
98.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses
|
|
$
|
495.6
|
|
|
$
|
1,324.7
|
|
|
$
|
886.3
|
|
|
$
|
133.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
2,840.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ratios
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss ratio
|
|
|
61.9
|
%
|
|
|
65.3
|
%
|
|
|
68.5
|
%
|
|
|
77.6
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
66.1
|
%
|
Policy acquisition expense ratio
|
|
|
18.7
|
%
|
|
|
15.7
|
%
|
|
|
17.1
|
%
|
|
|
18.1
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17.3
|
%
|
Operating and administration expense ratio
|
|
|
12.8
|
%
|
|
|
11.2
|
%
|
|
|
12.3
|
%
|
|
|
27.4
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.1
|
%
|
Expense ratio
|
|
|
31.5
|
%
|
|
|
26.9
|
%
|
|
|
29.4
|
%
|
|
|
45.5
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30.4
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio
|
|
|
93.4
|
%
|
|
|
92.2
|
%
|
|
|
97.9
|
%
|
|
|
123.1
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.5
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nine months ended September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
Property
|
|
|
Casualty
|
|
|
International
|
|
|
U.S.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Investing
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
($ in millions, except percentages)
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
$
|
521.9
|
|
|
$
|
380.2
|
|
|
$
|
513.2
|
|
|
$
|
98.2
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
1,513.5
|
|
Net written premiums
|
|
|
424.2
|
|
|
|
371.8
|
|
|
|
454.9
|
|
|
|
71.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,322.4
|
|
Gross earned premiums
|
|
|
462.8
|
|
|
|
364.3
|
|
|
|
496.7
|
|
|
|
105.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,429.2
|
|
Net earned premiums
|
|
|
423.0
|
|
|
|
355.8
|
|
|
|
449.5
|
|
|
|
81.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,309.9
|
|
Losses and loss expenses
|
|
|
170.7
|
|
|
|
244.6
|
|
|
|
252.3
|
|
|
|
50.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
718.1
|
|
Policy acquisition expenses
|
|
|
83.9
|
|
|
|
56.3
|
|
|
|
80.1
|
|
|
|
15.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
235.5
|
|
Operating and administrative expenses
|
|
|
49.6
|
|
|
|
33.9
|
|
|
|
45.2
|
|
|
|
19.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
148.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Underwriting profit (loss)
|
|
|
118.8
|
|
|
|
21.0
|
|
|
|
71.9
|
|
|
|
(3.7
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
208.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net investment income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
218.7
|
|
|
|
218.7
|
|
Realized investment (losses)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(12.3
|
)
|
|
|
(12.3
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Segment profit (loss)
|
|
$
|
118.8
|
|
|
$
|
21.0
|
|
|
$
|
71.9
|
|
|
$
|
(3.7
|
)
|
|
$
|
206.4
|
|
|
$
|
414.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in fair value of derivatives
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(8.1
|
)
|
Interest on long term debt
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(12.8
|
)
|
Net foreign exchange (losses)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income before tax
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
416.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses
|
|
$
|
480.0
|
|
|
$
|
1,201.9
|
|
|
$
|
909.7
|
|
|
$
|
55.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
2,647.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ratios
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss ratio
|
|
|
40.4
|
%
|
|
|
68.7
|
%
|
|
|
56.1
|
%
|
|
|
61.9
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
54.8
|
%
|
Policy acquisition expense ratio
|
|
|
19.8
|
%
|
|
|
15.8
|
%
|
|
|
17.8
|
%
|
|
|
18.6
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18.0
|
%
|
Operating and administration expense ratio
|
|
|
11.7
|
%
|
|
|
9.5
|
%
|
|
|
10.1
|
%
|
|
|
24.1
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.3
|
%
|
Expense ratio
|
|
|
31.5
|
%
|
|
|
25.3
|
%
|
|
|
27.9
|
%
|
|
|
42.7
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
29.3
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio
|
|
|
71.9
|
%
|
|
|
94.0
|
%
|
|
|
84.0
|
%
|
|
|
104.6
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
84.1
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed Maturities.
The following presents the
cost, gross unrealized gains and losses, and estimated fair
value of investments in fixed maturities and other investments:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at September 30, 2008
|
|
|
|
Cost or
|
|
|
Gross
|
|
|
Gross
|
|
|
Estimated
|
|
|
|
Amortized
|
|
|
Unrealized
|
|
|
Unrealized
|
|
|
Fair
|
|
|
|
Cost
|
|
|
Gains
|
|
|
Losses
|
|
|
Value
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
U.S. Government Securities
|
|
$
|
650.2
|
|
|
$
|
18.9
|
|
|
$
|
(1.5
|
)
|
|
$
|
667.6
|
|
U.S. Agency Securities
|
|
|
351.2
|
|
|
|
5.8
|
|
|
|
(1.1
|
)
|
|
|
355.9
|
|
Municipal Securities
|
|
|
7.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.8
|
|
Corporate Securities
|
|
|
1,453.7
|
|
|
|
3.7
|
|
|
|
(74.1
|
)
|
|
|
1,383.3
|
|
Foreign Government
|
|
|
414.6
|
|
|
|
5.2
|
|
|
|
(0.4
|
)
|
|
|
419.4
|
|
Asset-backed Securities
|
|
|
232.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(6.1
|
)
|
|
|
225.9
|
|
Mortgage-backed Securities
|
|
|
1,372.1
|
|
|
|
7.8
|
|
|
|
(29.1
|
)
|
|
|
1,350.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total fixed income
|
|
$
|
4,481.6
|
|
|
$
|
41.4
|
|
|
$
|
(112.3
|
)
|
|
$
|
4,410.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at December 31, 2007
|
|
|
|
Cost or
|
|
|
Gross
|
|
|
Gross
|
|
|
Estimated
|
|
|
|
Amortized
|
|
|
Unrealized
|
|
|
Unrealized
|
|
|
Fair
|
|
|
|
Cost
|
|
|
Gains
|
|
|
Losses
|
|
|
Value
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
U.S. Government Securities
|
|
$
|
634.8
|
|
|
$
|
14.7
|
|
|
$
|
(0.1
|
)
|
|
$
|
649.4
|
|
U.S. Agency Securities
|
|
|
320.4
|
|
|
|
9.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
329.6
|
|
Corporate Securities
|
|
|
1,513.8
|
|
|
|
15.3
|
|
|
|
(9.2
|
)
|
|
|
1,519.9
|
|
Foreign Government
|
|
|
425.8
|
|
|
|
3.6
|
|
|
|
(1.8
|
)
|
|
|
427.6
|
|
Asset-backed Securities
|
|
|
224.3
|
|
|
|
1.4
|
|
|
|
(0.5
|
)
|
|
|
225.2
|
|
Mortgage-backed Securities
|
|
|
1,225.0
|
|
|
|
12.8
|
|
|
|
(3.7
|
)
|
|
|
1,234.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total fixed income
|
|
$
|
4,344.1
|
|
|
$
|
57.0
|
|
|
$
|
(15.3
|
)
|
|
$
|
4,385.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other investments.
Other investments as at
September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007 are as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
December 31, 2007
|
|
|
|
Cost
|
|
|
Fair Value
|
|
|
Cost
|
|
|
Fair Value
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Investment funds
|
|
$
|
510.0
|
|
|
$
|
513.1
|
|
|
$
|
510.0
|
|
|
$
|
561.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment funds comprise of our investments in funds of hedge
funds. Adjustments to the carrying value of the funds of hedge
funds are made based on the net asset values reported by the
fund managers, which results in a carrying value that
approximates fair value. We account for these investments using
the equity method of accounting with changes in the net asset
values recognized in the statement of operations. In the three
and nine months ended September 30, 2008, we recognized
losses from our investments in funds of hedge funds of
$42.2 million (2007 gain of $7.9 million)
and $48.3 million (2007 gain of
$32.6 million), respectively.
The Companys involvement with the funds is limited to the
making and holding of these investments and it is not committed
to making further investments in the funds; accordingly, the
carrying value of the investments represents the Companys
maximum exposure to loss as a result of its involvement with the
funds at each balance sheet date. The financial statements of
our funds of hedge funds are subject to independent annual
audits evaluating the net asset positions of the underlying
investments. We periodically review the performance of our funds
of hedge funds and evaluate the reasonableness of the valuations.
As we account for these investments using the equity method of
accounting, they have not been classified in the fair value
hierarchy under SFAS 157.
Gross unrealized loss.
The following tables
summarize as at September 30, 2008 and December 31,
2007, by type of security, the aggregate fair value and gross
unrealized loss by length of time the security has been in an
unrealized loss position.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at September 30, 2008
|
|
|
|
0-12 months
|
|
|
Over 12 months
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross
|
|
|
|
Fair
|
|
|
Unrealized
|
|
|
Fair
|
|
|
Unrealized
|
|
|
Fair
|
|
|
Unrealized
|
|
|
|
value
|
|
|
loss
|
|
|
value
|
|
|
loss
|
|
|
value
|
|
|
loss
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
U.S. Government Securities
|
|
$
|
129.0
|
|
|
$
|
(1.5
|
)
|
|
$
|
0.8
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
129.8
|
|
|
$
|
(1.5
|
)
|
U.S. Agency Securities
|
|
|
74.4
|
|
|
|
(0.9
|
)
|
|
|
3.6
|
|
|
|
(0.2
|
)
|
|
|
78.0
|
|
|
|
(1.1
|
)
|
Corporate Securities
|
|
|
697.5
|
|
|
|
(43.9
|
)
|
|
|
259.5
|
|
|
|
(30.2
|
)
|
|
|
957.0
|
|
|
|
(74.1
|
)
|
Foreign Government
|
|
|
86.6
|
|
|
|
(0.2
|
)
|
|
|
17.3
|
|
|
|
(0.2
|
)
|
|
|
103.9
|
|
|
|
(0.4
|
)
|
Municipal Securities
|
|
|
7.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asset-backed Securities
|
|
|
201.4
|
|
|
|
(5.5
|
)
|
|
|
15.1
|
|
|
|
(0.6
|
)
|
|
|
216.5
|
|
|
|
(6.1
|
)
|
Mortgage-backed Securities
|
|
|
439.9
|
|
|
|
(14.4
|
)
|
|
|
148.5
|
|
|
|
(14.7
|
)
|
|
|
588.4
|
|
|
|
(29.1
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
1,636.5
|
|
|
$
|
(66.4
|
)
|
|
$
|
444.9
|
|
|
$
|
(45.9
|
)
|
|
$
|
2,081.4
|
|
|
$
|
(112.3
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at December 31, 2007
|
|
|
|
0-12 months
|
|
|
Over 12 months
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross
|
|
|
|
Fair
|
|
|
Unrealized
|
|
|
Fair
|
|
|
Unrealized
|
|
|
Fair
|
|
|
Unrealized
|
|
|
|
value
|
|
|
loss
|
|
|
value
|
|
|
loss
|
|
|
value
|
|
|
loss
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
U.S. Government Securities
|
|
$
|
26.9
|
|
|
$
|
(0.1
|
)
|
|
$
|
11.4
|
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
38.3
|
|
|
$
|
(0.1
|
)
|
U.S. Agency Securities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
Corporate Securities
|
|
|
221.0
|
|
|
|
(3.0
|
)
|
|
|
393.5
|
|
|
|
(6.2
|
)
|
|
|
614.5
|
|
|
|
(9.2
|
)
|
Foreign Government
|
|
|
13.7
|
|
|
|
(0.1
|
)
|
|
|
139.8
|
|
|
|
(1.7
|
)
|
|
|
153.5
|
|
|
|
(1.8
|
)
|
Asset-backed Securities
|
|
|
4.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.4
|
|
|
|
(0.5
|
)
|
|
|
30.0
|
|
|
|
(0.5
|
)
|
Mortgage-backed Securities
|
|
|
106.9
|
|
|
|
(0.6
|
)
|
|
|
185.3
|
|
|
|
(3.1
|
)
|
|
|
292.2
|
|
|
|
(3.7
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
373.1
|
|
|
$
|
(3.8
|
)
|
|
$
|
761.3
|
|
|
$
|
(11.5
|
)
|
|
$
|
1,134.4
|
|
|
$
|
(15.3
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at September 30, 2008, the Company held 924 fixed income
securities in an unrealized loss position with a fair value of
$2,081.4 million and gross unrealized losses of
$112.3 million. The Company believes that the gross
unrealized losses are attributable mainly to a combination of
widening credit spreads and interest rate movements and has
concluded that the recovery period of those investments in an
unrealized loss position is temporary. In addition, the
unrealized losses are not a result of structural or collateral
issues.
Other-than-temporary
impairments.
The Company recorded
other-than-temporary
impairments for the third quarter and nine months ended
September 30, 2008 of $55.8 million (2007- $Nil).
Notwithstanding our intent and ability to hold such securities
until their market value recovers to amortized cost, and despite
indications that a substantial number of these securities should
continue to perform in accordance with original terms, we have
concluded that we could not reasonably assert that the recovery
period would be temporary.
We review all of our fixed maturities for potential impairment
each quarter based on criteria including issuer-specific
circumstances, credit ratings actions and general macro-economic
conditions. The process of determining whether a decline in
value is
other-than-temporary
requires considerable judgment. As part of the assessment
process we also evaluate our ability to hold any fixed maturity
security in an unrealized loss position until its market value
recovers to amortized cost.
Where we assess unrealized losses on securities to be temporary
at the balance sheet date, we incur no impairment charge, as we
maintain the ability and intent to hold these securities until
their market values recover to amortized cost.
Once a security has been identified as
other-than-temporarily
impaired, the amount of any impairment is determined by
reference to that securitys estimated fair value and
recorded as a charge to realized losses included in net income.
Classification within the fair value hierarchy under
SFAS 157.
From January 1, 2008, the
Company adopted SFAS 157.
Under SFAS 157, a company must determine the appropriate
level in the fair value hierarchy for each fair value
measurement. The fair value hierarchy in SFAS 157
prioritizes the inputs, which refer broadly to assumptions
market participants would use in pricing an asset or liability,
into three levels, which are described in detail below.
The Company considers prices for actively traded treasury
securities to be derived based on quoted prices in active
markets for identical assets (Level 1 inputs as defined in
SFAS 157). The Company considers prices for other
securities priced via vendors, indices, or broker-dealers to be
derived based on inputs that are observable for the asset,
either directly or indirectly (Level 2 inputs as defined in
SFAS 157).
The Company considers securities, other financial instruments
and derivative insurance contracts subject to fair value
measurement whose valuation is derived by internal valuation
models to be based largely on unobservable inputs (Level 3
inputs as defined in SFAS 157). There have been no changes
in the Companys use of valuation techniques since its
adoption of SFAS 157.
Our fixed income securities are traded on the over-the-counter
market, based on prices provided by one or more market makers in
each security. Securities such as U.S. Government, U.S. Agency,
Foreign Government and investment grade corporate bonds have
multiple market makers in addition to readily observable market
value indicators such as expected credit spread, except for
Treasuries, over the yield curve. We use a variety of pricing
sources to value our fixed income securities including those
securities that have pay down/prepay features such as
mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities in order
to ensure fair and accurate pricing. The fair value
18
estimates of the investment grade securities in our portfolio do
not use significant unobservable inputs or modeling techniques.
The Companys assets subject to SFAS 157 are allocated
between Levels 1, 2 and 3 as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
|
Level 1
|
|
|
Level 2
|
|
|
Level 3
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Fixed income maturities available for sale, at fair value
|
|
$
|
1,087.0
|
|
|
$
|
3,319.9
|
|
|
$
|
3.8
|
|
Short-term investments available for sale, at fair value
|
|
$
|
189.4
|
|
|
$
|
36.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
Derivatives at fair value
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
1,276.4
|
|
|
$
|
3,356.8
|
|
|
$
|
14.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The following table presents a reconciliation of the beginning
and ending balances for all assets measured at fair value on a
recurring basis using Level 3 inputs during three and nine
months ended September 30, 2008. We transferred
$3.8 million of securities into Level 3 representing
the estimated market value of our holdings of Lehman Brothers
Holdings Inc. (Lehman) bonds. Although the market
value of these bonds was based on broker-dealer quoted prices at
September 30, 2008, management believes that this
valuation, in part, is based on market expectations of future
recoveries out of Lehmans bankruptcy proceedings, which
involve significant unobservable inputs to the valuation.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Beginning balance
|
|
$
|
12.8
|
|
|
$
|
17.3
|
|
Securities transferred in/(out) of Level 3
|
|
|
3.8
|
|
|
|
3.8
|
|
Total unrealized gains or (losses) included in earnings:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unrealized loss
|
|
|
(1.9
|
)
|
|
|
(5.6
|
)
|
Realized loss
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(0.8
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ending balance
|
|
$
|
14.7
|
|
|
$
|
14.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Companys liability subject to SFAS 157 is
allocated between Levels 1, 2 and 3 as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
|
Level 1
|
|
|
Level 2
|
|
|
Level 3
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Liabilities under derivatives contracts
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
3.8
|
|
|
$
|
12.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
|
|
|
$
|
3.8
|
|
|
$
|
12.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The following table presents a reconciliation of the beginning
and ending balances for the liability measured at fair value on
a recurring basis using Level 3 inputs during the three and
nine months ended September 30, 2008.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Beginning Balance
|
|
$
|
14.5
|
|
|
$
|
19.0
|
|
Realized gains included in earnings
|
|
|
(1.6
|
)
|
|
|
(2.3
|
)
|
Settlements
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3.8
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ending Balance
|
|
$
|
12.9
|
|
|
$
|
12.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
We purchase retrocession and reinsurance to limit our own risk
exposure and to increase our own insurance underwriting
capacity. These agreements provide for recovery of a portion of
losses and loss expenses from reinsurers. As is the case with
most reinsurance treaties, we remain liable to the extent that
reinsurers do not meet their obligations under these agreements,
and therefore, in line with our risk management objectives, we
evaluate the financial condition of our reinsurers and monitor
concentrations of reinsurer credit risk. In addition, we have
entered into reinsurance agreements and derivative instruments
as described below:
Ajax Re.
On April 25, 2007, we entered
into a reinsurance agreement to provide us with coverage
incepting on August 18, 2007. Under the reinsurance
agreement, Ajax Re Limited (Ajax Re) will provide us
with
19
$100 million of aggregate indemnity protection for certain
losses from individual earthquakes in California occurring
between August 18, 2007 and May 1, 2009. The
reinsurance agreement is fully collateralized by proceeds
received by Ajax Re from the issuance of catastrophe bonds. The
amount of the recovery is limited to the lesser of our losses
and the proportional amount of $100 million based on the
Property Claims Services (PCS) reported losses and
the attachment level of $23.1 billion and the exhaustion
level of $25.9 billion. The $100 million of aggregate
indemnity protection is exhausted when the reported industry
insured losses by PCS reach $25.9 billion. For further
information, see Note 11. At the balance sheet date, no
recovery was due from Ajax Re.
In order to ensure that Ajax Re had sufficient funding to
service the LIBOR portion of interest due on the bonds issued by
Ajax Re, Ajax Re entered into a total return swap (the
swap) with Lehman Brothers Special Financing, Inc.
(Lehman Financing), whereby Lehman Financing
directed Ajax Re to invest the proceeds from the bonds into
permitted investments. Lehman also provided a guarantee of
Lehman Financings obligations under the swap.
On September 15, 2008, Lehman Brothers filed for
bankruptcy, which is a termination event under the swap. Ajax Re
terminated the swap on September 16, 2008. To the extent
that the current market value of the underlying collateral held
in trust under the swap agreement is not at least equal to the
principal amount of the Ajax Re notes, there would be a
shortfall in the collateral account, from which Aspen may not be
able to fully recover losses due in the event of a California
earthquake. Nevertheless, Aspen remains within its risk
tolerances without benefit of this cover. We currently expect
the value of the collateral to be substantially less than
$100 million, being the limit of our cover.
Credit insurance contract.
On
November 28, 2006, the Company entered into a credit
insurance contract which, subject to its terms, insures the
Company against losses due to the inability of one or more of
our reinsurance counterparties to meet their financial
obligations to the Company.
The Company considers that under SFAS 133,
Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging
Activities
, as amended (SFAS 133)
this contract is a financial guarantee insurance contract that
does not qualify for exemption from treatment for accounting
purposes as a derivative. This is because it provides for the
final settlement, expected to take place two years after expiry
of cover, to include an amount attributable to outstanding and
IBNR claims which may not at that point in time be due and
payable to the Company.
As a result of the application of derivative accounting rules
under SFAS 133, the contract is treated as an asset and
measured at the directors estimate of its fair value.
Changes in the estimated fair value from time to time will be
included in the consolidated statement of operations.
The contract is for a maximum of five years and provides 90%
cover for a named panel of reinsurers up to individual defined
sub-limits. The contract does allow, subject to certain
conditions, for substitution and replacement of panel members if
the Companys panel of reinsurers changes. Payments are
made on a quarterly basis throughout the period of the contract
based on the aggregate limit, which was set initially at
$477 million but is subject to adjustment.
The impact of this contract on net income in the three and nine
months ended September 30, 2008 is a decrease in the fair
value of $2.1 million (2007 $2.2 million)
and $5.9 million (2007 $6.8 million)
including an interest expense charge for the three and nine
months ended September 30, 2008 of $0.2 million
(2007 $0.3 million) and $0.8 million
(2007 $1.1 million).
Catastrophe Swap.
On August 17, 2004,
Aspen Bermuda entered into a risk transfer swap (cat
swap) with a non-insurance counterparty. During the cat
swaps three-year term which ended on August 20, 2007
Aspen Bermuda made quarterly payments on an initial notional
amount ($100 million). In return Aspen Bermuda had the
right to receive payments of up to $100 million in total if
there were hurricanes making landfall in Florida and causing
damage in excess of $39 billion or earthquakes in
California causing insured damage in excess of $23 billion.
The Company recovered $26.3 million under this agreement.
We decided not to extend the development period under the cat
swap and we will not be making any further recoveries or
payments under this agreement.
This cat swap falls within the scope of SFAS 133 and is
therefore measured in the balance sheet at fair value with any
changes in the fair value shown on the consolidated statement of
operations.
The contract expired on August 20, 2007 and has no impact
on net income in the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2008. The impact of this contract on net
income in the three and nine months ended September 30,
2007 was a net loss of $0.8 million and a charge of
$2.4 million, respectively.
20
In addition to the derivative contracts discussed in
Note 6, the Company uses forward exchange contracts to
manage foreign currency risk. A forward foreign currency
exchange contract involves an obligation to purchase or sell a
specified currency at a future date at a price set at the time
of the contract. Foreign currency exchange contracts will not
eliminate fluctuations in the value of our assets and
liabilities denominated in foreign currencies but rather allow
us to establish a rate of exchange for a future point in time.
The foreign currency contracts are recorded as derivatives at
fair value with changes recorded as a realized gain or loss in
the Companys statement of operations. At
September 30, 2008, the Company held currency contracts to
purchase $90.5 million of U.S. and foreign currencies. For
the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008, the
impact on net income of the foreign currency contracts is a
charge of $2.4 million and $3.8 million, respectively
(2007 $0.8 million for the three and nine
months ended September 30, 2007).
|
|
8.
|
Reserves
for Losses and Adjustment Expenses
|
The following table represents a reconciliation of beginning and
ending consolidated loss and loss adjustment expenses
(LAE) reserves:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at
|
|
|
As at
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
2008
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Provision for losses and LAE at start of year
|
|
$
|
2,946.0
|
|
|
$
|
2,820.0
|
|
Less reinsurance recoverable
|
|
|
(304.7
|
)
|
|
|
(468.3
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss and LAE at start of year
|
|
|
2,641.3
|
|
|
|
2,351.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss and loss expenses (disposed) acquired
|
|
|
(16.3
|
)
|
|
|
11.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Provision for losses and LAE for claims incurred:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current year
|
|
|
904.5
|
|
|
|
1,027.2
|
|
Prior years
|
|
|
(95.6
|
)
|
|
|
(107.4
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total incurred
|
|
|
808.9
|
|
|
|
919.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and LAE payments for claims incurred:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current year
|
|
|
(67.9
|
)
|
|
|
(110.5
|
)
|
Prior years
|
|
|
(443.0
|
)
|
|
|
(585.1
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total paid
|
|
|
(510.9
|
)
|
|
|
(695.6
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange (gains)/losses
|
|
|
(82.6
|
)
|
|
|
54.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net losses and LAE reserves at period end
|
|
|
2,840.4
|
|
|
|
2,641.3
|
|
Plus reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses at period end
|
|
|
241.5
|
|
|
|
304.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss and LAE reserves at September 30, 2008 and
December 31, 2007
|
|
$
|
3,081.9
|
|
|
$
|
2,946.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the nine months ended September 30, 2008, there was a
reduction of $95.6 million compared to $72.9 million
for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 in our
estimate of the ultimate claims to be paid in respect of prior
accident years.
The net loss and loss expenses disposed of as at
September 30, 2008 of $16.3 million represents
reductions in reserves for several Lloyds syndicates which
we originally assumed under reinsurance to close arrangements
accounted for by the syndicates prior to 2006.
The majority of the net loss and loss expenses acquired as at
December 31, 2007 of $11.0 million represents loss
reserves assumed from Lloyds syndicates through quota
share arrangements relating to the portion of liabilities
accounted for by the syndicates prior to 2006.
21
The following table provides a summary of the Companys
authorized and issued share capital at September 30, 2008
and December 31, 2007.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at September 30, 2008
|
|
|
As at December 31, 2007
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ in
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ in
|
|
|
|
Number
|
|
|
thousands
|
|
|
Number
|
|
|
thousands
|
|
|
Authorized share capital
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ordinary shares 0.15144558¢ per share
|
|
|
969,629,030
|
|
|
$
|
1,469
|
|
|
|
969,629,030
|
|
|
$
|
1,469
|
|
Non-Voting shares 0.15144558¢ per share
|
|
|
6,787,880
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
|
|
6,787,880
|
|
|
|
10
|
|
Preference shares 0.15144558¢ per share
|
|
|
100,000,000
|
|
|
|
152
|
|
|
|
100,000,000
|
|
|
|
152
|
|
Issued share capital
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Issued ordinary shares of 0.15144558¢ per share
|
|
|
81,450,413
|
|
|
|
123
|
|
|
|
85,510,673
|
|
|
|
130
|
|
Issued preference shares of 0.15144558¢ each with a
liquidation preference of $50 per share
|
|
|
4,600,000
|
|
|
|
7
|
|
|
|
4,600,000
|
|
|
|
7
|
|
Issued preference shares of 0.15144558¢ each with a
liquidation preference of $25 per share
|
|
|
8,000,000
|
|
|
|
12
|
|
|
|
8,000,000
|
|
|
|
12
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total issued share capital
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
142
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
149
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Additional paid-in capital ($ in millions)
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
1,754.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
1,846.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Additional paid-in capital includes the aggregate liquidation
preferences of our preference shares of $430 million
(2007 $430 million) less issue costs of
$10.8 million (2007 $10.8 million).
Ordinary shares.
The following table
summarizes transactions in our ordinary shares during the nine
month period ended September 30, 2008.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Number of
|
|
|
|
Shares
|
|
|
Shares in issue at December 31, 2007
|
|
|
85,510,673
|
|
Share transactions in the nine months ended
September 30, 2008:
|
|
|
|
|
Shares issued to the Names Trust upon the exercise of
investor options
|
|
|
2,965
|
|
Shares issued to employees and directors under the share
incentive plan and director plan
|
|
|
166,270
|
|
Repurchase of shares from the Names Trust
|
|
|
(9,140
|
)
|
Repurchase of shares from
shareholders
(1)
|
|
|
(4,220,355
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shares in issue at September 30, 2008
|
|
|
81,450,413
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)
|
139,555 shares were acquired and cancelled on
March 20, 2008 in accordance with the accelerated share
repurchase program described below and 4,080,800 were acquired
and cancelled on May 19, 2008 through a
privately-negotiated transaction with the last of our founding
shareholders, Candover Partners Limited and its affiliates and
the trustee to a Candover employee trust.
|
Accelerated Share Repurchase.
On
November 9, 2007, we entered into a contract with Goldman
Sachs & Co. (Goldman Sachs) for the
purchase of ordinary shares to the fixed value of
$50 million (the ASR). Under this arrangement
we acquired and cancelled the minimum number of shares of
1,631,138 shares on November 28, 2007. On
March 20, 2008, the ASR was completed pursuant to which we
canceled an additional 139,555 ordinary shares.
On May 13, 2008, we entered into a share purchase agreement
with one of the Companys founding shareholders, Candover
Investments plc, its subsidiaries and funds under management and
Halifax EES Trustees International Limited, as trustees to a
Candover employee trust, to repurchase a total of 4,080,800
ordinary shares for a total purchase price is $100 million.
The ordinary shares were purchased and cancelled on May 19,
2008.
The Company has issued options and other equity incentives under
three arrangements: investor options, employee awards and
non-employee director awards. When options are exercised or
other equity awards have vested, new shares are issued as the
Company does not hold treasury shares.
Until
January 1, 2006, the employee stock option grants were
measured and recognized according to the fair value recognition
provisions of SFAS No. 123
Accounting For
Stock Based Compensation.
Effective January 1,
2006, the Company adopted the provisions of SFAS 123R
Share Based Payments
which requires all
entities to apply a fair-value based measurement method and an
estimate of future forfeitures in the calculation of the
compensation costs of stock options and restricted share units.
22
Investor
Options
The investor options were issued on June 21, 2002 to
Wellington Investment and members of Syndicate 2020 who were not
corporate members of Syndicate 2020. The options conferred to
the members of Syndicate 2020 are held for their benefit by
Appleby Services (Bermuda) Ltd. (formerly Appleby Trust
(Bermuda) Limited) (Names Trustee). The
subscription price payable under the options is initially
£10 and increases by 5% per annum, less any dividends paid.
Option holders are not entitled to participate in any dividends
prior to exercise and would not rank as a creditor in the event
of liquidation. If not exercised, the options will expire after
a period of ten years.
During the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008,
the Names Trustee exercised 2,868 and 17,391 options on a
cashless basis resulting in the issue of 630 and
2,965 shares, respectively.
Employee
and Non-Executive Director awards
Employee options and other awards are granted under the Aspen
2003 Share Incentive Plan and non-executive director awards are
granted under the 2006 Stock Option Plan for Non-Employee
Directors.
Stock options are granted with an exercise price equivalent to
the fair value of the share on the grant date. The weighted
average value at grant date is determined using the
Black-Scholes option pricing model. Stock options vest over a
three-year period with a ten-year contract period with vesting
dependent on time and performance conditions established at the
time of grant. 118,225 options were exercised in the nine months
ended September 30, 2008. No options were granted in the
nine months ended September 30, 2008. Compensation costs
charged against income in respect of employee options for the
three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 was
$1.1 million and $3.1 million, respectively.
Restricted share units vest equally over a two or three-year
period. Some of the grants vest at year-end, while some other
grants vest on the anniversary of the date of grant. The fair
value of the restricted share units is based on the closing
price on the date of the grant. The fair value is expensed
through the income statement evenly over the vesting period.
During the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008,
the Company granted 22,498 and 84,900 restricted share units
(including RSUs granted to non-executive directors),
respectively. Compensation costs charged against income in
respect of restricted share units for the three and nine months
ended September 30, 2008 was $1.0 million and
$2.1 million, respectively.
The fair value of performance share awards is based on the value
of the average of the high and low of the share price on the
date of the grant less a deduction for expected dividends which
would not accrue during the vesting period. Performance shares
vest over a three or four-year period with vesting dependant on
the achievement of performance targets at the end of specified
periods as established at the time of grant. For the three and
nine months ended September 30, 2008, the Company granted
nil and 587,095 performance shares, respectively. The impact of
performance shares on income was a credit of $0.6 million
in the three months ended September 30, 2008 and a charge
of $3.7 million for the nine months ended
September 30, 2008.
11.
Commitments and Contingencies
We are obliged by the terms of our contractual obligations to
U.S. policyholders and by undertakings to certain regulatory
authorities to facilitate the issue of letters of credit or
maintain certain balances in trust funds for the benefit of
policyholders.
The following table shows the forms of collateral or other
security provided to policyholders as at September 30, 2008
and December 31, 2007.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at
|
|
|
As at
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
December 31, 2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions, except percentages)
|
|
|
Assets held in multi-beneficiary trusts
|
|
$
|
1,450.3
|
|
|
$
|
1,422.5
|
|
Assets held in single beneficiary trusts
|
|
|
52.8
|
|
|
|
52.5
|
|
Letters of credit issued under our revolving credit
facilities
(1)
|
|
|
81.9
|
|
|
|
133.3
|
|
Secured letters of
credit
(2)
|
|
|
332.1
|
|
|
|
344.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
1,917.1
|
|
|
$
|
1,953.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total as % of cash and invested assets
|
|
|
32.5%
|
|
|
|
33.2%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)
|
These letters of credit are not secured by cash or securities,
though they are secured by a pledge of the shares of certain of
the Companys subsidiaries under a pledge agreement.
|
23
|
|
(2)
|
As of September 30, 2008, the Company had funds on deposit
of $448.1 million and £35.5 million
(December 31, 2007 $367.2 million and
£49.3 million) as collateral for the secured letters
of credit.
|
Amounts outstanding under operating leases as of
September 30, 2008 were:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Later
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2008
|
|
|
2009
|
|
|
2010
|
|
|
2011
|
|
|
2012
|
|
|
years
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating Lease Obligations
|
|
$
|
1.8
|
|
|
|
7.3
|
|
|
|
7.3
|
|
|
|
7.3
|
|
|
|
6.9
|
|
|
|
37.3
|
|
|
$
|
67.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
(c)
|
Variable interest entities
|
As disclosed in Note 6, we entered into a reinsurance
agreement with Ajax Re to provide the Company with
$100 million of aggregate indemnity protection for certain
losses from individual earthquakes in California occurring
between August 18, 2007 and May 1, 2009.
Ajax Re is a special purpose Cayman Islands exempted company
licensed as a restricted Class B reinsurer in the Cayman
Islands and formed solely for the purpose of entering into
certain reinsurance agreements and other risk transfer
agreements with subsidiaries of Aspen to provide up to
$1 billion of reinsurance protection covering various
perils, subject to Ajax Res ability to raise the necessary
capital.
On September 15, 2008, Lehman Brothers filed for
bankruptcy, which is a termination event under the swap. Ajax Re
terminated the swap on September 16, 2008. To the extent
that the current market value of the underlying collateral held
in trust is not at least equal to the principal amount of the
Ajax Re notes, there would be a shortfall in the collateral
account, from which Aspen may not be able to fully recover
losses due in the event of a California earthquake.
Nevertheless, Aspen remains within its risk tolerances without
benefit of this cover. We currently expect the value of the
collateral to be substantially less than $100 million.
The Company has determined that Ajax Re has the characteristics
of a variable interest entity that are addressed by FASB
Interpretation No. 46R
Consolidation of Variable
Interest Entities
(FIN 46R). In
accordance with FIN 46R, Ajax Re is not consolidated
because the majority of the expected losses and expected
residual returns will not be absorbed by the Company but rather
by the bond holders of Ajax Re.
24
Item 2.
MANAGEMENTS
DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following is a discussion and analysis of our financial
condition and results of operations for the three and nine
months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007. This discussion
and analysis should be read in conjunction with the unaudited
condensed consolidated financial statements and related notes
contained in this
Form 10-Q
and the audited consolidated financial statements and related
notes for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007, as well
as the discussions of critical accounting policies contained in
our Financial Statements in our 2007 Annual Report on
Form 10-K
filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission
on February 29, 2008 (File
No. 001-31909).
Some of the information contained in this discussion and
analysis or set forth elsewhere in this
Form 10-Q,
including information with respect to our plans and strategy for
our business and in Outlook and Trends below,
includes forward-looking statements that involve risk and
uncertainties. Please see the section captioned Cautionary
Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements in this
report and the Risk Factors in Item 1A, of our
2007 Annual Report on
Form 10-K
for more information on factors that could cause actual results
to differ materially from the results described in or implied by
any forward-looking statements contained in this discussion and
analysis.
Recent
Developments
Where we assess unrealized losses on securities to be temporary
at the balance sheet date, we incur no impairment charge, as we
maintain the ability and intent to hold these securities until
their market values recover to amortized cost. However,
following the publication of our earnings release and financial
supplement on October 29, 2008, the impairment charge for
the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2008
increased from the reported $44.5 million to
$55.8 million due to the sale of certain bonds in financial
institutions after the quarter-end.
Subsequent to September 30, 2008, we sold a portion of our
holdings in the bonds of certain financial institutions,
receiving $87.5 million in proceeds from the sales. As at
September 30, 2008, we recognized impairment charges on
these holdings of $11.3 million, based on their value at
that date. As the fair value of these bonds appreciated between
September 30, 2008 and the dates of their disposal, we will
recognize a realized gain of $6.7 million, pre-tax, in the
fourth quarter of 2008, in relation to such holdings and in
accordance with the current accounting standards. This reflects
the reversal of a portion of the $11.3 million impairment
charge accounted for at September 30, 2008.
The timing and intent of these sales were influenced by a
combination of factors including a decision to reduce our
exposure to financial institutions as part of our investment
risk strategy and the reduction in unrealized losses associated
with these bonds since September 30, 2008, which benefited
from the creation of the Troubled Assets Relief Program
(TARP) under the Emergency Economic Stabilization
Act of 2008, together with other factors specific to each
security.
We continue to assess our investment policy in respect of our
funds of hedge funds. We have issued a redemption notice for
approximately $200 million (or approximately 40% of our
funds of hedge funds balances) at the end of the third quarter
of 2008. These redemptions are scheduled to take effect in
December 2008. We aim to be flexible and respond to market
opportunities, as appropriate and consistent with our overall
investment guidelines.
We expect our Singapore office to start writing property treaty
reinsurance in addition to property facultative risks currently
being written. We have also hired a team to write credit risk
and surety reinsurance business out of our Zurich branch.
On October 29, 2008, Aspen Bermuda extended its letter of
credit facility with Citibank Europe Plc from $300 million
to $450 million.
Overview
We are a Bermudian holding company. We provide property and
casualty reinsurance in the global market through Aspen U.K. and
Aspen Bermuda. We provide property and liability insurance
principally in the United Kingdom through Aspen U.K. and we
provide marine and specialty liability, hull, energy, non-marine
transport, aviation, professional liability, U.K. commercial
property, U.K. commercial liability, financial and political
risk, excess casualty, and financial institutions insurance and
specialty reinsurance worldwide principally through Aspen U.K.
We have also recently established Syndicate 4711 at
Lloyds, which commenced for business incepting
25
May 1, 2008. Syndicate 4711s business plan for
2008 is to renew certain participations on selected classes of
business previously written by Aspen U.K. These classes include
energy, hull, marine liability, transportation-related
liability, aviation and certain specialty reinsurance lines.
The most significant features of our results for the three and
nine months ended September 30, 2008 were:
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted book value per ordinary share at September 30, 2008
was $26.21, an increase of 2.1% compared to $25.68 at
September 30,
2007.
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
A net loss after tax for the three months ended
September 30, 2008 of $126.1 million, compared with a
net profit after tax of $117.2 million for the third
quarter of 2007.
|
|
|
|
|
|
A combined ratio of 123.3% for the three months ended
September 30, 2008 versus 84.5% for the three months ended
September 30, 2007.
|
|
|
|
Other-than-temporary
impairment charges of $55.8 million for the third quarter
and nine months of 2008.
|
|
|
|
Net investment income of $19.3 million, reduced by 73.3%
from the third quarter of 2007 due to the adverse performance of
funds of hedge funds.
|
|
|
|
$155.0 million of net after tax losses following Hurricanes
Ike and
Gustav.
2
|
Shareholders equity and ordinary shares in issue at the
end of the periods were:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at
|
|
|
As at
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions, except for share amounts)
|
|
|
Total shareholders equity
|
|
$
|
2,637.6
|
|
|
$
|
2,733.2
|
|
Intangible assets
|
|
|
(8.2
|
)
|
|
|
(8.2
|
)
|
Preference shares less issue expenses
|
|
|
(419.2
|
)
|
|
|
(419.2
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$
|
2,210.2
|
|
|
$
|
2,305.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ordinary shares
|
|
|
81,450,413
|
|
|
|
87,145,828
|
|
Diluted ordinary shares
|
|
|
84,325,027
|
|
|
|
89,794,371
|
|
The following overview of our results for the three months ended
September 30, 2008 and 2007 and of our financial condition
at September 30, 2008 is intended to identify important
trends and should be read in conjunction with the more detailed
discussion further below.
Gross written premiums.
Total gross written
premiums increased by 18.2% in the third quarter of 2008
compared to 2007. The table below shows our gross written
premiums for each segment for the three months ended
September 30, 2008 and 2007, and the percentage change in
gross written premiums for each segment.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
Business Segment
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
% increase /(decrease)
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Property reinsurance
|
|
$
|
152.8
|
|
|
|
9.5%
|
|
|
$
|
139.5
|
|
Casualty reinsurance
|
|
|
79.7
|
|
|
|
2.8
|
|
|
|
77.5
|
|
International insurance
|
|
|
180.8
|
|
|
|
40.2
|
|
|
|
129.0
|
|
U.S. insurance
|
|
|
28.0
|
|
|
|
1.8
|
|
|
|
27.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
441.3
|
|
|
|
18.2%
|
|
|
$
|
373.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
We wrote more business in the third quarter than in the
corresponding period of 2007 as a result of a $56.6 million
contribution from our new insurance lines which were established
throughout 2007 and the first half of 2008, principally
professional liability, non-marine transportation and financial
and political risk insurance and the recognition of
$13.7 million of reinstatement premiums associated with
Hurricanes Ike and Gustav.
Reinsurance.
Total reinsurance ceded in the
three months ended September 30, 2008 of $37.5 million
was $12.8 million higher than in the corresponding period
in 2007. The overall increase is due primarily to the
recognition of $7.4 million in reinstatement premiums for
our reinsurance program following Hurricane Ike.
(1) Tangible book value
per ordinary share is based on total shareholders equity,
less intangible assets and preference shares (liquidation
preference less issue expenses), divided by the number of
ordinary shares in issue at the end of the period.
(2) Net losses are based
on estimated gross losses plus estimated reinsurance
reinstatement costs, less estimated reinsurance recoveries,
reinstatement premiums receivable from assumed business and tax.
26
Loss ratio.
We monitor the ratio of losses and
loss adjustment expenses to net earned premium (the loss
ratio) as a measure of relative underwriting performance
where a lower ratio represents a better result than a higher
ratio.
The loss ratios for our four business segments for the three
months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 were as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
Business Segment
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
Property reinsurance
|
|
|
118.6%
|
|
|
|
34.2%
|
|
Casualty reinsurance
|
|
|
67.2%
|
|
|
|
74.5%
|
|
International insurance
|
|
|
89.4%
|
|
|
|
51.3%
|
|
U.S. insurance
|
|
|
130.1%
|
|
|
|
39.6%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Loss Ratio
|
|
|
95.2%
|
|
|
|
52.4%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The increase in the property reinsurance loss ratio in the
current quarter is due primarily to the recognition of
$131.2 million of losses associated with Hurricanes Ike and
Gustav. Losses in the property reinsurance segment were
partially offset by net reserve releases for the third quarter
of 2008 of $3.3 million compared to net reserve
strengthening of $0.7 million in the comparative period in
2007. Casualty reinsurance has benefited from an
$8.1 million increase in prior year reserve releases during
the third quarter of 2008 due to better than expected
development from the international casualty treaty business
line. The loss ratio for the international insurance segment has
increased to 89.4% in the third quarter of 2008 from 51.3% in
the third quarter of 2007, due to a combination of
$39.8 million of losses from Hurricanes Ike and Gustav and
a reduction of $22.2 million in prior period reserve
releases compared to the prior year. The international insurance
segment loss ratio for the third quarter of 2007 was impacted by
$10.1 million of aviation losses and a $4.0 million
provision relating to July U.K. floods. Within the U.S.
insurance segment, U.S. property insurance has been impacted by
$15.0 million of losses from Hurricanes Ike and
Gustav, in addition to a $2.8 million reduction in prior
period reserve releases.
Reserve releases.
The loss ratios take into
account changes in our assessments of reserves for unpaid claims
and loss adjustment expenses arising from earlier years. In each
of the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, we
recorded a reduction in the level of reserves for prior years.
The amounts of these reductions and their effect on the loss
ratio in each period are shown in the following table:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
Reserve releases ($ in millions)
|
|
$
|
15.6
|
|
|
$
|
28.5
|
|
% of net premiums earned
|
|
|
3.6%
|
|
|
|
6.8%
|
|
The reduction in reserve releases compared to the third quarter
of 2007 arises mainly in our international insurance segment.
Reserve releases in this segment were $1.9 million in the
third quarter of 2008 compared to a $24.1 million release
in the third quarter of 2007. The significant reduction in
reserve releases in this segment is due to reserve strengthening
in the current year for the aviation and marine and specialty
liability business lines and a significant reduction in reserve
releases for the U.K. liability business line. This was
partially offset by an $8.1 million increase in casualty
reinsurance reserve releases which were due mainly to better
than expected experience from the international treaty business
line. Property reinsurance had net reserve releases of
$3.3 million in the third quarter of 2008 compared to a
$0.7 million strengthening in the third quarter of 2007 and
U.S. insurance reserve releases have reduced from
$3.5 million in the third quarter of 2007 to
$0.7 million in the third quarter of 2008.
Further information relating to the movement of prior year
reserves can be found below under Reserves for Loss and
Loss Adjustment Expenses.
Expense ratio.
We monitor the ratio of
expenses to net earned premium (the expense ratio)
as a measure of the cost effectiveness of our policy
acquisition, operating and administrative processes. The table
below presents the contribution of the policy acquisition
expenses and operating and administrative expenses to the
expense ratio and the total expense ratios for each of the three
months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
Policy acquisition expenses
|
|
|
16.2%
|
|
|
|
18.1%
|
|
Operating and administrative expenses
|
|
|
11.9%
|
|
|
|
14.0%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Expense ratio
|
|
|
28.1%
|
|
|
|
32.1%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
27
The overall reduction in the policy acquisition ratio is
primarily driven by the recognition in the three months ended
September 30, 2007 of $6.0 million in profit
commissions and no claims bonuses compared to $1.1 million
in the current period with the remaining variance being due to
changes in the ratio of business written by the reinsurance and
insurance segments.
Between the two periods we have experienced a $7.0 million
reduction in our operating and administrative expenses. The
reduction is due to a reduction in accruals for
performance-related compensation and favorable movements in the
exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar and British Pound which
reduces the Dollar value of Sterling denominated expenses.
Within the international insurance segment, expenses have
increased by $3.9 million due predominately to the
recognition of direct costs for new underwriting teams.
Net investment income.
In the third quarter of
2008, we generated net investment income of $19.3 million
(2007 $72.4 million). The reduction in income
was due primarily to a loss of $42.2 million from our
investment in funds of hedge funds compared to a
$7.9 million contribution in the third quarter of 2007 plus
a reduction in yield from our fixed income portfolio from 5.08%
to 4.87%.
Change in fair value of derivatives.
In the
three months ended September 30, 2008, we recorded a
reduction in the fair value of derivatives of $0.7 million
(2007 $2.7 million reduction). This included a
reduction of $2.1 million (2007
$1.9 million) in the estimated fair value of our credit
insurance contract less an adjustment of $1.4 million for
changes in foreign currency contracts which were previously
recorded in changes in fair value of derivatives and have now
been reclassified as realized foreign currency gains and losses.
In the three months ended September 30, 2007, a charge of
$0.8 million for a catastrophe swap which expired on
August 20, 2007 was also included. In addition, we hold
foreign currency derivative contracts to purchase
$90.5 million of U.S. and foreign currencies during 2008.
The foreign currency contracts are recorded as derivatives at
fair value with changes recorded as a realized foreign exchange
gains or losses in the Companys statement of operations.
For the three months ended September 30, 2008, the impact
of foreign currency contracts on net income is a charge of
$2.4 million (2007- $0.8 million). Further information
on these contracts can be found in Notes 6 and 7 to the
financial statements.
Other revenues and expenses.
Other revenues
and expenses in the three months ended September 30, 2008
included $55.8 million of
other-than-temporary
impairment charges (2007 $Nil), $2.7 million of
foreign currency exchange losses (2007
$9.2 million gain) and $2.3 million of realized
investment losses (2007 $1.9 million loss).
Interest expense was $3.8 million in the three months ended
September 30, 2008 (2007 $4.2 million).
Other-than-temporary
impairments.
We review all of our fixed
maturities for potential impairment each quarter based on
criteria including issuer-specific circumstances, credit ratings
actions and general macro-economic conditions. The process of
determining whether a decline in value is
other-than-temporary
requires considerable judgment. As part of the assessment
process we also evaluate our ability to hold any fixed maturity
security in an unrealized loss position until its market value
recovers to amortized cost. Once a security has been identified
as
other-than-temporarily
impaired, the amount of any impairment is determined by
reference to that securitys estimated fair value and
recorded as a charge to realized losses included in earnings.
In light of the recent turmoil in the financial markets we have
recognized an
other-than-temporary
impairment charge of $55.8 million in the three months
ended September 30, 2008, of which $34 million is
related to our holdings of Lehman where we wrote our
subordinated debt down to a par value of zero and our senior
debt down to 12.75% of its original par value. Although our
holdings in Lehman are in default, the market value for these
securities was derived based on broker-dealer prices quoted at
September 30, 2008. Management believes that this valuation
is, in part, based on market expectations of future recoveries
for Lehmans bankruptcy proceedings.
Excluding our holdings in Lehman, we impaired several securities
in our investment portfolio that were not in default at
September 30, 2008. While such securities retained their
investment grade ratings, timely continuation of interest and
principal payments, they were priced at a significant discount
to cost. Notwithstanding our intent and ability to hold these
securities until maturity, and despite structures that indicate
that a substantial amount of the securities should continue to
perform in accordance with original terms, we could not assert
that the recovery period would be temporary under the current
accounting standards.
Taxes.
The estimated effective rate of tax for
the three months ended September 30, 2008, is a credit of
13.6% (2007 15.0% charge) due to the reported loss
for the period following the recognition of hurricane losses,
impairment charges and funds of hedge fund losses. This is
subject to revision in future periods if circumstances change
and in particular, depending on the relative claims experience
of those parts of our business conducted in Bermuda where the
rate of tax on corporate profits is zero and those parts
conducted in the U.K. where the corporate tax rate is 28%.
28
Dividends.
The dividend for the quarter has
been maintained at $0.15 per ordinary share.
Dividends paid on our preference shares in the three months
ended September 30, 2008 were $6.9 million
(2007 $6.9 million).
Shareholders equity and financial
leverage.
Total shareholders equity reduced
by $216.3 million to $2,637.6 million for the three
months ended September 30, 2008. The most significant
movements were:
|
|
|
|
|
net retained losses after tax and dividends for the period of
$145.2 million;
|
|
|
|
an increase in unrealized losses on investments of
$42.7 million (net of tax); and
|
|
|
|
decrease in unrealized gains in foreign currency translation
accounted for as Other Comprehensive Income of
$29.2 million.
|
As at September 30, 2008, total ordinary shareholders
equity was $2,218.4 million compared to
$2,398.4 million at December 31, 2007. The remainder
of our total shareholders equity, as at September 30,
2008, was funded by two classes of preference shares with a
total value as measured by their respective liquidation
preferences of $419.2 million net of share issuance costs
(December 31, 2007 $419.2 million).
The amounts outstanding under our senior notes, less
amortization of expenses, of $249.5 million were the only
material debt that we had outstanding as of September 30,
2008 and December 31, 2007.
Management monitors the ratio of debt to total capital, with
total capital being defined as shareholders equity plus
outstanding debt. At September 30, 2008, this ratio was
8.6% (December 31, 2007 8.1%).
Our preference shares are classified in our balance sheet as
equity but may receive a different treatment in some cases under
the capital adequacy assessments made by certain rating
agencies. Such securities are often referred to as
hybrids as they have certain attributes of both debt
and equity. We also monitor the ratio of the total of debt and
hybrids to total capital which was 23.2% as of
September 30, 2008 (December 31, 2007
21.8%).
Capital Management.
On February 6, 2008,
our Board authorized a new share repurchase program for up to
$300 million of our ordinary shares. The authorization
covers the period to March 1, 2010.
On May 13, 2008, we purchased and cancelled
4,080,800 shares for a consideration of $100 million
from Candover Partners Limited, the last of our founding
shareholders, and a trustee to a Candover employee trust. We
have $200 million remaining under the program.
Liquidity.
Management monitors the liquidity
of Aspen Holdings and of each of its Insurance Subsidiaries.
With respect to Aspen Holdings, management monitors its ability
to service debt, to finance dividend payments and to provide
financial support to the Insurance Subsidiaries. As at
September 30, 2008, Aspen Holdings held $25.0 million
in cash and cash equivalents which, taken together with
dividends declared or expected to be declared by subsidiary
companies and our credit facilities, management considered
sufficient to provide Aspen Holdings liquidity at that time.
At September 30, 2008, our subsidiaries held
$716.6 million in cash and cash equivalents that are
readily realizable securities. Management monitors the value,
currency and duration of the cash and investments within its
Insurance Subsidiaries to ensure that they are able to meet
their insurance and other liabilities as they become due and was
satisfied that there was a comfortable margin of liquidity as at
September 30, 2008 and for the foreseeable future.
As of September 30, 2008, we had in issue
$350.1 million and £35.9 million in letters of
credit to cedents, for which $448.1 million and
£35.5 million were held as collateral for the secured
letters of credit. Our reinsurance receivables decreased by
20.7% from $304.7 million at December 31, 2007 to
$241.5 million at September 30, 2008, as we continue
to recover from our reinsurers in respect of 2005 hurricane
claims, which were partially offset by estimated recoverables in
relation to 2008 hurricane claims.
Outlook
and Trends
We have reported in the past few quarters that we were in a soft
market in most of our business lines. We now anticipate some
increases in rates in 2009. With the ongoing financial crisis
and the impact of this crisis on the investment portfolios of
insurance companies, there is increased pressure on underwriting
results with wide spread recognition of the need to have higher
premium rates throughout the industry. We believe that rates
will increase in some lines of business, most likely dominated
by property reinsurance and insurance at first, then ultimately
expanding into the casualty lines.
29
Even though Hurricane Ike was a Category 2 storm, it is
important to note that wind speed is but one factor when
analyzing the loss potential from a storm. Hurricane Ike carried
storm surge characteristics of a Category 4 storm and had about
the same destructive potential as Hurricane Katrina when it made
landfall. In addition, Hurricane Ike was significantly larger
than Hurricane Katrina. As a result of its sheer size, Hurricane
Ikes destructive force penetrated much deeper inland than
what would typically be expected from a Category 2 storm. As a
result, non-coastal states were also impacted by Hurricane Ike.
The significant and broad loss activity from Hurricane Ike
indicates once again that U.S. catastrophe-exposed property
insurance was written at unsustainable rates. As a result, we
expect the pattern of rate reductions that we have seen since
2006 to end, and that rates for U.S. catastrophe-exposed
risks will be flat through the year-end and will increase by
10-20% by the middle of 2009. In respect of off-shore energy
property damage, we expect more significant rate increases at
renewal.
Following the events of September and October (hurricanes and
ongoing financial crisis) we expect rates to be flat overall in
2009 with some lines expected to deliver more significant rate
increases. Currently we see significant opportunities in certain
financial and professional lines, in financial and political
risk, excess casualty, off-shore energy property and to some
extent in property reinsurance and aviation insurance.
As a result of the ongoing financial crisis, the industry may
also face increased regulation and regulatory oversight.
Application
of Critical Accounting Policies
Our condensed consolidated financial statements are based on the
selection of accounting policies and the application of
significant accounting estimates, which require management to
make significant estimates and assumptions. We believe that some
of the more critical judgments in the areas of accounting
estimates and assumptions that affect our financial condition
and results of operations are related to reserves for property
and liability losses, premiums receivable in respect of assumed
reinsurance, the fair value of derivatives and the value of
investments, including the extent of any
other-than-temporary
impairment. For a detailed discussion of our critical accounting
policies please refer to our 2007 Annual Report on
Form 10-K
filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.
There were no material changes in the application of our
critical accounting estimates subsequent to that report. We have
discussed the application of these critical accounting estimates
with our Board of Directors and Audit Committee.
Results
of Operations for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2008
Compared to the Three Months Ended September 30,
2007
The following is a discussion and analysis of our consolidated
results of operations for the three months ended
September 30, 2008 and 2007 starting with a discussion of
segmental results and then summarizing our consolidated results
under Total Income Statement Third
quarter below.
Underwriting
Results by Operating Segments
As a result of a shift in our operating structure and the
implementation of a number of strategic initiatives in 2007, we
changed the composition of our business segments to reflect the
change in the manner in which we manage our business. We are
currently organized into four business segments: Property
Reinsurance, Casualty Reinsurance, International Insurance, and
U.S. Insurance. These segments form the basis of how we monitor
the performance of our operations.
Management measures segment results on the basis of the combined
ratio, which is obtained by dividing the sum of the losses and
loss expenses, acquisition expenses and operating and
administrative expenses by net premiums earned. Indirect
operating and administrative expenses are allocated to segments
based on each segments proportional share of gross earned
premiums. Due to changes in business mix and market conditions,
our historical combined ratios may not be indicative of future
underwriting performance. We do not manage our assets by
segment; accordingly, investment income and total assets are not
allocated to the individual segments.
Please refer to the tables in Note 4 in our unaudited
financial statements of this report for a summary of gross and
net written and earned premiums, underwriting results and
combined ratios and reserves for each of our four business
segments for the three months ended September 30, 2008 and
2007.
30
The contributions of each segment to gross written premiums in
the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 were as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
Business Segment
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
% of total gross written premiums
|
|
|
Property reinsurance
|
|
|
34.6%
|
|
|
|
37.4%
|
|
Casualty reinsurance
|
|
|
18.1%
|
|
|
|
20.7%
|
|
International insurance
|
|
|
41.0%
|
|
|
|
34.5%
|
|
U.S. insurance
|
|
|
6.3%
|
|
|
|
7.4%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100.0%
|
|
|
|
100.0%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
Business Segment
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Property reinsurance
|
|
$
|
152.8
|
|
|
$
|
139.5
|
|
Casualty reinsurance
|
|
|
79.7
|
|
|
|
77.5
|
|
International insurance
|
|
|
180.8
|
|
|
|
129.0
|
|
U.S. insurance
|
|
|
28.0
|
|
|
|
27.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
441.3
|
|
|
$
|
373.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property
Reinsurance
Our property reinsurance segment is mainly written on a treaty
basis and includes catastrophe, risk excess and proportional
treaty risks. We also write property facultative risks. We have
written no significant retrocession business in this quarter. We
also write some structured reinsurance contracts out of Aspen
Bermuda. These contracts are tailored to the individual client
circumstances and although written by a single team are
accounted for within the business segment to which the contract
most closely relates.
We have established a branch of Aspen U.K. in Zurich which
focuses on property reinsurance in Continental Europe. On
June 23, 2008, the Monetary Authority of Singapore
authorized us to conduct reinsurance business. Our office in
Singapore initially focused on writing property facultative
business in the region. We anticipate starting to write property
treaty business in Singapore starting in the fourth quarter.
Gross written premiums.
Gross written premiums
in our property reinsurance segment increased by 9.5% compared
to the three months ended September 30, 2007. This increase
is mainly due the recognition of $12.5 million of
reinstatement premiums associated with losses from Hurricanes
Ike and Gustav and favorable prior year premium adjustments.
The table below shows our gross written premiums for each line
of business in property reinsurance for the three months ended
September 30, 2008 and 2007, and the percentage change in
gross written premiums for each such line:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
Lines of Business
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
% increase/(decrease)
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Treaty catastrophe
|
|
$
|
65.0
|
|
|
|
8.2
|
%
|
|
$
|
60.1
|
|
Treaty risk excess
|
|
|
36.3
|
|
|
|
1.7
|
|
|
|
35.7
|
|
Treaty pro rata
|
|
|
36.5
|
|
|
|
7.0
|
|
|
|
34.1
|
|
Property facultative
|
|
|
15.0
|
|
|
|
56.3
|
|
|
|
9.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
152.8
|
|
|
|
9.5
|
%
|
|
$
|
139.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and loss adjustment expenses.
The net
loss ratio for the three months ended September 30, 2008
was 118.6% compared to 34.2% in 2007. The increase in the
property reinsurance loss ratio in the current quarter is due
primarily to the recognition of $127.5 million of losses
associated with Hurricane Ike and $3.7 million of losses
associated with Hurricane Gustav. Losses in this segment were
partially offset by an increase in net reserves releases for the
third quarter of 2008 of $3.3 million compared to net
reserve strengthening of $0.7 million in the comparative
period in 2007. The loss ratio in the third quarter of 2007
benefited from a low level of catastrophe
31
losses in the quarter. Further information relating to the
movement of prior year reserves is found below under
Reserves for Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses.
Policy acquisition, operating and administrative
expenses.
Total expenses were $38.1 million
for the three months ended September 30, 2008 equivalent to
27.4% of net premiums earned (2007 34.9%). Policy
acquisition expenses have decreased from $25.4 million in
2007 to $23.4 million for the third quarter in 2008, mainly
as a result of a general reduction in average commission rates
for catastrophe and pro rata business. The increase in net
earned premium, following our decision to reduce our reliance on
outwards reinsurance, has also benefited the expense ratio by
3.5 percentage points in the quarter. The reduction in the
operating expense ratio is mainly due to a reduction in accruals
for performance-related compensation and favorable movements in
the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar and the British Pound.
Casualty
Reinsurance
Our casualty reinsurance segment is written mainly on a treaty
basis with a small proportion of facultative risks. Casualty
treaty reinsurance is primarily written on an excess of loss
basis and includes coverage for claims arising from automobile
accidents, workers compensation, medical malpractice,
employers liability, professional liability and other
third party liabilities. It is written in respect of cedents
located mainly in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe
and Australia. We also write some structured reinsurance
contracts. Aspen U.K.s Zurich branch also writes casualty
reinsurance in Continental Europe.
Gross written premiums.
The 2.8% increase in
gross written premiums for the segment was due to increases in
premium for the U.S. casualty treaty and casualty facultative
business lines compensating for a reduction in business written
by our non-U.S. casualty team in London and our London-based
U.S. casualty team, where market conditions are challenging. In
2007, the casualty facultative team was reorganized and
relocated from New Jersey to Connecticut which had a negative
impact on written premiums in the prior year.
The table below shows our gross written premiums for each line
of business in casualty reinsurance for the three months ended
September 30, 2008 and 2007, and the percentage change in
gross written premiums for each such line:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
Lines of Business
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
% increase/(decrease)
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
U.S. treaty
|
|
$
|
60.1
|
|
|
|
12.3
|
%
|
|
$
|
53.5
|
|
Non-U.S. treaty
|
|
|
15.3
|
|
|
|
(25.4
|
)
|
|
|
20.5
|
|
Casualty facultative
|
|
|
4.3
|
|
|
|
22.9
|
|
|
|
3.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
79.7
|
|
|
|
2.8
|
%
|
|
$
|
77.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and loss adjustment expenses.
Losses
and loss adjustment expenses decreased by $16.3 million in
the quarter compared to the equivalent period in 2007, due to an
$8.1 million increase in prior year reserve releases. The
reserve releases reflected favorable loss experience from the
international casualty business line and the release of reserves
following a favorable outcome on a specific claim. In the three
months ended September 30, 2008, we have increased our loss
provisions associated with potential exposure associated with
the current financial crisis by $10.0 million. Prior year
reserve releases are further discussed below under
Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses.
Policy acquisition, operating and administrative
expenses.
Total expenses were $26.2 million
for the three months ended September 30, 2008 equivalent to
23.2% of net premiums earned (2007 27.2%). Policy
acquisition expenses have reduced in line with gross earned
premiums and a reduction in accruals for profit commissions.
Operating and administrative expenses have reduced by
$4.2 million. The reduction in the operating expense ratio
in the current period is mainly due to a reduction in accruals
for performance-related compensation and favorable movements in
the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar and British Pound
whereas in the comparative period additional costs were incurred
due to the reorganization of our U.S. teams.
International
Insurance
Our international insurance segment mainly comprises marine
hull, marine and specialty liability, energy, non-marine
transport, aviation, professional liability, excess casualty,
financial institutions, financial and political risk, U.K.
commercial property (including construction) and U.K. commercial
liability insurance. The commercial liability line of business
consists of U.K. employers and public liability insurance.
Our specialty reinsurance lines
32
of business include aviation, marine and other specialty
reinsurance. In the third quarter of 2008, we have also started
writing international commercial directors and
officers insurance.
Gross written premiums.
Overall premiums have
increased $51.8 million in the quarter compared to the
third quarter of 2007, mainly due to $56.6 million of
premium contributed by the newer lines of business. Written
premium for the established lines decreased by $4.8 million
overall, mainly attributed to U.K. commercial property and U.K.
commercial liability insurance which continue to experience rate
pressures and aviation insurance which had reductions in prior
year premium estimates. In the period we recognized
$1.2 million of reinstatement premiums as a result of
Hurricane Ike.
The table below shows our gross written premiums for each line
of business in international insurance for the three months
ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, and the percentage
change in gross written premiums for each line:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
Lines of Business
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
% increase/(decrease)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Marine and specialty liability insurance
|
|
$
|
14.1
|
|
|
|
2.2
|
%
|
|
$
|
13.8
|
|
Energy property insurance
|
|
|
22.3
|
|
|
|
4.7
|
|
|
|
21.3
|
|
Marine hull
|
|
|
10.7
|
|
|
|
(4.5
|
)
|
|
|
11.2
|
|
Aviation insurance
|
|
|
19.3
|
|
|
|
(18.6
|
)
|
|
|
23.7
|
|
U.K. commercial property
|
|
|
14.1
|
|
|
|
(11.9
|
)
|
|
|
16.0
|
|
U.K. commercial liability
|
|
|
23.3
|
|
|
|
(13.4
|
)
|
|
|
26.9
|
|
Non-marine and transportation liability
|
|
|
8.7
|
|
|
|
NM
|
*
|
|
|
|
|
Professional liability
|
|
|
13.3
|
|
|
|
NM
|
*
|
|
|
|
|
Excess casualty
|
|
|
8.9
|
|
|
|
NM
|
*
|
|
|
|
|
Financial institutions
|
|
|
15.8
|
|
|
|
NM
|
*
|
|
|
|
|
Financial and political risk
|
|
|
5.5
|
|
|
|
NM
|
*
|
|
|
|
|
U.K. commercial property construction
|
|
|
4.4
|
|
|
|
NM
|
*
|
|
|
|
|
International commercial directors and officers
insurance
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NM
|
*
|
|
|
|
|
Specialty reinsurance
|
|
|
20.4
|
|
|
|
26.7
|
|
|
|
16.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
180.8
|
|
|
|
40.2
|
%
|
|
$
|
129.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*
|
Not Meaningful These lines of business were not
operational at September 30, 2007.
|
Losses and loss adjustment expenses.
The loss
ratio for the quarter was 89.4% compared to 51.3% in 2007. The
segment has been impacted by Hurricanes Ike and Gustav losses of
$39.8 million, a $6.4 million U.S. rail loss and a
$2.5 million airline loss. In comparison for the three
months ended September 30, 2007, the segment suffered from
an aviation loss of $10.1 million, including reinstatement
premiums, and $4.0 million of estimated losses from July
U.K. floods. Prior year reserve releases have also reduced by
$22.2 million to $1.9 million in the third quarter of
2008 compared to 2007. This reduction was mainly due to reserve
strengthening in the current year for the aviation and marine
and specialty liability business lines and a significant
reduction in the size of reserve releases from U.K. commercial
liability. The net loss ratio for the segment has been adversely
affected by the recognition of estimated ceded reinstatement
costs of $7.4 million as a result of the hurricanes. Prior
year reserve releases are further discussed under Reserves
for Losses and Loss Expenses.
Policy acquisition, operating and administrative
expenses.
The acquisition expense ratio decreased
by 1.3 percentage points due in part to a $2.6 million
reduction in profit commission accruals and a change in business
mix following the addition of new business lines. The increase
in operating and administrative expenses from $17.2 million
in the third quarter of 2007 to $21.1 million for the
equivalent period in 2008 relates to $1.6 million of direct
costs for the new teams and additional infrastructure costs
associated with setting up the new teams, partially offset by a
reduction in accruals for performance-related compensation and
favorable movements in the exchange rates between the U.S.
Dollar and the British Pound.
U.S.
Insurance
We write U.S. property and casualty insurance on an excess and
surplus lines basis.
Gross written premiums.
Gross written premiums
increased only marginally in the quarter compared to the third
quarter of 2007. Premium increases in the property book
compensated for a reduction in the casualty book.
33
Gross written premium in 2007 was adversely impacted by the
repositioning of the property book. In the third quarter of
2008, the casualty line has seen a contraction in premium due to
the maintenance of our pricing discipline in a challenging
market.
The table below shows our gross written premiums for each line
of business in U.S. insurance for the three months ended
September 30, 2008 and 2007, and the percentage change in
gross written premiums for each such line:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
Lines of Business
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
% increase/(decrease)
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
U.S. property
|
|
$
|
10.7
|
|
|
|
35.4
|
%
|
|
$
|
7.9
|
|
U.S. casualty
|
|
|
17.3
|
|
|
|
(11.7
|
)
|
|
|
19.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
28.0
|
|
|
|
1.8
|
%
|
|
$
|
27.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and loss adjustment expenses.
Losses
for the period have increased significantly by
$21.6 million when compared to the prior period primarily
due to the recognition of $7.5 million of losses related to
Hurricane Ike, $7.5 million of losses related to Hurricane
Gustav and a $2.8 million reduction in prior year reserve
releases compared to the prior period in 2007.
Policy acquisition, operating and administrative
expenses.
Policy acquisition expenses have
decreased to $3.9 million from $4.5 million for the
equivalent period in 2007 due to the reduction in premium
volumes and changes in the business mix. The acquisition ratio
also improved due to the reduction in earned reinsurance ceded
between the two periods. Operating and administrative expenses
have reduced from $9.3 million in the third quarter of 2007
to $6.2 million in the third quarter of 2008, due primarily
to the recognition of $3.8 million of reorganization costs
in the comparative period.
Total
Income Statement Third quarter
Our statements of operations consolidate the underwriting
results of our four segments and include certain other revenue
and expense items that are not allocated to the business
segments.
Gross written premiums.
We wrote more business
in the third quarter than in the corresponding period of 2007 as
a result of increases in premiums from our new lines of business
and reinstatement premiums following Hurricanes Ike and Gustav
Reinsurance ceded.
Total reinsurance ceded in
the three months ended September 30, 2008 of
$37.5 million was $12.8 million higher than in the
corresponding period in 2007. The overall increase is primarily
due to the recognition of outwards reinstatement premiums
following the hurricanes, in addition to increases in
facultative cessions related to certain property proportional
reinsurance business and the purchase of reinsurance cover for
the new lines of business in our international insurance segment.
Gross premiums earned.
Gross premiums earned
reflect the portion of gross premiums written which are recorded
as revenues over the policy periods of the risks we write.
Therefore, the earned premium recorded in any year includes
premium from policies incepting in prior years and excludes
premium to be earned subsequent to the balance sheet date. Gross
premiums earned in the third quarter of 2008 increased by 2.1%
compared to the third quarter of 2007 primarily as a result of
the contribution from new business lines in international
insurance and the recognition of $13.7 million of
additional inward reinstatement premiums following Hurricanes
Ike and Gustav.
Net premiums earned.
Net premiums earned have
increased by 3.5% in 2008 compared to 2007. Although gross
earned premiums have increased by 2.1% for the same period, net
earned premiums have increased by a larger amount as a result of
a general reduction in the proportion of business ceded by the
group between 2007 and 2008.
Losses and loss adjustment expenses.
The third
quarter of 2008 was impacted by $186.0 million of losses
associated with Hurricanes Ike and Gustav
($131.2 million property reinsurance;
$39.8 million international insurance and
$15.0 million U.S. insurance) and a
$10.0 million increase in provisions for losses associated
with the ongoing financial crisis. In the third quarter of 2007,
we experienced a significantly lower level of losses, the most
significant being a $10.1 million aviation loss in Brazil
and a $7.3 million loss from the July U.K. floods. In the
third quarter of 2008, prior year reserve releases were
$15.6 million compared to $28.5 million in the third
quarter 2007. Due to the increased losses and reduced prior year
reserve releases, the overall loss ratio in the third quarter of
2008 deteriorated by 42.8 percentage points.
34
Further information relating to movements in prior year reserves
can be found below under Reserves for Loss and Loss
Adjustment Expenses.
The underlying changes in loss ratios by segment are shown in
the table below. The prior year adjustment in the table below
reflects claims development and does not reflect the impact of
prior year premium adjustments.
The hurricane claims adjustment in the table below reflects
hurricane claim estimates and does not reflect the impact of
reinstatement premium adjustments.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ratio Excluding
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior Year
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior Year
|
|
|
Hurricane
|
|
|
Reserve and
|
|
|
|
Total Loss
|
|
|
Claims
|
|
|
Claims
|
|
|
Hurricane
|
|
For the three months ended September 30, 2008
|
|
Ratio
|
|
|
Adjustment
|
|
|
Adjustment
|
|
|
Adjustments
|
|
|
Property reinsurance
|
|
|
118.6%
|
|
|
|
2.4%
|
|
|
|
(94.5
|
)%
|
|
|
26.5%
|
|
Casualty reinsurance
|
|
|
67.2%
|
|
|
|
8.6%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
75.8%
|
|
International insurance
|
|
|
89.4%
|
|
|
|
1.2%
|
|
|
|
(25.1
|
)%
|
|
|
65.5%
|
|
U.S. insurance
|
|
|
130.1%
|
|
|
|
2.9%
|
|
|
|
(62.8
|
)%
|
|
|
70.2%
|
|
Total
|
|
|
95.2%
|
|
|
|
3.6%
|
|
|
|
(42.8
|
)%
|
|
|
56.0%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ratio Excluding
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior Year
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior Year
|
|
|
Hurricane
|
|
|
Reserve and
|
|
|
|
Total Loss
|
|
|
Claims
|
|
|
Claims
|
|
|
Hurricane
|
|
For the three months ended September 30, 2007
|
|
Ratio
|
|
|
Adjustment
|
|
|
Adjustment
|
|
|
Adjustments
|
|
|
Property reinsurance
|
|
|
34.2
|
%
|
|
|
(0.5
|
)%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
33.7
|
%
|
Casualty reinsurance
|
|
|
74.5
|
%
|
|
|
1.3
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
75.8
|
%
|
International insurance
|
|
|
51.3
|
%
|
|
|
16.4
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
67.7
|
%
|
U.S. insurance
|
|
|
39.6
|
%
|
|
|
14.6
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
54.2
|
%
|
Total
|
|
|
52.4
|
%
|
|
|
6.8
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
59.2
|
%
|
Expenses.
We monitor the ratio of expenses to
gross earned premium (the gross expense ratio) as a
measure of the cost effectiveness of our policy acquisition,
operating and administrative processes. The table below presents
the contribution of the policy acquisition expenses and
operating and administrative expenses to the expense ratio and
the total expense ratios for the three months ended
September 30, 2008 and 2007. We also show the effect of
reinsurance which impacts on the reported net expense ratio by
expressing the expenses as a proportion of net earned premiums.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Expense Ratios
|
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
Policy acquisition expenses
|
|
|
14.6%
|
|
|
|
16.1%
|
|
Operating and administrative expenses
|
|
|
10.7%
|
|
|
|
12.4%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross expense ratio
|
|
|
25.3%
|
|
|
|
28.5%
|
|
Effect of reinsurance
|
|
|
2.8%
|
|
|
|
3.6%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total net expense ratio
|
|
|
28.1%
|
|
|
|
32.1%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Changes in the acquisition and operating and administrative
ratios to gross earned premiums and the impact of reinsurance on
net earned premiums by segment for each of the three months
ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 are shown in the
following table:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the three months ended September 30, 2008
|
|
|
For the three months ended September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
Property
|
|
|
Casualty
|
|
|
International
|
|
|
U.S.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property
|
|
|
Casualty
|
|
|
International
|
|
|
U.S.
|
|
|
|
|
Ratios based on Gross Earned Premium
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Policy acquisition expense ratio
|
|
|
15.4
|
%
|
|
|
14.6
|
%
|
|
|
14.3
|
%
|
|
|
12.4
|
%
|
|
|
14.6
|
%
|
|
|
16.9
|
%
|
|
|
15.8
|
%
|
|
|
16.1
|
%
|
|
|
13.6
|
%
|
|
|
16.1
|
%
|
Operating and administrative expense ratio
|
|
|
9.7
|
|
|
|
8.4
|
|
|
|
11.4
|
|
|
|
19.5
|
|
|
|
10.7
|
|
|
|
12.2
|
|
|
|
11.0
|
|
|
|
10.5
|
|
|
|
28.0
|
|
|
|
12.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross expense ratio
|
|
|
25.1
|
|
|
|
23.0
|
|
|
|
25.7
|
|
|
|
31.9
|
|
|
|
25.3
|
|
|
|
29.1
|
|
|
|
26.8
|
|
|
|
26.6
|
|
|
|
41.6
|
|
|
|
28.5
|
|
Effect of reinsurance
|
|
|
2.3
|
|
|
|
0.2
|
|
|
|
4.3
|
|
|
|
10.1
|
|
|
|
2.8
|
|
|
|
5.8
|
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
|
3.1
|
|
|
|
16.1
|
|
|
|
3.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total net expense ratio
|
|
|
27.4
|
%
|
|
|
23.2
|
%
|
|
|
30.0
|
%
|
|
|
42.0
|
%
|
|
|
28.1
|
%
|
|
|
34.9
|
%
|
|
|
27.2
|
%
|
|
|
29.7
|
%
|
|
|
57.7
|
%
|
|
|
32.1
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35
The policy acquisition ratio, gross of the effect of
reinsurance, has decreased to 14.6% for the three months ended
September 30, 2008 from 16.1% for the comparative period in
2007. The overall reduction in the policy acquisition ratio is
primarily driven by the recognition in the prior year of
$6.0 million in profit commissions and no claims bonuses
compared to $1.1 million in the current year with the
remaining variance due to the impact of changes in the business
mix and the new lines in the international insurance segment
which incur lower average acquisition expenses.
Between the two periods we have experienced a $7.0 million
reduction in our operating and administrative expenses. The
decrease is due to a reduction in accruals for
performance-related compensation and favorable movements in the
exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar and British Pound which
reduces the Dollar value of Sterling denominated expenses.
Net investment income.
Net investment income
consists of interest on fixed income securities and the total
change in value of our hedge fund investments less investment
management fees. In the third quarter of 2008, we generated net
investment income of $19.3 million (2007
$72.4 million). The $53.1 million decrease in
investment income was primarily due to a loss of
$42.2 million from our investment in funds of hedge funds
compared to a $7.9 million contribution in the third
quarter of 2007 plus a reduction in yield from our fixed income
portfolio from 5.08% to 4.87%. The fixed income portfolio
duration decreased marginally from 3.6 years to
3.5 years and the average credit quality of our fixed
income book, is AAA, with 88% of the portfolio being
graded AA or higher.
Change in fair value of derivatives.
In the
three months ended September 30, 2008, we recorded a
reduction in the fair value of derivatives of $0.7 million
(2007 $2.7 million reduction). This included a
reduction of $2.1 million (2007
$1.9 million) in the estimated fair value of our credit
insurance contract less an adjustment of $1.4 million for
changes in foreign currency contracts which were previously
recorded in changes in fair value of derivatives and have now
been reclassified as realized foreign currency gains and losses.
In the three months ended September 30, 2007, a charge of
$0.8 million for a catastrophe swap which expired on
August 20, 2007 was also included. In addition, we hold
foreign currency derivative contracts to purchase
$90.5 million of U.S. and foreign currencies during 2008.
The foreign currency contracts are recorded as derivatives at
fair value with changes recorded as a realized foreign exchange
gain or loss in our statement of operations. For the three
months ended September 30, 2008, the impact of foreign
currency contracts on net income is a charge of
$2.4 million (2007 $0.8 million). Further
information on these contracts can be found in Notes 6 and
7 to the financial statements.
Other-than-temporary
impairments.
We review all of our fixed
maturities for potential impairment each quarter based on
criteria including issuer-specific circumstances, credit ratings
actions and general macro-economic conditions. The process of
determining whether a decline in value is
other-than-temporary
requires considerable judgment. As part of the assessment
process we also evaluate our ability to hold any fixed maturity
security in an unrealized loss position until its market value
recovers to amortized cost. Once a security has been identified
as
other-than-temporarily
impaired, the amount of any impairment is determined by
reference to that securitys estimated fair value and
recorded as a charge to realized losses included in earnings.
In light of the recent turmoil in the financial markets we have
recognized an
other-than-temporary
impairment charge of $55.8 million in the three months
ended September 30, 2008, of which $34 million is
related to our holdings of Lehman where we wrote our
subordinated debt down to a par value of zero and our senior
debt down to 12.75% of its original par value. Although our
holdings in Lehman are in default, the market value for these
securities was derived based broker-dealer prices quoted at
September 30, 2008. Management believes that this valuation
is, in part, based on market expectations of future recoveries
for Lehmans bankruptcy proceedings.
Excluding our holdings in Lehman, we impaired several securities
in our investment portfolio that were not in default at
September 30, 2008. While such securities retained their
investment grade ratings, timely continuation of interest and
principal payments, they were priced at a significant discount
to cost. Notwithstanding our intent and ability to hold these
securities until maturity, and despite structures that indicate
that a substantial amount of the securities should continue to
perform in accordance with original terms, we could not assert
that the recovery period would be temporary under the current
accounting standards.
Income before tax.
In the third quarter of
2008, we reported a $145.9 million loss before tax which
comprised a $101.2 million underwriting loss,
$19.3 million in net investment income, $2.7 million
of net foreign exchange losses, $58.1 million of realized
investment losses, $3.8 million of interest expense and
$0.6 million of other income. In the third quarter of 2007,
income before tax was $137.9 million and comprised
$65.1 million of underwriting profit, $72.4 million in
net investment income, $7.3 million of net exchange and
investment gains, $4.2 million of interest expense and
$2.7 million of other expenses. Our lower profit in the
quarter compared to the
36
prior period was mainly due to hurricane related claims, lower
reserve releases, an adverse performance from our investments in
funds of hedge funds and other-than-temporary impairment charges.
Income tax expense.
Income tax for the three
months ended September 30, 2008 was a credit of
$19.8 million. Our effective consolidated tax rate for the
three months ended September 30, 2008 was a tax credit of
13.6% (2007 15.0%) due to the impact of underwriting
and investment losses in the quarter. As required by FAS 109 and
APB 28, the credit represents an estimate of the tax adjustment
required to bring the year to date tax rate in line with the
rate which we estimate will apply to our pre-tax income for the
full year 2008. As discussed in the Overview above,
the effective tax rate may be subject to revision.
Net income after tax.
Net loss after tax for
the three months ended September 30, 2008 was
$126.1 million, equivalent to a $1.63 basic and diluted
loss per ordinary share adjusted for the $6.9 million
preference share dividends and on the basis of the weighted
average number of ordinary shares in issue during the three
months ended September 30, 2008. The net income for the
three months ended September 30, 2007 was
$117.2 million equivalent to basic earnings per ordinary
share of $1.24 and fully diluted earnings per share of $1.21.
Results
of Operations for the Nine Months ended September 30, 2008
Compared to the Nine Months Ended September 30,
2007
The following is a discussion and analysis of our consolidated
results of operations for the nine months ended
September 30, 2008 and 2007 starting with a discussion of
segmental results and then summarizing our consolidated results
under Total Income Statement Nine months ended
September 30, 2008 below.
Underwriting
Results by Operating Segments
Please refer to the tables in Note 4 in our unaudited
financial statements of this report for a summary of gross and
net written and earned premiums, underwriting results and
combined ratios and reserves for each of our four business
segments for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and
2007.
The contributions of each segment to gross written premiums in
the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 were as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
Business Segment
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
% of total gross written premiums
|
|
|
Property reinsurance
|
|
|
32.4%
|
|
|
|
34.5%
|
|
Casualty reinsurance
|
|
|
20.3%
|
|
|
|
25.1%
|
|
International insurance
|
|
|
40.8%
|
|
|
|
33.9%
|
|
U.S. insurance
|
|
|
6.5%
|
|
|
|
6.5%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100.0%
|
|
|
|
100.0%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
Business Segment
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Property reinsurance
|
|
$
|
507.5
|
|
|
$
|
521.9
|
|
Casualty reinsurance
|
|
|
318.6
|
|
|
|
380.2
|
|
International insurance
|
|
|
639.0
|
|
|
|
513.2
|
|
U.S. insurance
|
|
|
101.2
|
|
|
|
98.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
1,566.3
|
|
|
$
|
1,513.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property
Reinsurance
For a description of our property reinsurance segment, refer to
Results of Operations for the Three Months Ended
September 30, 2008 Compared to the Three Months Ended
September 30, 2007 Property Reinsurance.
Gross written premiums.
Gross written premiums
in our property reinsurance segment decreased by 2.8% compared
to the nine months ended September 30, 2007. This reduction
reflects softening markets through the period prior to the
September hurricanes, increased competition and the non-renewal
of a number of accounts that no longer meet our internal
profitability requirements. This was partially offset by the
recognition of $12.5 million
37
of reinstatement premiums following Hurricanes Ike and Gustav
and favorable prior year estimated premium adjustments for the
treaty risk excess and property facultative business lines.
The table below shows our gross written premiums for each line
of business for the nine months ended September 30, 2008
and 2007, and the percentage change in gross written premiums
for each such line:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
Lines of Business
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
% increase/(decrease)
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Treaty catastrophe
|
|
$
|
255.8
|
|
|
|
(3.1
|
)%
|
|
$
|
263.9
|
|
Treaty risk excess
|
|
|
106.2
|
|
|
|
(15.2
|
)
|
|
|
125.3
|
|
Treaty pro rata
|
|
|
105.7
|
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
|
105.3
|
|
Property facultative
|
|
|
39.8
|
|
|
|
45.3
|
|
|
|
27.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
507.5
|
|
|
|
(2.8
|
)%
|
|
$
|
521.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and loss adjustment expenses.
The net
loss ratio for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 was
61.9% compared to 40.4% in 2007 due to the recognition of
$131.2 million of hurricane losses in the third quarter
partially mitigated by a $29.1 million increase in prior
year reserve releases compared to the prior period. The loss
ratio in 2007 was adversely affected by $23.8 million of
losses associated with winter storm Kyrill, $17.0 million
of losses from the U.K. floods and $7.1 million of losses
from a U.S. tornado. The current period has experienced a high
incidence of risk losses in addition to hurricane losses. The
segment benefited from $19.5 million of prior year reserve
releases in the period compared to a $9.6 million prior
year reserve strengthening in 2007. Further information relating
to the movement of prior year reserves is found below under
Reserves for Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses.
Policy acquisition, operating and administrative
expenses.
Total expenses were $122.6 million
for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 equivalent to
31.5% of net premiums earned (2007 31.5%). Policy
acquisition expenses have decreased from $83.9 million in
2007 to $72.9 million in 2008, mainly as a result of a
5.6 percentage point reduction in gross earned premium as
well as a $4.2 million reduction in accruals for profit
commission. Operating and administrative expenses have remained
static year on year; however, our underlying cost base has
increased due to the establishment of our Zurich branch and
through incremental salary increases, but accruals for
performance-related compensation have reduced.
Casualty
Reinsurance
For a description of our casualty reinsurance segment, refer to
Results of Operations for the Three Months Ended
September 30, 2008 Compared to the Three Months Ended
September 30, 2007 Casualty Reinsurance.
Gross written premiums.
The 16.2% decrease in
gross written premiums is our response to the challenging market
conditions in addition to prior period premium reductions in our
non-U.S. and U.S. treaty business. Premium increased in our
facultative business following the reorganization of the
business and its relocation from New Jersey to Connecticut in
2007.
The table below shows our gross written premiums for each line
of business for the nine months ended September 30, 2008
and 2007, and the percentage change in gross written premiums
for each such line.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
Lines of Business
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
% increase/(decrease)
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
U.S. treaty
|
|
$
|
196.6
|
|
|
|
(18.1
|
)%
|
|
$
|
240.1
|
|
Non-U.S.
|
|
|
110.5
|
|
|
|
(15.7
|
)
|
|
|
131.1
|
|
Casualty facultative
|
|
|
11.5
|
|
|
|
27.8
|
|
|
|
9.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
318.6
|
|
|
|
(16.2
|
)%
|
|
$
|
380.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and loss adjustment expenses.
Losses
and loss adjustment expenses decreased by 21.6% in 2008 compared
to the equivalent period in 2007, due to an 18.4% reduction in
gross earned premium and a $29.0 million increase in prior
year reserve releases. The reserve releases reflected favorable
loss experience from the international casualty and U.S.
casualty reinsurance business lines and the impact from
commuting certain U.S. casualty contracts. The 2008 year
has suffered from the recognition of an additional
$10 million provision against potential
38
losses as a result of the ongoing financial crisis. Prior year
reserve movements are further discussed below under
Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses.
Policy acquisition, operating and administrative
expenses.
Total expenses were $78.8 million for the
nine months ended September 30, 2008 equivalent to 26.9% of
net premiums earned (2006 25.3%). The acquisition
expense ratio has remained unchanged year on year but the
expense ratio has increased from 9.5% in 2007 to 11.2% in 2008
due to the effect of the reduction in earned premium. Operating
costs have reduced by $1.1 million year on year due to a
reduction in accruals for performance related compensation and
favorable movements in the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar
and British Pound applied to Sterling denominated expenses.
International
Insurance
For a description of our international insurance segment, refer
to Results of Operations for the Three Months Ended
September 30, 2008 Compared to the Three Months Ended
September 30, 2007 International
Insurance.
Gross written premiums.
Overall premiums have
increased by $125.8 million in the period compared to the
nine months ended September 30, 2007, mainly due to the
$143.7 million of premium contributed by our newer lines of
business. Written premium for existing lines decreased by
$17.9 million mainly due to energy property insurance which
experienced reducing rates and specialty reinsurance which
suffered from a prior year premium adjustment. We have reduced
our premiums written in U.K. commercial liability due to
continuing rate pressure and our decision to decline business
that does not meet our internal profitability requirements.
The table below shows our gross written premiums for each line
of business for the nine months ended September 30, 2008
and 2007, and the percentage change in gross written premiums
for each line:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
Lines of Business
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
% increase/(decrease)
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Marine and specialty liability insurance
|
|
$
|
116.3
|
|
|
|
7.3
|
%
|
|
$
|
108.4
|
|
Energy property insurance
|
|
|
87.4
|
|
|
|
(7.5
|
)
|
|
|
94.5
|
|
Marine hull
|
|
|
46.8
|
|
|
|
2.2
|
|
|
|
45.8
|
|
Aviation insurance
|
|
|
53.6
|
|
|
|
(12.3
|
)
|
|
|
61.1
|
|
U.K. commercial property
|
|
|
46.2
|
|
|
|
8.5
|
|
|
|
42.6
|
|
U.K. commercial liability
|
|
|
60.5
|
|
|
|
(17.7
|
)
|
|
|
73.5
|
|
Non-marine and transportation liability
|
|
|
30.1
|
|
|
|
NM
|
*
|
|
|
|
|
Professional liability
|
|
|
28.3
|
|
|
|
NM
|
*
|
|
|
|
|
Excess casualty
|
|
|
17.2
|
|
|
|
NM
|
*
|
|
|
|
|
Financial institutions
|
|
|
27.9
|
|
|
|
NM
|
*
|
|
|
|
|
Financial and political risk
|
|
|
31.3
|
|
|
|
NM
|
*
|
|
|
|
|
U.K. commercial property construction
|
|
|
8.9
|
|
|
|
NM
|
*
|
|
|
|
|
International commercial directors and officers
insurance
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NM
|
*
|
|
|
|
|
Specialty reinsurance
|
|
|
84.5
|
|
|
|
(3.2
|
)
|
|
|
87.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
639.0
|
|
|
|
24.5
|
%
|
|
$
|
513.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*
|
Not Meaningful these lines of business were not
operational at September 30, 2007.
|
Losses and loss adjustment expenses.
The loss
ratio for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 was
68.5% compared to 56.1% in 2007. In 2008, the segment was
impacted by hurricane losses of $39.8 million, a
$15.9 million pollution loss in France, a $6.4 million
U.S. rail loss and a $6.4 million satellite loss. In 2007,
the segment suffered a $14.0 million loss following a
shipping collision, an aviation loss of $10.1 million and
an $8.1 million loss following the failure of the Sealaunch
satellite launch vehicle. In addition to the increase in large
losses in 2008 the segment was also impacted by a reduction in
prior year reserve releases of $40.0 million which
increased the loss ratio variance. Prior year reserve releases
are further discussed under Reserves for Losses and Loss
Expenses.
Policy acquisition, operating and administrative
expenses.
Total expenses were $138.7 million
for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 equivalent to
29.4% of net premiums earned (2007 27.9%). The
acquisition expense ratio has reduced by 0.7 percentage
points in the period due in part to a $4.8 million
reduction in profit commission accruals but also due to the
change in business mix following the introduction of new lines
which incur lower acquisition expenses.
39
Operating and administrative expenses have increased by
$13.0 million compared to the nine months ended
September 30, 2007 mainly due to increases in personnel
costs associated with the establishment of our Dublin branch,
direct costs of the new underwriting teams and our entry into
Lloyds. This was partially offset by a reduction in
accruals for performance-related compensation and favorable
movements in the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar and
British Pound applied to Sterling denominated expenses.
U.S.
Insurance
We write U.S. property and casualty insurance on an excess and
surplus lines basis.
Gross written premiums.
Gross written premiums
increased by 3.1% compared to the prior period of 2007 due to
increased property business compensating for reduced casualty
premium as a result of competition and business being declined
due to rate inadequacy. We have repositioned the property book
in 2007 which has resulted in an increase in gross written
premium in the period.
The table below shows our gross written premiums for each line
of business for the nine months ended September 30, 2008
and 2007, and the percentage change in gross written premiums
for each such line:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross written premiums
|
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
Lines of Business
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
% increase/(decrease)
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
U.S. property
|
|
$
|
42.3
|
|
|
|
23.3
|
%
|
|
$
|
34.3
|
|
U.S. casualty
|
|
|
58.9
|
|
|
|
(7.8
|
)
|
|
|
63.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
101.2
|
|
|
|
3.1
|
%
|
|
$
|
98.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and loss adjustment expenses.
Losses
for the period have increased by only $2.7 million despite
the 2008 year suffering from $15.0 million of losses
associated with Hurricanes Ike and Gustav. The comparative
period suffered from a significant number of medium-sized
commercial property losses. In addition, the current period has
benefited from a prior period reserve release of
$8.1 million whereas the comparative quarter of 2007
recognized $3.5 million of reserve releases.
Policy acquisition, operating and administrative
expenses.
Policy acquisition expenses have
decreased by $2.8 million due to a reduction in earned
premiums although the commission ratio has reduced only slightly
due to changes in business mix between property and casualty
insurance. Operating and administrative expenses have reduced by
$0.8 million due primarily to a reduction in profit related
remuneration but the expense ratio continues to be adversely
impacted in the short-term as a result of the investment we have
made to rebuild the book and reshape our U.S. operations.
Total
Income Statement Nine months ended
September 30, 2008
Our statements of operations consolidate the underwriting
results of our four segments and include certain other revenue
and expense items that are not allocated to the business
segments.
Gross written premiums.
We wrote more business
in the first nine months of 2008 than in the corresponding
period of 2007 as a result of premiums written by our newer
lines in our international insurance segment. On a like for like
basis, premiums have reduced as a result of the prevailing less
favorable pricing environment in some lines of business, such as
U.S. casualty reinsurance and property reinsurance.
Reinsurance ceded.
Our ceded reinsurance
premiums of $136.9 million are 28.4% lower than the
corresponding period of 2007, as we had taken the opportunity to
purchase property covers at favorable prices for two wind
seasons in 2007. This was partially offset by our reinsurance
purchases in 2008 for our new lines of business and
$7.4 million of reinstatement costs following Hurricanes
Ike and Gustav.
Gross premiums earned
Gross premiums earned in
2008 decreased by 5.5% compared to 2007 primarily as a result of
the reduction in business written in the property reinsurance
and casualty reinsurance segments.
Net premiums earned.
Net premiums earned have
decreased by 6.6% in 2008 compared to 2007. This is greater than
the reduction in gross earned premiums due to costs from
multi-year property reinsurance purchased in the third quarter
of 2007, the recognition of reinstatement costs following
Hurricanes Ike and Gustav, prior year ceded premium re-estimates
and reinsurance costs for our new lines of business.
Losses and loss adjustment expenses.
Net
losses have increased by $90.8 million compared to 2007 due
to the recognition of $186.0 million of hurricane losses,
net of reinsurance recoveries, offset in part by a reduction in
40
earned premiums and a lower incidence of large losses in the
period compared to 2007 and a $22.7 million increase in
prior year reserve releases. Further information relating to
movements in prior year reserves can be found below under
Reserves for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses.
The underlying changes in loss ratios by segment are shown in
the table below. The prior year adjustments in the table below
reflect claims development and do not reflect the impact of
prior year premium adjustments. The hurricane claims adjustment
in the table below reflects hurricane claim estimates and does
not reflect the impact of reinstatement premium adjustments.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ratio Excluding
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior Year
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior Year
|
|
|
Hurricane
|
|
|
Reserve and
|
|
|
|
Total Loss
|
|
|
Claims
|
|
|
Claims
|
|
|
Hurricane
|
|
For the nine months ended September 30, 2008
|
|
Ratio
|
|
|
Adjustment
|
|
|
Adjustment
|
|
|
Adjustments
|
|
|
Property reinsurance
|
|
|
61.9%
|
|
|
|
5.0%
|
|
|
|
(33.7
|
)%
|
|
|
33.2%
|
|
Casualty reinsurance
|
|
|
65.3%
|
|
|
|
16.4%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
81.7%
|
|
International insurance
|
|
|
68.5%
|
|
|
|
4.2%
|
|
|
|
(8.4
|
)%
|
|
|
64.3%
|
|
U.S. insurance
|
|
|
77.6%
|
|
|
|
11.8%
|
|
|
|
(21.9
|
)%
|
|
|
67.5%
|
|
Total
|
|
|
66.1%
|
|
|
|
7.8%
|
|
|
|
(15.2
|
)%
|
|
|
58.7%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ratio Excluding
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior Year
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior Year
|
|
|
Hurricane
|
|
|
Reserve and
|
|
|
|
Total Loss
|
|
|
Claims
|
|
|
Claims
|
|
|
Hurricane
|
|
For the nine months ended September 30, 2007
|
|
Ratio
|
|
|
Adjustment
|
|
|
Adjustment
|
|
|
Adjustments
|
|
|
Property reinsurance
|
|
|
40.4%
|
|
|
|
(2.3
|
)%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
38.1%
|
|
Casualty reinsurance
|
|
|
68.7%
|
|
|
|
5.3
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
74.1%
|
|
International insurance
|
|
|
56.1%
|
|
|
|
13.3
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
69.4%
|
|
U.S. insurance
|
|
|
61.9%
|
|
|
|
4.2
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
66.1%
|
|
Total
|
|
|
54.8%
|
|
|
|
5.6
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60.4%
|
|
Expenses.
We monitor the ratio of expenses to
gross earned premium (the gross expense ratio) as a
measure of the cost effectiveness of our policy acquisition,
operating and administrative processes. The table below presents
the contribution of the policy acquisition expenses and
operating and administrative expenses to the expense ratio and
the total expense ratios for the nine months ended
September 30, 2008 and 2007. We also show the effect of
reinsurance which impacts on the reported net expense ratio by
expressing the expenses as a proportion of net earned premiums.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Expense Ratios
|
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2008
|
|
|
September 30, 2007
|
|
|
Policy acquisition expenses
|
|
|
15.7%
|
|
|
|
16.5%
|
|
Operating and administrative expenses
|
|
|
11.8%
|
|
|
|
10.4%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross expense ratio
|
|
|
27.5%
|
|
|
|
26.9%
|
|
Effect of reinsurance
|
|
|
2.9%
|
|
|
|
2.4%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total net expense ratio
|
|
|
30.4%
|
|
|
|
29.3%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Changes in the acquisition and operating and administrative
ratios to gross earned premiums and the impact of reinsurance on
net earned premiums by segment for each of the nine months ended
September 30, 2008 and 2007 are shown in the following
table:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the nine months ended September 30, 2008
|
|
|
For the nine months ended September 30, 2007
|
|
|
|
Property
|
|
|
Casualty
|
|
|
International
|
|
|
U.S.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property
|
|
|
Casualty
|
|
|
International
|
|
|
U.S.
|
|
|
|
|
Ratios based on Gross Earned Premium
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Insurance
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
Policy acquisition expense ratio
|
|
|
16.7
|
%
|
|
|
15.5
|
%
|
|
|
15.2
|
%
|
|
|
14.2
|
%
|
|
|
15.7
|
%
|
|
|
18.1
|
%
|
|
|
15.5
|
%
|
|
|
16.1
|
%
|
|
|
14.4
|
%
|
|
|
16.5
|
%
|
Operating and administrative expense ratio
|
|
|
11.4
|
|
|
|
11.0
|
|
|
|
11.0
|
|
|
|
21.6
|
|
|
|
11.8
|
|
|
|
10.7
|
|
|
|
9.3
|
|
|
|
9.1
|
|
|
|
18.6
|
|
|
|
10.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross expense ratio
|
|
|
28.1
|
|
|
|
26.5
|
|
|
|
26.2
|
|
|
|
35.8
|
|
|
|
27.5
|
|
|
|
28.8
|
|
|
|
24.8
|
|
|
|
25.2
|
|
|
|
33.0
|
|
|
|
26.9
|
|
Effect of reinsurance
|
|
|
3.4
|
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
|
3.2
|
|
|
|
9.7
|
|
|
|
2.9
|
|
|
|
2.7
|
|
|
|
0.5
|
|
|
|
2.7
|
|
|
|
9.7
|
|
|
|
2.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total net expense ratio
|
|
|
31.5
|
%
|
|
|
26.9
|
%
|
|
|
29.4
|
%
|
|
|
45.5
|
%
|
|
|
30.4
|
%
|
|
|
31.5
|
%
|
|
|
25.3
|
%
|
|
|
27.9
|
%
|
|
|
42.7
|
%
|
|
|
29.3
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
41
The policy acquisition ratio, gross of the effect of
reinsurance, has reduced to 15.7% for the nine months ended
September 30, 2008 from 16.5% for the comparative period in
2007. The reduction is driven mainly by the $8.6 million
reduction in profit commissions accruals in the property
reinsurance and international insurance segments.
Between the two periods we have experienced an
$11.2 million increase in our operating and administrative
expenses due to increases in personnel and accommodation costs
resulting from the introduction of new teams and an increase in
I.T. infrastructure costs associated with the enhancements of
our systems offset by a reduction in accruals for
performance-related remuneration.
Net investment income.
Net investment income
consists of interest on fixed income securities and the total
change in value of our hedge fund investments less investment
management fees. In 2008, we generated net investment income of
$128.9 million (2007 $218.7 million). The
$89.8 million decrease in investment income was primarily
due to losses from our investment in funds of hedge funds
compared to gains in the comparable period of 2007. During the
period, the book yield on our fixed income portfolio has
decreased to 4.81% compared to 5.05% in 2007 and the fixed
income portfolio duration increased from 3.4 years to
3.5 years. Net investment income in 2008 also included a
one-off negative accounting adjustment of $7.8 million
relating to 2007.
Change in fair value of derivatives.
In the
nine months ended September 30, 2008, we recorded a
reduction in the fair value of derivatives of $5.9 million
(2007 $8.1 million reduction). This included a
reduction of $5.9 million (2007
$5.7 million) in the estimated fair value of our credit
insurance contract and in the nine months ended
September 30, 2007 a charge for a catastrophe swap which
expired on August 20, 2007 of $2.4 million. In
addition, we hold foreign currency derivative contracts to
purchase $90.5 million of U.S. and foreign currencies
during 2008. The foreign currency contracts are recorded as
derivatives at fair value with changes recorded as a realized
foreign exchange gain or loss in our statement of operations.
For the nine months ended September 30, 2008, the impact of
foreign currency contracts on net income is a charge of
$3.8 million (2007 $0.8 million). Further
information on these contracts can be found in Note 6 and 7
to the financial statements.
Other-than-temporary
impairments.
We review all of our fixed
maturities for potential impairment each quarter based on
criteria including issuer-specific circumstances, credit ratings
actions and general macro-economic conditions. The process of
determining whether a decline in value is
other-than-temporary
requires considerable judgment. As part of the assessment
process we also evaluate our ability to hold any fixed maturity
security in an unrealized loss position until its market value
recovers to amortized cost. Once a security has been identified
as
other-than-temporarily
impaired, the amount of any impairment is determined by
reference to that securitys estimated fair value and
recorded as a charge to realized losses included in earnings.
In light of the recent turmoil in the financial markets we have
recognized an
other-than-temporary
impairment charge of $55.8 million in the nine months ended
September 30, 2008, of which $34 million is related to
our holdings of Lehman where we wrote our subordinated debt down
to a par value of zero and our senior debt down to 12.75% of its
original par value. Although our holdings in Lehman are in
default, the market value for these securities was derived based
broker-dealer prices quoted at September 30, 2008.
Management believes that this valuation is, in part, based on
market expectations of future recoveries for Lehmans
bankruptcy proceedings.
Excluding our holdings in Lehman, we impaired several securities
in our investment portfolio that were not in default at
September 30, 2008. While such securities retained their
investment grade ratings, timely continuation of interest and
principal payments, they were priced at a significant discount
to cost. Notwithstanding our intent and ability to hold these
securities until maturity, and despite structures that indicate
that a substantial amount of the securities should continue to
perform in accordance with original terms, we could not assert
that the recovery period would be temporary under the current
accounting standards.
Income before tax.
Income before tax for the
nine months ended September 30, 2008 was $98.8 million
and comprised $42.9 million of underwriting profit,
$128.9 million in net investment income, $3.4 million
of net foreign exchange losses, $56.3 million of net
realized investment losses, $11.7 million of interest
expense and $1.6 million of other expenses. In 2007, income
before tax was $416.2 million and comprised
$208.0 million of underwriting profit, $218.7 million
in net investment income, $10.4 million of net exchange and
investment gains, $12.8 million of interest expense and
$8.1 million of other expenses. Our lower investment income
in 2008 compared to the prior period was mainly due to the
adverse performance from our funds of hedge fund investments and
a $7.8 million prior year accounting adjustment.
Income tax expense.
Income tax expense for the
nine months ended September 30, 2008 was
$16.8 million. Our consolidated tax rate for the nine
months ended September 30, 2008 was 17.0% (2007
15.0%). As required by FAS 109 and APB 28, the charge represents
an estimate of the tax rate which will apply to our pre-tax
income for 2008. As discussed in the Overview above,
the effective tax rate may be subject to revision.
42
Net income after tax.
Net income after tax for
the nine months ended September 30, 2008 was
$82.0 million, equivalent to $0.73 basic earnings per
ordinary share adjusted for the $20.8 million preference
share dividends and $0.71 fully diluted earnings per ordinary
share adjusted for the preference share dividends and on the
basis of the weighted average number of ordinary shares in issue
during the nine months ended September 30, 2008. The net
income for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 was
$353.8 million equivalent to basic earnings per ordinary
share of $3.77 and fully diluted earnings per share of $3.67.
Reserves
for Losses and Loss Expenses
As of September 30, 2008, we had total net loss and loss
adjustment expense reserves of $2,840.4 million
(December 31, 2007 $2,641.3 million). This
amount represented our best estimate of the ultimate liability
for payment of losses and loss adjustment expenses. Of the total
gross reserves for unpaid losses of $3,081.9 million at the
balance sheet date of September 30, 2008, a total of
$1,794.8 million or 58.2% represented IBNR claims
(December 31, 2007 $2,946.0 million and
54.7%, respectively). The following tables analyze gross and net
loss and loss adjustment expense reserves by segment.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at September 30, 2008
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
|
|
Business Segment
|
|
Gross
|
|
|
Recoverable
|
|
|
Net
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Property reinsurance
|
|
$
|
543.3
|
|
|
$
|
(47.7
|
)
|
|
$
|
495.6
|
|
Casualty reinsurance
|
|
|
1,331.4
|
|
|
|
(6.7
|
)
|
|
|
1,324.7
|
|
International insurance
|
|
|
1,010.4
|
|
|
|
(124.1
|
)
|
|
|
886.3
|
|
U.S. insurance
|
|
|
196.8
|
|
|
|
(63.0
|
)
|
|
|
133.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total losses and loss expense reserves
|
|
$
|
3,081.9
|
|
|
$
|
(241.5
|
)
|
|
$
|
2,840.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at December 31, 2007
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance
|
|
|
|
|
Business Segment
|
|
Gross
|
|
|
Recoverable
|
|
|
Net
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Property reinsurance
|
|
$
|
537.5
|
|
|
$
|
(78.2
|
)
|
|
$
|
459.3
|
|
Casualty reinsurance
|
|
|
1,276.3
|
|
|
|
(13.7
|
)
|
|
|
1,262.6
|
|
International insurance
|
|
|
999.2
|
|
|
|
(139.2
|
)
|
|
|
860.0
|
|
U.S. insurance
|
|
|
133.0
|
|
|
|
(73.6
|
)
|
|
|
59.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total losses and loss expense reserves
|
|
$
|
2,946.0
|
|
|
$
|
(304.7
|
)
|
|
$
|
2,641.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The reduction in reinsurance recoverables is due to the
continuing settlement of losses associated with Hurricanes
Katrina, Rita and Wilma.
For the nine months ended September 30, 2008, there was a
reduction of our estimate of the ultimate net claims to be paid
in respect of prior accident years of $95.6 million. An
analysis of this reduction by line of business is as follows for
each of the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008
and 2007:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
For the nine months ended
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
Business Segment
|
|
2008
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
2008
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Property reinsurance
|
|
$
|
3.3
|
|
|
$
|
(0.7
|
)
|
|
$
|
19.5
|
|
|
$
|
(9.6
|
)
|
Casualty reinsurance
|
|
|
9.7
|
|
|
|
1.6
|
|
|
|
48.0
|
|
|
|
19.0
|
|
International insurance
|
|
|
1.9
|
|
|
|
24.1
|
|
|
|
20.0
|
|
|
|
60.0
|
|
U.S. insurance
|
|
|
0.7
|
|
|
|
3.5
|
|
|
|
8.1
|
|
|
|
3.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Losses and loss expense reserves reductions
|
|
$
|
15.6
|
|
|
$
|
28.5
|
|
|
$
|
95.6
|
|
|
$
|
72.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The key elements which gave rise to the net favorable
development during the three months ended September 30,
2008 were as follows:
Property Reinsurance:
The $3.3 million
reserve release in this segment was largely due to continued
decreases in loss estimates for the 2007 U.K. floods with some
overall good experience on the balance of the account. Ultimate
claim estimates for the 2004 and 2005 major hurricanes are
largely unchanged in the nine months ended September 30,
2008.
43
Casualty Reinsurance.
The $9.7 million
reserve release in our casualty reinsurance segment is
attributable to reserve releases on our international casualty
reinsurance business line. Of the total release,
$2.9 million is due to the release of reserves following
the settlement of a specific claim and the balance comes from a
release of 2006 and prior accident year reserves for the
financial institutions sub-class where there has been less
claims development than anticipated for those years.
International Insurance.
The $1.9 million
reduction in the net reserves in this segment was a result of
several factors. These include a release of $4.3 million
from the U.K. liability business line from favorable claim
settlements and releases of approximately $1.0 million each from
the specialty reinsurance, marine hull and U.K. commercial
property lines, which compensate for a $5.1 million
increase in reserves for the marine and specialty liability
business line and deterioration on the aviation account of
$1.7 million.
U.S. Insurance.
The net release comes from the
casualty account where experience continues to be better than
expected offsetting a small $0.7 million deterioration on
the property account.
We did not make any significant changes in assumptions used in
our reserving process. However, because the period of time we
have been in operation is relatively short, our loss experience
is limited and reliable evidence of changes in trends of numbers
of claims incurred, average settlement amounts, numbers of
claims outstanding and average losses per claim will necessarily
take years to develop.
For a more detailed description see Managements
Discussion and Analysis Critical Accounting
Policies and Managements Discussion and
Analysis Reserves for Losses and Loss Adjustment
Expenses, included in our 2007 Annual Report on
Form 10-K
filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.
Valuation
of Investments
Valuation of Fixed Income and Short Term Available for Sale
Investments.
All of the fixed income securities
are traded in the over-the-counter market based on prices
provided by one or more market makers in each security. In
addition, there are readily observable market value indicators
such as expected credit spread. We use a variety of pricing
sources to value our fixed income securities including those
securities that have pay down/prepay features such as
mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities in order
to ensure fair and accurate pricing. The fair value estimates of
the securities in our portfolio are not sensitive to significant
unobservable inputs or modeling techniques.
Valuation of Other Investments.
The value of
our investments in funds of hedge funds is based upon monthly
net asset values reported by the underlying funds to our funds
of hedge fund managers. The financial statements of our funds of
hedge funds are subject to independent annual audits evaluating
the net asset positions of the underlying investments. We
periodically review the performance of our funds of hedge funds
and evaluate the reasonableness of the valuations.
Other-than-temporary
impairment.
We review all of our fixed maturities
for potential impairment each quarter based on criteria
including issuer-specific circumstances, credit ratings actions
and general macro-economic conditions. The process of
determining whether a decline in value is
other-than-temporary
requires considerable judgment. As part of the assessment
process we also evaluate our ability to hold any fixed maturity
security in an unrealized loss position until its market value
recovers to amortized cost. Once a security has been identified
as
other-than-temporarily
impaired, the amount of any impairment is determined by
reference to that securitys estimated fair value and
recorded as a charge to realized losses included in earnings.
Capital
Management
On February 6, 2008, our Board authorized a new share
repurchase program for up to $300 million of ordinary
shares. The authorization covers the period to March 1,
2010. On May 13, 2008, we purchased $100 million of
our ordinary shares under our share repurchase program. We have
$200 million remaining under the program.
44
The following table shows our capital structure at
September 30, 2008 compared to December 31, 2007.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at
|
|
|
As at
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
2008
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Share capital, additional paid in capital and retained income
and accumulated other comprehensive income attributable to
ordinary shareholders
|
|
$
|
2,218.4
|
|
|
$
|
2,398.4
|
|
Preference shares (liquidation preference less issue expenses)
|
|
|
419.2
|
|
|
|
419.2
|
|
Long-term debt
|
|
|
249.5
|
|
|
|
249.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total capital
|
|
$
|
2,887.1
|
|
|
$
|
3,067.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Management monitors the ratio of debt to total capital, with
total capital being defined as shareholders equity plus
outstanding debt. At September 30, 2008, this ratio was 8.6
% (December 31, 2007 8.1%).
Our preference shares are classified in our balance sheet as
equity but may receive a different treatment in some cases under
the capital adequacy assessments made by certain rating
agencies. Such securities are often referred to as
hybrids as they have certain attributes of both debt
and equity. We also monitor the ratio of the total of debt and
hybrids to total capital which was 23.2% as of
September 30, 2008 (December 31, 2007
21.8%).
Access to capital.
Our business operations are
in part dependent on our financial strength and the
markets perception thereof, as measured by
shareholders equity, which was $2,637.6 million at
September 30, 2008 (December 31, 2007
$2,817.6 million). We believe our financial strength
provides us with the flexibility and capacity to obtain funds
through debt or equity financing. Our continuing ability to
access the capital markets is dependent on, among other things,
our operating results, the prevailing market conditions and our
perceived financial strength. We regularly monitor our capital
and financial position, as well as investment and security
market conditions, both in general and with respect to Aspen
Holdings securities. Our ordinary shares and all our
preference shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
Liquidity
Liquidity is a measure of a companys ability to generate
cash flows sufficient to meet short-term and long-term cash
requirements of its business operations. Management monitors the
liquidity of Aspen Holdings and of each of its Insurance
Subsidiaries and arranges credit facilities to enhance
short-term liquidity resources on a stand-by basis.
Holding company.
We monitor the ability of
Aspen Holdings to service debt, to finance dividend payments to
ordinary and preference shareholders and to provide financial
support to the Insurance Subsidiaries.
As at September 30, 2008, Aspen Holdings held
$25.0 million (December 31, 2007
$17.9 million) in cash and cash equivalents which, taken
together with dividends declared or expected to be declared by
subsidiary companies and our credit facilities, management
considered sufficient to provide Aspen Holdings liquidity at
such time.
In the nine months ended September 30, 2008, Aspen Bermuda
and Aspen U.K. Holdings paid Aspen Holdings dividends of
$25.0 million and $45.0 million, respectively. In the
nine months ended September 30, 2007, Aspen Bermuda paid
Aspen Holdings a dividend of $75.0 million. Aspen Holdings
also received interest of $27.4 million (2007
$19.50 million) from Aspen U.K. Holdings in respect of an
intercompany loan.
The ability of our Insurance Subsidiaries to pay us dividends or
other distributions is subject to the laws and regulations
applicable to each jurisdiction, as well as the Insurance
Subsidiaries need to maintain capital requirements
adequate to maintain their insurance and reinsurance operations
and their financial strength ratings issued by independent
rating agencies. For a discussion of the various restrictions on
our ability and our Insurance Subsidiaries ability to pay
dividends, see Part I, Item 1
Business Regulatory Matters in our 2007
Annual Report on
Form 10-K
filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.
In addition to its dividend capacity as at September 30,
2008, Aspen Bermuda could also make capital repayments to Aspen
Holdings of approximately $174 million without prior
approval from the Bermuda Monetary Authority. Aspen U.K. has
$150 million available for capital repayments to Aspen U.K.
Holdings which could in turn be used to fund repayments of loans
made by Aspen Holdings to Aspen U.K. Holdings.
Insurance subsidiaries.
As of
September 30, 2008, the Insurance Subsidiaries held
approximately $716.6 million (December 31,
2007 $902.7 million) in cash and short-term
investments that are readily realizable securities. Management
monitors the value, currency and duration of cash and
investments held by its
45
Insurance Subsidiaries to ensure that they are able to meet
their insurance and other liabilities as they become due and was
satisfied that there was a comfortable margin of liquidity as at
September 30, 2008 and for the foreseeable future.
On an ongoing basis, our Insurance Subsidiaries sources of
funds primarily consist of premiums written, investment income
and proceeds from sales and redemptions of investments.
Cash is used primarily to pay reinsurance premiums, losses and
loss adjustment expenses, brokerage commissions, general and
administrative expenses, taxes, interest and dividends and to
purchase new investments.
The potential for individual large claims and for accumulations
of claims from single events means that substantial and
unpredictable payments may need to be made within relatively
short periods of time.
We manage these risks by making regular forecasts of the timing
and amount of expected cash outflows and ensuring that we
maintain sufficient balances in cash and short-term investments
to meet these estimates. Notwithstanding this policy, if our
cash flow forecast is incorrect, we could be forced to liquidate
investments prior to maturity, potentially at a significant loss.
The liquidity of our Insurance Subsidiaries is also affected by
the terms of our contractual obligations to policyholders and by
undertakings to certain regulatory authorities to facilitate the
issue of letters of credit or maintain certain balances in trust
funds for the benefit of policyholders. The following table
shows the forms of collateral or other security provided to
policyholders as at September 30, 2008 and
December 31, 2007:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at
|
|
|
As at
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
2008
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions except percentages)
|
|
|
Assets held in multi-beneficiary trusts
|
|
$
|
1,450.3
|
|
|
$
|
1,422.5
|
|
Assets held in single beneficiary trusts
|
|
|
52.8
|
|
|
|
52.5
|
|
Letters of credit issued under our revolving credit
facilities
(1)
|
|
|
81.9
|
|
|
|
133.3
|
|
Secured letters of
credit
(2)
|
|
|
332.1
|
|
|
|
344.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
1,917.1
|
|
|
$
|
1,953.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total as % of cash and invested assets
|
|
|
32.5
|
%
|
|
|
33.2
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)
|
These letters of credit are not secured by cash or securities,
though they are secured by a pledge of the shares of certain of
the Companys subsidiaries under a pledge agreement.
|
|
(2)
|
As of September 30, 2008, the Company had funds on deposit
of $448.1 million and £35.5 million
(December 31, 2007 $367.2 million and
£49.3 million) as collateral for the secured letters
of credit.
|
Further information on these arrangements can be found in our
2007 Annual Report on
Form 10-K
filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.
Consolidated cash flows for the nine months ended
September 30, 2008.
Total net cash flow from
operations from December 31, 2007 through
September 30, 2008 was $444.3 million, a reduction of
$181.8 million over the comparative period. For the nine
months ended September 30, 2008, our cash flow from
operations provided us with sufficient liquidity to meet our
operating requirements. On February 29, 2008, May 27,
2008 and August 27, 2008 we paid a dividend of $0.15 per
ordinary share to shareholders of record on February 18,
2008, May 12, 2008 and August 12, 2008, respectively.
On October 1, 2008 dividends totaling $3.2 million on
our Perpetual Preferred Income Equity Replacement Securities
(Perpetual PIERS) were paid to our dividend
disbursing agent, for payment to our Perpetual PIERS holders on
September 15. On October 1, 2008 dividends totaling
$3.7 million on our Perpetual Non-Cumulative Preference
Shares (Perpetual Preference Shares) were paid to
our dividend disbursing agent, for payment to our Perpetual
Preference Share holders on June 15, 2008.
Credit Facility.
On August 2, 2005, we
entered into a five-year $400 million revolving credit
facility pursuant to a credit agreement dated as of
August 2, 2005 (the credit facilities) by and
among the Company, certain of our direct and indirect
subsidiaries (collectively, the Borrowers) the
lenders party thereto, Barclays Bank plc, as administrative
agent and letter of credit issuer, Bank of America, N.A. and
Calyon, New York Branch, as co-syndication agents, Credit
Suisse, Cayman Islands Branch and Deutsche Bank AG, New York
Branch, as co-documentation agents and The Bank of New York, as
collateral agent. On September 1, 2006, the aggregate limit
available under the credit facility was increased to
$450 million.
The credit facility can be used by any of the Borrowers to
provide funding for the Insurance Subsidiaries of the Company,
to finance the working capital needs of the Company and our
subsidiaries and for general corporate purposes of the Company
and our subsidiaries. The revolving credit facility provides for
a $250 million sub facility
46
for collateralized letters of credit. The credit facility will
expire on August 2, 2010. As of September 30, 2008, no
borrowings were outstanding under the credit facilities,
although we had $81.9 million of outstanding
uncollateralized letters of credit. The fees and interest rates
on the loans and the fees on the letters of credit payable by
the Borrowers increase based on the consolidated leverage ratio
of the Company.
Under the credit facility, we must maintain at all times a
consolidated tangible net worth of not less than approximately
$1.1 billion plus 50% of consolidated net income and 50% of
aggregate net cash proceeds from the issuance by the Company of
its capital stock, each as accrued from January 1, 2005. On
June 28, 2007, we amended the credit agreement to permit
dividend payments on existing and future hybrid capital
notwithstanding a default or event of default under the credit
agreement. On April 13, 2006, the agreement was amended to
remove any downward adjustment on maintaining the Companys
consolidated tangible net worth in the event of a net loss. We
must also not permit our consolidated leverage ratio of total
consolidated debt to consolidated tangible net worth to exceed
35%. In addition, the credit facilities contain other customary
affirmative and negative covenants as well as certain customary
events of default, including with respect to a change in
control. The various affirmative and negative covenants,
include, among others, covenants that, subject to important
exceptions, restrict the ability of the Company and its
subsidiaries to: create or permit liens on assets; engage in
mergers or consolidations; dispose of assets; pay dividends or
other distributions, purchase or redeem the Companys
equity securities or those of its subsidiaries and make other
restricted payments; permit the rating of any insurance
subsidiary to fall below A.M. Best Company (A.M.
Best) financial strength rating of B++ or
Standard & Poors (S&P) financial
strength rating of A− ; make certain investments; agree
with others to limit the ability of the Companys
subsidiaries to pay dividends or other restricted payments or to
make loans or transfer assets to the Company or another of its
subsidiaries. The credit facilities also include covenants that
restrict the ability of our subsidiaries to incur indebtedness
and guarantee obligations.
On October 29, 2008, Aspen Bermuda extended its letter of
credit facility with Citibank Europe Plc from $300 million
to $450 million.
Contractual
Obligations and Commitments
The following table summarizes our contractual obligations
(other than our obligations to employees, our Perpetual PIERS
and our Perpetual Preference Shares) under long-term debt,
operating leases and reserves relating to insurance and
reinsurance contracts as of September 30, 2008:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Later
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2008
|
|
|
2009
|
|
|
2010
|
|
|
2011
|
|
|
2012
|
|
|
Years
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
Operating Lease Obligations
|
|
$
|
1.8
|
|
|
|
7.3
|
|
|
|
7.3
|
|
|
|
7.3
|
|
|
|
6.9
|
|
|
|
37.3
|
|
|
$
|
67.9
|
|
Long-Term Debt
Obligations
(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
250.0
|
|
|
$
|
250.0
|
|
Reserves for Losses and loss adjustment
expenses
(2)
|
|
$
|
208.7
|
|
|
|
786.7
|
|
|
|
506.8
|
|
|
|
366.5
|
|
|
|
278.9
|
|
|
|
934.3
|
|
|
$
|
3,081.9
|
|
|
|
(1)
|
The long-term debt obligations disclosed above do not include
the $15 million annual interest payments on our outstanding
senior notes.
|
|
(2)
|
In estimating the time intervals into which payments of our
reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses fall, as set
out above, we have utilized actuarially assessed payment
patterns. By the nature of the insurance and reinsurance
contracts under which these liabilities are assumed, there can
be no certainty that actual payments will fall in the periods
shown and there could be a material acceleration or deceleration
of claims payments depending on factors outside our control.
This uncertainty is heightened by the short time in which we
have operated, thereby providing limited Company-specific claims
loss payment patterns. The total amount of payments in respect
of our reserves, as well as the timing of such payments, may
differ materially from our current estimates for the reasons set
out above under Critical Accounting
Policies-Reserves for Losses and Loss Expenses.
|
Further information on operating leases is given in our 2007
Annual Report on
Form 10-K
filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.
For a discussion of derivative instruments we have entered into,
please see Note 7 to our unaudited condensed consolidated
financial statements for the nine months ended
September 30, 2008 included elsewhere in this report.
Off-Balance
Sheet Arrangements
Ajax Re is a variable interest entity under the provisions of
FASB interpretation No. 46 (R). We have a variable interest
in the entity, however we are not the primary beneficiary of the
entity and therefore we are not required to consolidate its
results into our consolidated financial statements. For further
details on the Ajax Re transactions please see Note 6 to
the financial statements.
47
We are not party to any transaction, agreement or other
contractual arrangement to which an affiliated entity
unconsolidated with us is a party, other than that noted above
with Ajax Re, that management believes is reasonably likely to
have a current or future effect on our financial condition,
revenues or expenses, results of operations, liquidity, capital
expenditures or capital resources that is material to investors.
Ajax Re provides us with California earthquake coverage based on
modified industry losses, or indexed-based losses, with an
attachment level of $23.1 billion and an exhaustion level
of $25.9 billion. The indexed-based losses are derived from
industry personal lines losses, commercial lines losses and
automobile losses, each as calculated by PCS. We would recover
up to $100 million on a linear basis if we incurred losses
in such earthquake. The insurance cover expires on May 1,
2009.
In order to ensure that Ajax Re had sufficient funding to
service the LIBOR portion of interest due on the bonds issued by
Ajax Re, Ajax Re entered into a total return swap with Lehman
Financing, whereby Lehman Financing directed Ajax Re to invest
the proceeds from the bonds into permitted investments. Lehman
also provided a guarantee of Lehman Financings obligations
under the swap.
On September 15, 2008, Lehman filed for bankruptcy, which
is a termination event under the swap. Ajax Re terminated the
swap on September 16, 2008. To the extent that the current
market value of the underlying collateral held in trust is not
at least equal to the principal amount of the Ajax Re notes,
there would be a shortfall in the collateral account, from which
Aspen may not be able to fully recover losses due in the event
of a California earthquake. Nevertheless, Aspen remains within
its risk tolerances without benefit of this cover. We currently
expect the value of the collateral to be substantially less than
$100 million.
Effects
of Inflation
The effects of inflation could cause the severity of claims from
catastrophes or other events to rise in the future. Our
calculation of reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses
includes assumptions about future payments for settlement of
claims and claims-handling expenses, such as medical treatments
and litigation costs. We write casualty/liability business in
the United States, the United Kingdom and Australia, where
claims inflation has grown particularly strong in recent years.
To the extent inflation causes these costs to increase above
reserves established for these claims, we will be required to
increase our loss reserves with a corresponding reduction in
current period earnings.
Cautionary
Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This
Form 10-Q
contains, and the Company may from time to time make other
verbal or written, forward-looking statements within the meaning
of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended
(the Securities Act), and Section 21E of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, that involve risks
and uncertainties, including statements regarding our capital
needs, business strategy, expectations and intentions.
Statements that use the terms believe, do not
believe, anticipate, expect,
plan, estimate, project,
seek, will, may,
aim, continue, intend and
similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking
statements. These statements reflect our current views with
respect to future events and because our business is subject to
numerous risks, uncertainties and other factors, our actual
results could differ materially from those anticipated in the
forward-looking statements. The risks, uncertainties and other
factors set forth in the Companys 2007 Annual Report on
Form 10-K
filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and other
cautionary statements made in this report, as well as the
following factors, should be read and understood as being
applicable to all related forward-looking statements wherever
they appear in this report.
All forward-looking statements address matters that involve
risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, there are or will be
important factors that could cause actual results to differ
materially from those indicated in these statements. We believe
that these factors include, but are not limited to, the
following:
|
|
|
|
|
the impact of the deteriorating credit environment created by
the sub-prime crisis and the global credit crunch;
|
|
|
|
a decline in the value of our investment portfolio or a rating
downgrade of the securities in our portfolio;
|
|
|
|
in respect of hurricanes, such as Hurricanes Ike and Gustav, the
Companys reliance on loss reports received from cedents
and loss adjustors; our reliance on industry loss estimates and
those generated by modeling techniques; changes in assumptions
on flood damage exclusions as a result of prevailing lawsuits
and case law, any changes in our reinsurers credit
quality; and the amount and timing of reinsurance recoverables
and reimbursements actually received by us from our reinsurers;
|
48
|
|
|
|
|
our ability to execute our business plan to enter new markets,
introduce new products and develop new distribution channels,
including their integration into our existing operations;
|
|
|
|
the impact that our future operating results, capital position
and rating agency and other considerations have on the execution
of any capital management initiatives;
|
|
|
|
the impact of any capital management initiatives on our
financial condition;
|
|
|
|
the impact of acts of terrorism and related legislation and acts
of war;
|
|
|
|
the possibility of greater frequency or severity of claims and
loss activity, including as a result of natural or man-made
catastrophic events, than our underwriting, reserving,
reinsurance purchasing or investment practices have anticipated;
|
|
|
|
evolving interpretive issues with respect to coverage after
major loss events;
|
|
|
|
the level of inflation in repair costs due to limited
availability of labor and materials after catastrophes;
|
|
|
|
the effectiveness of our loss limitation methods;
|
|
|
|
changes in the availability, cost or quality of reinsurance or
retrocessional coverage;
|
|
|
|
the reliability of, and changes in assumptions to, catastrophe
pricing, accumulation and estimated loss models;
|
|
|
|
loss of key personnel;
|
|
|
|
a decline in our operating subsidiaries ratings with
Standard & Poors, A.M. Best or Moodys
Investors Service;
|
|
|
|
changes in general economic conditions, including inflation,
foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates and other
factors that could affect our investment portfolio;
|
|
|
|
increased competition on the basis of pricing, capacity,
coverage terms or other factors and the related demand and
supply dynamics as contracts come up for renewal;
|
|
|
|
decreased demand for our insurance or reinsurance products and
cyclical downturn of the industry;
|
|
|
|
changes in governmental regulations or tax laws in jurisdictions
where we conduct business;
|
|
|
|
Aspen Holdings or Aspen Bermuda becoming subject to income taxes
in the United States or the United Kingdom; and
|
|
|
|
the effect on insurance markets, business practices and
relationships of ongoing litigation, investigations and
regulatory activity by insurance regulators and prosecutors.
|
In addition, any estimates relating to loss events involve the
exercise of considerable judgment and reflect a combination of
ground-up evaluations, information available to date from
brokers and cedents, market intelligence, initial tentative loss
reports and other sources. Due to the complexity of factors
contributing to the losses and the preliminary nature of the
information used to prepare estimates, there can be no assurance
that our ultimate losses will remain within the stated amounts.
The foregoing review of important factors should not be
construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with
the other cautionary statements that are included in this
report. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or review
any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new
information, future developments or otherwise or disclose any
difference between our actual results and those reflected in
such statements.
If one or more of these or other risks or uncertainties
materialize, or if our underlying assumptions prove to be
incorrect, actual results may vary materially from what we
projected. Any forward-looking statements you read in this
report reflect our current views with respect to future events
and are subject to these and other risks, uncertainties and
assumptions relating to our operations, results of operations,
growth strategy and liquidity. All subsequent written and oral
forward-looking statements attributable to us or individuals
acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety
by the points made above. You should specifically consider the
factors identified in this report which could cause actual
results to differ before making an investment decision.
Item 3.
Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market
Risk
Interest rate risk.
Our investment portfolio
consists primarily of fixed income securities. Accordingly, our
primary market risk exposure is to changes in interest rates.
Fluctuations in interest rates have a direct impact on the
49
market valuation of these securities. As interest rates rise,
the market value of our fixed-income portfolio falls, and the
converse is also true. Our strategy for managing interest rate
risk includes ensuring our asset duration does not materially
exceed our liability duration and maintaining a relatively short
duration to reduce the effect of interest rate changes on book
value.
As at September 30, 2008, our fixed income portfolio had an
approximate duration of 3.5 years. The table below depicts
interest rate change scenarios and the effect on our
interest-rate sensitive invested assets:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Effect of changes in interest rates on portfolio given a
parallel shift in the yield curve
|
|
Movement in rates in basis points
|
|
− 100
|
|
|
− 50
|
|
|
0
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
|
($ in millions, except percentages)
|
|
|
Market value $ in millions
|
|
$
|
4,803.0
|
|
|
$
|
4,720.6
|
|
|
$
|
4,637.0
|
|
|
$
|
4,552.5
|
|
|
$
|
4,468.0
|
|
Gain/(loss) $ in millions
|
|
$
|
166.1
|
|
|
$
|
83.7
|
|
|
|
0.0
|
|
|
$
|
(84.4
|
)
|
|
$
|
(168.9
|
)
|
Percentage of portfolio
|
|
|
3.58
|
%
|
|
|
1.80
|
%
|
|
|
0.00
|
%
|
|
|
(1.82
|
)%
|
|
|
(3.64
|
)%
|
Equity risk.
We have invested in three funds
of hedge funds with an estimated fair value of
$513.1 million at September 30, 2008. These
investments comprise 8.7% of our total of cash and cash
equivalents and invested assets as at that date. The reduction
in value of 8.6% from $561.4 million at December 31,
2007 was due to losses associated with the global financial
crisis. These funds of hedge funds are structured to have low
volatility and limited correlation with traditional fixed income
markets. The nature of the underlying hedge funds consists of
investments in diverse strategies and securities.
To the extent the underlying hedge funds have equity positions
and are market neutral, we are exposed to losses from changes in
prices of those positions; to the extent the underlying hedge
funds have net long or net short equity positions, we are
exposed to losses that are more correlated to changes in equity
markets in general.
Foreign currency risk.
Our reporting currency
is the U.S. Dollar. The functional currencies of our segments
are U.S. Dollars and British Pounds. As of September 30,
2008, approximately 49% of our cash, cash equivalents and
investments were held in U.S. Dollars, approximately 44% were in
British Pounds and approximately 7% were in other currencies.
For the nine months ended September 30, 2008, 12.8% of our
gross premiums were written in currencies other than the U.S.
Dollar and the British Pound and we expect that a similar
proportion will be written in currencies other than the U.S.
Dollar and the British Pound in the remainder of 2008. Other
foreign currency amounts are re-measured to the appropriate
functional currency and the resulting foreign exchange gains or
losses are reflected in the statement of operations. Functional
currency amounts of assets and liabilities are then translated
into U.S. Dollars. The unrealized gain or loss from this
translation, net of tax, is recorded as part of
shareholders equity. The change in unrealized foreign
currency translation gain or loss during the year, net of tax,
is a component of comprehensive income. Both the re-measurement
and translation are calculated using current exchange rates for
the balance sheets and average exchange rates for the statement
of operations. We may experience exchange losses to the extent
our foreign currency exposure is not hedged, which in turn would
adversely affect our results of operations and financial
condition. Management estimates that a 10% change in the
exchange rate between British Pounds and U.S. Dollars as at
September 30, 2008, would have impacted reported net
comprehensive income by approximately $34 million for the
nine months ended September 30, 2008.
We manage our foreign currency risk by seeking to match our
liabilities under insurance and reinsurance policies that are
payable in foreign currencies with investments that are
denominated in these currencies. This may involve the use of
forward exchange contracts from time to time. A forward exchange
contract involves an obligation to purchase or sell a specified
currency at a future date at a price set at the time of the
contract. Foreign currency exchange contracts will not eliminate
fluctuations in the value of our assets and liabilities
denominated in foreign currencies, but rather allow us to
establish a rate of exchange for a future point in time. All
realized gains and losses on foreign exchange forward contracts
are recognized in the Statements of Operations. At
September 30, 2008, the Company held currency contracts to
purchase $90.5 million of U.S. and foreign currencies. At
September 30, 2007, the Company held currency contracts to
purchase $42.8 million of U.S. and foreign currencies.
Credit risk.
We have exposure to credit risk
primarily as a holder of fixed income securities due to
variations in credit spreads and default risk. We also have
exposure to credit risk as a result of our investments in funds
of hedge funds. Our risk management strategy and investment
policy is to invest in debt instruments of high credit quality
issuers and to limit the amount of credit exposure with respect
to particular ratings categories, business sectors and any one
issuer. As at September 30, 2008 and December 31,
2007, the average rating of fixed income securities in our
investment portfolio was respectively, AAA and
AA+ or equivalent as rated by S&P. During the
first quarter of 2007, there were growing reports of defaults in
the U.S. sub-prime mortgage market. We took an early view on the
sub-prime sector of the mortgage-backed securities market and
exited the immaterial direct
50
exposure we had by the end of the third quarter of 2007. We also
reduced our exposure to corporate debt of companies that operate
or engage in, and we believe have meaningful exposure to,
sub-prime mortgage business.
In addition, we are exposed to the credit risk of our insurance
and reinsurance brokers to whom we make claims payments for our
policyholders, as well as to the credit risk of our reinsurers
and retrocessionaires who assume business from us. Other than
fully collateralized reinsurance 85% of our reinsurers have a
rating of A (Excellent), the third highest of
fifteen rating levels, or better by A.M. Best and the minimum
rating of any of our material reinsurers is A−
(Excellent), the fourth highest of fifteen rating levels,
by A.M. Best.
We have also entered into a credit insurance contract which,
subject to its terms, insures us against losses due to the
inability of one or more of our reinsurance counterparties to
meet their financial obligations to the Company. Payments are
made on a quarterly basis throughout the period of the contract
based on the aggregate limit, which was set initially at
$477 million but is subject to adjustment. See Note 6
to the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements for
the nine months ended September 30, 2008 above.
From 2008 we have also been writing financial and political risk
insurance in which we are exposed to the risk of claims arising
from credit risks assumed by our policy holders. We manage these
risks by limiting the amount of exposure to any obligor and by
aggregate country limits applicable to the total limits insured,
whether or not these are credit risks.
The table below shows our reinsurance recoverables as of
September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, and our
reinsurers ratings.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at
|
|
|
As at
|
|
|
|
September 30,
|
|
|
December 31,
|
|
A.M. Best
|
|
2008
|
|
|
2007
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
|
A++
|
|
|
21.5
|
|
|
|
31.0
|
|
A+
|
|
|
52.6
|
|
|
|
46.3
|
|
A
|
|
|
131.6
|
|
|
|
166.9
|
|
A−
|
|
|
23.5
|
|
|
|
37.2
|
|
Fully collateralized
|
|
|
2.6
|
|
|
|
3.3
|
|
Not rated
|
|
|
9.7
|
|
|
|
20.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
241.5
|
|
|
|
304.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Item 4.
Controls and Procedures
Evaluation
of Disclosure Controls and Procedures
The Company, under the supervision and with the participation of
the Companys management, including the Companys
Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, has
evaluated the design and operation of the Companys
disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the period
of this report. Our management does not expect that our
disclosure controls or our internal controls will prevent all
errors and all fraud. A control system, no matter how well
conceived and operated, can provide only reasonable, not
absolute, assurance that the objectives of the control system
are met. Further, the design of a control system must reflect
the fact that there are resource constraints, and the benefits
of controls must be considered relative to their costs. As a
result of the inherent limitations in all control systems, no
evaluation of controls can provide absolute assurance that all
control issues and instances of fraud, if any, within the
Company have been detected. These inherent limitations include
the realities that judgments in decision-making can be faulty,
and that breakdowns can occur because of simple error or
mistake. Additionally, controls can be circumvented by the
individual acts of some persons or by collusion of two or more
people. The design of any system of controls also is based in
part upon certain assumptions about the likelihood of future
events, and there can be no assurance that any design will
succeed in achieving its stated goals under all potential future
conditions; over time, controls may become inadequate because of
changes in conditions, or the degree of compliance with the
policies or procedures may deteriorate. As a result of the
inherent limitations in a cost-effective control system,
misstatement due to error or fraud may occur and not be
detected. Accordingly, our disclosure controls and procedures
are designed to provide reasonable, not absolute, assurance that
the disclosure requirements are met. Based on the evaluation of
the disclosure controls and procedures, the Chief Executive
Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that the
Companys disclosure controls and procedures were effective
in ensuring that information required to be disclosed in the
reports filed or submitted to the Commission under the Exchange
Act by the Company is recorded, processed, summarized and
reported in a timely fashion, and is accumulated and
communicated to management, including the Companys Chief
Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, to allow timely
decisions regarding required disclosure.
51
Changes
in Internal Control over Financial Reporting
The Companys management has performed an evaluation, with
the participation of the Companys Chief Executive Officer
and the Companys Chief Financial Officer, of changes in
the Companys internal control over financial reporting
that occurred during the quarter ended September 30, 2008.
Based upon that evaluation, the Companys management is not
aware of any change in its internal control over financial
reporting that occurred during the quarter ended
September 30, 2008 that has materially affected, or is
reasonably likely to materially affect, the Companys
internal control over financial reporting.
PART II
OTHER
INFORMATION
Item 1.
Legal Proceedings
Similar to the rest of the insurance and reinsurance industry,
we are subject to litigation and arbitration in the ordinary
course and incidental to our business. We are not currently
involved in any other material pending litigation or arbitration
proceedings.
Item 1A.
Risk Factors
There have been no significant changes in the Companys
risk factors as discussed in the Companys Annual Report on
Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2007. However, also please
refer to the Cautionary Statement Regarding
Forward-Looking Statements provided elsewhere in this
report.
Item 2.
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of
Proceeds
In connection with the options held by the Names Trustee
as described further in Note 10 to our financial
statements, the Names Trustee may exercise the options on
a monthly basis. The options were exercised on a cashless basis
at the exercise price as described in Note 10 to our
unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements. As a
result, we issued the following unregistered shares to the
Names Trustee and its beneficiaries as described below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Number of
|
|
Date Issued
|
|
Shares Issued
|
|
|
September 15, 2008
|
|
|
630
|
|
None of the transactions involved any underwriters, underwriting
discounts or commissions, or any public offering and we believe
that each transaction, if deemed to be a sale of a security, was
exempt from the registration requirements of the Securities Act
by virtue of Section 4(2) thereof or Regulation S for
offerings of securities outside the United States. Such
securities were restricted as to transfers and appropriate
legends were affixed to the share certificates and instruments
in such transactions.
Item 3.
Defaults Upon Senior Securities
None.
Item 4.
Submissions of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
None.
Item 5.
Other Information
None.
52
Item 6.
Exhibits
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|
|
|
(a)
|
The following sets forth those exhibits filed pursuant to
Item 601 of
Regulation S-K:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exhibit
|
|
|
Number
|
|
Description
|
|
|
10
|
.1
|
|
Amendment to the Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited Amended 2003
Share Incentive Plan.
|
|
10
|
.2
|
|
Amendment to the Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited 2006 Stock
Incentive Plan for Non-Employee Directors.
|
|
10
|
.3
|
|
Amendment to Form of 2006 Performance Share Agreement.
|
|
10
|
.4
|
|
Amendment to Form of 2007 Performance Share Agreement.
|
|
10
|
.5
|
|
Amendment to Form of RSU Agreement (U.S. version).
|
|
10
|
.6
|
|
Amendment to Form of RSU Agreement (U.S. employees employed
outside the U.S.).
|
|
31
|
.1
|
|
Officer Certification of Christopher OKane, Chief
Executive Officer of Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited, as
adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act
of 2002, filed with this report.
|
|
31
|
.2
|
|
Officer Certification of Richard Houghton, Chief Financial
Officer of Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited, as adopted pursuant
to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, filed
with this report.
|
|
32
|
.1
|
|
Officer Certification of Christopher OKane, Chief
Executive Officer of Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited, and
Richard Houghton, Chief Financial Officer of Aspen Insurance
Holdings Limited, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as
adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act
of 2002, submitted with this report.
|
53
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused
this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned,
thereunto duly authorized.
Aspen Insurance Holdings
Limited
(Registrant)
|
|
|
|
By:
|
/s/ Christopher
OKane
|
Christopher OKane
Chief Executive Officer
Date: November 10, 2008
Richard Houghton
Chief Financial Officer
Date: November 10, 2008
54