MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (“MD&A”) is provided as a supplement to, and should be read in conjunction with, our audited consolidated financial statements, the accompanying notes and the MD&A included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 29, 2020 (“fiscal 2020”), as well as our consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes included in Item 1 of this Form 10-Q. Note references are to the notes to consolidated financial statements included in Item 1. All references to net earnings per share are to diluted net earnings per share. Certain prior year amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current year’s presentation. Amounts and percentages may not total due to rounding.
OVERVIEW
CarMax is the nation’s largest and most profitable retailer of used vehicles. We operate in two reportable segments: CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance (“CAF”). Our CarMax Sales Operations segment consists of all aspects of our auto merchandising and service operations, excluding financing provided by CAF. Our CAF segment consists solely of our own finance operation that provides financing to customers buying retail vehicles from CarMax.
CarMax Sales Operations
Our sales operations segment consists of retail sales of used vehicles and related products and services, such as wholesale vehicle sales; the sale of extended protection plan (“EPP”) products, which include extended service plans (“ESPs”) and guaranteed asset protection (“GAP”); and vehicle repair service. We offer competitive, no-haggle prices; a broad selection of CarMax Quality Certified used vehicles; value-added EPP products; and superior customer service. Our omni-channel experience, which gives us the largest addressable market in the used car industry, empowers customers to buy a car on their terms – online, in-store or a seamless combination of both. Customers can choose to complete the car-buying experience in-person at one of our stores; or buy the car online and receive delivery through contactless curbside pickup, available nationwide, or home delivery, available to most customers.
Our customers finance the majority of the retail vehicles purchased from us, and availability of on-the-spot financing is a critical component of the sales process. We provide financing to qualified retail customers through CAF and our arrangements with industry-leading third-party finance providers. All of the finance offers, whether by CAF or our third-party providers, are backed by a 3-day payoff option.
As of November 30, 2020, we operated 220 used car stores in 106 U.S. television markets, as well as 2 new car franchises. As of that date, wholesale auctions previously held at 74 of our used car stores were being conducted virtually.
CarMax Auto Finance
In addition to third-party finance providers, we provide vehicle financing through CAF, which offers financing solely to customers buying retail vehicles from CarMax. CAF allows us to manage our reliance on third-party finance providers and to leverage knowledge of our business to provide qualifying customers a competitive financing option. As a result, we believe CAF enables us to capture additional profits, cash flows and sales. CAF income primarily reflects the interest and fee income generated by the auto loans receivable less the interest expense associated with the debt issued to fund these receivables, a provision for estimated loan losses and direct expenses. CAF income does not include any allocation of indirect costs. After the effect of 3-day payoffs and vehicle returns, CAF financed 42.1% of our retail used vehicle unit sales in the first nine months of fiscal 2021. As of November 30, 2020, CAF serviced approximately 1,041,000 customer accounts in its $13.64 billion portfolio of managed receivables.
Management regularly analyzes CAF’s operating results by assessing the competitiveness of our consumer offer, profitability, the performance of the auto loans receivable, including trends in credit losses and delinquencies, and CAF direct expenses.
Impact of COVID-19
In March 2020, the World Health Organization declared the outbreak of the novel coronavirus (“COVID-19”) as a global pandemic. In the following weeks, many U.S. states and localities issued shelter-in-place orders impacting the operations of our stores and consumer demand. We followed mandates from public health officials and government agencies, including implementation of enhanced cleaning measures and social distancing guidelines and, in many localities, the closing of stores and wholesale auctions. As a result of these store closures and lower consumer demand, we announced in April 2020 that more than 15,000 associates had been placed on furlough. We provided associates with at least 14 days of pay continuity upon store
closure or quarantine, along with continuing medical benefits for associates who were furloughed. During the second quarter of fiscal 2021, we began to call back associates from furlough and by the end of July 2020, we no longer had any associates on furlough. During the first half of fiscal 2021, we spent approximately $30 million supporting associates impacted by COVID-19, store closures and furloughs.
We have implemented robust plans to reduce the risk of exposure and further spread of the virus in our stores and continue to follow the mandates of public health officials and government agencies. We also launched contactless curbside pickup nationwide to better serve our customers in alignment with enhanced safety practices. In addition, we quickly shifted our wholesale business from in-person to online auctions, and we continue to keep our appraisal lanes open for customers who want or need to sell their cars. During the second quarter of fiscal 2021, we completed the rollout of our omni-channel experience, which gives us the largest addressable market in the used car industry. This offering gives customers the option to seamlessly do as much, or as little, online and in-person as they prefer.
In early April, due to the mandates of public health officials and government agencies, approximately half of our stores were closed or under limited operations. Limited operations means the stores could sell cars but were limited to appointment-only, curbside pickup, home delivery or some combination of all three. As a result, used vehicle sales were down more than 75% during that period. Further, pricing and margin was pressured by sharp declines in industry wholesale valuations due to a steep depreciation environment. During this period, we reduced inventory levels to align with sales.
We experienced negative comparable used unit sales in the first quarter of fiscal 2021, which continued into June when we experienced high single digit negative comparable used unit sales. The June results were more than offset by mid-single digit positive comparable used unit sales in both July and August, a trend that continued into September. However, as the election approached and there was another surge in COVID-19 cases, which resulted in tightened occupancy restrictions and shelter-in-place orders from state and local governments, we saw demand soften. As a result, sales trended down in the latter part of the third quarter. This trend continued into the first two weeks of December, with same store sales down approximately 4% versus the prior year. We believe the trends experienced in the latter part of the quarter and into December are shorter-term in nature.
As of the end of December 2020, approximately half of our stores have occupancy restrictions in place due to state and local government mandates. Of these, more than 40 stores had mandates limiting capacity to 25% or less. Despite the challenges associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, our omni-channel experience is allowing customers to connect and transact with us in more ways than ever. We have seen a favorable response to our omni-channel experience with the majority of customers progressing more of their transactions online.
The impact of COVID-19 on CAF loan origination volume has been consistent with our retail sales performance noted above. Beginning in the first quarter of fiscal 2021, as the pandemic escalated, we saw an increase in delinquencies and greater demand for payment extensions. In response, we implemented a variety of measures to support our customers through this difficult time and to maximize the long-term collectability of the portfolio. This included temporarily suspending repossessions, waiving late fees, and providing loan payment extensions where appropriate. In addition to pausing our in-house Tier 3 lending, we also made temporary underwriting adjustments focused on preserving CAF's high-quality portfolio and tested certain loan routing to our third-party providers.
Payment extensions spiked in April and have declined significantly since then as customers have exhibited the ability and willingness to pay. During the first nine months of fiscal 2021, delinquency rates were lower year-over-year. During the back half of the second quarter of fiscal 2021, we ceased CAF's underwriting adjustments noted above, and in September we resumed our in-house Tier 3 lending.
During the first quarter of fiscal 2021, new legislation was enacted, and new IRS guidance was issued to provide relief to businesses in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. We have evaluated the tax provisions included in legislation such as the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CARES Act), as well as recent IRS guidance. While the most significant impacts to the company include the employee retention tax credit and payroll tax deferral provisions of the CARES Act, we do not expect recent IRS guidance or the CARES Act to have a material impact on our results of operations.
The COVID-19 pandemic remains a rapidly evolving situation. We continue to actively monitor developments that may cause us to take further actions that alter our business operations as may be required by federal, state or local authorities or that we determine are in the best interests of our associates, customers and shareholders. The duration and severity of the COVID-19 outbreak are uncertain, and we are unable to determine the full impact that social distancing protocols, the availability and efficacy of vaccines, or potential subsequent outbreaks, will ultimately have on our operations or consumer demand. As such, the full impact on our revenues, profitability, financial position and liquidity remains uncertain at this time.
Revenues and Profitability
The sources of revenue and gross profit from the CarMax Sales Operations segment for the first nine months of fiscal 2021 are as follows:
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Net Sales and
Operating Revenues
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Gross Profit
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A high-level summary of our financial results for the third quarter and first nine months of fiscal 2021 as compared to the third quarter and first nine months of fiscal 2020 is as follows:
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(Dollars in millions except per share or per unit data)
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Three Months Ended
November 30, 2020
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Change from
Three Months Ended
November 30, 2019
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Nine Months Ended
November 30, 2020
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Change from
Nine Months Ended
November 30, 2019
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Income statement information
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Net sales and operating revenues
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$
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5,184.9
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8.2
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%
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$
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13,785.9
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(10.2)
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%
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Gross profit
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$
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631.4
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2.9
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%
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$
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1,737.8
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(15.2)
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%
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CAF income
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$
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176.4
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54.7
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%
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$
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374.6
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8.9
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%
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Selling, general and administrative expenses
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$
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478.8
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(1.2)
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%
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$
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1,342.7
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(7.7)
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%
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Net earnings
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$
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235.3
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35.9
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%
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$
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537.0
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(20.3)
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%
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Unit sales information
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Used unit sales
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194,576
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1.0
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%
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546,934
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(12.6)
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%
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Change in used unit sales in comparable stores
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(0.8)
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%
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N/A
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(14.8)
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%
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N/A
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Wholesale unit sales
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126,317
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10.8
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%
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322,592
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(10.7)
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%
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Per unit information
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Used gross profit per unit
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$
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2,151
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0.3
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%
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$
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2,123
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(2.7)
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%
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Wholesale gross profit per unit
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$
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906
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(3.3)
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%
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$
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994
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2.6
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%
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SG&A per used vehicle unit
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$
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2,461
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(2.3)
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%
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$
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2,455
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5.6
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%
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Per share information
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Net earnings per diluted share
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$
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1.42
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36.5
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%
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$
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3.25
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(19.4)
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%
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Net earnings per diluted share during the first nine months of fiscal 2021 included a one-time benefit of $0.18 in connection with our receipt of settlement proceeds in April 2020 related to a previously disclosed class action lawsuit. Refer to “Results of Operations” for further details on our revenues and profitability.
Liquidity
Our primary ongoing sources of liquidity include funds provided by operations, proceeds from non-recourse funding vehicles, and borrowings under our revolving credit facility or through other financing sources. In addition to funding our operations,
this liquidity was used to fund the repurchase of common stock under our share repurchase program and our store growth. Our current capital allocation strategy is to remain focused on growing the business while maintaining the appropriate amount of caution given the uncertainty that remains in the economic environment.
As previously disclosed, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, we took certain measures in the first quarter of fiscal 2021 to enhance our liquidity position and provide additional financial flexibility, including drawing down additional funds on our revolving credit facility, pausing our stock repurchase program, pausing our store expansion strategy and remodels and actively aligning operating expenses to the current state of the business, including the previously discussed furlough. We strengthened our overall financial position by selling through inventory and quickly aligning costs to lower sales volumes. We have continued to adjust inventory levels throughout the pandemic to align with sales trends. During the third quarter, we fully paid down the outstanding balance on our revolving credit facility and resumed our store expansion strategy and share repurchase program. Given the turnaround in our business, the strength of the credit markets and our solid balance sheet, we believe we have the appropriate liquidity, access to capital and financial strength to support our operations and continue investing in our omni and digital initiatives for the foreseeable future.
Future Outlook
The COVID-19 pandemic has created an unprecedented and challenging time. As discussed above, we have taken several steps to ensure a strong liquidity position and enable our stores to operate amidst the current health and safety concerns. We will continue to monitor the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and make any further decisions necessary to position the company for a strong recovery as we emerge from this crisis.
We recognize the current environment has accelerated a shift in consumer buying behavior. Customers are seeking safety, personalization and convenience in how they shop for and buy a vehicle more than ever. Our omni-channel experience empowers customers to buy a car on their own terms, whether completely from home, in-store or through a seamlessly integrated combination of online and in-store experiences. Our diversified business model, combined with our emerging omni-channel experience, is a unique advantage in the used car industry that firmly positions us to continue growing our market share while creating shareholder value over the long-term. We completed our omni-channel rollout in the second quarter of fiscal 2021. We now have a common platform across all of CarMax that leverages our scale, nationwide footprint and infrastructure and empowers our customers to buy a vehicle on their terms. We are now focusing our efforts on optimizing and enhancing the customer experience. In particular, we are focused on self-service for all components of the sale and plan to deliver significant improvements over the next two quarters. We are on track for most of our customers to have the ability to buy a vehicle online independently if they choose by the middle of next fiscal year.
We first launched our omni-channel experience in the Atlanta market in December 2018. Now, two years later after continued testing on pricing and advertising, our omni-channel experience is delivering sustained growth in this competitive market. The Atlanta market has outperformed the company with high single-digit comparable used unit sales in the third quarter of fiscal 2021 and two-year stacked comparable used unit sales of approximately 20%. In addition, the number of alternative deliveries in the Atlanta market, including curbside pickup and home delivery, has increased by 45% when compared with the prior year third quarter, although this remains a small portion of our overall sales.
Building on our experiences in the Atlanta market, our strategic investments in the near term will focus on our customer experience, vehicle acquisition and marketing. As we continue enhancing our online experience and offerings, we believe it is important to educate customers on our omni-channel experience and to differentiate and elevate our brand. We have introduced the next phase of our national multi-media marketing campaign that began last year, and we plan to increase our year-over-year marketing spend in the second half of fiscal 2021. For fiscal 2021, we anticipate advertising spend will increase approximately $25 million compared with fiscal 2020. We will incur the vast majority of this increase in the fourth quarter, driven primarily by heavier broadcasting in support of the next evolution of our brand campaign.
In combination with the improvements and enhancements we are making to our omni-channel experience, along with the increase in advertising spending noted above and also building on our experience in Atlanta, we are implementing pricing and marketing tests in select markets during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021 in an effort to proactively drive sales volume. While we expect gross profit per used unit for the fourth quarter to continue to be above $2,000, we anticipate the year over year change in this metric will be larger than what we have experienced in recent years.
We also continue to focus on driving effectiveness through our centralized Customer Experience Centers (“CECs”), improving our core buying channels, opening new buying channels and modernizing our wholesale auction platforms. Approximately 70% of our customers interacted with our CECs during the third quarter. Additionally, more than 50% of our customers chose to progress their sale remotely. In addition, we are seeing those customers progress more of the transaction online, while still preferring to take ownership of their vehicle at one of our stores. For the third quarter, alternative deliveries, including home delivery and curbside pickup, were less than 10% of our sales.
Our long-term strategy continues to be focused on completing the rollout of our retail concept and improving and enhancing our omni-channel experience, with the goal of increasing our share of used vehicle unit sales in each of the markets in which we operate. At the same time, we are identifying and investing in new initiatives that we believe will also be solid contributors to our earnings growth. We believe, over the long term, used vehicle unit sales are the primary driver for earnings growth. We also believe increased used vehicle unit sales will drive increased sales of wholesale vehicles and ancillary products and, over time, increased CAF income.
In calendar 2019, we estimate we sold approximately 4.7% of the age 0- to 10-year old vehicles sold in the comparable store markets in which we were operating and approximately 3.5% of the age 0- to 10-year old vehicles sold on a nationwide basis. Our strategy to increase our market share includes focusing on:
•Delivering a customer-driven, omni-channel buying and selling experience that is a unique and powerful integration of our in-store and online capabilities.
•Opening stores in new markets and expanding our presence in existing markets.
•Hiring and developing an engaged and skilled workforce.
•Improving efficiency in our stores and our logistics operations to drive out waste.
•Leveraging data and advanced analytics to continuously improve the customer experience as well as our processes and systems.
In order to execute our long-term strategy, we have invested in various strategic initiatives to increase innovation, specifically with regards to customer-facing and customer-enabling technologies. We are also developing and implementing tools that help our associates be more efficient and effective. Additionally, we have centralized customer support in our CECs, which we believe provides a more seamless combination between the online and in-store experience for our customers. Our use of data is a core component of these initiatives and continues to be a strategic asset for us as we leverage data to enhance the customer experience and increase operational efficiencies. While in any individual period conditions may vary, in periods of elevated investment in our strategic initiatives, we would expect to leverage our SG&A expenses when comparable store used unit sales growth is in the range of 5% to 8% on an annual basis. While we continue to invest in our growth initiatives, we will continue to act on opportunities to become leaner, more agile and a more cost-effective organization over the long term.
As of November 30, 2020, we had used car stores located in 106 U.S. television markets, which covered approximately 78% of the U.S. population. The format and operating models utilized in our stores are continuously evaluated and may change or evolve over time based upon market and consumer expectations. During the first nine months of fiscal 2021, we opened four stores. In response to COVID-19, we paused our store expansion strategy in the first quarter of fiscal 2021. We are resuming new store growth and anticipate opening between eight and ten stores in fiscal 2022.
While we execute both our short- and long-term strategy, there are trends and factors that could impact our strategic approach or our results in the short and medium term. For additional information about risks and uncertainties facing our company, see “Risk Factors,” included in Part I. Item 1A of the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 29, 2020.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES
For information on critical accounting policies, see "Critical Accounting Policies" in the MD&A included in Item 7 of the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 29, 2020 and Part I, Item 2 of the Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended May 31, 2020.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS – CARMAX SALES OPERATIONS
NET SALES AND OPERATING REVENUES
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Three Months Ended November 30
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Nine Months Ended November 30
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(In millions)
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2020
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2019
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Change
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2020
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2019
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Change
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Used vehicle sales
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$
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4,209.7
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$
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4,028.8
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4.5
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%
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$
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11,385.2
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$
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12,915.8
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(11.9)
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%
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Wholesale vehicle sales
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828.4
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611.0
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35.6
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%
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1,990.3
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|
|
1,951.7
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2.0
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%
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Other sales and revenues:
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Extended protection plan revenues
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101.7
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|
97.0
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4.8
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%
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294.5
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321.7
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(8.5)
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%
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Third-party finance fees, net
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(10.6)
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(9.4)
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(12.4)
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%
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(36.7)
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(35.2)
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(4.3)
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%
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Other
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55.7
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|
62.6
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(11.0)
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%
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152.6
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|
203.5
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(25.0)
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%
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Total other sales and revenues
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146.8
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|
150.2
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(2.3)
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%
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410.4
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|
|
490.0
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(16.2)
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%
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Total net sales and operating revenues
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$
|
5,184.9
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|
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$
|
4,790.0
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8.2
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%
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$
|
13,785.9
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$
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15,357.5
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(10.2)
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%
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UNIT SALES
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Three Months Ended November 30
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Nine Months Ended November 30
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|
2020
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2019
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Change
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2020
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2019
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|
Change
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Used vehicles
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194,576
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192,563
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1.0
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%
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546,934
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625,922
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(12.6)
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%
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Wholesale vehicles
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126,317
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|
|
113,996
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|
|
10.8
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%
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322,592
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|
361,277
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(10.7)
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%
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AVERAGE SELLING PRICES
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|
Three Months Ended November 30
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|
Nine Months Ended November 30
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|
2020
|
|
2019
|
|
Change
|
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
|
Change
|
Used vehicles
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$
|
21,402
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|
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$
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20,710
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|
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3.3
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%
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$
|
20,581
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|
|
$
|
20,431
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|
|
0.7
|
%
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Wholesale vehicles
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$
|
6,245
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|
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$
|
5,079
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|
|
23.0
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%
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$
|
5,877
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|
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$
|
5,128
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|
|
14.6
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%
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COMPARABLE STORE USED VEHICLE SALES CHANGES
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Three Months Ended November 30 (1)
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Nine Months Ended November 30 (1)
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2020
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2019
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|
2020
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2019
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Used vehicle units
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(0.8)
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%
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7.5
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%
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(14.8)
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%
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6.7
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%
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Used vehicle revenues
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2.5
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%
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10.0
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%
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(14.1)
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%
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8.5
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%
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(1) Stores are added to the comparable store base beginning in their fourteenth full month of operation. We do not remove renovated stores from our comparable store base. Comparable store calculations include results for a set of stores that were included in our comparable store base in both the current and corresponding prior year periods.
VEHICLE SALES CHANGES
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|
Three Months Ended November 30
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Nine Months Ended November 30
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|
2020
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|
2019
|
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
Used vehicle units
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1.0
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%
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|
11.0
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%
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(12.6)
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%
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|
10.1
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%
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Used vehicle revenues
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4.5
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%
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13.6
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%
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(11.9)
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%
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|
11.9
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%
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|
|
|
|
|
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Wholesale vehicle units
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10.8
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%
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3.3
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%
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(10.7)
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%
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|
4.8
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%
|
Wholesale vehicle revenues
|
35.6
|
%
|
|
1.2
|
%
|
|
2.0
|
%
|
|
5.5
|
%
|
USED VEHICLE FINANCING PENETRATION BY CHANNEL (BEFORE THE IMPACT OF 3-DAY PAYOFFS)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended November 30 (1)
|
|
Nine Months Ended November 30 (1)
|
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
CAF (2)
|
48.9
|
%
|
|
47.2
|
%
|
|
45.0
|
%
|
|
46.7
|
%
|
Tier 2 (3)
|
19.5
|
%
|
|
20.4
|
%
|
|
22.8
|
%
|
|
20.1
|
%
|
Tier 3 (4)
|
9.7
|
%
|
|
9.5
|
%
|
|
11.5
|
%
|
|
10.3
|
%
|
Other (5)
|
21.9
|
%
|
|
22.9
|
%
|
|
20.7
|
%
|
|
22.9
|
%
|
Total
|
100.0
|
%
|
|
100.0
|
%
|
|
100.0
|
%
|
|
100.0
|
%
|
(1) Calculated as used vehicle units financed for respective channel as a percentage of total used units sold.
(2) Includes CAF’s Tier 3 loan originations, which represent less than 1% of total used units sold.
(3) Third-party finance providers who generally pay us a fee or to whom no fee is paid.
(4) Third-party finance providers to whom we pay a fee.
(5) Represents customers arranging their own financing and customers that do not require financing.
CHANGE IN USED CAR STORE BASE
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended November 30
|
|
Nine Months Ended November 30
|
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
Used car stores, beginning of period
|
220
|
|
|
209
|
|
|
216
|
|
|
203
|
|
Store openings
|
—
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
10
|
|
Used car stores, end of period
|
220
|
|
|
213
|
|
|
220
|
|
|
213
|
|
During the first nine months of fiscal 2021, we opened four stores, all in existing television markets (Tampa, FL; Philadelphia, PA; New Orleans, LA; and Los Angeles, CA).
Used Vehicle Sales. The 4.5% increase in used vehicle revenues in the third quarter of fiscal 2021 was primarily driven by a 3.3% increase in average retail selling price. This increase largely reflected higher vehicle acquisition costs resulting from strong wholesale industry valuations. The increase in used vehicle revenues was also due to a 1.0% increase in used unit sales, driven by sales from newer stores not yet included in the comparable store base. Comparable store used unit sales declined 0.8% in the third quarter. During the first part of the quarter, we achieved mid-single digit comparable store sales growth, continuing the positive momentum from the second quarter. However, demand softened and sales trended down in the latter part of the quarter. We believe the surge in COVID-19 cases, which constrained demand and tightened occupancy restrictions and shelter-in-place orders from state and local governments, as well as the uncertainty around the election and future stimulus programs, were some of the factors that impacted sales during this time.
The 11.9% decrease in used vehicle revenues in the first nine months of fiscal 2021 was primarily due to a 12.6% decrease in used unit sales, driven by the decline in the first quarter. The decrease in used units included a 14.8% decrease in comparable store used unit sales. This reflected the combined effects of COVID-19 related store closures and restrictions on operations, as well as reduced customer traffic resulting from the economic impact of the pandemic and nationwide shelter-in-place orders, primarily during the first quarter as well as the latter part of the third quarter of fiscal 2021. The increase in average retail selling price in the first nine months of fiscal 2021 reflected higher vehicle acquisition costs driven by market appreciation, partially offset by shifts in the mix of our sales by vehicle age.
Wholesale Vehicle Sales. Vehicles sold at our wholesale auctions are, on average, approximately 10 years old with more than 100,000 miles and are primarily vehicles purchased through our appraisal process that do not meet our retail standards. Our wholesale auction prices usually reflect trends in the general wholesale market for the types of vehicles we sell, although they can also be affected by changes in vehicle mix or the average age, mileage or condition of the vehicles being sold. Our wholesale auctions were moved to an online format in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and continue to operate completely online.
The 35.6% increase in wholesale vehicle revenues in the third quarter of fiscal 2021 was primarily due to a 23.0% increase in average selling price as well as a 10.8% increase in unit sales. The increase in average selling price was primarily due to increased acquisition costs. The wholesale unit growth was largely driven by a record third quarter appraisal buy rate, partially offset by lower appraisal traffic.
The 2.0% increase in wholesale vehicle revenues in the first nine months of fiscal 2021 was primarily due to a 14.6% increase in average selling price, partially offset by a 10.7% decline in unit sales, driven by the first quarter decline. The increase in average selling price was primarily due to increased acquisition costs driven by market appreciation. The decline in wholesale units was largely driven by lower appraisal traffic, partially offset by an increase in our appraisal buy rate.
Other Sales and Revenues. Other sales and revenues include revenue from the sale of ESPs and GAP (collectively reported in EPP revenues, net of a reserve for estimated contract cancellations), net third-party finance fees, and other revenues, which are predominantly comprised of service department and new vehicle sales. The fees we pay to the Tier 3 providers are reflected as an offset to finance fee revenues received from the Tier 2 providers. The mix of our retail vehicles financed by CAF, Tier 2 and Tier 3 providers, or customers that arrange their own financing, may vary from quarter to quarter depending on several factors, including the credit quality of applicants, changes in providers’ credit decisioning and external market conditions. Changes in originations by one tier of credit providers may also affect the originations made by providers in other tiers.
Other sales and revenues declined 2.3% in the third quarter of fiscal 2021, reflecting a decrease in other revenues, including new car and service department sales, partially offset by growth in EPP revenues. EPP revenues increased 4.8%, largely reflecting a $5.0 million increase from favorable adjustments to cancellation reserves and profit sharing revenue recognized in the current quarter.
Other sales and revenues declined 16.2% in the first nine months of fiscal 2021, reflecting decreases in other revenues, including new car and service department sales, and EPP revenues. EPP revenues declined 8.5%, largely reflecting the reduction in our used unit sales driven by the decline in the first quarter, partially offset by a $12.3 million increase from profit sharing revenue recognized in the current period and favorable adjustments to cancellation reserves. The new car and service department sales declines reflected both store closures and reduced customer traffic.
Seasonality. Historically, our business has been seasonal. Our stores typically experience their strongest traffic and sales in the spring and summer, with an increase in traffic and sales in February and March, coinciding with federal income tax refund season. Sales are typically slowest in the fall.
GROSS PROFIT
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended November 30
|
|
Nine Months Ended November 30
|
(In millions)
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
|
Change
|
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
|
Change
|
Used vehicle gross profit
|
$
|
418.6
|
|
|
$
|
413.1
|
|
|
1.3
|
%
|
|
$
|
1,161.3
|
|
|
$
|
1,366.3
|
|
|
(15.0)
|
%
|
Wholesale vehicle gross profit
|
114.4
|
|
|
106.8
|
|
|
7.1
|
%
|
|
320.7
|
|
|
350.1
|
|
|
(8.4)
|
%
|
Other gross profit
|
98.4
|
|
|
93.7
|
|
|
5.0
|
%
|
|
255.8
|
|
|
333.1
|
|
|
(23.2)
|
%
|
Total
|
$
|
631.4
|
|
|
$
|
613.6
|
|
|
2.9
|
%
|
|
$
|
1,737.8
|
|
|
$
|
2,049.5
|
|
|
(15.2)
|
%
|
GROSS PROFIT PER UNIT
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended November 30
|
|
Nine Months Ended November 30
|
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
|
$ per unit(1)
|
|
%(2)
|
|
$ per unit(1)
|
|
%(2)
|
|
$ per unit(1)
|
|
%(2)
|
|
$ per unit(1)
|
|
%(2)
|
Used vehicle gross profit
|
$
|
2,151
|
|
|
9.9
|
|
|
$
|
2,145
|
|
|
10.3
|
|
|
$
|
2,123
|
|
|
10.2
|
|
|
$
|
2,183
|
|
|
10.6
|
|
Wholesale vehicle gross profit
|
$
|
906
|
|
|
13.8
|
|
|
$
|
937
|
|
|
17.5
|
|
|
$
|
994
|
|
|
16.1
|
|
|
$
|
969
|
|
|
17.9
|
|
Other gross profit
|
$
|
506
|
|
|
67.0
|
|
|
$
|
487
|
|
|
62.4
|
|
|
$
|
468
|
|
|
62.3
|
|
|
$
|
532
|
|
|
68.0
|
|
Total gross profit
|
$
|
3,245
|
|
|
12.2
|
|
|
$
|
3,187
|
|
|
12.8
|
|
|
$
|
3,177
|
|
|
12.6
|
|
|
$
|
3,274
|
|
|
13.3
|
|
(1) Calculated as category gross profit divided by its respective units sold, except the other and total categories, which are divided by total used units sold.
(2) Calculated as a percentage of its respective sales or revenue.
Used Vehicle Gross Profit. We target a dollar range of gross profit per used unit sold. The gross profit dollar target for an individual vehicle is based on a variety of factors, including its probability of sale and its mileage relative to its age; however, it is not primarily based on the vehicle’s selling price. Our ability to quickly adjust appraisal offers to be consistent with the broader market trade-in trends and the pace of our inventory turns reduce our exposure to the inherent continual fluctuation in used vehicle values and contribute to our ability to manage gross profit dollars per unit.
We systematically adjust individual vehicle prices based on proprietary pricing algorithms in order to appropriately balance sales trends, inventory turns and gross profit achievement. Other factors that may influence gross profit include the wholesale and retail vehicle pricing environments, vehicle reconditioning and logistics costs, and the percentage of vehicles sourced directly from consumers through our appraisal process. Vehicles purchased directly from consumers typically generate more gross profit per unit compared with vehicles purchased at auction or through other channels.
Used vehicle gross profit increased 1.3% in the third quarter of fiscal 2021, reflecting the 1.0% increase in total used unit sales. Used vehicle gross profit per unit remained steady compared with the prior year quarter. Used vehicle gross profit declined 15.0% in the first nine months of fiscal 2021, reflecting the 12.6% decline in total used unit sales, driven by the decline in the first quarter, as well as the $60 decline in used vehicle gross profit per unit. During the first quarter of fiscal 2021, our used vehicle gross profit per unit was pressured by pricing adjustments made to better align inventory levels with sales in response to COVID-19.
We believe we can manage to a targeted gross profit per unit dollar range, subject to future changes to our business or pricing strategy. In combination with the improvements and enhancements we are making to our omni-channel experience, we are also implementing pricing and marketing tests in select markets during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021. While we expect gross profit per used unit for the fourth quarter to continue to be above $2,000, we anticipate the year over year change in this metric will be larger than what we have experienced in recent years.
Wholesale Vehicle Gross Profit. Our wholesale gross profit per unit reflects the demand for older, higher mileage vehicles, which are the mainstay of our auctions, as well as strong dealer attendance and resulting high dealer-to-car ratios at our auctions. The frequency of our auctions, which are generally held weekly or bi-weekly, minimizes the depreciation risk on these vehicles. Our ability to adjust appraisal offers in response to the wholesale pricing environment is a key factor that influences wholesale gross profit.
Wholesale vehicle gross profit increased 7.1% in the third quarter of fiscal 2021, largely reflecting the 10.8% increase in wholesale unit sales, partially offset by a modest decline in wholesale vehicle gross profit per unit. Wholesale vehicle gross profit decreased 8.4% in the first nine months of fiscal 2021, driven by the 10.7% decrease in wholesale unit sales, driven by the decline in the first quarter, partially offset by a modest increase in wholesale gross profit per unit. Wholesale gross profit per unit was under significant pressure early in the current year’s first quarter, reflecting sharp declines in industry wholesale valuations; however, wholesale gross profit per unit had fully recovered by the end of the first quarter. During the second quarter of fiscal 2021, performance was supported by strong appreciation in the market. By the end of the second quarter, depreciation had returned to the wholesale market, and steep depreciation continued during the third quarter.
Other Gross Profit. Other gross profit includes profits related to EPP revenues, net third-party finance fees and other revenues. Other revenues are predominantly comprised of service department operations, including used vehicle reconditioning, and new vehicle sales. We have no cost of sales related to EPP revenues or net third-party finance fees, as these represent revenues paid to us by certain third-party providers. Third-party finance fees are reported net of the fees we pay to third-party Tier 3 finance providers. Accordingly, changes in the relative mix of the components of other gross profit can affect the composition and amount of other gross profit.
Other gross profit increased 5.0% in the third quarter of fiscal 2021, reflecting the increase in EPP revenues. Other gross profit decreased 23.2% in the first nine months of fiscal 2021, reflecting a decline in service department profits and EPP revenues. Service results in the first nine months of fiscal 2021 reflected the overhead deleverage resulting from our decline in used car sales, driven by the decline in the first quarter, as well as pay continuity for our technicians and other service personnel during periods of reduced vehicle reconditioning activity in the first quarter. Service results for the nine-month period also continued to be adversely affected by the increase in our post-sale warranty period from 30 to 90 days implemented in May 2019.
Impact of Inflation. Historically, inflation has not had a significant impact on results. Profitability is primarily affected by our ability to achieve targeted unit sales and gross profit dollars per vehicle rather than by changes in average retail prices. However, we believe higher vehicle acquisition prices have adversely impacted, and could impact in the future, our comparable store used unit sales growth. Changes in average vehicle selling prices can also impact CAF income, to the extent the average amount financed also changes.
SG&A Expenses
COMPONENTS OF SG&A EXPENSES AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL SG&A EXPENSES
Three Months Ended November 30, 2020 Nine Months Ended November 30, 2020
COMPONENTS OF SG&A EXPENSES COMPARED WITH PRIOR PERIOD
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended November 30
|
|
Nine Months Ended November 30
|
(In millions except per unit data)
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
|
Change
|
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
|
Change
|
Compensation and benefits:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Compensation and benefits, excluding share-based compensation expense
|
$
|
230.8
|
|
|
$
|
217.2
|
|
|
6.2
|
%
|
|
$
|
661.3
|
|
|
$
|
674.7
|
|
|
(2.0)
|
%
|
Share-based compensation expense
|
10.7
|
|
|
26.3
|
|
|
(59.1)
|
%
|
|
68.7
|
|
|
89.0
|
|
|
(22.9)
|
%
|
Total compensation and benefits (1)
|
$
|
241.5
|
|
|
$
|
243.5
|
|
|
(0.8)
|
%
|
|
$
|
730.0
|
|
|
$
|
763.7
|
|
|
(4.4)
|
%
|
Store occupancy costs
|
101.8
|
|
|
98.0
|
|
|
3.9
|
%
|
|
297.5
|
|
|
291.2
|
|
|
2.1
|
%
|
Advertising expense
|
58.8
|
|
|
51.8
|
|
|
13.4
|
%
|
|
143.8
|
|
|
140.6
|
|
|
2.3
|
%
|
Other overhead costs (2)
|
76.7
|
|
|
91.5
|
|
|
(16.2)
|
%
|
|
171.4
|
|
|
259.8
|
|
|
(34.0)
|
%
|
Total SG&A expenses
|
$
|
478.8
|
|
|
$
|
484.8
|
|
|
(1.2)
|
%
|
|
$
|
1,342.7
|
|
|
$
|
1,455.3
|
|
|
(7.7)
|
%
|
SG&A per used vehicle unit (3)
|
$
|
2,461
|
|
|
$
|
2,518
|
|
|
$
|
(57)
|
|
|
$
|
2,455
|
|
|
$
|
2,325
|
|
|
$
|
130
|
|
(1) Excludes compensation and benefits related to reconditioning and vehicle repair service, which are included in cost of sales. See Note 10 for details of share-based compensation expense by grant type.
(2) Includes IT expenses, preopening and relocation costs, insurance, non-CAF bad debt, travel, charitable contributions and other administrative expenses.
(3) Calculated as total SG&A expenses divided by total used vehicle units.
SG&A expenses decreased 1.2% in the third quarter of fiscal 2021. In addition to the 5% growth in our store base since the beginning of last year's third quarter (representing the addition of 11 stores) and continued spending to advance our technology platforms and support strategic initiatives, the net decrease reflected the following:
•$15.6 million decrease in share-based compensation expense. The decrease in share-based compensation expense was primarily related to cash-settled restricted stock units, as the expense associated with these units was driven by the change in the company's stock price during the relevant periods.
•$14.8 million decrease in other overhead costs, driven by pandemic-related cost reductions as well as reduced litigation-related expenses.
•$7.0 million increase in advertising expense. We plan to increase our year-over-year advertising expense during the remainder of the current year.
SG&A expenses decreased 7.7% in the first nine months of fiscal 2021. This decrease reflected a reduction in costs associated with our decline in sales volume in the first quarter and actions taken in response to the COVID-19 pandemic to reduce costs, partially offset by an increase in costs as a result of the 8% growth in our store base since the beginning of fiscal 2020
(representing the addition of 17 stores) and continued spending to advance our technology platforms and support strategic initiatives. The decrease also included the following:
•$40.3 million one-time benefit, representing our receipt of settlement proceeds in a class action lawsuit related to the economic loss associated with vehicles containing Takata airbags.
•$20.3 million decrease in share-based compensation expense. The decrease in share-based compensation expense was primarily related to cash-settled restricted stock units, as the expense associated with these units was driven by the change in the company's stock price during the relevant periods.
•$3.2 million increase in advertising expense. We plan to increase our year-over-year advertising expense during the remainder of the current year.
Interest Expense. Interest expense includes the interest related to short- and long-term debt, financing obligations and finance lease obligations. It does not include interest on the non-recourse notes payable, which is reflected within CAF income.
Interest expense decreased to $19.5 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2021 compared with $21.8 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2020. The decrease primarily reflected a lower outstanding revolver balance in the current quarter as well as lower interest rates. Interest expense increased to $65.9 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2021 from $60.7 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2020. The increase primarily reflected increased expense for our financing obligations and finance leases as well as a higher outstanding average revolver balance in the current year period, partially offset by lower interest rates.
Income Taxes. The effective income tax rate was 24.2% in the third quarter of fiscal 2021 and 23.6% in the first nine months of fiscal 2021 versus 23.9% in the third quarter of fiscal 2020 and 23.8% in the first nine months of fiscal 2020.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS – CARMAX AUTO FINANCE
CAF income primarily reflects interest and fee income generated by CAF’s portfolio of auto loans receivable less the interest expense associated with the debt issued to fund these receivables, a provision for estimated loan losses and direct CAF expenses. Total interest margin reflects the spread between interest and fees charged to consumers and our funding costs. Changes in the interest margin on new originations affect CAF income over time. Increases in interest rates, which affect CAF’s funding costs, or other competitive pressures on consumer rates, could result in compression in the interest margin on new originations. Changes in the allowance for loan losses as a percentage of ending managed receivables reflect the effect of changes in loss and delinquency experience and economic factors on our outlook for net losses expected to occur over the remaining contractual life of the loans receivable.
CAF’s managed portfolio is composed primarily of loans originated over the past several years. Trends in receivable growth and interest margins primarily reflect the cumulative effect of changes in the business over a multi-year period. Historically, we have strived to originate loans with an underlying risk profile that we believe will, in the aggregate and excluding CAF’s Tier 3 originations, result in cumulative net losses in the 2% to 2.5% range over the life of the loans. Actual loss performance of the loans may fall outside of this range based on various factors, including intentional changes in the risk profile of originations, economic conditions (including the effects of the COVID-19 outbreak) and wholesale recovery rates. Based on underwriting adjustments made during the first quarter of fiscal 2021, in response to higher anticipated losses related to COVID-19, we targeted new loans toward the higher end of this range. In the second quarter of fiscal 2021, we ceased the underwriting adjustments made during the previous quarter and loans originated continue to be targeted at the higher end, or slightly above, this range. Current period originations reflect current trends in both our retail sales and the CAF business, including the volume of loans originated, current interest rates charged to consumers, loan terms and average credit scores. Loans originated in a given fiscal period impact CAF income over time, as we recognize income over the life of the underlying auto loan.
CAF income does not include any allocation of indirect costs. Although CAF benefits from certain indirect overhead expenditures, we have not allocated indirect costs to CAF to avoid making subjective allocation decisions. Examples of indirect costs not allocated to CAF include retail store expenses and corporate expenses.
See Note 3 for additional information on CAF income and Note 4 for information on auto loans receivable, including credit quality.
SELECTED CAF FINANCIAL INFORMATION
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended November 30
|
|
Nine Months Ended November 30
|
(In millions)
|
2020
|
|
% (1)
|
|
2019
|
|
% (1)
|
|
2020
|
|
% (1)
|
|
2019
|
|
% (1)
|
Interest margin:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest and fee income
|
$
|
288.5
|
|
|
8.5
|
|
|
$
|
278.9
|
|
|
8.4
|
|
|
$
|
851.1
|
|
|
8.5
|
|
|
$
|
820.8
|
|
|
8.4
|
|
Interest expense
|
(77.1)
|
|
|
(2.3)
|
|
|
(90.4)
|
|
|
(2.7)
|
|
|
(243.0)
|
|
|
(2.4)
|
|
|
(268.4)
|
|
|
(2.8)
|
|
Total interest margin
|
$
|
211.4
|
|
|
6.3
|
|
|
$
|
188.5
|
|
|
5.7
|
|
|
$
|
608.1
|
|
|
6.1
|
|
|
$
|
552.4
|
|
|
5.7
|
|
Provision for loan losses
|
$
|
(8.2)
|
|
|
(0.2)
|
|
|
$
|
(49.0)
|
|
|
(1.5)
|
|
|
$
|
(156.1)
|
|
|
(1.6)
|
|
|
$
|
(132.7)
|
|
|
(1.4)
|
|
CarMax Auto Finance income
|
$
|
176.4
|
|
|
5.2
|
|
|
$
|
114.0
|
|
|
3.4
|
|
|
$
|
374.6
|
|
|
3.7
|
|
|
$
|
344.1
|
|
|
3.5
|
|
(1) Annualized percentage of total average managed receivables.
CAF ORIGINATION INFORMATION (AFTER THE IMPACT OF 3-DAY PAYOFFS)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended November 30
|
|
Nine Months Ended November 30
|
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
Net loans originated (in millions)
|
$
|
1,824.9
|
|
|
$
|
1,698.2
|
|
|
$
|
4,607.8
|
|
|
$
|
5,297.1
|
|
Vehicle units financed
|
88,952
|
|
|
83,448
|
|
|
230,296
|
|
|
264,691
|
|
Net penetration rate (1)
|
45.7
|
%
|
|
43.3
|
%
|
|
42.1
|
%
|
|
42.3
|
%
|
Weighted average contract rate
|
8.6
|
%
|
|
8.1
|
%
|
|
8.4
|
%
|
|
8.5
|
%
|
Weighted average credit score (2)
|
702
|
|
|
712
|
|
|
706
|
|
|
708
|
|
Weighted average loan-to-value (LTV) (3)
|
92.0
|
%
|
|
94.4
|
%
|
|
92.1
|
%
|
|
94.5
|
%
|
Weighted average term (in months)
|
66.2
|
|
|
66.0
|
|
|
66.0
|
|
|
66.2
|
|
(1) Vehicle units financed as a percentage of total used units sold.
(2) The credit scores represent FICO® scores and reflect only receivables with obligors that have a FICO® score at the time of application. The FICO® score with respect to any receivable with co-obligors is calculated as the average of each obligor’s FICO® score at the time of application. FICO® scores are not a significant factor in our primary scoring model, which relies on information from credit bureaus and other application information as discussed in Note 4. FICO® is a federally registered servicemark of Fair Isaac Corporation.
(3) LTV represents the ratio of the amount financed to the total collateral value, which is measured as the vehicle selling price plus applicable taxes, title and fees.
LOAN PERFORMANCE INFORMATION
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As of and for the Three Months Ended November 30
|
|
As of and for the Nine Months Ended November 30
|
(In millions)
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
|
2020
|
|
2019
|
Total ending managed receivables
|
$
|
13,636.1
|
|
|
$
|
13,352.6
|
|
|
$
|
13,636.1
|
|
|
$
|
13,352.6
|
|
Total average managed receivables
|
$
|
13,517.5
|
|
|
$
|
13,239.2
|
|
|
$
|
13,381.6
|
|
|
$
|
12,986.2
|
|
Allowance for loan losses (1)
|
$
|
431.6
|
|
|
$
|
153.6
|
|
|
$
|
431.6
|
|
|
$
|
153.6
|
|
Allowance for loan losses as a percentage of ending managed receivables
|
3.17
|
%
|
|
1.15
|
%
|
|
3.17
|
%
|
|
1.15
|
%
|
Net credit losses on managed receivables
|
$
|
9.1
|
|
|
$
|
45.8
|
|
|
$
|
84.3
|
|
|
$
|
117.3
|
|
Annualized net credit losses as a percentage of total average managed receivables
|
0.27
|
%
|
|
1.38
|
%
|
|
0.84
|
%
|
|
1.20
|
%
|
Past due accounts as a percentage of ending managed receivables
|
2.93
|
%
|
|
3.83
|
%
|
|
2.93
|
%
|
|
3.83
|
%
|
Average recovery rate (2)
|
55.6
|
%
|
|
47.5
|
%
|
|
53.2
|
%
|
|
48.4
|
%
|
(1) The allowance for loan losses as of November 30, 2020, includes a $202.0 million increase as a result of our adoption of CECL during the first quarter of fiscal 2021.
(2) The average recovery rate represents the average percentage of the outstanding principal balance we receive when a vehicle is repossessed and liquidated, generally at our wholesale auctions. While in any individual period conditions may vary, over the past 10 fiscal years, the annual recovery rate has ranged from a low of 46% to a high of 60%, and it is primarily affected by the wholesale market environment.
•CAF Income (Increase of $62.4 million, or 54.7% in the third quarter of fiscal 2021)
◦The increase in CAF income reflects a decrease in the provision for loan losses, as well as increases in the total interest margin percentage and average managed receivables.
◦The increase in net loan originations largely resulted from the increase in CAF’s net penetration rate.
•CAF Income (Increase of $30.5 million or 8.9% in the first nine months of fiscal 2021)
◦The increase in CAF income reflects increases in the total interest margin percentage and average managed receivables, partially offset by an increase in the provision for loan losses.
◦The decrease in net loan originations largely resulted from our used vehicle sales decline, driven by the decline in the first quarter.
•Provision for Loan Losses (Decrease of $40.8 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2021)
◦The decrease in the provision for loan losses was primarily due to favorable loss experience in comparison to our loss expectations set at the end of the second quarter, resulting in a $55.8 million favorable adjustment for receivables then outstanding.
◦This adjustment was more than offset by a $64.0 million increase to the provision related to our estimate of lifetime losses on originations during the third quarter.
◦While we experienced some loss favorability during the third quarter, this favorability was tempered by economic adjustment factors applied to the provision. The allowance for loan losses as of November 30, 2020 reflects the unpredictability of the current environment and the highly uncertain consumer situation.
•Provision for Loan Losses (Increase of $23.4 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2021)
◦The provision largely reflected our initial estimate of lifetime losses on loans originated in each quarter of the current fiscal year.
◦The provision also included an increase in our estimate of lifetime losses made during the first quarter of fiscal 2021, largely resulting from COVID-19 turmoil and worsened economic factors, which was largely offset by favorable loss experience in comparison to our expectations during the second and third quarters.
•Total Interest Margin (Increased to 6.3% in the third quarter of fiscal 2021 from 5.7% in the prior year quarter and 6.1% in the first nine months of fiscal 2021 from 5.7% in the prior year period)
◦The increase in the total interest margin percentage for both the third quarter and first nine months of fiscal 2021 was the result of lower funding costs.
◦The increase in the weighted average contract rate for the third quarter of fiscal 2021 was primarily driven by changes in customer mix.
Tier 3 Loan Originations. CAF also originates a small portion of auto loans to customers who typically would be financed by our Tier 3 finance providers, in order to better understand the performance of these loans, mitigate risk and add incremental profits. Historically, CAF has targeted originating approximately 5% of the total Tier 3 loan volume; however, this rate may vary over time based on market conditions. During the first quarter of fiscal 2021, we paused our CAF Tier 3 lending given the current economic outlook and uncertainty surrounding the COVID-19 outbreak. Early in the third quarter, we resumed our Tier 3 lending program. A total of $145.7 million and $167.5 million in CAF Tier 3 receivables were outstanding as of November 30, 2020 and February 29, 2020, respectively. These loans have higher loss and delinquency rates than the remainder of the CAF portfolio, as well as higher contract rates. As of November 30, 2020 and February 29, 2020, approximately 10% of the total allowance for loan losses related to the outstanding CAF Tier 3 loan balances.
PLANNED FUTURE ACTIVITIES
In the first quarter of fiscal 2021, we paused our store expansion strategy in response to the COVID-19 situation. We are resuming new store growth and anticipate opening between eight and ten stores in fiscal 2022.
FINANCIAL CONDITION
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Our primary ongoing cash requirements are to fund our existing operations, store expansion and improvement, CAF and strategic growth initiatives. Since fiscal 2013, we have also elected to use cash for our share repurchase program. Our primary ongoing sources of liquidity include funds provided by operations, proceeds from non-recourse funding vehicles and borrowings under our revolving credit facility or through other financing sources.
During the first quarter of fiscal 2021, in response to the COVID-19 crisis, we took immediate and proactive measures to bolster our liquidity position and provide additional financial flexibility to improve our ability to meet our short-term liquidity needs. Those measures included drawing down additional funds on our revolving credit facility, pausing our stock repurchase program, pausing our store expansion strategy and actively aligning operating expenses to the current state of the business. We strengthened our overall financial position by selling through inventory and quickly aligning costs to lower sales volumes. We have continued to adjust inventory levels throughout the pandemic to align with sales trends. During the third quarter, we fully paid down the outstanding balance on our revolving credit facility and resumed our store expansion strategy and share repurchase program. Our current capital allocation strategy is to continue to fund our growth initiatives while maintaining an appropriate amount of caution given the uncertainty that remains in the economic environment. Given the turnaround in our business, the strength of the credit markets and our solid balance sheet, we believe we have the appropriate liquidity, access to capital and financial strength to support our operations and continue investing in our strategic initiatives for the foreseeable future. We continue to monitor the COVID-19 situation and will make any further decisions necessary to position the company for a strong recovery as we emerge from this crisis.
We currently target an adjusted debt-to-total capital ratio in a range of 35% to 45%. Our adjusted debt to capital ratio was modestly below our targeted range for the third quarter of fiscal 2021. In calculating this ratio, we utilize total debt excluding non-recourse notes payable, finance lease liabilities, a multiple of eight times rent expense and total shareholders’ equity. Generally, we expect to use our revolving credit facility and other financing sources, together with stock repurchases, to maintain this targeted ratio; however, in any period, we may be outside this range due to seasonal, market, strategic or other factors.
Operating Activities. During the first nine months of fiscal 2021, net cash provided by operating activities totaled $868.4 million, compared with cash used in operating activities of $117.9 million in the prior year period. Our operating cash flows are significantly impacted by changes in auto loans receivable, which increased $73.8 million in the current year period compared with $980.8 million in the prior year period.
The majority of the changes in auto loans receivable are accompanied by changes in non-recourse notes payable, which are issued to fund auto loans originated by CAF. Net issuances of non-recourse notes payable were $7.1 million in the current year period compared with $785.0 million in the prior year period and are separately reflected as cash from financing activities. Due to the presentation differences between auto loans receivable and non-recourse notes payable on the consolidated statements of cash flows, fluctuations in these amounts can have a significant impact on our operating and financing cash flows without affecting our overall liquidity, working capital or cash flows.
As of November 30, 2020, total inventory was $2.78 billion, representing a decrease of $66.2 million compared with the balance as of the start of the fiscal year. The decrease was primarily due to a decline in vehicle units in response to the impact of COVID-19 on customer demand and our effort to align inventory levels with sales. The decrease in units was largely offset by an increase in the average carrying cost of inventory as a result of higher acquisition costs, driven by market appreciation.
The change in net cash provided by (used in) operating activities for the first nine months of the current fiscal year compared with the prior year period reflected the changes in auto loans receivable and inventory, as discussed above, and timing-related changes to other current assets, partially offset by a decrease in net earnings when excluding non-cash expenses, which include depreciation and amortization, share-based compensation expense and the provisions for loan losses and cancellation reserves, and timing-related changes to accounts payable.
Investing Activities. During the first nine months of the fiscal year, net cash used in investing activities totaled $122.1 million in fiscal 2021 compared with $256.6 million in fiscal 2020. Capital expenditures were $124.0 million in the current year period versus $249.2 million in the prior year period. Capital expenditures primarily included store construction costs and store remodeling expenses. We maintain a multi-year pipeline of sites to support our store growth, so portions of capital spending in one year may relate to stores that we open in subsequent fiscal years. In response to COVID-19, we paused our store expansion and remodel strategy during the first quarter of fiscal 2021. We have since resumed these activities.
As of November 30, 2020, 141 of our 220 used car stores were located on owned sites and 79 were located on leased sites, including 23 land-only leases and 56 land and building leases.
Financing Activities. During the first nine months of fiscal 2021, net cash used in financing activities totaled $534.3 million compared with net cash provided by financing activities of $409.1 million in the prior year period. Included in these amounts were net issuances of non-recourse notes payable of $7.1 million compared with $785.0 million in the prior year period. Non-recourse notes payable are typically used to fund changes in auto loans receivable (see “Operating Activities”).
During the first nine months of fiscal 2021, cash used in financing activities was impacted by stock repurchases of $158.6 million as well as net payments on our long-term debt of $460.3 million. During the first nine months of fiscal 2020, cash provided by financing activities was impacted by stock repurchases of $458.6 million as well as net borrowings on our long-term debt of $4.7 million.
TOTAL DEBT AND CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(In thousands)
|
|
As of November 30
|
As of February 29
|
Debt Description (1)
|
Maturity Date
|
2020
|
2020
|
Revolving credit facility (2)
|
June 2024
|
$
|
1,008
|
|
$
|
452,740
|
|
Term loan
|
June 2024
|
300,000
|
|
300,000
|
|
3.86% Senior notes
|
April 2023
|
100,000
|
|
100,000
|
|
4.17% Senior notes
|
April 2026
|
200,000
|
|
200,000
|
|
4.27% Senior notes
|
April 2028
|
200,000
|
|
200,000
|
|
Financing obligations
|
Various dates through February 2059
|
531,030
|
|
536,739
|
|
Non-recourse notes payable
|
Various dates through September 2027
|
13,620,332
|
|
13,613,272
|
|
Total debt (3)
|
|
14,952,370
|
|
15,402,751
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents
|
|
$
|
236,643
|
|
$
|
58,211
|
|
(1) Interest is payable monthly, with the exception of our senior notes, which are payable semi-annually.
(2) Borrowings accrue interest at variable rates based on the Eurodollar rate (LIBOR), the federal funds rate, or the prime rate, depending on the type of borrowing.
(3) Total debt excludes unamortized debt issuance costs. See Note 9 for additional information.
Borrowings under our $1.45 billion unsecured revolving credit facility are available for working capital and general corporate purposes, and the unused portion is fully available to us. The credit facility, term loan and senior note agreements contain representations and warranties, conditions and covenants. If these requirements are not met, all amounts outstanding or otherwise owed could become due and payable immediately and other limitations could be placed on our ability to use any available borrowing capacity. As of November 30, 2020, we were in compliance with these financial covenants.
See Note 9 for additional information on our revolving credit facility, term loan, senior notes and financing obligations.
CAF auto loans receivable are primarily funded through our warehouse facilities and asset-backed term funding transactions. These non-recourse funding vehicles are structured to legally isolate the auto loans receivable, and we would not expect to be able to access the assets of our non-recourse funding vehicles, even in insolvency, receivership or conservatorship proceedings. Similarly, the investors in the non-recourse notes payable have no recourse to our assets beyond the related receivables, the amounts on deposit in reserve accounts and the restricted cash from collections on auto loans receivable. We do, however, continue to have the rights associated with the interest we retain in these non-recourse funding vehicles.
As of November 30, 2020, $11.31 billion and $2.31 billion of non-recourse notes payable were outstanding related to asset-backed term funding transactions and our warehouse facilities, respectively. During the first nine months of fiscal 2021, we funded a total of $4.17 billion in asset-backed term funding transactions. As of November 30, 2020, we had $1.22 billion of unused capacity in our warehouse facilities.
We have periodically increased our warehouse facility limit over time, as our store base, sales and CAF loan originations have grown. See Note 9 for additional information on the warehouse facilities.
We generally repurchase the receivables funded through our warehouse facilities when we enter into an asset-backed term funding transaction. If our counterparties were to refuse to permit these repurchases it could impact our ability to execute on
our funding program. Additionally, the agreements related to the warehouse facilities include various representations and warranties, covenants and performance triggers. If these requirements are not met, we could be unable to continue to fund receivables through the warehouse facilities. In addition, warehouse facility investors could charge us a higher rate of interest and could have us replaced as servicer. Further, we could be required to deposit collections on the related receivables with the warehouse facility agents on a daily basis and deliver executed lockbox agreements to the warehouse facility agents.
The timing and amount of stock repurchases are determined based on stock price, market conditions, legal requirements and other factors. Shares repurchased are deemed authorized but unissued shares of common stock. As of November 30, 2020, a total of $2 billion of board authorizations for repurchases was outstanding, with no expiration date, of which $1.40 billion remained available for repurchase. In March 2020, our current stock repurchase program was suspended. The repurchase authorization remained effective and the program resumed in September 2020. See Note 10 for more information on share repurchase activity.
Fair Value Measurements
We recognize money market securities, mutual fund investments and derivative instruments at fair value. See Note 6 for more information on fair value measurements.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
We caution readers that the statements contained in this report about our future business plans, operations, capital structure, opportunities, or prospects, including without limitation any statements or factors regarding expected operating capacity, sales, market share, margins, expenditures, CAF income, stock repurchases, indebtedness, tax rates, earnings, market conditions or expectations with regards to the continued impact of the COVID-19 pandemic are forward-looking statements made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. You can identify these forward-looking statements by the use of words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “outlook,” “plan,” “predict,” “should,” “will” and other similar expressions, whether in the negative or affirmative. Such forward-looking statements are based upon management’s current knowledge and assumptions about future events and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from anticipated results. We disclaim any intent or obligation to update these statements. Among the factors that could cause actual results and outcomes to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements are the following:
•The effect and consequences of COVID-19 on matters including U.S. and local economies; our business operations and continuity; the availability of corporate and consumer financing; the health and productivity of our associates; the ability of third-party providers to continue uninterrupted service; and the regulatory environment in which we operate.
•Changes in general or regional U.S. economic conditions.
•Changes in the availability or cost of capital and working capital financing, including changes related to the asset-backed securitization market.
•Changes in the competitive landscape and/or our failure to successfully adjust to such changes.
•Events that damage our reputation or harm the perception of the quality of our brand.
•Our inability to realize the benefits associated with our omni-channel initiatives.
•Our inability to recruit, develop and retain associates and maintain positive associate relations.
•The loss of key associates from our store, regional or corporate management teams or a significant increase in labor costs.
•Security breaches or other events that result in the misappropriation, loss or other unauthorized disclosure of confidential customer, associate or corporate information.
•Significant changes in prices of new and used vehicles.
•Changes in economic conditions or other factors that result in greater credit losses for CAF’s portfolio of auto loans receivable than anticipated.
•A reduction in the availability of or access to sources of inventory or a failure to expeditiously liquidate inventory.
•Changes in consumer credit availability provided by our third-party finance providers.
•Changes in the availability of extended protection plan products from third-party providers.
•Factors related to the regulatory and legislative environment in which we operate.
•Factors related to geographic and sales growth, including the inability to effectively manage our growth.
•The failure of or inability to sufficiently enhance key information systems.
•The performance of third-party vendors we rely on for key components of our business.
•The effect of various litigation matters.
•Adverse conditions affecting one or more automotive manufacturers, and manufacturer recalls.
•The failure or inability to realize the benefits associated with our strategic investments.
•The inaccuracy of estimates and assumptions used in the preparation of our financial statements, or the effect of new accounting requirements or changes to U.S. generally accepted accounting principles.
•The volatility in the market price for our common stock.
•The failure or inability to adequately protect our intellectual property.
•The occurrence of severe weather events.
•Factors related to the geographic concentration of our stores.
For more details on factors that could affect expectations, see Part II, Item 1A, “Risk Factors” on Page 45 of this report, our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 29, 2020, and our quarterly or current reports as filed with or furnished to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). Our filings are publicly available on our investor information home page at investors.carmax.com. Requests for information may also be made to our Investor Relations Department by email to investor_relations@carmax.com or by calling 1-804-747-0422, ext. 4391. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements after the date they are made, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.