ITEM 8.01 OTHER EVENTS
Estimated Value Per Share
On February 19, 2020, the Company, Pacific Oak SOR II, LLC, an indirect subsidiary of the Company (“Merger Sub”), and Pacific Oak Strategic Opportunity REIT II, Inc. (“POSOR II”) entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “Merger Agreement”). Pursuant to the Merger Agreement, on October 5, 2020, POSOR II merged with and into Merger Sub (the “Merger”), with Merger Sub surviving the Merger (the “Surviving Entity”), such that following the Merger, the Surviving Entity continued as an indirect subsidiary of the Company. In accordance with the applicable provisions of the Maryland General Corporation Law, the separate existence of POSOR II ceased. At the effective time of the Merger, each issued and outstanding share of POSOR II’s common stock converted into the right to receive 0.9643 shares of the Company's common stock, or 28,973,906 shares of the Company's common stock. The Company acquired two hotel properties, three office properties, one apartment building, one consolidated entity to develop one office/retail property, two investments in real estate equity securities and two investments in unconsolidated entities.
On December 4, 2020, the Company’s board of directors approved an estimated value per share of the Company’s common stock of $9.68 based on the estimated value of the Company’s assets less the estimated value of the Company’s liabilities, or net asset value, divided by the number of shares outstanding, all as of September 30, 2020, with the exception of the following adjustments: (i) an adjustment for the Merger and related expenses incurred and (ii) the issuance of 28,973,906 shares of the Company's common stock in connection with the Merger, as described further herein (collectively the “Adjustments”). Other than the Adjustments, there have been no material changes between September 30, 2020 and the date of this filing to the net values of the Company’s assets and liabilities that materially impacted the overall estimated value per share. The Company is providing this estimated value per share to assist broker-dealers that participated in the Company’s initial public offering in meeting their customer account statement reporting obligations under National Association of Securities Dealers Conduct Rule 2340 as required by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (“FINRA”). This valuation was performed in accordance with the provisions of and also to comply with Practice Guideline 2013–01, Valuations of Publicly Registered Non-Listed REITs, issued by the Institute for Portfolio Alternatives (“IPA”) in April 2013.
The Company’s conflicts committee, composed of all of the Company’s independent directors, is responsible for the oversight of the valuation process, including the review and approval of the valuation process and methodologies used to determine the Company’s estimated value per share, the consistency of the valuation and appraisal methodologies with real estate industry standards and practices and the reasonableness of the assumptions used in the valuations and appraisals. The estimated value per share was based upon the recommendation and valuation prepared by Pacific Oak Capital Advisors, LLC (the “Advisor”), the Company’s external advisor. The Advisor’s valuation of the Company’s consolidated investments in real estate properties and its unconsolidated properties 110 William Street and 353 Sacramento was based on valuations performed by third-party valuation firms. The Advisor’s valuation of the Company's three other unconsolidated entity investments was based on (i) its equity capital contributions in the case of two unconsolidated entities having a value of $28.6 million or $0.29 per share and (ii) the actual cash received as a final liquidating distribution in the case of one unconsolidated entity having a value of $0.1 million or $0.00 per share. The aforementioned third-party valuations represented appraisals for the Company’s consolidated entity investments in real estate properties and its unconsolidated properties 110 William Street and 353 Sacramento, and automated valuation model estimates for each individual home in the Company’s consolidated single-family rental home portfolio (“SFR portfolio”) of 1,769 homes. The appraisals were performed by Duff & Phelps, LLC (“Duff & Phelps”), except for the undeveloped land which was appraised by Colliers International Valuation & Advisory Services, LLC (“Colliers”). Valuation of the SFR portfolio was performed by ClearCapital.com, Inc. (“Clear Capital”). Duff & Phelps, Colliers and Clear Capital, each an independent third-party valuation firm, also prepared appraisal/valuation reports, summarizing key inputs and assumptions, for each of the real estate properties they respectively valued. The Advisor performed valuations with respect to the Company’s real estate-related investments, three of its unconsolidated entities, cash, other assets, mortgage debt and other liabilities. The methodologies and assumptions used to determine the estimated value of the Company’s assets and the estimated value of the Company’s liabilities are described further below.
The Advisor used the valuations from the third-party valuation firms together with the Advisor’s estimated values to calculate and recommend an estimated value per share of the Company’s common stock. Upon (i) the conflicts committee’s receipt and review of the Advisor’s valuation report, including the Advisor’s summary of the appraisal/valuation reports prepared by Duff & Phelps, Colliers and Clear Capital and the Advisor’s estimated value of each of the Company’s other assets and the Company’s liabilities, (ii) the conflicts committee’s review of the reasonableness of the Company’s estimated value per share resulting from the Advisor’s valuation process and (iii) in light of other factors considered by the conflicts committee and the conflicts committee’s own extensive knowledge of the Company’s assets and liabilities, the conflicts committee concluded that the estimated value per share proposed by the Advisor was reasonable and recommended to the board of directors that it adopt $9.68 as the estimated value per share of the Company’s common stock. At the special meeting of the board of directors, the board of directors unanimously agreed to accept the recommendation of the conflicts committee and approved $9.68 as the estimated value of the Company’s common stock, which determination is ultimately and solely the responsibility of the board of directors.
The table below sets forth the calculation of the Company’s estimated value per share as of December 4, 2020, as well as the calculation of the Company’s prior estimated value per share as of December 17, 2019:
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December 4, 2020
Estimated Value per Share
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December 17, 2019
Estimated Value per Share (1)
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Change in Estimated Value per Share
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Real estate properties (2)
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$
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17.44
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$
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15.03
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$
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2.41
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Real estate equity securities
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0.92
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1.14
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(0.22)
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Cash
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0.89
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1.47
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(0.58)
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Investments in unconsolidated entities
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2.12
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3.15
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(1.03)
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Other assets
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0.28
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0.24
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0.04
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Mortgage debt (3)
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(8.68)
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(6.44)
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(2.24)
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Series A Debentures (4)
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(1.62)
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(3.26)
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1.64
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Series B Debentures (5)
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(0.61)
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—
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(0.61)
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Pacific Oak Capital Advisors participation fee potential liability
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—
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(0.03)
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0.03
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Merger-related liabilities (6)
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(0.06)
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—
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(0.06)
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Other liabilities
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(0.50)
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(0.47)
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(0.03)
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Noncontrolling Series A Preferred Stock (7)
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(0.16)
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—
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(0.16)
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Non-controlling interest (8)
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(0.34)
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(0.20)
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(0.14)
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Estimated value per share
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$
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9.68
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$
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10.63
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$
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(0.95)
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Estimated enterprise value premium
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None assumed
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None assumed
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None assumed
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Total estimated value per share
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$
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9.68
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$
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10.63
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$
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(0.95)
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_____________________
(1) The December 17, 2019 estimated value per share was based upon the recommendation and valuation of the Advisor. The Company engaged Duff & Phelps and Colliers to provide appraisals of the Company’s real estate properties, investments in undeveloped land and two of its unconsolidated investments in real estate properties and the Advisor performed valuations of the Company’s real estate-related investments, cash, other assets, mortgage debt and other liabilities. For more information relating to the December 17, 2019 estimated value per share and the assumptions and methodologies used by Duff & Phelps, Colliers and the Advisor, see the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the SEC on December 19, 2019.
(2) The increase in the estimated value of real estate properties was primarily due to the Merger and property acquisitions, partially offset by declines in property fair values and property dispositions.
(3) The increase in mortgage debt was primarily due to the Merger, borrowings to fund acquisitions of real estate and capital expenditures on real estate, partially offset by repayments upon asset sales.
(4) Amount relates to Series A Debentures issued in Israel on March 8, 2016. The decrease is primarily due to a principal payment which was due March 1, 2020 and a decline in the quoted bond price on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange and the issuance of 28,973,906 shares of the Company's common stock in connection with the Merger.
(5) Amount relates to Series B Debentures issued in Israel on February 16, 2020. The increase is due to the issuance of the debentures, partially offset by a decline in the quoted bond price on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange.
(6) Represents the fees payable to the Company’s and POSOR II’s third-party financial advisors related to the Merger and estimated property transfer tax liabilities, all incurred upon closing of the Merger on October 5, 2020.
(7) Represents the par value plus accrued unpaid dividends on the Series A cumulative convertible redeemable preferred stock issued by Pacific Oak Residential Trust, Inc. on November 6, 2019.
(8) The increase in non-controlling interests was primarily due to the Merger and an increase from the Company’s issuance of common equity units in the operating partnership of Pacific Oak Residential Trust, Inc. to the Battery Point Trust, Inc. seller as acquisition consideration for the Company’s Battery Point Trust, Inc. acquisition on July 1, 2020, partially offset by decreases tied to the declines in consolidated entities property fair values.
The decrease in the Company’s estimated value per share from the previous estimate was primarily due to the items noted below, which reflect the significant contributors to the decrease in the estimated value per share from $10.63 to $9.68. The changes are not equal to the change in values of each real each asset and liability group presented in the table above due to real estate property acquisitions, dispositions, debt financings and other factors, which caused the value of certain asset or liability groups to change with no impact to the Company’s fair value of equity or the overall estimated value per share.
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Change in Estimated Value per Share
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December 17, 2019 estimated value per share
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$
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10.63
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Changes to estimated value per share
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Investments
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Real estate
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(0.11)
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Investments in unconsolidated entities
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(0.46)
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Investments in debt and equity securities
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(0.30)
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Capital expenditures on real estate
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(0.38)
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Merger (1)
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(0.36)
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Total change related to investments
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(1.61)
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Operating cash flows in excess of distributions declared (2)
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0.17
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Foreign currency gain
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0.15
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Merger and property selling, acquisition and financing costs (3)
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(0.09)
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Advisor disposition and acquisition fees (4)
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—
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Mortgage debt, Series A debentures and Series B debentures
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0.38
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Advisor participation fee potential liability
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0.03
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Other
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0.02
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Total change in estimated value per share
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$
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(0.95)
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December 4, 2020 estimated value per share
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$
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9.68
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_____________________
(1) Merger impact reflects changes in the net asset values of the Company and POSOR II after the Merger Agreement was signed on February 19, 2020.
(2) Operating cash flow reflects modified funds from operations (“MFFO”) adjusted to deduct capitalized interest expense, real estate taxes and insurance and add back the amortization of deferred financing costs. The Company computes MFFO in accordance with the definition included in the practice guideline issued by the IPA in November 2010.
(3) Merger and property selling, acquisition and financing costs include approximately (i) $6.1 million, or $0.06 per share, for fees payable to the Company’s and POSOR II’s third-party financial advisors related to the Merger and estimated property transfer tax liabilities incurred upon closing of the Merger on October 5, 2020, (ii) $2.6 million, or $0.03 per share, for financing costs including the issuance costs related to the Company’s Series B debentures and Series A cumulative convertible redeemable preferred stock issuance costs, and (iii) $0.4 million, or $0.00 per share, for acquisition and selling costs.
(4) Advisor disposition and acquisition fees were $0.3 million, or $0.00 per share.
As with any valuation methodology, the methodologies used are based upon a number of estimates and assumptions that may not be accurate or complete. Different parties using different assumptions and estimates could derive a different estimated value per share, and these differences could be significant. The estimated value per share is not audited and does not represent the fair value of the Company’s assets less the fair value of the Company’s liabilities according to U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), nor does it represent a liquidation value of the Company’s assets and liabilities or the price at which the Company’s shares of common stock would trade at on a national securities exchange. The estimated value per share does not reflect a discount for the fact that the Company is externally managed, nor does it reflect a real estate portfolio premium/discount versus the sum of the individual property values. The estimated value per share also does not take into account estimated disposition costs and fees for real estate properties that are not under contract to sell, debt prepayment penalties that could apply upon the prepayment of certain of the Company’s debt obligations, the impact of restrictions on the assumption of debt or swap breakage fees that may be incurred upon the termination of certain of the Company’s swaps prior to expiration.
Methodology
The Company’s goal for the valuation was to arrive at a reasonable and supportable estimated value per share, using a process that was designed to be in compliance with the IPA Valuation Guidelines and using what the Company and the Advisor deemed to be appropriate valuation methodologies and assumptions. The following is a summary of the real estate valuation engagements as well as the methodologies, assumptions and estimates used to value the Company’s assets and liabilities:
Real Estate
Independent Valuation Firm
Duff & Phelps(1) was selected by the Advisor and approved by the Company’s conflicts committee to appraise all of the Company’s consolidated real estate properties, 110 William Street, and 353 Sacramento, but excluding the Company’s investments in undeveloped land and the single-family rental home portfolio. Colliers(2) was selected by the Advisor and approved by the Company’s conflicts committee to appraise the Company’s investments in undeveloped land (hereinafter the properties appraised by Duff & Phelps and Colliers are the “Appraised Properties”). Clear Capital(3) was selected by the Advisor and approved by the Company’s conflicts committee to provide a value for the Company’s single-family rental home portfolio using its proprietary automated valuation models. Clear Capital’s values were not appraisals and should not be construed as appraisals. Duff & Phelps and Colliers are engaged in the business of appraising commercial real estate properties, and Clear Capital is engaged in the business of real estate valuations, data, and analytics and none are affiliated with the Company or the Advisor. The compensation the Company pays to Duff & Phelps, Colliers, and Clear Capital is based on the scope of work and not on the values of the Company’s real estate properties. In preparing their valuation reports, Duff & Phelps, Colliers, and Clear Capital did not, and were not requested to, inspect or otherwise evaluate the physical conditions of the Company’s properties or solicit third-party indications of interest for the Company’s properties or common stock in connection with possible purchases thereof or the acquisition of all or any part of the Company.
_____________________
(1) Duff & Phelps is actively engaged in the business of appraising commercial real estate properties similar to those owned by the Company in connection with public securities offerings, private placements, business combinations and similar transactions. The Company engaged Duff & Phelps to deliver an appraisal report relating to all of the Company’s consolidated investments in real estate properties, 110 William Street and 353 Sacramento, but excluding the Company’s investments in undeveloped land and the single-family rental home portfolio, and Duff & Phelps received fees upon the delivery of such report. In addition, the Company has agreed to indemnify Duff & Phelps against certain liabilities arising out of this engagement. In the six years prior to the date of this filing, Duff & Phelps and its affiliates have provided a number of commercial real estate, appraisal and valuation services for the Company and/or its affiliates and have received fees in connection with such services. Duff & Phelps and its affiliates may from time to time in the future perform other commercial real estate, appraisal and valuation services for the Company and its affiliates in transactions related to the properties that are the subjects of the appraisals, so long as such other services do not adversely affect the independence of the applicable Duff & Phelps appraiser as certified in the applicable appraisal reports.
(2) Colliers is actively engaged in the business of appraising commercial real estate properties similar to those owned by the Company in connection with public securities offerings, private placements, business combinations and similar transactions. The Company engaged Colliers to deliver appraisal reports relating to certain of the Company’s investments in undeveloped land and Colliers received fees upon the delivery of such reports. In addition, the Company has agreed to indemnify Colliers against certain liabilities arising out of this engagement. Colliers and its affiliates are engaged in the ordinary course of business in many areas related to commercial real estate and related services. Colliers and its affiliates may from time to time in the future perform other commercial real estate, appraisal, valuation and financial advisory services for the Company and its affiliates in transactions related to the properties that are the subjects of the appraisals, so long as such other services do not adversely affect the independence of the applicable Colliers appraiser as certified in the applicable appraisal reports.
(3) Clear Capital is actively engaged in the business of real estate valuation, data, and analytics related to homes similar to those owned by the Company. The Company engaged Clear Capital to provide a valuation for each of the single-family rental homes in its portfolio, and Clear Capital received fees upon the delivery of its valuation report. Clear Capital’s proprietary valuations provide estimates of value based on multiple factors, but are not guarantees of property value, characteristics or condition. Clear Capital’s valuations were provided to assist the Advisor in calculating the estimated value per share of the Company’s common stock. Clear Capital did not make an independent determination as to whether its valuation methodology was suitable for such purpose or calculate or participate in the calculation of the estimated value per share. In addition, the Company has agreed to indemnify Clear Capital against certain liabilities arising out of this engagement. Clear Capital is engaged in the ordinary course of business in many areas related to real estate and related services. Clear Capital and its affiliates may from time to time in the future perform other valuation and advisory services for the Company related to the properties that are the subjects of the valuation report, so long as such other services do not adversely affect the independence of Clear Capital.
Duff & Phelps, Colliers, and Clear Capital collected all reasonably available material information that each deemed relevant for the requested valuation products and took into account customary real estate valuation and financial considerations and procedures as each deemed relevant with respect to the requested valuation products. Duff & Phelps relied in part on property-level information provided by the Advisor, including (i) property historical and projected operating revenues and expenses; (ii) property lease agreements; and (iii) information regarding recent or planned capital expenditures. Colliers was provided with land surveys and development plans and relied in part on such information. Clear Capital was provided with property addresses, purchase prices and dates, and certain characteristics for each of the Company’s homes and relied in part on such information. Duff & Phelps, Colliers, and Clear Capital relied on the information supplied or otherwise made available by the Company and the Advisor to be accurate and complete, prepared in good faith, and to reflect the best currently available estimates and judgments of the Company and the Advisor, and did not independently verify any such information. In addition, Duff & Phelps, Colliers, and Clear Capital relied on the Company or the Advisor to inform them if any information previously provided became inaccurate or needed updating during the course of their engagements or if there were any exceptions to the typical assumptions that the Company has clear and marketable title to each real estate property, that no title defects exist, that any improvements were made in accordance with law, that no hazardous materials are present or were present previously, that no deed restrictions exist, and that no changes to zoning ordinances or regulations governing use, density or shape are pending or being considered. Duff & Phelps, Colliers, and Clear Capital did not independently verify any such information.
For the appraisals, Duff & Phelps and Colliers performed the appraisals in accordance with the Code of Ethics and the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice, or USPAP, the real estate appraisal industry standards created by The Appraisal Foundation, as well as the requirements of the state where each real property is located. Each appraisal was reviewed, approved and signed by an individual with the professional designation of MAI (Member of the Appraisal Institute). The use of the appraisal reports is subject to the requirements of the Appraisal Institute relating to review by its duly authorized representatives. In the appraisals, and as outlined in the appraisal reports, Duff & Phelps and Colliers necessarily made numerous assumptions as of various points in time and with respect to general business, economic, and regulatory conditions, industry performance, and other matters, many of which are beyond Duff & Phelps’ and Colliers’ control and the Company’s control.
For the single-family rental home valuations, Clear Capital generated an estimated value for each individual home using its proprietary automated valuation models built to leverage machine learning algorithms and an extensive database that may include public records, MLS information, and insights from a nationwide network of independent real estate professionals including appraisers, brokers, and agents. Each individual home was assigned the ClearAVM value, an estimated value generated by a computer model which utilizes recent sales prices for homes considered comparable to the subject given a custom geographic boundary, home characteristics, and features of nearby properties, unless the confidence score provided with the ClearAVM value did not meet a specified threshold. In those cases, the individual home was assigned what is called the trended Home Data Index value, an estimated value calculated by multiplying a property's last sale price by a price change factor which is generated by the combination of a repeat sales computer model and a price per square foot model that is designed to measure the change in home prices over time at granular geographic levels. For the Company’s single-family rental home portfolio, approximately 80% of the individual homes were assigned the ClearAVM value and 20% were assigned the trended Home Data Index value. Clear Capital’s valuations were not appraisals and should not be construed as appraisals, and were based on computer models developed by Clear Capital which utilize data believed to be reliable but there can be no guarantee that the data is accurate or complete.
Although Duff & Phelps, Colliers, and Clear Capital considered any comments received from the Company or the Advisor to their valuations, ultimately the valuations were determined by Duff & Phelps, Colliers, and Clear Capital. The valuations were necessarily estimates, and the price at which the Company’s properties may actually be sold could differ materially from the valuations. The valuations were necessarily based on assumptions, analyses, opinions, and conclusions reflecting the general business, economic, financial and other circumstances and conditions, and data in existence as of or prior to the date of the valuations. Material change in assumptions, circumstances, conditions, matters, or data after the date of the valuations, or discovery after the date of the valuations that data which had been considered reliable and which had been utilized was in fact unreliable, inaccurate, or incomplete, may affect such valuations. The Duff & Phelps, Colliers, and Clear Capital engagement letters and the appraisal reports contain qualifications and limitations that qualify the analyses, opinions, and conclusions reflected in the valuations. The valuations are addressed solely to the Company to assist the Advisor in calculating and recommending an updated estimated value per share of the Company’s common stock, and Duff & Phelps, Colliers, and Clear Capital have not made independent determinations as to whether the valuations are suitable for such a purpose. The valuations are not addressed to the public and may not be relied upon by any other person to establish an estimated value per share of the Company’s common stock and do not constitute a recommendation to any person to purchase or sell any shares of the Company’s common stock. Duff & Phelps, Colliers, and Clear Capital were responsible only for the valuation services outlined in their engagement letters, and were not responsible for, did not calculate, and did not participate in the determination of the estimated value per share of the Company’s common stock.
The foregoing is a summary description of the engagements, standard assumptions, qualifications and limitations that generally apply to the Duff & Phelps, Colliers, and Clear Capital valuations.
Real Estate Valuation
Upon closing of the Merger, the Company had 21 consolidated real estate properties (consisting of nine office properties, one office portfolio consisting of four office buildings, two apartment properties, a portfolio of 1,769 single-family rental homes, two hotel properties, one office/retail development property, two investments in 14 acres of undeveloped land, and three investments in undeveloped land with approximately 1,000 developable acres). The Company’s consolidated real estate properties had a total value of $1,712.1 million. These properties had a total cost basis of $1,581.1 million as of September 30, 2020 (adjusted to reflect the Merger), which is the total of acquisition prices of $1,441.1 million including a purchase price allocation for the properties acquired from POSOR II, $20.0 million for the acquisition of minority interests in unconsolidated entities, $103.5 million in capital expenditures, leasing commissions and tenant improvements since inception and $16.6 million of acquisition fees and expenses including foreclosure costs and certain costs due upon closing of the Merger. The Company’s consolidated real estate value compared to this cost basis represents an increase of approximately 8.3%.
The Company obtained appraisals for each of the consolidated real estate properties except for the single-family rental home portfolio which was valued as previously described. The Company’s consolidated Appraised Properties had a total appraised value of $1,505.7 million, and the Company’s consolidated single-family rental home portfolio had a total estimated value of $206.4 million.
For the appraisals, Duff & Phelps and Colliers used various methodologies, as appropriate, such as the direct capitalization approach, discounted cash flow analyses and sales comparison approach. Duff & Phelps relied primarily on 10-year discounted cash flow analyses for the final valuations of each of the real estate properties (which exclude undeveloped land) and Colliers relied primarily on the sales comparison approach for the final valuations of the undeveloped land that it appraised. Duff & Phelps calculated the discounted cash flow value of the Company’s real estate properties (which exclude undeveloped land) using property-level cash flow estimates, terminal capitalization rates and discount rates that fall within ranges they believe would be used by similar investors to value the properties the Company owns based on recent comparable market transactions adjusted for unique property and market-specific factors. Colliers relied primarily on the sales comparison approach and estimated the value of the undeveloped land based on the most applicable recent comparable market transactions. For the valuation of the single-family rental home portfolio, Clear Capital calculated the total of the estimated values of each individual home using its proprietary automated valuation models.
The following table summarizes the key assumptions that were used to value the Appraised Properties and single-family homes:
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Range in Values
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Weighted-Average Basis
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Consolidated Appraised Properties (Excluding Undeveloped Land and Office/Retail Development Property)
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Terminal capitalization rate
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4.50% to 7.50%
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6.43%
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Discount rate
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6.00% to 9.50%
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7.60%
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Net operating income compounded annual growth rate (1)
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2.74% to 17.46%
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5.91%
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Undeveloped Land
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Price per acre (2)
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$210,000 to $957,000
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$225,000
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Office/Retail Development Property
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Price per FAR (Floor area ratio) (3)
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$625 to $875
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$875
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Single-Family Homes
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Price per square foot
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$16.41 to $318.39
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$86.50
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_____________________
(1) The net operating income compounded annual growth rates (“CAGRs”) reflect both the contractual and market rents and reimbursements (in cases where the contractual lease period is less than the valuation period) net of expenses over the valuation period. The range of CAGRs shown is the constant annual rate at which the net operating income is projected to grow to reach the net operating income in the final year of the hold period for each of the properties.
(2) The weighted-average price per acre was primarily driven by the Company’s two investments in undeveloped land with approximately 1,000 developable acres located in North Las Vegas, Nevada. The weighted-average price per acre for these two investments in undeveloped land was approximately $210,000.
(3) Price per FAR is before deducting for the ground lease liability and estimated demolition costs, and the range in values reflects different development scenarios.
While the Company believes that Duff & Phelps’, Colliers’, and Clear Capital’s assumptions and inputs are reasonable, a change in these assumptions and inputs would significantly impact the estimated values of the Company’s real estate properties and, thus, its estimated value per share. As of September 30, 2020, certain of the Company’s real estate assets have non-stabilized occupancies. Appraisals may provide a sense of the value of the investment, but any appraisal of the property will be based on numerous estimates, judgments and assumptions that significantly affect the appraised value of the underlying property. An appraisal of a non-stabilized property, in particular, involves a high degree of subjectivity due to high vacancy levels and uncertainties with respect to future market rental rates and timing of lease-up and stabilization. Accordingly, different assumptions may materially change the appraised value of the property. The table below illustrates the impact on the estimated value per share if the terminal capitalization rates or discount rates were adjusted by 25 basis points, and assuming all other factors remain unchanged, with respect to the consolidated Appraised Properties referenced in the table above (excluding undeveloped land and office/retail development property). Additionally, the table below illustrates the impact on the estimated value per share if the terminal capitalization rates or discount rates for these properties were adjusted by 5% in accordance with the IPA guidance:
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Increase (Decrease) on the Estimated Value per Share due to
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Decrease of 25 basis points
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Increase of 25 basis points
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Decrease of 5%
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|
Increase of 5%
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Terminal capitalization rates
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$
|
0.34
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|
|
$
|
(0.31)
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|
|
$
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0.40
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$
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(0.35)
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|
Discount rates
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0.23
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|
|
(0.22)
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|
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0.30
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|
|
(0.29)
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|
The table below illustrates the impact on the estimated value per share if the price per acre of the investments in undeveloped land was adjusted by 5%:
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Increase (Decrease) on the Estimated Value per Share due to
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Decrease of 5%
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|
Increase of 5%
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Price per acre
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$
|
(0.11)
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|
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$
|
0.11
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|
The table below illustrates the impact on the estimated value per share if the price per FAR of the investment in the office/retail development property was adjusted by 5%:
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Increase (Decrease) on the Estimated Value per Share due to
|
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Decrease of 5%
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|
Increase of 5%
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Price per FAR
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$
|
(0.02)
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|
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$
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0.02
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|
The table below illustrates the impact on the estimated value per share if the price per square foot of the single-family rental home portfolio was adjusted by 5%:
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Increase (Decrease) on the Estimated Value per Share due to
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|
Decrease of 5%
|
|
Increase of 5%
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Price per square foot
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$
|
(0.10)
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|
|
$
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0.10
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|
Investments in Unconsolidated Entities
Upon closing of the Merger, the Company held five investments in unconsolidated entities including: 110 William Street, 353 Sacramento, Pacific Oak Opportunity Zone Fund I, Pacific Oak Residential Trust II and a participating loan facility.
110 William Street is an office property containing 928,157 rentable square feet located in New York, New York and the Company holds a 60% interest in an entity that owns 110 William Street. The appraised value of 110 William Street as provided by Duff & Phelps was $500.8 million. The Advisor relied on the appraised value provided by Duff & Phelps along with the fair value of other assets and liabilities as determined by the Advisor, and then calculated the amount that the Company would receive in a hypothetical liquidation of the real estate at the appraised value and the other assets and liabilities at their fair values based on the profit participation thresholds contained in the entity agreement. The resulting amount was the fair value assigned to the Company’s 60% interest in this unconsolidated entity. As of September 30, 2020, the carrying value and estimated fair value of the Company’s investment in this unconsolidated entity were $0 and $102.1 million, respectively. The Company’s carrying value for this investment is $0 due to a $7.8 million distribution from the 110 William Street Entity during the first quarter of 2019 and this distribution exceeded the book value for this investment.
Duff & Phelps relied on a 10-year discounted cash flow analyses for the final valuation of 110 William Street. The terminal capitalization rate, discount rate and CAGR used in the discounted cash flow model to arrive at the appraised value were 5.50%, 7.00% and 12.48%, respectively.
353 Sacramento is an office building containing 284,751 rentable square feet located in San Francisco, California and the Company holds a 55% interest in an entity that owns 353 Sacramento. The appraised value of 353 Sacramento as provided by Duff & Phelps was $255.6 million. The Advisor relied on the appraised value provided by Duff & Phelps along with the fair value of other assets and liabilities as determined by the Advisor, and then calculated the amount that the Company would receive in a hypothetical liquidation of the real estate at the appraised value and the other assets and liabilities at their fair values based on the profit participation thresholds contained in the entity agreement. The resulting amount was the fair value assigned to the Company’s 55% interest in this unconsolidated entity. As of September 30, 2020, the carrying value and estimated fair value of the Company’s investment in this unconsolidated entity were $43.8 million and $77.8 million, respectively.
Duff & Phelps relied on a 10-year discounted cash flow analyses for the final valuation of 353 Sacramento. The terminal capitalization rate, discount rate and CAGR used in the discounted cash flow model to arrive at the appraised value were 5.25%, 7.25% and 4.49%, respectively.
The table below illustrates the impact on the estimated value per share if the terminal capitalization rates or discount rates were adjusted by 25 basis points, and assuming all other factors remain unchanged, with respect to 110 William Street and 353 Sacramento. Additionally, the table below illustrates the impact on the estimated value per share if the terminal capitalization rates or discount rates for 110 William Street and 353 Sacramento were adjusted by 5% in accordance with the IPA guidance:
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Increase (Decrease) on the Estimated Value per Share due to
|
|
|
Decrease of 25 basis points
|
|
Increase of 25 basis points
|
|
Decrease of 5%
|
|
Increase of 5%
|
Terminal capitalization rates
|
|
$
|
0.12
|
|
|
$
|
(0.11)
|
|
|
$
|
0.13
|
|
|
$
|
(0.11)
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|
Discount rates
|
|
0.07
|
|
|
(0.07)
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|
|
0.11
|
|
|
(0.10)
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|
The Company also holds 104 Class A Units of Pacific Oak Opportunity Zone Fund I, LLC and the units were valued by the Advisor at the purchase price since the units were recently acquired via several investments from June to December 2019, the fund’s properties are still under construction, and the Advisor does not believe there has been any material changes in the unit value since the Company’s purchases. As of September 30, 2020, the carrying value and estimated fair value of the Company’s investment in this unconsolidated entity were $23.9 million and $23.6 million, respectively, with the latter equal to $0.24 per share. If the per-unit price were adjusted by 5%, it would impact the estimated value per share value by $0.01.
The Company’s other investments in unconsolidated entities were valued at their carrying values of $5.1 million as of September 30, 2020, which is $0.05 per share. If the estimated fair value were adjusted by 5%, it would have no impact on the estimated value per share.
Real Estate Equity Securities
Upon closing of the Merger, the Company owned investments in three real estate equity securities: 64,165,352 shares of common units of Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT, 6,791,734 shares of Franklin Street Properties Corp, and 1,560,660 shares of Plymouth Industrial REIT, Inc. The fair values of these real estate equity securities were based on quoted prices in an active market on a major stock exchange. Upon closing of the Merger, the fair value and carrying value of the Company’s real estate equity securities was $90.6 million.
Notes Payable
The estimated values of the Company’s notes payable are equal to the GAAP fair values calculated using a discounted cash flow analysis, but they do not equal the book value in accordance with GAAP. For the discounted cash flow analysis, the contractual cash flows were discounted by estimated market interest rates for instruments with similar characteristics, including remaining loan term, loan-to-value ratio and type of collateral.
Upon closing of the Merger, the GAAP fair value and carrying value of the Company’s notes payable were $852.5 million and $847.4 million, respectively. The weighted-average discount rate applied to the future estimated debt payments, which have a weighted-average remaining term of 1.5 years, was approximately 3.46%. The table below illustrates the impact on the Company’s estimated value per share if the discount rates were adjusted by 25 basis points, and assuming all other factors remain unchanged, with respect to the Company’s notes payable. Additionally, the table below illustrates the impact on the estimated value per share if the discount rates were adjusted by 5% in accordance with the IPA guidance:
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Increase (Decrease) on the Estimated Value per Share due to
|
|
|
Decrease of 25 basis points
|
|
Increase of 25 basis points
|
|
Decrease of 5%
|
|
Increase of 5%
|
Discount rates
|
|
$
|
(0.03)
|
|
|
$
|
0.03
|
|
|
$
|
(0.02)
|
|
|
$
|
0.02
|
|
Series A & B Debentures
The Company’s Series A & B Debentures are publicly traded on the Tel-Aviv Stock Exchange. The estimated value of the Company’s Series A & B Debentures is based on the quoted bond price as of September 30, 2020 on the Tel-Aviv Stock Exchange of 93.7% and 82.0% of face value (including accrued interest expense), respectively, and foreign currency exchange rates as of September 30, 2020. As of September 30, 2020, the fair value and GAAP carrying value of the Company’s Series A & B debentures were $218.9 million and $240.3 million, respectively.
Non-controlling Interests
The Company has an ownership interest in eight consolidated entities as of September 30, 2020. As the Company consolidates these entities, the entire amount of the underlying assets and liabilities are reflected at their fair values in the corresponding line items of the estimated value per share calculation. Given this and the September 30, 2020 appraisal date for the real estate properties, the Company also must consider the fair value of any non-controlling interest liability as of September 30, 2020. In determining this fair value, the Company considered the various interests, including profit participation thresholds in each of the entities that must be measured in determining the fair value of the Company’s non-controlling interest liability. The Company used the real estate valuations provided by Duff & Phelps, Colliers, and Clear Capital and calculated the amount that the non-controlling interests would receive in a hypothetical liquidation of the underlying real estate properties (including all current assets and liabilities) at their current values and the payoff of any related debt at its fair value, based on agreements. The estimated payment to the non-controlling interests were then reflected as the non-controlling interest liability in the Company’s calculation of its estimated value per share.
Participation Fee Potential Liability Calculation
In accordance with the new advisory agreement with the Advisor, the Advisor is entitled to receive a participation fee equal to (A) 15.0% of the Company’s net cash flows, whether from continuing operations, net sale proceeds or otherwise, after the Company’s stockholders have received, together as a collective group, aggregate distributions (including distributions that may constitute a return of capital for federal income tax purposes) sufficient to provide (i) a return of their net invested capital, or the amount calculated by multiplying the total number of shares purchased by stockholders by the issue price (except that all shares issued to stockholders of POSOR II in connection with the Merger are deemed to have been purchased by such stockholders at the effective time of the Merger and at a price of $10.63 per share), reduced by any amounts to repurchase shares pursuant to the Company’s share redemption program, and (ii) a 7.0% per year cumulative, noncompounded return on such net invested capital from Company inception, less (B) $36.3 million, which is the grant date value of the restricted stock issued to the Company's former advisor, KBS Capital Advisors LLC, in connection with its termination on October 31, 2019. Net sales proceeds means the net cash proceeds realized by the Company after deduction of all expenses incurred in connection with a sale, including disposition fees paid to the Advisor. The 7.0% per year cumulative, noncompounded return on net invested capital from Company inception is calculated on a daily basis. In making this calculation, the net invested capital is reduced to the extent distributions in excess of a cumulative, noncompounded, annual return of 7.0% are paid (from whatever source), except to the extent such distributions would be required to supplement prior distributions paid in order to achieve a cumulative, noncompounded, annual return of 7.0% (invested capital is only reduced as described in this sentence; it is not reduced simply because a distribution constitutes a return of capital for federal income tax purposes). The 7.0% per year cumulative, noncompounded return is not based on the return provided to any individual stockholder. Accordingly, it is not necessary for each of the Company’s stockholders to have received any minimum return in order for the Advisor to participate in the Company’s net cash flows. In fact, if the Advisor is entitled to participate in the Company’s net cash flows, the returns of the Company’s stockholders will differ, and some may be less than a 7.0% per year cumulative, noncompounded return. This fee is payable only if the Company is not listed on an exchange. For purposes of determining the estimated value per share, the Advisor calculated the potential liability related to this incentive fee based on a hypothetical liquidation of the assets and liabilities at their estimated fair values, after considering the impact of any potential closing costs and fees related to the disposition of real estate properties. The Advisor estimated the fair value of this liability to be $0 as of the valuation date, and reflected this in its calculation of the Company’s estimated value per share.
Other Assets and Liabilities
The carrying values of a majority of the Company’s other assets and liabilities are considered to equal their fair value due to their short maturities or liquid nature. Certain balances, such as straight-line rent receivables, lease intangible assets and liabilities, accrued capital expenditures, deferred financing costs, unamortized lease commissions and unamortized lease incentives, have been eliminated for the purpose of the valuation due to the fact that the value of those balances were already considered in the valuation of the related asset or liability. The Advisor has also excluded redeemable common stock as temporary equity does not represent a true liability to the Company and the shares that this amount represents are included in the Company’s total outstanding shares of common stock for purposes of calculating the estimated value per share of the Company’s common stock.
Different parties using different assumptions and estimates could derive a different estimated value per share, and these differences could be significant. The value of the Company’s shares will fluctuate over time in response to developments related to individual assets in the Company’s portfolio and the management of those assets and in response to the real estate and finance markets.
Limitations of Estimated Value Per Share
As mentioned above, the Company is providing this estimated value per share to assist broker dealers that participated in the Company’s initial public offering in meeting their customer account statement reporting obligations. This valuation was performed in accordance with the provisions of and also to comply with IPA valuation guidelines. The estimated value per share set forth above will first appear on the December 31, 2020 customer account statements that will be mailed in January 2021. As with any valuation methodology, the methodologies used are based upon a number of estimates and assumptions that may not be accurate or complete. Different parties with different assumptions and estimates could derive a different estimated value per share. The estimated value per share is not audited and does not represent the fair value of the Company’s assets less the fair value of the Company’s liabilities according to GAAP.
Accordingly, with respect to the estimated value per share, the Company can give no assurance that:
•a stockholder would be able to resell his or her shares at this estimated value per share;
•a stockholder would ultimately realize distributions per share equal to the Company’s estimated value per share upon liquidation of the Company’s assets and settlement of its liabilities or a sale of the Company;
•the Company’s shares of common stock would trade at the estimated value per share on a national securities exchange;
•an independent third-party appraiser or other third-party valuation firm would agree with the Company’s estimated value per share; or
•the methodology used to calculate the Company’s estimated value per share would be acceptable to FINRA or for compliance with ERISA reporting requirements.
Further, the estimated value per share as of December 4, 2020 is based on the estimated value of the Company’s assets less the estimated value of the Company’s liabilities divided by the number of shares outstanding, all as of September 30, 2020, after giving effect to the Adjustments. As of September 30, 2020, taking into account the Merger, there were 98,198,922 shares issued and outstanding. The value of the Company’s shares will fluctuate over time in response to developments related to individual assets in the Company’s portfolio and the management of those assets and in response to the real estate and finance markets. The estimated value per share does not reflect a discount for the fact that the Company is externally managed, nor does it reflect a real estate portfolio premium/discount versus the sum of the individual property values. The estimated value per share does not take into account estimated disposition costs and fees for real estate properties that are not held for sale or under contract for sale, debt prepayment penalties that could apply upon the prepayment of certain of the Company’s debt obligations or the impact of restrictions on the assumption of debt. The estimated value per share does consider any participation or incentive fees that would be due to the Advisor based on the aggregate net asset value of the Company which would be payable in a hypothetical liquidation of the Company as of the valuation date in accordance with the terms of the Company’s advisory agreement. The Company currently expects to utilize the Advisor and/or an independent valuation firm to update the estimated value per share no later than December 2021.
Dividend Reinvestment Plan
In accordance with its dividend reinvestment plan, at such time as the Company announces an updated estimated value per share, participants in the dividend reinvestment plan will acquire shares of common stock under the plan at a price equal to the updated estimated value per share of the Company’s common stock. The updated estimated value per share of the Company’s common stock is $9.68, and commencing on the next purchase date, participants will acquire shares under the dividend reinvestment plan at $9.68 per share.
If a participant wishes to terminate participation in the dividend reinvestment plan effective as of the next purchase date, participants must notify the Company in writing of such decision, and the Company must receive the notice at least four business days prior to the last business day prior to the next purchase date.
Notice of termination should be sent by facsimile to (833) 258-6305 or by mail to:
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Regular Mail
Pacific Oak Strategic Opportunity REIT, Inc.
c/o DST Systems, Inc.
PO Box 219183
Kansas City, MO 64121-9183
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Overnight Address
Pacific Oak Strategic Opportunity REIT, Inc.
c/o DST Systems, Inc.
430 W. 7th Street
Kansas City, MO 64105-1407
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Share Redemption Program
On December 4, 2020 the Company’s board of directors adopted a twelfth amended and restated share redemption program (the “Twelfth SRP”). The Twelfth SRP makes available $2.0 million of redemptions in connection with a stockholder's death, “qualifying disability”, or “determination of incompetence” for the December 2020 redemption date and carry forward until depleted. In addition, the Twelfth SRP made changes to the definition of “qualifying disability” to be as defined in Section 72(m)(7) of the Internal Revenue Code. There were no other changes to the share redemption program. A copy of the full Twelfth SRP is filed as Exhibit 99.5 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
In accordance with the Company’s share redemption program, except for redemptions made upon a stockholder’s death, “qualifying disability” or “determination of incompetence” (each as defined in the share redemption program), the price at which the Company will redeem shares is 95% of the Company’s most recent estimated value per share as of the applicable redemption date. Upon the death, “qualifying disability” or “determination of incompetence” of a stockholder, the redemption price will continue to be equal to the Company’s most recent estimated value per share.
Generally, the Company redeems all shares in connection with a stockholder’s death, “qualifying disability” or “determination of incompetence” on the last business day of each month and redeems all other shares on the last business day of the quarter.
On December 4, 2020, the Company’s board of directors approved an estimated value per share of the Company’s common stock of $9.68. The redemption prices based on the estimated value per share of $9.68 will be effective for the December 2020 redemption date, which is December 31, 2020. Excluding redemption requests made upon a stockholder’s death, “qualifying disability” or “determination of incompetence,” the redemption price is $9.20 per share. For a stockholder’s shares to be eligible for redemption in a given month or to withdraw a redemption request, the Company must receive a written notice from the stockholder or from an authorized representative of the stockholder in good order and on a form approved by the Company at least five business days before the redemption date, or by December 23, 2020 in the case of the December 31, 2020 redemption date.
Historical Estimated Values per Share
The historical reported estimated values per share of the Company’s common stock approved by the board of directors are set forth below:
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|
|
|
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|
|
Estimated Value per Share
|
|
Effective Date of Valuation
|
|
Filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission
|
$10.63
|
|
December 17, 2019
|
|
Current Report on Form 8-K, filed November 15, 2018
|
$9.91
|
|
November 12, 2018
|
|
Current Report on Form 8-K, filed November 15, 2018
|
$11.50
|
|
December 7, 2017
|
|
Current Report on Form 8-K, filed December 13, 2017
|
$14.81
|
|
December 8, 2016
|
|
Current Report on Form 8-K, filed December 15, 2016
|
$13.44
|
|
December 8, 2015
|
|
Current Report on Form 8-K, filed December 10, 2015
|
$12.24
|
|
December 9, 2014
|
|
Current Report on Form 8-K, filed December 11, 2014
|
$11.27
|
|
March 25, 2014
|
|
Current Report on Form 8-K, filed March 27, 2014
|
Forward-Looking Statements
The foregoing includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Federal Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The Company intends that such forward-looking statements be subject to the safe harbors created by Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These statements include statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of the Company and members of its management team, as well as the assumptions on which such statements are based, and generally are identified by the use of words such as “may,” “will,” “seeks,” “anticipates,” “believes,” “estimates,” “expects,” “plans,” “intends,” “should” or similar expressions. Further, forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise forward-looking statements to reflect changed assumptions, the occurrence of unanticipated events or changes to future operating results over time, unless required by law. Actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by such forward-looking statements. The valuation methodology for the Company’s real estate properties assumes the properties realize the projected cash flows and expected exit cap rates and that investors would be willing to invest in such properties at yields equal to the expected discount rates. Though the valuation estimates used in calculating the estimated value per share are Duff & Phelps’, Colliers’, Clear Capital’s or the Company’s and/or the Advisor’s best estimates as of December 4, 2020, the Company can give no assurance in this regard. These statements also depend on factors such as: future economic, competitive and market conditions; the Company’s ability to maintain occupancy levels and rental rates at its real estate properties; the borrowers under the Company’s real estate debt securities investment continuing to make required payments; and other risks identified in Part I, Item IA of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019 and subsequent periodic reports, as filed with the SEC. Actual events may cause the value and returns on the Company’s investments to be less than that used for purposes of the Company’s estimated value per share.